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This chapter will provide an introduction to financial markets and common financial instruments. Financial markets are where suppliers of capital (firms) interact with buyers (investors). Often this is done through intermediaries such as brokers.
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Investing is not just something other people do. College education is an investment. Investing is more than just hoping to make some money. It involves deferring present consumption in the hopes of higher future consumption.
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Equity Capital
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You purchased a share of McDonalds stock one year ago for $18.00. You earn $2.00 in dividends during the year. Today you sell the stock for $18.50. What is your holding period return? ($18.50 $18) + $2 / $18.00 = .1389 x 100 = 13.89% (before taxes)
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Bonds
This is a series of cash flows that has value Priced on an index relative to 100 If a $1,000 bond sells for 102, it sells for $1,020
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Vol 40
Close 101
Chg +1/2
The Hilton bond pays 7.75% interest and matures in 2004. The annual interest divided by the current price is 7.2 percent. (Note: this is not the return you will receive if you hold the bond till maturity.) 40,000 bonds were traded that day. The bond closed at $1,010 which is $.50 higher than the previous day.
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Capital Markets
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Stock Market
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Stock Market
Nasdaq
National Association of Securities Dealers and Automated Quotations Not a physical location like the NYSE (over the counter) Represents a network of securities dealers Fastest growing securities market Makes use of market makershelp ensure liquidity of trading
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Bond Market
Corporate bonds can be traded through the NYSE Most bonds are traded over the counter Bond ratings
The lower the letter, the greater the quality Quality refers to the risk of default
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As interest rates rise, bond prices fall. Company can repurchase bonds at a certain price during a certain time.
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Money Market
Investors
loan to large companies for a very short period of time (9 months or less).
Zero-Coupon
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Mortgage Market
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Raising Capital
Primary market
stock is sold to underwriter (investment banker) Investment banker sells to clients 2003 scandal/settlement
Secondary market
Average NYSE trade takes 22 seconds Significant reliance upon computers Trading halt in June 2001
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Hedging Risk
We can add value by decreasing the risk (variability) of cash flows. The concept of insurance as hedging:
You buy insurance and if nothing happens to your house, you still have the house. If your house is damaged, insurance pays for it and the house is rebuilt.
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Spot priceprice paid for a commodity today Change in commodity prices present, risk to buyer and seller Example: Orange juice grower (seller) and restaurant owner (buyer) Prices help growers determine what and how much to produce and restaurants need to establish menu price
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Forward Contracts
An agreement to sell an asset at a fixed price for delivery in the future. Cash payment is not required until delivery. However, each party must trust the other to perform. The unique nature of each contract makes them difficult to sell to third parties.
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Futures Contracts
Terms of contract are standardized, such as amounts and delivery dates. Clearinghouse acts as go-between to help ensure performance. Contracts are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade or Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
Most contracts are never delivered. Parties take opposite positions to offset original position.
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Foreign Exchange
As international trade barriers are removed, more business is conducted away from home country. Nearly 65% of McDonalds 2002 revenues originated from outside the U.S. U.S. companies must report financial operations in U.S. currency.
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You operate a hotel in France and accept the Euro. When the Euro strengthens, this means it takes fewer Euros to buy $1 worth of goods. As the Euro strengthens, your profits increase upon conversion. 100,000Euros x $1/1Euro = $100,000 100,000Euros x $2/1Euro = $200,000
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Similar to commodities, we want to lock in a price for our Eurosan exchange rate at a future date. We can buy a forward or futures contract to accomplish this. Who would be on the other side of this transaction? A French company (or other company accepting the Euro) operating in the U.S.
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Commercial banks
Traditionally largest lender Bank makes a spreaddifference between interest rate on loans and rate on deposits Interest = principal x rate x time Types of loans
Fully
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Meanweighted average
Mean Dow annual return (19502001) = 9.01% Mean S&P 500 annual return = 9.63%
Returns in a single year have varied from 30% to +44% This uncertainty around the mean is called variance Another measure is standard deviation, the square root of the variance
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Can we measure the relationship between two individual stocks, two stock indices, or an individual stock and a stock index? Correlation coefficient = Range is from 1.0 to +1.0 +1.0 is perfect positive correlation -1.0 is perfect negative correlation The Dow and the S&P 500 are highly positively correlated
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