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Europe
Strategy in Style
Implementing styles, themes and industry views with baskets
We refresh our basket constituents and highlight recent basket performance. Since our last Strategy in Style, our UK domestic exposure basket (GSSTUKDE) has been the best relative performer. Periphery stocks also outperformed as sovereign spreads tightened with both our periphery exposure (GSSTPEXP) and our periphery exporters (GSSTPEMU) baskets being in the top 5 relative performers. On the other hand, our stable growers (GSSTGRTH) and core Euro area exposure (GSSTCEMU) underperformed as the risk premium contracted.
UK domestic outperformed while core Euro area exposure underperformed
Top/bottom 5 baskets
Performance since our last Strategy in Style, relative to SXXP
-4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0
6.7 4.3
Gerald Moser
+44(20)7774-5725 gerald.moser@gs.com Goldman Sachs International
8.0
UK Domestic Periphery Pension Risk Periphery Exporters BRIC Exposure Defensive Yield Operating Leverage Financial Leverage Core
4.1
3.3
2.5
Peter Oppenheimer
+44(20)7552-5782 peter.oppenheimer@gs.com Goldman Sachs International
-0.8
-1.0
-1.6
-3.3
Stable Growers
-3.5
* Except UK baskets which are relative to FTSE All-Share. Last Strategy in Style was published on June 21, 2012 Source: Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research.
Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Analysts employed by non-US affiliates are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA in the U.S.
Europe
Strategy in Style: Our publication for thematic and customised trade ideas
Where to find all baskets from European Economics, Commodities and Strategy (ECS) Research
Our baskets of European stocks allow investors to trade investment themes, regional exposure and sectors in the equity market more efficiently. All stocks included in our thematic, regional and sub-sector baskets are screened for liquidity, shorting constraints and borrowing costs. All our baskets are equally weighted at initiation rather than market cap-weighted. The homepage for our baskets can be accessed by typing GSPM <GO> on Bloomberg. Shortcuts can be used to skip to one type of thematic basket. For example, to go directly to the Portfolio Strategy thematic baskets, type GSPM1<GO>; for the basket components, type GSPM2<GO>. See Exhibit 1 for the complete list. If you need access to the GSPM page or for any other questions regarding trading our baskets, please contact your Goldman Sachs sales representative. The next few pages show you how to navigate our GSPM Bloomberg page. Exhibit 1: Our GSPM page
Main page on Bloomberg:
GSPM
Fundamental theme baskets Wavefront Europe baskets European sub sector baskets Regional exposure baskets
Overall Baskets Menu Option: 3 Ticker prefix: GSTW Overall Baskets Menu Option: 5 Overall Baskets Menu Option: 6 Ticker prefix: GSST
Note: The ability to trade these baskets will depend upon market conditions, including liquidity and borrow constraints at the time of trade.
Europe
Europe
It is possible to view the constituents of our baskets on Bloomberg. For example, for the Portfolio Strategy high dividend yield basket, first select option 1 (Portfolio Strategy baskets) from the GSPM page. Select the basket and then type MEMB<GO> to see the index composition page as shown below. Please note that for long/short baskets you will need to access the specific component before you can view the members. Exhibit 3: Viewing constituents
Sample page
Europe
Exhibit 5: Strategy basket performance and average valuation data Prices as of November 13, 2012
Bloomberg Ticker Fundamental theme baskets -1 Wk Relative Performance -1 mth YTD P/E NTM P/B LTM Div yld (%)
GSSTCAPX GSSTFNLV GSSTHIDY GSSTPENS GSSTGCON GSSTOPLV GSSTGRTH GSSTENGY GSSTHDDY GSSTRCOV
-1.2 -0.9 -0.2 -1.2 -1.6 -1.2 -0.5 -2.0 -0.5 -1.2
0.5 -1.7 0.0 0.1 -2.8 -0.8 -1.1 -2.0 -0.6 -0.5
-2.0 2.8 2.9 16.0 12.2 1.8 4.2 -6.2 -3.7 3.2
12.5 10.2 9.3 8.5 10.5 10.3 11.8 11.3 9.6 10.3
1.7 1.3 1.4 0.8 1.1 0.9 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.2
4.0 4.8 5.5 3.9 3.4 3.7 4.1 3.0 5.2 3.8
GSSTBRIC GSSTAMER GSSTDOME GSSTCEMU GSSTPEMU GSSTDM50 GSSTEM50 GSSTUKDE GSSTUKIE GSSTPEXP
-0.5 0.0 -0.9 -0.7 -1.1 1.7 0.3 0.1 -0.2 -1.1 -1.1
1.2 1.0 -2.7 -1.4 -4.1 3.1 0.5 0.2 1.0 -0.4 -0.3
-1.1 5.4 -4.8 1.1 -12.7 -2.1 4.3 19.3 -4.2 1.1 10.6
11.4 11.9 11.1 11.5 10.4 11.8 10.9 12.5 12.1 10.2 10.9
1.3 2.0 1.0 1.4 0.8 1.9 2.0 1.7 2.1 1.3 1.5
3.6 4.0 5.4 5.9 5.0 2.3 3.0 4.0 3.5 4.1 3.8
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
6.7
8.0
UK Domestic Periphery Pension Risk Periphery Exporters BRIC Exposure HIDY UK International German Consumer EM Nifty 50 DOME US Exposure Dividend Risk DM Nifty 50 Capex Beneficiaries Recovery Defensive Yield Operating Leverage Financial Leverage Core Stable Growers
Results presented should not and cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance. Further details on performance calculations can be provided upon request. Note: The ability to trade these baskets will depend upon market conditions, including liquidity and borrow constraints at the time of trade. Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research.
The relative performance of our European baskets is computed against the STOXX Europe 600, for our UK baskets, the performance is computed against the FTSE All-Shares index. Our EM Nifty 50 is benchmarked against the MSCI BRIC index and our DM Nifty 50 basket against the MSCI World index. STOXX Europe 600 performance in absolute terms Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research.
Europe
Sector exposure: Industrial goods & services 23%, basic resources 14%.
Exhibit 6: Constituents of GSSTOPLV
Current Market Cap Name Automobiles & Parts Daimler (Xet) Porsche Aml.Hldg. (Xet) Pref. Renault Volkswagen Pref. (Xet) Basic Resources Anglo American Boliden Salzgitter (Xet) Ssab 'A' Upm-Kymmene Construction & Materials Ferrovial Chemicals K + S (Xet) Dsm Koninklijke Umicore Industrial Goods & Services A P Moller - Maersk 'B' Deutsche Post (Xet) Eads (Par) Man (Xet) Mtu Aero Engines (Xet) Hldg. Nexans Hexagon 'B' Thyssenkrupp (Xet) Outotec Skf 'B' Median Weight 11.4% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 14.3% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 22.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% (EUR Bn) 39.4 14.3 10.3 70.1 29.2 3.7 1.8 1.9 4.4 8.0 6.9 6.5 4.5 23.8 18.5 22.1 11.6 3.2 0.9 6.6 9.2 1.7 8.2 Historical Degree of operating leverage 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.1 2.6 6.5 3.6 3.7 2.9 2.4 3.2 2.2 3.5 4.0 2.8 16.5 2.8 2.7 11.8 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.2 Current Market Cap Name Media Eutelsat Communications Modern Times Gp.Mtg 'B' Reed Elsevier (Ams) Oil & Gas Aker Solutions Cie.Gl.De Gphyq.-Vert. Personal & Household Goods Philips Eltn.Koninklijke The Swatch Group 'B' Adidas (Xet) Retail Dufry 'R' Technology Asml Holding Telecommunications Tdc Travel & Leisure Deutsche Lufthansa (Xet) Weight 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% (EUR Bn) 5.4 1.7 7.7 4.1 3.9 18.4 17.3 13.9 2.7 18.1 4.2 5.6 Historical Degree of operating leverage 2.7 4.2 2.8 2.3 3.3 5.7 2.7 2.2 2.5 2.4 3.7 2.1
Sales Growth 2013E 4% NA 5% 5% 20% 5% 1% 7% -4% NA 3% 5% 4% 9% 4% NA 10% NA 5% 8% -5% 4% 4% 2014E 7% NA 6% 5% 0% -3% 5% 7% 0% NA 3% 7% 9% -3% 5% NA 1% NA 3% 9% 5% 10% 7%
EBIT Growth 2013E 5% NA 69% 27% 42% 23% 104% 557% 0% NA 7% 26% 17% 31% 8% NA 83% NA 17% 14% 119% 10% 11% 2014E 27% NA 25% 17% -16% 11% 65% 43% -2% NA 5% 10% 15% 6% 12% NA 1% NA 0% 17% 24% 14% 13%
Sales Growth 2013E 7% 5% 1% 14% 35% 4% 12% 8% 25% 2% 0% 5% 2014E 7% 5% 4% 8% 9% 3% 12% 8% 23% 21% 1% 3%
EBIT Growth 2013E 6% -13% 2% 33% 93% 28% 21% 25% 35% -1% -1% 47% 2014E 7% 25% 8% 21% 23% 8% 22% 19% 30% 42% 1% 25%
6.9
2.9
5%
6%
25%
19%
Source: Datastream, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
Europe
Sector exposure: Industrial goods & services 16%, telecommunications 16%, retail 16%.
Exhibit 7: Constituents of GSSTFNLV
FINANCIAL LEVERAGE BASKET (GSSTFNLV)
Current market cap Basket weights (%) (Bn) 8.0% 4.0% 1.9 4.0% 0.8 4.0% 4.0% 2.4 12.0% 4.0% 18.7 4.0% 13.2 4.0% 2.4 4.0% 4.0% 14.8 16.0% 4.0% 2.1 4.0% 3.8 4.0% 4.6 4.0% 4.0 8.0% 4.0% 1.5 4.0% 5.4 4.0% 4.0% 14.4 16.0% 4.0% 7.2 4.0% 7.7 4.0% 7.5 4.0% 12.8 4.0% 4.0% 1.4 16.0% 4.0% 45.7 4.0% 4.2 4.0% 3.3 4.0% 3.1 8.0% 4.0% 3.9 4.0% 38.9 4.2 Net debt/equity 13E 61% 59% 60% 93% 60% NM 72% 100% 61% 116% 120% 67% 146% 163% 68% 89% 76% 95% 104% 179% 94% NM 163% 116% 60% 93% Net debt/equity 14E 55% 60% 62% 88% 53% NM 61% 89% 53% 103% 118% 58% 187% 172% 58% 87% 69% 81% 99% 142% 95% NM 180% 115% 59% 87% Interest cover 13E 2.7 2.5 2.4 4.7 2.8 1.8 5.4 5.4 3.2 4.1 3.0 3.2 5.5 5.9 2.8 6.2 3.3 3.1 7.2 3.1 4.1 1.7 4.0 2.5 3.5 3.2 Interest cover 14E 3.9 4.7 2.8 5.0 3.5 2.0 6.3 6.0 3.8 4.8 3.3 3.3 5.6 6.1 2.9 7.0 4.0 3.2 7.2 3.2 4.3 1.8 5.3 2.8 3.8 3.9 Net debt/market cap 13E 105% 103% 71% 70% 80% 573% 58% 55% 64% 51% 75% 103% 55% 62% 52% 39% 81% 55% 57% 100% 67% 234% 48% 188% 104% 70% Net debt/market cap 14E 99% 98% 72% 67% 73% 563% 53% 52% 56% 48% 78% 92% 64% 65% 46% 35% 68% 50% 56% 93% 63% 236% 45% 187% 104% 67%
Company name Basic Resources SSAB Nyrstar Chemicals Clariant Construction & Materials Vinci Lafarge Eiffage Health Care Fresenius SE & Co KGaA Industrial Goods & Services Securitas AB Rexel G4S Plc Fraport AG Media Mediaset Eutelsat Communications Oil & Gas SeaDrill Ltd Retail Metro Marks & Spencer Casino Carrefour Technology Neopost Telecommunications Telefonica TDC A/S Portugal Telecom Inmarsat Plc Utilities Suez Environnement GDF SUEZ Median
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
Europe
Company Name Automobiles & Parts Daimler (Xet) Porsche Aml.Hldg. (Xet) Pref. Renault Volkswagen Pref. (Xet) Basic Resources Anglo American Boliden Nyrstar Salzgitter (Xet) SSAB Upm-Kymmene Chemicals Clariant Dsm Koninklijke K + S (Xet) Umicore Construction & Materials Eiffage Ferrovial Lafarge Vinci Health Care Fresenius SE & Co KGaA Industrial Goods & Services A P Moller - Maersk 'B' Deutsche Post (Xet) Eads (Par) Fraport AG G4S Plc Hexagon 'B' Man (Xet) Mtu Aero Engines (Xet) Hldg. Nexans Outotec Rexel Securitas AB Skf 'B' Thyssenkrupp (Xet) Median
Weight 7.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 10.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 7.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 7.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 24.6% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
P/E 2013 7.6 5.1 3.1 6.4 10.5 7.3 11.6 23.5 12.1 15.5 11.8 11.8 10.5 14.4 8.8 34.3 12.8 9.5 14.4 5.9 10.2 10.2 15.6 10.5 14.9 14.3 12.6 7.5 11.1 9.1 9.9 12.7 8.8 10.7
P/B 2013 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.2 0.9 1.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.3 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.5 0.5 2.8 0.8 1.8 2.6 1.1 1.4
Weight 7.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 5.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 5.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 8.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 3.5% 1.8% 1.8% 7.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 3.5% 1.8% 1.8%
P/E 2013 14.1 20.9 10.3 10.7 9.9 10.1 11.0 12.5 12.9 12.6 13.0 10.7 8.5 9.7 9.1 17.4 7.1 15.8 11.8 9.1 10.4 15.5 10.5 13.2
P/B 2013 3.6 0.8 2.3 4.0 1.9 1.0 2.9 2.1 1.4 2.1 1.6 1.4 2.4 2.2 1.1 4.2 1.8 3.6 1.7 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.8
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
Europe
59 bps
60 bps 105 bps 132 bps 73 bps 141 bps 147 bps
6.7% 12.7% 0.0% 5.8% -20.0% -5.2% 9.1% 1.8% 3.8% 8.0% 6.7% 11.1% -6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 8.0% 0.0% 1.3%
7.9% 9.3% 0.0% 3.5% -13.3% -10.4% 12.5% -1.4% 6.7% 10.6% 0.0% 6.4% -4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 4.4% 0.0% 0.9%
69 bps 151 bps 162 bps 141 bps 54 bps 62 bps 51 bps 153 bps 220 bps 64 bps 52 bps 53 bps
Source: Bloomberg, Quantum database, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research.
Europe
Sector exposure: Media 19%, retail 19%, utilities 13%, oil & gas 13%.
6.7% 12.7% 0.0% 5.8% -25.0% -5.2% 9.1% 1.8% 3.8% 8.0% -15.4% 0.0% 6.7% 0.0% 11.1% 7.4% -6.8% 15.0% -59.4% -6.3% 0.0%
7.9% 9.3% 0.0% 3.5% -13.3% -10.4% 12.5% -1.4% 6.7% 10.6% 18.2% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% -3.6% -4.2% 0.0%
69 bps 151 bps 162 bps 141 bps 54 bps 62 bps 51 bps 69 bps 126 bps 153 bps 220 bps 230 bps 101 bps
Source: Bloomberg, Quantum database, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research.
10
Europe
Sector exposure: Banks 9%, healthcare 9%, oil & gas 9%.
Exhibit 11: Constituents of GSSTGRTH
STABLE GROWERS BASKETS (GSSTGRTH)
Sales Growth 2002-2012E Basket weights (%) 2.9% 2.9% 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 8.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 2.9% 2.9% Market cap (Bn) 4.2 44.3 17.6 28.1 132.5 16.0 10.5 24.2 18.7 2.6 52.3 102.4 2.1 5.7 15.6 7.2 3.5 3.6 6.4 3.3 6.7 3.7 14.4 34.2 21.0 3.3 32.7 43.1 5.2 6.7 3.1 25.4 9.1 4.8 16.9 10.5 Standard Avg / St Dev Average (%) Deviation (%) Ratio Average (%) 15% 15% 5% 4% 15% 25% 12% 12% 8% 9% 19% 19% 18% 16% 10% 20% 14% NM NM 9% 33% 47% 592% 10% 11% 6% 10% 11% 10% 31% 15% 9% 6% 11% 22% 12% 17% 10% 4% 5% 14% 30% 21% 23% 7% 11% 29% 18% 14% 7% 6% 12% 11% NM NM 10% 18% 48% 1495% 7% 8% 6% 4% 4% 9% 20% 25% 10% 3% 10% 18% 11% 0.9 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.3 2.2 1.7 1.6 1.3 NM NM 0.9 1.8 1.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 1.0 2.4 2.6 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.9 2.3 1.0 1.2 1.1 40% 21% 5% 13% 24% 47% 27% 22% 14% 10% 25% 29% 9% 16% 15% 30% 19% 10% 27% 13% 35% 57% 52% 17% 16% 6% 12% 15% 10% 29% 80% 19% 10% 17% 11% 17% Earnings Growth 2002-2012E ROE 2002-2012E Standard Standard Avg / St Dev Deviation Avg / St Dev Ratio Average (%) Deviation (%) Ratio (%) 63% 15% 9% 28% 36% 77% 46% 37% 13% 13% 19% 16% 7% 11% 6% 18% 9% 10% 41% 9% 19% 42% 79% 7% 32% 5% 9% 14% 7% 46% 134% 39% 5% 6% 22% 16% 0.6 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.3 1.5 2.5 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.8 1.4 0.7 2.3 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 2.2 2.6 0.5 1.1 20% NM NM NM 31% 20% 24% 9% 16% 20% 12% 12% 13% 19% 12% 24% 21% NM NM 35% 42% 19% 15% 35% 6% 7% 16% 37% 15% 33% 21% 15% 16% 19% 27% 19% 6% NM NM NM 9% 9% 6% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 5% 3% NM NM 11% 7% 6% 9% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 25% 10% 6% 2% 5% 5% 4% 3.5 NM NM NM 3.5 2.2 4.1 3.5 7.2 14.9 7.3 3.9 11.8 5.9 10.2 4.5 6.0 NM NM 3.1 6.0 3.1 1.6 11.4 7.7 6.2 11.6 8.7 16.2 1.3 2.1 2.5 6.8 4.1 5.7 5.8
Company name Automobiles & Parts Nokian Renkaat Banks Standard Chartered Svenska Handelsbanken Nordea Basic Resources BHP Billiton Plc Antofagasta plc Chemicals Yara Linde AG Construction & Materials Vinci Financial Services ICAP plc Food & Beverages SABMiller Anheuser-Busch InBev Healthcare Rhoen-Klinikum Getinge Fresenius Medical Care Industrial Goods & Services Aggreko Serco Insurance Admiral Group Plc Mapfre S.A. Media Aegis Group PLC Oil & Gas Petrofac Dragon Oil PLC SeaDrill Ltd Personal & Household Goods Reckitt Benckiser Christian Dior Real Estate Corio Retail Tesco Hennes & Mauritz Technology Sage Group Iliad Telecoms Inmarsat Plc Telenor Travel & Leisure Sodexo Utilities Red Electrica de Espana SSE Plc Median
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
11
Europe
CommodityChemicals HeavyConstruction BuildingMaterials&Fixtures BuildingMaterials&Fixtures Aerospace BusinessSupportServices BusinessSupportServices BusinessTraining&EmploymentAgencies BusinessTraining&EmploymentAgencies CommercialVehicles&Trucks ElectricalComponents&Equipment ElectricalComponents&Equipment IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery IndustrialMachinery MarineTransportation Broadcasting&Entertainment OilEquipment&Services OilEquipment&Services Exploration&Production TelecommunicationsEquipment Software ComputerServices Airlines Hotels
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
12
Europe
13
Europe
Yes Yes
Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
9% 7% 5% 6% 6%
14
Europe
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
15
Europe
Automobiles&Parts SuzukiMotorCorp. HyundaiMotorCo.Ltd. Pirelli&C.S.p.A. Banks HSBCHoldingsPLC StandardCharteredPLC BancoSantanderS.A. BasicResources BHPBillitonPLC VedantaResourcesPLC FortescueMetalsGroupLtd. POSCO AngloAmericanPLC OZMineralsLtd. IlukaResourcesLimited Chemicals AveryDennisonCorp. MosaicCo. Construction&Materials FLSmidth&Co.A/S HolcimLtd. HealthCare PfizerInc. MylanInc. WatersCorp. IndustrialGoods&Services EmersonElectricCo. AtlasCopco DaikinIndustriesLtd. HitachiConstructionMachineryCo.Ltd. SumitomoRubber KomatsuLtd. ABBLtd. Oil&Gas SchlumbergerLtd. DiamondOffshoreDrillingInc. Personal&HouseholdGoods PhilipMorrisInternationalInc. BritishAmericanTobaccoPLC ShiseidoCo.Ltd. UnicharmCorp. LGElectronicsInc. SwatchGroupAG CompagnieFinanciereRichemontS.A. ColgatePalmoliveCo. MeadJohnsonNutrition Food&Beverage UnileverN.V. SABMillerPLC DanoneS.A. Technology TexasInstrumentsIncorporated QUALCOMMInc. EricssonLMShsB SamsungElectronicsCo.Ltd. Telecommunications Telenor Travel&Leisure Yum!BrandsInc. WynnResortsLtd. WhirlpoolCorp. Utilities AESCorp. Median
Japan Korea Italy UnitedKingdom UnitedKingdom Spain UnitedKingdom UnitedKingdom Australia Korea UnitedKingdom Australia Australia UnitedStates UnitedStates Denmark Switzerland UnitedStates UnitedStates UnitedStates UnitedStates Sweden Japan Japan Japan Japan Switzerland UnitedStates UnitedStates UnitedStates UnitedKingdom Japan Japan Korea Switzerland Switzerland UnitedStates UnitedStates Netherlands UnitedKingdom France UnitedStates UnitedStates Sweden Korea Norway UnitedStates UnitedStates UnitedStates UnitedStates
4.3% 1.1% 2.4% 0.9% 8.7% 3.1% 2.4% 3.3% 10.3% 2.8% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.9% 3.2% 0.8% 2.4% 2.5% 0.9% 1.6% 6.5% 3.4% 1.9% 1.3% 12.2% 2.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 2.4% 2.5% 5.1% 3.3% 1.8% 17.8% 3.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.7% 1.9% 7.2% 2.7% 2.0% 2.5% 11.9% 3.0% 3.5% 2.2% 3.2% 1.3% 1.3% 7.3% 2.8% 2.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.5%
12.4 43.3 5.3 175.9 55.2 72.1 65.5 4.6 12.7 26.2 41.3 2.4 3.8 3.3 15.3 3.1 22.0 178.0 10.5 7.2 36.8 28.7 8.0 3.6 2.9 21.0 42.4 90.8 9.0 142.7 98.4 5.4 10.8 11.6 22.9 35.5 49.1 13.3 62.1 67.6 40.7 33.1 105.0 29.1 198.1 30.8 32.5 10.9 7.5 7.4 24.5
14.3 6.5 9.3 10.6 10.6 14.9 10.6 10.0 9.6 10.5 13.5 14.5 8.3 16.4 11.1 11.0 18.9 11.1 10.0 16.8 14.6 14.2 13.4 9.9 6.5 10.4 13.8 16.2 13.7 16.4 15.4 22.9 24.5 17.5 15.2 16.7 19.4 21.6 18.0 18.3 16.5 18.2 16.0 16.4 8.8 13.6 22.0 19.8 13.8 8.2 14.3
12.2 6.1 7.9 9.3 9.7 8.4 10.7 6.4 8.2 8.7 10.3 15.6 6.0 13.7 10.2 10.0 14.5 10.5 9.3 15.4 13.6 14.3 11.3 10.0 5.9 9.8 12.1 13.8 12.4 14.7 14.2 19.5 21.1 10.3 13.8 14.7 17.6 19.5 16.3 16.3 15.3 16.9 14.0 12.3 7.7 11.2 19.2 17.7 10.9 7.8 12.2
33.3 89.2 27.6 0.5 11.2 52.1 22.0 0.1 14.6 24.4 54.6 48.4 19.3 6.7 5.1 16.9 56.7 6.1 26.5 2.5 5.0 7.9 31.2 41.7 23.3 3.5 13.1 15.6 31.5 6.8 6.4 32.4 10.2 252.6 16.4 25.6 6.4 9.0 12.1 11.9 4.5 26.7 15.8 23.9 71.8 28.5 13.9 2.2 4.2 17.3 6.6
17.1 6.5 18.1 13.3 8.9 77.0 1.3 55.9 18.2 20.8 31.4 7.1 38.8 19.1 8.6 10.0 30.3 6.5 7.8 9.6 7.1 0.4 18.3 1.0 11.2 6.1 13.5 17.0 11.0 11.5 9.1 17.3 16.2 69.7 9.7 13.4 10.3 10.9 10.1 12.5 7.9 8.0 13.9 33.0 13.7 20.5 14.7 12.3 27.0 4.9 12.4
1.0 1.4 1.7 1.1 1.3 0.7 NA 1.0 2.9 0.7 0.9 0.9 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.8 1.2 2.2 2.6 5.2 NA 5.4 1.2 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.5 2.6 2.0 NM 7.6 1.5 3.3 1.0 2.5 3.1 19.5 85.3 5.0 NA 2.3 3.0 3.0 1.3 1.8 2.2 14.2 NM 1.7 1.1 1.8
0.9 1.2 1.5 1.0 1.2 0.7 2.1 0.9 2.1 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.1 2.1 2.4 4.4 3.1 4.5 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.3 1.9 NM 7.2 1.4 3.0 0.9 2.2 2.6 20.7 25.5 4.4 2.4 2.2 2.9 2.7 1.2 1.5 2.1 12.1 22.0 1.5 1.0 1.9
0.9 0.8 4.1 4.6 3.7 10.7 3.7 3.3 2.0 3.0 2.6 2.6 5.8 3.3 1.4 2.9 1.7 3.6 0.0 0.0 3.2 3.4 1.7 2.8 2.6 2.7 3.8 1.6 5.4 3.8 4.2 4.7 0.8 0.3 1.6 1.1 2.3 1.8 3.3 2.3 2.9 2.4 1.5 4.5 0.5 4.8 1.7 8.8 2.1 0.4 2.7
1.0 0.9 4.9 5.0 4.0 10.7 3.9 3.4 2.0 3.1 2.7 2.6 8.1 3.3 1.9 3.5 2.3 3.8 0.0 0.0 3.3 3.6 1.7 3.0 2.9 2.8 4.1 1.6 5.4 4.2 4.6 4.7 0.9 0.3 1.8 1.3 2.6 2.0 3.6 2.6 3.1 2.8 1.7 4.8 0.5 5.7 1.9 3.7 2.1 1.5 2.9
6.9 23.1 18.5 10.2 12.3 4.5 23.9 9.4 35.9 6.8 7.0 6.0 25.8 12.7 15.8 16.3 6.3 19.8 30.3 33.1 23.9 42.5 9.1 8.2 16.4 15.1 17.9 17.0 14.9 NM 48.3 6.4 14.2 5.7 17.1 19.7 106.3 NA 29.9 14.5 14.4 16.4 20.6 8.9 21.1 13.2 71.8 46.8 9.4 14.1 16.3
7.5 20.8 19.6 11.0 12.9 8.1 19.9 14.1 28.7 7.7 8.6 5.4 28.3 12.9 15.2 16.9 8.0 20.6 27.2 30.8 24.1 34.4 10.1 7.6 15.7 14.8 18.4 18.0 15.4 NM 50.9 7.5 15.0 8.7 16.5 18.6 113.9 NA 28.3 14.6 14.4 16.3 18.2 9.8 20.8 19.3 69.1 62.3 15.0 12.9 16.0
16
Europe
GSSTEM50: EM Nifty 50
Key criteria: Emerging market companies with attractive valuation and potential to grow as global leaders in their sector. The estimates in Exhibit 17 are based on consensus forecasts.
Exhibit 17: Constituents of GSSTEM50
EM NIFTY 50 (GSSTEM50) P/E (x) Company name Country Weight Current market cap ($bn) 2012E 2013E EPS Growth (%) 2012E 2013E P/B (x) 2012E 2013E Dividend Yield (%) 2012E 2013E Return on Equity (%) 2012E 2013E
Automobiles&Parts HeroMotoCorpLtd. India Banks ItauUnibancoHoldingS/AADS Brazil StateBankofIndia India ChinaConstructionBankCorp. ChinaOffshore Industrial&CommercialBankofChinaLtd. ChinaOffshore SberbankofRussiaOJSC Russia BasicResources ValeS.A.ADS Brazil Evraz Russia SterliteIndustries(India)Ltd. India JSWSteelLtd. India JiangxiCopperCo.Ltd. ChinaOffshore AngangSteelCo.Ltd. ChinaOffshore ChinaShenhuaEnergyCo.Ltd. ChinaOffshore CompanhiaSiderurgicaNacionalADS Brazil FibriaCeluloseS.A.ADS Brazil Construction&Materials Larsen&ToubroLtd. India JaiprakashAssociatesLtd. India ChinaNationalBuildingMaterialCo.Ltd. ChinaOffshore FinancialServices HousingDevelopmentFinanceCorp.Ltd. India CieloS/A Brazil Food&Beverage ChinaMengniuDairyCo.Ltd. ChinaOffshore WantWantChinaHoldingsLtd. ChinaOffshore HealthCare MindrayMedicalInternationalLtd.ADS ChinaOffshore IndustrialGoods&Services ChinaShippingDevelopmentCo.Ltd. ChinaOffshore Insurance ChinaLifeInsuranceCo.Ltd.(China) ChinaOffshore Oil&Gas GazpromOAOADS Russia NovatekJtStkCoSponGdrRegS Russia RelianceIndustriesLtd. India CairnIndiaLtd. India CNOOCLtd. ChinaOffshore ChinaHighSpeedTransmissionEquipmentGroupCChinaOffshore PetrobrasPetroleoBrasileiro Brazil Personal&HouseholdGoods ITCLtd. India BelleInternationalHoldingsLtd. ChinaOffshore RealEstate UnitechLtd. India ChinaOverseasLand&InvestmentLtd. ChinaOffshore PDGRealtyS/AEmpreendimentoseParticipacoes Brazil Retail X5RetailGroupN.V. Russia MagnitGdr Russia ChinaDongxiangGroupCo.Ltd. ChinaOffshore LocalizaRentACarS/A Brazil TitanIndustries India Technology BaiduInc.ADS ChinaOffshore LenovoGroupLtd. ChinaOffshore TencentHoldingsLtd. ChinaOffshore Telecommunications VimpelComLtd.ADS Russia ChinaMobileLtd. ChinaOffshore MobileTeleSystemsADS Russia Utilities ChinaResourcesPowerHoldingsCo.Ltd. ChinaOffshore CPFLEnergiaS.A. Brazil Median
2.0% 2.0% 15.8% 3.2% 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 14.6% 3.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 0.6% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 6.3% 2.2% 1.5% 2.6% 4.5% 1.8% 2.7% 3.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 2.4% 2.4% 13.5% 2.9% 2.9% 2.0% 1.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.6% 4.3% 2.2% 2.1% 5.2% 0.7% 2.7% 1.8% 7.4% 1.3% 2.1% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 8.5% 3.4% 2.3% 2.8% 7.4% 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 1.3% 1.4%
7.0 63.3 26.4 184.6 219.8 60.6 97.6 5.0 6.2 3.0 10.5 4.0 73.8 7.9 5.1 18.2 3.5 3.8 22.3 17.3 5.1 18.4 NA 2.1 82.0 109.1 30.6 46.6 11.5 91.9 0.5 10.2 41.4 15.3 1.3 21.9 2.2 NA 13.5 0.7 3.5 4.7 NA 9.3 63.7 NA 223.4 15.0 9.8 10.5 12.5
16.3 9.1 8.3 6.1 6.2 5.5 8.4 35.8 6.1 10.1 10.2 NM 10.8 NM NM 19.9 18.9 8.6 25.8 15.2 21.9 33.9 19.8 NM 38.5 2.8 13.1 12.3 6.3 8.8 8.6 NA 31.9 20.1 18.9 10.9 NM 17.6 24.0 20.7 29.1 36.4 21.9 16.3 30.5 10.2 11.1 9.6 11.1 14.7 13.9
15.3 8.3 7.1 6.0 6.1 5.3 7.9 13.6 5.3 8.3 9.7 99.6 10.2 19.8 318.6 17.9 15.2 6.7 22.0 14.0 17.0 27.8 16.9 26.2 16.8 2.8 10.4 12.0 6.3 8.8 7.7 NA 26.9 17.3 13.9 9.5 9.2 13.4 20.5 16.9 18.6 29.5 17.2 13.4 24.0 9.3 11.0 9.1 9.3 15.5 13.4
2.0 7.6 18.0 11.8 10.8 7.0 50.7 78.1 7.4 16.3 16.8 38.1 3.1 111.0 41.2 8.6 1.8 34.5 15.6 2.7 8.7 28.1 17.3 129.7 25.7 15.5 21.3 4.1 32.4 7.0 38.2 NA 19.1 11.9 10.0 18.6 135.4 10.8 58.3 122.2 17.1 26.6 57.0 33.3 28.7 72.1 0.8 37.3 52.4 4.1 7.4
7.0 9.7 16.4 1.6 2.4 3.3 7.0 163.8 13.4 20.9 4.5 109.2 5.6 296.8 105.5 10.9 24.9 28.2 17.6 8.7 28.9 22.0 17.3 248.3 129.8 1.8 26.6 3.2 0.3 0.1 11.6 NA 18.6 16.0 35.9 15.3 271.4 31.3 16.8 22.5 57.0 23.2 27.5 21.8 27.1 9.5 0.6 5.8 19.3 5.6 13.4
7.3 1.6 NA 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.9 NA 0.9 1.3 0.6 2.0 2.0 0.7 3.1 1.6 1.5 5.2 14.0 2.5 11.6 2.9 0.5 2.4 0.4 3.4 1.4 1.2 1.8 0.4 NA 11.0 4.2 NA 2.0 0.6 1.9 5.4 0.7 5.5 14.1 8.7 3.5 9.6 1.2 1.9 5.2 1.4 3.0 1.9
5.9 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.6 1.8 1.7 0.7 2.7 1.5 1.2 4.5 11.8 2.3 9.9 2.5 0.5 2.1 0.4 2.7 1.3 1.0 1.6 0.4 NA 9.6 3.6 0.5 1.7 0.5 1.7 4.5 0.7 4.5 10.7 5.8 3.0 6.9 1.1 1.8 3.6 1.3 3.0 1.6
2.6 3.2 1.8 5.6 5.6 3.0 6.5 2.5 NA 1.3 2.1 0.0 3.6 2.2 0.0 1.1 0.7 1.7 1.5 4.4 1.0 1.9 1.2 0.0 0.9 5.3 2.3 1.1 2.6 2.4 0.0 NA 1.8 1.5 NA 1.8 1.2 0.0 0.5 3.5 1.0 0.7 0.0 2.0 0.4 7.5 3.9 6.8 2.8 6.2 1.8
2.7 3.8 2.1 5.7 5.6 3.6 3.6 2.1 2.0 1.4 2.1 0.0 3.7 2.2 0.0 1.2 0.9 2.2 1.8 5.2 1.3 2.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 5.5 3.1 1.2 3.1 2.6 2.7 NA 2.2 1.8 0.4 2.1 2.3 0.0 0.5 3.7 1.3 0.9 0.0 2.5 0.5 7.5 3.9 8.3 3.3 6.2 2.2
51.4 18.6 16.5 21.8 22.3 23.9 13.2 5.0 11.7 9.7 13.5 NM 19.4 NM NM 16.8 8.4 17.7 22.4 117.1 12.2 37.8 16.1 0.1 9.3 14.9 26.4 11.6 19.7 22.7 4.4 NA 35.8 22.5 NA 20.2 5.7 11.5 24.9 3.7 19.4 43.8 50.5 23.1 36.5 11.6 18.4 45.2 13.1 20.7 18.6
42.5 18.6 17.0 19.3 20.0 20.7 13.6 6.3 11.7 10.8 12.9 1.0 17.8 13.6 0.0 16.4 10.1 18.0 21.9 90.8 13.9 39.6 16.3 1.8 13.2 13.2 26.7 11.1 17.2 19.8 5.0 NA 37.5 22.4 4.1 19.9 9.0 13.4 22.5 4.0 25.3 40.6 40.6 24.1 33.4 12.7 16.8 45.6 14.1 18.7 17.0
17
Europe
AgeasSA/NV
Personal & Household Goods Richemont Hermes International LVMH Moet-Hennessy Louis Vuitton Burberry The Swatch Group (Bearer share) Technology STMicroelectronics Infineon Nokia ASM International NV
22.4% 23.6% 28.5% 25.0% 20.4% 41.1% 26.0% 15.0% 15.7% 30.9%
4.9 2.5 8.4 2.6 4.7 2.1 0.8 1.7 1.0 2.0
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
18
Europe
FiatSpA
Basic Resources
SSAB
Chemicals Brenntag AG Lonza Group Construction & Materials CRH Hochtief AG Financial Services ICAP plc Food & Beverage Tate & Lyle Anheuser-Busch InBev Health Care Actelion AstraZeneca Essilor Fresenius Medical Care GlaxoSmithKline Novozymes Roche Shire Smith & Nephew Industrial Goods & Services BAE Systems Bunzl Cobham Experian Meggitt Rexam Wolseley Median
2.8 3.1 2.3 3.5 2.1 10.7 4.8 6.9 2.8 2.2
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
19
Europe
LloydsBankingGroupPlc
Industrial Goods & Services
3.3%
13.3%
30.5 4.8 2.7 3.6 2.8 2.9 8.2 7.0 13.3 3.5 1.9 2.4 2.0 6.3 4.8 3.4 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.2 26.0 17.6 0.0 0.0 2.3 16.8 2.5 3.7 13.5 4.6
4.7
13.8 11.7 14.7 13.7 12.2 9.5 17.1 14.0 16.1 16.8 15.2 14.4 23.0 18.1 23.1 11.1 9.7 13.4 11.0 9.3 8.6 16.9 12.0 11.6 12.9 15.3 14.8 12.4 14.0
13.8
0.7 5.1 1.2 3.6 2.4 18.2 3.4 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.2 19.5 2.4 1.4 7.3 3.0 2.4 1.3 2.8 2.8 4.0 2.4 2.5
2.4
BritishSkyBroadcasting ITVplc
Personal & Household Goods
3.3% 3.3%
10.0%
BTGroup
Travel & Leisure
3.3%
6.7%
Whitbread WilliamHill
Utilities
3.3% 3.3%
20.0%
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
20
Europe
GKN
Banks
3.3%
3.3%
3.5 35.8 13.0 3.2 107.6 61.8 23.4 1.6 41.9 65.9 3.5 40.3 69.2 9.7 5.7 5.8 3.9 3.7 3.1 4.6 0.0 7.4 2.7 60.1 5.5 27.5 24.2 9.6 2.5 83.5
8.5
10.0 11.4 15.8 9.9 11.7 10.9 14.0 30.1 17.9 17.1 13.2 7.3 12.1 12.5 11.3 21.4 12.7 11.7 11.9 22.0 10.8 12.3 17.8 14.9 19.0 15.2 11.8 58.9 15.7 11.2
12.6
2.1 1.3 3.0 1.0 2.5 1.7 1.0 1.2 2.6 5.1 2.5 9.1 3.6 2.4
StandardChartered
Basic Resources
3.3%
16.7%
ManGroup
Food & Beverage
3.3%
10.0%
ARMHoldingsplc
Telecommunications
3.3%
6.7%
InmarsatPlc Vodafone
Median
3.3% 3.3%
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database.
21
Europe
Italy Italy Italy Portugal France Spain Italy Spain France Germany Spain Spain Ireland France Netherlands Finland Italy Italy Germany Germany France Germany Belgium France Portugal Italy Spain Italy Portugal Italy
16.9 8.7 12.3 NA 9.1 31.3 11.2 13.2 15.6 15.8 20.1 0.0 6.7 5.9 4.8 10.2 11.6 9.3 11.5 12.8 10.3 8.8 22.3 8.5 21.8 22.1 23.7 17.4 21.4 NA 12.1
0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.5 2.2 1.0 1.5 1.3 15.6 0.0 0.8 NA 0.6 NA 1.9 NA 1.6 NA 1.5 1.3 NA 0.9 3.9 0.8 0.9 0.6 1.5 NA 1.1
Belgium Netherlands Netherlands France France France France Germany Germany Belgium Germany France Germany Belgium Finland Belgium Netherlands Netherlands Italy Spain Austria Italy Italy Italy Italy Spain Portugal Spain
22
Europe
France France Germany France Netherlands Finland Germany Germany France Germany Belgium France Belgium Netherlands Netherlands France France France France Germany Germany Netherlands Germany France Germany Belgium Finland Belgium Netherlands Netherlands Austria
9.1 15.6 15.8 5.9 4.8 10.2 11.5 12.8 10.3 8.8 22.3 8.5 11.9 11.9 14.6 12.2 17.6 15.3 16.0 17.2 18.3 16.4 19.7 25.9 14.9 10.0 11.8 6.8 6.7 16.4 16.9 12.8
0.6
1.6 1.5 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.2 1.1
23
Europe
Italy Italy Italy Portugal Spain Italy Spain Spain Ireland Italy Italy Spain Portugal Italy Spain Italy Portugal Italy Italy Spain Italy Italy Italy Italy Spain Portugal Spain
31.3 11.2 20.1 6.7 11.6 9.3 13.2 21.8 22.1 23.7 17.4 21.4
5.7 11.3 8.6 7.9 11.5 12.3 8.3 7.2 8.7 11.5
0.5 2.7 0.6 0.4 1.9 2.0 1.6 0.8 2.1 0.9
6.2% 0.0% 5.2% 5.1% 7.5% 6.7% 8.4% 9.4% 7.5% 4.2%
24
Europe
Italy Italy Italy Spain Spain Portugal Ireland Spain Italy Ireland Spain Italy Italy Italy Spain Italy Italy Spain Italy Portugal Portugal Spain Spain Ireland Spain Spain Spain
Source: Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, Quantum database, I/B/E/S via FactSet.
25
10
20
30
40
-10
Results presented should not and cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance. Further details on performance calculations can be provided upon request.
Transportation - Airlines Banks - Domestic UK Banks - Domestic European Life Assurance Banks - Investment Banks UK Homebuilders Hospitality & Leisure IT Services Banks - Nordic Software Re-Insurance General Retail Telecoms - Alternative Carriers Electrical Equipment Paper & Forest Products Business Services - Defensive Biotechnology Banks - Global Retail Banks - Brokers & Asset Managers Oil Services Building materials Household & Personal Products Utilities - Hybrid Machinery Trucks Beverages Food Products Chemicals - Modern Real Estate Media - Business Publishers Pharmaceuticals Oil Refiners Gaming Transportation - Infrastructure Business Services - Staffing Chemicals - Fertilizers Media - Advertising Chemicals - Traditional Food Retail Medical Technology Integrated Oil & Gas Luxury Goods Business Services - Cyclical Oil Exploration & Production Defence Transportation - Road & Rail Construction Insurance Semiconductors Media - Broadcasters Basic Resources - Mining Utilities - Regulated Civil Aerospace Auto Components Automobiles Exchanges Telecoms - Wireline (Incumbents) Basic Resources - Steel Tobacco Communications Equipment Utilities - Unregulated Renewables Utilities - Water Telecoms - Wireless
Europe
26
Europe
Our sub-sector baskets aim to fill a gap in the market for sector products, providing focused yet liquid exposure to true sectors
The market for sector products in Europe is less developed than in the US. As a result, mainly broad, market cap-weighted sector indices are tradeable on-exchange with sufficient liquidity. Often these sector indices do not capture industry dynamics accurately, as they include unrelated sub-sectors and they tend to be concentrated on large caps owing to their market cap weighting. Sector indices are usually based on major European benchmark indices that are broken down according to a sector classification system (shown in Exhibit 27), mainly according to their principal business activity, i.e., the business making the largest revenue contribution. The two prevalent sector classification systems in Europe are ICB (Industry Classification Benchmark) and GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard). STOXX and FTSE follow ICB, while MSCI and S&P follow GICS. Exhibit 27: Benchmark indices are broken down into sectors based on ICB or GICS sector classification systems
Index provider STOXX FTSE MSCI S&P Level 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Classification 10 industries 19 supersectors 39 sectors 104 subsectors 10 sectors 24 industry groups 67 industries 147 sub-industries Index DJ EURO STOXX Stoxx Europe 600 FTSE 350 FTSE All Share MSCI Europe MSCI Pan-Euro S&P Europe 350 S&P Euro Market cap. (, bn) 3,252 6,727 2,278 2,306 6,548 5,407 6,085 2,887 Bloomberg SXXE SXXP NMX ASX MXEU MSPE SPE SPEU Region EMU Europe UK UK Europe Europe Europe EMU No of stocks 309 600 356 621 462 201 350 178
Source: STOXX, FTSE, MSCI, S&P, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research.
Exchange-listed sector indices in Europe are mainly at level 1 and 2, which are usually too broad and diverse to capture sub-sector specific or industry dynamics. For example, the STOXX Europe 600 Household & Personal Products sector (SXQP) consists of the household & personal products, luxury goods, tobacco and UK homebuilders sub-sectors as well as Philips. In our view, using revenue as the classification criteria can be too crude to capture industry dynamics properly and is difficult to apply to conglomerates. For sector-based investment strategies, for example, capturing intra-sector relative value or sector rotation, companies within a sector should be exposed to the same fundamental risk factors. Only then will the stocks have similar return characteristics and thus high co-movement (for example, correlation or co-integration) these are what we call true sectors. While level 3 and 4 sectors can be narrow enough, they often do not have a sufficient number of companies to achieve diversification. Our sub-sectors consist of companies that are driven by the same fundamental factors in order to create homogeneous peer groups. Fundamental factors can be at the macro level (such as consumption, GDP growth, exposure to BRICs or commodity prices) or at the micro level (such as corporate activity and LBOs, industry life cycle and restructuring).
GICS
ICB
27
Europe
Concentration on large-cap companies can create specific risk in market cap-weighted indices
The distribution of market capitalisations in equity markets is usually skewed towards large-cap companies. This can lead to undesired stock-specific risks in indices if they are market-cap weighted. This concentration in large-cap companies can make benchmarking problematic for long-only managers and cause problems for hedging market exposures effectively. As a result of a lower number of constituents, for sector indices the concentration in large-cap companies is often magnified (shown in Exhibit 28). This will reduce the degree of diversification further and can lead to stock-specific risks. As a result, it is difficult for investors seeking to gain or hedge sector exposure to do so via market capitalisation-weighted sector indices. Based on current weightings, the most concentrated STOXX sectors (STOXX Europe 600 (SXXP) covering Pan-Europe and EURO STOXX (SXXE) covering Euro area) appear to be oil & gas (SXEP), healthcare (SXNP), telecommunications (SXKP) and autos (SXAP). Those sectors have effective Ns between 7 and 9 and are likely to be concentrated on a few large-cap stocks. Exhibit 28: Sector indices concentration
Telecomunications
Technology
Household Goods
Basic Resources
Healthcare
Insurance
Utilities
Financial Services
Industrial Goods
Automobiles
Construction
35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
Oil & Gas
28
Europe
Our equal weight sub-sectors provide focused and diversified exposure to true sectors this is illustrated by the larger dispersion of returns between them
To fill the gap in the European market for sector products, we have created tradable equally weighted sub-sector baskets around narrowly defined industries that aim to decrease intra-sector dispersion and increase inter-sector dispersion. We allow overlaps between the sub-sectors if companies have exposures to several industries, and aim to strike a balance between relevance and diversification with the number of companies included. Our sub-sectors can be used as peer groups for a variety of investment and valuation strategies and also for hedging single stock positions. Stocks included in the sub-sectors are screened for liquidity and borrowability, allowing investors to gain either long or short exposure at a reasonable transaction cost. As shown in Exhibit 29, the rolling 6-month difference between lowest and highest returns since 1998 was higher for GSSBs than for STOXX Europe 600 sectors. This also suggests a higher potential for sector-selection strategies. In this case, identifying the better and worse performing sectors and constructing a long/short portfolio to implement this view should deliver higher potential alpha relative to market returns. Exhibit 29: The dispersion between the GSSB sectors is higher
Y-axis shows the difference between lowest and highest return (6-month rolling)
0% 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
29
Europe
SXMP SXRP
Media Retail
Consumer services
SX7P
Banks
Financials
Banks
Financials
Diversified Financial Services Real Estate Insurance Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life sciences Health Care Equipment & Services
Healthcare
SXDP
Healthcare
Health Care
Electrical Equipment Capital Goods Electrical Equipment Transportation Capital Goods Materials
SXOP
SXEP
Energy
Energy Technology Hardware & Equipment Software & Services Technology Hardware & Equipment Software & Services Telecommunication Services
Technology
SX8P
Technology
Information Technology
Telecommunications
SXKP
Telecommunications
Telecommunication Services
Utilities
SX6P
Utilities
Utilities
Utilities
30
Europe
GSSB Constituents
Exhibit 31: GSSB Constituents
STOXX sector
GSSB
Name Ticker Currency Company name Anheuser-Busch InBev NV Carlsberg A/S Davide Campari-Milano SpA Diageo PLC Heineken NV Pernod-Ricard SA Remy Cointreau SA SABMiller PLC Associated British Foods PLC Groupe Danone Kerry Group PLC Nestle SA Nutreco Holding NV Suedzucker AG Tate & Lyle PLC Unilever NV K+S AG Syngenta AG Yara International ASA Air Liquide Bayer AG Givaudan SA Johnson Matthey PLC Linde AG Lonza Group AG Syngenta AG Akzo Nobel NV BASF AG Clariant AG Koninklijke DSM NV Lanxess AG Solvay SA E.ON AG Endesa SA Enel SpA Energias de Portugal SA Gas Natural SDG SA GDF Suez Iberdrola SA National Grid PLC Pennon Group PLC Red Electrica de Espana Severn Trent PLC Snam Rete Gas SpA Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale SpA United Utilities PLC Centrica PLC Drax Group PLC Electricite de France Fortum Oyj RWE AG Scottish & Southern Energy PLC Suez Environnement SA Veolia Environnement Verbund - Oesterreichische Elektrizitaetswirtschafts AG Pennon Group PLC Severn Trent PLC United Utilities PLC Veolia Environnement Bloomberg ABI BB CARLB DC CPR IM DGE LN HEIA NA RI FP RCO FP SAB LN ABF LN BN FP KYG ID NESN VX NUO NA SZU GY TATE LN UNA NA SDF GY SYNN VX YAR NO AI FP BAYN GY GIVN VX JMAT LN LIN GY LONN VX SYNN VX AKZA NA BAS GY CLN VX DSM NA LXS GY SOLB BB EOAN GY ELE SQ ENEL IM EDP PL GAS SQ GSZ FP IBE SQ NG/ LN PNN LN REE SQ SVT LN SRG IM TRN IM UU/ LN CNA LN DRX LN EDF FP FUM1V FH RWE GY SSE LN SEV FP VIE FP VER AV PNN LN SVT LN UU/ LN VIE FP SEDOL 4755317 4169219 B08BR25 0237400 7792559 4682329 4741714 0483548 0673123 B1Y9TB3 0490656 7123870 5183359 5784462 0875413 B12T3J1 B54C017 4356646 7751259 B1YXBJ7 5069211 5980613 B70FPS6 5740817 7333378 4356646 5458314 5086577 7113990 B0HZL93 B05M8B7 4821100 4942904 5271782 7144569 4103596 5650422 B0C2CQ3 B288C92 B08SNH3 B18V863 5723777 B1FH8J7 7251470 B01BN57 B39J2M4 B033F22 B1VNSX3 B0NJJ17 5579550 4768962 0790873 B3B8D04 4031879 4661607 B18V863 B1FH8J7 B39J2M4 4031879 RIC ABI.BR CARLb.CO CPRI.MI DGE.L HEIN.AS PERP.PA RCOP.PA SAB.L ABF.L DANO.PA KYGa.I NESN.VX NUTR.AS SZUG.DE TATE.L UNc.AS SDFGn.DE SYNN.VX YAR.OL AIRP.PA BAYGn.DE GIVN.VX JMAT.L LING.DE LONN.VX SYNN.VX AKZO.AS BASFn.DE CLN.VX DSMN.AS LXSG.DE SOLB.BR EONGn.DE ELE.MC ENEI.MI EDP.LS GAS.MC GSZ.PA IBE.MC NG.L PNN.L REE.MC SVT.L SRG.MI TRN.MI UU.L CNA.L DRX.L EDF.PA FUM1V.HE RWEG.DE SSE.L SEVI.PA VIE.PA VERB.VI PNN.L SVT.L UU.L VIE.PA
Weight
STOXX GSSB 10.0% 12.5% 1.5% 12.5% 0.3% 12.5% 11.7% 12.5% 2.2% 12.5% 3.6% 12.5% 0.4% 12.5% 7.0% 12.5% 1.3% 12.5% 6.1% 12.5% 1.2% 12.5% 29.9% 12.5% 0.4% 12.5% 0.4% 12.5% 0.9% 12.5% 9.3% 12.5% 2.2% 33.3% 10.6% 33.3% 2.4% 33.3% 10.9% 14.3% 15.6% 14.3% 2.2% 14.3% 2.3% 14.3% 9.1% 14.3% 0.3% 14.3% 10.6% 14.3% 3.8% 16.7% 22.5% 16.7% 0.9% 16.7% 2.6% 16.7% 1.9% 16.7% 2.1% 16.7% 12.5% 14.3% 0.6% 14.3% 7.8% 14.3% 2.0% 14.3% 1.6% 14.3% 9.9% 14.3% 6.6% 14.3% 14.2% 14.3% 1.3% 14.3% 1.7% 14.3% 2.0% 14.3% 2.5% 14.3% 1.6% 14.3% 2.4% 14.3% 8.9% 11.1% 1.1% 11.1% 1.8% 11.1% 2.6% 11.1% 7.0% 11.1% 7.1% 11.1% 0.9% 11.1% 1.4% 11.1% 0.5% 11.1% 1.3% 25.0% 2.0% 25.0% 2.4% 25.0% 1.4% 25.0%
Beverages
GSSBBEVS
EUR
Food Products
GSSBFOOP
EUR
Chemicals Fertilizers
GSSBCHFE
EUR
SX4P
EUR
Chemicals Traditional
GSSBCHTR
EUR
Utilities - Hybrid
GSSBUTHY
EUR
EUR
Utilities Unregulated
GSSBUTUR
EUR
Utilities - Water
GSSBUTIW
EUR
Market cap. (US$, mn) 135,482 13,983 4,337 72,452 36,433 28,366 5,382 68,405 17,650 40,358 8,817 204,379 2,661 7,423 5,604 109,157 8,338 35,314 12,688 36,267 70,032 8,985 7,458 30,393 2,438 35,314 12,816 74,876 3,121 10,024 6,461 10,087 37,488 21,067 32,939 9,100 14,989 51,025 30,180 39,977 3,853 6,077 5,786 14,356 7,337 7,011 25,655 3,453 35,777 15,401 25,585 21,046 5,211 5,108 7,604 3,853 5,786 7,011 5,108
3M ADV (US$, mn) 146 26 12 116 56 58 8 87 21 116 12 253 8 12 17 134 50 73 41 87 198 20 20 86 12 73 50 228 26 45 47 34 142 6 155 11 27 101 166 66 11 28 15 44 24 35 41 8 24 30 108 40 14 34 3 11 15 35 34
SX6P
SX3P
31
Europe
GSSB
Name Ticker Currency Company name BNP Paribas SA Societe Generale SA Deutsche Bank AG UBS AG Credit Suisse Group AG Barclays PLC BNP Paribas Credit Agricole SA Commerzbank AG Intesa Sanpaolo SpA KBC Groep NV Mediobanca SpA Natixis Nordea Bank AB Societe Generale UniCredit SpA Barclays PLC Lloyds TSB Group PLC Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA Banco Santander Central Hispano SA HSBC Holdings PLC Standard Chartered PLC Danske Bank A/S DnB NOR ASA Nordea Bank AB Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB Svenska Handelsbanken AB Bolsas y Mercados Espanoles Deutsche Boerse AG London Stock Exchange Group PLC British Land Co PLC Capital Shopping Centres Group PLC Castellum AB Corio NV Derwent London PLC Eurocommercial Properties NV Fonciere Des Regions Gecina SA Hammerson PLC ICADE IMMOFINANZ AG Klepierre Land Securities Group PLC PSP Swiss Property AG Segro PLC Swiss Prime Site AG Unibail-Rodamco Wereldhave NV Alcatel-Lucent Nokia OYJ Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson Atos Origin SA Cap Gemini SA Indra Sistemas SA Tietoenator Oyj Aixtron AG ARM Holdings Plc ASM International NV ASML Holding NV Infineon Technologies AG STMicroelectronics NV Dassault Systemes SA Sage Group PLC SAP AG Software AG Bloomberg BNP FP GLE FP DBK GY UBSN VX CSGN VX BARC LN BNP FP ACA FP CBK GY ISP IM KBC BB MB IM KN FP NDA SS GLE FP UCG IM BARC LN LLOY LN RBS LN BBVA SQ SAN SQ HSBA LN STAN LN DANSKE DC DNB NO NDA SS SEBA SS SHBA SS BME SQ DB1 GY LSE LN BLND LN CSCG LN CAST SS CORA NA DLN LN ECMPA NA FDR FP GFC FP HMSO LN ICAD FP IIA AV LI FP LAND LN PSPN SE SGRO LN SPSN VX UL FP WHA NA ALU FP NOK1V FH ERICB SS ATO FP CAP FP IDR SQ TIE1V FH AIXA GY ARM LN ASM NA ASML NA IFX GY STM FP DSY FP SGE LN SAP GY SOW GY SEDOL 7309681 5966516 5750355 B18YFJ4 7171589 3134865 7309681 7262610 4325538 4076836 4497749 4574813 B1HDJL2 5380031 5966516 B5M1SM3 3134865 0870612 B7T7721 5501906 5705946 0540528 0408284 4588825 4263304 5380031 4813345 5703661 B18S767 7021963 B0SWJX3 0136701 0683434 B0XP0T0 4929286 0265274 4798271 7745638 7742468 0406501 4554406 5679911 7582556 3180943 B012877 B5ZN1N8 B083BH4 7076242 4948623 5975006 5902941 5959378 5654781 4163437 4476210 5479702 5468346 0059585 5165294 5949368 5889505 5962332 5330047 0802165 4846288 4755135 RIC BNPP.PA SOGN.PA DBKGn.DE UBSN.VX CSGN.VX BARC.L BNPP.PA CAGR.PA CBKG.DE ISP.MI KBC.BR MDBI.MI CNAT.PA NDA.ST SOGN.PA CRDI.MI BARC.L LLOY.L RBS.L BBVA.MC SAN.MC HSBA.L STAN.L DANSKE.CO DNB.OL NDA.ST SEBa.ST SHBa.ST BME.MC DB1Gn.DE LSE.L BLND.L CSCG.L CAST.ST COR.AS DLN.L SIPFc.AS FDR.PA GFCP.PA HMSO.L ICAD.PA IMFI.VI LOIM.PA LAND.L PSPN.S SGRO.L SPSN.VX UNBP.PA WEHA.AS ALUA.PA NOK1V.HE ERICb.ST ATOS.PA CAPP.PA IDR.MC TIE1V.HE AIXGn.DE ARM.L ASMI.AS ASML.AS IFXGn.DE STM.PA DAST.PA SGE.L SAPG.DE SOWG.DE
Weight
STOXX GSSB 6.5% 16.7% 3.0% 16.7% 4.8% 16.7% 6.6% 16.7% 3.4% 16.7% 4.7% 16.7% 6.5% 10.0% 0.9% 10.0% 0.9% 10.0% 2.6% 10.0% 0.4% 10.0% 0.3% 10.0% 0.3% 10.0% 2.7% 10.0% 3.0% 10.0% 2.9% 10.0% 4.7% 33.3% 3.7% 33.3% 1.0% 33.3% 5.1% 25.0% 8.5% 25.0% 21.0% 25.0% 5.4% 25.0% 1.1% 20.0% 1.3% 20.0% 2.7% 20.0% 1.5% 20.0% 2.0% 20.0% 1.5% 33.3% 11.2% 33.3% 2.9% 33.3% 7.4% 5.6% 3.2% 5.6% 2.2% 5.6% 2.7% 5.6% 3.3% 5.6% 1.2% 5.6% 2.2% 5.6% 2.3% 5.6% 5.3% 5.6% 2.0% 5.6% 3.7% 5.6% 3.4% 5.6% 9.8% 5.6% 3.4% 5.6% 2.7% 5.6% 4.2% 5.6% 19.8% 5.6% 1.2% 5.6% 1.3% 33.3% 5.1% 33.3% 13.2% 33.3% 1.8% 25.0% 3.1% 25.0% NA 25.0% NA 25.0% 0.6% 16.7% 7.9% 16.7% 0.7% 16.7% 11.7% 16.7% 3.7% 16.7% NA 16.7% 3.3% 25.0% 3.0% 25.0% 30.8% 25.0% 1.2% 25.0%
Investment banks
GSSBBKIB
EUR
GSSBBKDE
EUR
GSSBBKDU GSSBBKGL
GBP EUR
Banks - Nordic
GSSBBKNO
EUR
SXFP
Exchanges
GSSBEXCH
EUR
Real Estate
GSSBREAL
EUR
GSSBCOMM GSSBITSE
EUR EUR
Semiconductors
GSSBSEMI
EUR
Software
GSSBSFTW
EUR
Market cap. (US$, mn) 64,538 25,135 40,161 58,788 30,331 46,125 64,538 17,939 10,047 25,974 8,850 4,910 10,069 35,456 25,135 25,934 46,125 52,021 49,239 43,118 73,829 177,856 55,933 16,038 19,740 35,456 17,236 21,839 1,698 10,452 4,195 7,452 4,608 2,254 4,070 3,290 1,471 4,456 6,929 5,344 4,510 4,293 7,142 9,818 4,028 2,711 4,220 20,088 1,261 2,582 10,110 28,508 5,747 6,472 1,792 1,361 1,236 15,772 1,867 28,595 7,144 5,078 13,100 5,881 88,271 3,527
3M ADV (US$, mn) 255 190 301 182 145 160 255 120 93 261 38 40 15 55 190 383 160 128 50 570 773 186 102 24 33 55 46 45 6 45 7 19 7 3 16 6 4 5 5 12 4 7 6 21 7 5 9 70 6 35 90 70 18 32 6 2 8 53 8 126 57 20 19 NA 191 7
SX8P
SX86P
SX7P
32
Europe
GSSB
Name Ticker Currency Company name Actelion Ltd Grifols SA Lonza Group AG Novozymes A/S Qiagen NV Cie Generale d'Optique Essilor International SA Coloplast A/S Elekta AB Fresenius AG Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co KGaA Getinge AB GN Store Nord A/S Nobel Biocare Holding AG Rhoen Klinikum AG Smith & Nephew PLC Sonova Holding AG AstraZeneca PLC Bayer AG GlaxoSmithKline PLC Merck KGaA Novartis AG Novo Nordisk A/S Roche Holding AG Sanofi-Aventis Shire PLC Stada Arzneimittel AG UCB SA BG Group PLC BP PLC ENI SpA OMV AG Repsol YPF SA Royal Dutch Shell PLC Statoil ASA Total SA Afren PLC Cairn Energy Plc Lundin Petroleum AB Etablissements Maurel et Prom NovaTek OAO Premier Oil PLC Tullow Oil PLC ERG SpA Essar Energy PLC Neste Oil OYJ Saras SpA Aker Solutions ASA AMEC PLC Cie Generale de Geophysique-Veritas Fred Olsen Energy ASA Fugro NV John Wood Group PLC Petrofac Ltd Petroleum Geo-Services ASA ProSafe SE Saipem SpA SBM Offshore NV SeaDrill Ltd Subsea 7 SA Technip SA Tecnicas Reunidas SA TGS Nopec Geophysical Co ASA Bloomberg ATLN VX GRF SQ LONN VX NZYMB DC QIA GY EI FP COLOB DC EKTAB SS FRE GY FME GY GETIB SS GN DC NOBN SW RHK GY SN/ LN SOON VX AZN LN BAYN GY GSK LN MRK GY NOVN VX NOVOB DC ROG VX SAN FP SHP LN SAZ GY UCB BB BG/ LN BP/ LN ENI IM OMV AV REP SQ RDSA NA STL NO FP FP AFR LN CNE LN LUPE SS MAU FP NVTK LI PMO LN TLW LN ERG IM ESSR LN NES1V FH SRS IM AKSO NO AMEC LN GA FP FOE NO FUR NA WG/ LN PFC LN PGS NO PRS NO SPM IM SBMO NA SDRL NO SUBC NO TEC FP TRE SQ TGS NO SEDOL B1YD5Q2 B01SPF2 7333378 B798FW0 5732825 7212477 B04TZX0 B0M42T2 4352097 5129074 7698356 4501093 7385722 4717629 0922320 7156036 0989529 5069211 0925288 4741844 7103065 7077524 7110388 5671735 B2QKY05 5386750 5596991 0876289 0798059 7145056 4651459 5669354 B09CBL4 7133608 B15C557 B067275 B74CDH8 7187627 B05DY78 B0DK750 B43G057 0150080 5337093 B5SXPF5 B06YV46 B04F679 B1VLVW7 0028262 4215394 5344101 B096LW7 B5N0P84 B0H2K53 B1L7YL5 B1L9DW5 4768768 B156T57 B09RMQ1 5258246 4874160 B16FTB9 B15SLC4 RIC ATLN.VX GRLS.MC LONN.VX NZYMb.CO QGEN.DE ESSI.PA COLOb.CO EKTAb.ST FREG.DE FMEG.DE GETIb.ST GN.CO NOBN.S RHKG.DE SN.L SOON.VX AZN.L BAYGn.DE GSK.L MRCG.DE NOVN.VX NOVOb.CO ROG.VX SASY.PA SHP.L STAGn.DE UCB.BR BG.L BP.L ENI.MI OMVV.VI REP.MC RDSa.AS STL.OL TOTF.PA AFRE.L CNE.L LUPE.ST MAUP.PA NVTKq.L PMO.L TLW.L ERG.MI ESSR.L NES1V.HE SRS.MI AKSO.OL AMEC.L GEPH.PA FOE.OL FUGRc.AS WG.L PFC.L PGS.OL PRSO.OL SPMI.MI SBMO.AS SDRL.OL SUBC.OL TECF.PA TRE.MC TGS.OL
Weight
STOXX GSSB 0.7% 20.0% 0.6% 20.0% 0.3% 20.0% 0.8% 20.0% 0.5% 20.0% 2.5% 9.1% 0.6% 9.1% 0.6% 9.1% 1.8% 9.1% 1.8% 9.1% 0.8% 9.1% 0.3% 9.1% NA 9.1% 0.3% 9.1% 1.2% 9.1% 0.7% 9.1% 7.3% 9.1% 15.6% 9.1% 13.6% 9.1% 1.1% 9.1% 21.1% 9.1% 8.4% 9.1% 15.5% 9.1% 13.6% 9.1% 2.0% 9.1% 0.2% 9.1% 0.7% 9.1% 9.4% 12.5% 21.7% 12.5% 10.1% 12.5% 0.8% 12.5% 2.6% 12.5% 15.0% 12.5% 4.3% 12.5% 14.8% 12.5% 0.4% 14.3% 0.4% 14.3% 0.9% 14.3% 0.2% 14.3% NA 14.3% 0.5% 14.3% 3.4% 14.3% NA 25.0% NA 25.0% 0.3% 25.0% NA 25.0% 0.5% 6.3% 0.9% 6.3% 0.8% 6.3% NA 6.3% 0.8% 6.3% 0.8% 6.3% 1.0% 6.3% 0.6% 6.3% NA 6.3% 1.8% 6.3% 0.4% 6.3% 2.3% 6.3% 1.0% 6.3% 2.0% 6.3% 0.2% 6.3% 0.6% 6.3%
Biotechnology
GSSBBIOT
EUR
EUR
Pharmaceuticals
GSSBPHAR
EUR
EUR
GSSBOILE
EUR
Oil Refiners
GSSBOILR
EUR
Oil Services
GSSBOILS
EUR
Market cap. (US$, mn) 5,857 9,731 2,438 8,591 4,090 19,309 10,070 5,188 19,403 20,565 7,160 2,902 1,019 2,574 9,469 7,100 56,845 70,032 105,930 27,163 163,371 87,233 164,789 115,635 15,755 1,724 9,963 56,337 129,766 80,926 11,214 24,364 221,107 75,741 114,209 2,366 2,632 7,155 1,754 30,970 2,832 19,955 1,016 2,755 3,019 1,088 4,988 5,014 5,145 2,938 5,448 5,023 8,563 3,631 1,832 19,255 2,191 17,948 7,460 12,087 2,472 3,206
3M ADV (US$, mn) 16 22 12 12 6 51 13 23 45 47 16 11 7 17 19 18 93 198 172 34 219 102 189 228 48 9 11 132 173 401 9 134 142 73 224 10 7 23 4 53 8 45 1 3 11 3 19 19 27 7 25 16 24 32 4 72 20 35 NA 40 9 14
SXEP
SXDP
33
Europe
GSSB
Name Ticker Currency Company name Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin Continental AG Faurecia GKN PLC Nokian Renkaat OYJ Pirelli & C SpA Rheinmetall AG Valeo SA Bayerische Motoren Werke AG DaimlerChrysler AG Fiat SpA Peugeot SA Porsche AG Renault SA Volkswagen AG Admiral Group PLC Allianz SE Baloise Holding AG Fondiaria-Sai SpA ING Groep NV Mapfre SA Old Mutual PLC Royal & Sun Alliance Insurance Group Sampo Oyj SCOR SE Zurich Financial Services AG Aegon NV Ageas Assicurazioni Generali SpA Aviva PLC AXA SA ING Groep NV Legal & General Group PLC Old Mutual PLC Prudential PLC Standard Life PLC Swiss Life Holding Hannover Rueckversicherung AG Muenchener Rueckversicherungs AG SCOR SE Swiss Re AG Bouygues Mobistar SA Tele2 AB Vodafone Group PLC Belgacom SA BT Group PLC Deutsche Telekom AG France Telecom SA Portugal Telecom SGPS SA Royal KPN NV Swisscom AG Telecom Italia SpA Telefonica SA Telenor ASA TeliaSonera AB Vivendi SA Bloomberg ML FP CON GY EO FP GKN LN NRE1V FH PC IM RHM GY FR FP BMW GY DAI GY F IM UG FP PAH3 GY RNO FP VOW3 GY ADM LN ALV GY BALN VX FSA IM INGA NA MAP SQ OML LN RSA LN SAMAS FH SCR FP ZURN VX AGN NA AGS BB G IM AV/ LN CS FP INGA NA LGEN LN OML LN PRU LN SL/ LN SLHN VX HNR1 GY MUV2 GY SCR FP SREN VX EN FP MOBB BB TEL2B SS VOD LN BELG BB BT/A LN DTE GY FTE FP PTC PL KPN NA SCMN VX TIT IM TEF SQ TEL NO TLSN SS VIV FP SEDOL 4588364 4598589 4400446 3064650 B07G378 4689803 5334588 4937579 5756029 5529027 5748521 7103526 7101069 4712798 5497168 B02J639 5231485 7124594 B89YH96 7154182 B1G40S0 B77J086 0661689 5226038 B1LB9P6 5983816 5927375 B86S2N0 4056719 0216238 7088429 7154182 0560399 B77J086 0709954 B16KPT4 7437805 4511809 5294121 B1LB9P6 B545MG5 4002121 5541979 B085590 B16GWD5 B00D9P6 3091357 5842359 5176177 5817186 5956078 5533976 7634394 5732524 4732495 5978384 4834777
Weight
RIC STOXX GSSB MICP.PA 9.3% 12.5% CONG.DE 4.7% 12.5% EPED.PA NA 12.5% GKN.L 3.3% 12.5% NRE1V.HE 3.2% 12.5% PECI.MI 1.5% 12.5% RHMG.DE 1.0% 12.5% VLOF.PA 1.8% 12.5% BMWG.DE 16.1% 14.3% DAIGn.DE 27.8% 14.3% FIA.MI 2.3% 14.3% PEUP.PA 0.8% 14.3% PSHG_p.DE 6.0% 14.3% RENA.PA 5.5% 14.3% VOWG_p.DE 16.5% 14.3% ADML.L 0.9% 9.1% ALVG.DE 13.9% 9.1% BALN.VX 1.0% 9.1% FOSA.MI NA 9.1% ING.AS 8.5% 9.1% MAP.MC 0.4% 9.1% OML.L 3.3% 9.1% RSA.L 1.6% 9.1% SAMAS.HE 3.8% 9.1% SCOR.PA 1.2% 9.1% ZURN.VX 9.2% 9.1% AEGN.AS 2.4% 9.1% AGES.BR 1.5% 9.1% GASI.MI 5.4% 9.1% AV.L 3.9% 9.1% AXAF.PA 7.2% 9.1% ING.AS 8.5% 9.1% LGEN.L 3.4% 9.1% OML.L 3.3% 9.1% PRU.L 9.0% 9.1% SL.L 2.9% 9.1% SLHN.VX 0.9% 9.1% HNRGn.DE 1.1% 25.0% MUVGn.DE 6.7% 25.0% SCOR.PA 1.2% 25.0% SRENH.VX 6.1% 25.0% BOUY.PA 3.9% 25.0% MSTAR.BR NA 25.0% TEL2b.ST 1.7% 25.0% VOD.L 30.2% 25.0% BCOM.BR 1.3% 8.3% BT.L 9.9% 8.3% DTEGn.DE 10.8% 8.3% FTE.PA 6.9% 8.3% PTC.LS 1.1% 8.3% KPN.AS 2.1% 8.3% SCMN.VX 3.1% 8.3% TLIT.MI 3.3% 8.3% TEF.MC 15.0% 8.3% TEL.OL 4.8% 8.3% TLSN.ST 4.9% 8.3% VIV.PA 15.7% 8.3%
Auto Components
GSSBAUCO
EUR
Automobiles
GSSBAUTO
EUR
Insurance
GSSBINSE
EUR
Life Assurance
GSSBLASE
EUR
GSSBREIN
EUR
GSSBTELW
EUR
EUR
Market cap. (US$, mn) 15,080 19,190 1,597 5,377 5,129 5,184 1,624 3,291 51,537 49,055 5,454 2,016 19,456 12,665 87,682 4,695 54,897 4,074 1,456 32,821 7,871 13,184 6,335 17,232 4,936 36,088 10,564 6,214 24,537 15,408 35,644 32,821 13,405 13,184 35,139 11,457 4,691 8,518 29,165 4,936 25,940 7,168 1,498 7,315 126,903 9,596 28,510 45,724 27,654 4,289 8,380 20,874 17,088 58,595 30,671 27,863 25,216
3M ADV (US$, mn) 65 65 5 19 26 31 10 17 196 230 82 30 32 60 204 217 217 14 12 195 15 23 18 24 9 91 45 18 107 48 123 195 27 23 54 19 25 15 109 9 62 26 3 26 200 15 65 154 102 15 37 31 59 273 37 48 76
SXKP
SXIP
SXAP
34
Europe
GSSB
Name Ticker Currency Company name European Aeronautic Defence and Space Co NV Meggitt PLC MTU Aero Engines Holding AG Rolls-Royce Group PLC Safran SA Zodiac SA BAE Systems PLC Cobham PLC Finmeccanica SpA Rheinmetall AG Thales SA Bunzl PLC Compass Group PLC Deutsche Post AG Experian Finance PLC G4S PLC Rentokil Initial PLC Securitas AB Sodexho Alliance SA Adecco SA Hays PLC Michael Page International Plc Randstad Holding NV Capita Group PLC/The Serco Group PLC Babcock International Group PLC Intertek Group PLC SGS SA Bureau Veritas SA ABB Ltd Alfa Laval AB Alstom Electrolux AB Invensys PLC Koninklijke Philips Electronics NV Legrand SA Nexans SA Prysmian SpA Schneider Electric SA Siemens AG Assa Abloy AB Atlas Copco AB FLSmidth & Co A/S GEA Group AG IMI Plc Invensys PLC Kone OYJ Metso Oyj Sandvik AB SKF AB Wartsila OYJ Abp Weir Group Plc (The) Acciona SA EDP Renovaveis SA Enel Green Power SpA Gamesa Corp Tecnologica SA Solarworld AG Vestas Wind Systems A/S Wacker Chemie AG Abertis Infraestructuras SA Aeroports de Paris Atlantia SpA Groupe Eurotunnel SA Ferrovial SA Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide Koninklijke Vopak NV Fiat Industrial SpA Konecranes OYJ MAN AG Scania AB Volvo AB Bloomberg EAD FP MGGT LN MTX GY RR/ LN SAF FP ZC FP BA/ LN COB LN FNC IM RHM GY HO FP BNZL LN CPG LN DPW GY EXPN LN GFS LN RTO LN SECUB SS SW FP ADEN VX HAS LN MPI LN RAND NA CPI LN SRP LN BAB LN ITRK LN SGSN VX BVI FP ABBN VX ALFA SS ALO FP ELUXB SS ISYS LN PHIA NA LR FP NEX FP PRY IM SU FP SIE GY ASSAB SS ATCOA SS FLS DC G1A GY IMI LN ISYS LN KNEBV FH MEO1V FH SAND SS SKFB SS WRT1V FH WEIR LN ANA SQ EDPR PL EGPW IM GAM SQ SWV GY VWS DC WCH GY ABE SQ ADP FP ATL IM GET FP FER SM FRA GY VPK NA FI IM KCR1V FH MAN GY SCVB SS VOLVB SS SEDOL 4012250 0575809 B09DHL9 B63H849 B058TZ6 7294334 0263494 B07KD36 B0DJNG0 5334588 4162791 B0744B3 0533153 4617859 B19NLV4 B01FLG6 B082RF1 5554041 7062713 7110720 0416102 3023231 5228658 B23K0M2 0797379 0969703 3163836 4824778 B28DTJ6 7108899 7332687 B0DJ8Q5 B1KKBX6 B19DVX6 5986622 B11ZRK9 7130836 B1W4V69 4834108 5727973 5698789 B1QGR41 5263574 4557104 0457963 B19DVX6 B09M9D2 5713422 B1VQ252 B1Q3J35 4525189 0946580 5579107 B39GNW2 B4TWTW9 B01CP21 5819869 5964651 B11Y568 4065663 B164FY1 7667163 B292JQ9 B038516 7107551 5809428 B52B4V4 B11WFP1 5563520 B1RDYG2 B1QH830 RIC EAD.PA MGGT.L MTXGn.DE RR.L SAF.PA ZODC.PA BAES.L COB.L SIFI.MI RHMG.DE TCFP.PA BNZL.L CPG.L DPWGn.DE EXPN.L GFS.L RTO.L SECUb.ST EXHO.PA ADEN.VX HAYS.L MPI.L RAND.AS CPI.L SRP.L BAB.L ITRK.L SGSN.VX BVI.PA ABBN.VX ALFA.ST ALSO.PA ELUXb.ST ISYS.L PHG.AS LEGD.PA NEXS.PA PRY.MI SCHN.PA SIEGn.DE ASSAb.ST ATCOa.ST FLS.CO G1AG.DE IMI.L ISYS.L KNEBV.HE MEO1V.HE SAND.ST SKFb.ST WRT1V.HE WEIR.L ANA.MC EDPR.LS EGPW.MI GAM.MC SWVG.DE VWS.CO WCHG.DE ABE.MC ADP.PA ATL.MI GETP.PA FER.MC FRAG.DE VOPA.AS FI.MI KCR1V.HE MANG.DE SCVb.ST VOLVb.ST
Weight
STOXX GSSB 1.6% 9.1% 0.6% 9.1% 0.6% 9.1% 3.6% 9.1% 1.5% 9.1% 0.5% 9.1% 2.2% 9.1% 0.4% 9.1% 0.3% 9.1% 1.0% 9.1% 0.4% 9.1% 0.7% 12.5% 22.0% 12.5% 2.4% 12.5% 2.3% 12.5% 0.8% 12.5% 0.3% 12.5% 0.3% 12.5% 8.1% 12.5% 0.8% 25.0% 0.2% 25.0% 0.2% 25.0% 0.4% 25.0% 1.1% 16.7% 0.6% 16.7% 0.8% 16.7% 1.0% 16.7% 1.6% 16.7% 0.8% 16.7% 5.8% 9.1% 0.7% 9.1% 1.0% 9.1% 1.4% 9.1% 1.4% 9.1% 3.3% 9.1% 1.3% 9.1% NA 9.1% 0.5% 9.1% 4.7% 9.1% 11.4% 9.1% 7.8% 8.3% 2.2% 8.3% 2.0% 8.3% 0.7% 8.3% 0.7% 8.3% 1.4% 8.3% 1.9% 8.3% 0.6% 8.3% 2.1% 8.3% 1.2% 8.3% 0.9% 8.3% 0.8% 8.3% 1.0% 14.3% NA 14.3% 0.8% 14.3% NA 14.3% NA 14.3% NA 14.3% 0.3% 14.3% 0.7% 14.3% 0.3% 14.3% 0.7% 14.3% 0.5% 14.3% NA 14.3% 0.3% 14.3% 0.6% 14.3% 1.2% 20.0% 0.2% 20.0% 0.5% 20.0% 0.8% 20.0% 2.5% 20.0%
Civil aerospace
GSSBCIVA
EUR
Defense
GSSBDEFE
EUR
EUR
Business Services GSSBSTAF Staffing Business Services Outsourcing & GSSBBSOT Testing
EUR
EUR
SXNP
Electrical Equipment
GSSBELEQ
EUR
Machinery
GSSBMACH
EUR
Renewables
GSSBRNEW
EUR
Transportation Infrastructure
GSSBTINF
EUR
Trucks
GSSBTRUC
EUR
Market cap. (US$, mn) 27,527 4,663 4,229 26,044 15,901 5,675 15,916 3,256 2,714 1,624 6,820 5,430 20,520 22,950 16,888 5,598 2,496 2,819 12,143 8,961 1,777 1,727 5,590 7,500 4,314 5,541 7,348 16,652 11,634 42,117 7,188 10,859 7,517 2,830 24,507 9,734 1,191 3,904 34,894 88,942 12,542 28,868 2,905 5,568 4,771 2,830 18,594 5,181 17,085 10,269 7,839 5,865 3,316 4,211 7,842 542 177 860 2,792 11,102 7,558 10,675 4,096 10,223 5,038 8,951 12,501 1,989 14,561 15,144 28,161
35
Europe
GSSB
Name Ticker Currency Company name Buzzi Unicem SpA Cie de Saint-Gobain CRH PLC HeidelbergCement AG Holcim Ltd Lafarge SA Wienerberger AG Wolseley PLC Acciona SA Balfour Beatty PLC Bilfinger Berger AG Hochtief AG Skanska AB Vinci SA Anglo American PLC Antofagasta PLC BHP Billiton PLC Boliden AB Kazakhmys PLC Lonmin Plc Norsk Hydro ASA Rio Tinto PLC Vedanta Resources PLC Arcelor Mittal Outokumpu OYJ Rautaruukki OYJ Salzgitter AG Ssab Svenskt Stal AB ThyssenKrupp AG Vallourec Voestalpine AG Holmen AB Mondi PLC Stora Enso Oyj Svenska Cellulosa AB UPM-Kymmene Oyj Adidas AG Beiersdorf AG Electrolux AB Henkel KGaA Husqvarna AB Koninklijke Philips Electronics NV L'Oreal SA Puma AG Rudolf Dassler Sport Reckitt Benckiser PLC Rexam PLC Burberry Group PLC Christian Dior SA Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA Hermes International Luxottica Group SpA LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA PPR Swatch Group AG Tod's SpA British American Tobacco PLC Imperial Tobacco Group PLC Swedish Match AB Barratt Developments PLC Bellway PLC Berkeley Group Holdings PLC Persimmon PLC Taylor Wimpey PLC Travis Perkins PLC Wolseley PLC Bloomberg BZU IM SGO FP CRH ID HEI GY HOLN VX LG FP WIE AV WOS LN ANA SQ BBY LN GBF GY HOT GY SKAB SS DG FP AAL LN ANTO LN BLT LN BOL SS KAZ LN LMI LN NHY NO RIO LN VED LN MT NA OUT1V FH RTRKS FH SZG GY SSABA SS TKA GY VK FP VOE AV HOLMB SS MNDI LN STERV FH SCAB SS UPM1V FH ADS GY BEI GY ELUXB SS HEN3 GY HUSQB SS PHIA NA OR FP PUM GY RB/ LN REX LN BRBY LN CDI FP CFR VX RMS FP LUX IM MC FP PP FP UHR VX TOD IM BATS LN IMT LN SWMA SS BDEV LN BWY LN BKG LN PSN LN TW/ LN TPK LN WOS LN SEDOL 5782206 7380482 0182704 5120679 7110753 4502706 5699373 B3YWCQ2 5579107 0096162 5117381 5108664 7142091 B1XH026 B1XZS82 0045614 0056650 B1XCBX9 B0HZPV3 3119248 B11HK39 0718875 3327706 B03XPL1 4665148 4727662 5465358 B17H0S8 5636927 B197DR6 4943402 5036066 B1CRLC4 5072673 B1VVGZ5 5051252 4031976 5107401 B1KKBX6 5076705 B12PJ24 5986622 4057808 5064722 B24CGK7 0425045 3174300 4061393 B3DCZF3 5253973 4800659 4061412 5505072 7184725 4643735 0287580 0454492 5048566 0081180 0090498 B02L3W3 0682538 0878230 0773960 B3YWCQ2 RIC BZU.MI SGOB.PA CRH.I HEIG.DE HOLN.VX LAFP.PA WBSV.VI WOS.L ANA.MC BALF.L GBFG.DE HOTG.DE SKAb.ST SGEF.PA AAL.L ANTO.L BLT.L BOL.ST KAZ.L LMI.L NHY.OL RIO.L VED.L ISPA.AS OUT1V.HE RTRKS.HE SZGG.DE SSABa.ST TKAG.DE VLLP.PA VOES.VI HOLMb.ST MNDI.L STERV.HE SCAb.ST UPM1V.HE ADSGn.DE BEIG.DE ELUXb.ST HNKG_p.DE HUSQb.ST PHG.AS OREP.PA PUMG.DE RB.L REX.L BRBY.L DIOR.PA CFR.VX HRMS.PA LUX.MI LVMH.PA PRTP.PA UHR.VX TOD.MI BATS.L IMT.L SWMA.ST BDEV.L BWY.L BKGH.L PSN.L TW.L TPK.L WOS.L
Weight
STOXX GSSB NA 12.5% 11.1% 12.5% 9.0% 12.5% 5.1% 12.5% 10.5% 12.5% 7.5% 12.5% NA 12.5% 1.7% 12.5% 1.0% 16.7% 1.8% 16.7% 0.5% 16.7% 0.9% 16.7% 4.3% 16.7% 14.6% 16.7% 14.1% 11.1% 2.8% 11.1% 23.6% 11.1% 1.6% 11.1% 0.8% 11.1% 0.4% 11.1% 1.5% 11.1% 15.4% 11.1% 0.7% 11.1% 5.2% 12.5% NA 12.5% NA 12.5% 0.6% 12.5% 0.4% 12.5% 1.2% 12.5% 0.7% 12.5% 1.2% 12.5% 0.5% 20.0% 1.3% 20.0% 1.3% 20.0% 2.8% 20.0% 2.0% 20.0% 4.0% 10.0% 1.8% 10.0% 1.4% 10.0% 3.4% 10.0% 0.5% 10.0% 3.3% 10.0% 7.2% 10.0% 0.2% 10.0% 9.3% 10.0% 0.8% 10.0% 2.0% 11.1% 1.8% 11.1% 8.5% 11.1% 0.7% 11.1% 1.4% 11.1% 10.2% 11.1% 5.9% 11.1% 3.2% 11.1% 0.2% 11.1% 24.4% 33.3% 9.1% 33.3% 1.6% 33.3% 0.7% 14.3% 0.4% 14.3% 0.8% 14.3% 0.9% 14.3% 0.7% 14.3% 0.6% 14.3% 1.7% 14.3%
Building materials
GSSBBUIL
EUR
Construction
GSSBCONS
EUR
GSSBMINE
EUR
GSSBSTEL
EUR
GSSBPAPE
EUR
GSSBHOUS
EUR
Luxury goods
GSSBLUXG
EUR
Tobacco
GSSBTOBA
EUR
UK Homebuilders
GSSBUKHO
GBP
Market cap. (US$, mn) 2,078 19,170 13,167 9,851 21,904 16,789 859 12,396 3,316 2,604 4,281 3,720 6,485 24,047 39,091 19,552 179,032 4,570 5,680 1,561 9,115 95,446 4,600 24,095 1,313 870 2,603 2,257 11,205 5,257 5,074 2,394 4,921 5,013 13,756 5,503 17,096 19,250 7,517 31,086 3,331 24,507 77,101 4,158 43,539 6,206 8,638 26,701 39,997 30,298 17,852 82,543 21,978 23,377 3,424 98,877 38,349 6,717 2,898 1,885 3,121 3,685 3,007 4,252 12,396
3M ADV (US$, mn) 10 73 22 38 47 53 2 47 8 8 12 7 21 75 109 36 193 33 26 13 17 261 17 173 5 4 14 26 77 31 8 6 8 19 47 21 67 30 46 48 12 78 90 3 76 17 50 14 110 9 35 135 53 75 12 143 89 31 12 4 7 13 10 10 47
SXQP
SXPP
SXOP
36
Europe
GSSB
Name Ticker Currency Company name Carrefour SA Casino Guichard Perrachon SA Colruyt SA Delhaize Group J Sainsbury PLC Kesko OYJ Koninklijke Ahold NV Metro AG Tesco PLC WM Morrison Supermarkets PLC Celesio AG Hennes & Mauritz AB Home Retail Group PLC Inditex SA Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA Kingfisher PLC Marks & Spencer Group PLC Next PLC PPR Bwin.Party Digital Entertainment PLC IG Group Holdings PLC Ladbrokes PLC Lottomatica SpA Paddy Power PLC William Hill PLC Accor SA Carnival PLC Intercontinental Hotels Group PLC Mitchells & Butlers PLC TUI AG TUI Travel PLC Whitbread PLC Air France-KLM Deutsche Lufthansa AG International Consolidated Airlines Group SA easyJet PLC Ryanair Holdings plc DSV A/S Firstgroup Plc Go-Ahead Group Plc National Express Group PLC Stagecoach Group PLC Aegis Group Plc Havas SA JC Decaux SA Publicis Groupe WPP Group PLC British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC Eutelsat Communications SA ITV PLC Kabel Deutschland Holding AG M6-Metropole Television Mediaset SpA Modern Times Group AB ProSiebenSat.1 Media AG SES Societe Television Francaise 1 Axel Springer AG Daily Mail & General Trust Informa PLC Lagardere SCA Pearson PLC Reed Elsevier NV Schibsted ASA United Business Media PLC Wolters Kluwer NV Bloomberg CA FP CO FP COLR BB DELB BB SBRY LN KESBV FH AH NA MEO GY TSCO LN MRW LN CLS1 GY HMB SS HOME LN ITX SQ JMT PL KGF LN MKS LN NXT LN PP FP BPTY LN IGG LN LAD LN LTO IM PWL ID WMH LN AC FP CCL LN IHG LN MAB LN TUI1 GY TT/ LN WTB LN AF FP LHA GY IAG LN EZJ LN RYA ID DSV DC FGP LN GOG LN NEX LN SGC LN AGS LN HAV FP DEC FP PUB FP WPP LN BSY LN ETL FP ITV LN KD8 GY MMT FP MS IM MTGB SS PSM GY SESG FP TFI FP SPR GY DMGT LN INF LN MMB FP PSON LN REN NA SCH NO UBM LN WKL NA SEDOL 5641567 4178419 5806225 4262118 B019KW7 4490005 5252602 5041413 0884709 0604316 5105182 5687431 B19NKB7 7111314 B1Y1SQ7 3319521 3127489 3208986 5505072 B53TNH6 B06QFB7 B0ZSH63 B0V3WR8 0258810 3169889 5852842 3121522 B85KYF3 B1FP6H5 5666292 B1Z7RQ7 B1KJJ40 4916039 5287488 B5M6XQ7 B7KR2P8 B1GKF38 B1WT5G2 0345217 0375377 0621520 B6YTLS9 B4JV1B9 5980958 7136663 4380429 B3DMTY0 0141192 B0M7KJ7 3398649 B4T92J8 5993901 5077946 B151P43 4579131 B00ZQQ2 5997118 4647317 0945736 B3WJHK4 4547213 0677608 4148810 4790534 B2R84W0 5671519 RIC CARR.PA CASP.PA COLR.BR DELB.BR SBRY.L KESBV.HE AHLN.AS MEOG.DE TSCO.L MRW.L CLSGn.DE HMb.ST HOME.L ITX.MC JMT.LS KGF.L MKS.L NXT.L PRTP.PA BPTY.L IGG.L LAD.L LTO.MI PAP.I WMH.L ACCP.PA CCL.L IHG.L MAB.L TUIGn.DE TT.L WTB.L AIRF.PA LHAG.DE ICAG.L EZJ.L RYA.I DSV.CO FGP.L GOG.L NEX.L SGC.L AEGS.L EURC.PA JCDX.PA PUBP.PA WPP.L BSY.L ETL.PA ITV.L KD8Gn.DE MMTP.PA MS.MI MTGb.ST PSMG_p.DE SESFd.PA TFFP.PA SPRGn.DE DMGOa.L INF.L LAGA.PA PSON.L ELSN.AS SBST.OL UBM.L WLSNc.AS
Weight
STOXX GSSB 6.2% 10.0% 2.2% 10.0% 1.6% 10.0% 1.6% 10.0% 3.4% 10.0% 0.9% 10.0% 5.4% 10.0% 1.6% 10.0% 17.7% 10.0% 4.6% 10.0% 0.7% 11.1% 13.5% 11.1% NA 11.1% 12.3% 11.1% 1.7% 11.1% 4.8% 11.1% 4.4% 11.1% 4.3% 11.1% 5.9% 11.1% 1.3% 16.7% 2.7% 16.7% 3.0% 16.7% NA 16.7% 3.5% 16.7% 4.0% 16.7% 5.3% 14.3% 7.7% 14.3% 7.2% 14.3% NA 14.3% NA 14.3% 1.8% 14.3% 7.2% 14.3% 2.5% 20.0% 3.9% 20.0% 2.6% 20.0% 2.2% 20.0% 9.3% 20.0% 0.6% 20.0% 1.5% 20.0% NA 20.0% 1.2% 20.0% 2.0% 20.0% 1.9% 20.0% 0.7% 20.0% 0.8% 20.0% 5.8% 20.0% 9.9% 20.0% 7.2% 10.0% 2.5% 10.0% 3.3% 10.0% 3.5% 10.0% NA 10.0% 0.7% 10.0% 1.0% 10.0% 1.4% 10.0% 5.4% 10.0% NA 10.0% 1.0% 11.1% 1.3% 11.1% 2.2% 11.1% 1.7% 11.1% 9.5% 11.1% 6.0% 11.1% 1.8% 11.1% 1.6% 11.1% 3.4% 11.1%
Food Retail
GSSBFORE
EUR
General Retail
GSSBGERE
EUR
Gaming
GSSBGAMI
EUR
SXTP
GSSBHOLR
EUR
Transportation Airlines
GSSBTRAA
EUR
GSSBTRAR
EUR
EUR
SXMP
Media Broadcasters
GSSBMEBR
EUR
Media - Publishers
GSSBMEPU
EUR
Market cap. (US$, mn) 15,641 9,790 7,614 3,552 10,410 3,094 13,000 8,855 40,989 9,910 3,216 53,799 1,469 79,146 11,106 10,870 9,837 9,349 21,978 1,450 2,556 2,754 3,707 3,505 3,713 6,989 32,205 6,843 2,125 2,291 4,518 6,901 2,769 7,307 5,000 4,113 9,157 4,249 1,385 843 1,389 2,488 4,359 1,911 4,712 11,179 16,303 19,926 6,737 5,876 6,100 1,729 1,914 2,054 5,882 11,006 1,811 4,098 2,773 3,685 3,551 15,841 10,463 4,148 2,720 5,514
SXRP
37
Europe
Long
Group of industries with high leverage to GDP growth, with an industrial tilt Group of industries sensitive to housing activity and the UK housing cycle Group of industries with high sensitivity to the UK consumer spending cycle Group of industries with high sensitivity to the UK consumer spending cycle Group of industries with high leverage to GDP growth, with an industrial tilt Group of industries with high sensitivity to the European consumer spending cycle Group of industries with high sensitivity to the European consumer spending cycle
Short
Group of industries with less leverage to economic growth or the cycle Group of industries chosen to leave the index neutral to the broader economic and interest rate cyle Group of industries with less leverage to economic growth or the consumer cycle Group of industries with less leverage to economic growth or the cycle Group of industries with less leverage to economic growth or the cycle Group of industries with less leverage to economic growth or the consumer cycle Group of industries with less leverage to economic growth or the cycle
Expected to Rise
Notes
as expectations of UK growth improve Through its exposure to housing activity, the basket has significant sensitivity to interest rates
UK Housing (GSTWUKHO) UK Consumer Growth (GSTWUKCG) UK Consumer Rotation (GSTWUKCR) Europe Cyclical Growth (GSTWEUGR)
if expectations of housingrelated activity improve as market expectations of consumer-led economic growth rise. if UK consumer growth expectations rise relative to broader cyclical growth expectations as expectations of Europe (ex UK) growth improve
Industries have been selected to leave the basket broadly neutral to the overall growth cycle
as market expectations of consumer-led economic growth rise in Europe if consumer growth expectations rise relative to broader cyclical growth expectations in Europe Industries have been selected to leave the basket broadly neutral to the overall growth cycle
38
Europe
Index Weight (%) 5.30 5.30 1.62 1.62 22.52 0.36 1.67 1.37 5.64 5.57 1.44 6.48 15.36 4.48 2.34 0.48 1.18 4.86 2.04 2.07 2.07 0.50 0.50 52.63 0.47 1.12 4.68 7.63 0.84 0.93 4.04 1.13 8.44 3.34 0.21 2.75 1.47 0.55 0.97 0.21 0.51 3.17 2.85 4.77 2.55
39
Europe
40
Europe
Media
Mining
41
Europe
42
Europe
43
Europe
44
Europe
45
Europe
Other disclosures
An investment fund managed by Goldman Sachs owns significant equity interests in Groupe Eurotunnel SA and representatives of Goldman Sachs hold two seats on the companys board of directors. Goldman Sachs may have other business relationships with the company.
46
Europe
Disclosure Appendix
Reg AC
We, Matthieu Walterspiler, Gerald Moser, Christian Mueller-Glissmann, CFA, Peter Oppenheimer and Sharon Bell, CFA, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Disclosures
Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
Goldman Sachs Investment Research global coverage universe
Rating Distribution Investment Banking Relationships
Buy
Hold
Sell
Buy
Hold
Sell
Global 31% 55% 14% 49% 42% 35% As of October 1, 2012, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research had investment ratings on 3,442 equity securities. Goldman Sachs assigns stocks as Buys and Sells on various regional Investment Lists; stocks not so assigned are deemed Neutral. Such assignments equate to Buy, Hold and Sell for the purposes of the above disclosure required by NASD/NYSE rules. See 'Ratings, Coverage groups and views and related definitions' below.
Additional disclosures required under the laws and regulations of jurisdictions other than the United States
The following disclosures are those required by the jurisdiction indicated, except to the extent already made above pursuant to United States laws and regulations. Australia: Goldman Sachs Australia Pty Ltd and its affiliates are not authorised deposit-taking institutions (as that term is defined in the Banking Act 1959 (Cth)) in Australia and do not provide banking services, nor carry on a banking business, in Australia. This research, and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act, unless otherwise agreed by Goldman Sachs. Brazil: Disclosure information in relation to CVM Instruction 483 is available at http://www.gs.com/worldwide/brazil/area/gir/index.html. Where applicable, the Brazil-registered analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, as defined in Article 16 of CVM Instruction 483, is the first author named at the beginning of this report, unless indicated otherwise at the end of the text. Canada: Goldman, Sachs & Co. has approved of, and agreed to take responsibility for, this research in Canada if and to the extent it relates to equity securities of Canadian issuers. Analysts may conduct site visits but are prohibited from accepting payment or reimbursement by the company of travel expenses for such visits. Hong Kong: Further information on the securities of covered companies referred to in this research may be obtained on request from Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. India: Further information on the subject company or companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (India) Securities Private Limited; Japan: See below. Korea: Further information on the subject company or companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Seoul Branch. New Zealand: Goldman Sachs New Zealand Limited and its affiliates are neither "registered banks" nor "deposit takers" (as defined in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Act 1989) in New Zealand. This research, and any access to it, is intended for "wholesale clients" (as defined in the Financial Advisers Act 2008) unless otherwise agreed by Goldman Sachs. Russia: Research reports distributed in the Russian Federation are not advertising as defined in the Russian legislation, but are information and analysis not having product promotion as their main purpose and do not provide appraisal within the meaning of the Russian legislation on appraisal activity. Singapore: Further information on the covered companies referred
47
Europe
to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte. (Company Number: 198602165W). Taiwan: This material is for reference only and must not be reprinted without permission. Investors should carefully consider their own investment risk. Investment results are the responsibility of the individual investor. United Kingdom: Persons who would be categorized as retail clients in the United Kingdom, as such term is defined in the rules of the Financial Services Authority, should read this research in conjunction with prior Goldman Sachs research on the covered companies referred to herein and should refer to the risk warnings that have been sent to them by Goldman Sachs International. A copy of these risks warnings, and a glossary of certain financial terms used in this report, are available from Goldman Sachs International on request.
European Union: Disclosure information in relation to Article 4 (1) (d) and Article 6 (2) of the European Commission Directive 2003/126/EC is available at http://www.gs.com/disclosures/europeanpolicy.html which states the European Policy for Managing Conflicts of Interest in Connection with Investment Research. Japan: Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. is a Financial Instrument Dealer under the Financial Instrument and Exchange Law, registered with the Kanto Financial Bureau (Registration No. 69), and is a
member of Japan Securities Dealers Association (JSDA) and Financial Futures Association of Japan (FFAJ). Sales and purchase of equities are subject to commission pre-determined with clients plus consumption tax. See company-specific disclosures as to any applicable disclosures required by Japanese stock exchanges, the Japanese Securities Dealers Association or the Japanese Securities Finance Company.
stock's return potential relative to its coverage group as described below. Any stock not assigned as a Buy or a Sell on an Investment List is deemed Neutral. Each regional Investment Review Committee manages various regional Investment Lists to a global guideline of 25%-35% of stocks as Buy and 10%-15% of stocks as Sell; however, the distribution of Buys and Sells in any particular coverage group may vary as determined by the regional Investment Review Committee. Regional Conviction Buy and Sell lists represent investment recommendations focused on either the size of the potential return or the likelihood of the realization of the return.
Return potential represents the price differential between the current share price and the price target expected during the time horizon associated with the price target. Price targets are required for all covered stocks. The return potential, price target and associated time horizon are stated in each report adding or reiterating an Investment List membership. Coverage groups and views: A list of all stocks in each coverage group is available by primary analyst, stock and coverage group at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. The analyst assigns one of the following coverage views which represents the analyst's investment outlook on the coverage group relative to the group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation. Attractive (A). The investment outlook over the following 12 months is favorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation. Neutral (N). The investment outlook over the following 12 months is neutral relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation. Cautious (C). The investment outlook over the following 12 months is unfavorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation. Not Rated (NR). The investment rating and target price have been removed pursuant to Goldman Sachs policy when Goldman Sachs is acting in an advisory capacity in a merger or strategic transaction involving this company and in certain other circumstances. Rating Suspended (RS). Goldman Sachs Research has suspended the investment rating and price target for this stock, because
there is not a sufficient fundamental basis for determining, or there are legal, regulatory or policy constraints around publishing, an investment rating or target. The previous investment rating and price target, if any, are no longer in effect for this stock and should not be relied upon. Coverage Suspended (CS). Goldman Sachs has suspended coverage of this company. Not Covered (NC). Goldman Sachs does not cover this company. Not Available or Not Applicable (NA). The information is not available for display or is not applicable. Not Meaningful (NM). The information is not meaningful and is therefore excluded.
General disclosures
This research is for our clients only. Other than disclosures relating to Goldman Sachs, this research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. We seek to update our research as appropriate, but various regulations may prevent us from doing so. Other than certain industry reports published on a periodic basis, the large majority of reports are published at irregular intervals as appropriate in the analyst's judgment. Goldman Sachs conducts a global full-service, integrated investment banking, investment management, and brokerage business. We have investment banking and other business relationships with a substantial percentage of the companies covered by our Global Investment Research Division. Goldman, Sachs & Co., the United States broker dealer, is a member of SIPC (http://www.sipc.org). Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients and our proprietary trading desks that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research. Our asset management area, our proprietary trading desks and investing businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations or views expressed in this research.
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Europe
The analysts named in this report may have from time to time discussed with our clients, including Goldman Sachs salespersons and traders, or may discuss in this report, trading strategies that reference catalysts or events that may have a near-term impact on the market price of the equity securities discussed in this report, which impact may be directionally counter to the analysts' published price target expectations for such stocks. Any such trading strategies are distinct from and do not affect the analysts' fundamental equity rating for such stocks, which rating reflects a stock's return potential relative to its coverage group as described herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research. This research is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this research is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate, seek professional advice, including tax advice. The price and value of investments referred to in this research and the income from them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options, and other derivatives, give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investors should review current options disclosure documents which are available from Goldman Sachs sales representatives or at http://www.theocc.com/about/publications/character-risks.jsp. Transaction costs may be significant in option strategies calling for multiple purchase and sales of options such as spreads. Supporting documentation will be supplied upon request. In producing research reports, members of the Global Investment Research Division of Goldman Sachs Australia may attend site visits and other meetings hosted by the issuers the subject of its research reports. In some instances the costs of such site visits or meetings may be met in part or in whole by the issuers concerned if Goldman Sachs Australia considers it is appropriate and reasonable in the specific circumstances relating to the site visit or meeting. All research reports are disseminated and available to all clients simultaneously through electronic publication to our internal client websites. Not all research content is redistributed to our clients or available to third-party aggregators, nor is Goldman Sachs responsible for the redistribution of our research by third party aggregators. For all research available on a particular stock, please contact your sales representative or go to http://360.gs.com. Disclosure information is also available at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html or from Research Compliance, 200 West Street, New York, NY 10282. 2012 Goldman Sachs. No part of this material may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
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