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DQs in-line with seasonal trends; FCs down almost 7% due to lower starts
Early stage self cures and modification dominated late stage cures drove drop in DQs (Appendix, Slide 18)
Settlement requires 14 day notice to borrowers prior to referral; letters were sent in September and October
Almost one third of all transactions over the prior year were distressed
12 month sales peaked at 8.2 million in Nov-05 (260k distressed)
12 months through Sep-12 g p 4.1 million total sales (1.3 million distressed)
Sept originations dropped with short month; higher Private / Portfolio share
Private / Portfolio Share 2009: 9% 2010: 11% 2011: 13% 2012: 16%
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Large differences persist in judicial and nonjudicial foreclosure timelines and inventory over-hang
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Average year over year change in non-current percent (includes loans 30+ Delinquent or in Foreclosure) Judicial = -5.0% Non-judicial = -10.4%
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With the June 2012 month-end data LPS has updated its month end data, extrapolation methodology to incorporate, among other things, improved estimates of market size, which includes higher hi h coverage of government and subprime products and f t d b i d t d increases LPS estimate of the total first lien residential mortgage market by three percent to 50.4 million. To ensure consistency in trend analysis, the new methodology has been applied to all historical data and previously reported mortgage performance statistics have been adjusted accordingly. The following section contains information on market coverage and comparisons with previously reported statistics. Additional information is available upon request.
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The new scaling increases overall estimated industry loan count by approximately 1.2 million loans
Prior industry estimates declined because scaling didnt support current servicing transfer volumes
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New scaling reflects the higher coverage of government loans and allows for the incorporation of new servicers
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Delinquencies decline based on higher estimated coverage of FHA and subprime loans.
Converge due to new servicers and transfer issues with prior scaling
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Foreclosure inventory remains almost identical, but shifts up in recent months as transfer bias is repaired
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