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The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from ValuEngine.com. In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a two-week free trial at www.valuengine.com!
VALUATION WATCH: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when a market pullback may occur. Overvalued stocks now make up almost 65% of our universe and almost 26% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. ALL sectors are calculated to be overvalued. MARKET OVERVIEW
Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500
Week Open
13992.97 3192.53 913.55 1517.93
Thurs Close
13973.39 3198.66 923.76 1521.38
Change
-19.58 6.13 10.21 3.45
% Change
-0.14% 0.19% 1.12% 0.23%
YTD
6.74% 6.07% 8.76% 6.74%
SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities
Change
0.29% -0.58% 0.37% 0.76% 0.05% -0.20% -0.24% 0.32% 0.15% 0.19% 0.11% -0.05% 0.77% 0.11% 0.32% -0.84%
MTD
0.13% 2.80% 0.92% 1.23% 3.03% 1.33% 1.64% 1.55% 2.11% 2.07% 1.67% 1.08% 2.75% 4.15% 2.64% 0.11%
YTD
4.77% 9.44% 4.83% 7.79% 9.99% 10.38% 9.45% 6.45% 9.01% 8.08% 8.08% 5.25% 10.96% 12.39% 13.70% 6.00%
Valuation
6.74% overvalued 10.35% overvalued 0.35% overvalued 11.12% overvalued 14.37% overvalued 24.87% overvalued 8.89% overvalued 23.74% overvalued 18.04% overvalued 21.26% overvalued 13.98% overvalued 10.65% overvalued 6.65% overvalued 11.41% overvalued 22.64% overvalued 7.29% overvalued
Last 12MReturn
9.47% 1.24% -24.35% 8.12% 1.37% 23.22% 7.99% 11.46% 15.45% 4.22% 6.00% 13.32% -11.49% 14.93% 5.27% 7.34%
P/E Ratio
37 15.69 25.4 25.27 38.76 49.68 24.99 20.46 20.93 23.02 27.42 16.41 30.96 33.42 24.44 18.48
Name
NAVISTAR INTL ACCURIDE CORP WESTPORT INNOV TESLA MOTORS WABASH NATIONAL
Mkt Price
26.54 4.16 29.22 38.3 10.35
Valuation(%)
28.06 -23.13 37.47 14.34 7.03
Name
WESTPORT INNOV ACCURIDE CORP CUMMINS INC WABASH NATIONAL DORMAN PRODUCTS
Mkt Price
29.22 4.16 118.73 10.35 37.63
Valuation(%)
37.47 -23.13 18.81 7.03 23.77
Name
COOPER TIRE GOODYEAR TIRE MAGNA INTL CL A TOYOTA MOTOR CP TRW AUTOMTV HLD
Mkt Price
26 14.17 53.62 102.64 59.83
Valuation(%)
-1.22 -30.07 9.33 5.32 21.45
Name
OSHKOSH CORP MERITOR INC WESTPORT INNOV NAVISTAR INTL VISTEON CORP
Mkt Price
40.02 4.67 29.22 26.54 56.3
Valuation(%)
47 43.79 37.47 28.06 25.98
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This week's free download is our report on Burger King (BKW). Burger King Worldwide, Inc. operates fast food hamburger chain in the world. The company's restaurants primarily offer flame-grilled hamburgers, chicken and other specialty sandwiches, french-fries, soft drinks and other food items. Burger King Worldwide, Inc. is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
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Symbol
ABCP ALSK ATNY FSS HAFC HCI HGSH IMH IQNT KTOS PATK PIKE REGI STSI YONG
Company Name
AMBASE CORP ALASKA COMM SYS API TECH CORP FED SIGNAL CP HANMI FINL CP HOMEOWNERS CHCE CHINA HGS REAL IMPAC MRTG HLDG NEUTRAL TANDEM KRATOS DEFENSE PATRICK INDS PIKE ELECTRIC RENEWABLE ENERG STAR SCIENTIFIC YONGYE INTL INC
1.94 -4.46 6.18 10.21 23.91 11.46 27.09 -6.45 7.39 0.82 0.00 1.94 13.87 -15.11 11.33 6.01
3.95
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Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com Treasury Yields 10-Year--(1.998) Weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 2.062, 2.476 and 3.063 with my annual pivot at 1.981, and monthly and semiannual risky levels at 1.843 and 1.413. Commodities and Forex Comex Gold ($1635.4) Weekly and annual value levels are $1632.9 and $1599.9 with a daily pivot at $1638.1, and semiannual, monthly, quarterly and annual and semiannual risky levels at $1719.2, $1793.7, $1802.9 and $1852.1. Nymex Crude Oil (($97.36) Monthly and quarterly pivots are $96.21 and $95.84 with a daily pivot at $97.49, and weekly, annual and semiannual risky levels at $101.44, $115.23, $115.42 and $130.42. The Euro (1.3354) Annual and semiannual value levels are 1.3257 and 1.2797 with my quarterly pivot at 1.3334, and monthly, weekly and annual risky levels at 1.3570, 1.3498 and 1.4295. Major Indices Daily DOW (13,973) Quarterly and annual value levels are 13,668, 12,696 and 12,509 with daily, weekly, monthly and semiannual risky levels at 14,081, 14,108, 14,132 and 14,323. The October 2007 high is 14,198.10. The all time closing high is 14,164.53 set on October 9, 2007. S&P 500 (1521.4) Quarterly and annual value levels are 1431.1 and 1348.3 with daily, weekly, monthly and semiannual risky levels at 1537.7, 1544.0, 1542.9 and 1566.9. The October 2007 high is 1576.09.
NASDAQ (3199) Quarterly and annual value levels are 3071, 2806 and 2790 with daily, weekly, monthly and semiannual risky levels at 3240, 3264, 3250 and 3583. Fridays high was just shy of the September 21, 2012 high at 3196.93. NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2771) Annual value levels are 2463 and 2385 with daily, weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2813, 2825, 2798 and 2871. My semiannual risky level is 3196. Dow Transports (5948) Annual, monthly and quarterly value levels are 5469, 5440 and 5094 with an annual pivot at 5925, and semiannual, daily and weekly risky levels at 5955, 6001 and 6127. Thursdays close at 5947.70 was another new all time closing high. To confirm a Dow Theory Buy Signal the Dow Industrials need to have a daily close above its all time closing high of 14,164.53 set on October 9, 2007. Russell 2000 (923.76) Monthly, annual, quarterly and annual value levels are 911.32, 860.25, 821.01 and 809.54 with daily, weekly and semiannual risky levels at 931.81, 948.81 and 965.51. The Russell 2000 set another new all time high at 924.68 on February 14. The SOX (431.08) Monthly, quarterly and annual value levels are 409.08, 371.62 and 338.03 with daily, weekly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels at 436.37, 432.14, 440.36 and 520.17. The July 2007 high is 549.39.
With Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing, you get daily analysis of US Treasury Yields, Gold, Crude Oil, and Currency Exchange Rates--Dollar, Yen, Pound, and Euro--as well as key technical indicators for the major equity averages.
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