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Sustainable Energy Networks - a Sensys grand opportunity

David E. Culler University of California, Berkeley

Sensys 2012 Keynote


11-7-2012

11/7/2012

Sustainability?
Sustainable development should meet the

needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs
Our Common Future, World Commission on Environment and Development, United Nations, 1987

11/7/2012

My Goal today
Suggest ways SenSys community is and can

be more engaged in achieving sustainable energy networks

11/7/2012

AB 32

Quantifying Sustainability California Law

Reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020

Governors executive order S-3-05 (2005)


80% reduction below 1990 levels by 2050

Renewable Portfolio Standard


33% renewables by 2020, 20% biopower procurement

480 => 80 mmT CO2e in 40 years


Population: 37 => 55 million Economic growth
4
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CA2050: GHG 90% below 1990

But,
GHG Emissions (MtCO2e/yr)

1,000 800 600 400 200 0


1990 2005 2020 2050 Historical
5 Energy emissions Non-energy emissions 2020 Target 2050 Target

BAU
11/7/2012

CA2050 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan


Eciency

11/7/2012

CA2050 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan


Eciency Electrify

11/7/2012

CA2050 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan


Eciency Electrify Decarbonize

the electricity Decarbonize the fuel

11/7/2012

CA2050 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan


Eciency Electrify Decarbonize

the electricity Decarbonize the fuel

11/7/2012

All required for even 60% reduction

but still fall short of 80%


10
11/7/2012

Scenarios

New Nuclear plant New CCS facility every 14 months every 9 mo. for 40 years Exceeds saline aquifer
11
11/7/2012

Resources exist - 1.4 % of CA land - 43% agriculture - 3.4% urban

The Problem: Supply-Demand Match


Baseline + Dispatchable Tiers Oblivious Loads

Generation

Transmission

Distribution

Demand

12

11/7/2012

An Engineering Marvel
NA: 3 synchd regions Lots of wires
170k miles of >200 kv

transmission 6m miles of distribution 3k miles of 500 kv DC

3,200 retail

distributors 147 M customers


125M res, 17.6 M com,

0.78 M ind.

10 ISO/RTO cover 2/3 Little communication


http://www.nerc.com/docs/oc/rs/BA_BubbleDiagram_2011-10-03.jpg
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11/7/2012

Towards an Aware Energy Network


Baseline + Dispatchable Tiers Oblivious Loads

Generation

Transmission

Distribution

Demand

Non-Dispatchable Sources

Aware Interactive Loads Communication Communication

14

11/7/2012

Classical view of the Energy Challenge


Markets
Imports

Transmission

Distribution

Peaker Single cycle nat. gas Intermittent Combined cycle nat. gas
Baseline

Electronics Appliance Lighting HVAC Motors


Lines Transformers Power Supplies Meters VFD Control Circuits

Geothermal Hydro Nuclear, Coal Generators

Efficiency

15

Supply

Transport
11/7/2012

Load

Modern Energy Network Challenges


Information Plane
Storage
Fluctuating

Imports
Pumped

Storage Fluctuating Renewable

Storage

Renewable

Wind Photovoltaic

Personal Electronics Appliance Facilities

Transmission

Distribution

Peaker Single cycle nat. gas / bio Intermittent Combined cycle nat. gas / bio
Baseline

Lighting HVAC Motors Industrial

Geothermal Hydro

Transportation

Nuclear, Generators Coal Physical Plane


16

Lines Transformers

Meters

Power Supplies VFD

Circuits Control Efficiency

Usage

Pricing

Schedule

Supply

Transport
11/7/2012

Load

Consumption

Sensys? Creating the info plane

17

11/7/2012

Smart Meters the WSN Killer App?


Markets
Imports

Transmission

Distribution

Peaker Single cycle nat. gas Intermittent Combined cycle nat. gas
Baseline

Electronics Appliance Lighting HVAC Motors


Lines Transformers Power Supplies Meters VFD Control Circuits

Geothermal Hydro Nuclear, Coal Generators

Efficiency

18

Supply

Transport
11/7/2012

Load

Smart meter rollouts


Open IPv6,

Proprietary / Zigbee

http://www.edisonfoundation.net/iee/Documents/IEE_SmartMeterRollouts_0512.pdf
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11/7/2012

Much more than meters and billing

http://www.openthegrid.com/docs/ipv6_in_smart_grid_field_area.pdf
20
11/7/2012

Key WSN Research Developments


Event-Driven Component-Base Operating System
Applica tion Applica tion

Framework for building System & Network abstractions Low-Power Protocols Hardware and Application Specic

FF lus h lus h Golden Ga te Bridg Golden Ga te Bridg ee

Delug Delug ee

Drip Drip

R edwoods R edwoods North ea North SSea

SSPP IN IN Broa dca t torm Broa dca ss tSStorm TinyOS 0.6 TinyOS 0.6

CODA CODA

BVR BVR

CTP CTP

MintR oute MintR oute

SSPP

Link Link
1999

Idle listening

2000 2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

CP -MAC SSCP -MAC PP E DAMACS E DAMACS X-MAC X-MAC

Wis eMAC Wis eMAC

WooMAC WooMAC

-MAC SS-MAC Aloha S Aloha PP S

B -MAC B-MAC

T-MAC T-MAC

2006

2007

2008

All the energy is consumed by listening for a packet to receive

=> Turn radio on only when there is something to hear

Reliable routing on Low-Power & Lossy Links


Power, Range, Obstructions => multi-hop Always at edge of SNR => loss is common

=> monitoring, retransmission, and local rerouting

Trickle dont ood (tx rate < 1/density, and < info change)
designer. never naively respond to a broadcast re-broadcast very very politely
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11/7/2012

Connectivity is determined by physical points of interest, not network

SS44

Network Network

MultihopLQI MultihopLQI FF us ion us ion

PP SFF Q S Q

R MS T R MS T

FF P S PS

Dra in Dra in

Volca no Volca no

GAF GAF

GDI GDI

Dip Dip

Tra ns port Tra ns port

The Mote/TinyOS revolution


zeevo BT BTNod Eyes Mote inside Intel e trio uP => Arm Cortex cf-mica Radio => 802.15.4g narrow=band SmartDust Mica Telos Ren WeC frequency hopper XBOW e XBOW XBOW XBOW XBOW mica mica2 cc-dot TinyOS too rene2 micaZ digital sun SOC from here Bosch rain-mica cc-mica Dust Inc blue cc-TI

LoWPAN/IPv6

Intel Intel/UCB rene dot

Intel iMOTE

Intel MOTE2

Epic

98

99 SENSIT Expedition

00 8 kB rom kB ram

01

02

03 CENS STC

04 48 kB rom 10 kB ram 802.15.4

05 NETS/ NOSS

06

07 CyberPhysical

10 11

NEST

NSF

11/7/2012

22

IETF RPL

Idle Listening: 3 Basic Solutions


Scheduled Listening

Arrange a schedule of communication Time Slots Maintain coordinated clocks and schedule Listen during specic slots Many variants:

Aloha, Token-Ring, TDMA, Beacons, Bluetooth piconets, S-MAC, T-MAC, PEDAMACS, TSMP, FPS,

Sampled Listening

Listen for very short intervals to detect eminent

transmissions On detection, listen actively to receive DARPA packet radio, LPL, BMAC, XMAC, Maintain always on illusion, Robust

Listen after send (with powered infrastructure)


After transmit to a receptive device, listen for a short time Many variants: 802.11 AMAT, Key fobs, remote modems,

Many hybrids possible


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Internet WSN assimilated


Diverse Object and Data Models (HTML, XML, , BacNet, )

7: app 4: xport 3: net 2: link

Application (Telnet, FTP, SMTP, SNMP, HTTP) Transport (UDP/IP, TCP/IP) Network (IP) Link
RPL RFC6550

COAP

6LoWPAN RFC6282 802.11 802.11a WiFi 802.11b WiFi 802.11g WiFi 802.11n WiFi WiFi 802.15.4 LoWPAN 802.15.4e 802.15.4g P1901.2

1: phy

Serial X3T9.5 802.3 802.5 802.3a Modem FDDI Ethernet Token Ring 802.3i Ethernet ISDN Sonet 802.3y Ethernet 10b2 DSL 802.3ab Ethernet GPRS 10bT 802.3an Ethernet 100bT Ethernet 1000bT 1G bT

11/7/2012

24

Or in industry speak

25

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At incredible scale

26

11/7/2012

ROLL & Sensys Role


RPL retained fundamental routing diversity
Multiple DODAGs with selection

Incorporated trickle density awareness Many questions for which the research was simply

not there

Piece-wise source routing, routing stretch versus protocol

complexity & state, routing metrics,

Many issues for which the analysis is seriously

incomplete

Local / global repair, loop formation, routing staleness,

scaling, state management, trickle timers

IETF, mobile, and industry rediscovering Where is the research community?


27
11/7/2012

Creating an Energy Network ???


Information Plane
Storage
Fluctuating

Imports
Pumped

Storage Fluctuating Renewable

Storage

Renewable

Wind Photovoltaic

Personal Electronics Appliance Facilities

Transmission

Distribution

Peaker Single cycle nat. gas / bio Intermittent Combined cycle nat. gas / bio
Baseline

Lighting HVAC Motors Industrial

Geothermal Hydro

Transportation

Nuclear, Generators Coal Physical Plane


28

Lines Transformers

Meters

Power Supplies VFD

Circuits Control Efficiency

Usage

Pricing

Schedule

Supply

Transport
11/7/2012

Load

Consumption

How do we start?

29

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Grid Exists

Generation Transmission Distribution Load Conventional Electric Grid

30

11/7/2012

Internet Exists

Generation Transmission Distribution Load Conventional Electric Grid

Conventional Internet
31
11/7/2012

Intelligent Energy Network as Overlay on Both


Intelligent Energy Network
Source IPS energy subnet Load IPS Intelligent Power Switch

Generation Transmission Distribution Load Conventional Electric Grid Conventional Internet


32
11/7/2012

Where to Start?

Buildings
72% of electrical consumption (US), 40-50% of total consumption, 42% of GHG footprint US commercial building consumption
Electricity source

doubled 1980-2000, 1.5x more by 2025 [NREL]


Renewable energy consumption

Where Coal is used Prime target of opportunity for

renewable supplies

33

11/7/2012

Building Power Consumption


1MW 883 kW 11%

34

11/7/2012

MVP (most valuable principle) of WSN


Do nothing well

35

11/7/2012

PowerProportional Buildings ?
Cory Hall: Office + Semiconductor + IT

950 KW

1150 KW

Min = 82% of Max

36

11/7/2012

PowerProportional Buildings ?
Stanley Hall:
Office + BioScience - 13 NMRs 1.45 MW 2.02 MW

Min = 72% of Max

37

11/7/2012

PowerProportional Buildings ?
756 KW Koshland Hall: Office + ??? 1030 KW

Min = 69% of Max

38

11/7/2012

PowerProportional Buildings ?
LeConte Hall: Office

202 KW 62 KW

Min = 31% of Max

39

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Power Proportionality

Consumption

Productivity
40
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Power Proportionality

Consumption

Productivity
41
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Doing Nothing Well ???

42

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Power Proportional Buildings?


50 Ton Chiller 200 Ton Chiller

10 months
Scott McNally Bldg Manager
11/7/2012

2 months
43

The Building Challenge


Operations and Environment
ree ctric Load T Ele

Climate Plant

CT: mains power monitoring


A B
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 3 7 11 15 19 23 27 31 35 39 2 6 10 14 18 22 26 30 34 38 42 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 B B

Panel 1

Panel 2

1 5 9

3 7

2 6

4 8

13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41

11 15 19 23 27 31 35 39

10 14 18 22 26 30 34 38 42

12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40

Vibra;on

panel level power monitoring

Humidity Temperature Pressure


11/7/2012

ACme: plug load energy monitor and controller 44

CEC B2G Testbed - An Energy Transparent Building


DOP HVAC

MCL equip

Whole Bldg

MCL infra Central vent

MCL vac

office HVAC

servers Plug loads


45

Lighting Parking Lot


11/7/2012

inst Lab 199 HVAC

The Other Energy Usage


Wireless plug meters on 611 of 1200 loads

Bldg 90

46

11/7/2012

sMAP simple Monitoring and Action Protocol Uniform Access to Diverse Physical Information
Applications
Modeling Control Storage Visualization Location Debugging Personal Feedback Continuous Commissioning

JSON Objects REST API HTTP/TCP

Actuation Authentication

sMAP
Physical Information
Electrical Geographical Occupancy

Water

Structural

Weather

Environmental

Actuator

47

11/7/2012

sMAP Virtual Energy-Lab Ecosystem


sMAP Resources
California ISO sMAP Gateway

Applica;ons

sMAP sMAP
AC plug meter Vibra;on / Humidity Proxy Server

Database

sMAP
Weather

Google PowerMeter

EBHTTP / IPv6 / 6LowPAN Wireless Mesh Network sMAP sMAP

EBHTTP Transla;on

Edge Router

Internet

Every Building Light switch Temperature/PAR/TSR Dent circuit meter

sMAP

sMAP

Modbus
sMAP Gateway

RS-485
sMAP Gateway Cell phone

48

11/7/2012

Factoring is critical
sMAP
6lowpan networks

Public interfaces

sMAP control sMAP

RS-458 bus

models

mgmt

web

BacNET/IP

Archiver
RDBMS

TSDB

Represent, transmit data and metadata Abstract underlying heterogeneity into simple data model
49

Provide access to archived data Manage views, data cleaning


11/7/2012

Application-specific functionality built on exposed interfaces

sMAP is
Universal information representation for physical

data

Self-describing, compact JSON schema, transportable

over UDP/TCP Integrated metadata

Software Architecture for physical data processing

and actuation

Real-time and archival data, time-series DB Adapters/Drivers for legacy and direct streams Subscription, syndication, distillates Query processing, visualization interface

Resource-oriented web-service framework for

embedded applications
11/7/2012

http://code.google.com/p/smap-data
50

All physical info


Name ISO Data ACme devices EECS submetering project EECS steam and condensate UC Berkeley submetering feeds Sutardja Dai, Brower Hall BMS UC Davis submetering feeds Weather feeds CBE PMP toolkit NOA Weather Forecast SDH Air Quality Sensor Type CAISO, NYISO, PJM, MISO, ERCOT, BPA Plug-load electric meter Dent Instruments PowerScout 18 electric meters Cadillac condensate; Central Station steam meter ION 6200, Obvius Aquisuite; PSL pQube, Veris Industries E30 Siemens Apogee BMS, Legrand WattStopper, Johnson Control BMS Misc., Schneider Electric ION Vaisala WXT520 rooftop weather station; Wunderground Dust motes; New York Times BMS Meteorological (window, solar, cloud, etc) CO2, Temp, TSR, PAR, Hum Access Method Web scrape Wireless 6lowpan mesh Modbus Modbus/TCP Mosbus/Ethernet, HTTP BACnet/IP OPC-DA SDI-12, LabJack/Modbus, web scrape CSV import; serial Web Wireless 6lowpan mesh Channels 1211 344 4644 13 4269 4064 34 (+) 33 874 77740 50

total: 93,242

www.openbms.org
51
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Living Lab Approach: Innovate in a Virtual Private Grid

Generation Transmission

VPG

Distribution Load

52

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sMAP Energy Markets, Ops, $,

BPA

http://www.isorto.org

53

11/7/2012

sMAP Solar, Wind, Meteorology

1450 Met feeds covering Cal Solar Initiative: 130,275 proj. 1370 MW Cal Utility Solar: 60 facilities 695 MW Cal Utility Wind: 134 facilities 4295 MW

54

11/7/2012

sMAP generation
CA generation plant locations, type, and

rated power (> 0.1 MW) [CEC] Hourly output from each type of CA generation source for > 1 year [CAISO]

[CEC] http://energyalmanac.ca.gov/powerplants/Power_Plants.xls [CAISO] http://www.caiso.com/green/renewableswatch.html


55
11/7/2012

Modern Energy Network Challenges


Information Plane
Storage
Fluctuating

Imports
Pumped

Storage Fluctuating Renewable

Storage

Renewable

Wind Photovoltaic

Personal Electronics Appliance Facilities

Transmission

Distribution

Peaker Single cycle nat. gas / bio Intermittent Combined cycle nat. gas / bio
Baseline

Lighting HVAC Motors Industrial

Geothermal Hydro

Transportation

Nuclear, Generators Coal Physical Plane


56

Lines Transformers

Meters

Power Supplies VFD

Circuits Control Efficiency

Usage

Pricing

Schedule

Supply

Transport
11/7/2012

Load

Consumption

What would the CA Grid be like @ 60% renewables?


G-20 Investment ($B)

Whos Winning the Clean Energy Race? 2010 Pew Charitable Trust www.PewEnvironment.org/CleanEnergy Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Liebreich April 5, 2011

57

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CA grid today - Supplies


Source Geothermal Biomass/ Biogas Small Hydro Wind Solar3 Nuclear Hydro Imports Thermal Total
1 2 58

Rated (GW) 2.600 1.145 1.380 2.812 0.403 4.456 12.574 11.0552 44.339 80.764

Capacity Factor1 38.7% 43.5% 31.7% 29.1% 28.7% 85.9% 27.7% 66.6% 19.7% 32.6%

Total Energy (TWh) 8.68 4.30 3.77 7.06 1.00 33.00 30.05 63.43 75.43 226.71

% of Total Energy 3.8% 1.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.4% 14.6% 13.3% 28.0% 33.3% 100.0%

Mean delivered power divided by rated power (excl. import) For imports, rating is the maximum observed power 3 Residential net factored into demand
11/7/2012

CA grid today Supply Challenge

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11/7/2012

More views time and blend

60

11/7/2012

CA grid today - Supplies


Source Geothermal Biomass/ Biogas Small Hydro Wind Solar3 Nuclear Hydro Imports Thermal Total
1 2 61

Rated (GW) 2.600 1.145 1.380 2.812 0.403 4.456 12.574 11.0552 44.339 80.764

Capacity Factor1 38.7% 43.5% 31.7% 29.1% 28.7% 85.9% 27.7% 66.6% 19.7% 32.6%

Total Energy (TWh) 8.68 4.30 3.77 7.06 1.00 33.00 30.05 63.43 75.43 226.71

% of Total Energy 3.8% 1.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.4% 14.6% 13.3% 28.0% 33.3% 100.0%

Mean delivered power divided by rated power (excl. import) For imports, rating is the maximum observed power 3 Residential net factored into demand
11/7/2012

A year in the todays grid

Seasonal, Weekly, Daily variations Many underlying factors

Peak: 47.1 GW Min: 18.8 GW Mean: 26.3 GW


62
11/7/2012

A year daily averages


70 60
IMPORTS: 28.0% THERMAL: 33.3% WIND: 3.1% SOLAR: 0.4% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 3.8% HYDRO: 13.3% SMALL HYDRO: 1.7% NUCLEAR: 14.5% CA GRID DEMAND

Total CA Power (GW)

50

40

30

20

10

0 Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

Jul

63

11/7/2012

A mid-summers week
45 40 35

Total CA Power (GW)

IMPORTS: 29.9% THERMAL: 26.2% WIND: 5.0% SOLAR: 0.6% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.8% GEOTHERMAL: 3.2% HYDRO: 15.9% SMALL HYDRO: 1.9% NUCLEAR: 15.4% CA GRID DEMAND

30 25 20 15 10 5 0 07/08

70

60

Total CA Power (GW)

50

IMPORTS: 28.0% THERMAL: 33.3% WIND: 3.1% SOLAR: 0.4% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 3.8% HYDRO: 13.3% SMALL HYDRO: 1.7% NUCLEAR: 14.5% CA GRID DEMAND

40

07/09

07/10

07/11

07/12

07/13

30

20

10

0 Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

Jul

64

11/7/2012

A winter weeks tale


45 40 35
IMPORTS: 24.5% THERMAL: 38.5% WIND: 1.8% SOLAR: 0.1% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 4.0% HYDRO: 14.8% SMALL HYDRO: 1.4% NUCLEAR: 13.1% CA GRID DEMAND

Total CA Power (GW)

30 25
70

20
60

15 10 5 0 12/19

Total CA Power (GW)

50

IMPORTS: 28.0% THERMAL: 33.3% WIND: 3.1% SOLAR: 0.4% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 3.8% HYDRO: 13.3% SMALL HYDRO: 1.7% NUCLEAR: 14.5% CA GRID DEMAND

40

12/20

12/21

12/22

12/23

12/24

30

20

10

0 Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

Jul

65

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The Demand Duration Curve

66

11/7/2012

A Simple what if
Take current demand, current activity, current

technology, current deployment At a crude top-level scale (by category)


Represented by the time series

Scale up the renewable portions


Preserve the seasonal, weekly, daily, hourly eects

of mother nature *

Scale back the fossil fuel based supplies With current demand as a reference

67

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Example: Solar

68

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Example: Solar Scaled

69

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Example: Wind

70

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Wind - Scaled

71

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Joint Wind/Solar Scaling


Source Unscaled Rated (GW) Wind Solar TOTAL 2.81 0.40 3.21 Scaled Rated (GW)

57.1 29.8 86.9

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A Year in CA grid @ 60%


70 60
EXCESS IMPORTS: 2.6% THERMAL: 9.7% WIND: 34.4% SOLAR: 18.2% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 3.8% HYDRO: 13.3% SMALL HYDRO: 1.7% NUCLEAR: 14.5% CA GRID DEMAND

Total CA Power (GW)

50

40

30

20

10

0 Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

Jul

73

11/7/2012

A Summer Week @ 60%


80 70 60

Total CA Power (GW)

EXCESS IMPORTS: 0.0% THERMAL: 0.0% WIND: 41.6% SOLAR: 20.1% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.8% GEOTHERMAL: 3.2% HYDRO: 15.9% SMALL HYDRO: 1.9% NUCLEAR: 15.4% CA GRID DEMAND

50 40 30 20 10 0 07/08

70

60

07/09

07/10

07/11

07/12

Total CA Power (GW)

50

EXCESS IMPORTS: 2.6% THERMAL: 9.7% WIND: 34.4% SOLAR: 18.2% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 3.8% HYDRO: 13.3% SMALL HYDRO: 1.7% NUCLEAR: 14.5% CA GRID DEMAND

40

30

20

10

74

11/7/2012

0 Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

Jul

A Winter Week @ 60%


80 70 60
EXCESS IMPORTS: 1.8% THERMAL: 22.9% WIND: 33.4% SOLAR: 6.8% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 4.0% HYDRO: 14.8% SMALL HYDRO: 1.4% NUCLEAR: 13.1% CA GRID DEMAND

Total CA Power (GW)

50 40
70

30
60

20 10 0 12/19

Total CA Power (GW)

50

EXCESS IMPORTS: 2.6% THERMAL: 9.7% WIND: 34.4% SOLAR: 18.2% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 3.8% HYDRO: 13.3% SMALL HYDRO: 1.7% NUCLEAR: 14.5% CA GRID DEMAND

40

12/20

12/21

12/22

12/23

30

20

10

75

11/7/2012

0 Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

Jul

CA Grid @ 60%

76

11/7/2012

What Can we do to Make it Work?


Design for deep penetration Eciency for shaping
especially at night
Optimize for the whole, not peak production Use your o-grid intuition Poor power proportionality of buildings and other loads,

Storage

Move energy in time Precooling, preheating, guardband adjustment Deferral, acceleration Utilize resources in concert with non-dispatcables

Load scheduling (continuous DR)

Integrated Portfolio Management Curtailment


77
11/7/2012

Load shifting to follow supply


70 60
EXCESS IMPORTS: 2.6% THERMAL: 9.7% WIND: 34.4% SOLAR: 18.2% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9% GEOTHERMAL: 3.8% HYDRO: 13.3% SMALL HYDRO: 1.7% NUCLEAR: 14.5% CA GRID DEMAND

Total CA Power (GW)

50

40

30

20

Windrush? Sunrush? - energy agile industry?

10

0 Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

Jul

78

11/7/2012

A Day
35 30
EXCESS IMPORTS: 1.0% THERMAL: 21.2% WIND: 33.9% SOLAR: 15.8% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 2.1% GEOTHERMAL: 4.2% HYDRO: 10.8% SMALL HYDRO: 1.3% NUCLEAR: 9.8% CA GRID DEMAND

Total CA Power (GW)

25

20

15

10

0 00:00

06:00

12:00

18:00

79

11/7/2012

The Day with +/- 3 hours of shift


35 30
EXCESS IMPORTS: 0.6% THERMAL: 16.4% WIND: 35.7% SOLAR: 19.1% BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 2.1% GEOTHERMAL: 4.2% HYDRO: 10.8% SMALL HYDRO: 1.3% NUCLEAR: 9.8% CA GRID DEMAND

Total CA Power (GW)

25

20

15

10

0 00:00

06:00

12:00

18:00

80

11/7/2012

How to match demand to supply?

81

11/7/2012

Modern EE & CS Energy Challenges


Information Plane
Storage
Fluctuating

Imports
Pumped

Storage Fluctuating Renewable

Storage

Renewable

Wind Photovoltaic

Personal Electronics Appliance Facilities

Transmission

Distribution

Peaker Single cycle nat. gas / bio Intermittent Combined cycle nat. gas / bio
Baseline

Lighting HVAC Motors Industrial

Geothermal Hydro

Transportation

Nuclear, Generators Coal Physical Plane


82

Lines Transformers

Meters

Power Supplies VFD

Circuits Control Efficiency

Usage

Pricing

Schedule

Supply

Transport
11/7/2012

Load

Consumption

Interesting Sensor Networks


151 Temperature Sensors
ense 6,000 S > oints ontrol P and C

312 Light Relays

50 Electrical Sub-meters 6 Variable Speed Pumps

12 Variable Speed Fans

138 Air Dampers

121 Controllable Valves

Sutardja Dai Hall Built in 2009


83

140k sq. ft.


11/7/2012

Controls are Widely Available


Bancroft Library:
Built in 1949 100k sq. ft. 5,000 points

>70% of large buildings have digital controls

U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2009


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HVAC Model Predictive Control

Whole Bldg

inst Lab 199 HVAC

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11/7/2012

Measure => Model => Mitigate


Mathematical model from Newtons law of cooling
time constant of room change in temperature over time weather

dT/dt = -krT - kcu(t) + kww(t)) + q(t)


AC cooling

heating from occupants and equipment

Model identied using semi-parametric regression


Temperature: Experimental (blue) Simulated (red)
23

(C)

22 21 11AM 12PM 1PM 2PM 3PM Time 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM

(C/s)

Heating from occupants and equipment

0.029 0.0285 11AM 12PM 1PM 2PM 3PM Time 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM

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Learning-Based Model Predictive Control


Experimental LBMPC: 12.6kWh Consumed Temperature
23

(C)

22 1PM 3PM 5PM 7PM 9PM 11PM 1AM Time 3AM 5AM 7AM 9AM 11AM

Control Action

AC State

1 0 1PM 3PM 5PM 7PM 9PM 11PM 1AM Time 3AM 5AM 7AM 9AM 11AM

Simulated Hysteresis Control: 29.7kWh Consumed (estimated)


23

Temperature Control Action

(C)

22 1PM 3PM 5PM 7PM 9PM 11PM 1AM Time 3AM 5AM 7AM 9AM 11AM

AC State

1 0 1PM 3PM 5PM 7PM 9PM 11PM 1AM Time 3AM 5AM 7AM 9AM
6 Transient Power Steady State Power

11AM

LBMPC adjusts for internal dynamics, avoids over-cooling, trades off duty cycle and switching frequency
kW

(Aswani, Master, Taneja, Culler, Tomlin, 2011)


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4 Minutes

Supply-Following Computational Loads Background Processing (shiftable)

Requests Availability Forecasts

IPS

QoS (fidelity & latency)


Power

Controllable Storage
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11/7/2012

Energy-Availability Driven Scheduling


Non-dispatchable, variable supply
14 12 10 x 10
4

Power (W)

8 6 4 2 0

200

400 Time (hrs)

600

800

Pacheco wind farm


x 10 5
4

x 10 5 4

greedy pacheco 2.0x

Power (W)

Power (W)
0 200 400 Time (hrs) 600 800

4 3 2 1 0

3 2 1 0

Power proportional, grid-aware loads

200

250 Time (hrs)

300

Scientific computing cluster


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11/7/2012
NREL Western Wind and Solar Integration Study Dataset http://wind.nrel.gov/Web_nrel/

Energy Slack
Thermostatically Controlled Load IPS
Set Point
Guard band

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11/7/2012

Everyday Slack and Control


6 kg. NH4Cl in 19.1% aqueous solution

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11/7/2012

From Auto Demand Response


Sutardja Dai Hall

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11/7/2012

To Personalized Automated Lighting Control


HTTP

Python Control Process MySQL Python Django

sMAP

BACnet

Three controllable
ballasts per xture

Gateway
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11/7/2012

~5 zones per oor

Real Energy Savings

SDH 4th Floor Lighting Energy Usage


4 3.5 3 2.5 KW 2 1.5 Colab Savings 1 Floor kW 0.5 Collab kW 0 0 0 58% 53% 68% 69% 63% 65% 68% 75% 80% 71% 70% 61% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

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11/7/2012

A Macroscope ???
100% Cooling
100 80 SDH.S101 SDH.S204 SDH.S404 SDH.S508 SDH.S510 SDH.S608 SDH.S610 SDH.S713 SDH.S710 SDH.S219 SDH.S218 SDH.S701 SDH.S518 SDH.S705 SDH.S304 SDH.S317 SDH.S601 SDH.S216 SDH.S704 SDH.S215 SDH.S501 SDH.S716 SDH.S319 SDH.S307 SDH.S211 SDH.S418 SDH.S413 SDH.S512 SDH.S316 SDH.S708 SDH.S311 SDH.S602 SDH.S308 SDH.S603 SDH.S406 SDH.S502 SDH.S615 SDH.S205 SDH.S607 SDH.S217 SDH.S315 SDH.S702 SDH.S306 SDH.S416 SDH.S409 SDH.S103 SDH.S104 SDH.S202 SDH.S206 SDH.S207 SDH.S212 10/14 00:00 SDH.S405 SDH.S301 SDH.S707 SDH.S611

60

40

20

Dead band

20

40

60

80

100% Heating
95

100 10/11 00:00

10/11 12:00

10/12 00:00

10/12 12:00

10/13 00:00

10/13 12:00

11/7/2012

Network of Control Loops


Outside Air Intake

Cooling Tower Loop


Condenser Water Pump (CWP) Always on max Chiller 45 F setpoint

Chilled Water Pump (CHP) Always on max

Economizer Loop

Air Handling Loop


Cooling Coil & Valve 55 F setpoint Supply Fan (Air Handler Unit AHU) 336 Pa setpoint

VAV Loop

VAV Loop

VAV Loop

Dampers (VAVs)

Return Fan

Exhaust Air

Heating Coils & Valves 70 F setpoint

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11/7/2012

Hot Water Loop

Cold Water Loop

Script the building

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11/7/2012

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11/7/2012

Theres a bldg app for that

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11/7/2012

Holistic HVAC optimization


Empirical models, including 280 external factors, and 260 monitoring, provide rapid, focused feedback 240
220

Savings: 16.52% 25.4 kW

Power (kW)

200

180

160

140

Measured Baseline
12/11 12/12

RMSE = 5.6%
12/13 12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18 12/19

120 12/10

10

x 10

Dynamically set economizer, supply air temp, min

Air Flow (CFM)

8 6 4 2 0 08/10 Fresh air Return Air 08/10 100 08/11 08/11 08/12 08/12 08/13 08/13 08/14 08/14

airow, reheat
11/7/2012

Where is this going: BOSS and Software Defined Buildings


application logic

control process

Model Training

Runtime Logic

Time-series Client

Transaction Client

system libraries

portable, robust applications for the physical environment


1. Hardware presentation layer: sMAP" 2. Hardware abstraction layer: device-specic logic" 3. Time-series service: the archiver" 4. Reliable control inputs: the transaction manager" 5. Security: the authorization service"

Authorization token

BOSS boundary
request historical data authorize verify callback submit

5
Auth Service

2
HAL Service

Time Series Service

Transaction Manager

3
publish command

sMAP

sMAP

sMAP

sMAP

sMAP

XML/HTTP OPC-DA

6loWPAN

RS-485

BACnet/IP

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October 26, 2012

CyberPhysical Building Systems

External

Planning Visualiza;on
Security, Fault, Anomaly Detect &Management Mul;-Objec;ve Model-Driven Control

Control and Schedule

Occupant Sa;sfac;on

Activity/ Usage Streams Pervasive Sensing

Empirical Models Physical Models

Building Integrated Operating System drvrs drvrs drvrs Local Controllers

Occupant Demand
Transport Process Loads

Electrical

BMS
HVAC

Legacy Instrumentation & Control Interfaces

Cyber
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11/7/2012

Physical Building

Light

BIM

Modern EE & CS Energy Challenges


Information Plane
Storage
Fluctuating

Imports
Pumped

Storage Fluctuating Renewable

Storage

Renewable

Wind Photovoltaic

Personal Electronics Appliance Facilities

Transmission

Distribution

Peaker Single cycle nat. gas / bio Intermittent Combined cycle nat. gas / bio
Baseline

Lighting HVAC Motors Industrial

Geothermal Hydro

Transportation

Nuclear, Generators Coal Physical Plane


103

Lines Transformers

Meters

Power Supplies VFD

Circuits Control Efficiency

Usage

Pricing

Schedule

Supply

Transport
11/7/2012

Load

Consumption

Synchrophasors
Synchronized Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs)

distributed across the transmission system


Synchronized (<< ms) via GPS

30 Hz sampling of voltage, current, frequency & phase Aggregated at Phasor Data Concentrator (PDC) wide area situational awareness

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11/7/2012

The power of observability


Power Systems Applications

Enhanced state estimation, Operator visualization Black Start visibility, Line impedance derivation Oscillatory mode detection & damping Phase Difference before the Blackout Post-disturbance analysis, Islanding Power network model validation

Aug 14, 2003

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11/7/2012

Currently ~500 PMUs in US grid

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11/7/2012

The issues to solve?


Sensor placement
Huge complex grid, few expensive PMUs

Time synchronization
Higher delity requires tighter synchronization Especially as we move to the distribution tier

Latency Data rates (!), storage, query Continuous, unattended operation


Especially during crises

Analytics, Prognostics,

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DIY Synchrophasors

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11/7/2012

What happens when ?


Push observability throughout distribution tier? Into consumption tier ? Electrify more and more of the transportation ? The loads become ecient, power

proportional, and grid responsive?

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11/7/2012

From a Grid to an Energy Network


Availability
Pricing Planning
Source IPS energy subnet Intelligent Power Switch Load IPS

Forecasting
Tracking Market

Monitor, Model, Mitigate


Deep instrumentation Waste elimination Efficient Operation Shifting, Scheduling, Adaptation
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11/7/2012

IT and the 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan


Eciency Electrify Decarbonize Decarbonize
Monitoring, Analysis, Modeling, Waste Elimination, Power Proportionality, Optimal Control Intelligence, Communication, adaptation in Everything ZELB. Supply-Following Loads, Energy SLA, Cooperative Grid

the electricity the fuel

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What made me think it was time for WSN reseatch?

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Why the next tier of internet is here?

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Thanks

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11/7/2012

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