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www.cityam.com FREE ISSUE 1,756 THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
President Barack Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama are all smiles in front of a mass crowd of supporters yesterday
in tax hikes and spending cuts as
soon as January.
In the weeks ahead, I look
forward to sitting down with
governor Romney to talk about
where we can work together to move
this country forward, Obama said.
Referring to divided factions in
the Senate and House of
Representatives, Obama added: We
are not as divided as our politics
suggests. Were not as cynical as the
pundits believe.
In his concession speech, Romney
said the US was at a critical point
in its history. At a time like this, we
cant risk partisan bickering and
political posturing. Our leaders have
to reach across the aisle to do the
peoples work, he urged.
Obama was confirmed as a two-
term President yesterday, reaching
303 votes on the electoral college
comfortably more than the 270
required to win. The number will
rise to 332 if he is confirmed to have
won Florida. Late last night Romney
remained on only 206, with some
seats still to declare.
Yet America remains divided, with
VICTORIOUS President Barack
Obama addressed adoring crowds
in Chicago yesterday after
winning a second term at the
White House, yet was hit by an
immediate reality check as
markets crashed on the back of
renewed tensions in the Eurozone.
In New York the Dow Jones
crashed by 2.36 per cent to end
the day at 12,932.73 as violent
protests erupted in Greece and
investors also fretted about
Americas own levels of
government debt.
The Greek government last
night won a key vote on its latest
austerity measures. While 153
MPs supported it, the number is
significantly lower than the 179
MPs that formed the coalition. A
number of MPs were reported to
have been expelled from their
parties for failing to support the
measures, last night.
Greeces leaders still need to
pass the overall bill in another
vote on Sunday, and convince its
international lenders that it will
see through the austerity
measures and reforms needed to
pave the way for upcoming
tranches of its bailout cash.
With economic clouds
gathering overhead, Obama and
defeated Republican candidate
Mitt Romney both struck
conciliatory tones in their post-
election speeches, encouraging
colleagues to find a cure for
Americas so called fiscal cliff a
situation that could see the
economy knocked by over $600bn
SPOTLIGHT ON
US ELECTIONS
See pages 2, 3, 22, 23
nearly half of the popular vote
going to Romney.
Prime Minister David Cameron
congratulated Obama on his re-
election. I have really enjoyed
working with him over the last
few years and I look forward to
working with him again over the
next four years, Cameron said,
during his visit to Jordan.
There are so many things that
we need to do: we need to kick
start the world economy and I
want to see an EU-US trade deal.
Fellow Conservative Boris
Johnson, the Mayor of London,
also congratulated Obama but
was less comprehensive in his
praise. Looking forward to
renewing our claim to Americas
unpaid Congestion Charge bill!
the Mayor joked on Twitter a
reference to the hefty bill that
US diplomats cars have run up
while driving in central London.
OBAMA
50%
49%
ROMNEY
POPULAR VOTE
OBAMA
332
* Includes
projected Florida win
*
206
ROMNEY
ELECTORAL
COLLEGE VOTE
Dow Jones Industrial Average
4pm 10am 2pm 12pm
13,000
13,100
13,200
12,850
$
12,932.73
7Nov
But Barack Obamas triumphant re-election marred by stock market slump as global economic fears mount
BY JULIAN HARRIS
All eyes on the fiscal cliff as conflicts linger
INVESTOR worries over the so
called US fiscal cliff are growing
following the re-election of
Barack Obama to the White House
and continuing Republican
control of the House of
Representatives.
Republican House speaker John
Boehner last night told Obama
that his colleagues were ready to
be led towards a fiscal solution.
Democrat Obamas first term
was scarred by a failure to strike a
compromise in the House over a
plan to heal Americas potentially
crippling level of government
debt and annual deficit.
And if Congress cannot find an
BY JULIAN HARRIS
agreement on a new fiscal plan by
January, the US faces an
automatic $600bn hit from
scheduled tax rises and spending
cuts which some economists say
could severely jolt its economy.
Mr President, this is your
moment. Were ready to be led,
not as Democrats or Republicans,
but as Americans, Boehner said.
We want you to succeed. Lets
challenge ourselves to find the
common ground that has eluded
us. Lets rise above the
dysfunction and do the right
thing together for our country.
Yet ETX Capitals Andrew
Edwards warned: Failure by the
US government to tackle the fiscal
cliff is likely to see the worlds
biggest economy slip back into a
recession, while the anaemic
recovery in the jobs market will
continue to unnerve
markets in the short
term until we see a
meaningful
improvement.
Todd Schoenberger
of BlackBay Group in
New York added:
Traders on the
floor are thinking,
before the
election Obama
wasnt able to
resolve the
fiscal cliff
so what
makes you
think hes going to be able to do it
after the election? Thats the big
issue right now.
Yet stock markets could be
propped up by the Feds ongoing
quantitative easing programme.
Presidential candidate Mitt
Romney had been hostile towards
Bernankes asset-buying scheme,
with his defeat at the hands of
Obama likely to see Bernanke
continue to promote
monetary easing at least
until the end of his
current term in January
2014.
2
US ELECTION SPECIAL
To contact the newsdesk email news@cityam.com
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
EDITORS
LETTER
ALLISTER HEATH
Ten observations on a historic
election for the United States
allister.heath@cityam.com
Follow me on Twitter: @allisterheath
The popular vote was very close:
50.4-48.1 per cent, and a gap of 2.8m
votes, against 52.9-45.7 per cent and
9.5m votes in 2008. Obamas lead was
cut from 7.2 points to 2.3 points.
However, Obama triumphed in all of
the swing states.
Many factors destroyed Romney:
he was a poor candidate with insuffi-
cient charisma and too many nega-
tives who should never have been
selected; most Ohioans backed car
bailouts, helping deliver the state to
Obama; the storm helped the
President; and the Democrats deliv-
ered a more competent campaign
which turned out even more young
people than in 2008, gaining the sup-
port of two-thirds of 18-29 year olds.
Incumbent governments can win
even in the current climate. But
Obama just had to defend most of his
votes. David Camerons 36.1 per cent
means that he needs to substantially
increase his share to win in 2015.
US employment has performed
poorly and real wages are under pres-
sure but the economy is growing.
The numbers feeling worse off were
small enough to save Obama.
Republicans kept their majority in
the House of Representatives and
increased their governorships to 30
out of 50. But Democrats strength-
ened their control of the Senate to 53
against 45 (and two independents).
Most referenda opposed tax hikes.
But voters in California voted to
increase taxes, including income tax,
in a move which is likely going to
accelerate that states sad economic
decline and push jobs to other parts
of the US. Californians also voted to
keep the death penalty. Some states
voted to decriminalise marijuana and
Americans increasingly back gay mar-
riage. One last intriguing fact: eight
out of ten US counties with the high-
est incomes voted for Obama.
The Republicans electoral strong-
holds were unskilled white men and
older voters. The Democrats were
backed by single women and the
young. US politics is also starkly divid-
ed along ethnic lines. The electorate
was 72 per cent white; this demo-
graphic backed Romney 58-40 per
cent. Around 13 per cent of the voters
were African-American, 93 per cent of
which voted for the President; 10 per
cent of the electorate were hispanics,
who backed Obama 71 percent to 27;
and 3 per cent were Asian (breaking
73-26 for Obama). America has been
changing for years whites made up
87 per cent of voters in 1992 and any
party that cannot capture the votes of
immigrants and their children is
doomed, and deservedly so. The
Republicans used to grab a much
higher share of hispanics under
George Bush. The partys current per-
formance is pathetic: it desperately
needs to reach out to ethnic minori-
ties and convince them that it is an
open party that opposes the evil that
is racism and supports a truly colour-
blind, upwardly mobile society.
But is it really demographics that
explains Obamas victory? As a bril-
liant analysis on p22 by Stephan
Shakespeare demonstrates, attitudes
were the best predictor of voting: 81
per cent of those who said they want
a bigger government voted Obama.
The Republican core vote strategy
failed but only just. Dont listen to
commentators who expound too
many meta-theories about the US or
any other country. Every time a party
loses an election, pundits write it off
and talk of grand, historic realign-
ments. They are always wrong. Losers
eventually fight back, as the
Democrats did after Reagan.
Dodd-Frank, the financial regula-
tory bill, will go ahead and so will
the UK and EU regulatory agenda.
Monetary policy will continue
unchanged. The big issue now is the
fiscal cliff. Good luck, Mr President.
IDAHO
UTAH
CALIFORNIA
ALASKA
NEVADA
WASHINGTON
12
OREGON
7
55
3
ARIZONA
11
332
BARACK OBAMA
JOE BIDEN
DEMOCRAT
270 ELECTORAL
6
4
6
WYOMING
3
MONTANA
3
NORTH DAKOTA
3
SOUTH DAKOTA
3
NEBRASKA
5
COLORADO
9
NEWMEXICO
5
TEXAS
38
HAWAII
4
KANSAS
6
OKLAHOMA
7
(incl. projected Florida win)
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
SENATE
DEMOCRATS 55
REPUBLICANS 45
50
DEMOCRATS 191
REPUBLICANS 232
218
REPUBLICANS retained their hold
on the House of Representatives
yesterday, while Democrats held
onto the Senate, maintaining the
partisan status quo of the past two
years.
Republicans guaranteed
themselves a majority in the 435-
member lower chamber, even
before the last results came in
through the night. But Democrats
increased their majority in the
upper chamber to 10, gaining in
Massachusetts and Indiana.
Republican chances of gaining
four seats and taking over the
Senate initially evens, according
to the party were dented by
controversial comments on rape
Republicans retain House but
Democrats tighten Senate grip
BY BEN SOUTHWOOD
and abortion by the extreme social
conservative wing of their party.
Both Todd Akin, who
notoriously said that women had a
means of shutting down
pregnancies in cases of legitimate
rape and Richard Mourdock, who
said pregnancies were a gift from
God even in cases of rape, lost
their races for Senate seats.
Democratic candidate Tammy
Baldwin won her Wisconsin race
to become not only the first
female senator from the state, but
also the first openly gay senator in
the US, as part of a race that saw a
record number of women elected
to Congress. Another of these
women was law professor
Elizabeth Warren, who unseated
Scott Brown in Massachussets.
The US market rally
appears to have beenone of
those act in haste andrepent
at leisure types of market
reactionwhichinvestors in
hindsight wishtheydthought
better of. Yesterday mornings news fromEurope has
seen US markets plunge on the open as investors
quickly realisedthat for all the noise, andrelief the
same oldproblems remain with the same
set of protagonists lookingfor a solution.
ANALYST VIEWS
HOW IS FIRSTGROUP
FARING IN A TOUGH TIME
FOR TRANSPORT FIRMS? By Marion Dakers
GERT ZONNEVELD PANMURE GORDON
ALPHA KHAKI
ANNABELS private members club in
Mayfair was where the most eligible
people in the land gathered yesterday
evening, in order to celebrate the
publication of Tatlers Little Black
Book.
The Capitalist was pleased to spot
some City names on the inaugural
most wanted list, and indeed just as
many business bachelorettes as bach-
elors gracing the pages.
In the solicitor corner was Lord
Elcho and Leeds graduate turned
Allen & Overy trainee Chelsy Davy;
whilst Net-a-Porter founder Natalie
Massenet and Burberry bigwig Sarah
Manley represented the retail sector.
Will Wells was the lucky young hedge
funder making the list, alongside
James Rothschild who is apparently
gruff in a rather sexy way and
quiet. Form an orderly queue ladies.
Net-a-Porter founder
Natalie Massenet
(left), James
Rothschild (above),
Sarah Manley the chief
marketing officer at
Burberry (above
right) and Allen &
Overy trainee lawyer
Chelsy Davy (right)
Hodge top dog
at the Financial
Planner Awards
Not one, but two City book
signings this week! Firstly
former world number one golfer Sir
Nick Faldo will be signing copies of his
new book,A Swing For Life, at
Waterstones in Leadenhall Market
today. This is Faldos only UK signing,
so to score a personalised present in
time for Christmas, head down there
promptly at 12.30pm. Secondly, one
for the girls and boys recent Olympic
gold medallist Jessica Ennis will be
signing copies of her new book,
Unbelievable, on Friday at 1pm at
Waterstones in Canary Wharfs Jubilee
Placeshopping centre.
The most eligible people in the
City: Tatlers Little Black Book
MATTHEW Hodge at PwC must be a
very fine planner indeed, or else he
has some excellent friends at Money
Management, which run the annual
Financial Planner of the Year awards.
Over at the Mandarin Oriental in
Knightsbridge, which was the venue
IN BRIEF
Serco buys out Oz maritime firm
nServices firm Serco has agreed to
buy the remaining 50 per cent stake in
Australian defence and marine
services firm DMS Maritime for
A$106m (68m) in cash. Serco said
the deal with one of Australias largest
maritime service operators would
strengthen its position as a defence
services provider in the country.
Sales rise at Spirax-Sarco
nValve maker Spirax-Sarco yesterday
said organic sales were up six per cent
in the four months to October,
boosted by double-digit sales growth
in the Asia Pacific region and
subsidiary Watson-Marlow. Operating
profit was eight per cent ahead. The
engineer also said it had bought a
Chilean distributor for 3.3m.
RPS on track to meet targets
nNatural resources, land and
property consultancy RPS Group is on
track to meet its full-year
expectations, it said yesterday. Results
in the nine months to September were
well ahead of the same period in
2011, the consultancy added, boosted
by strong performance in its energy
and energy infrastructure markets.
INCOMES soared across the whole
of British society over the past 25
years, according to a report pub-
lished yesterday by the Office for
National Statistics.
Even the financial crisis only
knocked wages by a fraction of the
huge leap experienced between
1986 and 2007, the study showed.
Average wages even after
accounting for inflation jumped
62 per cent for full-time employees
from 1986 to 2011.
But from 2007 to 2011 the average
wage fell by 3.2 per cent.
Top earners saw wages almost
double overall, with the top 10 per
cent earning 26.75 per hour in
2011, compared with 14.78 in
1986, after controlling for inflation
Meanwhile at the other end the
Long boom in
incomes from
1986 to 2007
BY TIM WALLACE
bottom 10 per cent earned 7.01 an
hour last year, up 47 per cent over
the 25-year period.
The introduction of the minimum
wage had a major impact from 1998
onwards, although pay had
increased considerably in the 12
years before that pay for the bot-
tom one per cent jumped 15 per
cent from 1986 to 1998, then anoth-
er 51 per cent from 1998 to 2011.
The City provided a particular
boost to wages in London 36 per
cent of those in the capital are in
the top 10 per cent nationally by
earnings with pay of over 26.75 per
hour.
But financial sector workers are
not the highest paid on average
that title falls to airline pilots and
flight engineers who earn an aver-
age of 44.49 per hour, excluding
overtime.
Quantitative easing decision
on a knife edge, say analysts
THE BANKS decision whether or
not to expand the quantitative
easing programme could go
either way, analysts said yesterday.
Weak business surveys and
gloomy industrial production
data could push the bank to add
25bn or more to its gilt portfolio,
analysts said, but better-than-
expected GDP growth would push
rate-setters in the opposite
BY BEN SOUTHWOOD
direction.
City A.M.s shadow MPC were
unanimous in voting to keep rates
on hold, but in an indication of
how tight the decision could be
three members voted to expand
quantitative easing (QE).
It will be a close decision at
todays monetary policy
committee (MPC) meeting, said
Vicky Redwood at Capital
Economics. We think that the
chances of more QE have slipped a
touch below 50/50, and if the MPC
does vote for more QE, it might be
25bn rather than 50bn.
Howard Archer at IHS Global
Insight, agreed with Redwood that
rising inflation and the positive
GDP figures were likely to sway
the balance against further QE.
He expects the Bank will
increase the stock of QE by 50bn
at some point in the first quarter
of next year but he said gloomy
data could prompt an early move.
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
17
NEWS
cityam.com
To celebrate INGs continuing association with arts charity The Discerning Eye,
ING Commercial Banking has teamed up with CityAM to offer you the chance
to win up to 1,000 of art. The ING Discerning Eye, with its slogan new artists,
new audiences, showcases the work of unknown artists alongside their more
established contemporaries.
This year a total of 485 pieces of art, representing the work of 184 artists, has
br clo|d by rorirr| gurc ror |l ur| world |o go or clow. Euol
selector will use their own dedicated gallery space to display their choices, pro-
viding a unique range of themes which has earned the exhibition an enviable
reputation among art lovers and collectors alike. All the art on show is for sale.
For a chance to win 1,000 to spend on the artwork of your choice from the ING
Discerning Eye exhibition, simply answer the question below:
What is the slogan of the ING Discerning Eye Exhibition?
Please send your answer to win@cityam.com
Terms and conditions
The winner will be entitled to choose a painting from the ING Discerning Eye exhibition up to the value of 1,000. The prize is
non transferable, non negotiable and no cash alternative is offered. Entry to the prize draw is free and is open to anyone aged
18 years and over resident in the UK, except employees of ING, their families, agents or anyone else professionally associated
with the draw. Only one entry per person. The closing date is midnight on Sunday 11 November 2012. The winning answer
will b druwr u| rurdor ror ull ligibl r|ric roivd urd |l wirrr will b ro|id by lor or Morduy 1. Novrbr.
The winner must be available on Tuesday 13 November at the Mall Galleries in London to choose their painting. ING assumes
no responsibility and is not liable for any costs, charges or expenses which the winner may be required to pay at any time in
connection with the prize. The winner, by accepting the prize, agrees to participate in non paid publicity accompanying or
rcul|irg ror |lic druw i rquird. Tl Edi|or'c doicior ic rul ir ull ru||rc oororrirg |lic roro|ior. No oorrcordro
will be entered into about a decision regarding eligibility. ING reserves the right to suspend, cancel, or amend this promotion
and/or review and revise these terms and conditions at any time without giving prior notice and by continuing to take part in the
promotion subsequent to any revision of these terms and conditions, entrants shall be deemed to have agreed to any such new
or amended terms. These terms and conditions are governed by and construed in accordance with the laws of England and
Wales and the English Courts will have exclusive jurisdiction to determine any proceedings in connection with this competition
ING Discerning Eye, Mall Galleries,
London SW1Y 5BD 15-25 November,
10am to 5pm, entrance free.
Follow us on Twitter : INGDiscEye
and join our Facebook group : ING Discerning Eye
Anita Klein
The Gift (detail)
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WAGES HAVE SOARED FOR EVERYONE OVER THE PAST 25 YEARS
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
PAYDISTRIBUTIONPERCENTILES
%
i
n
c
r
e
a
s
e
i
n
h
o
u
r
l
y
p
a
y
(
1
9
8
6
-
2
0
1
1
)
%
c
h
a
n
g
e
i
n
r
e
a
l
w
a
g
e
s
f
r
o
m
2
0
0
1
t
o
2
0
1
1
PAY HAS RISEN FOR EVERYONE
5
0
-5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
PAYDISTRIBUTIONPERCENTILES
WAGES HAVE FALLEN SINCE THE CREDIT CRUNCH
PILOTS & FLIGHT ENGINEERS
EARN THE MOST
44.49
PER HOUR
BAR & WAITING STAFF
ARE THE WORST PAID
6.25
PER HOUR
KITCHEN & CATERING ASSISTANTS
ARE NEXT ON
6.30
PER HOUR
CEOs & SENIOR OFFICIALS
ARE NEXT ON
39.24
PER HOUR
THE TOP 1%
OF EARNERS ARE PAID
61.10
PER HOUR
117% MORE THAN IN 1986
THE TOP 1%
OF EARNERS ARE PAID
10.3 X
THE WAGES OF THE
BOTTOM1%
THE BOTTOM 1%
ARE PAID
5.93
PER HOUR
UP 70%ON 1986
MORE THAN 1/3
OF WORKERS IN THE
LIVE IN LONDON
TOP 10%
BY
EARNINGS
No new quantitative easing and no further cut to rates. The money supply has bounced back. But the main reason why QE needs to be
halted - despite worrying signs that the economy has ground to a halt again is that it has created a false markets in gilts and blurred
the distinction between monetary and fiscal policy.
CITY A.M. | OUR SHADOW MPC VOTES 6-3 AGAINST MORE QE
ALLISTER HEATH | CITY A.M.
At longlast broadmoney supply is showingsufcient
growth to negate the needfor further QE, so no change this
month andlets hope QE has nally come to an end. But we
needcurrent growthto be sustainedfor that. Holdrates.
GRAEME LEACH | INSTITUTE OF DIRECTORS
Holdrates andQE. Weaker business surveys suggest that
the improvement in thirdquarter GDP will not last. Still,
concerns about QE's effect in supportingination are suf-
cient to warrant a break in policy easingthis month.
GEORGE BUCKLEY | DEUTSCHE BANK
50bn more QE. The rise in GDP in the third quarter was
just due to temporary factors and the recent business sur-
veys suggest that the underlying recovery is still strug-
gling. Leave rates on hold, but with a bias to cut further.
VICKY REDWOOD | CAPITAL ECONOMICS
50bn more QE and no change to interest rates. More
stimulus is needed. The UK has seen no growth for a year
and a return to contraction in the fourth quarter seems
likely. The outlook for next year is weak.
ROBERT WOOD | BERENBERG BANK
Holdrates, suspendQE. Money growth has pickedupglob-
ally andat home, suggestingstronger economic activity in
early 2013 andrmer ination further ahead. Andthe
Fundingfor LendingScheme is still feedingthrough.
SIMON WARD | HENDERSON
Hold interest rates and further QE but keep under review.
UK indicators are mixed, and US economic prospects are
uncertain due to the scal cliff, while the Eurozone remains
in political paralysis.
VICKY PRYCE | FORMER GOVT ADVISER
Hold bank rate. Extend QE by another 50bn as uncer-
tainties about the durability of the uk recovery, US scal
cliff and challenges in Europe still persist and could
intensify.
TREVOR WILLIAMS | LLOYDS TSB
No change on either count. The decision aroundfurther QE
in November is a nely balancedone. The advent of
Fundingfor Lendingmakes it easier to holdoff, but the
underlyingeconomic data remain fragile.
ROSS WALKER | RBS
THE BASEL rules on bank capital lev-
els are built on the shakiest of foun-
dations, the Bank of Englands Andy
Haldane warned yesterday, arguing
that banks have too little certainty in
how to risk-weight their assets.
The official also told MPs and peers
that insurance rules are similarly
poorly designed, bank bondholders
should get votes like shareholders
do, and that banks should be threat-
ened with full separation if the
ringfence fails to improve behaviour
in retail units.
And the director of financial stabil-
ity warned the Bank of England itself
needs to become more accountable
to parliament, in a move that shows
disagreement with other senior
Bank figures, including outgoing
governor Sir Mervyn King.
That suggests senior staff are gain-
ing confidence to speak out against
Sir Mervyns management, and, com-
bined with three critical reports out
last week, points towards a shake-up
of Bank governance under the new
leader next year.
Basel III is a big
improvement on
Basel II, but both are
built on the shakiest
of foundations, he
told the Parliamentary
Commission on
Banking Standards
(PCBS).
Haldane attack
on inconsistent
Basel risk rules
BY TIM WALLACE
The denominator of the capital
ratio is a measure of a assets, weight-
ed by risks, which the banks have
done the weighting for.
The range of capital held for the
same asset can differ by a factor of
three or four or more between banks.
As long as those inconsistencies exist,
Basel III faces fundamental problems.
Haldane also said regulators should
force banks to clean up their opera-
tions arguing that the moves to put
retail and investment operations at
arms length from one another could
be made even more extreme, split-
ting banks in two if they do not
behave as he wants.
The ring fence will need to be
patrolled whatever height and wher-
ever it is put, to ensure full imple-
mentation of both the letter and
spirit of the rules, PCBS chairman
Andrew Tyrie told City A.M. That will
mean the Commission will want to
examine whether some further statu-
tory support is required.
Haldane also argued that the tech-
nological capability now exists for a
radical shift to a utilities model of
banking. He wants all deposits held
in one location, with banks servicing
customers who are free to shift
from one to another, in the same
way as energy electricity and gas
firms operate.
University gap between rich
and poor narrows, report says
THE GAP between the
university attendance of the
richest and the poorest
narrowed between 2004-5 and
2009-10, a think tank said
today, just as the tuition fee
cap was raised.
The gap in higher education
participation between the
best-off and worst-off state
school students narrowed
BY BEN SOUTHWOOD
from 40 per cent in 2004-5 to
37 per cent in 2009-10, the
Institute of Fiscal Studies (IFS)
revealed today, with much of
the decline after the tuition
fee cap was raised to 3,000 in
2006-7.
This could be down to the
fact that the reform was more
generous to students from
more deprived backgrounds
and hit more privileged
students relatively hard
contrary to popular belief
the IFS tentatively suggested.
The fact that the previous
tuition fee cap rise led to a
short-term dip, followed by a
long-term return to growth,
suggests the current dip could
also be temporary, the report
authors speculate cautiously.
Another report from the IFS
showed how top universities
were providing more extensive
support for poorer students.
Ex-policymaker wants Bank
to plan for interest rate hike
THE BANK of England should
abandon quantitative easing
(QE) for the time being, and
plan on bringing the base
interest rate back up towards
sustainable levels by mid-
2015, ex-ratesetter Andrew
Sentance said today.
The risks of the banks very
loose monetary policy are
BY BEN SOUTHWOOD
beginning to outweigh the
benefits, Sentance argued,
especially when the economy is
on its way to recovery. Keeping
interest rates so low is distorting
economic decision-making, and
keeping inflation above target,
Sentance says in the PwC report.
These claims came in tandem
with optimistic forecasts for
economic growth in 2013
growth of 1.8 per cent. This
projection is a 0.1 percentage
point improvement on PwCs last
forecast in July, and comes well
above consensus forecasts,
running at 1.1 per cent.
We believe that our views are
justified in the light of the latest
figures that showed a healthy
rebound to GDP growth of one
per cent in the third quarter,
said chief PwC economist John
Hawksworth.
TOP banking official Andrew
Bailey yesterday denied claims
that judgement-based regulation
will lead to uncertainty and
arbitrary controls in the banking
sector, instead arguing it
represents the best way to reduce
complexity in regulations.
Regulators have faced criticism
for promoting a shoot first, ask
questions later model, as it could
give excessive powers to the
authorities and undermine banks
efforts to innovate.
But Bailey a director at the
Financial Services Authority, who
will sit on the Bank of Englands
new Financial Policy Committee
said exercising judgement will
Bailey says his judgement is
best chance for banking sector
BY TIM WALLACE
end both the box-ticking culture
among officials, and the efforts of
banks to sidestep onerous rules
by gaming the exact letter of
regulations.
The art of supervision is to
look at a situation from several
angles and seek thereby to
identify weaknesses. Good
supervision is about judgment,
he told an audience at a Bank of
America Merrill Lynch conference.
And the top regulator also said
that banks should hold more
capital against unlikely but
damaging events, such as a
Eurozone breakup, despite
worries that forcing banks to hold
large amounts of capital can
damage lending and so economic
growth.
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
18
NEWS
cityam.com
Official Andrew Bailey said banks should hold more capital against the risk of a euro collapse
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Andy Haldane said the Bank
needs to be more accountable
IRISH airline Aer Lingus said
yesterday its operating profits
slipped in the third quarter, but
that year to date earnings remain
almost 30 per cent ahead of last
year.
Operating profits fell 2.9 per
cent to 90.9m (72.6m), the carrier
said, while revenues rose 5.7 per
cent to 460.8m.
Aer Lingus also posted strong
yield growth, in spite of an eight
per cent rise in operating expenses
thanks to fuel and tax hikes.
We remain focused on
achieving continued cost savings
and greater efficiency within the
business against a challenging
macro-economic backdrop, said
chief executive Christoph Mueller.
Revenues rise
at Aer Lingus
BY MARION DAKERS
STOBART, the transport and
infrastructure group, is
considering the launch of a retail
bond to raise around 25m.
The terms of the issue have yet to
be finalised and, according to
informed market sources, the issue
might yet be pulled over a disagree-
ment over the rate of interest
Canaccord is suggesting the group
pays for its money. Canaccord is
advising on the deal.
The bond issue, which would
carry with it a coupon of five per
cent or more, would allow Stobart
to retire some of its existing bank
loans from and keep its average
interest rate around five per cent.
Stobart eyes
25m bond
BY DAVID HELLIER
The new
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IN BRIEF
Ericsson cuts 1,550 Swedish jobs
nEricsson yesterday announced a
plan to cut 1,550 jobs at its head office
in Sweden around nine per cent of
the 17,700 people employed there
following a third quarter profit fall of
43 per cent to 2.18bn kronor (203m).
Tomas Qvist, head of human resources
at the Swedish telecoms giant, called
the redundancies inevitable and
said he needed to focus on reducing
costs as sales dry up.
Cognizant profits up a fifth
nIT outsourcing firm Cognizant
yesterday reported a 22 per cent rise
in profits in the third quarter of the
year. The US-based company, which
provides technology consultancy
services to many blue chip companies,
said growth was driven by more
business from financial services firms.
Cognizant, which employs most of its
staff in India, saw revenue at $1.89bn
(1.18bn) up from $1.6bn last year.
Veolia profits drop 25 per cent
nFrench utility firm Veolia
Environnement yesterday reported a
25 per cent drop in nine-month profit,
as it sought to reassure investors that
plans to reduce debt remained on
track. The waste, water and energy
firm said it could cut debt by up to
3bn (2.4bn) in the fourth quarter by
divesting several small assets, and the
closure of its US waste business in the
coming weeks.
BRITAINS second-largest mobile net-
work O2 saw revenue fall more than
five per cent in the third quarter as
customers held off on renewing con-
tracts ahead of the launch of the
iPhone 5, it said yesterday.
Regulation on roaming charges and
mobile termination rates the
amount networks can charge for calls
to other operators have affected all
of the UKs mobile operators this
year.
However, O2 took a much bigger
hit than its major rival EE in the
third quarter.
O2s turnover was down
5.4 per cent year-on-year
in pound sterling terms
to 1.8bn (1.4bn), com-
pared to EEs 1.5 per
cent fall. O2 was
much more suscepti-
ble to lower industry
charges on phone
calls.
The firm a division
Upgrade delay
and regulation
hit O2 revenue
BY JAMES TITCOMB
of European telecoms giant
Telefonica gained 110,000 mobile
customers on the period last year, as a
rise in new contracts offset people
leaving pay-as-you-go plans. O2 now
has 22.5m mobile customers.
The figures suggest that a short net-
work blackout that hit O2 in the sum-
mer did not damage the company.
The gains came despite a nine per
cent year-on-year fall in contract
renewals as people held off on
upgrades ahead of the launch
of the iPhone 5.
Meanwhile, Telefonica
which also has operations in
Germany, Spain, Ireland,
the Czech Republic,
Slovakia and Latin
America swung to a
profit after losing
money in the quarter
last year. The debt-laden
group has been hit hard
by the recession.
Playtech Ltd
7Nov 1 Nov 2Nov 5Nov 6Nov
425
420
430
435
415
410
p
425.90
7Nov
Betfair Group PLC
7Nov 1 Nov 2Nov 5Nov 6Nov
750
740
760
770
730
720
p
764.60
7Nov
THE WORLDS fourth-largest
brewer Carlsberg reported a slight
drop in profits yesterday, but said
it stood by its full-year outlook
after gaining in Russia.
The company said it was
particularly pleased that efforts to
drive its international brands were
improving its market share in key
growth regions.
Our performance was in line
with our expectation and it is
particularly positive to report that
we are back on a growth trend in
Russia, chief executive Jorgen
Carlsbergs bottom line hit by
weather but Russia improves
BY ALEX CROELL
Buhl Rasmussen said.
Eastern Europe and Asian sales
cushioned sluggish trading in
western Europe, which counted
for 55 per cent of group revenue.
Carlsberg said the western
European beer market was
especially challenging due to poor
weather conditions during the
summer.
The group reported a 7.8 per
cent year-on-year increase in sales
to 18.8bn Danish kroner (2bn) in
the third quarter versus an 18.6bn
DKr forecast. Pre-tax profit,
however, fell 20 per cent to 3.15bn
DKr due to restructuring costs.
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
19
NEWS
cityam.com
Chief executive Jorgen Buhl Rasmussen said he was seeing positive signs in Russia
Betfair pulls out of Germany as
tax on sports bets is introduced
ONLINE betting exchange operator
Betfair yesterday announced it had
pulled the plug on the majority of
its German business after a tax hike
made the operation unworkable.
Due to the way Betfairs model
works, with users staking money
against each other rather than
against the bookie, Germanys
recently-introduced five per cent
tax on sports betting has forced the
company out.
A tax at this rate, if applicable,
would make Betfairs current
exchange model unviable, the
company said.
BY JAMES TITCOMB
Betfair said it had been working
with tax officials to see if it could
continue to operate its exchange
model.
But yesterday it said: The
company is disappointed, however,
that to date the tax authorities have
not been able to agree to an
interpretation of the law that would
allow Betfair to continue to offer
the exchange product.
It will continue to offer its casino,
poker, and fixed odds operations,
although these account for a much
smaller part of the business than
the exchange system.
Approximately four per cent of
Betfairs revenue came from
Germany last year.
The companys share price was
relatively unaffected yesterday, with
Betfair having already highlighted
the issue at its recent earnings.
Playtech hits the jackpot in third
quarter due to casino gambling
PLAYTECH, the company that
provides gambling software to the
likes of bet365 and PaddyPower,
yesterday said gross income was up
32 per cent on last year in the third
quarter, thanks to a strong showing
in its casino gaming products and its
stake in William Hill.
Shares in the London-listed
company, which bases itself in
Estonia, rose as much as 5.7 per
cent on the news yesterday as its
results exceeded forecasts.
Playtechs revenue in the period
was 79.9m (63.8m), thirty per
cent up, while it took in 12.8m
BY JAMES TITCOMB from its 29 per cent stake in
William Hills online business a
rise of 50 per cent.
William Hill is considering
buying back Playtechs share, and
has started the process of valuing it
ahead of a possible offer next year.
Playtechs stake is believed to be
worth around 400m.
Regardless of William Hills as
yet undetermined final decision on
the call option we remain
committed to our important
relationship with William Hill and
the continued success of WHO
going forward, chief executive Mor
Weizer said.
He pointed to mobile gaming as
an important and lucrative growth
area for Playtech, as more people
shift to placing bets on their
smartphones rather than on
personal computers.
FUEL logistics supplier Hargreaves
Services is to mothball the Maltby
mine in Yorkshire, it said
yesterday.
In August Hargreaves warned
that Maltby, which supplies Drax
Groups power station in North
Yorkshire Europes largest coal-
fired plant was at risk of being
mothballed because of worsening
geological problems.
A report subsequently
commissioned by Hargreaves said
that one of the mines coal panels,
which was leaking gas, oil and
water, was not viable on health
and safety, geological and financial
grounds, causing the AIM-listed
firm to close the mine.
Hargreaves Services mothballs
Maltby coal mine in Yorkshire
BY CATHY ADAMS
The closure of the Maltby
Colliery will mean around 500
staff will be at risk of redundancy.
Hargreaves earlier this year
issued a profit warning triggered
by problems at Maltby, which
produces more than 1m tonnes of
coal each year. The company said
that delays in mining a new coal
seam would reduce profit by 12m
to 16m for the year ending May
2013.
Hargreaves said alternative
proposals for Maltby should be
tabled before the end of month, to
be considered by the board.
In September, Hargreaves posted
record profit of 43.1m for the
year to 31 May, up 16.8 per cent
year on year. Revenue over the year
rose 24.6 per cent to 688.3m.
INDUSTRIAL conveyor belt maker
Fenner yesterday posted a spike in
full-year profit, as it bucked the
trend of a spate of bad news from
the engineering sector.
Underlying pre-tax profit rose
30 per cent to 103.9m over the
year to August, boosted by
demand in its core engineered
conveyor solutions division.
The industrial division which
accounts for about three quarters
of Fenners revenue posted
operating profits of 84.4m, up 38
per cent.
Revenue for the FTSE 250
company increased by 16 per cent
to 830.6m over the period.
Strong demand from the oil and
Profits up 30 per cent at Fenner
as it raises dividend by a third
BY CATHY ADAMS gas sector, and higher demand for
its conveyor belts used in coal and
iron ore extraction drove positive
trading conditions for the firm
over the period.
However, Fenner said it had seen
slowing orders from the US coal
sector in the second half of the
year.
Scott Cagehin at Numis
Securities said that he remained
positive for its 2013 prospects due
to Fenners exposure to strong
markets.
Looking forward, we expect
further investment to capitalise on
both organic and acquisitive
growth opportunities, he added.
On the back of strong results,
Fenner raised its dividend by 31
per cent to 10.5p a share.
O2 boss Ronan Dunne saw
110,000 extra customers
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
20
Wall st plunges
on fears over
US economy
T
HE Dow industrials lost more
than 300 points in a sell-off
yesterday that drove all major
US stock indexes down over two
per cent in the wake of the
presidential election as the looming
fiscal cliff debate and Europes
economic troubles returned to the
forefront.
The Standard & Poors 500 Index
posted its biggest daily percentage
drop since June, with all 10 S&P sectors
solidly lower and about 80 percent of
stocks on both the New York Stock
Exchange and the Nasdaq ending in
negative territory. Both the Dow and
the S&P 500 closed at their lowest lev-
els since early August.
Financial stocks and energy shares,
two sectors that could face increased
regulation after President Barack
Obamas re-election, were the weakest
on the day. The S&P financial index
lost 3.5 per cent, while the S&P energy
index fell 3.1 per cent. An S&P index of
technology shares slid 2.8 per cent as
the stock of Apple entered bear mar-
ket territory.
The Dow Jones industrial average slid
312.95 points, or 2.36 per cent, to
12,932.73 at the close. The Standard &
Poors 500 Index fell 33.86 points, or
2.37 per cent, to 1,394.53. The Nasdaq
Composite Index lost 74.64 points, or
2.48 per cent, to close at 2,937.29.
The S&P 500 closed below the key
1,400 level for the first time since 30
Augu, while the Dow ended under
13,000 for the first time since 2 August.
About 7.81bn shares traded in total.
Contributing to the Nasdaqs decline,
Apple shares fell 3.8 per cent to $558,
off more than 20 per cent from an all-
time high reached earlier this year.
That slump puts the stock of the
worlds most valuable publicly traded
company in bear market territory.
U
K stocks fell sharply yesterday after
bleak forecasts for the Eurozone
economy and fiscal problems in the
United States eclipsed initial relief
over US President Barack Obamas re-
election.
In morning trade the FTSE 100 had hit a
level not seen for nearly two months as the
Obama win fuelled hopes the US Federal
Reserve would maintain its loose monetary
policy.
But the European Commissions forecast
that the Eurozone economy would barely
grow next year kick-started a long slide into
the close for indexes across Europe.
And while investors were relieved over
Obamas victory, they remained concerned
about the US fiscal cliff of about $600bn
in spending cuts and tax hikes set to begin
early 2013, which could jeopardise growth.
The fact that the election had gone
swimmingly, there were no glitches, it was
a clear winner, had helped markets open
higher, Angus Campbell, head of market
analysis at Capital Spreads, said.
Then you get the downgrades to GDP
(gross domestic product) for the euro zone
and then you get the US markets opening
... that turned the focus onto the fiscal cliff
and suddenly you get this huge sell-off.
The FTSE 100 eventually closed down 1.58
per cent, or 93.97 points, at 5,791.63.
No sector was spared the sell-off.
European stocks geared to the economic
cycle gave most ground, with miners, ener-
gy stocks and banks all off 2 per cent.
French bank BNP Paribas managed to
buck the weak trend adding 1.1 per cent,
buoyed by strong quarterly earnings.
Todays movements show us just how
fickle investors are, said IGs David
Madden.
Re-election joy eclipsed by worries
over Eurozone and US economies
BESTof theBROKERS
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC
p 350
345
340
335
330
7Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 6Nov
333.50
7 Nov
ABERDEEN ASSET
MANAGEMENT
UBS has maintained its
buy rating on the firm
and upped its target price
to 370p from340p, after
raising multiples to reflect
good relative flow
prospects for 2013.
DASHBOARD CITY
YOUR ONE-STOP SHOP FOR JOB MOVES,
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cityam.com
FTSE
7Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 6Nov
5,925
5,900
5,875
5,850
5,800
5,825
5,791.63
7 Nov
Blinkx PLC
p 74
72
70
68
66
7Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 6Nov
68.10
7 Nov
BLINKX
Numis has initiated cover
of the video search engine
with a buy rating and a
target price of 104p. The
broker sees scope for it to
produce very strong
revenue growth as its
platforms expand.
Marks and Spencer Group PLC
p 400
398
396
394
392
390
388
386
7Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 6Nov
397.42
7 Nov
MARKS &
SPENCER
Panmure Gordon has
lowered its target price on
the retailer from 389p to
397p after lower than
expected revenue growth
but maintained its buy
rating on the stock.
Deloitte
Michael Lee has been appointed
director of Deloittes analytics
practice. He joins from Detica
NetReveal, and is a specialist in
using analytics to detect and
prevent fraud and financial
crime.
HSBC
Andy Clark has been appointed chief executive at HSBCs
UK asset management branch. He has worked for the bank
since 2005, most recently as regional head of wholesale
for Europe, Middle East and Africa.
KPMG
Emma Wild has been appointed to the newly-created role
of head of upstream oil advisory in the UK. She joins from
Lloyds Bank, where she managed the technical aspects of
its upstream investment portfolio. She has over 15 years
experience in the industry.
Mirabaud
Andrew Lake has been appointed global high yield
manager in the banks asset management division. He
joins from Aviva Investors, where he was head of high
yield portfolio management. Lake has also held roles at
F&C Asset Management and Merrill Lynch, and is also a
qualified barrister.
Reed Smith
Nick Stainthorpe has been appointed partner in the law
firms global structured finance practice. He previously
held the position of senior associate at Freshfields.
Stainthorpe specialises in derivatives and structured
finance.
Boost ETP
The exchange-traded product platform has made two
senior appointments. Saima Parviez joins as head of
marketing from Peel Hunt, where she held the same role.
Marlene Rodriguez joins as a sales executive from BNP
Paribas, where she was an exchange-traded fund trader
assistant.
WHOS SWITCHING JOBS Edited by Tom Welsh
+44 (0)20 7092 0053
morganmckinley.com
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A
S AMERICANS congregated
around their television sets
on election night, all eyes
were on Florida. With its 29
electoral college votes, losing
the state would put an early end to
Mitt Romneys hopes of winning the
White House. But, with quick and
decisive victories elsewhere, it was
clear that President Barack Obama
would win re-election handsomely.
As the Sunshine State continued to
count up the votes into the wee
hours, this thing was already over.
Republicans, who had hoped that
a late surge in enthusiasm for
Romney would be enough, failed to
see the much-hyped talk of
expanding the map into
Democratic states materialise. Big
T
HERE are three things that
matter about the US election
result, seen from my pollsters
point of view. What do we learn
about the role of demographics
against attitudes in determining
outcome? What might the result mean
for the next UK general election? And
why did we get that Mitt Romney
phantom swing?
A lot has been written about how
divided a country the US has become,
with support for the two parties split
down race, age and gender lines. But
looking more closely, are demograph-
ics really the most important angle?
True, YouGovs final survey (of 36,000
Americans, which predicted the result
exactly right) showed a 20 per cent gap
between the genders, with men prefer-
ring Romney by 8 per cent and women
opting for Barack Obama by 12 per
cent. Or look at age: 40 is the crossing
point when one moves from being a
likely Obama voter to a likely Romney
one. And the other big divide is race.
Important, yes, but you could also
argue that demographics are an imper-
fect proxy for the likelihood of holding
cityam.com/forum
Obama won 81 per
cent of those who want
a bigger government
THEFORUM
Twitter: @cityamforum on the web: cityam.com/forum or by email: theforum@cityam.com
Agree? Disagree? Got a sharp comment?
The Forumwants you to join the debate.
Top responses will be reprinted in The Forum.
22
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
STEPHAN SHAKESPEARE
It was attitudes not demographics
that determined the US campaign
certain attitudes. Those attitudes are
more important predictors. The exit
poll shows Obama won 81 per cent of
those who believe in a bigger role for
government: he took 87 per cent of
those wanting to preserve or expand
the 2010 health care law and he won 67
per cent of those who think abortion
should be legal. So if I could have just
one piece of information about a ran-
dom voter to predict who they would
choose, it would not be demographic,
it would be their preference for a big-
ger or smaller role for government.
The exit poll also shed light on what
the outcome might be at the next
British election. How has a western
leader survived in the current econom-
ic circumstances? That the economy
was the number one issue in America
is clear: Obama secured 4 per cent of
those who thought Romney would
best handle the economy, and Romney
took 1 per cent of those who thought
Obama would. Not surprisingly, those
who felt better off than they did four
years ago opted for the incumbent (84
per cent) and those who felt worse off
backed the challenger (80 per cent). But
perhaps it was how the largest group
split that was ultimately decisive: those
who felt their financial situation was
about the same voted 58 per cent to 40
per cent in Obamas favour.
This goes against the conventional
model of voting behaviour, which sees
economic conditions as a strong pre-
dictor of outcome. But an answer
makes sense of this: the exact timing of
the economic crash. The exit poll
showed that most blamed the Bush
administration for the mess. David
Cameron could possibly find himself
the beneficiary of a similar effect, as
our polling shows more people blame
Labour than Conservatives for the cuts.
From a simple horse-race point of
view, Obamas victory shouldnt have
come as a surprise. He was consistently
ahead, except for the period after the
first presidential debate. This was the
one time we saw some sheer bad
polling: Gallup, for example, showed a
7 percent Romney lead and even in
their final poll had Romney a squeak
ahead. Most of the others also enter-
tained a big Romney swing, though
they tended to finally converge to
somewhere near the result.
The truth and this is important is
that there never was a swing. We inter-
viewed 33,000 people before the first
debate and re-interviewed 25,000 of
them afterwards. The change was less
than 1 per cent. You cant do better
than large-scale high-response re-inter-
views to measure change. But we found
one interesting detail: those who had
previously said they preferred Obama
were significantly less likely to respond
to the post-debate survey. Perhaps they
felt weakened by the negative buzz
around a bad debating performance.
They hadnt changed their mind, they
just didnt want to talk about it.
So Romneys phantom swing was
entirely an illusion of traditional
polling methodology. That methodolo-
gy is no more random selection than
any other, as people can self-deselect
depending on their attitudes (just as
they can with all other methodologies).
But with panel-based re-interviews you
get more data, and can create better
models.
This may seem an obscure point, but
it matters: phantom swings are excit-
ing but distorting. They plague cam-
paigns. And the overreaction of
commentators could negatively influ-
ence tight races. Perhaps youll permit
YouGov a little smugness: we not only
got the overall result exactly right, we
called all states correctly except for
Florida, where we gave Romney a 1 per
cent lead but which, after all, turned
out to be statistically a dead-heat.
Stephan Shakespeare is chief executive and
co-founder of YouGov.
prizes like Pennsylvania were called
for the President early. Wisconsin,
the home state of Romneys running
mate Paul Ryan, wasnt even close.
Michigan, the state Romney was
born and raised in, quickly turned
Democratic blue. Republicans were
only able overturn Obamas 2008
majorities in Indiana, North
Carolina and Nebraskas second
congressional district. With passions
running high, such little progress
will be hard to stomach.
A second term for Obama brings a
fresh mandate but its never that
easy. There is often talk of a second
term curse, when re-elected
Presidents struggle to enact their
agenda due to scandal or robust
legislative opposition from Congress.
Obama will certainly experience the
latter. Republicans did hold onto
their majority in the House of
Representatives so, when it comes to
resolving challenges like the
countrys looming fiscal crisis,
Obama wont be able to ram
legislation through a friendly
Congress. As the President pointed
out during his victory speech,
elections matter. So do
constitutional checks and balances.
There is now an eerie sense of dj
vu for Republicans. Like the post-
mortem after John McCains defeat
in 2008, talk about reform and the
overall direction of the party have
already started. Its not too difficult
to see why. Senator Lindsey Graham
conceded Republicans arent losing
95 percent of African-Americans and
two-thirds of Hispanics and voters
under 30 because were not being
hard-ass enough. The partys line on
immigration has clearly taken its toll
and alienated Hispanic voters, the
fastest growing demographic in the
country. This does not mean the
Republicans need to surrender their
core principles of small government
and low taxes. But their platform
needs to be reformed and their tone,
perhaps most importantly,
overhauled. Needing to win Ohio
every four years isnt just an accident
of history. Its a stinging indictment
of the Republicans diminishing
appeal.
And yet its not just the
Republicans who need to learn
lessons after Tuesday. Obamas first
term promised much but quickly
became insular, confrontational and
partisan. This breeds hostility and
gridlock, not a legacy. Americans
expect their President to be above
that. In trying times like these, the
office requires it.
Ewan Watt is a Washington, D.C.-based
consultant. You can follow him on Twitter
@ewancwatt
THE WHITE
HOUSE RACE
EWAN WATT
The President has a mandate but must now battle the second term curse
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THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
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to share your opinion on? We want to hear your views.
Email theforum@cityam.com or comment at cityam.com/forum
Divided State
[Re: So much for the election. Now America
must regain its mojo, yesterday]
This article is correct. The closeness of this
election (a clear reminder that America is
still a highly divided country) does nothing
to resolve which direction the US should
take. With 48 per cent of the electorate
behind Romney, theres no decisive appetite
among voters for the US to move away from
free market capitalism. But fierce
partisanship also has an unhappy side.
Theres also no appetite for compromise
vital if US leaders are to resolve the
impending fiscal cliff. Democrats and
Republicans must recognise that neither has
a clear mandate to impose their views on
the rest of the country.
Matthew Brawl
Regional growth
[Re: Monetary union is clipping the wings of
regions outside the dynamic South,
yesterday]
Britains regions dont just need new
infrastructure connections to drag them out
of economic stagnation. They need to be
able to set their own tax rates, to liberalise
their own business regulations, and to make
themselves more attractive to investors. This
would be better for all of us. London and the
South East may currently be dynamic
enough to support other regions through
internal transfers. But if we persist with the
burdensome levels of taxation that these
transfers involve, that dynamism could
easily disappear to other more attractive
locations.
Richard Sedgwick
T
HE fortunes of UK financial
services hang in the balance,
as the future of a European
banking union is resolved. If
we make the right choices
now, this could be an opportunity to
secure advantages for Britain.
By some measures, financial servic-
es account for 10 per cent of our GDP
and over 10 per cent of our tax take.
Our financial services also contribute
significantly to the EU; they make up
36 per cent of the EU wholesale mar-
ket and 61 per cent of the EUs net
exports in financial services.
But since the financial crisis, some
EU politicians have publicly blamed
Anglo-Saxon capitalism for the con-
sequences of their own profligate
government spending. There are
now 49 EU regulations and measures
coming down the pipeline, many
aimed at restricting financial servic-
es activity.
With impending banking union,
there is a real risk that Eurozone
countries will begin to act as a bloc;
outvoting the UK on financial issues,
particularly in the European
Banking Authority, which already
gives the Eurozone a majority
through qualified majority voting.
We need a robust response. This
months negotiations over banking
union offer a once-in-a lifetime
opportunity for the UK to secure pro-
tections and advantages for UK finan-
cial services. We should be looking
for three commitments in return for
consenting to European banking
union.
First, legal safeguards for the Single
Market must be introduced to ensure
Eurozone members cannot put up
protectionist barriers against British
financial products and services.
Second, we must secure an emer-
gency brake for the UK in recogni-
tion of the strategic importance of
the sector. This should allow Britain
TOP TWEETS
Im sceptical of grand theories about
Obamas victory. The vote was close. Both
campaigns had strengths and weaknesses.
@SamuelCoates
The first thing on Obamas to-do list is the
fiscal cliff. A series of postponed decisions
are coming due in January.
@j_w_wilson
Whatever you think about Obama, hes
certainly inspirational. If only there was a
similar politician in Britain.
@littlebig_voice
Hopefully the Republican House of
Representatives can hold the United States
together for four more years.
@realDonaldTrump
Will a second presidential term for Obama
improve prospects for the global economy?
YES
Markets like certainty, and the fact that President Obama won a
definitive victory must be taken positively. With little change in
the make-up of Congress, there is a good chance for a resolution
to the issue of the fiscal cliff before the end of the year. However,
the fiscal cliff may turn out to be just a distraction: even if
politicians manage to find a short-term solution, investors are
likely to turn their attention back to the fundamental outlook,
which is far from resolved. Tough negotiations could lead to a
drop in equity prices, and although valuations are not as
attractive as they were a year ago, that could represent a good
buying opportunity. We may have to wait until next year for
longer-term fiscal challenges to be addressed. With Obama in his
last term, and the Republicans failing to seize the Senate, there is
scope for compromise and substantive agreements.
Dan Morris is global strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management.
Dan Morris
NO
Ishaq Siddiqi
Although Obamas victory in the election has removed political
uncertainty, the political and economic challenges facing the US
are still concerning. US stock markets have not welcomed
Obamas victory as cheerfully as their European peers, which
seem content with the fact that no change in US leadership means
no change in the current Federal Reserve policy. However, the
unchanged balance of power is likely to mean gridlock in
Washington, and confidence over Obamas ability to negotiate a
solution to the looming fiscal cliff is still low. Action towards
resolving the issue is unlikely to be decisive, and the upshot is
that 5 per cent could be wiped off US GDP in 2013 dragging its
economy back into a recession. Investors are likely to react with
caution going into the year-end, and this could negatively impact
the US dollar.
Ishaq Siddiqi is market strategist at ETX Capital.
RAPIDresponses
EU banking union
is a vital moment
to defend finance
to halt damaging financial services
directives, referring them to the
European Council where there is the
possibility of veto. Such an arrange-
ment would, for example, allow us to
resist the European Central Banks
proposal for all clearing houses deal-
ing in sizeable amounts of euro-
denominated business to be located
in the Eurozone.
The third is to secure agreement to
expand opportunities for the finan-
cial services within the EU and out-
side. The UK should continue to push
for the completion of the single mar-
ket, especially in services. We should
also seek a binding commitment
from the European Commission to
secure free trade agreements for
financial services in developing mar-
kets. Far from being shackled in a
global market place by EU financial
services legislation, we should use
the EU to open up markets for
European financial services business-
es.
There is no doubt about the Prime
Ministers support for the financial
services industry. He nailed his
colours firmly to the mast in Brussels
last December, when he exercised
the UK veto. And the governments
resolve is just as strong today. This is
great news for the industry and the
wider economy and for the country
as a whole. And I, one of many, stand
ready to back the Prime Minister as
he resumes battle in Brussels later
this month.
Andrea Leadsom is Conservative MP for
South Northamptonshire.
ANDREA LEADSOM
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T
HE investment management
certificate (IMC) is both a
foundation for those with
future plans for the chartered
financial analyst (CFA) programme,
and a qualification that
demonstrates regulatory
competence. Run by the CFA Society
of the UK, roughly 6,000 students sit
the exam each year, and its
appropriate for anyone entering an
investment-related role, be it
investment management or a
support function.
It doesnt have a market monopoly,
however. There are other qualifica-
tions available, such as the papers on
investment management from the
Chartered Institute for Securities and
Investment. But for those at the
more junior end of the asset manage-
ment job market or for graduates, the
IMC acts as a differentiator and will
increase a candidates chances of
securing a role, advises Colin
Webster, co-founder of Bruin
Going back to the exam
room can boost a career
Financial recruitment.
The IMC tests candidates knowledge
and understanding of markets,
accounting, economics and statistics.
Its a good all-rounder for anyone in
financial services who would benefit
from better understanding the mar-
ket context, or as a warm up to the
CFA, says Carolyn Valahu of
Morningstar.
But it can be hard work. Unit one
costs 220 and delegates will typically
need to spend 30 hours studying to
complete; unit two costs 215 and will
require 40 hours of study. So it is
worth it?
Statistical analysis carried out inter-
nally by Bruin found that it has signed
up 3,060 candidates with an IMC qual-
ification over the past two years. The
recruitment agencys success rate in
getting these candidates interviews
with its clients was 29 per cent higher
than for investment management
candidates without this qualification.
Additionally, in the UK many job
No time for last minute cramming
Annabel Palmer on taking the investment management certificate
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
24
cityam.com
BUSINESSEDUCATION
peer support. But, says Valahu, feed-
back from Morningstar staff who have
studied for the IMC suggests that most
get along just using the online
resources and the IMC self-study mate-
rials.
But, if you already have a good track
record in operations roles and dont
have the IMC qualification, there is lit-
tle benefit adding it to your CV.
Experience outweighs the qualifica-
tion, Webster believes. And for those
looking to move into the front office,
the CFA programme is a more rele-
vant qualification.
Indeed, where the IMC would be con-
sidered a basic foundation course,
which can be completed in a short
space of time, someone fully CFA qual-
ified is very well regarded, says Aoife
Crawford, director at CuttingHedge
recruitment. There has recently been
a huge growth in candidates across
the board who are either part or fully
CFA qualified, from sales people
through to the analysts.
So if you are contemplating complet-
ing the more intensive CFA pro-
gramme, the investment of time and
hours spent studying may be worth it.
functions in financial services require
a formal qualification endorsed by the
FSA. This is exactly what the IMC
offers. According to Jeremy Smith,
head of benchmark examinations at
Kaplan Financial, the IMC is a recog-
nised qualification which is common-
ly undertaken as a regulatory
benchmark. And after the credit
crunch, the unit on investment envi-
ronment is of particular importance
to employers. Clients want credibility,
and employers want to hire people
who have a good understanding of the
risks, the regulations, and who under-
stand how important professionalism
and ethics are, advises Nicole
Haroutunian of the CFA Institute.
The workload is challenging but
realistic, says Craig Hurring, director
at the CFA Society of the UK. How you
prepare for the exam depends entirely
on your circumstances and personal
study preferences. Studying through
the training companies is definitely a
benefit for the guided instruction and
LIFE&STYLE
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
25
cityam.com
FASHION
BY NAOMI MDUDU
L
EATHER IS having quite a
moment. You might be
thinking: when did it ever
disappear? But if you cast your
mind back a couple of seasons,
youll remember all the lightweight,
colour-blocked fabrics that captured
everyones imagination jackets
that looked like they should have
come with a bike were nowhere to
be seen.
But with the weather changing,
you might be thinking about
investing in the trusted wardrobe
staple again to tide you over in the
colder months. If so, Belstaff could
be the way to go but be warned, I
say investment for good reason.
The brands latest collection of
made-to-order crocodile skin leather
jackets for men and women are
priced from 45,000 the price of
your childs university degree and
then some. Nonetheless, they are
pretty spectacular.
The jackets are the perfect nod to
the labels history, while also feeling
incredibly modern, as you would
expect with a price point like that.
While the prices might seem out of
this world, the introduction of the
exclusive, made to order service
makes sense. Even the most
commercially solid brands are
facing the conundrum of how to
increase profits and expand
without becoming too mainstream,
so creating such premium pieces
deals with the threat of some D-list
celebrity wearing one and ruining
the image.
Its long overdue. Ever since the
label launched in 1924, reinventing
the biker jacket by introducing a
waterproof breathable wax cotton
style, it hasnt done anything
particularly ground breaking or
memorable. In fact, youre probably
more familiar with seeing the
brand on the big screen (on the
back of Tom Cruise, Will Smith or,
most recently, Daniel Craig in
Skyfall), than spotting people
wearing it on the streets.
The strength of its latest offering
is a result of a number of things.
Two years ago the label was bought
by Swiss conglomerate Labelux and,
shortly afterwards, successful
American businessmen Harry
Stakin was confirmed as its new
chief executive, bringing along good
friend Tommy Hilfiger to serve as an
adviser on the board. Its biggest
weapon, though, is Martin Cooper.
Having worked at Burberry for 16
years, leaving his role as its vice
president and director of outerwear,
it should come as no surprise that
many have dubbed him the king of
outerwear.
With him on side, be prepared to
see a lot more Belstaff both on and
off screen.
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There is more
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movie fodder
After a revamp, the brand is back with a new
look and it is stunning. Just dont expect to get
any change from 45,000 for one of their jackets
The womens made to order styles come in crocodile skins The menswear jackets range from bikers to more traditional styles
How the 4th
gen iPad
measures up
THE SURPRISE package in the Apple
announcements last month was the
news there would be an update to
the 3rd generation iPad.
Apple says it will continue to sell
the iPad 2 (starting price 329) but
will replace the new iPad (which is
now the old iPad this naming
business is getting rather
complicated...) with the 4th gen
model.
The new, new iPad comes with an
updated processor capable of
running up to twice as fast as its
predecessor, 4G capability in the UK
(on selected models) and uses
Apples new Lightning connector.
We lined the two models up head-
to-head for a speed test and the new
version does come out a clear
winner. Its not that the old version
isnt already pretty speedy, but the
4th generation is
certainly a step
up, albeit an
incremental
one.
If you already
own a 3rd
generation
iPad, there
isnt enough
extra here to
make you
upgrade.
But if youre
an iPad 2
owner (or, dare I say it, another
brand of tablet altogether), this is
yet another reason to take the leap.
By Steve Dinneen
Halo 4 sees you resume the role of the Master Chief super-soldier
nWHO IS IT FOR? People who want a
cheaper jumping off point into the tablet
world than the 399 iPad but still want
Apples seal of quality; people with very big
pockets or very small bags; anyone who
needs a lightweight tool for presenting.
n WHATS IT GOT GOING FOR IT? It is
incredibly light, has a surprising amount of
screen space and is 130 cheaper than the
entry-level iPad.
n WHAT ARE ITS DRAWBACKS? Its too
big to fit in your pocket; has no retina display.
IN SUMMARY
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
cityam.com
26 LIFE&STYLE TECHNOLOGY
Halo 4: as much fun as
you can have on an Xbox
Small but perfectly
formed: we put
the iPad Mini
through its paces
Apples latest tablet is a thing of beauty.
But is that enough, asks Steve Dinneen
H
ALO ISNT just a video game
its a gigantic, multimedia
behemoth, crushing all in its
path under its metal-plated
boots. Since the original Halo
launched on Microsofts first Xbox,
the franchise has grown to fill an
entire universe, with spin-offs
including an animated web series, a
graphic novel and an encyclopedia
full of Halo lore.
The insatiable appetite for the sci-
fi epic has made it one of the most
successful series ever created, in any
format (if the latest title doesnt
gross $1bn, Ill eat my Xbox).
And, like any successful franchise,
Microsoft knows how to keep its
fanbase lusting after more. Halo 3
was released in 2008 and fans have
been forced to settle for spin-off
titles, including Halo Wars, a real-
time strategy game set in the Halo
universe, and Halo 3: ODST, which
sees players take the role of a new
protagonist, further fleshing out the
operatic back-story.
Halo 4, then, has a lot to live up to.
And, if youre a fan of the series, you
A
PPLES GREAT skill lies in
creating products you didnt
know you needed. Nobody
thought they wanted a little
metal box with all their music on it,
but when it arrived, the world went
all doe-eyed and declared its
undying love. Tablets had been
around for years and made no
impact on the public consciousness.
Fingerprints, we complained.
What about all the fingerprints?
And then came the iPad. Enough
said.
Now, in the face of the first
serious encroachment into Apples
near-monopoly of the tablet market
by a new generation of seven inch
devices, comes the iPad Mini: a form
factor Steve Jobs infamously
rejected as being too small.
Apple really needed to work its
magic this time, too, because, as an
iPad owner, Im inclined to agree
with Steve Jobs. Sure, the iPad Mini
is cool that goes without saying
but where does it fit into my life?
Id assumed it would be
marginally bigger than my Kindle
Touch but there is actually a huge
amount of extra screen space. At 7.9
inches, it feels more closely related
to the iPad than, say, the 5.3 inch
Galaxy Note. The extra space
helped along by the tiny bevel
around the screen means
watching movies or playing games
that require a lot of screen space
(such as the wonderfully addictive
Solipskier) never feels cramped.
This also has its drawbacks: in my
mac test (and by mac I mean the
type of jacket favoured by FBI agents
and flashers, rather than Apples
range of computers), my Kindle fits
snugly into the over-sized breast
pocket, but the Mini is far too big.
This may seem like an arbitrary
criticism, but the ability to carry
the Kindle in your pocket is part of
its appeal to commuters if you
need to carry it in your bag, why not
just go for the standard iPad?
It is, though, incredibly
wont be disappointed. It goes down
as one of the most stunning games
Ive ever seen: from the incredibly
animated cinematic opening
sequence to the wonderfully
rendered alien landscapes, it is
relentlessly pretty.
The single-player game relies far
more on tactics than previous
iterations. Gone are the days when
you could jump headlong into the
action and hope to survive. Even on
normal difficulty, this is a sure-fire
way of ending up skewered on an
Energy Sword. The plot which, lets
face it, isnt the primary reason for
playing is engaging
enough and the voice
acting is at least as
adept as your
standard Hollywood
popcorn blockbuster.
It suffers from
the same
problem that
has niggled at
me
throughout
the lifespan
of the
franchise, in
that the regularity
of checkpoints drain
some of the tension if
you die (and you will
die, rather a lot), you
know youll be able to restart from a
couple of minutes back. The flip-side
is you dont spend hours wading
through the same parts of the game,
which gives it a refreshing pick-up-
and-play feel.
Multi-player, though, is the reason
most fans tune in the mode that
drives grown men to sit in the dark
wearing wi-fi headsets so they can
discuss tactics with remote team-
mates. And it is about as much fun
as you can have on a console. The
levels are brilliantly designed and
the combat system, honed over more
than a decade, makes encounters
feel satisfyingly controlled.
But best of all, you really
feel involved in the action.
Every well directed gun-
shot, every kamikaze attack,
every time someone crept
up behind me and
punched me in the back
of the head had me
giggling with
delight. And,
really, what more
could you ask for
in an action
game?
light. The lack of a retina
display (meaning the resolution
is the same as the iPad 2 but less
crisp than the latest iPhones or the
new iPad) means Apple has been
able to throw out a lot of the bigger
versions weight (for the lowdown on
the updated iPad see our review, right). If
youre working on a presentation,
for example, and need a
combination of screen size and
portability, this would be ideal.
All things considered, the iPad
Mini is yet another wonderfully
crafted device but one that feels like
it exists to plug a gap in the market
rather than a gap in your life.
iPad Mini, from 269, apple.com/uk
GAME
HALO 4
Xbox 360 | By Steve Dinneen
hhhhh
28
TV & GAMES
cityam.com
T
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BBC1
SKY SPORTS 1
6pmLive ATP World Tour Finals
Tennis 10pmThe Footballers
Football Show11.30pmPremier
League World 11.55pm-6amLive
Test Cricket
SKY SPORTS 2
7pmAmericas Cup Discovered
7.30pmPremier League World
8pmThe Rugby Club 9pmRingside
10pmWWE: Late Night Raw
12amWWE: NXT 1amLive NFL
4.30amSky Sports Classics
5am-6amLive European Tour Golf
SKY SPORTS 3
6pmLive PGA Tour Golf 9pm
European Tour Golf 11pm
Ringside 12amAmericas Cup
Discovered 12.30amThe
Footballers Football Show2am
Ringside 3am-4amThe Rugby
Club
BRITISH EUROSPORT
7pmInside WTCC 7.30pm
MotoGP 11.30pm-12.35am
Poker
ESPN
5.30pmLive UEFA Europa
League Football 8pmLive UEFA
Europa League Football 10.15pm
French Ligue 1 Preview10.45pm
ESPN Kicks: Extra 11pmESPN
FC Press Pass 11.30pmGoal!
Bundesliga Preview12amUEFA
Europa League Highlights 2am
French Ligue 1 Preview2.30am
Global Rallycross Championship
4amDTM Motor Racing 5am
Goal! Bundesliga Preview
5.30am-6amFIBA Basketball
SKY LIVING
7pmCriminal Minds 8pm
Americas Next Top Model 9pm
FILMLegends of the Fall 1994.
11.40pmBones 12.40amGreys
Anatomy 1.40amSupernatural
2.40amMedium3.30amBones
4.20amCriminal Minds
5.10am-6amPassport Patrol
BBC THREE
7pmTop Gear 8pmDont Tell the
Bride Goes Global 9pmRussell
Howards Good News 9.30pm
Some Girls 10pmWilfred
10.20pmGreat Movie Mistakes
10.30pmEastEnders 11pm
Family Guy 11.45pmAmerican
Dad! 12.30amRussell Howards
Good News 1amSome Girls
1.30amWilfred 1.50amDont
Tell the Bride Goes Global
2.50am Unzipped
3.35am-4.05amSome Girls
E4
7pmHollyoaks 7.30pmHow I
Met Your Mother 8.30pmThe
Big Bang Theory 9pm2 Broke
Girls 9.30pmNew Girl 10pmBig
Fat Quiz of the 00s 11.40pmThe
Big Bang Theory 12.35amThe IT
Crowd 1.10amThe Work
Experience 1.40amHow I Met
Your Mother 2.05amScrubs
2.30amBig Fat Quiz of the 00s
4am90210 4.40am-6am
Switched
HISTORY
7pmStorage Wars 7.30pmPawn
Stars 8pmSwamp People 9pm
Ice Road Truckers 10pmStorage
Wars 10.30pmStorage Wars:
Texas 11pmStorage Wars
11.30pmPawn Stars 12amIce
Road Truckers 1amStorage Wars
1.30amStorage Wars: Texas
2amAmerican Pickers 3amAx
Men 4amSwamp People 5am
Pawn Stars 5.30am-6am
American Restoration
DISCOVERY
7pmOne Car Too Far 8pm
Wheeler Dealers 9pmBattle
Castle with Dan Snow10pm
How We Invented The World
11pmWheeler Dealers 12am
Battle Castle with Dan Snow
1amHow We Invented The
World 2amAmerican Guns 3am
Battle Castle with Dan Snow
3.50amHow We Invented The
World 4.40amDiscovery Atlas:
Mexico Revealed 5.30am-6am
Meerkat Manor
DISCOVERY HOME &
HEALTH
7pmDr Oz 8pmSecretly
Pregnant 9pmMy Deadly
Appetite 10pmEmbarrassing
Bodies 11pmHoarding: Buried
Alive 12amMy Deadly Appetite
1amWanted Down Under 2am
Embarrassing Bodies 3am
Hoarding: Buried Alive 4amA
Baby Story 5am-6amBirth Days
SKY1
8pmThe Middle 8.30pm
Modern Family 9pmSpy 9.30pm
Trollied 10pmA League of Their
Own 11pmRoad Wars 1am
NCIS: Los Angeles 1.55amBrit
Cops: Frontline Crime UK 2.50am
Road Wars 4.10am-6am
Brainiac: Science Abuse
BBC2 ITV1 CHANNEL4 CHANNEL5
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6pmBBC News
6.30pmBBC London News
7pmThe One Show
7.30pmEastEnders: BBC News
8pmYoung Apprentice
9pmCHOICE Hunted
10pmBBC News
10.25pmRegional News
10.35pmQuestion Time
11.35pmThis Week
12.20amHoliday Weatherview
12.25amSign Zone: Gambling
Nation Panorama 12.55amSign
Zone: Countryfile 1.55amSign
Zone: Antiques to the Rescue
2.55amSign Zone: Planet Earth
Live: A Tale of Three Bears
3.55am-6amBBC News
6pmEggheads
6.30pmStrictly Come Dancing
It Takes Two
7pmThe Dark: Natures
Nighttime World
8pmMasterChef: The
Professionals: Six chefs battle
it out in the quarter-final.
9pmCHOICE Great
Continental Railway Journeys
10pmHebburn
10.30pmNewsnight: Weather
11.20pmDara O Briains
Science Club
12.20amThe Culture Show
12.50am BBC News
4am-6amBBC Learning Zone
6pmLondon Tonight
6.30pmITV News
7pmEmmerdale
7.30pmThe Best Start in Life?:
Tonight
8pmEmmerdale
8.30pmEmmerdale at 40
9pmDCI Banks
10pmITV News at Ten
10.30pmLondon News
10.35pmCorfu: A Tale of Two
Islands
11.05pmThe Jonathan Ross Show
12.05amJackpot247 3amThe
Best Start in Life?: Tonight 3.25am
ITV Nightscreen 4.35am-5.30am
The Jeremy Kyle Show
6pmThe Simpsons 6.30pm
Hollyoaks 7pmChannel 4 News
7.55pm4thought.tv
8pmCHOICE Kirsties Vintage
Home
9pmFILMThe Inbetweeners
Movie: 2011.
11.05pmThe Inbetweeners Top 10
Moments 12.05amRandom Acts
12.10am999: Whats Your
Emergency? 1.10amEmbarrassing
Bodies Special 2.05amThe Great
British Property Scandal: Every
Empty Counts 3amUnreported
World 3.25amNuclear War Games:
Channel 4 Dispatches 3.55amDeal
or No Deal 4.50amCountdown
5.35am-6amMake Do & Mend
6pmHome and Away
6.30pm5 News at 6.30
7pmRolfs Animal Clinic: Two
pythons are given MRI scans; 5
News Update
8pmWW1s Tunnels of Death:
The Big Dig: 5 News at 9
9pmHatfields & McCoys
10pmFILMThe Contractor:
Thriller, with Wesley Snipes,
Charles Dance, Lena Headey
and Iain Robertson. 2007.
12.05amSuperCasino
3.55amHouseBusters 4.20am
House Doctor 4.45amMichaelas
Wild Challenge 5.10amNicks
Quest 5.35am-6amWildlife SOS
Fill the grid so that each
block adds up to the total
in the box above or to the
left of it.
You can only use the
digits1-9 and you must not
use the same digit twice in
a block. The same digit may
occur more than once in a
row or column, but it must
be in a separate block.
COFFEE BREAK
Using only the letters in the Wordwheel, you have
ten minutes to nd as many words as possible,
none of which may be plurals, foreign words or
proper nouns. Each word must be of three letters
or more, all must contain the central letter and
letters can only be used once in every word. There
is at least one nine-letter word in the wheel.
Place the numbers from 1 to 9 in each empty cell so that
each row, each column and each 3x3 block contains all the
numbers from 1 to 9 to solve this tricky Sudoku puzzle.
Copyright Puzzle Press Ltd, www.puzzlepress.co.uk
KAKURO
QUICK CROSSWORD
LAST ISSUES
SOLUTIONS
KAKURO
WORDWHEEL
SUDOKU
SUDOKU
QUICK CROSSWORD
WORDWHEEL
1 2 3 4 5 6
7 8
9 10 11
12 13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20
13 17
27 12
17 29
4 6 14
22
45
21
12 3 13
16 14
28 21
10 14
10
15
10
37
10
23
5
30
5
15
13
28
20
11
16
29
4
21
11
24
11
7
3
ACROSS
1 Pointed
projection on
a fork (5)
4 Diversion
requiring physical
exertion (5)
7 Participant in
some activity (7)
8 Metal container
(3)
9 Arctic marten (5)
11 Fragment (5)
12 Popular board
game (5)
14 Cut-price
events (5)
16 Encountered (3)
17 Lodger (7)
19 Discontinue (5)
20 Rub out (5)
DOWN
1 Machine used for
printing (5)
2 Select as an
alternative (3)
3 Wine-making fruit (5)
4 Assemble (3,2)
5 Porridge ingredient (7)
6 Unit of weight
equivalent to 1000
kilograms (5)
10 Drink given to people
who are ill (4,3)
12 Childs magazine (5)
13 Cavalry sword (5)
14 Ordered series (5)
15 Bout, period of
indulgence (5)
18 Chemical which
carries genetic
information (inits) (3)
S
V
G
L
R I
N
E
O
4
4
4
4
B A I T S A C H E T
O A N T I V
S C A B Y O N D E R
N L L N
I M P E R V I O U S
A I I R C
P E R C E P T I V E
L R A N
C A L V E S P A S S
Z P A R E U
H A T R E D R A Y S
6 3 9 4 7 9 3
9 8 1 5 2 4 8 1
6 5 1 3 6 4 2
7 5 8 9 7 5
6 9 7 3 1 5
4 1 6 8 9 2 7 5 3
8 9 7 8 6 9
8 6 9 7 2 1
2 1 4 5 3 5 3
4 2 6 4 3 2 1 7
1 3 3 1 2 4 9
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
The nine-letter word was
MORALISED
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BBC1 BBC2 ITV1 CHANNEL4 CHANNEL5
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
HUNTED
BBC1, 9PM
Sam suspects Jack Turner intends to
assassinate Fatima Zahir, a Pakistani
presidential candidate opposed to the
sale of the dam.
GREAT CONTINENTAL RAILWAY
JOURNEYS BBC2, 9PM
Michael Portillo retraces journeys
featured in Bradshaws Continental
Railway Guide of 1913, beginning by
travelling from London to Monte Carlo.
KIRSTIES VINTAGE HOME
CHANNEL 4, 8PM
In this first of a new series, Kirstie
Allsopp looks to the past for inspiration
as she helps families transform their
neglected and cluttered homes.
TVPICK
LONDON 2012 chairman Lord Coe
has vowed to build on the runaway
success of this years Games after
being confirmed as head of the
British Olympic Association (BOA).
Coe, who succeeds Lord Moynihan
as chairman, was elected unopposed
for a four-year term after his only
rival, British Hockey chief Richard
Leman, withdrew last month.
Following the tremendous
impact of the London 2012 Games,
the BOA has an important role to
play in ensuring the growth of the
Olympic movement throughout the
UK and the continued success and
support of Team GB at future
Olympic Games, said Coe.
Former gold medal-winning
athlete Coe led Londons bid to host
the Olympics and then ran the
organising committee for the event
itself, which was widely hailed as
one of the greatest of all time.
Prime Minister David Cameron,
who in August appointed Coe legacy
ambassador, welcomed the former
Conservative MPs latest role.
He said: Seb Coe demonstrated
inspirational leadership in
delivering the best ever Olympic and
Paralympic Games this summer and
as a double Olympic gold medallist
himself there can be no better choice
for BOA chairman.
PM welcomes
Coes latest
Olympic role
Mancini needs to win title again to keep job
IN BRIEF
Hodgson out for six weeks
n RUGBY UNION: Saracens have
suffered a blow after in-form fly-half
Charlie Hodgson was ruled out for six
weeks with a fractured cheekbone. The
sure-kicking former England No10, who
has amassed 90 points this season,
suffered the injury in Sundays 29-24
Aviva Premiership win over Wasps.
Olympic Stadium move delayed
n GENERAL: Londons Olympic
Stadium will not reopen until at least
late 2015, a year later than originally
planned, the man in charge of deciding
its future confirmed yesterday. London
Legacy Development Corporation chief
Denis Hone also revealed there had
been no bid for tenancy from any
American Football franchises, despite
Mayor Boris Johnson holding talks with
NFL chiefs. West Ham remain clear
favourites to move into the stadium.
Ice baths bad for you, say experts
n GENERAL: Taking an ice bath after
exercise may do more harm than good,
according to new research. Scientists
from the University of Portsmouth
found immersion in cold water was no
more effective in stimulating recovery
than light warm-down exercise, while
plunging into ice could be dangerous.
Our results show they dont work,
said lead author Jo Corbett. They also
pose a number of potentially serious
health risks.
FOOTBALL
COMMENT
TREVOR STEVEN
SWANN FLIES HOME FROM INDIA TOUR FOR ILL DAUGHTER
HARLEQUINS prop Joe Marler
believes England are ready to
hammer their opponents in this
months internationals, having
emerged stronger from a hiding of
their own in the summer.
Marler, who is set to win his
fourth cap on Saturday against Fiji,
cites going 22-3 down to South Africa
in the second Test in Johannesburg
as the crucible in which their spirit
was forged.
That 20-minute period was a
turning point in the tightness of the
South Africa drubbing made us
stronger, says Englands Marler
group and the guys coming together
as a team and wanting to dig deep
for each other in the darkest places,
he said.
Physically it is a massive step up
and you know that if you are not on
your game they will just keep
coming and keep coming. That is the
sort of attitude we have in our
group. We just want to keep
hammering the opposition, keep
going, keep going because if they
ease off we will take the chance.
Englands clash with Fiji precedes
fixtures against Australia, South
Africa and New Zealand.
BY FRANK DALLERES
BY FRANK DALLERES
SPORT
29
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
cityam.com
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NCE again Roberto Mancini
was quick to divert attention
from his own failings and
blame the referee after
Tuesdays draw with Ajax pushed
Manchester City closer to another
embarrassing Champions League
elimination.
He was similarly blinkered when
City were well beaten by the same
opponents in Amsterdam last
month, emphasising the uphill
struggle they would face to qualify
rather than his teams glaring
deficiencies.
Mancinis evasiveness when
queries are raised about his sides
failures begs the question: does he
see them and refuse to acknowledge
them, or is he blind to their lack of
focus, concentration and desire?
Moaning about decisions in their
latest European disappointment is
like crying over spilt milk. It was
nigh-on impossible for City to reach
the last 16 even if they beat Ajax.
He has talked about being found
out in the Champions League
because theyre not used to that
level. Thats tosh City are man-for-
man better than most squads and
should walk the group stage.
The fact is that Mancini, while
enjoying great success in the Italian
and English top flight, has a poor
record in European competition, and
it is creating huge pressure for him.
He more or less has to retain the
Premier League now if he wants to
save his job. Even then it would be
touch and go and he would only
have succeeded in treading water.
You could argue hes a victim of
his own success. Nobody at City
really believed they would win the
title last season, but they did, and
now even doing it again wont feel
like progress.
To make matters worse for
Mancini, a huge shadow has been
cast over his future by the arrival of
Txiki Begiristain, the former
Barcelona director of football now
occupying the same role at
Eastlands.
CONSPIRACY THEORIES
With Pep Guardiola, the coach
credited with moulding the
universally adored Barca team,
rumoured to be ready to return to
management next year in England,
the conspiracy theories will go into
overdrive. Begiristain has seen
Guardiolas work and its fruits
first hand, while Mancini might
have won the league but has only got
City playing anything like as
attractive football early last season.
If Mancini runs away with the
title, Begiristain cant say too much.
But any other outcome and you cant
tell me that Citys ultra-ambitious
owners wont be asking him what
Pep would do.
Im fascinated to see whether
Mancinis players rally for him now.
If they are 100 per cent behind him
they will go on a strong run and
start playing, but at the moment,
like his post-match remarks, they
remain unconvincing.
Trevor Steven is former England
footballer who played in two World Cups
and two European Championships. He
now acts as a scout and media
commentator.
ENGLAND will be without at least three
of their favoured four-man bowling
attack in todays final warm-up match
before the Test series in India after
spinner Graeme Swann flew home last
night. The 33-year-old left the squad
to be at the bedside of his ill daughter
but is expected to return for the first
Test in seven days time. Pacemen
Stuart Broad and Steven Finn will miss
the tour match against Haryana due to
injury and are doubtful for the Test.
MANCHESTER United came from a
goal down to score three times in the
last 10 minutes and clinch a place in
the Champions League knockout
stage after a floodlight failure
caused chaos in Portugal.
The Premier League leaders were
trailing to Alans 49th-minute
penalty when a power cut forced
both teams off the pitch for 10
minutes.
But substitute Robin van Persies
opportunistic strike, a Wayne
Rooney spot-kick and Javier
Hernandezs poachers effort
completed a dramatic turnaround
and secured top spot in Group H
with two games still to play.
Uniteds early qualification is a
welcome contrast to last years
campaign, when they suffered a
shock elimination at the group
stage. Yet their prospects of reaching
the last 16 so quickly did not look
healthy when Jonny Evans body-
checked Custodio and Alan gave
goalkeeper David de Gea little
chance with a powerful rising
penalty.
The floodlight failure soon after
gave Sir Alex Ferguson the ideal
chance to reorganise and he sent on
Rio Ferdinand for Evans at centre-
back, before soon replacing Danny
Welbeck with Van Persie.
Uniteds top scorer notched his
third European goal of the season
when Braga goalkeeper Beto came
rushing out to intercept a long ball,
only to change his mind and watch
Van Persie bend an early shot past
him. Rooney picked himself up after
being felled by Nuno Coelho to
convert the second, and Hernandez
continued his recent hot streak by
stabbing in at the second attempt in
stoppage time.
United hit back
to win group
after blackout
CHELSEA manager Roberto di Matteo
admitted his side had needed a slice
of luck after substitute Victor Moses
struck in the fourth minute of stop-
page time to give their Champions
League defence a huge boost.
Twice the Blues had led, through
Fernando Torres and then Oscars vir-
tuoso strike, but twice they were
pegged back by Willian, a player they
have trailed, and a dazzling Shakhtar
Donetsk team.
But with all three allotted minutes
of added time played, Moses was left
unmarked for Juan Matas corner and
the 21-year-old headed the winner
past error-prone visiting goalkeeper
Andriy Pyatov.
While they still face a nervy final
two rounds of Group E fixtures, not
least their next match against
Juventus in Turin, the win keeps
them in second place and hopeful of
reaching the last 16.
In terms of the timing of the win-
ning goal I would agree there was an
element of luck, said Di Matteo,
whose men suffered a damaging 2-1
defeat to the same opponents in
Ukraine two weeks ago.
But, playing against a good team, I
thought we deserved to win because
we did a lot of good things and we put
them under pressure, especially in
the first half.
That is how we scored the first two
goals, we applied pressure, so I think
we deserved to win ultimately.
Moses propels
Chelsea closer
to promised
land of last 16
Torres gave Chelsea the ideal start
in the sixth minute when Pyatov
hastily rolled out to his full-back, col-
lected the return pass and attempted
a hurried clearance, only for it to rico-
chet past him and in off the charging
Spain strikers feet.
Shakhtar equalised just three min-
utes later, however, when two of their
Brazilians combined, Fernandinho
surging past two defenders into the
penalty area and pulling back for
Willian to side-foot home.
Pyatov gifted Chelsea a second just
before half-time when he careered
out of his area and headed straight to
Oscar, who controlled with his chest
and despatched a languid volley over
the stranded keeper from 40 yards.
Di Matteo opted against starting
captain John Terry following his
domestic four-match ban due to fit-
ness concerns, while the home
defence also missed the injured
Ashley Cole, who might have prevent-
ed Darijo Srna escaping down the
right to tee up Willians second four
minutes after the restart. Shakhtars
Razvan Rat struck a post before, with
hopes of three points seemingly lost,
Moses grabbed the latest of winners.
Celtic stun European aristocrats Barcelona after
teenager Watt provides anniversary present
CELTIC manager Neil Lennon
hailed the perfect 125th
anniversary present after his men
produced a huge upset to defeat
Barcelona in Glasgow.
Kenyan midfielder Victor
Wanyama headed the Bhoys in
front in the first half and teenage
substitute Tony Watt wrapped up
the monumental victory late on.
Lionel Messi scored an injury-
time consolation for the Catalans,
but it could not spoil Celtics night
as the club celebrated its birthday.
It is right up there as one of the
proudest nights of my career, said
Lennon. It was a monumental
effort on the [125th] anniversary of
the club. I wanted them to do
justice tonight and they have
surpassed that and beaten the best
team in the world.
The victory gives Celtic a huge
chance of qualifying for the last 16,
with Lennons men three points
ahead of third-placed Benfica with
just two matches remaining.
Barca broke Celtic hearts with a
last-minute winner at Camp Nou
two weeks ago but there was to be
no repeat last night, with
goalkeeper Fraser Forster in
inspired form again.
Wanyama climbed highest to
meet Charlie Mulgrews corner and
plant a powerful header past Victor
Valdes. Eight minutes from time 18-
year-old Watt pounced on Xavis
slip and drilled home low.
Moses (centre) headed the decisive goal
in the fourth minute of added time after
Shakhtar twice pegged Chelsea back
Van Persie scored his third in Europe
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
30
SPORT
cityam.com/sport @cityam_sport
Man Utd 4 4 0 0 9 4 12
Galatasaray 4 1 1 2 4 5 4
CFR Cluj 4 1 1 2 5 6 4
Braga 4 1 0 3 5 8 3
GROUP H
TEAM PLD W D L F A PTS
Shakhtar 4 2 1 1 7 5 7
Chelsea 4 2 1 1 10 6 7
Juventus 4 1 3 0 8 4 6
Nordsjaelland 4 0 1 3 1 11 1
GROUP E
TEAM PLD W D L F A PTS
BRAGA........................................1
MANCHESTER UNITED................3
BY SPORTS DESK STAFF
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
CHELSEA.....................................3
SHAKHTAR DONETSK ................2
BY FRANK DALLERES
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Teenager Watt (left) hit Celtics second
CELTIC ........................................2
BARCELONA................................1
BY SPORTS DESK STAFF
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
31
TOTTENHAM manager Andre Villas-
Boas insists the loss to injury of sum-
mer signing Mousa Dembele is not to
blame for their recent slump in form.
Former Fulham star Dembele
helped Spurs string together four suc-
cess Premier League wins before
aggravating a hip problem while on
duty with Belgium.
Since then they have lost three and
drawn one from five games, but
Villas-Boas played down the midfield-
ers absence ahead of tonights
Europa League visit of Maribor.
We had good games without
Mousa, said the Portuguese.
Against Chelsea we lost Gareth
Bale and Mousa and we gave them a
run for their money even though
they were on an amazing run.
Good players are missed but this
squad is full of good players. I dont
think it has affected the tempo and
dynamic its more important to
have players fully concentrated.
Villas-Boas has decided against
sending Dembele for an operation, in
the hope that physiotherapy will heal
the 25-year-old in time for next
weeks derby at Arsenal.
Mancini must win the Premier League this
season if he wants to save his job. Even then it
would be touch and go
cityam.com
THURSDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2012
BY FRANK DALLERES
Millwall ban 13-year-old boy for racist abuse as
Spurs condemn calls to criminalise fan chants
MILLWALL have banned a 13-year-
old fan who racially abused
Boltons Marvin Sordell during a
match last month but issued a
strong denial that it was anything
other than an isolated incident.
The Championship club said the
boy had written to the 23-year-old
forward, who represented Team
GB at the London 2012 Olympics,
to apologise for the incident at the
New Den on 6 October.
Sordell used Twitter to complain
of abuse towards him and team-
mates Lee Chung-Yong, Benik
Afobe and Darren Pratley, but
Millwall condemned coverage
suggesting a wider problem.
These reports were made with
no knowledge of the facts and
created the impression that Bolton
players were subjected to racial
chanting or systematic abuse by
more than one individual, the club
said in a statement.
It is the latest racism controversy
to hit English football, following
allegations toward Chelseas John
Terry, Liverpools Luis Suarez and
referee Mark Clattenburg.
The Society of Black Lawyers
yesterday called for players guilty
of racism to be sacked and banned
for nine months. But Tottenham
hit back at another of its proposals,
that Spurs fans who proudly use
the term Yid should be reported
to police and treated no differently
to those who use it pejoratively.
The club does not tolerate any
form of racist or abusive chanting,
the club said. Our guiding
principle in respect of the Y-word
is based on the point of law itself
the distinguishing factor is the
intent with which it is used.
BY FRANK DALLERES
Tottenham dont depend on
Dembele, says Villas-Boas
BRITISH Tour de France champion
Bradley Wiggins suffered suspected
broken ribs in a collision with a van
while training last night.
Wiggins was thrown from his
saddle in the crash in
Wrightington, near the north
London-raised stars Lancashire
home, at around 6pm and taken by
ambulance to hospital, where he
stayed overnight. He is said to have
complained that he felt his ribs had
been broken, and hurt his hands
and wrists.
Team Sky confirmed the
accident, adding that his injuries
were not thought to be serious
and that he is expected to make a
full and speedy recovery.
The accident comes at the end of
a historic year for the popular 32-
year-old, who became the first
Briton to win the Tour de France.
He then became the first rider
ever to follow that with gold in the
Olympic road racing time trial,
which he won at Hampton Court in
south London.
The double achievement elevated
him to national hero status and he
remains the favourite to win the
BBCs Sports Personality of the Year
award next month, despite a host of
strong contenders.
Wiggins was being followed on
his training ride by his support
team, who rushed to his aid. The
collision is believed to have
occurred when the van pulled out
of a service station.
The Belgian-born Team Sky rider
is expected to play second fiddle in
next years Tour, where the
mountainous route is likely to
favour colleague and fellow Briton
Chris Froome.
BY FRANK DALLERES
BRITAINS Andy Murray rued
missed chances after his titanic
tussle with world No1 Novak
Djokovic left him one defeat away
from a premature exit from the
Barclays ATP World Tour Finals in
London yesterday.
Murray, who beat Djokovic in an
epic US Open final to win his
maiden grand slam earlier this
year, took the first set against the
Serb but was eventually out-fought
4-6, 6-3, 7-5 at the O2 Arena.
It leaves the Scot needing to beat
Frenchman Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in
his final group match tomorrow in
order to guarantee a place in the
last four, while Djokovic may also
need to beat Czech Tomas Berdych,
who defeated Tsonga last night, to
be certain of progressing.
An absorbing duel watched by
17,000 spectators was on a knife-
edge for much of its two and half
hours, until Djokovic broke Murray
and then saved two break points
while serving for the match.
The last two minutes of the
match is probably what decided it,
said Murray. He broke from 15-40
and then I had 15-40 next game and
didnt break, so that was the
moment that decided the match.
Victory for Djokovic gave him the
edge over his former juniors rival
Murray in their seven meetings this
year, which have become
increasingly captivating and titanic
contests.
I think both of us probably see
each others games pretty well
especially this year, because weve
played so much, Murray added.
You kind of know a little bit
what to expect. I think thats why
all the matches, especially the last
few, have been so close and decided
by a few points. The intensity of my
matches with him has been
extremely high this year.
But the one thing I would say is
this year I think both of us probably
have seen things in each others
games improve and thats why there
are a lot of long rallies and the
matches are incredibly tight.
Murray took the initiative with
an almost flawless first set and
earned an early chance to break in
the second at 1-1, but Djokovic rose
to the challenge and forced a
decider. Momentum swung
between the old foes in the final set
and Murray came within two points
of victory at 5-4, but Djokovic held
and then broke at the critical
moment in a gritty finale.
I dont think I played bad in the
first set, said Djokovic. It was him
playing really well, serving
extremely well. He lost only a
couple of points on his first serve
throughout the whole set, so that
says enough about his quality. Then
he made some unforced errors.
Wiggins hospitalised in crash with van
Murray hopes of home triumph smothered
at O2 as Djokovic digs deep in epic contest
Murray needs to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga tomorrow in his final group match to be sure of qualifying
No1 fights back from
set down to defeat
Brit in three sets
BY FRANK DALLERES
Trevor Steven: Page 29
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