Beruflich Dokumente
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Chapter Fourteen
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This chapter discusses currency and interest rate swaps, which are relatively new instruments for p, y hedging long-term interest rate risk and foreign exchange risk.
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Chapter Outline
Types of Swaps Size of the Swap Market The Swap Bank Swap Market Quotations Interest Rate Swaps Currency Swaps y p Risks of Interest Rate and Currency Currency Swaps Variations of Basic Interest Rate and Currency Swaps Variations of Basic Interest Rate andSwaps Is the of Interest Rate and Currency Swaps Risks Swap Market Efficient? Is the Swap Market Efficient?
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Definitions
In a swap, two counterparties agree to a contractual arrangement wherein they agree to exchange cash flows at periodic intervals. There are two types of interest rate swaps:
Plain vanilla fixed-for-floating swaps are often just called Plain vanilla fixed for floating interest rate swaps. This is often called a currency swap; fixed for fixed rate debt service in two (or more) currencies.
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U.S. dollar Japanese yen Euro Swiss franc British pound sterling
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As broker, h A a b k the swap b k matches counterparties b bank h i but does not assume any of the risks of the swap. As a dealer, the swap bank stands ready to accept either side of a currency swap, and then later lay off their risk, or match it with a counterparty.
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Three Parties
A fixed rate payer, who wants to swap to floating rate p y p g A floating rate payer, who wants to swap to fixed rate An intermediary, the Swap Bank, who arranges the swap
Receives floating rate form the fixed rate payer, and takes over the fixed rate payment on his/her behalf Receives fixed rate form the floating rate payer, and takes over the floating rate payment on his/her behalf Receives a fee from both for arranging the deal
The interest payments of the first two parties change The Notional Principle does not change
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Sterling
Bid 5.21 5.14 Ask 5.22 5.18
Swiss franc
Bid 0.92 1.23 Ask 0.98 1.31
U.S. $
Bid 3.54 3.90 Ask 3.57 3.94
Ask 2.37 2.65 2.89 3.09 3.26 3.41 3.55 3.66 3.77 3.85
2.34 2.62 2.86 3.06 3.23 3.38 3.52 3.63 3.74 3.82
3.823.85 means the swap bank will pay 5.13 5.17 1.50 1.58 4.11 4.13 fixed-rate euro payments at 3.82% 4.28 5.12 5.17 1.73 1.81 4.25 against receiving dollar LIBOR or it will 5.11 5.16 1.93 2.01 4.37 4.39 receive fixed-rate euro 2.18 fi d t payments at 4.50 t 5.11i 5.16 2.10 4.46 t 3.85% against paying dollar LIBOR 4.58 5.10 5.15 2.25 2.33 4.55
5.10 5.09 5.08 5.15 5.14 5.13 2.37 4.48 2.56 2.45 2.56 2.64 4.62 4.70 4.75 4.66 4.72 4.79
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Swap Quotations
3.823.85 means the swap bank will pay fixed-rate euro payments at 3.82% against receiving dollar t t 3 82% i t i i d ll LIBOR or it will receive fixed-rate euro payments at 3.85% against paying dollar LIBOR
Firm B
3.85% $LIBOR
Swap Bank B k
3.82% $LIBOR
Firm A
While most swaps are quoted against flat dollar LIBOR, off-market swaps are available where one party pays LIBOR plus or minus some number.
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Firm A wants to finance an interest-rate-sensitive asset and therefore wants to borrow at a floating rate. A has good credit and can borrow at LIBOR Firm B wants to finance an interest-rate-insensitive asset and therefore wants to borrow at a fixed rate. B has less-than-perfect credit and can borrow at 5.5% The swap bank quotes 5.15.2 against dollar LIBOR for a 3-year swap.
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If Firm A borrows from their bank at 5.0% fixed p p and takes up the swap bank on their offer of 5.15.2 they can convert their fixed rate 5% debt into a floating rate debt at LIBOR 0.10%
Bank X
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Firm B LIBOR
If Firm B borrows floating from their bank at LIBOR + 0.20% and takes up the swap bank on their offer of 5.15.2 they can convert their floating rate debt into a fixed rate debt at 5.40% Bs all-in-cost: = LIBOR + LIBOR + 0.20% + 5.20% = 5.40%
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Bank Y
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Firm B LIBOR
The Swap Bank makes 10 basis points on the deal: The Swap Banks all-in-cost: = LIBOR + LIBOR 5.20% + 5.10% = 0.10%
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Firm B LIBOR
The notional size is $40 million. The tenor is for 3 years. A earns $40,000 per year on the swap. B earns $40,000 per year on the swap. Swap Bank earns $40,000 per year.
Bank X
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Bank Y
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Firm B has transformed a floating rate liability into a fixed rate liability.
B i borrowing at 5.40% is b i 5 40% A savings of 10 bp
The QSD
The Quality Spread Differential represents the potential gains from the swap that can be shared between the counterparties and the swap bank.
Fixed A B QS 5.00% 5.50% 0.50% Floating Libor Libor + 0.20% 0.20% 0.30%
The 0.30% QSD is the difference between the two quality spreads
In this case, the 0.30%, or 30 bp, QSD is equally shared between the two counterparties and the Swap Bank. But there is no reason to presume that the gains will be shared equally.
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Bank X
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Bank Y
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Firm A
$2,040,000 $1,200,000
Swap Bank
$2,080,000
Firm B $1,200,000
Swap Bank earns $40,000 per year. A saves $40,000 per year relative to $40 000 borrowing at LIBOR = 3%.
Bank X
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Bank Y
Firm A
$2,040,000 $1,600,000
Swap Bank
$2,080,000
Firm B $1,600,000
Swap Bank earns $40,000 per year. A saves $40,000 per year relative to $40 000 borrowing at LIBOR = 4%.
Bank X
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Bank Y
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Firm A
$2,040,000 $2,000,000
Swap Bank
$2,080,000
Firm B $2,000,000
Swap Bank earns $40,000 per year. A saves $40,000 per year relative to $40 000 borrowing at LIBOR = 4%.
Bank X
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Bank Y
Two counterparties use a Swap Bank to: Convert a liability denominated in one currency into a liability denominated in another currency
Swap principal in the beginning Swap interest during the period Return swapped principle at the end
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A can borrow euro at 6% Firm Fi B wants finance a dollar denominated asset and fi d ll d i d d therefore wants to borrow dollars. B can borrow dollars at 8% The current exchange rate is $1.50 = 1.00
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A has a comparative advantage in borrowing in dollars. B has a comparative advantage in borrowing in euro. $
A $7% B $8% 6% 5%
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Firm A wants finance euro-denominated asset in Italy and wants to borrow euro. t i It l d t t b A can borrow euro at 6% or they can borrow euro at 5.2% by using a currency swap.
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$ A $7% B $8%
6% 5%
$ A $7% B $8%
6% 5%
LIBOR
Bank X
$7.0% $60m
Firm A
40m $60m
Swap Bank
FOREX Market
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$ A $7% B $8%
6% 5%
Swap Bank
Firm B
$60m 40m
40m 5%
Bank Y
Firm A
$7.0% 5.2%
Swap Bank
$7.2%
Firm B 5.0%
Bank X
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The notional size is $60m for 3 years. Firm A earns 80 bp per year on the swap and hedges exchange rate risk. Firm B earns 80 bp per year on the swap and hedges exchange rate risk. Swap Bank earns 40 bp per year
Bank Y
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Bank X
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Bank Y
Firm A
Swap Bank
$4.32m $4 32 2m $1.8m
Firm B
Bank X
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Swap bank earns 80,000 + $120,000 or .00240m + .002$60m per year. Firm As all-in-cost 2.08m or 5.2% of 40m Firm Bs all-in-cost $4.32 or 7.2% of $60m
Bank Y
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Firm A
Swap Bank
$4.32m $4 32 2m $2.4m
Firm B
Bank X
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Bank Y
Firm A
Swap Bank
Firm B
Bank X
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5.0%
Bank X
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The problem is of course that the swap bank is acting as a broker (or even a dealer) and providing a servicethats why they get paid. Signing 1 contract is less work than 4.
Bank Y
$ $7%
6% 5%
B $8%
We can assume that IRP holds between the 5% euro rate and the 7% dollar rate.
This is reasonable since these rates are, respectively, the best rates available for each counterparty who is well known in its national market. ( (1 + i )t According to IRP: Ft = S0 (1 + i$)t
(1.07)1 (1.05)1 F2 = $1.50 (1.07)2 (1.05)2 F3 = $1.50 (1.07)3 (1.05)3
F1 = $1.50
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Year
0 $60.00 40.00
1 $4.20 2.75
2 $4.20 2.70
3 $64.20 40.44
p The swap bank could borrow $60m at 7% and use a set of 3 forward contracts to redenominate their bond as a 5% euro bond. 1.00 (1.07) 40m = $60m 2.7477m = $4.20m $1.50 $1.50 (1.05) (1.07)2 2.6963m $4.20m $1.50 2 6963m = $4 20m $1 50 (1.05)2 (1.07)3 40.4446m = $64.20m $1.50 (1.05)3
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0 40.00 $60.00
1 2.00 $3.06
2 2.00 $3.12
3 42.00 $66.67
The swap bank could borrow 40m at 5% and use a set of 3 forward contracts to redenominate their bond as a 7% dollar bond. (1.07) $60m = 40m $1.50 $3.06m = 2m $1.50 (1.05) (1.07) (1 07)2 $3.12m = 2m $1.50 (1.05)2
$66.67m = 42m $1.50
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(1.07)3 (1.05)3
The ability to hedge with covered interest arbitrage is where the swap bank found the 5% and $7% rates Euro- U.S. $
Bid Ask Bid 7.00 Ask 7.20 5.00 5.20
Competition from other swap banks will keep their spreads from getting too widethe theoretical limit is 200 basis points total. (See QSD on next slide.)
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The QSD is calculated as the difference between the spreads in the two countries QSD = 1 (-1) = 2% = 200 bp A & B earn 80 bp each, while Swap Bank earns 40 bp
$ A B QSD 7% 8% 1% 6% 5% 1%
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Interest rates might move against the swap bank after it has only gotten half of a swap on the books, or if it has an unhedged position. If the floating rates of the two counterparties are not pegged to the same index index. In the example of a currency swap given earlier, the swap bank would be worse off if the pound appreciated.
Basis Risk
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Credit Risk
This is the major risk faced by a swap dealerthe risk that a counter party will default on its end of the swap. Its hard to find a counterparty that wants to borrow the right amount of money for the right amount of time. The risk that a country will impose exchange rate restrictions that will interfere with performance on the swap.
Mismatch Risk
Sovereign Risk S i Ri k
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Swaps offer market completeness and that has accounted for their existence and growth. Swaps assist in tailoring financing to the type desired by a particular borrower. Since not all types of debt instruments are available to all types of borrowers both counterparties can benefit (as borrowers, well as the swap dealer) through financing that is more suitable for their asset maturity structures.
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Concluding Remarks
The growth of the swap market has been astounding. Swaps are off-the-books transactions. Swaps have become an important source of revenue and risk for banks
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A is a credit-worthy firm
A can borrow at 8% fixed A can borrow at flat LIBOR A prefers to borrow floating B can borrow at 9% fixed B can borrow at LIBOR + % B prefers to borrow fixed
B is a less-credit-worthy firm
Both firms want a 10-year maturity Devise a swap that is mutually beneficial for A and B.
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Step 2: We are to quote the swap against flat LIBOR Step 4: check our work Step 3: The QSD = so we have 50 bp to As all-in-cost: distribute among 3 LIBOR 0.2 players. Lets try 20 forLIBOR LIBOR Bs all-in-cost: (Step 2) A and B, (Step 2) 8.8% (this leaves 10 bp Swap Bank Profit Profit: for th f the swap b k) bank) 8.2% 8.3% 10 basis points (Step 3)
Swap Bank
(Step 1)
8%
Outside Lender
Step 1: A is better at borrowing fixed; B is better at borrowing floating so have them borrow externally y according to their comparative advantage
Fixed A 8% B 9%
QSD = 1%
LIBOR +
(Step 1)
Outside Lender
X
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A is an Italian firm
A can borrow in euro at 5% fixed A prefers to borrow in dollars but faces 8% cost B can borrow in dollars at 7% B now prefers to borrow in euro but faces 6% cost
B is an American firm
Both firms want a 10-year maturity Devise a feasible swap that eliminates exchange rate risk for A and B
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Step 2: We are to eliminate exchange rate risk for A and B Step 3: The QSD =1.5% so we have 150 bp to distribute among 3 players. Lets try 25 bp 5% for A, 75 bp for B, and (Step 2) 50 b for Swap Bank bp f
Step 4: check our work As all-in-cost: $7.75%, producing a 25 bp savings Bs all-in-cost: 5.25%, producing a 75 bp savings Swap Bank Profit: 50 basis points
(Step 1)
5%
$7.75% 5.25%
$ A 8% B 7 5% 7.5%
5% 6%
$7.5%
(Step 1)
Outside LenderX
Step 1: A is better at borrowing ; B is better at borrowing $ so have them borrow externally according to their comparative advantage
Outside LenderY
The First Major Currency Swap: 1981 IBM/World Bank : IBMs Perspective
IBM wanted to call its Deutsche Mark (DEM) and Swiss Franc (CHF) debt: the USD had appreciated considerably and the DM and SF interest rates had also gone up. Due to a depreciation of the DM and Swiss franc against the dollar IBM could realize dollar, a large foreign exchange gain, but only if it could eliminate its DEM and CHF liabilities and lock in the gain. But this would be costly: Exchange transaction costs when IBM buys DEM and CHF Call premium: IBM has to pay more than the DEM and CHF face value Issuing costs when IBM issues new USD bonds. Capital gains taxes on realized gain
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The First Major Currency Swap: 1981 IBM/World Bank: World Banks Perspective
The World Bank (WB) wanted to borrow DEM and CHF to lend to its customers. Though it wanted to lend in DM and Swiss francs, the bank was concerned that saturation in the bond markets could make it difficult to borrow more in these two currencies at a favorable rate. The WB was raising most of its funds in DEM (interest rate = 12%) and Swiss francs (interest rate = 8%). It did not want to borrow in USD (interest rate = 17) Note that: IBM wanted to retire CHF and DEM bonds (at a rather high cost) WB wants to issue CHF and DEM bonds (also at a cost). To avoid most of these costs, IBM and WB agreed that WB would take over IBMs foreign debt instead Salmon Brothers arranged the Swap
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Overview
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