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Commodities are traded on regulated commodities exchanges, in which they are bought and sold in standardized contracts. Commodity markets deal in raw materials that are amenable to grading and that can be stored for considerable periods without deterioration. Originally, the commodity markets started off as a way for farmers to sell their goods at a guaranteed price in the future. Because farmers had no way of knowing whether the harvest would turn out good or bad, it provided a way for them to lock in some profits before going to market. The commodity market also provided a way for buyers to get a price they thought was fair. Commodity is an important constituent of the financial market of any country. It is the market where a wide range of products are traded. It is important to develop a vibrant, active and liquid commodity market. This would help investors hedge their commodity risk, take speculative positions in commodities and exploit arbitrage opportunities in the market. Commodity trading involves: Spot trading: Spot trading is any transaction where delivery either takes place immediately, or with a minimum lag between the trade and delivery due to technical constraints. Spot trading normally involves visual inspection of the commodity or a sample of the commodity, and is carried out in markets such as wholesale markets. Commodity markets, on the other hand, require the existence of agreed standards so that trades can be made without visual inspection. Forward contracts: A forward contract is an agreement between two parties to exchange at some fixed future date a given quantity of a commodity for a price defined today. The fixed price today is known as the forward price. Early on these forward contracts were used as a way of getting products from producer to the consumer. These typically were only for food and agricultural products. Futures contracts: A futures contract has the same general features as a forward contract but is standardized and transacted through a futures exchange. Although more complex today,
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early forward contracts for example, were used for rice in seventeenth century Japan. Modern forward, or futures agreements, began in Chicago in the 1840s, with the appearance of the railroads. Chicago, being centrally located, emerged as the hub between Midwestern farmers and producers and the east coast consumer population centers. In essence, a futures contract is a standardized forward contract in which the buyer and the seller accept the terms in regards to product, grade, quantity and location and are only free to negotiate the price METAL Aluminium, Copper, Lead, Nickel, Sponge Iron, Steel Long (Bhavnagar), Steel Long (Govindgarh), Steel Flat, Tin, Zinc FIBER Cotton L Staple, Cotton M Staple, Cotton S Staple, Cotton Yarn, Kapas ENERGY Brent Crude Oil, Crude Oil, Furnace Oil, Natural Gas, M. E. Sour Crude Oil SPICES PLANTATIONS PULSES Cardamom, Jeera, Pepper, Red Chilli Arecanut, Cashew Kernel, Coffee (Robusta), Rubber Chana, Masur, Yellow Peas
PETROCHEMICALS HDPE, Polypropylene(PP), PVC OIL & OIL SEEDS Castor Oil, Castor Seeds, Coconut Cake, Coconut Oil, Cotton Seed, Crude Palm Oil, Groundnut Oil, Kapasia Khalli, Mustard Oil, Mustard Seed (Jaipur), Mustard Seed (Sirsa), RBD Palmolein, Refined Soy Oil, Refined Sunflower Oil, Rice Bran DOC, Rice Bran Refined Oil, Sesame Seed, Soymeal, Soy Bean, Soy Seeds OTHERS Guargum, Guar Seed, Gurchaku, Mentha Oil, Potato (Agra), Potato (Tarkeshwar), Sugar M-30, Sugar S-30
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Market is estimated to cross Rs. 10,000 billion in the year 2010. Demand for commodities is likely to become four times by 2012 than what it presently is.
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LONG
SHORT
HEDGER
SPECULATOR
Arbitrage Arbitrage refers to the opportunity of taking advantage between the price difference between 2 different markets for that same stock or commodity. In simple terms one can understand by an example of a commodity selling in one market at price x and the same commodity selling in another market at price x + y. Now this y, is the difference between the two markets is the arbitrage available to the trader. The trade is carried simultaneously at both the markets so theoretically there is no risk. (This arbitrage should not be confused with the word arbitration, as arbitration is referred to solving of dispute between two or more parties.) The person who conducts and takes advantage of arbitrage in stocks, commodities, interest rate bonds, derivative products, foreign exchange is known as an arbitrageur. An arbitrage opportunity exists between different markets be-cause there are different kind of players in the market, some might be speculators, others jobbers, some market-markets, and some might be arbitrageurs. In India there are a good amount of Arbitrage opportunities between NCDEX, MCX in commodities.
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The option holder will exercise the option only if it is beneficial to him, otherwise he will let the option lapse.
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As the commodity prices determine price levels and consequently inflation, investing in commodity futures can act as a hedge against inflation.
Commodity Exchange
Commodity exchange for buying and selling commodities for future delivery. Originally, a commodity exchange is a market organized to allow for the selling and buying of commodities. Commodities, which are hard goods, as opposed to services, may be bought and sold on a commodity exchange in three types of markets: Cash, Futures and Options A commodity exchange is considered to be essentially public because anybody may trade through its member firms. The commodity exchange itself regulates the trading practices of its members while prices on a commodity exchange are determined by supply and demand. A commodity exchange provides the rules, procedures, and physical for commodity trading, oversees trading practices, and gathers and disseminates marketplace information. Commodity exchange transactions take place on the commodity exchange floor, in what is called a pit, and must be affected within certain time limits. Floor traders, floor brokers and futures commissions merchants working on the floor of a commodity exchange must be registered by the SEC. Role of COMMODITY EXCHANGE Commodity exchanges provide platforms to suit the varied requirements of customers. Firstly, these exchanges enable actual users (farmers, agro processors, industry where the predominant cost is commodity input/output cost) to hedge their price risk given the uncertainty of the future - especially in agriculture where there is uncertainty regarding the monsoon and hence prices. This holds good also for nonagro products like metals or energy products as well where global forces could exert considerable influence. Purchasers are also assured of a fixed price which is
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determined in advance, thereby avoiding surprises to them. It must be borne in mind that commodity prices in India have always been woven firmly into the international fabric. Today, price fluctuations in all major commodities in the country mirror both national and international factors and not merely national factors. Secondly, by involving the group of investors and speculators, commodity exchanges provide liquidity and buoyancy to the system. Lastly, the arbitrageurs play an important role in balancing the market as arbitrage conditions, where they exist, are ironed out as arbitrageurs trade with opposite positions on different platforms and hence generate opposing demand and supply forces which ultimately narrows down the gaps in prices. It must be pointed out that while the monsoon conditions affect the prices of agro-based commodities, the phenomenon of globalization has made prices of other products such as metals, energy products, etc., vulnerable to changes in global politics, policies, growth paradigms, etc. This would be strengthened as the world moves closer to the resolution of the WTO impasses, which would become a reality shortly. Commodity exchanges are institutions which provide a platform for trading in commodity futures just as how stock markets provide space for trading in equities and their derivatives. In Short, Commodity exchanges are institutions which provide a platform for trading in commodity futures just as how stock markets provide space for trading in equities and their derivatives.
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Regulatory Measures Evolved By FMC Limit on open position of an individual operator to prevent over-trading; Limit on price fluctuation to prevent abrupt upswing or downswing in prices; Special Margin deposits to be collected on outstanding purchases or sales to curb excessive speculators activity through financial restraints; Minimum / Maximum prices to be prescribed to prevent futures prices from falling below the levels that are not remunerative and from rising be-low the levels not warranted by genuine supply and demand factors; During shortages, extreme steps like skipping trading in certain deliveries of the contracts, closing the markets for a specified period and even closing out the contracts to overcome the emergency situations are taken;
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There are two kinds of trades in commodities. The first is the spot trade, in which one pays cash and carries away the goods. The second is futures trade. The under pinning for futures is the warehouse receipt. A person deposits certain amount of say, good X in a ware house and gets a warehouse receipt which allows him to ask for physical delivery of the good from the warehouse but someone trading in commodity futures need not necessarily possess such a receipt to strike a deal. A person can buy or sale a commodity future on an exchange based on his expectation of where the price will go. Futures have something called an expiry date, by when the buyer or seller either closes (square off) his account or give/take delivery of the commodity. The broker maintains an account of all dealing parties in which the daily profit or loss due to changes in the futures price is recorded. Squiring off is done by taking an opposite contract so that the
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net out-standing is nil. For commodity futures to work, the seller should be able to deposit the commodity at warehouse nearest to him and collect the warehouse receipt. The buyer should be able to take physical delivery at a location of his choice on presenting the warehouse receipt. But at present in India very few warehouses provide delivery for specific commodities. Today Commodity trading system is fully computerized. Traders need not visit a commodity market to speculate. With online commodity trading they could sit in the confines of their home or office and call the shots.
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How commodity trading works for retail investor When you buy a Gold Futures contract, you undertake to do three things. 1. Buy the amount of gold specified in the contract. 2. Buy it at the price specified in the contract. 3. Buy it on the expiry of the contract. This could be after one month, two months, and three months and so on. Of course, if you sell the Gold Futures contract before it expires, then you don't have to worry about actually buying the gold. Let's say you buy the Gold Future contract at say Rs 7,200 per 10 gm. Your hunch comes true and the gold prices rally to Rs 8,000 per 10 gm. You can sell the Gold Futures any time before expiry of the contract. Gold and other commodity futures prices are quoted on the commodity exchanges in exactly the same way in which stock prices or stock futures prices are quoted on a daily basis in the stock markets. Just like stock futures (Read How to trade in Futures to understand how futures work). When you buy a Futures, you don't have to pay the entire amount, just a fixed percentage of the cost. This is known as the margin. Let's say you are buying a Gold Futures contract. The minimum contract size for a gold future is 100 gms. 100 gms of gold may be worth Rs 72,000. The margin for gold set by MCX is 3.5%. So you only end up paying Rs 2,520. The low margin means that you can buy futures representing a large amount of gold by paying only a fraction of the price. So you bought the Gold Futures contract when it was Rs 72,000 per 100 gms. The next day, the price of gold rose to Rs 73,000 per 100 gms. Rs 1,000 (Rs 73,000 Rs 72,000) will be credited to your account. The following day, the price dips to Rs 72,500. Rs 500 will get debited from your account (Rs 73,000 - Rs 72,500). Compared to stocks, trading in commodities is much cheaper, because margins are much lower than in stock futures. Brokerage is low for commodity futures. It ranges from 0.05% to 0.12%.Because of this, commodity futures are a speculator's paradise. The advantages in this line is that there are no balance sheets, no complicated financial statements----all you have to do is follow the supply and demand position of the commodities you trade in very closely.
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Hedged positions of producers and processors would reduce the risk of default faced by banks. * Lending for agricultural sector would go up with greater transparency in pricing and storage. Commodity Exchanges to act as distribution network to retail agro-finance from Banks to rural households. Provide trading limit finance to Traders in commodities Exchanges. BENEFITS TO EXCHANGE MEMBER Access to a huge potential market much greater than the securities and cash market in commodities. Robust, scalable, state-of-art technology deployment. Member can trade in multiple commodities from a single point, on real time basis.
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Percentage Returns
Initial Margins
Price Movements
Future Predictability
Predictability of future prices is not in the control due to factors like Failure of Monsoon and Formation of Elninos at Pacific.
Predictability of future performance is reasonably high, which is supplemented by the History of management performance.
Volatility
Lower Volatility.
Higher Volatility.
Arbitrage Opportunities
Exists on 1-2 month contracts. There is a small difference in prices but in case of commodities, which it is in large tonnage makes a huge differences.
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Analysis
Commodities is an asset class which is cyclical and tradable by nature. In the western world, the volumes of the commodities market are almost two to three times as compared to the equity market. Commodities is a volume game, you rarely see prices shooting up by 20%-30% in a single day, which is common in the equity markets. So, to make huge profits, one should have a high leverage to make the most of the 3%-4% movements which take place throughout the day. Apart from other reasons that were witnessed around the globe post the 2008 recession, we have seen easy monetary policies being adopted by western central bankers and beyond that any slowdown or fear of a slowdown was tackled by stimulus packages. A massive debasement of currencies is taking place since the past three years and that is one of the prime reasons investors have found refuge in hard assets and commodities. It is not just shortages that are fuelling the Bull Run in commodities. The introduction of exchange traded funds internationally in commodities, pension funds, sovereign funds as well as central bankers (in case of gold), who are increasing the exposure in commodities, are responsible in a very significant way for the spike that we have seen in commodity volumes. Slowing growth in developed nations and high inflationary expectations in emerging markets have also benefited commodities. Investors have found a store of value in commodities. The intrinsic value of commodities in comparison with other asset classes is very high. There is a secular bull run in the complex since the past decade. When we combine the volumes of all futures exchanges and spot exchanges, we find that the Indian commodities market is gearing itself for the next phase of growth. Further, the amendment in several Acts will augment growth and prepare it for the big leap. We believe that in the coming two years, the cumulative volume on the Indian commodities exchanges would be somewhere between 1, 10,000 and 1, 30,000 crore per day. Retail traders and investors should take advantage by being a part of this story. They should diversify at least 15% to 20% of their total portfolio in commodities.
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Conclusion
After almost two years that commodity trading is finding favor with Indian investors and is been seen as a separate asset class with good growth opportunities. For diversification of portfolio beyond shares, fixed deposits and mutual funds, commodity trading offers a good option for long-term investors and arbitrageurs and speculators. And, now, with daily global volumes in commodity trading touching three times that of equities, trading in commodities cannot be ignored by Indian investors. Online commodity exchanges need to revamp certain laws governing futures in commodities to make the markets more attractive. The national multi-commodity exchanges have unitedly proposed to the government that in view of the growth of the commodities market, foreign institutional investors should be given the go-ahead to invest in commodity futures in India. Their entry will deepen and broad base the commodity futures market. As a matter of fact, derivative instruments, such as futures, can help India become a global trading hub for select commodities. Commodity trading in India is poised for a big take-off in India on the back of factors like global economic recovery and increasing demand from China for commodities. Considering the huge volatility witnessed in the equity markets recently with the Sensex touching 21000 level commodities could add the required zing to investors' portfolio. Therefore, it won't be long before the market sees the emergence of a completely redefined set of retail investors.
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