Beruflich Dokumente
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March 5, 2013
Figure 1: Precipitation at SeaTac AP during February (jagged line) compared to normal (straight line). The shaded area represents the difference from normal (1981-2010).
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Snowpack Summary
While February was relatively dry, heavy snow fell in the mountains during the rst week and over the last weekend of the month resulting in near-normal to above normal snowpack for most locations. Figure 2 shows the snow water equivalent (SWE) percent of normal as of March 4, 2013. The Olympic, North Puget Sound, Central Puget Sound, South Puget Sound, Lower Columbia, and Upper Columbia basins all have above normal snowpack, while the Central Columbia, Upper Yakima, and Lower Yakima have near-normal snowpack for this time of year. The Spokane and Lower Snake basins in eastern WA are lagging behind with 84 and 88% of normal SWE, respectively.
Washington SNOTEL Current Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) % of Normal Mar 04, 2013
Current Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) Basin-wide Percent of 1981-2010 Median
unavailable * <50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% >=150%
* Data unavailable at time of posting or measurement is not representative at this time of year
! Port Angeles! ! !
! !
Bellingham
116
Marblemount
! ! ! !
Upper Columbia
Winthrop
111 84
! !
Spokane
144
122
Central Columbia
! [
Olympic
[ ( !Olympia
Seattle
92
Upper Yakima
! !
Spokane
Wenatchee
! !
Cle Elum
95
113
! !
Yakima
101 120
Lower Columbia Lower Yakima
! !
88
Lower Snake
Walla Walla
Miles 100
The snow water equivalent percent of normal represents the current snow water equivalent found at selected SNOTEL sites in or near the basin compared to the average value for those sites on this day. Data based on the first reading of the day (typically 00:00).
Prepared by the USDA/NRCS National Water and Climate Center Portland, Oregon http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/gis/ Based on data from http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/reports/ Science contact: Jim.Marron@por.usda.gov 503 414 3047
Figure 2: Snowpack (in terms of snow water equivalent) percent of normal for Washington as of March 4, 2013. Image is from the National Resources Conservation Service (NRCS).
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Station Quillayute Hoquiam Bellingham Friday Harbor Whidbey Island Port Angeles Arlington Everett Paine Fld Boeing Field Renton SeaTac Tacoma Narrows Tacoma McChord Fort Lewis-Gray Bremerton Shelton Olympia Toledo Kelso-Longview Vancouver
Jan 6.5 ENE 11 E 9S 7.2 SE 10.7 SE 4.2 WSW 5.6 SSE 9.3 S 6.4 S 6.5 S 8.3 S 7S 7.4 S 6.4 S 5.9 SSW 4.4 SW 6S 3.4 S 5.9 SSE 5.6 ESE
Mar 6.5 S 10.3 E 8.9 S 7.3 SE 10.9 SE 5.2 W 6.2 S 9.2 S 7.1 S 7.5 S 8.5 S 7.6 S 8.6 S 7.5 S 6.3 SSW 6.2 WSW 6.6 S 4.9 S 5.4 S 5 ESE
May 5.2 W 9W 7.4 S 5.2 SW 7.9 W 6.4 W 4.8 NW 7.6 N 6.5 S 7.3 S 7.3 SSW 6.8 S 7.6 S 6.6 S 5.7 SSW 7.5 WSW 5.9 S 4.5 NW 4.6 N 4.7 NW
Jul 4.6 W 8.4 W 8S 4.8 SW 6.9 WSW 6.6 W 4.5 NW 7.1 N 6.1 NW 7.6 NNW 7 SW 6.2 N 7S 6.1 S 5 SSW 8.1 WSW 5.3 SSW 4.7 NW 5.8 N 5.5 NW
Aug 4.2 S 7.9 W 7.4 S 4.1 SE 6.3 W 5.6 W 4.3 NW 6.9 N 5.8 NW 7.2 S 6.4 N 5.5 S 6.5 S 5.8 S 4.6 NE 7.3 WSW 4.9 S 4.3 NW 5.4 N 5.1 NW
Oct 4.8 ENE 8.5 E 6.4 S 4.9 SE 8.3 ESE 4.2 W 4.1 SSE 7.3 S 5.7 SSE 5.9 S 6.9 S 6.2 S 6.8 S 6S 5.1 SSW 4.9 SW 5.3 S 3.6 S 4.1 SSE 4 ESE
Dec 6.3 ENE 11.1 E 8.7 NNE 7.9 SE 11 E 4.6 SW 5.3 SSE 9S 6.3 SSE 6.1 S 8.3 S 6.4 S 7.2 S 6.6 S 5.2 SSW 4.5 SW 5.9 S 3.5 S 5.8 SSE 5.6 ESE
Annual 5.4 S 9.3 E 7.7 S 5.8 SE 8.6 W 5.2 W 4.9 SSE 8N 6.2 S 6.8 S 7.5 S 6.5 S 7.2 S 6.4 S 5.3 SSW 6 WSW 5.6 S 4.1 S 5.1 SSE 5 ESE
Table 1: The mean wind speed and direction for airport sites in western WA for a sample of months using data from 1996 through 2006. Full tables can be viewed at the WRCC website.
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the conduit represented by the low terrain to the south of the Olympic Mountains (as indicated in Mass 1982). The three station of Boeing Field (BFI), Renton (RNT), and SeaTac (SEA) in King County are quite near each other, but display some interesting differences. BFI is tucked into the Duwamish River Valley and tends to have the lightest winds. SEA is at the highest elevation and has the strongest mean winds, except during summer. During that time of year the winds tend to be from the north, and hence the relatively stronger winds at RNT may be due to the reduced friction associated with the presence of Lake Washington immediately upstream. The mean monthly winds of eastern Washington are itemized in Table 2, and also feature plenty of quirks. The strongest winds by a large margin are the northwesterlies in Ellensburg (ELN) during summer. This location is near the downstream exit of one of the more prominent gaps in the Cascade Mountains. Too bad there are no large bodies of water because it otherwise might be a mecca for windsurng, since the ELN winds are actually stronger than those in the Columbia River gorge at The Dalles, OR (not shown). The weakest east side winds are found not far away in Wenatchee (EAT) during the middle of winter. It stands to reason that this location, and to a lesser extent, Yakima (YKM) and ELN, tend to experience weak winds during this time of year because statically-stable temperature proles are common in association with cold air banked against the east ank of the Cascades. It is not evident why the mean directions are from the west, but perhaps it is due to the drainage of cold air off the slopes to the west during the long winter nights. Most of the stations in eastern Washington tend to have stronger winds during the summer than the winter. This result contrasts with that for western Washington, which has stronger winds in winter on average at most locations. The three Spokane stations offer another opportunity to examine the variations in the winds over short distances. Fairchild Air Force Base (SKA) and Spokane International (GEG) are separated by only 3-4 miles and are situated in similar terrain to the west of the city of Spokane and their winds are comparable, with the exception of late in the calendar year. On the other hand, Felts Field (SFF) is located along the Spokane River just east of town, and while it is only about 12 miles distant from SKA and GEG, its mean winds are consistently weaker, and generally out of a different direction, during much of the year. The winter winds in Spokane area generally include a northerly component, at least at SKA, GEG, and Deer Park (DEW). This might seem inconsistent with the overall SLP pattern but could reect down-gradient ow into relatively low pressure over northern Idaho (Fig. 1b). It should be noted that for the latter region of higher terrain the reduction of station pressure to sea-level may introduce errors. We have only begun to scratch the surface of the temporal and spatial structure in these wind data. We encourage readers to check out some of the other idiosyncrasies in this data set, and see if they can puzzle out their own explanations for the marvelous contrasts in this facet of the weather across Washington State. Reference: Mass, C.F. (1982): The topographically forced diurnal circulations of western Washington state and their inuence on precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 170-183.
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Station Stampede Pass WenatcheePangborn Ellensburg Yakima Omak Ephrata Moses Lake Hanford Pasco-Tri Cities Walla Walla Deer Park Spokane SpokaneFairchild Spokane-Felts Fld Pullman-Moscow
Jan 7E 3.3 W 4.3 NW 4W 5S 6.9 N 6.4 N 7.5 NW 6.7 NW 8S 5.3 N 8.7 NE 10.1 SSW 4.5 SW 9.1 E
Mar 7.5 E 7.1 W 9.7 NW 6.8 NW 7.3 N 8.8 N 8.1 N 9.4 NW 7.8 SW 9.8 S 6.6 S 10.2 SSW 10.7 SSW 6.5 SW 8.8 E
May 7.6 WSW 9.3 WNW 12.9 NW 7.5 W 7.8 N 9.5 S 8.5 S 9.9 NW 8 SW 9.1 S 7S 9.5 SSW 9.7 SSW 6.5 SSW 7.2 WSW
Jul 8.3 WSW 9.8 WNW 15.4 NW 7.2 W 8.4 N 9.7 S 7.9 S 9.9 NW 6.9 SW 9.1 S 6S 8.8 SSW 8.5 SSW 6.3 NNE 4.7 WSW
Aug 7.8 WSW 9.2 WNW 13.5 NW 6.7 W 8.3 N 8.8 S 7.3 N 9.2 NW 6.5 SSW 8.8 S 5.6 S 8.2 SW 8.5 SSW 5.8 NNE 5.1 WSW
Oct 7.5 WSW 6 WNW 8 NW 5.6 W 6.9 N 7.6 N 7N 8W 6 SW 7.8 S 5.2 N 8.3 S 8.9 SSW 4.9 NNE 6.6 E
Dec 7.2 E 3.3 WNW 4.2 E 3.8 W 4.2 S 6.6 N 5.9 N 7.2 NW 6.1 NW 7.6 S 4.9 N 8.1 NE 9.6 SSW 4.3 SW 9.3 E
Annual 7.6 WSW 6.9 WNW 9.5 NW 6W 6.9 N 8.3 N 7.3 N 8.8 NW 6.8 SW 8.5 S 5.8 S 8.7 S 9.4 SSW 5.5 SW 7.3 E
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Figure 3: Mean SLP during (a) January and (b) July of 1996-2006 (contour interval 100 Pa) from the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR).
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Climate Summary
Mean February temperatures were above normal across most of the state, illustrated by the High Plains Regional Climate Center (HPRCC) temperature departure from normal map below. While most of the Puget Sound locations were within 1F of normal, Bellingham was a warm spot on the west side of the Cascade Mountains with an average monthly temperature 3.4F above normal (Table 3). Central WA was also warmer than normal, with temperature between 3 and 6F above normal for the month. There were some cool spots, with monthly temperature departures from normal around -1F in southwestern WA, parts of inland western WA, and northeastern WA. Total February precipitation was below normal, especially in central WA, where the precipitation percent of normal map indicates values between 2 and 25% of normal. Elsewhere in the state, percentage of normal totals ranged between 25 and 75% of normal. A few locations did receive near-normal precipitation or even slightly above: the northwestern tip of the Olympic Peninsula, the WA coast, the northern Puget Sound, and Lincoln County.
Temperature (F)
Precipitation (%)
February temperature (F) departure from normal (top) and February precipitation % of normal (bottom). (High Plains Regional Climate Center (http://www.hprcc.unl.edu); relative to the 1981-2010 normal).
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Snowfall (inches)
Western Washington Olympia Seattle WFO Sea-Tac Quillayute Bellingham AP Vancouver 41.5 44.3 44.4 43.9 44.2 43.1 41.0 43.4 43.4 42.1 40.8 43.5 0.5 0.9 1 1.8 3.4 -0.4 4.04 1.76 1.58 11.77 2.27 1.16 5.27 3.31 3.50 10.35 3.02 4.03 77 53 45 114 75 29 0 0 0 0 M M 4.7 0.6 1.7 2.6 2.4 M 0 0 0 0 -
Eastern Washington Spokane AP Wenatchee Omak Pullman AP Ephrata Pasco AP Yakima AP 33.8 37.2 30.5 36.0 36.3 39.5 39.9 33.0 34.8 31.8 34.9 34.1 38.9 36.1 0.8 2.4 -1.3 1.1 2.2 0.6 3.8 0.74 0.15 0.19 1.17 0.16 0.12 0.03 1.33 0.81 1.30 1.52 0.74 0.86 0.78 56 19 15 77 22 14 4 4.4 M M M M 0 0 6.8 4.4 M M 3.1 M 2.6 65 0
Table 3: February climate summaries for locations around Washington with a climate normal baseline of 1981-2010. Note that the Vancouver Pearson Airport and Seattle WFO 1981-2010 normals involved using surrounding stations in NCDCs new normal release, as records for these station began in 1998 and 1986, respectively.
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Climate Outlook
The conditions in the equatorial Pacic Ocean are ENSO-neutral, according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC): http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/. In the last 4 weeks, sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) continue to be slightly below normal in the central and eastern tropical Pacic and have cooled to near normal in the western tropical Pacic as well. There is a consensus among the model predictions that near-neutral conditions will persist through spring 2013. The CPC three-class outlook for March has chances for below normal temperatures exceeding 50% for all of Washington State. The probability for below normal temperatures is higher than any of the WA seasonal forecasts the CPC has issued this past winter, indicating that there is more condence in this prediction. For precipitation, however, there are equal chances of the three different categories for March statewide. The CPC 3-month seasonal outlook for spring (March-April-May; MAM) has an elevated chance of below normal temperatures for the entire state (exceeding 40%). There are equal chances of below, equal to, or above normal precipitation for spring for most of the state except for the southern-most part where there are increased odds of below normal precipitation.
March outlook for temperature (left) and precipitation (right) from the CPC.
March-April-May outlook for temperature (left) and precipitation (right) from the CPC.
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