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Annex 9.A.

1
Net Working Capital ( in 000 Birr)

Item

Total inventory

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

11,727.29

18,133.86

2,458.01

3,800.82

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

306.28

473.61

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

14,491.58

22,408.28

Accounts payable

1,715.04

2,326.22

2,974.03

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

CURRENT LIABILITIES

1,715.04

2,326.22

2,974.03

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

12,776.54

20,082.06

Accounts receivable

Cash-in-hand

CURRENT ASSETS

WORKING CAPITAL

23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33

29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71

26,411.68 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52

Annex 9.A.2
Operating Cost ( in 000 Birr)

Item
Raw materials
Utilities

Year 2

Year 3

46,758.96 72,303.21

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

266.3

411.78

540

540

540

540

540

540

540

540

Spare parts

201.08

310.93

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

Repair and maintenance

100.54

155.46

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

Labour

8,796.53 13,602.04

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

Labour overhead costs

1,759.31

2,720.41

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

Administrative costs

369.86

571.92

750

750

750

750

750

750

750

750

Marketing and distribution


costs

739.73

1,143.84

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

Depreciation

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

956.59

956.59

956.59

956.59

956.59

Financial costs

1,458.38

1,458.38

1,262.07

1,049.08

817.98

567.24

295.18

TOTAL PRODUCTION
COSTS

61,686.92 93,914.19 122,121.59 121,908.59 121,677.49 121,147.10 120,875.05 120,579.87 120,579.87 120,579.87

Annex 9.A.3
CASH FLOW FOR FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ( in 000 Birr)

Items

Year 1 Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

TOTAL CASH INFLOW

4,381

85,084

107,780

141,466

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

Inflow funds

4,381

14,492

611

648

70,592

107,169

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW

4,381

74,942

102,904

130,369

129,221

129,133

129,292

129,374

125,695

125,695

125,695

Increase in fixed assets

4,038

Increase in current assets

14,492

7,917

6,977

Operating costs

58,253

90,076

118,123

118,123

118,123

118,123

118,123

118,123

118,123

118,123

Marketing costs

740

1,144

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

Income tax

5,673

5,742

5,901

5,983

6,071

6,071

6,071

343

1,458

1,458

1,262

1,049

818

567

295

Loan repayment

2,310

2,506

2,876

2,950

3,201

3,473

SURPLUS (DEFICIT)
CUMULATIVE CASH
BALANCE

10,141

4,876

11,097

11,597

11,685

11,525

11,444

15,123

15,123

15,123

10,141

15,017

26,114

37,711

49,396

60,921

72,365

87,488

102,611

117,735

Inflow operation

Financial costs

Scrap
47,680
0
0
2,817
0
0
0
0
0
0
2,817
44,863
162,598

Annex 9.A.4
Net Income Statement ( in 000 Birr)

Item

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Sales revenue

70,592.07

107,168.85

140,817.82

140,817.82

140,817.82

140,817.82

140,817.82 140,817.82 140,817.82 140,817.82

Less variable costs

58,992.30

91,219.58

119,623.28

119,623.28

119,623.28

119,623.28

119,623.28 119,623.28 119,623.28 119,623.28

VARIABLE MARGIN

11,599.76

15,949.27

21,194.54

21,194.54

21,194.54

21,194.54

21,194.54

21,194.54

21,194.54

21,194.54

in % of sales revenue

16.43

14.88

15.05

15.05

15.05

15.05

15.05

15.05

15.05

15.05

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

956.59

956.59

956.59

956.59

956.59

10,363.53

14,713.03

19,958.30

19,958.30

19,958.30

20,237.95

20,237.95

20,237.95

20,237.95

20,237.95

14.68

13.73

14.17

14.17

14.17

14.37

14.37

14.37

14.37

14.37

Financial costs

1,458.38

1,458.38

1,262.07

1,049.08

817.98

567.24

295.18

0.00

0.00

0.00

GROSS PROFIT

8,905.15

13,254.65

18,696.23

18,909.22

19,140.32

19,670.72

19,942.77

20,237.95

20,237.95

20,237.95

12.61

12.37

13.28

13.43

13.59

13.97

14.16

14.37

14.37

14.37

5,672.77

5,742.10

5,901.21

5,982.83

6,071.39

6,071.39

6,071.39

8,905.15

13,254.65

18,696.23

13,236.46

13,398.23

13,769.50

13,959.94

14,166.57

14,166.57

14,166.57

12.61

12.37

13.28

9.40

9.51

9.78

9.91

10.06

10.06

10.06

35.8
26.36

53.28
28.18

75.15
28.44

53.21
16.76

53.86
14.51

55.35
12.97

56.11
11.62

56.94
10.55

56.94
9.54

56.94
8.71

24.65

29.82

35.85

25.59

25.46

25.68

25.53

25.38

25.38

25.38

Less fixed costs


OPERATIONAL
MARGIN
in % of sales revenue

in % of sales revenue
Income tax
NET PROFIT
in % of sales revenue
Ratios (%)
Net profit to equity
Net profit to net worth
Net profit+interest to
investment

Annex 9.A.5
DESCOUNTED CACH FLOW ( in 000 Birr)

Items

Starting
balance

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10 Year 11

Scrap

TOTAL CASH INFLOW

0 70,592 107,169 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

44,863

Inflow operation

0 70,592 107,169 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW

24,878

4,038 71,769

Increase in fixed assets

24,878

4,038

Increase in net working


capital

98,525 125,953 125,453 125,365 125,524 125,606 125,695 125,695 125,695

0 12,777

7,306

6,330

157

Operating costs

0 58,253

90,076 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123

Marketing costs

740

1,144

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

Income tax

5,673

5,742

5,901

5,983

6,071

6,071

6,071

NET CASH FLOW


CUMULATIVE NET CASH
FLOW

-24,878

-4,038

-1,177

8,644

14,865

15,365

15,452

15,293

15,212

15,123

15,123

15,123

44,863

-24,878 -28,915 -30,092 -21,448

-6,584

8,781

24,234

39,527

54,739

69,862

84,985 100,108 144,971

Net present value


Cumulative net
present value

-24,878

11,638

11,087

10,277

9,374

8,593

7,874

7,257

6,689

19,842

-24,878 -28,915 -30,000 -22,658 -11,020

67

10,344

19,718

28,311

36,186

43,443

50,132

69,974

NET PRESENT
VALUE
INTERNAL RATE OF
RETURN
NORMAL PAYBACK

69,973.79
33.91%
4 years

-4,038

-1,085

7,342

Annex 9.A.6
Balance Sheet ( in 000 Birr)

Items
TOTAL ASSETS
Total current assets

Starting
balance Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10 Year 11

24,878 29,259 52,655 64,212 81,050 91,411 101,859 112,428 122,915 137,082 151,248 165,415
0

0 24,633 37,426 55,500 67,097

78,782

90,307 101,751 116,874 131,997 147,120

Total fixed assets, net of depreciation

24,878 29,259 28,022 26,786 25,550 24,314

23,077

22,121

TOTAL LIABILITIES

24,878 29,259 52,655 64,212 81,050 91,411 101,859 112,428 122,915 137,082 151,248 165,415

Total current liabilities

Total long-term debt

Total equity capital

2,817

2,817

2,817

2,817

2,817

4,381 17,157 14,848 12,342

9,623

6,673

3,473

24,878 24,878 24,878 24,878 24,878 24,878

24,878

24,878

24,878

24,878

24,878

24,878

8,905 22,160 40,856

54,092

67,491

81,260

95,220 109,387 123,553

8,905 13,255 18,696 13,236

13,398

13,770

13,960

14,167

Retained profit

Ratios (%)
Equity to total liabilities
Net worth to total liabilities
Long-term debt to net worth
Current assets to current liabilities

18,294

2,817

Net worth

19,251

2,817

2,326

20,208

2,974

Reserves, retained profit


brought forward

1,715

21,164

24,878 24,878 33,783 47,038 65,734 78,970

100
100
0
0

85.03
85.03
0.18
0

47.25
64.16
0.51
14.36

38.74
73.25
0.32
16.09

30.69
81.1
0.19
18.66

27.22
86.39
0.12
23.82

14,167

14,167

92,368 106,138 120,098 134,264 148,431 162,598

24.42
90.68
0.07
27.96

22.13
94.41
0.03
32.06

20.24
97.71
0
36.12

18.15
97.94
0
41.49

16.45
98.14
0
46.85

15.04
98.3
0
52.22

Annex 9.B.1
Net Working Capital ( in 000 Birr)

Item

Total inventory

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

11,727.29

18,133.86

2,458.01

3,800.82

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

306.28

473.61

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

14,491.58

22,408.28

Accounts payable

1,715.04

2,326.22

2,974.03

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

CURRENT LIABILITIES

1,715.04

2,326.22

2,974.03

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

12,776.54

20,082.06

Accounts receivable

Cash-in-hand

CURRENT ASSETS

WORKING CAPITAL

23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33

29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71

26,411.68 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52

Annex 9.B.2
Operating Cost ( in 000 Birr)

Item
Raw materials
Utilities

Year 2

Year 3

46,758.96 72,303.21

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

266.3

411.78

540

540

540

540

540

540

540

540

Spare parts

201.08

310.93

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

Repair and maintenance

100.54

155.46

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

Labour

8,796.53 13,602.04

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

Labour overhead costs

1,759.31

2,720.41

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

Administrative costs

369.86

571.92

750

750

750

750

750

750

750

750

Marketing and distribution


costs

739.73

1,143.84

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

Depreciation

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

1,236.24

956.59

956.59

956.59

956.59

956.59

Financial costs

2,626.91

2,626.91

2,273.31

1,889.65

1,473.39

1,021.73

531.69

TOTAL PRODUCTION
COSTS

62,855.46 95,082.74 123,132.83 122,749.17 122,332.91 121,601.60 121,111.56 120,579.87 120,579.87 120,579.87

Annex 9.B.3
CASH FLOW FOR FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ( in 000 Birr)

Items

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11

TOTAL CASH INFLOW

5,758

85,084 107,780 141,466 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

Inflow funds

5,758

14,492

Scrap

140,818

140,818

49,057

70,592 107,169 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

140,818

140,818

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW

5,758

76,111 105,923 133,388 131,988 131,956 132,175 132,322 125,695

125,695

125,695

2,817

Increase in fixed assets

4,038

Increase in current assets

14,492

7,917

6,977

Operating costs

58,253

90,076 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123

118,123

118,123

Marketing costs

740

1,144

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

Income tax

5,421

5,545

5,765

5,912

6,071

6,071

6,071

1,720

2,627

2,627

2,273

1,890

1,473

1,022

532

Loan repayment

4,160

4,514

5,054

5,314

5,765

6,255

2,817

SURPLUS (DEFICIT)
CUMULATIVE CASH
BALANCE

8,973

1,857

8,078

8,830

8,862

8,643

8,496

15,123

15,123

15,123

46,240

8,973

10,830

18,908

27,738

36,600

45,243

53,739

68,862

83,985

99,108 145,348

Inflow operation

Financial costs

611

648

Annex 9.B.4
Net Income Statement ( in 000 Birr)

Item

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Sales revenue

70,592

107,169

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

Less variable costs

58,992

91,220

119,623

119,623

119,623

119,623

119,623

119,623

119,623

119,623

VARIABLE MARGIN

11,600

15,949

21,195

21,195

21,195

21,195

21,195

21,195

21,195

21,195

in % of sales revenue

16

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

1,236

1,236

1,236

1,236

1,236

957

957

957

957

957

10,364

14,713

19,958

19,958

19,958

20,238

20,238

20,238

20,238

20,238

15

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

Financial costs

2,627

2,627

2,273

1,890

1,473

1,022

532

GROSS PROFIT

7,737

12,086

17,685

18,069

18,485

19,216

19,706

20,238

20,238

20,238

5,421

5,545

5,765

5,912

6,071

6,071

6,071

7,737

12,086

17,685

12,648

12,939

13,451

13,794

14,167

14,167

14,167

61.86
38.22

96.63
37.38

141.39
35.36

101.12
20.18

103.45
17.12

107.55
15.1

110.29
13.41

113.26
12.11

113.26
10.8

113.26
9.75

23.87

29.01

34.99

25.41

25.2

25.3

25.04

24.76

24.76

24.76

Less fixed costs


OPERATIONAL MARGIN
in % of sales revenue

Income tax
NET PROFIT
Ratios (%)
Net profit to equity
Net profit to net worth
Net profit+interest to
investment

Annex 9.B.5
DESCOUNTED CACH FLOW ( in 000 Birr)

Items

Starting
balance

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10 Year 11

TOTAL CASH INFLOW

0 70,592 107,169 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

Inflow operation

0 70,592 107,169 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW

24,878

4,038 71,769

Increase in fixed assets

24,878

4,038

Increase in net working


capital

98,525 125,953 125,201 125,169 125,388 125,535 125,695 125,695 125,695

0 12,777

7,306

6,330

157

Operating costs

0 58,253

Marketing costs

740

1,144

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

Income tax

5,421

5,545

5,765

5,912

6,071

6,071

6,071

NET CASH FLOW

-24,878

-4,038

-1,177

8,644

14,865

15,617

15,649

15,430

15,283

15,123

15,123

15,123

CUMULATIVE NET
CASH FLOW

-24,878

-28,915 -30,092 -21,448

-6,584

9,034

24,683

40,112

55,395

70,518

85,641 100,764

Net present value

-24,878

11,638

11,269

10,407

9,458

8,634

7,874

7,257

6,689

Cumulative net present


value

-24,878

-28,915 -30,000 -22,658 -11,020

249

10,657

20,114

28,748

36,622

43,879

50,568

NET PRESENT VALUE


INTERNAL RATE OF
RETURN
NORMAL PAYBACK

71,019
34.12%
4 years

-4,038

-1,085

90,076 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123 118,123

7,342

Scrap
46,240
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
46,240
147,005
20,451
71,019

Annex 9.B.6
Balance Sheet ( in 000 Birr)

Items
TOTAL ASSETS
Total current assets

Starting
balance

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8

Year 9 Year 10 Year 11

24,878 30,636 52,864 61,401 75,221 82,815 90,440 98,127 105,666 119,832 133,999 148,165
0 23,464 33,238 48,293 57,124 65,986 74,628

83,124

98,247 113,371 128,494

Total fixed assets, net of


depreciation

24,878 30,636 29,400 28,163 26,927 25,691 24,455 23,498

22,542

21,585

TOTAL LIABILITIES

24,878 30,636 52,864 61,401 75,221 82,815 90,440 98,127 105,666 119,832 133,999 148,165

Total current liabilities


Total long-term debt
Total equity capital

2,817

2,817

2,817

2,817

2,817

17,414 21,961 30,905 26,745 22,231 17,334 12,020

6,255

8,675 12,508 12,508 12,508 12,508 12,508 12,508

12,508

12,508

12,508

12,508

7,737 19,823 37,508 50,156 63,095

76,547

90,341 104,508 118,674

7,737 12,086 17,685 12,648 12,939 13,451

13,794

14,167

Reserves, retained profit


brought forward

Retained profit

Net worth
Ratios (%)
Equity to total liabilities
Net worth to total liabilities
Long-term debt to net worth
Current assets to current
liabilities

7,463

1,715

2,326

2,974

2,817

19,672

2,817

7,463

20,628

14,167

14,167

8,675 20,244 32,330 50,015 62,663 75,603 89,054 102,849 117,015 131,182 145,348

30
30
2.33

28.32
28.32
2.53

23.66
38.29
1.53

20.37
52.65
0.83

16.63
66.49
0.44

15.1
75.67
0.28

13.83
83.59
0.16

12.75
90.75
0.07

11.84
97.33
0

10.44
97.65
0

9.33
97.9
0

8.44
98.1
0

13.68

14.29

16.24

20.28

23.42

26.49

29.51

34.87

40.24

45.61

Annex 9.C.1
Net Working Capital ( in 000 Birr)

Item

Total inventory

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

11,727.29

18,133.86

2,458.01

3,800.82

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

4,984.30

306.28

473.61

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

621.08

14,491.58

22,408.28

Accounts payable

1,715.04

2,326.22

2,974.03

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

CURRENT LIABILITIES

1,715.04

2,326.22

2,974.03

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

2,817.19

12,776.54

20,082.06

Accounts receivable

Cash-in-hand

CURRENT ASSETS

WORKING CAPITAL

23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33 23,780.33

29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71 29,385.71

26,411.68 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52 26,568.52

Annex 9.C.2
Operating Cost ( in 000 Birr)

Item
Raw materials
Utilities

Year 2

Year 3

46,758.96 72,303.21

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

94,816.79

266.3

411.78

540

540

540

540

540

540

540

540

Spare parts

201.08

310.93

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

407.74

Repair and maintenance

100.54

155.46

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

203.87

Working premises rental

900.00

900.00

900.00

900.00

900.00

900.00

900.00

900.00

900.00

900.00

Labour

8,796.53 13,602.04

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

17,837.40

Labour overhead costs

1,759.31

2,720.41

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

3,567.48

369.86

571.92

750

750

750

750

750

750

750

750

379.2

379.2

379.2

379.2

379.2

277.2

277.2

277.2

277.2

277.2

1,020.87

1,020.87

883.45

734.35

572.58

397.06

206.63

739.73

1,143.84

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

1,500.00

Administrative overhead
costs
Depreciation
Financial costs
Direct marketing costs
TOTAL PRODUCTION
COSTS

61,292.38 93,519.66 121,785.93 121,636.83 121,475.06 121,197.54 121,007.11 120,800.48 120,800.48 120,800.48

Annex 9.C.3
CASH FLOW FOR FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ( in 000 Birr)

Items

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11

TOTAL CASH INFLOW

4,278

85,085 107,781 141,466 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

Inflow funds

4,278

14,493

Scrap

140,818

140,818

30,444

70,592 107,169 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

140,818

140,818

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW

4,278

74,979 102,477 130,153 129,072 128,964 129,047 129,104 126,528

126,528

126,528

2,820

Increase in fixed assets

4,038

Increase in current assets

14,522

7,934

6,992

Operating costs

58,696

90,762 119,023 119,023 119,023 119,023 119,023 119,023

119,023

119,023

Marketing costs

740

1,144

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

Income tax

5,754

5,803

5,886

5,943

6,005

6,005

6,005

240

1,021

1,021

883

734

573

397

207

Loan repayment

1,617

1,754

2,060

2,065

2,240

2,431

2,820

SURPLUS (DEFICIT)
CUMULATIVE CASH
BALANCE

10,105

5,304

11,313

11,746

11,854

11,771

11,714

14,289

14,289

14,289

27,624

10,105

15,409

26,722

38,468

50,322

62,093

73,807

88,097

102,386

Inflow operation

Financial costs

612

648

116,675 144,300

Annex 9.C.4
Net Income Statement ( in 000 Birr)

Item

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Sales revenue

70,592

107,169

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

140,818

Less variable costs

59,436

91,906

120,523

120,523

120,523

120,523

120,523

120,523

120,523

120,523

VARIABLE MARGIN

11,156

15,263

20,295

20,295

20,295

20,295

20,295

20,295

20,295

20,295

in % of sales revenue

16

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

379

379

379

379

379

277

277

277

277

277

10,777

14,884

19,915

19,915

19,915

20,017

20,017

20,017

20,017

20,017

15

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

Financial costs

1,021

1,021

883

734

573

397

207

GROSS PROFIT

9,756

13,863

19,032

19,181

19,343

19,620

19,811

20,017

20,017

20,017

5,754

5,803

5,886

5,943

6,005

6,005

6,005

9,756

13,863

19,032

13,427

13,540

13,734

13,868

14,012

14,012

14,012

14

13

14

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

193
66

275
48

377
40

266
22

268
18

272
16

275
14

278
12

278
11

278
10

63

61

65

46

46

46

46

45

45

45

Less fixed costs


OPERATIONAL MARGIN
in % of sales revenue
Interest on short-term
deposits

Income tax
NET PROFIT
in % of sales revenue
Ratios (%)
Net profit to equity
Net profit to net worth
Net profit+interest to
investment

Annex 9.C.5
DESCOUNTED CACH FLOW ( in 000 Birr)
Items

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10 Year 11

Scrap

TOTAL CASH INFLOW

0 70,592 107,169 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

28,164

Inflow operation

0 70,592 107,169 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818 140,818

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW

4,038 76,503 105,550 135,095 132,104 131,996 132,079 132,136 132,198 132,198 132,198

Increase in fixed assets

4,038

Increase in net working


capital

0 13,072

7,467

6,472

157

Operating costs

0 62,691

96,939 127,123 127,123 127,123 127,123 127,123 127,123 127,123 127,123

Marketing costs

740

1,144

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

1,500

Income tax

3,324

3,373

3,456

3,513

3,575

3,575

3,575

NET CASH FLOW

-4,038

-5,911

1,619

5,722

8,713

8,822

8,738

8,681

8,619

8,619

8,619

28,164

CUMULATIVE NET
CASH FLOW

-4,038

-9,949

-8,330

-2,607

6,106

14,928

23,666

32,348

40,967

49,586

58,206

86,370

Net present value

-4,038

-5,448

1,375

4,480

6,287

5,867

5,356

4,904

4,488

4,136

3,812

12,457

Cumulative net present


value

-4,038

-9,486

-8,110

-3,630

2,657

8,524

13,880

18,785

23,272

27,409

31,221

43,678

NET PRESENT VALUE


INTERNAL RATE OF
RETURN
NORMAL PAYBACK

43,677.59
49.12%
4 years

Annex 9.C.6
Balance Sheet ( in 000 Birr)
Items
TOTAL ASSETS
Total current assets

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

4,277.90 28,526.58 41,384.68 59,310.90 70,677.58 82,152.57 93,646.31 105,082.91 119,095.05 133,107.18 147,119.32
0 24,627.88 37,865.18 56,170.60 67,916.49 79,770.68 91,541.61 103,255.42 117,544.76 131,834.09 146,123.43

Total fixed assets, net of


depreciation

4,277.90

TOTAL LIABILITIES

4,277.90 28,526.58 41,384.68 59,310.90 70,677.58 82,152.57 93,646.31 105,082.91 119,095.05 133,107.18 147,119.32

Total current liabilities

3,140.30

2,761.10

2,381.89

2,104.69

1,827.49

1,550.29

1,273.09

995.89

2,976.53

2,819.69

2,819.69

2,819.69

2,819.69

2,819.69

2,819.69

2,819.69

Total long-term debt

3,066.60 12,010.18 10,393.53

8,639.45

6,736.29

4,671.35

2,430.89

Total equity capital

1,211.30

5,044.26

5,044.26

5,044.26

5,044.26

5,044.26

5,044.26

5,044.26

5,044.26

5,044.26

Reserves, retained profit


brought forward

9,755.86 23,618.76 42,650.65 56,077.34 69,617.27

83,351.46

97,218.96 111,231.10 125,243.23

Retained profit

9,755.86 13,862.90 19,031.89 13,426.69 13,539.93 13,734.19

13,867.50

14,012.14

Ratios (%)
Equity to total liabilities
Net worth to total liabilities
Long-term debt to net worth
Current assets to current
liabilities

1,716.28

3,519.50

2,328.13

Net worth

3,898.70

5,044.26

14,012.14

14,012.14

1,211.30 14,800.12 28,663.02 47,694.91 61,121.60 74,661.53 88,395.72 102,263.22 116,275.36 130,287.49 144,299.63

28.32
28.32
2.53

17.68
51.88
0.81

12.19
69.26
0.36

8.5
80.42
0.18

7.14
86.48
0.11

6.14
90.88
0.06

5.39
94.39
0.03

4.8
97.32
0

4.24
97.63
0

3.79
97.88
0

3.43
98.08
0

14.35

16.26

18.87

24.09

28.29

32.47

36.62

41.69

46.75

51.82

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