The Paulson Funds
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New York, New York 10020 Ph oN
Sete een
2008 YEAR END REPORT
In the face of sharply dectining global markets, all of our funds performed well this year with our
largest fund, Paulson Advantage Plus, up 37.6% net. The chart below highlights the
performance of the offshore Paulson Funds vs. various benchmarks.
2008 Net Performance
40%
10%
Advantage
Enhanced
temational
20%
Advantage Plus
50%
Source: Hedge Fund Research
Table of Contents
Merger Arbitrage Pg.2
Bvent Arbitrag Pg.6
The represented indices are unmanaged and considered to be representative of the stock | “tdit Pes
market and the respective sectors in general. Performance results described herein are Ps. 19
net of fees and expenses and assume reinvestment of dividends and capital gains for the
periods indicated. All material has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but | a. pee Ped
its accuracy is not guaranteed. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of retums | Res! Estat 82
the Funds may achiove in the futur. Paulson & Co PetMerger Arbitrage
Our merger funds produced positive retums for the year in the face of steep market declines
and numerous deal failures. A properly managed Merger Arbitrage portfolio can protect capital
in down markets while showing attractive long term returns. The monthly and annual retums for
each fund are shown below.
Pa)
corey
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January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
Soptomber
October
November
2008 Performance
The weakening economy in 2008 required an adjustment of our merger arbitrage strategy to a
more defensive position. Our strategy in 2008 was to sharply reduce alllocations to the hostile
offer area, continue to avoid and in some cases short LBO deals, reduce exposure to the
mergerlevent area, fully hedge our market exposure and increase the allocation to the corporate
strategic deal spread area. Generally, recessions cause merger volumes to decline, corporate
earnings to fall, credit to contract, and stock prices to fall which, in turn, causes the more
speculative areas of merger arbitrage to underperform. In 2008, many hostile offers were
withdrawn (BHPIRio, Vale/Xstrata, NRG/Calpine, OMV/MOL), leveraged buyouts failed
(ApollofHuntsman, Ontario TeachersiBCE, Fortress/Penn Gaming, Blackstone/Alliance Data),
and long concentrated activists positions collapsed (Deuschte Bourse, CSX, and Cleveland
Cliffs). By minimizing our allocation to these areas and hedging out the market risks we
mitigated the impact from these areas on our overall results.
The silver lining from losses in these more speculative areas was a sharp rise in the spreads in
corporate strategic deals. In fact, spreads in strategic deals widened to the highest rates of
retum over the past 20 years. The spread in Inbev's $70 per share all cash acquisition of
Anheuser Busch, for example, widened in October to over a 90% annualized rate. The market
mispriced the risk of the transaction creating a strong buying opportunity. We aggressively
added to our position in October 2008 with our funds becoming the largest shareholder of
‘Anheuser Busch and Anheuser Busch becoming our largest position. When the merger closed
in November at the agreed $70 price, the gain represented the largest profit we ever eared on
a spread deal in our history.
The represented indices are unmanaged and considered (0 be representative ofthe stock market and the respective sectors in
‘general Performance results desenbed herein are nel of fees and expenses and assume reinvestment of dividends and capital
‘ains for the periods indicated. All matenal has bean obiained from sources believed fo be reliable ut is accuracy Is not
‘uarantoed, Past performance isnot necessarlyindcatve of retums the Funds may achive in the future.Qutstanding Spread Opportunities: Budweiser
sss.o |
eee!
$65.0
$62.0 [_yncton
$59.0 |
$30.0}
22222282888 3
ss § § § Fs § F § §
s 28 § € 3 § sg F
Source: Bloomberg
Even all-stock strategic deals saw spreads widen to highly attractive levels. We set up the all-
‘stock acquisitions of Merrill by Bank of America, National City by PNC and Wachovia by Wells
Fargo all at spreads in excess of 40%. The table below summarizes annualized spreads in
strategic deals as of mid November.
Merger Arbitrage Spreads: Best Since 2000
Pe
Source: Paulson as of 11/1008
The above represents @ partial list of secures and is presente for lustative purposes only. There is no guarantee that in the
future these securties wil be hold in the Paulson funds. The represented indices are unmanaged and considered to be
representative of the stock market. Past performance isnot necessanly Indicative of future performance