Algebra II Applied

INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY: SIMPLE EVENTS Objectives:

Given the elementary building blocks and vocabulary necessary to understand and compute probability problems, students will solve basic probability problems.

Materials:

Probability Worksheet #20 pennies

dice Anticipatory Set: Students will write down the definitions of "Experiment" "Fair" "Sample Space" "Outcome" and "Tree Diagram" Teacher will perform examples of each of these definitions. o o o o o Procedures: After the definitions are given, teacher will give out the basic formula for probability o P(A)= (Number of ways an event can occur) / (The total number of possible outcomes) Teacher will go through 3 examples: P(Tails on a coin), P(Green Marbles), and P(Multiple of 3 on a die). Pass out coins and dice. Have students flip the penny 50 times and record the results Have students roll a die 50 times and record the results Explain that as you run the experiment more and more times, the more closely the results will mirror that probability. If there is some time left, add up class results to show that the larger the experiment gets, the closer we will get to that 50/50 mark. Closure: After we discuss the results, students will have any remaining class time to work on homework and ask questions. Assessment: Homework will be collected and graded Students will be monitored for participation and comprehension Homework: Worksheet #20, Probability Problems 12.6 - The student will find theoretical and experimental probabilities of simple and compound events. o o NV 5.12.5 - Determine the probability of an event with and without replacement using sample spaces. NV 5.12.5 - Design, conduct, analyze, and effectively communicate the results of multi-stage probability experiments. 12.5 - The student will distinguish among the various terms and symbols used to describe probability. Related Standards/Course Objectives: Experiment: flip a coin, roll a die Fair: flip a coin for fair, flip a two-headed coin for unfair Sample Space: show all of the possible outcomes for a die Outcome: roll the die and show that the outcome is . . . a six or whatever Tree diagram: draw a tree diagram on the board for a die roll; then draw a tree diagram on the board for a coin flip and then a spinning a spinner with 4 options.

Algebra II Applied

Algebra II Applied ORDERED PAIR EVENTS

Objectives: Students will find the probability of ordered pair events. Materials: Probability worksheet 21 Anticipatory Set: Students will draw out the options of clothing that they had this morning; they must include at least 3 categories with at least 2 or 3 things per category. Show the example of my shoes (I had 5 pairs to choose from), dress (I had 3 to choose from), and sweater (I had three to choose from). Box the items that you actually wore. Find the probability for each category using yesterdays formula (e.g., 1/5; 1/3; 1/3) Once the students have a complete drawing, ask them to set it aside for a moment. Procedures: Give students the formula Give students some example problemswhat is probability of flipping a coin and then drawing a green marble? What is the probability of drawing a green marble and then flipping to tails? A bag of marblesprobability of drawing a green and then a blue (with replacement) When weve finished notes, have them calculate the probability of choosing the boxed clothes at random from the choices given. Closure: After giving some examples, students will be given time to work on their homework, and I will circulate around the room with some realia and help when needed. Assessment: Students will be assessed on their performance on Worksheet #22 and their participation in class. Homework: Probability Worksheet #21 Related Standards/Course Objectives: 12.1 - The student will calculate the number of ways a compound event may occur using the fundamental counting principles. o NV 5.12.4 - Apply permutations and combinations to mathematical and practical situations, including the Fundamental Counting Principle. 12.5 - The student will distinguish among the various terms and symbols used to describe probability.

Algebra II Applied

Algebra II Applied

Algebra II Applied EXPERIMENTS WITH AND WITHOUT REPLACEMENT

Objectives: Today students will be receiving instruction on the topics of replacing and not replacing and how it affects probability. Materials: Deck of Cards Puzzle Worksheet Puzzle Pieces (cut out and paper clipped) Probability Worksheet #22 Anticipatory Set: Review problems on the board. Procedures: Teacher will give students definitions on replacing and not replacing in an experiment I will also break down a deck of cards, so that they know for the test how many of each card, suit, etc. there are (some of the students were not familiar when the topic came up yesterday). Formula P(A, B)= P(A)*P(B) and break down Examples: 2 aces, marbles with and without replacement, dice (no replacement necessary) Students will then color puzzle pieces in 3 different colors; we will then go over the topic of not replacing in an experiment. Students will calculate how many puzzle pieces are left whenever they draw one and put it on the puzzle outline. Closure: The Puzzle activity should last for the rest of the hour and will probably not be finished, but as long as they get a few iterations into it, they should get the basic idea in a visual, tactile format. Assessment: Homework will be collected and assessed Classwork will be collected and assessed Students will be assessed on their participation and perceived comprehension Homework: Probability #22 Related Standards/Course Objectives: 12.5 - The student will distinguish among the various terms and symbols used to describe probability. 12.1 - The student will calculate the number of ways a compound event may occur using the fundamental counting principles. o NV 5.12.4 - Apply permutations and combinations to mathematical and practical situations, including the Fundamental Counting Principle. 12.6 - The student will find theoretical and experimental probabilities of simple and compound events. o NV 5.12.5 - Determine the probability of an event with and without replacement using sample spaces. o NV 5.12.5 - Design, conduct, analyze, and effectively communicate the results of multi-stage probability experiments.

Algebra II Applied

Algebra II Applied

Algebra II Applied REVIEW DAY / CATCH UP DAY (quiz tomorrow)

Objectives: Today will be spent reviewing and/or catching up on topics we didn't cover. Students will have the opportunity to ask questions and we'll review the topics of the week. Materials: Review Worksheet #23 Anticipatory Set: Review the definitions from Monday and review how to make a tree diagram Do an example problem with a simple probability and an ordered pair probability Allow students time to finish Worksheets from the week that they haven't completed in class Worksheet 23 is homework, but on-the-ball students can finish it in class Quiz on Probability tomorrow Procedures: After reviewing or catching up, give students time in class to start the review worksheet Homework: Finish the review worksheet #23 Related Standards/Course Objectives: 12.5 - The student will distinguish among the various terms and symbols used to describe probability. 12.6 - The student will find theoretical and experimental probabilities of simple and compound events.
o o NV 5.12.5 - Determine the probability of an event with and without replacement using sample spaces. NV 5.12.5 - Design, conduct, analyze, and effectively communicate the results of multi-stage probability experiments.