Meeker USA Inc

USA, INC.
KEY POINTS
EXCELLENCE IN INVESTING CONFERENCE, IRA SOHN FOUNDATION SAN FRANCISCO OCTOBER 24, 2012 MARY MEEKER
Copyright 2012. All rights reserved.
USA, Inc. Basic Facts

1) 2) 3) America is losing its edge - some of this is inevitable as other countries improve their competitiveness, some of this is self inflicted. Financial strength is vital to competitiveness its core to a healthy economy, job creation, vibrant education / culture and military leadership. Positive cash flow and a strong balance sheet are key to financial strength bottom line, its bad to spend more than one brings in, as America is doing. In effect, as each day passes with our rising losses and debt load we rob just a little bit more from the future. America does not need to lose its edge, it needs conviction and leadership to move its business model in the right direction we are all in this together, we need to understand and acknowledge our problems and agree to move forward with collective inspiration and sacrifice. American tax dollars fund our government we all need to understand where our taxes go and decide if we believe our hard-earned dollars are put to their highest-and-best use. The politicians we elect decide where our money goes.
2
4)
5)
Every April 15, Many Americans Pay Taxes Think About Where Those Taxes Go
We Know How USA Inc. Spends Taxpayer Revenue If You Had Control, Would You Allocate it the Same Way?
Expenses are 56% Higher than Revenue
F2011 Revenue $2,303B % of Total F2011 Expenses $3,603B % of Total
Individual Income Tax Social Insurance Tax* Other (Duties / Fees) Corporate Income Tax
$1,091B
47% 36% 9% 8%
Medicare + Medicaid** Social Security Defense Non-Defense Discretionary*** Unemployment Insurance + Other Entitlements Net Interest
$761B
21% 20% 20% 18% 15% 6%
$819B
$731B
$212B
$706B
$181B
$650B
$526B
$230B
Note: USA federal fiscal year ends in September; individual & corporate income taxes include capital gains taxes. *69% ($566B) of the Social Insurance tax goes to Social Security; 23% ($188B) goes to Medicare and the rest goes to unemployment insurance and other benefits; **Medicaid includes the federal portion. ***Nondefense discretionary includes federal spending on education, infrastructure, law enforcement, judiciary functions Source: White House Office of Management and Budget.
America Has Gotten Used to Losing Money
1) Americas budget deficit is not a new problem but has rapidly evolved to crisis levels
Expenses exceeded revenue in all but 5 of last 47 years. This is a problem, and the problem measured by rising losses and a rising debt load is getting worse.
Americas Tax Dollars Are Not Prioritized for Growth (of the Economy, GDP & Jobs)
2) Entitlements are Americas biggest expense

Entitlement expenses accounted for 56% of expenses in F2011, up from 25% forty years ago, while defense spending accounted for 20%, down from 42% and non-defense discretionary spending accounted for 18%, down from 26%.
Americas Tax Dollars Are Prioritized for Entitlements
3) Social Security, Medicare & Medicaid are biggest entitlement programs

Social Security = 36% of total entitlement spending in 2011, Medicare = 24%, Medicaid = 14%.
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Americans Want to Fix the Budget Deficit But Dont Want to Sacrifice Somethings Gotta Give
4) Americans are conflicted about budget crisis

80% of Americans are concerned about the rising deficit and debt but 69% and 78% oppose Medicaid and Medicare cutbacks, respectively.
12
America is Losing More Money Than Ever, Excluding Periods of World Wars I & II
5) America is experiencing the biggest peace-time gap between revenue and expenses of the past 110 years
Expenses have risen to 24% of GDP, vs. a 15% average since 1900.
14
Americas Revenue & Expenses as % of GDP Over 110 Years; Current State = Revenue Problem? Spending Problem?
USA Inc. Revenue & Expenses as % of GDP, 1901 2011
50% Revenue as % of GDP (Left Axis) Revenue & Expenses as % of GDP 40% Expenses as % of GDP (Left Axis) Real GDP (Right Axis) 30% $10 $8 20% $6 $4 10% $2 0% 1901 $0 2011 $16
$12
1911
1921
1931
1941
1951
1961
1971
1981
1991
2001
Source: 1910 1930 per Census Bureau, 1940-2011 per White House OMB. Real GDP adjusted for inflation, in 2005 dollars.
Real GDP (in Trillions of 2005 Dollars)

15
Biggest Peace Time Gap Between Revenue & Expenses in USA History
$14
Americas Founding Fathers Plan for Government Focused on Protecting Citizens
6) American governments first 155 years (1776-1930) could be characterized as the era of defense
Departments of Army & Navy accounted for 41% of cumulative spending.
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USA Inc. First 155 Years (1776-1930) = Era of Defense

Dept. of Army + Navy = 41%1 of Cumulative Spending From 1789-1930
USA Inc.s Budget Outlays For the First 155 Years (1776-1930)2
1789-1791 Total Federal Government Outlays ($MM) Defense % of Total Outlays Dept. of the Army % of Total Outlays Dept. of the Navy % of Total Outlays Interest on the Public Debt % of Total Outlays Other* % of Total Outlays Veteran Compensation and Pensions % of Total Outlays $4 $1 15% $1 15% $0 -$2 55% $1 30% $0 4%
1800 $11 $6 56% $3 24% $3 32% $3 31% $1 13% $0 1%
1850 $40 $17 44% $9 24% $8 20% $4 10% $18 47% $2 5%
1900 $521 $191 37% $135 26% $56 11% $40 8% $290 56% $141 27%
1930 $3,320 $839 25% $465 14% $374 11% $659 20% $1,822 55% $221 7%
1789-1930 Cumulative $98,747 $40,332 41% $28,831 29% $11,500 12% $13,790 14% $44,626 45% $8,273 8%
Note: Data is rounded and not adjusted for inflation. 1) 41% is the cumulative defense spending (excluding veterans benefits and services) as % of cumulative total federal spending from 1789 to 1930. Including veterans benefits and services, defense spending would have been 49% of cumulative annual budget from 1789 to 1930. 2) Data not available from 1776 to 1789. * Other includes various spending on administration, legislation and veteran compensation and pensions. Source: Census Bureau, Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970, Data series Y 457-465.
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American Government Changed its Focus in the 1930s
7) American governments next 80 years (1931-2010) could be characterized as the era of expansion
Social Security & Healthcare spending rose to 44% of spending while defense declined to 20% of spending.
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USA Inc. Next 80 Years (1931-2010) = Era of Expansion

Defense Down to 20% of Spending; Social Security + Healthcare Up to 44% in F2010 USA Inc.s Budget Outlays For the Next 78 Years (1931-2010)2
1931 Total Federal Government Outlays ($B) Defense % of Total Outlays Interest on the Public Debt % of Total Outlays Retirement & Disability Insurance % of Total Outlays Healthcare % of Total Outlays Physical Resources (Energy / Housing) % of Total Outlays Other % of Total Outlays $4 $1 23% $1 17% $0 0% $0 0% $0 5% $2 55%
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

$9 $2 20% $1 11% $0 0% $0 1% $2 26% $4 42% $43 $14 32% $5 11% $1 2% $0 1% $4 9% $19 45% $92 $48 52% $7 8% $12 13% $1 1% $8 9% $17 18% $196 $82 42% $14 7% $30 15% $12 6% $16 8% $42 21% $591 $134 23% $53 9% $119 20% $55 9% $66 11% $165 28% $1,253 $299 24% $184 15% $249 20% $156 12% $126 10% $239 19% $1,789 $294 16% $223 12% $409 23% $352 20% $85 5% $426 24% $3,456 $694 20% $196 6% $707 20% $821 24% $89 3% $950 27%
Note: Data is rounded and not adjusted for inflation. Physical resources include energy, natural resources, commerce & housing credit, transportation infrastructure, community and regional development. Other includes international affairs, agriculture, administration of justice, general government, education and veterans benefits and services. Source: 1931-1939 data per Census Bureau, Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970. 1940-2010 data per White House OMB.
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American Government Became Like a Company that Kept Expanding Initiatives Without Focusing on How to Fund Them
8) In effect, American government dramatically expanded its lines of business from 19302011
New initiatives focused on retirement (Social Security, 1935), welfare (Aid to Dependent Children, 1935), housing (FHA / Fannie Mae, 1937-38), education (Federal Subsidies, 1965), healthcare (Medicare, Medicaid, 1965), community development (Block Grants, 1974) and energy (Department of Energy, 1977). All in, these initiatives accounted for $1.5 trillion in expenses in F2011 or 43% of total government expenses.
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USA Inc. Business Line Extensions: 1930 2011

Business Line F2011 Agencies / Programs Extensions Expense ($B) Created (Year) Energy Policy $14 Department of Energy (1977) Community Development Block Grant* (1974) Medicare / Medicaid (1965) Federal Subsidies for K-12 & Higher Education (1965) Federal Housing Administration (1937) / Fannie Mae (1938) Aid to Dependent Children (1935) Social Security (1935) Goals Establish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve / mandate automobile fuel efficiency standards & temporary oil price control Provide federal grants to local governments for projects like parking lots / museums / street repairs Provide medical insurance program for the elderly (Medicare) and welfare program for low-income population (Medicaid) Provide federal subsidies for student loans / school libraries / teacher training / research / textbooks and other items. Reduce cost of mortgages and spur home building / purchasing by offering federal mortgage insurance and create secondary market for mortgage loans. Provide cash assistance to low-income families with children. Replaced by Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program in 1996 Provide retirement income to the elderly
1970s
Community Development 13
1960s
Healthcare 761
1950s
Education
92
1940s
Housing
48
Welfare
15 604** $1.5 Trillion
1930s
Retirement TOTAL
Or 10% of F2011 GDP / 67% of USA Inc.s Revenue / 43% of Expense
Note: *Community Development Block Grant was an effort to consolidate various pre-existing categorical community development programs that started with "urban renewal" in the 1950s. **Social Securitys F2011 expense excludes ~$132B payments to disabled workers via Disability Insurance program (created in 1956). Source: CATO Institute, White House OMB.
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Americas Net Losses are Unsustainable
9) Americas net margin in F2011 was -56% vs. -7% fifteen years ago Expenses of $3.6 trillion (up 131% over 15 years) exceeded revenue of $2.3 trillion (up 59%). The largest expense driver entitlement / mandatory spending - rose 145% to $2.0 trillion while the largest revenue driver individual income taxes rose 66% to $1.1 trillion.
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Americas Income Statement -56% Net Margin in F2011

USA Inc. Profit & Loss Statement, F1996 / F2001 / F2006 / F2011 Comments F1996 F2001 F2006 F2011
Revenue ($B) Y/Y Growth Individual Income Taxes*
% of Revenue
$1,453 7% $656
45%
$1,991 -2% $994

50%
$2,407 12% $1,044

43%
$2,303 7% $1,091
47%
On average, revenue grew 3% Y/Y over past 15 years Largest driver of revenue Payroll tax on Social Security + Medicare Fluctuates significantly with economic conditions Includes estate & gift taxes / duties & fees; relatively stable On average, expense grew 6% Y/Y over past 15 years Significant increase owing to aging population + rising healthcare cost Includes education / law enforcement / transportation Significant increase owing to ongoing War on Terror Decreased owing to historic low interest rates USA Inc. median net margin between 1996 & 2011 = -9%
Social Insurance Taxes

% of Revenue
$509
35%
$694
35%
$838
35%
$819
36%
Corporate Income Taxes*

% of Revenue
$172
12%
$151
8%
$354
15%
$181
8%
Other
% of Revenue
$115
8%
$152
8%
$172
7%
$212
9%
Expense ($B) Y/Y Growth Entitlement / Mandatory

% of Expense
$1,560 3% $824
53%
$1,863 4% $1,006
54%
$2,655 7% $1,357
51%
$3,603 4% $2,018
56%
Non-Defense Discretionary
% of Expense
$230
15%
$346
19%
$549
21%
$650
18%
Defense
% of Expense
$266
17%
$305
16%
$522
20%
$706
20%
Net Interest on Public Debt

% of Expense
$241
15%
$206
11%
$227
9%
$230
6%
Surplus / Deficit ($B) Net Margin (%)
-$107 -7%
$128 6%
-$248 -10%
-$1,300 -56%
Note: USA federal fiscal year ends in September; *individual & corporate income taxes include capital gains taxes. Non-defense discretionary includes federal spending on education, infrastructure, law enforcement, judiciary functions Source: White House Office of Management and Budget.
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Americas Balance Sheet is Unsustainable
10) Entitlements are the largest long-term liabilities of Americas balance sheet
Unfunded expenses related to Social Security and Medicare account for $31 trillion (or 66%) of Americas long-term liabilities. In addition, the present value of future Medicaid expenses without dedicated funding totals $35 trillion.
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Unfunded Entitlement (Medicare + Social Security) + Underfunded Entitlement Expenditures (Medicaid) = Among Largest Long-Term Liabilities on USA Inc.'s Balance Sheet
USA Balance Sheet Liabilities Composition, F2010
Unfunded Medicare
Medicaid*
$35.3T
Federal Veteran All Employee Other Benefits Benefits
Federal Debt
Unfunded Social Security
$22.8T
$1.6T $2.1T $3.7T
$9.1T
$7.9T
Note: Medicaid funding is appropriated by Congress (from general tax revenue) on an as-needed basis every year, therefore, there is no need to maintain a contingency reserve, and, unlike Medicare, the financial status of the program is not in question from an actuarial perspective. Here we estimated the net present value of future Medicaid spending through 2085E, assuming a 3% discount rate. Data source: Dept. of Treasury, Dept. of Health & Human Services Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services.
25
Americas Healthcare Efficiency Does Not Compare Well
11) Americas healthcare spending is higher than all other OECD countries combined
And that with 35% of the population of other OECD countries combined population. And Americas healthcare spending is not correlated to longer life expectancy.
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USA Healthcare Spending Is Higher Than All Other OECD Countries Combined (with 35% of Other OECD Countries Combined Population)
$2,000
Total Expenditure* on Health Among OECD Countries, 2007

Public Private
Total Health Spending ($B)
$1,500
USA Spending on Healthcare in 2007 = $2.2T All Other OECD Countries Combined Spending = $2.2T
$1,000
$500
$0 Iceland Luxembourg Slovak Republic New Zealand Ireland Finland Hungary Czech Republic Denmark Norway Portugal Greece Sweden Austria Switzerland Belgium Poland Turkey Netherlands Australia Korea Mexico OECD average Spain Canada Italy UK France Germany Japan USA
Note: OECD data adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity. *Total expenditure on health measures the final consumption of health goods and services (i.e., current health expenditure) plus capital investment in healthcare infrastructure. This includes spending by both public and private sources (including households) on medical services and goods, public health and prevention programs, and administration. Excluded are health-related expenditures such as training, research, and environmental health. Source: OECD, Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development is an international organization of 31 developed and emerging countries with a shared commitment to democracy and the market economy.
27
USA Spending on Healthcare IS NOT Performance-Based and IS NOT Correlated to Longer Life Expectancy
Healthcare Spending per capita vs. Average Life Expectancy Among OECD Countries, 2007
85 Average Life Expectancy at Birth (Years)
Japan
80
S. Korea UK
75
Linear Trend line (ex. USA)
USA Mexico Hungary
70 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
Total Expenditure on Health per capita, $US (PPP Adj.)
Note: In addition to healthcare, life expectancy is also significantly affected by gene, diet, sanitation and many other social and economic factors. Source: OECD.
28
Americas Tax System is Out of Whack
12) No matter how you cut it, more Americans are receiving government payments while fewer people are paying federal income taxes
We may be nearing a crucial inflection point where more people receive government payments than pay federal income taxes.
29
One Look @ Data - More Americans are Receiving Government Payments While Fewer People are Paying Federal Income Taxes
% of USA Households Paying Federal Income Taxes1 vs. Receiving Selected Government Payments3, 1966 - 2010
84% % of Total Households Paying ANY Federal Taxes2 in 2010 83%
100%
% of Total Households
80%
60%
49%
50%
40%
% of Total Households Receiving ANY Government Payments4 in 2009
46% 36%
20%
20%
% of Total Households Paying Federal Income Taxes1 % of Total Households Receiving Selected Government Payments3
0% 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
Note: 1) Defined as households that pay federal income taxes beyond payroll taxes. Note that payroll taxes are imposed on both employees and employers and are dedicated to Social Security and Medicare. 2) In 2010, 83% of total households paid either federal income taxes and / or federal payroll taxes. 3) Includes estimated households with enrollees (de-duped) in Social Security / Medicare / Medicaid programs as well as federal / state / local employees + military personnel. 4) Per Census Bureau survey in 2010, includes estimated households with enrollees (de-duped) in programs such as railroad retirement / veterans compensation / unemployment compensation / public or subsidized housing / food stamps / farm subsidies, etc. in addition to Medicare / Medicaid / Social Security, but excludes government employees / military personnel / recipients of other forms of government payments administered via the tax codes such as earned income tax credit. Note that 34MM households (or 30% of total USA households) received Social Security benefits in 2010. Source: Tax data per IRS, Heritage Foundation, and Tax Policy Center; Government payments reserved. Social Security Administration, Dept. of Health & Human Services. Copyright 2012. All rights data per
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One More Look @ Data - More Americans are Receiving Government Payments While Fewer People are Paying Federal Income Taxes
% of USA Households Paying Federal Income Taxes1 vs. Receiving Selected Government Payments3, 1979 - 2010
% of Total Households Paying ANY Federal Taxes2 in 2010
100%
78%
% of Total Households
80%
83%
60%
59% 49%
50%
40% 48%
20%
% of Total Households Paying Federal Income Taxes
1 3
% of Total Households Receiving Selected Government Payments
0% 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Note: 1) Defined as households that pay federal income taxes beyond payroll taxes. Note that payroll taxes are imposed on both employees and employers and are dedicated to Social Security and Medicare. 2) In 2010, 83% of total households paid either federal income taxes and / or federal payroll taxes. 3) Defined as households receiving payments or services from Social Security, SSI, Medicare, Medicaid, Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) / Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF), education assistance, energy assistance, housing assistance, food stamps, school lunch program, railroad retirement, black lung benefits, earned income tax credit (EITC) (in excess of income taxes and employee paid payroll tax), or refundable child tax credit. EITC and child tax credit eligibility computed by NBER's Taxsim9 calculator. Note that 34MM households (or 30% of total USA households) received Social Security benefits in 2010. Source: Tax data per IRS, Heritage Foundation, and Tax Policy Center; Government payments data per John Cogan, Stanford University.
31
Americas Tax Breaks Need to Be Re-Visited
13) Aggregate tax breaks exceeded $1 trillion in F2011 and accounted for 83% of USA Inc.s cash flow deficit
Total tax breaks are on track to exceed total budget deficit by F2013, per data from Congressional Research Service and White House Office of Management and Budget.
32
Top 10 Tax Breaks For F2011

Top 10 Tax Breaks, Ranked by Amount
Exclusion of Employer Health Insurance Accelerated Depreciation of Machinery & Equipment Deduction of Mortgage Interest 401k Plans Low Tax Rates on Capital Gains Exclusion of Net Imputed Rental Income Exclusion of Employer Pension Contribution Deduction of Charitable Contributions Making Work Pay Tax Credit Child Tax Credit
$163MM $119MM $72MM $53MM $47MM $47MM $36MM $30MM $24MM $23MM $0 $50 $100 $150 F2011 Tax Break Amount ($MM) $200
Source: White House OMB, Analytical Perspective Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 2013.
33
Aggregate Tax Breaks = $1 Trillion, or 83% of USA Inc.s Cash Flow Deficit
USA Inc.s Deficit vs. Aggregate Tax Breaks*, F2011
1,400
F2009 Subsidies & Tax Expenditures & Deficit ($B)
$1.3T $1.1T*
Some tax breaks favor consumption
1,200
1,000
800
$685B*
Such as tax exemption on employer contributions to health insurance & deductibility of mortgage interest on owneroccupied homes
But others favor saving, investment, and growth
600
400
200
$387B*
Such as tax exemptions / deductibility on capital gains / dividends / pension contributions & savings / accelerated depreciation of equipment
0 F2011 Deficit F2011 Tax Breaks

Note: *Each foregone revenue estimate assumes all other parts of the Tax Code remain unchanged during F2011. Aggregate tax breaks presented here is simply the sum of individual estimates. In reality, the aggregate estimate would be different if tax breaks were changed simultaneously because of potential interactions among provisions. Source: White House OMB, Analytical Perspective Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 2013.
34
Americas Debt Load Does Not Compare Well
14) America (at 94%) ranks 10th in world in gross government debt as percent of GDP
Lower than Japan (220%), Jamaica, Greece, Lebanon, Iraq, Italy, Belgium, Singapore, Ireland (95%) but higher than the likes of Portugal (93%), Iceland, Germany, Canada, France, Hungary, Israel, UK and Egypt (74%).
35
Americas Debt Level Relative to Other Countries You Do the Math

2010 Gross Government Debt ($B) $12,009 19 436 53 97 2,445 452 214 196 13,707 213 12 2,759 1,324 2,110 2010 Gross Government Debt ($B) $105 168 1,699 161 272 47 1,397 18 15 1,046 497 14 848 23 100
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Country Japan Jamaica Greece Lebanon Iraq Italy Belgium Singapore Ireland USA Portugal Iceland Germany Canada France
% of GDP 220% 143 143 134 120 119 97 96 95 94 93 92 84 84 82
Rank 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Country Hungary Israel UK Egypt Austria Sudan Brazil Jordan Cte d'Ivoire India Netherlands Cyprus Spain Uruguay Pakistan
% of GDP 80% 77 76 74 72 72 67 67 67 64 64 61 60 57 57
Note: Ranking excludes countries with gross government debt less than $10B in 2010. Gross government debt includes intragovernment obligations (such as Treasuries held by the Social Security Trust Fund in US case). Source: The International Monetary Fund (IMF).
36
By the Governments Own Estimates
15) Entitlement spending + interest payments alone should exceed Americas total revenue with fifteen years
According to Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
37
Younger Americans are Frustrated
16) 40% of Americans view capitalism negatively

While 47% of 18-29 year olds view capitalism negatively, 49% view socialism positively.
39
40% of Americans View Capitalism Negatively, While 47% of 18-29 Year Olds View Capitalism Negatively
Americans Response to the Word Capitalism Positive or Negative % of Total Survey Results from 1,511 Respondents & by Age Group, 12/11 Negative Overall
40%
Positive
50%
18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
47% 40% 39% 32%
46% 50% 53% 52%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
40
Source: The Pew Research Center For The People & The Press, 12/11.
60% of Americans View Socialism Negatively, But 49% of 18-29 Year Olds View Socialism Positively
Americans Response to the Word Socialism Positive or Negative % of Total Survey Results from 1,511 Respondents & by Age Group, 12/11 Negative Overall
60% 31
Positive
18-29 30-49 50-64 65+

68% 72% 58%
43% 34% 25% 13%
49%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
41
Source: The Pew Research Center For The People & The Press, 12/11.
Socialism
Socialist governments traditionally do make a financial mess. They always run out of other people's money. It's quite a characteristic of them.
- Margaret Thatcher Former Prime Minister of the UK, Feb 5, 1976 Or in American nomenclature Houston, we have a problem.
42
Somethings Gotta Give
17) Trends + data imply its time for a re-org of USA, Inc.
US tax code = 859x more words than US Constitution.
43
USA, Inc. Time for a Re-Org?! US Tax Code Word Count = 859x US Constitution
Word Count of Various Documents
4,000,000
3.8MM
3,000,000 Word Count
2,000,000
1MM
1,000,000
788K 328K 272 4,440 6,910

US Tax Code
Gettysburg US Facebook Healthcare King James Harry Potter Address Constitution Data Use Reform Bible Books policy
Source: Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), Slate, Open Congress, Facebook.com
44
Every April 15, Many Americans Pay Taxes Think About Where Those Taxes Go
45
46
We Know How USA Inc. Spends Taxpayer Revenue If You Had Control, Would You Allocate it the Same Way?
Expenses are 56% Higher than Revenue
F2011 Revenue $2,303B % of Total F2011 Expenses $3,603B % of Total
Individual Income Tax Social Insurance Tax* Other (Duties / Fees) Corporate Income Tax
$1,091B
47% 36% 9% 8%
Medicare + Medicaid** Social Security Defense Non-Defense Discretionary*** Unemployment Insurance + Other Entitlements Net Interest
$761B
21% 20% 20% 18% 15% 6%
$819B
$731B
$212B
$706B
$181B
$650B
$526B
$230B
Note: USA federal fiscal year ends in September; individual & corporate income taxes include capital gains taxes. *69% ($566B) of the Social Insurance tax goes to Social Security; 23% ($188B) goes to Medicare and the rest goes to unemployment insurance and other benefits; **Medicaid includes the federal portion. ***Nondefense discretionary includes federal spending on education, infrastructure, law enforcement, judiciary functions Source: White House Office of Management and Budget.
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Americas Deficit
I think that if we dont get these politicians to come together we face the most predictable economic crisis in historyits absolutely clear that the fiscal path we are on is not sustainable, and for me, the best analogy is these deficits are like a cancer, and over time they will destroy the country from within.
Erskine Bowles, July, 2012
Co-Chair of National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, Former President of the University of North Carolina, White House Chief of Staff (under Bill Clinton)
48
Are you happy, or are you sad?
- Harold Hal Bierman, Professor of Finance, Cornell Graduate School of Business
49
USA Inc. @ kpcb.com / youtube.com / amazon.com
123K+ Total Views 30K+ YouTube Views 7K+ Facebook Likes 4K+ Retweets
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USA, INC.

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USA, Inc. Basic Facts

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21% 20% 20% 18% 15% 6%

America Has Gotten Used to Losing Money

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2) Entitlements are Americas biggest expense

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Americas Tax Dollars Are Prioritized for Entitlements

3) Social Security, Medicare & Medicaid are biggest entitlement programs

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4) Americans are conflicted about budget crisis

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Real GDP (in Trillions of 2005 Dollars)

Americas Founding Fathers Plan for Government Focused on Protecting Citizens

Copyright 2012. All rights reserved.

USA Inc. First 155 Years (1776-1930) = Era of Defense

1800 $11 $6 56% $3 24% $3 32% $3 31% $1 13% $0 1%

1850 $40 $17 44% $9 24% $8 20% $4 10% $18 47% $2 5%

American Government Changed its Focus in the 1930s

Copyright 2012. All rights reserved.

USA Inc. Next 80 Years (1931-2010) = Era of Expansion

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

USA Inc. Business Line Extensions: 1930 2011

15 604** $1.5 Trillion

Or 10% of F2011 GDP / 67% of USA Inc.s Revenue / 43% of Expense

Americas Net Losses are Unsustainable

Americas Income Statement -56% Net Margin in F2011

$1,991 -2% $994

$2,407 12% $1,044

Social Insurance Taxes

Corporate Income Taxes*

Expense ($B) Y/Y Growth Entitlement / Mandatory

Net Interest on Public Debt

Surplus / Deficit ($B) Net Margin (%)

Americas Balance Sheet is Unsustainable

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Unfunded Social Security

$1.6T $2.1T $3.7T

Americas Healthcare Efficiency Does Not Compare Well

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Total Expenditure* on Health Among OECD Countries, 2007

Total Health Spending ($B)

Linear Trend line (ex. USA)

USA Mexico Hungary

70 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000

Total Expenditure on Health per capita, $US (PPP Adj.)

Americas Tax System is Out of Whack

Copyright 2012. All rights reserved.

% of Total Households Receiving ANY Government Payments4 in 2009

% of Total Households Receiving Selected Government Payments

0% 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Americas Tax Breaks Need to Be Re-Visited

Copyright 2012. All rights reserved.

Top 10 Tax Breaks For F2011