Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
December 2008
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
Contents
• Telecom Industry Overview
• Telecom An Investment Attracting Sector
• Regulatory Framework and Its Impact
• Emerging Trends in Telecom Market
• Major Players in Telecom Sector
• Growth Avenues
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Telecom Industry
Overview
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
Source: Exchange rate as on 30 June 2008; Average exchange rate for the year 2007–08; Voice&Data;
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
Source: Exchange rate as on 30 June 2008; Average exchange rate for the year 2007–08; Voice&Data;
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
• T
he Indian telecom industry generated revenues Revenues of Indian Telecom Industry: 2002-10
of approximately US$ 32 billion in 2007–08 with a 2009-10 (E) 43
2006-07
growth rate of 60 per cent in 2007–08 over 2006–07. 20
2005-06 15
2002-03 9
• T
he CAGR is expected to stabilise at 16 per cent 0 10 20 30 40 50
between 2007–08 and 2009–10. US$ billion
Sources: Average exchange rate for the year 2007–08; TRAI Report
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
by Satellite (GMPCS).
• T
he mobile services in India are growing more than
basic wireline services.
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
88%
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
• G
overnment-owned Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd. Market Share of Wireline Service Operators
in India (2007–08)
(BSNL) and Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. (MTNL)
are the two largest operators in the wire line BSNL
79
82
segment, whereas Bharti Airtel Ltd. is the leader in
wireless segment. MTNL 9
9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
• T
hough private players, such as Bharti Airtel and Percentage
n As of 30 June, 2007 n As of 30 June, 2008
Reliance, have registered notable growth, BSNL
still dominates the segment in terms of wire line
subscriber base.
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
• T
he Minutes of Usage (MoU) for GSM has been rising
as compared to that for CDMA. The MoUs for CDMA MoU per subscriber per month in India
service has declined from 462 in June 2007 to 354 in 600 505
Source: TRAI Report; and exchange rate as on 30 June 2007 and 30 June 2008, respectively
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
• T
he subscriber base grew to 325.79 millions on June Telecom Subscriber Base in India
2008, registering a growth of approximately 45 per 2008 325.79
cent over last year. The subscriber base grew at a 2007 225.01
CAGR of 43.6 per cent from June 2004 to June 08. 2006 153.42
2005 104.22
• T
eledensity in India is still low in India as compared 2004 76.53
to that in some countries. As on June 2008, India had 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Per cent
20
15 13.96
10 9.61
7.04
5
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
• Wireless services have led to a significant growth Market Share* of Wireless** Operators in India
(as of June 2008)
in the Indian telecom industry.
• Currently, there are 12 players–Bharti Airtel,Vodafone, 1%
2% 1%
Reliance, Tata Teleservices, Idea, Aircel, Spice, BSNL, 4%
24%
MTNL, BPL, HFCL and Shyam Telelink–active in 9%
this segment.
9%
• T
he subscriber base of Bharti Airtel, a leader in this 17%
market, increased from 42.70 million in 2006–07 to
69.38 million in 2007–08, followed by Reliance (50.79 n Bharti n Reliance n Voda fone
million subscribers) and Vodafone (49.20 million n
n
BSNL
Aircel
n Idea
n Spice
n TATA
n MTNL
subscribers). n Others
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
India is one of the few countries in the world to have more GSM subscribers
than fixed-line subscribers.
GSM preferred to CDMA segment by a large margin in Indian Mobile Service Market Share
(as on June 2008)
terms of subscriber numbers.
26% 74%
n CDMA n GSM
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
Market Share GSM Service Providers Market Share CDMA Service Providers
(as on June 2008) (as of June 2008)
0.38% 0.45% 0.15%
1%
2%
2% 6.17%
4%
6%
32.65%
13%
35.41%
57.44%
18%
23.5%
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
• In India, there has also been significant growth in the Internet Subscribers: 2000-2008
subscriber base for wireless internet, which stood 14
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
• T
he total number of internet subscribers grew from Top Five Internet Service Providers
by Market Share (as on June 2008)
9.22 million in June 2007 to 11.66 million in June
2008, primarily attributed to an increase in broadband
4.84%
subscriber base from 2.42 million in June 2007 to 4.38 7.07%
million at the end of June 2008.
7.47%
• B
SNL is the biggest player in this market with 5.94
million subscribers, followed by MTNL, Bharti Airtel, 50.96%
Reliance and Sify Technologies. 16.49%
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
• T
he handset market in India, consisting of mobile and Mobile Handset Market in India
fixed handsets, registered a growth of 33 per cent with 2007-08 5,761
boost in the sale of mobile handsets across India. The 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
mobile handsets sale grew by 12 per cent and that of VALUE US$ million
Source:VoicenData.com,TRAI
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Te l e c o m In d u stry Ov e rview
December 2008
Nokia, Sony Ericsson, Samsung, and Reliance mobile phones are most popular
across the country
• Nokia continues to dominate the handsets market. Market Share of GSM and CDMA Handset
Manufacturers: 2006–07
Its market share increased from 53.6 per cent in
1.20% 1.00%
2006–07 to 62.5 per cent in 2007–08. Sony Ericsson
has the second highest market share (12.8 per cent) 3.50%
5.00%
in 2007–08.
6.20%
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TELECOM – AN IDEAL
INVESTMENT SECTOR
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Te l e c o m – In v e st m e nt Attr ac tin g Sec to r
December 2008
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m – In v e st m e nt Attr ac tin g Sec to r
December 2008
Source:TRAI
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Te l e c o m – In v e st m e nt Attr ac tin g Sec to r
December 2008
• India is currently the second-largest mobile market in Proposed Investments By Telecom Companies
the world in terms of mobile subscribers. In India (US$ Billion)
• T
he Indian telecom market generated revenues of BSNL 1.3
Idea 2.4
approximately US$ 32 billion in 2007–08. Further, Reliance 5.7
the industry is expected to register a CAGR of Aircel 5
Source:TRAI
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Regulatory Framework
and its Impact
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Reg u l ato ry F r a m e wo r k and i ts I mpact
December 2008
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Reg u l ato ry F r a m e wo r k and i ts I mpact
December 2008
WPC
Spectrum Management
TRAI
DoT Independent Regulator
Indian Telecom
Licensor and Frequency Industry
Management for Telecom Framework TDSAT
Disputes Settlement Body
GoT–IT
Handles Ad–hoc Issues
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Reg u l ato ry F r a m e wo r k and i ts I mpact
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TELECOMMUNICATION
Reg u l ato ry F r a m e wo r k and i ts I mpact
December 2008
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Reg u l ato ry F r a m e wo r k and i ts I mpact
December 2008
0 0
an additional entry fee. The regime does not take into 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
account the national and international long-distance Total Cellular Subscribers Cellular Tariff
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TELECOMMUNICATION
December 2008
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Reg u l ato ry F r a m e wo r k and i ts I mpact
December 2008
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KEY TRENDS IN THE
TELECOM INDUSTRY
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E m ergi ng Tr e n d s i n T e l e com Mar ket
December 2008
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E m ergi ng Tr e n d s i n T e l e com Mar ket
December 2008
2006-07 478
• Basic and cellular services 2005-06 624
2003-04 116
• Value-added services such as PMRTS and GMPCS
0 300 600 900 1200 1500
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E m ergi ng Tr e n d s i n T e l e com Mar ket
December 2008
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Growth Avenues
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G rowth Av e n u e s
December 2008
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G rowth Av e n u e s
December 2008
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G rowth Av e n u e s
December 2008
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G rowth Av e n u e s
December 2008
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G rowth Av e n u e s
December 2008
billion by 2015.
17%
Major growth drivers for VAS in India 44%
• D
evelopment of M-Commerce applications, such as
booking tickets and making bill payments n Person to Person SMS n Ringtone Download
n Person to Application & Application to Person SMS
• Availability of mobile TV and development of shows, n Games & Data n Others (MMS etc.)
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G rowth Av e n u e s
December 2008
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G rowth Av e n u e s
December 2008
50 49
government will invest US$ 2 billion, from 2008
Teledensity (%)
40 38
to 2009, to set up about 100,000 community
30 26.2
service centres in rural areas to provide broadband 21.3
28.3
20 19.9
connectivity. 10.4
12.2 14.3 12.9
10 7.0 9.1 9.2
8.2 3.6 4.3 5.1
Urban
2002 2003 2004
Rural
2005 2006 2007
Total
2008
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TELECOMMUNICATION
December 2008
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