November 16, 2012

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The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from ValuEngine.com. In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a two-week free trial at www.valuengine.com!

MARKET OVERVIEW

Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500

Week Open
12815.93 2916.38 796.98 1379.86

Thurs. Close
12542.38 2836.94 769.48 1353.33

Change
-273.55 -79.44 -27.5 -26.53

% Change
-2.13% -2.72% -3.45% -1.92%

YTD
2.44% 8.59% 3.38% 7.35%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 72.10% 27.90% 31.00% 9.74%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
-0.63% -0.55% -1.92% -0.53% -1.05% -0.65% -0.16% -0.56% -0.06% -0.82% -0.36% -0.26% -1.33% 0.28% -1.55% -0.51%

MTD
-6.53% -1.75% -8.10% -3.82% -4.67% -4.55% -4.88% -2.21% -3.62% -4.08% -3.90% -6.81% -7.88% -0.90% -5.01% -6.40%

YTD
-2.90% -1.14% -2.28% 3.49% 0.58% 97.49% 8.88% 14.77% 25.43% 4.30% 19.42% 4.81% -14.33% 19.44% 5.70% -1.92%

Valuation
0.54% undervalued 15.53% undervalued 8.62% undervalued 1.27% undervalued 2.31% undervalued 7.41% overvalued 7.12% undervalued 9.22% overvalued 4.12% overvalued 0.28% overvalued 2.35% overvalued 12.41% undervalued 9.07% undervalued 2.51% overvalued 1.10% overvalued 0.24% overvalued

Last 12MReturn
-3.66% -4.38% -25.38% 2.13% -4.76% 21.38% 3.82% 6.90% 11.15% -1.49% 3.84% 9.65% -18.95% 14.68% -6.45% -2.55%

P/E Ratio
14.58 11.98 30.91 22.79 41.09 42.67 27.61 22.37 17.81 22.9 31.18 13.4 33.78 24.65 23.13 17.26

Sector TalkAutos, Tires, Trucks

Below, we present the latest data on leading Autos,Tires,Trucks stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Autos,Tires,Trucks Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
WNC NAV HOG WBC ALSN

Name
WABASH NATIONAL NAVISTAR INTL HARLEY-DAVIDSON WABCO HOLDINGS ALLISON TRANSMN

Mkt Price
7.16 19.76 46.59 57.41 20.8

Valuation(%)
-26.14 -42.94 -0.91 -9.21 3.13

Last 12-M Retn(%)

0.14 -50.97 17.86 19.73 N/A

Top-Five Autos,Tires,Trucks Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
WNC CMI ALSN HOG WBC

Name
WABASH NATIONAL CUMMINS INC ALLISON TRANSMN HARLEY-DAVIDSON WABCO HOLDINGS

Mkt Price
7.16 94.87 20.8 46.59 57.41

Valuation(%)
-26.14 5.72 3.13 -0.91 -9.21

Last 12-M Retn(%)

0.14 -2.85 N/A 17.86 19.73

Top-Five Autos,Tires,Trucks Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
MGA TM WNC TRW F

Name
MAGNA INTL CL A TOYOTA MOTOR CP WABASH NATIONAL TRW AUTOMTV HLD FORD MOTOR CO

Mkt Price
43.53 80.26 7.16 46.2 10.57

Valuation(%)
-15.34 -19.2 -26.14 -4.23 -16.19

Last 12-M Retn(%)

30.64 25.52 0.14 28.94 -0.94

Top-Five Autos,Tires,Trucks Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
VC TTM LKQ CMI CTB

Name
VISTEON CORP TATA MOTORS-ADR LKQ CORP CUMMINS INC COOPER TIRE

Mkt Price
48.56 24.4 20.64 94.87 23.12

Valuation(%)
15.43 13.98 12.19 5.72 3.3

Last 12-M Retn(%)

-14.01 38.72 38.24 -2.85 66.09

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know, ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a variety of portfolio screening and creation tools. If you are reading this you should sign up for ValuEngine's award-winning To Sign Up for a stock valuation and forecast FREE TRIAL, service at the low price of Please Click $19.95/month! HERE NO OBLIGATION, 30 DAY FREE TRIAL!

Free Download for Readers

This week's free download is our report on Citigroup (C). Citigroup Inc., the leading global financial services company, has some two hundred million customer accounts and does business in more than hundred countries, providing consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions with a broad range of financial products and services, including consumer banking and credit, corporate and investment banking, securities brokerage, and wealth management. Major brand names under Citigroup's trademark red umbrella include Citibank, CitiFinancial, Primerica, Smith Barney, and Banamex. Free Weekly Newsletter Subscribers can download a FREE Detailed Valuation Report on C HERE. If you have not subscribed and want to be able to receive a FREE $ 25.00 Detailed Valuation Report, you can subscribe to our Free Weekly Newsletter HERE

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What's HotFDIC Report is Posted

ValuEngine Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is an expert on the US Banking System and uses the health of the system as a leading economic indicator. He distills his thoughts on the banking system in our FDIC Report. The latest update of the report is now available. For the purposes of this report, problem banks are publicly traded FDIC insured financial institutions overexposed to Construction & Development Loans and/or Nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans, with 1-Engine--Strong Sell, or 2EngineSell. We also include all other engine-rated banks-- and those with n/a ratings but forecast figure data points according to our models-- in violation of FDIC guidelines vis-a-vis loan exposures. Those that are not covered by ValuEngine due to poor fundamentals or because there is no available EPS estimate but are still in violation of FDIC guidelines are also listed at the end of this section as a courtesy to our subscribers.. This table tracks bank ratings and the number of problems bank back to Q2 2009. For November 2012, the FDIC Report shows a big improvement in VE Ratings for banks YOY. While many of our tracked banks remain overexposed to C&D or CRE loans and may have maxed out pipelines, less than 13% of them are now rated as "problem banks" and 38% of them are rated a BUY or STRONG BUY. Since last month's report, slightly more banks are rated HOLD rather than BUY or STRONG BUY, but there are also fewer banks rated STRONG SELL or SELL. The report shows an improved situation for banks from a ratings perspective.
Q2 2009
TOTAL BANKS STRONG SELL % SELL % HOLD % BUY % STRONG BUY % PROBLEM BANKS % 212 31.13 30.66 37.26 0.47 0.47 61.79

Q2 2010
260 25.00 34.23 34.23 5.00 1.15 59.23

Q2 2011
216 19.44 36.57 42.13 1.85 0.00 56.02

Q2 2012
298 12.75 7.05 39.60 31.54 7.05 19.80

Oct 2012 Nov 2011 Nov 2012

298 12.75 7.05 39.60 31.54 7.05 19.80 214 15.77 26.85 27.18 1.68 0.34 42.62 288 8.72 4.03 45.30 32.55 6.04 12.75

Our latest ValuEngine FDIC Report is now posted. The report contains loan exposure and/or ValuEngine datapoints on valuation, forecast, and ratings for all of the institutions on our List of Problem Banks. Subscribers can download it HERE. Others interested in the report may find out more on our website by clicking the image.

Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com Treasury Yields 10-Year--(1.589) Semiannual, quarterly and annual value levels are 1.853, 2.109 and 2.502 with daily, weekly, monthly and semiannual risky levels at 1.543, 1.520, 1.452 and 1.389. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 1.707% and 1.780%. Commodities and Forex Comex Gold ($1714.9) Weekly, semiannual, monthly and annual value levels are $1708.9, $1702.5, $1643.3, $1639.8 and $1575.8 with daily, quarterly risky levels at $1761.8, $1844.9 and $1881.4. Set a 2012 high at $1798.1 on October 5. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are $1744.1 and $1665.6. Nymex Crude Oil ($85.49) Weekly, monthly and semiannual value levels are $78.79, $76.96 and $76.71 with a daily pivot at $85.77, and annual and quarterly risky levels at $103.58 and $107.63. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are $90.30 and $94.41. The Euro (1.2779) Daily, weekly and monthly value levels are 1.2709, 1.2655 and 1.2289 with semiannual, quarterly, weekly and annual risky levels at 1.2917, 1.3048, 1.3091 and 1.4239. The 50- day and 200-day simple moving averages are 1.2917 and 1.2810.

Major Indices Daily Dow(12,542) Daily, annual and semiannual value levels are 12,451, 12,312 and 10,738 with weekly, monthly and annual and quarterly risky levels at 12,880, 13,143, 14,032 and 14,192. The QE3 high is 13,661.87 on October 5 with the October 2007 high at 14,198.10. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 13,297 and 12,993. S&P 500 (1353.3) Daily and semiannual value levels are 1337.6 and 1059.7 with my pivot at 1363.2, and weekly, monthly, quarterly and annual risky levels at 1380.8, 1418.7, 1513.3 and 1562.9. The QE3 high is 1474.51 on September 14 with the October 2007 high at 1576.09. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 1430.4 and 1382.0. NASDAQ (2837) Daily, annual and semiannual value levels are 2791, 2698 and 2527 with weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 2874, 3028, 3232 and 3295. The QE3 high is 3196.93 on September 21 is well above the November 2007 high at 2861.51. The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are 3060 and 2985. NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2524) Daily, annual and semiannual value levels are 2477, 2300 and 2239 with weekly, annual, monthly and quarterly risky levels at 2558, 2603, 2739 and 2950. The QE3 high is 2878.38 on September 21 is well above the November 2007 high at 2239.23. The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are 2739 and 2665 Dow Transports (4914) Weekly and semiannual value levels are 4823, 4449 and 4129 with daily and monthly pivots at 4931 and 5053, and quarterly and annual risky levels at 5541 and 5861. The QE3 high is 5231.15 on September 14 with the all time high at 5627.85 set on July 7, 2011. The 50- day and 200-day simple moving averages are 5046 and 5126. Russell 2000 (769.48) Daily and semiannual value levels are 761.33 and 686.25 with weekly, monthly and annual risky levels at 779.23, 807.70 and 836.15. The QE3 high is 868.50 on September 14 with the all time high at 868.57 set on May 2, 2011. The 50day and 200-day simple moving averages are 829.14 and 807.00. The SOX (356.14) Monthly, weekly, and semiannual value levels are 354.06, 342.60 and 326.30 with a daily pivot at 356.08 and quarterly risky level at 439.97. The QE3 high is 410.82 on September 14 with the July 2007 high at 549.39. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are 380.23 and 394.28.

Stock of the Day One of the more popular features of Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing for investors is his stock of the day. In every issue, Suttmeier highlights one stock and provides VE data as well as his own proprietary technical data. Here is today's stock of the day from Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing Newsletter. Mosaic Co (MOS) ($49.12) is rated a Buy according to ValuEngine with fair value at $66.67, which makes the stock 26.4% undervalued. The ValuEngine one-year price target is $52.55. ValuEngine Profile The Mosaic Company is one of the world's leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. For the global agriculture industry, Mosaic is a single source for phosphates, potash, nitrogen fertilizers and feed ingredients. Analysis The daily chart for Mosaic shows oversold momentum with the stock below its 21-day, 50- day and 200-day simple moving averages at $52.57, $55.62 and $54.51. My weekly value level is $47.86 with a monthly pivot at $50.88 and quarterly risky level at $62.91.

Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing, you get daily analysis of US Treasury Yields, Gold, Crude Oil, and Currency Exchange Rates--Dollar, Yen, Pound, and Euro-as well as key technical indicators.

Click HERE to Sign Up for Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing!

ValuEngine.com Tools and Services

We provide a variety of means for accessing ValuEngine market analysis and other content. You can find us on some of the leading financial media websites as well as the more popular social media services. While our own website ValuEngine.com provides access to lots of analysis--and you can always sign up to receive email daily and weekly bulletins HERE, some users prefer to download PDF reports of content while others prefer to garner info while browsing the web. =Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer and you can find his content in a variety of places. His weekly column on Forbes provides insights into his "Buy and Trade" strategy while his daily market analysis can be followed and accessed at Scribd, Twitter, and Minyanville. Senior Editor Steve Hach re-posts PDFs and web-accessible copies of Daily and Weekly ValuEngine bulletins at Seeking Alpha and Scribd. In most cases, you can receive notification of VE content posting by Suttmeier and Hach by following the ValuEngine feed on twitter @ValuEngine. Links for this content are provided below, you may also find these links on our website HERE Intelligent Investing with Richard Suttmeier Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Newsletters, Articles and Other Research Pieces Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Get short, timely messages from ValuEngine Inc Daily Bulletin PDFs, Weekly Newsletter PDFs, and PDF Research Reports