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CS/OCT 2009/QMT100

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA FINAL EXAMINATION

COURSE COURSE CODE EXAMINATION TIME

BASIC STATISTICS QMT100 OCTOBER 2009 3 HOURS

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES 1. 2. 3. This question paper consists of five(5) questions. Answer ALL questions in the Answer Booklet. Start each answer on a new page. Do not bring any material into the examination room unless permission is given by the invigilator. Please check to make sure that this examination pack consists of : i) ii) iii) iv) the Question Paper a three - page Appendix (Formula List) an Answer Booklet - provided by the Faculty graph papers - provided by the Faculty

4.

DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO


This examination paper consists of 6 printed pages
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QUESTION 1 a) A group of researchers is investigating the water quality of the lakes in the Northern Region which consists of three states. Based on a complete list of lakes in the region, they randomly selected only one-fourth of the lakes from each state. The collections of water samples from each selected lake were then taken for analysis. i) State the population for this survey. (1 mark) ii) Define the sampling frame for this survey. (2 marks) iii) State the variable of interest and identify its type. (2 marks) iv) What sampling technique is used in this survey? (1 mark) v) Explain briefly how you will select four lakes from twenty lakes if systematic sampling is used. (3 marks) Name the most appropriate data collection method to be used in this survey. Give ONE (1) advantage and ONE (1) disadvantage of using this method. (3 marks)

vi)

b)

For each of the following variables, classify whether it is a qualitative, quantitative discrete or quantitative continuous variable. i) ii) Mileage traveled by a car for the first two years. (1 mark) Name of the publisher of a particular book. (1 mark) iii) The units of semi-detached houses sold by PF Corporation in the first quarter, 2008. (1 mark)

c)

The following table shows the sales data of EZ corporation. Sales (RM ' 000 Million) 2007 2006 12.5 17.7 38 10.2 28 44.2

Year Product X Product Y Product Z

2008 29.0 35.8 52.0

Draw a multiple bar chart and comment on its sales pattern. (5 marks)
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CS/OCT 2009/QMT100

QUESTION 2 a) The following data represents the time taken (in minutes) by a group of students to complete a Statistics mid-term examination.

54 55
i)

45 67

64 50

51 62

62 51

63 57

55 60

Find the first, second and third quartile for the above data. (4 marks)

ii)

Find the mean and mode (if any) of the above data. (5 marks)

iii)

Determine the shape of the distribution using the values obtained in (ii). (2 marks)

b)

The following table contains information on the prices (per kilogram) and quantities (in '00kg) for three types of imported beef purchased by a hypermarket in 2007 and 2008.

Year Types of beef A B C

2007 Price per kg (RM) 16.00 12.50 9.50

Quantity ('00 kg) 148.3 160.6 173.6

20(38 Quantity Price per kg (RM) ('00 kg) 187.9 17.00 210.4 13.00 203.3 8.50

By using 2007 as the base year, calculate i) the average relative quantity index for 2008. (3 marks) ii) the Laspeyres price index for 2008 and interpret your answer. (3 marks) iii) the Paasche quantity index for 2008. (3 marks)

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QUESTION 3 The following information shows the relative frequency distribution table of the monthly telephone bills (in RM) for November 2008, spent by 200 households in Pekan Baru. Monthly telephone bills (in RM) 50-99 100-149 150-199 200-249 250-299 300-349 350-399 Relative Frequency 0.12 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.13 0.1

a)

Construct the frequency distribution table for the above data. (3 marks)

b)

Find the mean, mode and standard deviation. (10 marks)

c)

Draw a "less than" ogive. (3 marks)

d)

Use the graph in c) to find the value of the third quartile. (2 marks)

e)

Calculate the Pearson's coefficient of skewness. Comment on the distribution of the data. (2 marks)

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QUESTION 4 a) Eight candidates have attended an interview. The results of the interview given by two panels were shown below. Candidate A B C D E F G H Panel I 55 85 66 92 78 80 65 80 Panel II 70 75 65 88 85 82 75 70

Calculate the Spearman's coefficient of rank correlation and comment on the value. (5 marks) b) The table below shows the data on the annual computer training hours and computer literacy scores among twelve workers in certain department. Computer Training hours 25 70 112 56 90 150 38 45 98 120 88 18 Computer Literacy Scores 48 60 90 60 80 94 52 48 82 95 70 28

i)

State the independent variable and the dependent variable. (2 marks)

ii)

Calculate the Pearson's product moment correlation. Interpret the meaning of the value obtained. (6 marks)

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iii)

Using the least squares method, find the equatidn of the regression line of the computer literacy scores on the annual computer training hours. (5 marks) Estimate the computer literacy scores if the worker has attended 80 hours of computer training. (2 marks)

iv)

QUESTION 5 a) Given that A and B are two events where P(A')=0.7, P(B/A)=0.6 and P(A' n B)=0.25, find i) P(AnB) (3 marks) ii) P(A / B) (3 marks) iii) P(A / B') (3 marks) Are A and B independent events? Verify your answer. (2 marks) b) A fruit seller received eighty boxes of oranges from the fruit dealers during a festive season. Out of the eighty boxes, twenty boxes were delivered by dealer R, fifty boxes by dealer S and the rest by dealer T. From past experienced, the fruit seller observed that 3%, 7% and 10% of the oranges delivered by the dealer R, S and T respectively are rotten. i) Draw a tree diagram. (3 marks) ii) What is the probability that the oranges delivered by the dealers are rotten? (3 marks) If it is known that the oranges were in good condition, find the probability that they were delivered by dealer R. (3 marks)

iii)

END OF QUESTION PAPER

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APPENDIX 1 FORMULA LIST

CS/OCT2009/QMT100

Sample Measurements

1.

Mean,

^
n

o r Ef
n

2.

Median, x = L m +

'Yf ^ - - Yfm 1
2
ZJ

t
v

3.

Mode,

x = L mo +

A,

A.

4.

Standard Deviation, s

n-1 L

(x -

x)2

or

n-1

Sx

(S")

s =

n-1 L

f(x - x)2

or

n-1

S^x2

d^r

Coefficient of Variation, CV = - x 100 x , .. ._, Mean-Mode e n 6. Pearson s Measure of Skewness = Standard Deviation where n U
L mo

5.

3(Mean-Median) or Standard Deviation

ZfA,

total frequency lower median class boundary lower modal class boundary cumulative frequencies for the classes before the median class median class frequency (modal class frequency) - (frequency for the class before the modal class) (modal class frequency) - (frequency for the class after the modal class) class size

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APPENDIX 2

CS/OCT2009/QMT100

Correlation and Regression 1. Pearson's Product Moment Correlation Coefficient (IXY) n(IXY)-(IX)(IY) [n(IX )-(IX) ] n ( Y ) - ( I Y )
2 2 2

(IX)(IY)
2

or

(IX')-

2,

(^X) 2

(lY )-

(IY)2

Spearman's Rank Correlation: ps = 1 -

e^d 2
n(n2-l)

3.

The least- squares regression line of Y against X, Y = a + bX f(X)(EY)^ (i)


b_n(2XY)-(ZX)(SY) 2 or

^ /

> (
2N (Z*8 )

n(EX0-(2X)

(XX)2 \
n

(ii)

a = Y-bX

or

M _

INDEX NUMBERS 1. Y ptq0 Laspeyres Price Index = - ^ x100 y PtQt Paasche Price Index = ^ - x100 ZPoQt Simple Aggregate Price Index = ^ x 100 y ptw Weighted Aggregate Price Index = - ^ x100 Z Po w where p0 = price of the base year pt = price of the current year q 0 = quantity of the base year q t = quantity of the current year w = weights

2. 3.

4.

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CONFIDENTIAL Probability Theory 1. Conditional Probability

APPENDIX 3

CS/OCT 2009/QMT100

P(AIB) = ^ n B ) P(B) 2. Multiplicative Rule a) b) 3. P ( A n B ) = P(B).P(AIB) P(A n B) = P(A). P( B) if and if only if A and B are independent events.

Bayes Theorem P(AIB)=

P(A).P(BIA) P(A).P(BIA) + P(A').P(BIA')

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