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07 June 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .......................................................... 13


Under Valued ..................................................................... 14

Under Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

398.50

276.40

427.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
566

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

265.50

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

324

0.66

COBHAM

269.50

190.10

293.40

Neutral

Neutral

280

0.82

MEGGITT

524.50

364.30

534.50

Sell

Sell

498

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1163.00

799.39

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1136

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1307.00

979.50

1390.00

Neutral

Sell

1091

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1694.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Sell

1609

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

303.60

173.60

313.40

Neutral

Neutral

Target
301

2.02

INCHCAPE

533.50

316.60

577.50

Neutral

Neutral

551

1.48

LOOKERS

99.00

56.50

110.00

Neutral

Neutral

97

1.23

PENDRAGON

25.00

13.50

26.50

Neutral

Buy

34

1.11

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

303.30

150.55

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-830

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

700.00

510.60

769.90

Neutral

Buy

837

1.17

60.86

28.00

62.96

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

316.90

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-142

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1448.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3312

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

515.00

350.00

588.50

Neutral

Neutral

555

0.55

DIAGEO

1900.00

1577.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1675

0.55

SABMILLER

3244.00

2420.50

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

3725

0.95

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

345.00

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3401

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

317.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

486

1.23

CARCLO

366.75

356.00

503.00

Neutral

Sell

120

0.73

2413.00

2125.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3272

1.04

226.60

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

292

0.99
1.45

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY

2750.00

2080.27

2750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4421

VICTREX

1665.00

1185.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1330

1.14

SYNTHOMER

190.60

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

335

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

202.50

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Buy

249

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

93.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
252

Beta

BALFOUR BEATTY

214.80

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1277

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

305.90

125.30

346.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

596

1.58
1.15

0.51

BELLWAY

1315.00

744.00

1377.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2856

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2103.00

1239.00

2207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3286

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

172.50

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

407

0.83
1.20

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

757.00

422.50

778.50

Neutral

Buy

1057

CARILLION

246.50

235.50

331.80

Buy

Strong Buy

1507

1.12

CLARKE (T)

54.38

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

450

0.82

COSTAIN GROUP

256.00

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1116

0.57

1324.00

1078.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

838

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

909.50

584.00

999.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2886

1.01

KELLER

870.00

348.25

978.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2346

1.26

1180.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5371

0.97

65.00

50.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

217

1.07
1.39

CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR
MARSHALLS

136.25

76.00

142.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

401

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

580.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4326

0.87

16.63

10.50

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

60

1.15

NORCROS

1174.00

529.83

1280.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1999

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

220.00

107.30

238.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

452

1.09

SIG

168.70

84.75

179.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

500

1.79

48.00

46.88

362.50

Neutral

Buy

68

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

93.15

42.72

103.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

228

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1504.00

916.00

1611.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4103

2.01

WOLSELEY

3054.00

2154.34

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5765

1.46

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1300.00

994.50

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

795

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

639.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

866

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

120.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

253

1.29

INVENSYS

388.00

198.90

402.70

Neutral

Sell

337

1.41

LAIRD

194.00

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

307

2.13

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1597.00

1149.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1230

1.00

RENISHAW

1715.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2615

1.26

SPECTRIS

2024.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2724

1.52

0.08

0.07

0.13

Neutral

Sell

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

165.50

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

301

1.58

XAAR

640.00

185.00

695.00

Neutral

Sell

225

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

82.25

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

125

1.28

BODYCOTE

535.00

310.30

563.00

Neutral

Buy

629

1.60

CASTINGS

342.63

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

626

0.99

VESUVIUS

372.00

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

991

2.20

FENNER

334.30

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

513

1.42

HALMA

501.00

375.00

538.50

Neutral

Sell

355

0.75

HILL & SMITH

428.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

344

1.37

1235.00

776.00

1359.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5025

1.41

274.80

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

741

1.82

2700.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

1327

1.00

265.70

177.00

280.80

Neutral

Sell

229

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

49.50

35.40

87.71

Neutral

Sell

39

SPIRAX-SARCO

2723.00

1903.48

2928.35

Neutral

Sell

1985

0.84

VITEC GROUP

600.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Sell

422

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2220.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2036

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

398.30

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

672

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

262.00

248.60

296.40

Buy

Sell

157

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

363.30

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

188

0.57

TESCO

344.80

301.10

387.75

Neutral

Sell

251

0.68

87.25

19.13

100.50

Neutral

Sell

62

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1825.00

1175.00

2031.00

Neutral

Buy

2048

0.62

CRANSWICK

1100.00

732.50

1127.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2023

0.43

DAIRY CREST

462.90

316.00

503.50

Neutral

Neutral

491

0.94

DEVRO

319.20

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

499

0.32

68.50

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Sell

-180

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

809.50

633.50

875.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1505

0.71

2660.00

2038.00

2885.00

Neutral

Neutral

2693

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.75

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

33

0.69

458.70

227.50

465.60

Neutral

Sell

340

0.54

1403.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

925

1.27

610.00

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

278

0.95

41.74

12.67

42.90

Neutral

Neutral

44

1.51

179.00

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

59

1.13

30.25

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

104

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

312.40

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

480

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

905.00

606.50

920.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1483

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

63.00

38.00

72.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

101

1.25

KINGFISHER

336.80

254.10

351.30

Neutral

Neutral

358

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

442.10

312.20

485.00

Neutral

Buy

503

0.65

57.50

43.00

71.00

Neutral

Neutral

62

1.04

371.25

189.25

385.00

Neutral

Buy

461

0.47

NEXT

4580.00

3022.00

4749.00

Sell

Neutral

4439

0.67

TED BAKER

1407.00

855.50

1490.00

Neutral

Sell

626

0.55

67.50

38.00

70.00

Neutral

Sell

52

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

137.50

126.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
113

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

755.50

585.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

552

0.39

OPTOS

127.50

120.00

222.75

Neutral

Buy

154

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

749.50

600.50

794.50

Neutral

Sell

676

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

725.00

565.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

706

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

372.00

263.00

377.00

Neutral

Sell

320

0.92

80.00

55.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

109

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

878.50

469.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

458

0.74

CSR

513.00

200.40

570.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1471

1.18

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

59.00

25.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

24

0.90

338.70

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Neutral

351

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

124.40

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

444

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

202.00

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-617

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1280.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Sell

-423

0.53

AMLIN

397.40

323.50

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1477

0.46

BEAZLEY

220.20

132.50

241.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

917

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

468.30

409.40

552.50

Neutral

Neutral

451

0.30

HISCOX

528.00

414.09

600.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1838

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

873.00

677.00

914.50

Neutral

Buy

1189

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

114.10

100.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

698

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

486.50

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3301

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2135.00

2083.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3984

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

113.00

55.50

123.80

Neutral

Sell

104

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

335.00

158.00

373.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

778

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

880.00

700.00

880.00

Neutral

Sell

672

0.39

GREENE KING

735.50

479.20

789.50

Neutral

Sell

645

0.93

LADBROKES

198.50

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

249

0.93

1819.00

1493.74

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1477

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

545.00

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

616

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

362.00

217.40

408.50

Neutral

Sell

314

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

120.00

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

42

1.25

12.75

5.61

13.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

49

1.27

154.10

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

504

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

502.00

287.30

531.00

Neutral

Sell

392

WETHERSPOON (JD)

628.00

387.60

661.50

Neutral

Buy

739

0.69

WHITBREAD

2828.00

1824.00

2897.00

Sell

Sell

1992

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

429.60

247.83

452.80

Neutral

Sell

256

0.87

MARSTON'S

139.10

94.70

154.70

Neutral

Sell

16

1.21

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

325.50

260.50

388.40

Neutral

Neutral

318

1.25

CHESNARA

249.75

161.25

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

459

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

174.70

115.70

187.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

435

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

190.20

146.90

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

375

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1060.00

696.50

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1076

1.71

548.00

318.20

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6174

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

126.25

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-647

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

764.00

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1741

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA

Target

Beta

34.50

29.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-20

1.03

DAILY MAIL 'A'

746.00

363.50

770.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4189

1.14

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

957.00

708.00

1030.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7684

1.00

INFORMA

490.90

350.40

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-60

1.53

ITE GROUP

280.10

180.00

299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

279

1.45

ITV

126.70

70.40

134.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

1300

1.54

17.75

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

801

1.27

1177.00

1119.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

347

0.63

81.00

36.25

84.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2690

0.79

278.50

265.00

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

923

0.16

34.27

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Sell

-632

0.50

STV GROUP

132.00

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

267

0.79

ST.IVES

160.75

67.50

166.50

Neutral

Sell

253

1.50

TRINITY MIRROR

106.75

25.50

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-296

1.59

UBM

690.00

532.50

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1923

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP

161.75

82.00

164.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1383

WPP

1100.00

743.00

1190.00

Neutral

Sell

-527

1.35

HIBU

0.36

0.26

2.18

Neutral

Strong Buy

828

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1440.00

1440.00

2215.00

Neutral

Sell

1142

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

234.00

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

227

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

908.00

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

827

1.41

1821.00

1724.00

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2840

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

310.95

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

952

#NA

LONMIN

288.20

240.84

421.26

Sell

Buy

338

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4999.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2933

0.34

RIO TINTO

2747.50

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2224

1.50

3.38

10.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

161

0.89

832.50

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2027

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1230.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1165.00

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

859

BP

458.00

401.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

967

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

261.80

248.20

309.40

Buy

Sell

-19

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta
0.80

7.68

7.60

12.50

Neutral

Buy

10

0.82

813.50

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

550

1.31
1.36

58.75

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Sell

-58

345.10

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

392

1.43

2180.50

2098.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

8048

0.84

373.20

276.50

404.30

Buy

Buy

476

0.53

1006.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

678

1.04

814.50

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Sell

710

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

110.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

239

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

370.40

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

305

0.69

4487.00

3300.00

4926.00

Neutral

Neutral

4530

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.42

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-2

1.01

3280.50

2643.00

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6337

0.47

BTG

363.10

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

165

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

681.00

469.50

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

726

0.25

1640.50

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1653

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.75

1.55

2.80

Buy

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2083.00

1727.00

2213.00

Neutral

Sell

1418

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

48.75

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

31

0.73

VERNALIS

22.38

21.75

27.38

Neutral

Sell

10

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

376.00

276.30

426.70

Buy

Sell

-647

1.18

BRITISH LAND

582.00

478.30

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1741

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

33.75

22.75

37.00

Neutral

Sell

-20

0.85

990.00

595.00

1004.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4189

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2273.00

1740.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7684

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

201.00

121.75

203.00

Neutral

Sell

-60

0.99

GRAINGER

149.60

83.10

157.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

279

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

530.00

367.80

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1300

1.10

HAMMERSON

491.90

409.20

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

801

1.19

HELICAL BAR

272.00

175.00

297.50

Neutral

Buy

347

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

908.00

707.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2690

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

333.30

309.80

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

923

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

149.25

127.00

155.00

Neutral

Sell

-632

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

382.00

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

267

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

317.00

312.17

363.53

Neutral

Sell

253

0.35

79.50

32.50

79.50

Sell

Sell

-296

1.19

SAVILLS

582.00

319.50

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1923

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

603.00

492.00

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1383

1.05

SEGRO

274.80

209.80

302.80

Neutral

Sell

-527

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

281.90

145.50

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

828

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

213.00

147.00

223.00

Neutral

Sell

1.01

UNITE GROUP

356.00

180.75

387.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2234

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1116

1.03

381.00

221.00

418.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1322

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

128.50

113.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

124

0.73

2323.00

1550.00

2420.00

Neutral

Sell

1334

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

469.10

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1324

1.00

KOFAX

328.00

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

330

1.11

27.75

18.25

28.00

Neutral

Sell

25

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

663.00

431.48

710.00

Neutral

Buy

993

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

154.00

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

319

0.74

70.50

68.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-95

0.52

1883.00

1275.00

2047.00

Neutral

Buy

2144

0.76

351.60

247.70

368.10

Neutral

Buy

424

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

422.80

244.80

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1277

1.09

BREWIN DOLPHIN

227.30

136.30

244.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

666

0.73

9556.50

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

97610

0.84

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

388.50

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

1314

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

190.00

141.00

191.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1166

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

934.00

699.50

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5155

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

96.25

72.50

110.40

Neutral

Sell

70

0.89

3.07

0.55

3.70

Neutral

Sell

-125

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

153.10

90.55

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

805

1.44

HELPHIRE GROUP
ICAP

368.00

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1806

1.07

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

432.80

249.10

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2935

1.70

INVESTEC

442.10

343.10

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1826

1.56

1390.00

930.00

1434.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4278

1.15

94.10

63.25

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4470

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1543.00

1186.00

1577.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5639

0.75

SCHRODERS

2192.00

1230.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8539

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1687.00

966.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11274

1.27

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ACAL

227.50

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1254

0.92

AGGREKO

1633.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3406

1.05

AMEC

1004.00

933.00

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3340

1.04

605.50

228.30

671.00

Neutral

Buy

894

1.63

1117.00

842.50

1205.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2249

0.48

544.75

324.00

580.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

2015

0.76

1233.00

1009.00

1342.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2831

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

507.50

214.00

525.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1453

0.39

CAPITA

944.00

631.50

1018.00

Neutral

Sell

234

0.51

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

54.25

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

478

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

838.50

624.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1997

0.74

BERENDSEN

740.00

470.00

812.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2873

1.05

DE LA RUE

947.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1775

#NA

DIGNITY

1339.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2076

0.22

DIPLOMA

541.00

417.10

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1390

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

260.70

196.60

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1052

1.04

FILTRONA

698.50

439.60

750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1301

1.13

G4S

245.70

240.00

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

910

0.58

HAYS

89.50

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

428

1.10

HOMESERVE

265.60

137.50

266.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1250

0.94

INTERSERVE

470.30

297.20

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3371

1.28

3102.00

2558.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4492

0.78

46.00

26.50

47.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

352

1.17
0.72

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

29.00

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

214

MENZIES (JOHN)

715.00

542.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2204

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

377.40

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

815

1.42

MITIE GROUP

250.00

249.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1281

0.55

88.00

86.00

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

713

0.33

OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT

986.50

670.50

989.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1731

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

208.00

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

767

1.33

REGUS

160.20

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

66

1.46

87.50

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

315

1.25

REXAM

505.50

403.43

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1754

0.90

RICARDO

406.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1630

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

218.00

176.25

234.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1154

1.24

RPC GROUP

425.90

365.40

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1848

0.78

RPS GROUP

213.00

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1039

1.51

SERCO GROUP

595.00

526.00

647.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2351

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

81.50

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

696

1.46

RENTOKIL INITIAL

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

54.50

22.25

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

255

1.26

171.00

82.00

171.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

545

0.63

58.38

40.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

330

0.93

352.00

245.75

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

2030

0.86

89.00

42.00

89.00

Sell

Strong Buy

527

0.79

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Under Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

301.70

200.70

322.30

Neutral

Buy

348

0.91

41.63

27.55

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

85

0.70

618.00

459.80

749.00

Neutral

Sell

474

0.53

76.85

68.25

88.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

134

1.24

1264.00

770.00

1325.00

Neutral

Sell

742

0.09

188.15

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Neutral

184

0.54

Beta

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

270.70

178.00

288.40

Neutral

Sell

Target
175

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

422.00

310.00

429.75

Neutral

Neutral

448

0.98

CLARKSON

1612.00

1150.00

1716.00

Neutral

Sell

1156

0.80

EASYJET

1184.00

489.00

1300.00

Neutral

Sell

679

0.77

FIRST GROUP

119.10

118.00

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

560

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

950.00

557.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

404

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1440.00

1113.00

1588.00

Neutral

Buy

1813

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

198.50

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

253

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

340.00

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

680

STAGECOACH GROUP

286.50

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

372

0.89

67.00

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-44

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

362.90

307.10

394.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

578

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

740.00

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

872

0.50

PENNON GROUP

666.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

796

0.59

SSE

1496.00

1294.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2138

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

2020.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1559

0.35

737.00

646.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

708

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

07 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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