JUEGO DE TRONOS ELECTORAL(PROVINCIA DE JAN Captulo I)

Recientemente he profundizado en los PARALELOS y MERIDIANOS ELECTORALES ANDALUCES, o lo que es lo mismo,segn entiendo yo,la SEGMENTACIN DEL VOTO en funcin de los BLOQUES POBLACIONALES que previamente siempre he tenido como REFERENCIA DE PARTIDA.

Vuelvo a repetirla: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) Capital de provincia Ms de 100.000 habitantes Entre 50.001 y 100.000 Entre 20.001 y 50.000 Entre 10.001 y 20.000 Entre 5.001 y 10.000 Entre 2.001 y 5.000 a) Entre 1.001 a 2.000 b) Entre 501 y 1.000
c) Menos de 500 Parodiando a la famosa serie televisiva JUEGO DE TRONOS, una lucha entre FUERZAS PODEROSAS, en este caso electorales, inicio una nueva serie de publicaciones para valorar estas cuestiones,para mi decisivas,del panorama electoral andaluz: 1) El peso especfico y la evolucin del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE 2) El peso especfico y la evolucin del DUOPOLIO PSOE-IU 3) El peso especfico y la evolucin de los VOTOS ANDALUCES DESVINCULADOS(VV.AA.DD.), es decir, de los votos obtenidos en ELECCIONES LOCALES por fuerzas polticas que luegon no concurren a otras convocatorias electorales en el periodo 2008-2012

Comenzamos:
1) El peso especfico y la evolucin del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE

PROVINCIA DE JAN
BLOQUE 1: CAPITALES DE PROVINCIAS
Localidades Jan % Voto PP Jan % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 47,09 44,74 91,83 Generales 2008 46,14 47,17 93,31 Municipales 2011 51,75 35,05 86,80 Generales 2011 54,59 30,22 84,81 Andaluzas 2012 52,92 32,21 85,13 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88.38

BLOQUE 2: MS DE 100.000 HABITANTES NINGUNA BLOQUE 3: Entre 50.001 y 100.000 habitantes NINGUNA
Localidades Linares % Voto PP Linares % Voto PSOE Andaluzas 2008 35,97 54,20 Generales 2008 35,94 55,32 Municipales 2011 40,02 40,80 Generales 2011 44,62 37,65 Andaluzas 2012 39,20 43,09 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

Total bipartidismo

90,17

91,26

80,82

82,27

82,29

** Expression is faulty **

BLOQUE 4: Entre 20.001 y 50.000 habitantes

Localidades Alcal la Real % Voto PP Alcal la Real % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Andjar % Voto PP Andjar % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Martos % Voto PP Martos % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo beda % Voto PP beda % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 34,08 57,70 91,78 40,26 50,34 90,60 32,60 58,25 90,85 40,90 48,99 89,89 Generales 2008 33,03 59,46 92,49 39,38 52,93 92,31 32,92 60,08 93,00 38,94 52,70 91,64 Municipales 2011 39,22 46,34 85,56 48,51 36,35 84,86 28,03 37,26 65,29 34,44 30,01 64,45 Generales 2011 40,66 45,43 86,09 50,40 36,02 86,42 42,61 44,72 87,33 47,45 35,54 82,89 Andaluzas 2012 38,15 48,80 86,95 44,56 40,96 85,52 35,64 48,26 83,90 44,19 39,10 83,29 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

BLOQUE 5: Entre 10.001 y 20.000 habitantes

Localidades Alcaudete % Voto PP Alcaudete % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Baeza % Voto PP Baeza % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Bailn % Voto PP Bailn % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo La Carolina % Voto PP La Carolina % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Jdar % Voto PP Andaluzas 2008 37,99 56,41 94,40 43,18 48,28 91,46 39,52 54,53 94,05 38,91 54,99 93,90 18,87 Generales 2008 37,89 57,21 95,10 42,51 51,66 94,17 39,06 55,69 94,75 39,45 54,86 94,31 18,97 Municipales 2011 34,89 54,89 89,78 46,18 42,09 88,27 35,40 41,50 76,90 46,73 33,55 80,28 6,69 Generales 2011 44,97 48,37 93,34 50,46 38,01 88,47 52,53 36,98 89,51 54,51 34,04 88,55 22,33 Andaluzas 2012 38,65 53,30 91,95 48,45 39,97 88,42 46,28 42,44 88,72 48,43 38,41 86,84 17,93 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 92,92 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 90,16 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88,79 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88,78 ** Expression is

faulty ** Jdar % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Mancha Real % Voto PP Mancha Real % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Torre del campo % Voto PP Torre del campo % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Torredonjimeno % Voto PP Torredonjimeno % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Villacarrillo % Voto PP Villacarrillo % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo 55,89 74,76 36,78 56,41 93,19 28,69 58,05 86,74 33,49 41,84 75,33 37,32 57,55 94,87 57,67 76,64 36,50 56,85 93,35 28,53 58,93 87,46 33,85 43,41 77,26 37,08 58,27 95,35 56,61 63,30 47,09 42,75 89,84 27,33 38,22 65,55 32,11 26,93 59,04 38,50 34,63 73,13 48,86 71,19 44,97 43,01 87,98 42,27 40,36 82,63 47,01 27,77 74,78 47,69 44,14 91,83 52,17 70,10 40,80 46,38 87,18 35,84 44,87 80,71 39,49 29,51 69,00 42,75 48,73 91,48 ** Expression is faulty ** 71,20 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 90,31 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 80,62 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 71,08 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 89,33

BLOQUE 6: Entre 5.001 y 10.000

Localidades Arjona % Voto PP Arjona % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 25,05 69.15 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,16 58,78 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,87 53,88 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,40 49,75 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,62 Generales 2008 24,68 70,29 Municipales 2011 27,57 48,38 Generales 2011 31,59 59,80 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,00 50,43 ** Expression is faulty ** 43,33 43,44 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,38 36,73 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,69 Andaluzas 2012 27,06 62,90 89.96 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 89,29

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 35,07 60,94 40,81 55,07

Beas de Segura % Voto PP Beas de Segura % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

38,78 54.32 93.1

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 94.47

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 35,59 56,17 28,11 71,31

Cazorla % Voto PP Cazorla % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

39,95 46,42 86.37

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 91,01

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 36,47 51,66 29,81 33,81

Huelma % Voto PP Huelma % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

37,29 39,70 76.99

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 78.8

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 28,82 29,24

Marmolejo % Voto PP

33,68

** Expression is faulty **

Marmolejo % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

62,85 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,25 58,04 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,26 60,63 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,45 57,21 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,53 51,38 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,31 50,61 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,64 58,80 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,06 55,27 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,85 57,63 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,25

64,41

43,88

43,84 ** Expression is faulty ** 44,86 47,86 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,95 51,20 ** Expression is faulty ** 48,00 40,69 ** Expression is faulty ** 44,09 45,70 ** Expression is faulty ** 49,19 40,58 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,40 48,43 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,21 48,56 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,49 44,38 ** Expression is faulty ** 51,50

48,50 82.18

** Expression is faulty ** 85.11

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 36,96 58,55 26,86 47,35

Mengibar % Voto PP Mengibar % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

41,03 51,03 92.06

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 89.96

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 29,46 62,33 24,59 39,36

Navas de San Juan % Voto PP Navas de San Juan % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

33,35 54,96 88.31

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 84.82

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 37,67 57,67 34,91 52,44

Peal del Becerro % Voto PP Peal del Becerro % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

42,13 46,42 88.55

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 90.92

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 39,63 53,40 58,70 25,63

Porcuna % Voto PP Porcuna % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

39,23 47,12 86.35

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 89.09

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 38,91 53,32 46,51 37,80

Pozo Alcn % Voto PP Pozo Alcn % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

43,23 45,24 88.47

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88.94

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 33,64 59,66 31,29 58,25

Quesada % Voto PP Quesada % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

36,10 53,79 89.89

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 91.2

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,35 58,21 18,91 52,49

Torreperogil % Voto PP Torreperogil % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

29,38 50,66 80.46

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 79.84

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,15 60,85 19,50 40,63

Villanueva del Arzobispo % Voto PP Villanueva del Arzobispo % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo

41,17 47,10 88.27

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 84.55

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 40,43 48,63

Los Villares % Voto PP

47,82

** Expression is

faulty ** Los Villares % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo 51,81 ** Expression is faulty ** 53,65 40,24 38,36 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,25 90.07 ** Expression is faulty ** 91.19

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

BLOQUE 7: Entre 2.001 y 5.000

Localidades Arjonilla % Voto PP Arjonilla % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

Andaluzas 2008 27,16 66.68 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,08 57.51 ** Expression is faulty ** 22,73 59.98 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,92 68.94 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,32 54.09 ** Expression is faulty ** 30,94 63.58 ** Expression is faulty ** 19,10 68.96

Generales 2008 28,10 66,59

Municipales 2011 10,50 26.76

Generales 2011 32,83 51,79 ** Expression is faulty ** 46,38 47,42 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,69 48,64 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,36 59,50 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,00 45,56 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,72 57,87 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,91 59,23

Andaluzas 2012 28,63 51,23 79.86

Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 37,14 58,04 14,74 37.76

Arroyo del Ojanco % Voto PP Arroyo del Ojanco % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

41,27 51,08 92.35

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 23,38 61,39 37,70 41.47

Baos de la Encina % Voto PP Baos de la Encina % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

27,63 56,74 84.37

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 27,62 69,45 43,51 48.24

Bedmar y Garcez % Voto PP Bedmar y Garcez % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

33,39 60,44 93.83

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 33,37 56,63 49,16 28.74

Begjar % Voto PP Begjar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

33,34 48,89 82.23

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,86 63,93 38,46 52.58

Cabra del Santo Cristo % Voto PP Cabra del Santo Cristo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

31,79 61,19 92.98

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 19,41 70,91 11,51 41.46

Cambil % Voto PP Cambil % Voto PSOE

21,44 54,19

Total Bipartidismo

** Expression is faulty ** 28,96 53.08 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,93 44.28 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,66 56.29 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,77 50.8 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,53 62.11 ** Expression is faulty ** 48,16 47.04 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,67 59.69 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,84 50.56 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,25 60.85

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 30,16 53,39 20,22 45.55

** Expression is faulty ** 34,72 37,49 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,42 35,42 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,66 48,52 ** Expression is faulty ** 50,70 43,11 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,97 53,01 ** Expression is faulty ** 55,79 33,77 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,54 46,61 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,79 40,43 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,64 51,40

75.63

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 72.45

Campillo de Arenas % Voto PP Campillo de Arenas % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

31,45 41,22 72.67

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,65 48,09 20,65 22.91

Canena % Voto PP Canena % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

26,65 32,32 58.97

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 38,15 57,26 48,77 40.83

Castellar % Voto PP Castellar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

42,50 50,50 93

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 45,19 50,83 51,80 45.67

Castillo de Locubin % Voto PP Castillo de Locubin % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

47,58 45,45 93.03

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 33,45 61,91 26,30 52.93

Fuensanta de Martos % Voto PP Fuensanta de Martos % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

35,40 55,75 91.15

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 47,66 47,87 47,36 30.07

La Guardia de Jan % Voto PP La Guardia de Jan % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

54,42 35,77 90.19

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 36,04 59,40 46,23 51.77

Guarromn % Voto PP Guarromn % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

39,92 50,88 90.8

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,20 51,99 23,87 41.57

Huesa % Voto PP Huesa % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

27,27 42,76 70.03

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 28,62 60,63 23,19 58.29

Ibros % Voto PP Ibros % Voto PSOE

31,13 56,52

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is

faulty ** Total Bipartidismo ** Expression is faulty ** 32,09 64.57 ** Expression is faulty ** 52,19 44.67 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,54 57.05 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,56 59.73 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,99 57.59 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,21 51.31 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,85 56.61 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,15 49.18 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,27 ** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 31,87 65,20 33,49 65.22 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,53 54,36 ** Expression is faulty ** 56,40 38,43 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,50 47,17 ** Expression is faulty ** 48,90 43,79 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,22 43,47 ** Expression is faulty ** 46,80 49,12 ** Expression is faulty ** 47,10 47,18 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,65 35,86 ** Expression is faulty ** 48,00 87.65 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 96.19

La Iruela % Voto PP La Iruela % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

35,98 57,45 93.43

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 51,09 44,97 51,88 46.62

Iznatoraf % Voto PP Iznatoraf % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

55,32 39,34 94.66

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 19,23 57,44 6,58 32.51

Jabalquinto % Voto PP Jabalquinto % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

30,01 51,76 81.77

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 95.45

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 36,09 59,57 35,94 44.17

Jamilena % Voto PP Jamilena % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

44,39 46,84 91.23

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,93 58,14 25,58 39.64

Lopera % Voto PP Lopera % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

29,58 45,06 74.64

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 45,29 51,97 34,92 64.38

Noalejo % Voto PP Noalejo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

45,54 51,46 97

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 38,28 57,83 42,67 53.52

Orcera % Voto PP Orcera % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

41,38 50,44 91.82

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,24 49,17 35,38 34.9

Pegalajar % Voto PP Pegalajar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

39,12 38,10 77.22

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 39,12 37,38

Puente de Gnave % Voto PP

43,49

Puente de Gnave % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

56.38 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,87 60.12 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,77 57.42 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,84 55.8 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,37 54.87 ** Expression is faulty ** 29,60 55 ** Expression is faulty ** 28,92 66.37 ** Expression is faulty **

57,54

61.15

44,79 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,76 46,92 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,28 46,87 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,04 49,31 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,19 52,81 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,35 48,97 ** Expression is faulty ** 39,39 55,79 ** Expression is faulty **

49,09 93.39

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88.07

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,00 60,64 43,39 46.53

La Puerta de Segura % Voto PP La Puerta de Segura % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

40,54 52,04 92.58

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,70 58,11 27,79 53.02

Rus % Voto PP Rus % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

37,25 49,11 86.36

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 35,12 56,09 29,37 59.44

Sabiote % Voto PP Sabiote % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

36,74 52,12 88.86

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 84.76

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 37,57 57,02 29,11 46.2

Santiago-Pontones % Voto PP Santiago-Pontones % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

39,47 52,18 91.65

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 31,29 60,77 33,49 34.98

Santistebn del Puerto % Voto PP Santistebn del Puerto % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

38,40 50,92 89.32

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 28,95 67,45 33,61 65.36

Santo Tom % Voto PP Santo Tom % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

31,73 62,39 94.12

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

Segura de la Sierra % Voto PP Segura de la Sierra % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

28,28 65.99 ** Expression is faulty ** 40,25 51.82 ** Expression is faulty **

26,65 69,08

16,50 51.67

34,52 56,15 ** Expression is faulty ** 48,38 44,93 ** Expression is faulty **

31,18 60,03 91.21

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 40,14 52,91 51,52 40.8

Siles % Voto PP Siles % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

44,72 48,44 93.16

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

Torreblascopedro % Voto PP Torreblascopedro % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

23,09 61.14 ** Expression is faulty ** 22,68 71.51 ** Expression is faulty ** 23,48 67.31 ** Expression is faulty ** 19,22 72.13 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,46 55.08 ** Expression is faulty **

24,43 63,06

6,36 27.44

28,93 57,20 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,37 64,49 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,25 53,79 ** Expression is faulty ** 25,83 63,48 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,33 39,69 ** Expression is faulty **

24,89 60,50 85.39

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 82.49

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 22,39 72,39 16,99 54.68

Valdepeas de Jan % Voto PP Valdepeas de Jan % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

24,63 64,92 89.55

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 22,98 68,68 28,86 36.71

Vilches % Voto PP Vilches % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

27,48 57,13 84.61

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 19,22 72,10 21,42 60.28

Villanueva de la Reina % Voto PP Villanueva de la Reina % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

21,81 66,53 88.34

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 35,30 57,24 38,80 24.7

Villatorres % Voto PP Villatorres % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

38,79 45,02 83.81

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

BLOQUE 8 a: Entre 1.001 y 2.000 habitantes

Localidades Albanchez de Mgina % Voto PP Albanchez de Mgina % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Arquillos % Voto PP Arquillos % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Blmez de la Moraleda % Voto PP Blmez de la Moraleda % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Crcheles % Voto PP Crcheles % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Chiclana de Segura % Voto PP Andaluzas 2008 38,51 56,93 95.44 19,71 68,75 88.46 34,32 59,93 94,25 40,11 57,30 97.41 45,62 Generales 2008 37,29 58,90 96,19 19,92 69,58 89,50 34,26 61,51 95,77 39,76 58,47 98,23 45,69 Municipales 2011 48,76 47,11 95.87 39,57 26,41 65.98 29,38 61,99 91,37 57,53 41,37 98.9 28,46 Generales 2011 45,87 49,24 95,11 32,62 55,85 88,47 39,27 53,52 92,79 43,25 52,06 95,31 47,73 Andaluzas 2012 42,49 52,34 94.83 27,95 58,15 86.1 34,11 58,43 92.54 38.28 54.9 93,18 43.51 Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 95.48 ** Expression is faulty ** 55.75 83.7 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 93.35 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 96.61 ** Expression is

faulty ** Chiclana de Segura % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Chilluvar % Voto PP Chilluvar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Frailes % Voto PP Frailes % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Fuerte del Rey % Voto PP Fuerte del Rey % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Jimena % Voto PP Jimena % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Lahiguera % Voto PP Lahiguera % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Montizn % Voto PP Montizn % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Santa Elena % Voto PP Santa Elena % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Sorihuela del Guadalimar % Voto PP Sorihuela del Guadalimar % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Torres % Voto PP Torres % Voto PSOE 53.06 98.68 30,60 67.6 98.2 36,88 60 96.88 42,15 53.51 95.66 35,61 60 95.61 24,21 49.85 74.06 35,17 61.42 96.59 33,94 59.82 93.76 33,50 62.96 96.46 45,76 50.94 96.7 40,29 57.36 97.65 52,81 98,50 30,31 68,48 98,79 36,39 60,35 96,74 40,51 54,13 94,64 36,09 60,02 96,11 24,27 52,70 76,97 35,57 62,22 97,79 33,64 62,08 95,72 32,76 63,45 96,21 46,17 50,98 97,15 40,21 58,13 98,34 70.52 98.98 19,84 78.29 98.13 51,39 47.21 98.6 35,02 63.91 98.93 45,26 53,63 98.89 20,24 40.03 60.27 50,67 48.94 99.61 63,14 36.3 99.44 33,63 47.55 81.18 52,76 43.09 95.85 65,12 33.57 98.69 49,11 96,84 33,11 63,92 97,03 46,26 48,35 94,61 43,31 51,32 94,63 38,41 56,27 94,68 30,43 42,26 72,69 41,61 54,98 96,59 55,43 37,11 92,54 43,59 52,09 95,68 50,81 45,11 95,92 44,11 50,19 94,30 52,93 96,44 31,69 64,96 96.65 46,38 47,00 93.38 39,86 52,97 92.83 37,21 57,15 94.36 25,98 42,38 68.36 42,43 53,96 96.39 49,84 44,47 94.31 43,83 50,31 94.14 47,20 47,88 95.08 42,58 51,53 94.11 ** Expression is faulty ** 97.89 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 97.76 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 95.34 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 95.93 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 70.47 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 95.16 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 92,73 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 96.14 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 96,62

Total Bipartidismo Villardompardo % Voto PP Villardompardo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

BLOQUE 8 b: Entre 501 y 1.000 habitantes

Localidades Carboneros % Voto PP Carboneros % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

Andaluzas 2008 28,19 66,96 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,93 64,81 ** Expression is faulty ** 17,95 71,85 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,36 77,19 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,19 69.98 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,34 51.67 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,47 59.08 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,81 52.57 ** Expression is faulty ** 47,96 49,85

Generales 2008 28,60 66,52

Municipales 2011 46,18 53,42

Generales 2011 35,32 55,41 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,25 62,18 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,61 64,71 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,66 69,13 ** Expression is faulty ** 37,26 56,60 ** Expression is faulty ** 49,10 45,31 ** Expression is faulty ** 49,62 43,73 ** Expression is faulty ** 46,33 48,46 ** Expression is faulty ** 52,56 44,58

Andaluzas 2012 30,63 59,68 ** Expression is faulty ** 31.06 63.45 ** Expression is faulty ** 18,85 69.68 ** Expression is faulty ** 19,51 74.64 ** Expression is faulty ** 35,68 57,74 ** Expression is faulty ** 42,85 47,23 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,26 54,85 ** Expression is faulty ** 41,15 52,11 ** Expression is faulty ** 51,77 43,45

Porcentaje medio

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 95.84

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,42 64,76 26,28 71,31

Cazalilla % Voto PP Cazalilla % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 17,96 73,37 21,79 70,35

Escauela % Voto PP Escauela % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 17,91 78,74 36,61 63,04

Espely % Voto PP Espely % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 25,65 69,65 40,67 59.11

Gnave % Voto PP Cnave % Voto PSOE

Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 43,72 52,72 37,73 42.68

Higuera de Calatrava % Voto PP Higuera de Calatrava % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 38,34 58,66 40,13 56.1

Hornos % Voto PP Hornos % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 38,54 55,15 47,66 51,47

Santiago de Calatrava % Voto PP Santiago de Calatrava % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 47,27 50,45 59,38 40,02

Torres de Albnchez % Voto PP Torres de Albnchez % Voto PSOE

faulty ** Total Bipartidismo ** Expression is faulty ** ** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty **

BLOQUE 8 c: Menores de 500 habitantes

Localidades Aldeaquemada % Voto PP Aldeaquemada % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo Andaluzas 2008 54,22 39.8 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,39 64.25 ** Expression is faulty ** 45,20 52.31 ** Expression is faulty ** 31,31 64.35 ** Expression is faulty ** 24,76 46.69 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,80 60.61 ** Expression is faulty ** Generales 2008 53,44 41,22 Municipales 2011 55,66 43.88 Generales 2011 61,68 35,18 ** Expression is faulty ** 34,18 56,78 ** Expression is faulty ** 56,67 37,55 ** Expression is faulty ** 33,21 61,19 ** Expression is faulty ** 26,72 44,30 ** Expression is faulty ** 38,62 55,76 ** Expression is faulty ** Andaluzas 2012 58.82 35.29 ** Expression is faulty ** 32,58 58,42 ** Expression is faulty ** 56,01 40.22 ** Expression is faulty ** 27,77 66.99 ** Expression is faulty ** 20,95 49.4 ** Expression is faulty ** 36,65 58.52 ** Expression is faulty ** Porcentaje medio ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 95,83

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 26,57 66,42 20,72 75.69

Benatae % Voto PP Benatae % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 93,59

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 44,17 53,71 53,14 46.54

Hinojares % Voto PP Hinojares % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 31,45 64,47 28,88 46.2

Larva % Voto PP Larva % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 24,17 50,00 9,61 43.55

Lupin % Voto PP Lupin % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty ** 34,36 59,50 22,95 67.14

Villarrodrigo % Voto PP Villarrodrigo % Voto PSOE Total Bipartidismo

** ** Expression Expression is is faulty ** faulty **

Para hacer ms COMPRENSIBLE Y AMENO,incluso DIVERTIDO, el conocimiento de la REALIDAD BIPARTIDISTA ANDALUZA referida a sus realidad territorial he ideado un cdigo de colores que os explico en el siguiente cuadro:

% Voto Bipartidista PP-PSOE Color asignado 0% Entre 0,01 y 25,00 % Entre 25,01 y 50,00 % Entre 50,01 y 75,00 % Entre 75,01 y 90,00 % Entre 90,01 y 99,99 % 100,00 %
Tras una exhaustiva observacin de los datos podemos dar, en primer lugar, un repaso a lo que yo denomino SINGULARIDADES: el 100,00 % de BIPARTIDISMO se da en tres localidades de la provincia de JAN : CUMBRES DE ENMEDIO LA NAVA Elecciones Municipales 2011 Elecciones Municipales 2011

Tras esta curiosidad pasamos a elaborar un CUADRO ACUMULATIVO-SIGNIFICATIVO:

Bloque Territorial
Capitales Provincia Nmero % Ms de 100.000 Nmero % De 50.001 a 100.000 Nmero % De 20.001 a 50.000 Nmero % De 10.001 a 20.000 Nmero % De 5.001 a 10.000 Nmero % De 2.001 a 5.000 Nmero % De 1.001 a 2.000 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7,89 20 5,63 15 39,48 0 0 38 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 64,29 5 35,71 0 0 14 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 22,22 4 44,45 3 33,33 0 0 9 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 100,00 0 0 0 0 4 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 100,00 0 0 0 0 1 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 100 0 0 0 0 1 100

0%

Entre 0,01 y 25,00 %

Entre 25,01 y Entre 50,01 y Entre 75,01 y Entre 90,01 y 100,00 % 50,00 % 75,00 % 90,00 % 99,99 %

TOTALES

Nmero % De 501 a 1.000 Nmero % Menos de 500 Nmero % TOTALES Nmero %

0 0

0 0

0 0

1 6,67

1 6,67

13 86,66

0 0

15 100

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

1 11,11

8 88,89

0 0

9 100

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

1 16,67 7 7,22

0 0 41 42,27

5 83,33 49 50,51

0 0 0 0

6 100 97 100

Y para finalizar este primer captulo de la entrega,procede ahora trabajar con los TOTALES DE % DE VOTO BIPARDISTA PP-PSOE por BLOQUES POBLACIONES para as tratar de obtener CONCLUSIONES CONCRETAS Y PRECISAS al respecto.

Procedamos pues: PROVINCIA DE JAN

Tramo poblacional CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE MS DE 100.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 50.001-100.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 20.001-50.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 10.001-20.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 5.001-10.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 34,55 56,84 91,39 34,06 58,65 92,71 33,25 46,19 79,44 39,55 48,50 88,08 37,87 49,32 87,12 36.41 51.34 87,75 34,97 53,77 88,74 34,87 54,39 89,26 34,99 41,24 76,23 45,19 40,17 85,36 39,85 43,98 83,83 37.97 46.82 84,72 36,96 53,82 90,78 36,07 56,29 92,36 37,55 29,99 67,54 45,28 40,43 85,71 40,64 44,28 84,92 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 84,26 35,97 54,20 90,17 35,94 55,32 91,26 40,02 40,80 80,82 44,62 37,65 82,27 39,20 43,09 82,29 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 47,09 44,74 91,83 46,14 47,17 93,31 51,75 35,05 86,80 54,59 30,22 84,81 52,92 32,21 85,13 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 88.38 Andaluzas 2008 Generales 2008 Municipales Generales Andaluzas 2011 2011 2012 Porcentaje medio

PARALELO 5.000
Entre 2.001-5.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 1.001-2.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 501-1.000 Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Menores de 500 habitantes Media % Voto PP Media % Voto PSOE Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 36,11 54,69 90,80 35,69 55,89 91,58 31,83 53,83 85,66 41,85 48,46 90,31 38,80 51,47 90,27 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 89,73 32,24 62,66 94,90 32,49 63,34 95,83 39,60 56,39 95,99 39,30 54,46 93,76 34,75 58,09 92,87 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 94,67 35,76 58,63 94,39 35,52 59,59 95,11 42,72 49,33 92,05 42,39 50,76 93,15 39,56 52,62 92,18 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 93,38 32,28 58,32 90,60 32,26 57,85 90,11 31,48 45,01 76,49 39,73 48,54 88,27 35,69 51,21 86,90 ** Expression is faulty ** ** Expression is faulty ** 86,48

Mis Conclusiones:
1) El valor medio del BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de JAN tiene sus cuotas ms altas,de mayor a menor, en los siguientes bloque territoriales: CIUDADES ENTRE 501 y 1.000 HABITANTES(94,67 %),CIUDADES ENTRE 1.001 y 2.000 HABITANTES(93,38%) , CIUDADES MENORES DE 500 HABITANTES(89,73 %), CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA(88,38 %) y CIUDADES ENTRE 5.001 y 10.000 HABITANTES(87,75 %) 2) El valor medio del BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE tiene sus cuotas ms bajas,de menor a mayor, en los siguientes bloque territoriales: Ciudades entre 20.001 y 50.000 habitantes(84,26 %),Ciudades entre10.001 y 20.000 habitantes(84,72 %) ,CIUDADES ENTRE 50.001 y 100.000 HABITANTES(85,36 %) y CIUDADES ENTRE 2.001 y 5.000 HABITANTES(86,48 %) 3) Se detecta claramente que el BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE arraiga MUCHO MS en las ciudades MENORES DE 5.000 HABITANTES Para finalizar y por referirnos al ltimo dato electoral de la serie histrica disponible, las elecciones andaluzas 2012, ofrecemos este cuadro que indica las diferencias entre el BIPARDISMO PP-PSOE de Elecciones Generales 2011 a Elecciones Andaluzas 2012:

PROVINCIA DE JAN
Tramo poblacional Andaluzas 2008 Generales 2008 Municipales Generales Andaluzas 2011 2011 2012 Diferencia % BipartidismoPP-PSOE entre G2011-A2012

CAPITALES DE PROVINCIA Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE MS DE 100.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 50.001-100.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 20.001-50.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 10.001-20.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 5.001-10.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 91,39 92,71 79,44 88,08 87,12 -0,96 88,74 89,26 76,23 85,36 83,83 -1,53 90,78 92,36 67,54 85,71 84,92 -0,79 90,17 91,26 80,82 82,27 82,29 +0,02 91,83 93,31 86,80 84,81 85,13 +0,32

PARALELO 5.000
Entre 2.001-5.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 1.001-2.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Entre 501-1.000 Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE Menores de 500 habitantes Total bipartidismo PP-PSOE 90,80 91,58 85,66 90,31 90,27 -0,04 94,90 95,83 95,99 93,76 92,87 -0,89 94,39 95,11 92,05 93,15 92,18 -0,97 90,60 90,11 76,49 88,27 86,90 -1,37

Mis Conclusiones: 1) El BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de JAN retrocede ligeramente una media de 0,69 % de las Elecciones Generales 2011 a las Elecciones Andaluzas 2012 diferencindose este retroceso el tramo de mayores de 5.000 habitantes(-0,59 %) del tramo menores de 5.000 habitantes(-0,82 %).La prdida del BIPARTIDISMO PP-PSOE se produce en TODOS LOS BLOQUES TERRITORIALES excepto en las ciudades mayores de 100.000 y en la capital de provincia donde aumenta mnimamente. 2) El BIPARTIDISMO ANDALUZ PP-PSOE en la provincia de JAN se sita en las ltimas Elecciones Andaluzas 2012 en un 87,29 %, una cifra MUY SIGNIFICATIVA y que dificulta bastante el JUEGO POLITICO EN ANDALUCIA AJENO A ESA FUERZA. La ALTERNANCIA POLITICA ANDALUZA EST LEJANA y CASI IMPOSIBLE con estos datos referidos a la provincia de JAN. saludos cordiales esperando os haya gustado y/o sirva de utilidad este trabajo personal que he realizado. Olvera,27 de mayo de 2013 consultas,sugerencias o crticas: laboratorioelectoralandaluz@gmail.com telfono de contacto: 647770029

el autor tiene cuentas en facebook y twiter