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PLANNING FOR K TO 12

Don Br odeth, CFA Taft Consulting Gr oup donbr odeth@yahoo.Com

Our

role as managers of schools. are the challenges of K to12?

What How

can my school plan for K to 12?

A planning tool that you can use

OUR ROLE AS MANAGERS OF


SCHOOLS
- - - a gentle reminder

Identify

and analyze problems alternative solutions

Generate Make

decisions

Implement
Anticipate

a decision and address potential problems


. . . in order to attain goals

Define Problem

What is K-12?

Analyze Problem

Challenges to K-12

Develop Solutions

Response to K-12 Planning Tool

Action Plan

Implementation

Avoid them - refuse to recognize that a problem exists


Solve them as necessary deal with the urgent

Seek them out anticipate to avoid them becoming urgent.

MEANS

ENDS

LOW

WASTE

HIGH

ATTAINMENT

WHY PLAN FOR K TO 12? THE


ADMINISTRATIVE CHALLENGE

PROPOSED TRANSITION SCHEME TO K-12 BASIC EDUCATION

SY 2011-12

SY 2012-13

SY 2013-14

SY 2014-15

SY 2015-16

4 3 TERTIARY 2

2 YEARS SENIOR HS

6 5

Curricular revisions and teacher training

4 YEARS HIGH SCHOOL

4 3 2 1 OLD NEW

6 YEARS ELEMENTARY

6 5 4 3 2 1 OLD NEW

PRESCHOOL

Enrollment disruptions

Lose out to public schools?

Resource build-up? GASTPE? Specializations?

Enrollment? Use of resources? Years in college?

PROPOSED TRANSITION SCHEME TO K-12 BASIC EDUCATION

Lack of professionals?
SY 2016-17 SY 2017-18 SY 2018-19 SY 2019-20 SY 2020-21 SY 2021-22 4 3 2 1 TERTIARY

6 SHS 5

2 YEARS SENIOR HS

4 3 2 1

4 YEARS HIGH SCHOOL

6 5 4 3 2 1

6 YEARS ELEMENTARY

PRESCHOOL

Private HS will absorb all their students into SHS but will not absorb any from the public schools

Change in: Enrollment: +3.5 M

Cash flows: +Php 20.6 B

Figures above are only up to SY 2022-23. Benefits will persist as the change is permanent.

Enrollment in student years


2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

K-12 W/o K-12

Incremental cash flows in Php millions


5,000.00 4,000.00 3,000.00 2,000.00 1,000.00 0.00 (1,000.00) (2,000.00)

K-12
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

(3,000.00)
(4,000.00)

DepEd will take 5 years to build enough classrooms for SHS Private HS will absorb all their students into SHS and, in SY 2016-17, 50% of public SHS students Public SHS students will shift back to public HS over time as classrooms are built

Change in: Enrollment: +6.4 M

Cash flows: +Php 34.4 B

Enrollment in student years


3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000

K-12 W/o K-12

1,000,000
500,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Incremental cash flows in Php millions


15,000.00 10,000.00

5,000.00 0.00 1 (5,000.00) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

K-12

(10,000.00)

Cash flow breakdown: base model, build option


10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

Fees Teachers Classrooms


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2,000.00

0.00

(2,000.00)

(4,000.00)

(6,000.00)

Effect

on Kinder is unknown; likely positive

Little

or no effect on grade schools

A large

positive for profitable high schools but major retooling needed for mission schools

Problematic

HOW CAN MY
SCHOOL PLAN FOR

K TO 12?

Planning
Planning Options

Framework
Tool Templates

for most schools

1. What is the schools


present situation? 2. Where does the school need to go from here? 3. How should the school get from here to there?

"Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?"

"That depends a good deal on where you want to get to," said the Cat. "I dont much care where--" said Alice.
"Then it doesnt matter which way you go," said the Cat. - Lewis Carroll, Alice's Adventures in Wonderland

External Audit

Gather Data/ Info

Generate Possible Responses To K-12

Apply Filters: Vision Mission Values Distinction

Select Response To K-12

Implement Response: Assessment, Timeline, Financing

Internal Audit

Info and Input

Analysis

Directions and Choices

Decision

Implemen tation

Source
Survey

Comments
39 of 40 respondents submitted; workable data from about 38 schools.

Interviews

Qualitative info on client organization, culture, procedures, values, limits of influence.

Secondary Research

DOLE Project JobsFit, WB skills report, Mona Valisnos book substantive and recent data. PIDS, TESDA - ilabor market information, required competencies,

Info and Input

Analysis

Directio ns and Choices

Decisio n

Implem entation

Analysis
External Audit Internal Audit

S. W. O. T. The output of analysis


Plus Minus

External

Opportunities

Threats

Internal

Strengths

Weaknesses

Strong

demand for some identified courses


in population in service area

Increase Benefits

of studying in the province (convenience, affordability, security) in some government projects on education

Participation

Evidence

of reverse (urban to rural)

migration

Highly Well

qualified human resource

organized management structure; stable systems and procedures in licensure exams above national

Performance

average

Autonomous university status


Ideal campus location and upgraded facilities

Info and Input

Analysis

Directio ns and Choices

Decisio n

Implem entation

Directions and Choices


SWOT Matrix Suggested Options

SWOT Matrix
Strengths Weaknesses

Opportunities

?
?

?
?

Threats

Pour

resources & effort towards in-demand courses and programs linkages with industry for OJT and job placements

Establish

Implement

a comprehensive centralized marketing

program

Build dorms for local, transient and foreign students


Aspire for COD/ COE status in programs where we excel

Info and Input

Analysis

Directio ns and Choices

Decisio n

Implem entation

Decision

Filters/ Tests Breakeven Analysis

GOODNESS

OF FIT TEST

How well does response fit the firms situation?

COMPETITIVE

ADVANTAGE TEST

Does response lead to sustainable competitive advantage?

PERFORMANCE

TEST

Does response boost firm performance?

PROPOSED STRATEGIES
Marketing Academic
Target mktg. & Positioning Advertising Linkages Center for Excellence Upgrade offerings

Dormitory Cust. Serv. Training

Language Center New Courses Dev.

Training Research MIS

Incentive Programs Faculty Mgt. Performance Evaluation Succession/rotation Middle mgt. Empowerment

Org. Dev.

Info and Input

Analysis

Directio ns and Choices

Decisio n

Implem entation

Implemen tation

Resource Needs Timeline Budget

Analytic Activities 1) An environmental scan and entity analysis to identify SWOT vs. K-12
2) A spreadsheet model to provide to detail the financial and operational impact of K-12, given a base case 3) Breakeven analysis templates to determine minimum class sizes Decision Activities 4) A document on feasible strategic options for the school system 5) The spreadsheet model applied to the set of strategic options listed in (4) above to highlight enrollment patterns, investments, and cash flows 6) Training for school planning officers to generate and recommend schoolspecific strategic options to K-12 Pre-implementation Activities 7) A readiness report to identify gaps in implementing the selected strategy 8) An implementation roadmap to outline major activities, investments, financing schemes and timelines for the selected strategy

THE TEMPLATES A K TO 12
PLANNING TOOL THAT SCHOOLS CAN USE

Info and Inputs

Analysis

(Step 1)

(Steps 2, 3)
External Analysis Internal Analysis

Directions and Choices

Decision

(Steps 4, 5)
SWOT Matrix Suggested Options

(Steps 5, 6)
Filters Breakeven Analysis

Implemen tation

(Step 7)
Resource Needs Timeline Budget

A structured and guided planning process


Questions and analysis specific to BED schools General responses to K-12 Specific response options for schools

An implementation roadmap (timeline and financial requirements)

Question

Guidance
Additional notes clarify the question

Input
Put in your answer here

Check
Checks to see if input is valid

THE Answer The Your

input course of action (though you have choices)

Your

budgets and priorities


--- still in beta stage

Perfection

THE TEMPLATES A DEMO

Ways
Rent

to specialize

or build? viable options

Other

As a school:
- preparation for college or voc/ tech - electives that share common equipment - branding issues

How to find out?


- Study the aspirations of Grades 4, 5, & 6.

- Study the aspirations of parents of your students


- Trace where your students actually work - Survey local job opportunities

Cash flow breakdown: base model, build option


10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

Fees Teachers Classrooms


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2,000.00

0.00

(2,000.00)

(4,000.00)

(6,000.00)

Cash flow breakdown: base model, rent or borrow-tobuild option


10,000.00 8,000.00

6,000.00

Fees
4,000.00

Teachers Classrooms

2,000.00

0.00 1 (2,000.00) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

(4,000.00)

(6,000.00)

Open

kinder if you havent done so yet

Gear

up for SHS; borrow to build if finances are tight


resources for SHS - students can cross-enrol, teachers can do the rounds, cluster around a big school, retool teachers

Sharing

Advocate

higher GASTPE for SHS; kinder

too?
Mission

schools status quo? time for instrospection?

SALAMAT! SALAMAT SA INYO!! AT SALAMAT SA CEAP!!!


Don Br odeth, CFA Taft Consulting Gr oup donbr odeth@yahoo.Com

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