JUEGO DE TRONOS ELECTORAL(PROVINCIA DE HUELVA Captulo I)

Recientemente he profundizado en los PARALELOS y MERIDIANOS ELECTORALES ANDALUCES, o lo que es lo mismo,segn entiendo yo,la SEGMENTACIN DEL VOTO en funcin de los BLOQUES POBLACIONALES que previamente siempre he tenido como REFERENCIA DE PARTIDA.

Vuelvo a repetirla: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) Capital de provincia Ms de 100.000 habitantes Entre 50.001 y 100.000 Entre 20.001 y 50.000 Entre 10.001 y 20.000 Entre 5.001 y 10.000 Entre 2.001 y 5.000 a) Entre 1.001 a 2.000 b) Entre 501 y 1.000
c) Menos de 500 Parodiando a la famosa serie televisiva JUEGO DE TRONOS, una lucha entre FUERZAS PODEROSAS, en este caso electorales, inicio una nueva serie de publicaciones para valorar estas cuestiones,para mi decisivas,del panorama electoral andaluz: 1) El peso especfico y la evolucin del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE 2) El peso especfico y la evolucin del DUOPOLIO PSOE-IU 3) El peso especfico y la evolucin de los VOTOS ANDALUCES DESVINCULADOS(VV.AA.DD.), es decir, de los votos obtenidos en ELECCIONES LOCALES por fuerzas polticas que luegon no concurren a otras convocatorias electorales en el periodo 2008-2012

Comenzamos:
1) El peso especfico y la evolucin del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE

PROVINCIA DE HUELVA
BLOQUE 1: CAPITALES DE PROVINCIAS
Localidades Huelva % Voto PP Huelva % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 43,31 44,40 87,71 Generales 2008 40,62 55,67 96,29 Municipales 2011 45,33 30,46 75,79 Generales 2011 47,60 33,51 81,11 Andaluzas 2012 43,33 35,62 78,95 Porcentaje medio

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

83.97

BLOQUE 2: MS DE 100.000 HABITANTES NINGUNA BLOQUE 3: Entre 50.001 y 100.000 habitantes NINGUNA

BLOQUE 4: Entre 20.001 y 50.000 habitantes

Localidades Almonte % Voto PP Almonte % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Ayamonte % Voto PP Ayamonte % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Isla Cristina % Voto PP Isla Cristina % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Lepe % Voto PP Lepe % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Moguer % Voto PP Moguer % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

Andaluzas 2008 25,00 64,37 89,37 32,93 55,37 88,30 38,70 47,55 86,25 53,88 37,65 91,53 43,38 49,56 92,94

Generales 2008 25,79 66,22 92,01 33,81 56,25 90,06 40,57 50,32 90,89 52,53 38,84 91,37 42,30 51,65 93,95

Municipales 2011 39,59 43,85 83,44 35,64 45,70 81,34 19,71 31,14 50,85 59,61 23,66 83,27 37,09 42,26 79,35

Generales 2011 41,23 44,17 85,40 44,92 40,26 85,18 53,03 30,54 83,57 60,12 25,87 85,99 45,16 43,92 89,08

Andaluzas 2012 35,94 47,13 83,07 38,92 44,88 83,80 42,48 36,45 78,93 57,88 26,63 84,51 42,01 45,87 87,88

Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

BLOQUE 5: Entre 10.001 y 20.000 habitantes

Localidades Aljaraque % Voto PP Aljaraque % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Bollullos Par del Condado % Voto PP Bollullos Par del Condado % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Cartaya % Voto PP Cartaya % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Gibralen % Voto PP Andaluzas 2008 42,93 43,44 86,37 24,65 39,22 63,87 36,62 50,87 87,49 38,23 Generales 2008 41,76 47,22 88,98 27,43 50,44 77,87 37,66 51,75 89,41 37,60 Municipales 2011 53,08 24,60 77,68 17,75 33,65 51,40 24,22 24,83 49,05 47,95 Generales 2011 50,91 28,90 79,81 42,06 38,65 80,71 50,97 32,95 83,92 47,69 Andaluzas 2012 38,64 30,90 69,54 34,09 32,76 66,85 42,37 37,87 80,24 41,04 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 80,47 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 68,14 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 78,02 ** Expression is faulty **

Gibralen % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo La Palma del Condado % Voto PP La Palma del Condado % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Punta Umbra % Voto PP Punta Umbra % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Valverde del Camino % Voto PP Valverde del Camino % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

56,51 94,74 56,79 38,37 95,16 39,60 52,97 92,57 23,56 66,10 89,66

57,17 94,77 59,55 36,46 96,01 38,76 54,30 93,06 22,39 69,66 92,05

39,41 87,36 56,39 41,88 98,27 40,43 50,01 90,44 58,27 29,46 87,73

41,78 89,47 60,93 29,31 90,24 50,36 36,48 86,84 38,83 44,37 83,20

47,15 88,19 55,86 33,43 89,29 44,75 41,07 85,82 36,56 43,39 79,95

** Expression is faulty ** 90,90 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 93,79 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 89,75 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 86,52

BLOQUE 6: Entre 5.001 y 10.000

Localidades Aracena % Voto PP Aracena % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 27,07 58,41 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,03 63,67 ** Expression is faulty ** 17,70 67,26 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,24 48,19 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,70 58,81 ** Expression Generales 2008 26,93 62,37 Municipales 2011 24,00 45,14 Generales 2011 34,87 43,46 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,94 51,67 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,14 55,65 ** Expression is faulty ** 58,44 31,72 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,98 52,21 ** Expression is faulty ** Andaluzas 2012 32,91 43,47 76.38 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 79.73

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,28 66,04 37,99 48,01

Bonares % Voto PP Bonares % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

33,30 53,21 86.51

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88.83

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 17,58 69,70 26,17 36,68

Nerva % Voto PP Nerva % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

22,68 56,06 78.74

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 78.92

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 43,19 51,76 50,22 29,96

Palos de la Frontera % Voto PP Palos de la Frontera % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

48,79 39,44 88.23

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 89.39

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,44 62,20 11,64 42,18

Rociana del Condado % Voto PP Rociana del Condado % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

30,41 55,93 86.34

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 81.7

** ** Expression Expression is

is faulty ** San Juan del Puerto % Voto PP San Juan del Puerto % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo 29,41 57,93 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,96 59.33 ** Expression is faulty **

is faulty ** 29,44 60,46

faulty ** 29,83 40,71 40,34 44,04 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,39 47,71 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,82 48,68 81.5 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 82.73

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,68 62,13 19,62 35.04

Trigueros % Voto PP Trigueros % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

29,04 47,29 76.39

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 77.24

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

BLOQUE 7: Entre 2.001 y 5.000

Localidades Alosno % Voto PP Alosno % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 18,60 73.77 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,09 66.93 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,60 60.61 ** Expression is faulty ** 20,59 70 ** Expression is faulty ** 16,20 63.97 63.21 Generales 2008 18,82 74,78 Municipales 2011 27,05 37.89 Generales 2011 28,18 61,33 ** Expression is faulty ** 30,63 63,95 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,28 54,91 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,23 56,30 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,25 55,85 ** Expression is faulty ** 30,42 58,38 ** Expression is faulty ** Andaluzas 2012 22,84 62,41 85.25 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 85.14

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,74 67,75 19,74 64.2

Aroche % Voto PP Aroche % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

26,79 64,28 91.07

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 81.57

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 28,51 63,15 16,14 49.11

Beas % Voto PP Beas % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

28,80 55,70 84.5

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 20,56 70,48 38,27 49.77

Calaas % Voto PP Calaas % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

26,06 59,47 85.53

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88.74

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 18,77 67,08 21,12 39.55

El Campillo % Voto PP El Campillo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

22,53 58,84 81.37

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,05 60,71 34,75 51.96

El Cerro de Andvalo % Voto PP El Cerro de Andvalo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

29,48 59.7 ** Expression is faulty **

26,11 57,50 83.61

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

Chucena % Voto PP Chucena % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

33,88 63.21 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,55 53.36 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,48 60.3 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,21 64.34 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,61 57.28 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,23 59.77 ** Expression is faulty ** 21,14 62.54 ** Expression is faulty ** 22,47 52.28 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,49 65.18 ** Expression

34,18 62,98

11.39 57.2

40,46 53,16 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,10 46,31 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,89 48,70 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,96 43,89 ** Expression is faulty ** 49,66 43,63 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,92 39,77 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,10 49,85 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,82 45,94 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,00 58,78 ** Expression is faulty **

37,45 56,07 93.52

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 89.99

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 31,23 57,83 49,44 38.63

Cortegana % Voto PP Cortegana % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

36,83 50,73 87.56

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 83.76

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 28,08 61,88 24,36 37.33

Hinojos % Voto PP Hinojos % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

30,40 52,73 83.13

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 24,63 67,00 9,95 62.61

Jabugo % Voto PP Jabugo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

23,78 64,39 88.17

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 35,00 56,67 28,47 38.36

Lucena del Puerto % Voto PP Lucena del Puerto % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

49,50 43,79 93.29

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,60 59,83 21,36 42.26

Manzanilla % Voto PP Manzanilla % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

25,83 47,58 73.41

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 81.27

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 21,29 65,79 40,23 33.12

Minas de Riotinto % Voto PP Minas de Riotinto % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

29,23 51,03 80.26

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,32 57,32 21,03 39.82

Niebla % Voto PP Niebla % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

30,32 53,02 83.34

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 23,76 65,65 32,69 27.17

Paterna del Campo % Voto PP Paterna del Campo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

23,01 57,28 80.29

** ** Expression Expression is

is faulty ** Puebla de Guzmn % Voto PP Puebla de Guzmn % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo 18,68 62.16 ** Expression is faulty ** 20,39 72.92 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,24 67.9 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,55 56.93 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,55 57.21 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,78 67.06 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,76 63.16 ** Expression is faulty ** 17,62 62.27 ** Expression is faulty **

is faulty ** 24,35 67,49

faulty ** 7,79 65.18 26,97 62,79 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,98 68,29 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,82 56,84 ** Expression is faulty ** 47,81 41,99 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,95 52,18 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,62 58,66 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,95 53,07 ** Expression is faulty ** 22,50 50,53 ** Expression is faulty ** 19,38 67,74 87.12 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 93.8

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 19,76 74,65 20,51 77.65

San Bartolom de la Torre % Voto PP San Bartolom de la Torre % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

19,83 71,06 90.89

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,77 68,06 59,92 39.18

Santa Olalla del Cala % Voto PP Santa Olalla del Cala % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

31,71 61,72 93.43

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 81.37

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 37,86 56,82 33,05 41.85

Villablanca % Voto PP Villablanca % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

39,26 48,67 58.27

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,19 59,67 27,20 30.37

Villalba del Alcor % Voto PP Villalba del Alcor % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

31,28 51,28 82.56

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 23,69 68,47 18,12 46.83

Villanueva de los Castillejos % Voto PP Villanueva de los Castillejos % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

26,04 57,87 83.91

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,30 64,52 29,97 53.46

Villarrasa % Voto PP Villarrasa % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

35,55 55,55 91.1

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 17,22 64,90 18,27 34.52

Zalamea la Real % Voto PP Zalamea la Real % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

21,69 51,57 73.26

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

BLOQUE 8 a: Entre 1.001 y 2.000 habitantes

Localidades Andaluzas 2008 Generales 2008 Municipales 2011 Generales 2011 Andaluzas 2012 Porcentaje medio

Almonaster la Real % Voto PP Almonaster la Real % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Arroyomolinos de Len % Voto PP Arroyomolinos de Len % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Cala % Voto PP Cala % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Cumbres Mayores % Voto PP Cumbres Mayores % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Encinasola % Voto PP Encinasola % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Escacena del Campo % Voto PP Escacena del Campo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Galaroza % Voto PP Galaroza % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Higuera de la Sierra % Voto PP Higuera de la Sierra % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Paymogo % Voto PP Paymogo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Rosal de la Frontera % Voto PP Rosal de la Frontera % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Santa Brbara de Casa % Voto PP Santa Brbara de Casa % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

21,38 70,89 92.27 21,71 59,87 81.58 16,25 78,92 95.17 31,19 61,22 92.41 36,16 55,49 91.65 31,24 52,27 83.51 22,17 53,27 75.44 34,59 54,60 89.19 21,54 70,85 92.39 35,23 57,40 92.63 30,58 63,36 93.94

21,12 72,92 94,04 22,52 61,42 83,94 16,31 81,09 97,40 32,09 59,94 92,03 35,96 55,93 91,89 31,46 53,48 84,94 25,43 58,05 83,48 34,51 55,75 90,26 23,70 72,09 95,79 34,79 58,84 93,63 30,70 64,28 94,98

18,85 77,92 96.77 25,96 34,04 60 1,14 44,99 46.13 17,37 39,12 56.49 25,26 31,44 56.7 27,35 30,24 57.59 23,70 51,66 75.36 10,15 43,91 54.06 32,80 53,41 86.21 34,39 48,77 83.16 25,98 51,07 77.05

30,42 59,21 89,63 29,61 50,33 59,94 24,05 58,73 82,78 41,30 45,35 86,65 42,02 48,45 90,47 33,78 50,26 84,04 34,61 52,15 86,76 45,89 38,46 84,35 31,13 63,13 94,26 44,60 48,64 93,24 37,73 52,01 89,74

24,53 64,09 88.62 25,35 55,00 80.35 16,02 56,77 72.79 32,38 52,90 85.28 34,82 52,41 87.23 30,79 49,80 80.59 29.46 56.76 86,22 45,62 36.44 82,06 28,21 63,47 91.68 40,43 52,34 92.77 33,02 57,03 90.05

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 92.27 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 77.16 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 78.85 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 82.58 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 83.58 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 78,13 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 81.45 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 79.98 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 91.09 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

BLOQUE 8 b: Entre 501 y 1.000 habitantes

Localidades Aljar % Voto PP Aljar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 19,65 65,60 ** Expression is faulty ** 8,06 79,60 ** Expression is faulty ** 14,35 76,33 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,74 72,41 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,00 60.47 ** Expression is faulty ** 21,74 69,36 ** Expression is faulty ** 15,79 65,63 ** Expression is faulty ** 14,93 79,06 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,57 Generales 2008 20,47 70,58 Municipales 2011 26,85 70,44 Generales 2011 0,29 60,75 ** Expression is faulty ** 10,63 73,88 ** Expression is faulty ** 21,25 61,74 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,27 50,44 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,97 47,77 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,42 57,46 ** Expression is faulty ** 20,94 56,54 ** Expression is faulty ** 22,22 67,99 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,23 Andaluzas 2012 23,34 60,68 ** Expression is faulty ** 7,19 74,12 ** Expression is faulty ** 17,22 59,12 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,89 55,55 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,64 46,72 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,75 62,70 ** Expression is faulty ** 15,84 54,91 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,13 67,58 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,38 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 74.97

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 7,41 83,54 1,99 69,38

El Almendro % Voto PP El Almendro % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 14,41 80,30 8,73 39,04

Cabezas Rubias % Voto PP Cabezas Rubias % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 20,27 70,57 36,71 59,49

Campofro % Voto PP Campofro % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 24,28 64,49 7,39 36.21

Corteconcepcin % Voto PP Corteconcepcin % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 22,03 69,86 2,76 53,04

Cumbres de San Bartolom % Voto PP Cumbres de San Bartolom % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 14,83 75,36 12,99 41,99

Fuenteheridos % Voto PP Fuenteheridos % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 14,04 81,84 46,01 52,82

El Granado % Voto PP El Granado % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 92.93

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,51 26,80

San Silvestre de Guzmn % Voto PP

** Expression is faulty **

San Silvestre de Guzmn % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

71,75 ** Expression is faulty ** 48,31 47,12 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,74 69,10 ** Expression is faulty **

72,21

70,95

66,82 ** Expression is faulty ** 57,34 36,97 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,12 54,79 ** Expression is faulty **

68,97 ** Expression is faulty ** 49,22 44,04 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,85 56,78 ** Expression is faulty **

** Expression is faulty ** 96.25

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 49,04 48,08 48,86 50,81

Sanlcar de Guadiana % Voto PP Sanlcar de Guadiana % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 95.95

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 19,59 67,80 26,12 29,62

Zufre % Voto PP Zufre % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

BLOQUE 8 c: Menores de 500 habitantes

Localidades Berrocal % Voto PP Berrocal % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 36,46 46,74 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,00 71,13 ** Expression is faulty ** 20,83 64,17 ** Expression is faulty ** 15,82 70,05 ** Expression is faulty ** 12,50 82,50 ** Expression is faulty ** % Voto PP 34,90 63,09 Generales 2008 36,73 50,00 Municipales 2011 32,45 46,79 Generales 2011 41,86 43,90 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,97 57,45 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,70 56,10 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,26 55,03 ** Expression is faulty ** 53,84 44,23 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,91 47,31 Andaluzas 2012 38,64 43.39 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,8 63.2 ** Expression is faulty ** 20,86 66.95 ** Expression is faulty ** 22,41 56.32 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,63 56.81 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,67 45.2 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,09 70,32 6,99 62,01

Caaveral de Len % Voto PP Caaveral de Len % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 16,53 71,90 9,83 53,18

Castao de Robledo % Voto PP Castao de Robledo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 16,15 74,48 1,38 38,25

Cortelazor % Voto PP Cortelazor % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 12,50 87,50 26,47 67,65

Cumbres de Enmedio % Voto PP Cumbres de Enmedio % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 33,55 61,84 10,33 41,30

La Granada de Rio Tinto

La Granada de Ro Tinto % Voto PSOE

faulty ** Total Bipartidismo ** Expression is faulty ** 22,98 65,06 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,22 52.53 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,58 64.85 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,87 68.02 ** Expression is faulty ** 14,38 81.17 ** Expression is faulty ** 12,46 74.53 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,71 57.06 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,50 67.73 ** Expression is faulty ** ** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,21 65,32 36,70 62,92 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,87 60,78 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,50 59,50 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,66 63,27 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,33 55,72 ** Expression is faulty ** 12,34 76,54 ** Expression is faulty ** 19,87 65,38 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,13 53,25 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,48 53,95 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 25.72 69.29 ** Expression is faulty ** 19,68 60,63 ** Expression is faulty ** 23.27 63.36 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,26 57.48 ** Expression is faulty ** 10,69 79.24 ** Expression is faulty ** 15,60 71.33 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,94 57.06 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,39 55.93 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 90,73

Hinojales % Voto PP Hinojales % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 23,15 57,41 1,25 30.83

Linares de la Sierra % Voto PP Linares de la Sierra Total Bipartidismo % Voto PSOE

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 24,79 67,23 11,20 82.99

Los Marines % Voto PP Los Marines % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 23,42 70,72 30,41 69.59

La Nava % Voto PP La Nava % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 14,94 80,52 7,01 92.36

Puerto Moral % Voto PP Puerto Moral % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 13,62 79,57 2,10 66,37

Santa Ana la Real % Voto PP Santa Ana la Real % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,46 58,19 47,92 48.96

Valdelarco % Voto PP Valdelarco % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,05 69,04 51,60 44.31

Villanueva de las Cruces % Voto PP Villanueva de las Cruces % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 94,39

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

Para hacer ms COMPRENSIBLE Y AMENO,incluso DIVERTIDO, el conocimiento de la

REALIDAD BIPARTIDISTA ANDALUZA referida a sus realidad territorial he ideado un cdigo de colores que os explico en el siguiente cuadro: % Voto Bipartidista PP-PSOE Color asignado 0% Entre 0,01 y 25,00 % Entre 25,01 y 50,00 % Entre 50,01 y 75,00 % Entre 75,01 y 90,00 % Entre 90,01 y 99,99 % 100,00 % Tras una exhaustiva observacin de los datos podemos dar, en primer lugar, un repaso a lo que yo denomino SINGULARIDADES: el 100,00 % de BIPARTIDISMO se da en tres localidades de la provincia de HUELVA: CUMBRES DE ENMEDIO LA NAVA Elecciones Municipales 2011 Elecciones Municipales 2011

Tras esta curiosidad pasamos a elaborar un CUADRO ACUMULATIVO-SIGNIFICATIVO:

Bloque Territorial
Capitales Provincia Nmero % Ms de 100.000 Nmero % De 50.001 a 100.000 Nmero % De 20.001 a 50.000 Nmero % De 10.001 a 20.000 Nmero % De 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14,29 4 57,14 2 28,57 0 0 7 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 100,00 0 0 0 0 5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 100 0 0 0 0 1 100

0%

Entre 0,01 y 25,00 %

Entre 25,01 y Entre 50,01 y Entre 75,01 y Entre 90,01 y 100,00 % 50,00 % 75,00 % 90,00 % 99,99 %

TOTALES

5.001 a 10.000 Nmero % De 2.001 a 5.000 Nmero % De 1.001 a 2.000 Nmero % De 501 a 1.000 Nmero % Menos de 500 Nmero % TOTALES Nmero % 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7,59 51 64,56 22 27,85 0 0 79 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14,29 7 50,00 5 35,71 0 0 14 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 18,18 5 45,45 4 36,37 0 0 11 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 72,72 3 27,28 0 0 11 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4,35 14 60,87 8 34,78 0 0 23 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 100,00 0 0 0 0 7 100

Y para finalizar este primer captulo de la entrega,procede ahora trabajar con los TOTALES DE % DE VOTO BIPARDISTA PP-PSOE por BLOQUES POBLACIONES para as tratar de obtener CONCLUSIONES CONCRETAS Y PRECISAS al respecto. Procedamos pues: PROVINCIA DE HUELVA
Tramo poblacional CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE MS DE 100.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 50.001-100.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 20.001-50.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE 38,78 50,90 39,00 52,66 38,33 37,32 48,89 36,95 43,45 40,19 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 0 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 43,31 44,40 87,71 40,62 55,67 96,29 45,33 30,46 75,79 47,60 33,51 81,11 43,33 35,62 78,95 Andaluzas 2008 Generales 2008 Municipales Generales Andaluzas 2011 2011 2012 Porcentaje medio

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

83.97

Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 10.001-20.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 5.001-10.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE

89,68

91,66

75,65

85,84

83,64

85,29

37,48 49,64 87,12

37,88 52,43 90,31

42,58 34,83 77,41

48,82 36,06 84,88

41,90 38,08 79,98

41,73 42.21 83,51

28,87 59,09 87,96

28,79 62,09 90,88

28,50 39,67 68,17

37,59 46,64 84,23

32,85 49,15 82,00

31,32 51,33 82,65

PARALELO 5.000
Entre 2.001-5.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 1.001-2.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 501-1.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Menores de 500 habitantes Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 23,44 66,33 89,77 23,44 68,86 92,30 19,69 57,68 77,37 31,48 56,60 88,08 27,25 60,44 87,69 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 87,04 20,90 68,77 89,67 21,08 71,33 92,41 22,29 52,16 74,45 25,52 57,74 83,26 23,22 59,20 82,42 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 84,44 27,15 61,48 88,63 27,79 62,95 90,74 21,70 45,55 67,25 35,74 51,47 87,21 30,76 54,00 84,76 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 83,72 25,49 62,73 88,22 26,33 64,50 90,83 26,56 46,00 72,56 34,11 53,27 87,38 28,88 56,53 85,41 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 84,88

Mis Conclusiones:
1) El valor medio del BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de HUELVA tiene sus cuotas ms altas,de mayor a menor, en los siguientes bloque territoriales: Ciudades menores de 500 habitantes(87,04 %),CIUDADES ENTRE 20.001 Y 50.000 HABITANTES(85,29 %) , CIUDADES ENTRE 2.001 Y 5.000 HABITANTES(84,88 %) ,CIUDADES ENTRE 501 y 1.000 HABITANTES(84,44 %) y CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA(83,97 %) 2) El valor medio del BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE tiene sus cuotas ms bajas,de menor a mayor, en los siguientes bloque territoriales: Ciudades entre 5.001 y 10.000 habitantes(82,65 %),Ciudades entre10.001 y 20.000 habitantes(83,51 %) y CIUDADES ENTRE 1.001 y 2.000 HABITANTES(83,72 %) 3) Se detecta claramente que el BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE arraiga,ligeramente,MS en las ciudades MENORES DE 5.000 HABITANTES

Para finalizar y por referirnos al ltimo dato electoral de la serie histrica disponible, las elecciones andaluzas 2012, ofrecemos este cuadro que indica las diferencias entre el BIPARDISMO PP-PSOE de Elecciones Generales 2011 a Elecciones Andaluzas 2012:

PROVINCIA DE HUELVA
Tramo poblacional Andaluzas 2008 Generales 2008 Municipales Generales Andaluzas 2011 2011 2012 Diferencia % BipartidismoPP-PSOE entre G2011-A2012

CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE MS DE 100.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 50.001-100.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 20.001-50.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 10.001-20.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 5.001-10.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 87,96 90,88 68,17 84,23 82,00 -2,23 87,12 90,31 77,41 84,88 79,98 -4,90 89,68 91,66 75,65 85,84 83,64 -2,20 87,71 96,29 75,79 81,11 78,95 -2,16

PARALELO 5.000
Entre 2.001-5.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 1.001-2.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 501-1.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Menores de 500 habitantes Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 89,77 92,30 77,37 88,08 87,69 -0,39 89,67 92,41 74,45 83,26 82,42 -0,84 88,63 90,74 67,25 87,21 84,76 -2,45 88,22 90,83 72,56 87,38 85,41 -1,97

Mis Conclusiones: 1) El BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de HUELVA retrocede significativamente una media de 2,14 % de las Elecciones Generales 2011 a las Elecciones Andaluzas 2012 diferencindose este retroceso el tramo de mayores de 5.000 habitantes(-2,87 %) del tramo menores de 5.000 habitantes(-1,41 %).La prdida del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE se produce en TODOS LOS BLOQUES TERRITORIALES 2) El BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de HUELVA se sita en las ltimas Elecciones Andaluzas 2012 en un 83,11 %, una cifra SIGNIFICATIVA y que dificulta bastante el JUEGO POLITICO EN ANDALUCIA AJENO A ESA FUERZA. La ALTERNANCIA POLITICA ANDALUZA EST LEJANA y CASI IMPOSIBLE con estos datos referidos a la provincia de HUELVA.

saludos cordiales esperando os haya gustado y/o sirva de utilidad este trabajo personal que he realizado. Olvera,23 de mayo de 2013 consultas,sugerencias o crticas: laboratorioelectoralandaluz@gmail.com telfono de contacto: 647770029 el autor tiene cuentas en facebook y twiter