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Hexaware
Performance highlights
Y/E December (` cr) Net revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) PAT* 4QCY12 502 85 16.9 66 3QCY12 508 110 21.6 84 % chg (qoq) (1.0) (22.9) (477)bp (21.2) 4QCY11 432 99 23.0 88 % chg (yoy) 16.3 (14.8) (615)bp (24.9)
BUY
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Net debt (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code IT 2,454 (447) 1.1 142/73 307,530 2 19,461 5,898 HEXT.BO HEXW@IN
`84 `113
12 Months
For 4QCY2012, Hexaware Technologies (Hexaware) reported broadly in-line set of results. Overall volume of the company declined by 1.1% qoq due to sudden project closure of one of the companys top clients. The company cited that work from its top account remains intact outside of the project cancellation impacting revenues in 4QCY2012 and 1QCY2013. The Management has guided for a double digit revenue growth in CY2013 and expects revenue to grow by 1.7-2.4% qoq in 1QCY2013. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock. Quarterly highlights: For 4QCY2012, Hexaware reported USD revenue of US$92.4mn, down 0.4% qoq. In INR terms, revenue came in at `502cr, down 1.0% qoq. The company witnessed a 477bp and 481bp qoq decline in its EBITDA and EBIT margins to 16.9% and 15.1%, respectively, impacted majorly because of challenges faced at one of its top clients. PAT came in at `66cr, down 21.2% qoq. Outlook and valuation: The Management indicated that the company remains confident of growing in double digits in CY2013 and cited that work from its top account remains intact outside of the project cancellation impacting revenues in 4QCY2012 and 1QCY2013. Also, the account should grow on a yoy basis in CY2013. For 1QCY2013, the company has given revenue guidance of US$9495mn, which translates to sequential growth of 1.7-2.8%. To achieve full year guidance of double digit growth (assuming 1QCY2013 revenues remain in the middle of the guidance range), the company needs to clock ~4% CQGR for the rest three quarters which looks a bit stretched. We expect the company to grow by 8.5% in CY2013; and post a USD and INR revenue CAGR of 9.3% and 9.8% over CY201214E, respectively. The Management expects margins to improve by ~150-200bp qoq in 1QCY2013. The margin slide during 4QCY2012 is expected to be recovered only gradually, however, as utilization picks up and growth improves, we expect margins to improve going forward. We value the company at 9.5x CY2014E EPS of `11.9, which gives us a target price of `113 and maintain our Buy rating on the stock. Key financials (Indian GAAP, Consolidated)
Y/E December (` cr) Net sales % chg Net profit % chg EBITDA margin (%) EPS (`)* P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) RoCE (%) EV/Sales (x) EV/EBITDA (x) CY2010 1,055 1.5 85 (36.4) 8.9 2.9 29.2 2.5 11.2 7.1 1.9 21.3 CY2011 1,451 37.6 267 212.9 18.2 8.9 9.4 2.4 26.3 23.6 1.4 7.6 CY2012E 1,948 34.3 328 22.8 20.9 10.9 7.7 2.0 27.2 31.2 1.0 4.9 CY2013E 2,136 9.6 303 (7.5) 18.3 10.1 8.3 1.7 21.2 24.8 0.8 4.6 CY2014E 2,350 10.0 357 17.7 19.6 11.9 7.1 1.5 21.8 25.6 0.7 3.6
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 28.1 6.5 39.6 25.8
3m 4.2 (25.4)
Ankita Somani
+91 22 39357800 Ext: 6819 ankita.somani@angelbroking.com
In-line performance
For 4QCY2012, Hexaware reported USD revenue of US$92.4, down 0.4% qoq, majorly because of 1.1% qoq volume decline. This was because the company witnessed change in project scope and deliverables from a large client, which is amongst the companys top-10 clients. The Management indicated that the decline in revenue of this large client (by 21.3% qoq to US$10.8mn) in 4QCY2012 is a temporary blip and expects this account to grow on a yoy basis in CY2013. In INR terms, the revenue came in at `502cr, down 1.0% qoq. During the quarter, the company reported a slight improvement of ~1% in its onsite and offshore bill rates to US$74.3/hour and US$23.2/hour. The Management indicated that on a broader basis the company expects billing rates to remain stable. Increase in bill rates aided the companys revenues by 36bp qoq.
6.7
(US$ mn)
80 75 70 65 60
1QCY12
2QCY12
3QCY12
4QCY12
(US$/hr)
50 40 30 20 10 4QCY11 1QCY12 Onsite 2QCY12 3QCY12 Offshore 4QCY12 23.00 22.90 22.85 22.97 23.16
Service vertical wise, the companys growth was led by testing (contributed 11.6% to revenue) and business intelligence (BI) & analytics (contributed 12.8% to revenue), revenue of which grew by a whopping 17.9% and 9.9% qoq, respectively. This was followed by infrastructure management services (IMS), the revenue of which grew by 7.1% qoq. Hexawares anchor service vertical, application development and maintenance (ADM; contributed 35.8% to revenue) reported a 7.2% qoq decline in its revenue, majorly because of pressure seen at one of its top client. Revenue from BPO and enterprise solutions declined by 7.4% and 2.1% qoq, respectively. Enterprise services cooled off following a very strong 2QCY2012 in which it grew by 15.8% qoq, while BPO has now declined in four out of the last five quarters. Going forward, the Management indicated that it is witnessing strong traction for services such as enterprise solutions, BI and IMS.
(%)
Industry segment wise, once again banking and capital markets posted modest growth with the segments revenue growth coming in at 3.9% qoq. The company expects this segment to grow at a higher rate than the companys average growth rate in CY2013. Healthcare and insurance led the companys growth by posting 6.8% qoq revenue growth. Revenue growth from travel and transportation again stood muted at 0.1% qoq. Hexaware added two new clients each in banking & capital markets and healthcare & insurance industry segments and one client in the travel and transportation industry segment.
Geography wise, growth was again led by America, the revenue from where grew by 5.8% qoq while revenues from Europe declined by 15.7% qoq. The company, however, maintained that Europe remains stable.
Utilization level, including trainees, declined by 370bp qoq to 63.9% (lowest level in last five years) in 4QCY2012 from 67.6% in 3QCY2012. Improving utilization from current levels will be an important margin level for the company going ahead.
(%)
67 66 65 64 63 62 3QCY11 4QCY11 1QCY12 2QCY12 3QCY12 4QCY12 Utilization - incl. trainees (%) 63.9
Margins decline
During 3QCY2012, the company witnessed a 477bp and 481bp qoq decline in its EBITDA and EBIT margins to 16.9% and 15.1%, respectively, impacted majorly because of challenges faced at one of its top clients. The margin movement was because of following factors: 1) 216bp qoq negative impact due to decline in utilization level, 2) 49bp qoq negative impact due to onsite effort shift, 3) 22bp qoq positive impact from increase in bill rates, 4) 130bp negative impact due to increase in SG&A costs, and 5) 90bp negative impact from some other costs. Hexaware has guided for 150-200bp qoq increase in margins in 1QFY2013 by using levers such as increasing utilization level and shifting the revenue mix offshore.
40.7
41.3
40.1
39.6 36.1
25 20 15 10 5
23.0 21.6
22.4 20.8
22.9 21.4
4QCY11
3QCY12
4QCY12
EBIT margin
Client pyramid
During 4QCY2012, Hexaware added 11 new clients three from America, two from Europe and six from the APAC region. From a service vertical perspective, five clients were added in enterprise solutions, three in testing and one in BI and analytics. The company added one client in the US$10mn-20mn revenue bracket. The active client base of the company increased to 218 in 4QCY2012 from 217 in 3QCY2012. The revenue from the companys top client declined by 21.3% qoq (impacted adversely by cancellation of a large engagement within that client), while revenues from top 2-5 clients grew by 12.5% qoq. Revenue from non top-10 clients declined by 0.8% qoq.
4QCY11 40 7 2 3 192 15
1QCY12 42 7 3 3 201 12
2QCY12 44 7 3 3 210 12
3QCY12 43 7 4 3 217 12
4QCY12 40 7 5 3 218 11
to drive upgrade-driven revenues for Hexaware, the same are anticipated accruing largely in CY2014 and some revenue may accrue towards the end of CY2013. For 1QCY2013, the company has given revenue guidance of US$94-95mn which translates to sequential growth of 1.7-2.8%. To achieve full year guidance of double digit growth (assuming 1QCY2013 revenues remain in the middle of the guidance range), the company needs to clock ~4% CQGR for the rest three quarters which looks a bit stretched as this will require large deal wins. We expect the company to grow by 8.5% in CY2013. We expect the company to post a USD and INR revenue CAGR of 9.3% and 9.8% over CY201214E, respectively. On the margin front, the Management expects margins to improve by ~150200bp qoq in 1QCY2013. The margin slide during 4QCY2012 is expected to be recovered only gradually, however, as utilization picks up and growth improves (aided by Peoplesoft upgrades), we expect margins to improve going forward. We expect EBITDA and PAT to post a CAGR of 6.2% and 4.3%, respectively. At the current market price, the stock is trading at a PE of 7.1x CY2014E EPS of `12.0. We value the company at 9.5x CY2014E EPS of `11.9, which gives us a target price of `113. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock.
100 80 60 40 20 0
Dec-08 Apr-07 Mar-10 Aug-10 Oct-09 Apr-12 Jul-08 Feb-08 Nov-06 Nov-11 Sep-07 May-09 Sep-12 Feb-13 Jun-06 Jan-06 Jan-11 Jun-11
Price
Source: Company, Angel Research
16x
13x
9x
5x
2x
Company Background
Hexaware is a mid-cap Indian IT company and is the 18th largest Indian software exporter according to Nasscom 2010 rankings. Under the leadership of Chairman Mr Atul Nishar and Vice Chairman and CEO Mr Chandrashekar (ex-Wipro Technologies), Hexaware has differentiated itself from its peers and built a niche position in the airlines vertical and in PeopleSoft implementation. Hexaware offers its services to clients mainly in the BFSI and travel and transportation industries.
10
11
Key ratios
Y/E December Valuation ratio (x) P/E P/CEPS P/BVPS Dividend yield (%) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/Total assets Per share data (`) EPS Cash EPS Dividend Book value DuPont analysis Tax retention ratio (PAT/PBT) Cost of debt (PBT/EBIT) EBIT margin (EBIT/Sales) Asset turnover ratio (Sales/Assets) Leverage ratio (Assets/equity) Operating ROE Return ratios (%) RoCE (pre-tax) Angel RoIC RoE Turnover ratios(x) Asset turnover (fixed assets) Debtor days 2.6 66 3.0 75 3.7 68 4.0 69 4.1 69 7.1 13.9 11.2 23.6 43.2 26.3 31.2 49.6 27.2 24.8 46.4 21.2 25.6 49.5 21.8 0.9 1.4 0.1 1.1 1.0 9.1 0.9 1.3 0.2 1.4 0.9 23.8 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.6 0.9 25.6 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.5 1.0 21.2 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.4 1.0 21.8 2.9 4.5 1.5 33.0 8.9 10.0 4.7 34.7 10.9 12.3 6.3 41.2 10.1 11.6 5.2 48.9 11.9 13.6 5.2 55.8 29.2 18.6 2.5 1.8 1.9 21.3 2.0 9.4 8.4 2.4 5.5 1.4 7.6 2.0 7.7 6.8 2.0 7.5 1.0 4.9 1.7 8.3 7.2 1.7 6.2 0.8 4.6 1.3 7.1 6.2 1.5 6.2 0.7 3.6 1.0 CY2010 CY2011 CY2012E CY201E CY2014E
12
E-mail: research@angelbroking.com
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Hexaware No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below `1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
13