Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
TEAM MEMBERS
CHONG KHAI SIN HT072850H
GOH SIONG TECK HT072853R
HOSSAM EL SHENAWY HT072894R
LIM CHING WU, LESLIE HT063039Y
LIM CHUN PENG, ALVIN HT063324Y
TAN SUNG CHYN HT062932E
Division of Engineering & Technology Management
SDM5002 System Engineering
CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................3
5. CONCLUSION ...............................................................................................20
REFERENCES ...................................................................................................21
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1. INTRODUCTION
The bus system in Singapore provides a means of public travel for the
masses with over two million rides taken daily. There are two main operators
in this system, SBS Transit and SMRT Corporation. The two operators serve
designated areas of operation, and plan the bus routes based on commercial
considerations, subject to minimum service obligations. Bus routes can be
broadly categorized into Trunk (routes that ply between towns) and Feeder
(Operating within neighborhoods).
As reported in the 2008 Land Transport Review study, key criticisms of the
system include long waiting time, erratic bus arrivals, circuitous feeders and
overcrowding. This has led to a situation where out of more than 250 bus
services; only 35% are run at intervals of 10 minutes or less.
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The key public transport initiative is to make public transport a choice made.
The bus and rail will be planned as an integrated system from commuter’s
viewpoint, with more frequent services and seamless transfers expected.
There will be expansion to the rail network. Bus services will be affected
greatly where LTA will undertake centralized bus network planning.
Improvements will be made to the fare system, travel information, transport
hub and road priority measures. Feeder and premium bus service is also
targeted for improvements. Some of the details are listed below:
− Distance-based through fares to facilitate transfers
− More integrated public transport service information
− More integrated public transport hubs
− More bus priority measures to speed up buses and improve
timeliness
− Bus services will be allowed to duplicate routes along sections of
North-South and East-West lines with heavy passenger loading,
giving commuters more choices
− Increasing Basic Bus Service Frequencies
• On corridors affected by ERP, all bus services will have peak
period frequencies of no more than 12 min by June 08 and
10 min by Aug 09
• Frequency for feeder buses will be increased to allow quicker
connections to MRT stations and bus interchanges
− Expand premium bus services to corridors affected by ERP (by
June 08)
• New services will link more residential areas (Punggol,
Katong, Balestier, Holland, Choa Chu Kang, Yishun) to city
areas (Shenton Way, Suntec City and Orchard Road)
• Return trips in the evenings for high demand services
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C = Customers
• Who is on the receiving end?
• What problem do they have now?
• How will they react to what you are proposing?
• Who are the winners and losers?
A = Actors
• Who are the actors who will 'do the doing', carrying out your solution?
• What is the impact on them?
• How might they react?
T = Transformation process
• What is the process for transforming inputs into outputs?
• What are the inputs? Where do they come from?
• What are the outputs? Where do they go?
• What are all the steps in between?
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O = Owner
• Who is the real owner or owners of the process or situation you are
changing?
• Can they help you or stop you?
• What would cause them to get in your way?
• What would lead them to help you?
E = Environmental constraints
• What are the broader constraints that act on the situation and your
ideas?
• What are the ethical limits, the laws, financial constraints, and limited
resources? Regulations, and so on?
• How might these constrain your solution? How can you get around
them?
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c) What is the use of the bus system? Why can’t we do away with it?
• It is an essential enabler to the national economy (efficient point
to point transportation system as long as the economy is largely
depending on jobs that stipulate physical presence.)
• Environmentally demanded (limited space, pollution, energy
consumption.)
• Provides greater reach than arterial means like MRT trains etc.
• Cheaper alternative to taxis.
d) What are the current features of the system? Are they good (or bad)? To
what are they attributable?
• Long route/ short route bus transport.
• Accessibility/ inaccessibility (tied to bus station location and bus
frequency, service not continuous in both space and time.)
• Air-con subsystem (climate control/ respiratory disease
transmission.)
• Fare structure favors students and the elderly.
• Fossil fuel based.
e) What’s wrong with the current system? Are these symptoms? Or are there
more fundamental causes?
• Service not continuous in both space and time (inherent).
• Pollution, climate control subsystem problems, etc. (can be
mitigated).
• Minimal control over external factors, road conditions, traffic
congestion. Affects service levels.
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a) What would an ideal bus system for year 2018 be like? Would there even
be one then?
• The ideal bus system has to satisfy the following criteria:
• Free of Charge.
• Service is continuous both in space and time.
• Responsive to real-time capacity changes.
• Optimizes travel time and distance for every passenger.
• Zero environmental pollution.
• Seamlessly connects to or subsumes other means of
transportation (e.g. air, train, etc.)
• Zero accident rate.
• Healthy climate control system eliminates the risk of contracting
respiratory diseases.
• 100% secure (crisis and emergency response system.)
• Information service (about destination, weather, connections,
etc.)
• Comfortable.
• Used by everyone in the society.
• Used any time, reaches everywhere, i.e. continuous access both
in space and time.
• Doorstep delivery
• No limit on cargo (i.e. if I am carrying large parcels or pets, I can
and would take the bus)
• Possibly customizable routes, perhaps in times of low demand
b) There will be always a bus system as long as the needs for it do exist
(economic/ environmental.)
• There may not be a bus system if other personal transport
means take off and become affordable and widely supported
(e.g. Segway)
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COMMUTERS:
• BLUE COLLAR WORKERS
• DO NOT OWN/CANNOT REGULATORS
AFFORD CAR
• STUDENTS, ELDER,
HANDICAPPED SMRT
PRIVATE BUS
SBS COMPANIES
• ESSENTIAL ENABLER TO
NATIONAL ECONMY
• ENVIRONMENTALLY DEMANDED
• LONG/SHORT ROUTE
• ACCESSIBLE
• AIRCON SYSTEM
• FARE STRUCTURE FAVORS
STUDENTS AND ELDERLY
• INACCECESSIBLE IN TERMS OF
STATION LOCATION AND BUS
NEEDS
FREQENCY
REVIEW
• SERVICE NOT CONTINUOUS IN TIME
AND SPACE
• FOSSIL FUEL BASED
• POLLUTION, CLIMATE CONTROL
SUBSYSTEM PROBLEMS
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STAGES 4 AND 5: From the CATWOE analyses, the team then proceeded
to describe the system with one or more root definitions.
After the development of the root definition, this ideal
system is then modeled using the five Es, namely
efficacy, efficiency, effectiveness, elegance and ethicality.
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Plan staffing
requirements
Maintain buses in
good operating
Set
reasonable
fare price Plan &
schedule
Observe and adhere routes
to government and Provide
environmental comfortable
regulations environment
during commute
Provide safety
Transport
and protection
passenger to
during
destination
commute
Take control
Monitor action
activities
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Managing of resources $$
Setting of fares
Acting to
Moving people remedy
Following traffic
rules
Meeting statutory
standards
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A possible solution based on the above analysis would draw heavily on the
recent advances in Autonomous Car Technology (see picture and technology
overview below). The new driverless vehicles will allow the public bus system
to evolve into a more personalized one, where a large number of smaller
driverless vehicles, each with a typical capacity of 4 passengers, will replace
the conventional large-vehicle system.
A great part of the service cost, if not all of it, will be absorbed by advertising
revenues. In-vehicle interactive advertisements can take the passengers with
just one click to the restaurant that offers their favorite dish, or enables them
to buy discounted tickets to a movie that will start shortly, and the movie
house is willing to accept a lower price for the tickets. The sky is the limit for
possible advertisement schemes in this new setting.
Technology Overview
“Stanley” is the name of the autonomous vehicle shown in the above picture.
It is the result of collaborative efforts between Volkswagen's Palo Alto
Electronic Research Laboratory, Volkswagen Research Centre (Germany)
and Stanford University (US). It is only one example for success in the field of
Autonomous Car Technology. For other research in this field, please consult
the DARPA website below.
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While the vehicle is in motion, the environment is perceived through four laser
range finders, a radar system, a stereo camera pair, and a monocular vision
system. All sensors acquire environment data at rates between 10 and 100
Hertz. Map and pose information are incorporated at 10 Hz, enabling Stanley
to avoid collisions with obstacles in real-time while advancing along the 2005
DARPA Grand Challenge and 2007 Urban Challenge routes.
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In the course of applying SSM on the Singapore Bus system, team dynamics
played an important role, as there was insufficient domain expertise. Team
members freely expressed their ideas frankly and vocally. All disagreements
were resolved through cordial exchange and sharing of opinions mindfully
maintaining focus on the subject matter. Due to the nature of SSM, the scope
of view in the project is wide with no specific constraints. As a result,
enthusiasm often led us off-track and the discussion had to be re-directed.
The process arriving at the root definitions from the CATWOE was based on
general consensus. The approach used was systematic but with a systemic
view using self-organizing debate. The team adopted a voting system when
defining keywords in the forming of the root definition. It is noted that there will
be different root definitions when there is different interpretation from different
point of view. Hence through brainstorming using the mnemonic CATWOE,
discussions within the team lead to more than one root definition. Bearing in
mind that the objective was not to arrive quickly at one correct answer, the
team proceeded to develop multiple root definitions and conceptual models.
This allowed for differing views of the system to be captured. The team
generally found that SSM stimulates thinking in a concise and thorough
manner.
Finally, it is clear from the two conceptual models that there is a missing link
between current system and ideal conceptual system. Below are the excerpts
of the team dynamics and experience in the application of SSM:
Q: What would you do with the outcome? What's the next step?
A: The next step will be to apply the stages of SSM and iterate between
the stages in order to adapt to the different situations at different stages.
Q: Consider the process that your group took from the raw input to
the final form. Can you present an account of the evolution of
concepts? Consider the process of selection, negotiation,
evaluation, and ranking.
A: (i) Selection
The group brainstormed the answers to the descriptive scenario
questions. A ‘rich picture’ is then derived to represent the problem
situation. The group then builds on the existing resources to attempt to
come out with a ‘root definition’ by means of CATWOE analysis.
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(ii) Negotiation
There is cordial exchange and sharing of ideas. Vocal expression.
(iii) Evaluation
After the development of the root definition, this ideal system is then
modeled using the five Es, namely efficacy, efficiency, effectiveness,
elegance and ethicality. This conceptual system is then compared with
the current system in the real situation through a series of questions
pertaining to the activities occurring in the system. The group based on
a benchmarking approach and look for dramatic changes between the
systems by focusing on the key deliverables and practicality of ideas.
(iv) Ranking
A scoring system was used.
A:
• There is insufficient domain expertise.
• There seems to be a missing link between current system and ideal
conceptual system.
• CATWOE –voting system was used to define keywords, which
eventually form the root definition. If keyword changes, statement will
be different. There will be different root definitions when there is
different interpretation from different point of views.
• No incentive to compare between the process steps.
• Scope of project is too wide with no specific constraints.
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5. CONCLUSION
Soft Systems Methodology (SSM) was extensively used in the study of the
bus system in Singapore. A multi-dimensional analysis was done and a vast
number of viewpoints, each with their specific feasibility and applicability, were
considered. These wide perspectives were conscientiously selected,
negotiated, evaluated and ranked. Numerous rounds of clarification,
interpretation and intervention resulted in the formation of robust root
definitions. Through the different robust root definitions, different idealized
systems were described and modeled. Efficacy, Efficiency, Effectiveness,
Elegance and Ethicality were used as the criteria for developing the
conceptual models to ensure that the models’ characteristics are
systematically and cultural feasible/desirable. It is a systematic approach with
a systemic view using self-organizing debate. A possible solution is also
formulated to propose changes in the current bus system in Singapore. We
suggest that our solution, along with the innovative solutions of other teams,
to be shared with to LTA to benefit from the recently unveiled Innovation fund
of $50 million by this governmental body to improve the public transportation
system in Singapore. Such projects can now be studied further and put to
experimentation in an effort towards the betterment of the quality of life for all
the people of Singapore.
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REFERENCES
1. Green, Stuart.D. and Simister, Stephen ,J. (1999) ‘Modeling client
business processes as an aid to strategic briefing ‘, Construction
Management and Economics, 17:1, 630-76
2. http://www-staff.it.uts.edu.au/~jim/bpt.ssm.html
3. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soft_systems_methodology
4. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bus_transport_in_Singapore
5. Speech By Mr. Raymond Lim, Minister For Transport And Second
Minister For Foreign Affairs, At The Launch Of The Land Transport
Gallery, 18 January 2008, 9.20 am
6. http://www.lta.gov.sg/corp_info/doc/190108.pdf
7. ‘Systems Approach in the Land Transport’, Presentation by Mr. Yam
Ah Mee, CEO of the Land Transport Authority (LTA), at the IES/DSTA
Systems Engineering Seminar, Orchard Hotel Singapore, 19 March
2008.
8. http://www.darpa.mil/grandchallenge
9. http://www.stanfordracing.org
10. http://cs.stanford.edu/group/roadrunner/
11. http://www.science.edu.sg
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