Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Jay DeVincentis
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In this chart, we have the market opening up higher in the morning and immediately trading lower into the morning pivot. The formation of a shooting star gives you an early indication of a reversal, but unconfirmed. The next candle rallies off the 34.25 level and the strength comes in the market right after. Not all trades will be this easy.
The market almost always has an initial move into the morning pivot. Why this happens is not important. Maybe it is a bunch of buy or sell market on open orders being executed simultaneously. Maybe it is some market makers trying to drive prices a certain way to move inventory. Do not worry about the why. Simply accept that the market moves this way and learn how to profit from it.
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In this chart, weve arrowed the 10am Pivot for 3 consecutive trading days to show that not all signals will work. The 7/22 rally up into the time frame means you would switch to a long position in QID. The following day shows a pattern break, but the rally up into the 10am pivot means you would have been stopped out. The July 24th date is a textbook version of trade A.
Your goal is to relax during the first 20 minutes of the trading day. Your trade is in the process of setting up. It is a truly simple trade. Do not over analyze it. Here are your instructions. If the market rallies into the morning pivot, then you would look to buy QID between 9:50 and 10:10am EST. Set your stop below the low of the candles formed during this period and no more than 1/3 of the 5-day Average True Range (ATR). The ATR tells you how volatile a stock, ETF or option is and how many points it is likely to move in a day. Look to hold into either the 10:30am EST pivot, or the close, depending on your ability to participate in the market. If the market drops into the morning pivot, then you would look to buy QLD between 9:50 to 10:10am EST. Set your stop below the low of the candles formed during this period and no more than 1/3 of the 5-day ATR. Look to hold into either the 10:30am pivot, or the close, depending on your ability to participate in the market. Do not forget to look for a bullish candle to signal a reversal before getting into either position at the morning pivot.
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In this chart, we have a morning gap lower that bounces into the first 10 minutes. The second candle is a shooting star, suggesting prices are coming lower. And they do, settling into the 10am pivot quite nicely, giving you a good place to enter and place your stop. Not all trades will be this easy.
What causes this gap? Two things. First, the market will respond to news overnight and futures are impacted. This creates an imbalance of orders at the open. Second, with the premarket opening at 8am EST and post market trading from 4 to 8pm EST, the market has already reacted to events such as economic news, stock earnings and world events. You are to stay away from day trading during these periods. Volume is too thin, and action is too unpredictable for you to make predictable returns.
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The ideal stop is placed just below the low that is made at the morning pivot. There is a maximum stop that you should use. We will discuss that in the next section. If you are trading a lot of money and would be happy with a few hundred dollars a day, apply a trailing money stop between 0.10 and 0.15. This will get you out very quickly, usually in the next half-hour to hour. It serves the purpose of preserving your capital and any profits you get in the morning. I know the prospect of making only $300 a day does not sound like much, but after the first year, you could pocket an additional $75,000. Even if you are only right half the time, I cannot think of anyone who would turn down an extra $37,500 for a little work every morning. Average True Range ATR (5) Consider the daily and short term ATR when setting your stop. You can set stops that trail price action. If you want to trail the normal daily movement, look at setting your trailing stop at 1 times the ATR you will be glad you did. There will also be times when what you are trading pulls back for the day. You will get stopped out, and you may miss a larger move higher. Never be upset when you take profits and miss a larger move. Never be upset when you get
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In this chart, the market pulls back into the morning pivot where you consider going long. The market also does a normal retest of the morning pivot. Volume is light and prices rally off this point. The retest gives you another point to enter. Be patient. Set tight stops. Entry around 32.80 and exit around 33.40 would give you $600 on a 1000 share trade in less than 2 hours.
Look for the retest to occur around the 11am EST pivot. You can set your stops and targets as you did with Trade A. Just make sure it does not break the lows on volume on the retest. That could open the flood gates to the downside. Why? There are traders that are going to position for the break out or break down trade. These momentum type traders will jump in when the initial trading range is broken. Your stop order will keep you protected from experiencing too significant of a loss from this exposure. Trade C: Pattern Recognizing Pattern Momentum Breakouts As each day unfolds, you will be looking on your charts at a few days at a time. Over time, patterns can emerge. I have included a pattern appendix at the back of this manual, but again, it is not rocket
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In this chart, the previous trading day has established a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Your job is to recognize this pattern and enter on a close over the trend line. This trade had up to 2-points in it, or $2,000 on a 1000-share position. Not bad for a days work.
These are momentum trades. The market builds potential energy as the pattern forms a consolidation. There are a significant number of traders watching the same thing you are. When the pattern breaks, they all rush in to buy. Price rises can be dramatic.
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In this chart, we show you that just two days prior to the momentum/pattern break trade above, we have another one. Talk about opportunity! This trade had another point in it, or $1,000 for a 1000-share position. This would have been a profitable week.
The first hour trade What you need to understand here is that there are traders big time traders that do not touch the market in the first hour. They let the market set this range. Then the big-time traders wait for the market to either break the highs or the lows because that is when the big moves are made. The big time traders can be very patient with their money because they have oodles of it. When they want to put it to use, they do, in a big way. The 10:20-30 am EST pivot This is where the other end of the range is normally made. If the market traded up into the morning pivot, it should trade down into the 10:20-30am EST pivot. This pivot is the ideal place to take profits especially for the office day trader - because trading does take mental energy away from your job. There are no ifs, ands or buts about it. If you need justify taking
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Note in these charts, the thin lines merely represent the trend. A candles name can change depending on the preceding trend. For
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The thin lines at the top and bottom of candles are called shadows. They are indicative of selling and bearish if they are on the top and indicative of buying and bullish if on the bottom.
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Small real bodies are indicative of a lack of direction or a trend getting ready to pause. You will likely see these in a consolidation and during slow periods during the day.
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This is what the 10 minute chart looks like. Contrast that to the 15 minute chart below. Fewer bars mean you will be making a decision every 15 minutes, versus 10.
Also note that facts are different to someone trading a 5 minute chart, a 10 minute chart, and so on. Their previous highs and lows will be different. Their facts will look different and they will take different actions from you. You need not worry about anything but your facts. The final fact is volume. When highs and lows are broken, they may or may not be done so on increased volume. This is an important concept to understand. If the market is going down on increased Page 23 of 66
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If you do not have a plan going into a trade, you will enter a position and then constantly fight with yourself over what to do. That is called flying by the seat of your pants and it is not trading. There is one truth in trading and that is that you will be wrong. And more often wrong than right? The best traders are ones who focus on defense first. Benefits to Day Trading There are numerous benefits to day trading, but one that is overlooked is the practice of getting in and out of the market. The more you do this, the better feel you will get on when and how to place your orders and during what times. This will lead to confidence and confidence is what leads to success. Other benefits include: o o o o o o o o o o o o o Work when and where you want to Structure your day as you choose Work from an office or your home Low initial investment computer, modem and software Live anywhere you want Go flat at any time Sleep well no holding positions overnight Answer to yourself Wear what you want Develop your own style Take days off whenever you want More family time Shop when you want
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Like most of the three day star patterns, the scenarios are similar. The primary difference is that the star (second day) can reflect greater deterioration in the prior trend, depending on whether it gaps, is Doji, and so on. Belt Hold
The market is trending when a significant gap in the direction of trend occurs on the open. From that point, the market never looks back: all further price action that day is the opposite of the previous trend. This causes much concern and many positions will be covered or sold, which will help accentuate the reversal. Breakaway
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Any time a downtrend can continue with two Black Marubozu days, the bears must be excited. Then on the third day, the open is gapped down, which also adds to the excitement. However, trading during this day goes above the close of the previous day and causes some real concern about the downtrend, even though the day closes at or near its low. The next day opens significantly higher with a gap. After the opening, however, the market sells off and closes at a new low. This last day has given the shorts an excellent opportunity to cover their short positions. Engulfing
A downtrend is in place when a small black body day occurs with not much volume. The next day, prices open at new lows and then climb to a new two day high. The rise is sustained by high volume and finally closes above the open of the previous day. Emotionally, the
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The market has been in a downtrend, so there is an air of bearishness. The market opens and then sells off sharply. However, the sell-off is abated and the market returns to, or near, its high for the day. The failure of the market to continue the selling reduces the bearish sentiment, and most traders will be uneasy with any bearish positions they might have. If the close is above the open, causing a white body, the situation is even better for the bulls. Confirmation would be a higher open with yet a still higher close on the next trading day. Harami
A downtrend has been in place for some time. A long black day with average volume has occurred which helps to perpetuate the bearishness. The next day, prices open higher, which shocks many complacent bears, and many shorts are quickly covered, causing the price to rise further. The price rise is tempered by the usual late comers seeing this as an opportunity to short the trend they missed the first time. Volume on this day has exceeded the previous day, which suggests strong short covering. A confirmation of the reversal
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The Harami Cross starts out the same as that for the basic Harami pattern. A trend has been in place when, all of a sudden, the market gyrates throughout a day without exceeding the body range of the previous day. What is worse, the market closes at the same price as it opened. Volume of this a Doji day also dries up, reflecting the complete lack of decision of traders. A significant reversal of trend has occurred. High Price Gapping Play
The High Price Gapping Play is the bullish counterpart of the Low Price Gapping Play, and leads a new rally out of a stalled upward trend. This pattern is an upside window from a high-price congestion band. After a sharp advance the market consolidates via a series of real small bodies near the recent highs. If prices gap above this consolidation it is a buy signal.
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The market is in a downtrend, evidenced by a long black day. The next day, prices open higher, trade completely within the prior day's body, and then close slightly lower. Depending upon the severity of the previous trend, this shows a deterioration and offers an opportunity to get out of the market. Inverted Hammer
A downtrend has been in place when the market opens with a down gap. A rally throughout the day fails to hold and the market closes near its low. Similar to the scenario of the Hammer and Hanging Man, the opening of the following day is critical to the success or failure of this pattern to call a reversal of trend. If the next day opens above the Inverted Hammers body, a potential trend reversal will cause shorts to be covered which would also perpetuate the rally. Similarly, an Inverted Hammer could easily become the middle day of a more bullish Morning Star pattern.
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The market has been in a trend when prices gap the next day. The prices never enter into the previous day's range and then close with another gap. Long Legged Doji
The Long Legged Doji has long upper and lower shadows with the open and the close very close or the same. This pattern reflects the indecision of buyers and sellers. The open and the close of the day are very close or are the same. The lower and upper shadows are very long. The low of the day is very low and at the bottom of the trend. Mat Hold
The market is continuing its rise, with a long white day confirming the bullish action. The next day prices gap open and trade in a small Page 35 of 66
The market has been trading lower, as evidenced by another long black day. The next day, prices open higher, trade still higher, and then close at the same price as before. This is a classic indication of short-term support and will cause much concern from any apathetic bears who ignore it. Apathetic bears are short the market, and quite comfortable with their short position. If they ignore the Matching Low as a possible trend reversal, it will cause them much concern. Meeting Lines
The market has been in a downtrend when a long black day forms, which further perpetuates the trend. The next day opens with a gap down, then rallies throughout the day to close at the same close as
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The psychology behind this pattern is similar to that of the Morning star, except that the Doji Star is more of a shock to the previous trend and, therefore, more significant. Morning Star
A downtrend has been in place which is assisted by a long black candlestick. There is little doubt about the downtrend continuing with this type of action. The next day prices gap lower on the open, trade within a small range and close near their open. This small body shows the beginning of indecision. The next day prices gap higher on the open and then close much higher. A significant reversal of trend has occurred.
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A long black body forms in a downtrend which maintains the bearishness. A gap to the downside on the next days open further perpetuates the bearishness. However, on the day after, the market rallies all day and closes much higher. In fact the close is above the midpoint of the body of the long black day. This action causes concern to the bears and a potential bottom has been made. Candlestick charting shows this action quite well, where standard bar charting would hardly discern it. Rising Three Methods
The Rising Three Methods pattern is considered a rest from trading. The psychology behind a move like this is that some doubt creeps in about the ability of the trend to continue. This doubt increases as the small-range reaction days take place. However, once the bulls see that a new low cannot be made, the bullishness is resumed and new highs are set quickly.
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While the market is in an uptrend, the forming of a long black body should be cause for concern, as this is unusual for a strong market. However, the next day opens much higher, in fact, it opens at the previous black days opening price. Prices then move higher for the rest of the day and close higher, which suggests that the prior uptrend should now continue. Side by Side White Lines
The market is in an uptrend. A long white candlestick is formed, which further perpetuates the bullishness. The next day, the market gaps up on the open and closes still higher. However, on the third day, the market opens much lower, in fact, as low as the previous day's open. The initial selling that caused the lower open ends quickly and the market climbs to yet another high. This demonstrates the force behind the buyers, and the rally should continue.
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A good downtrend is under way. Prices open higher on the next trading day and then trade higher all day, closing at or near the high. This action suggests that the previous downtrend has probably reversed and that shorts should be protected, if not covered. The next day, prices open even higher, which should cause some covering initially, but then prices drift lower to close at the same price as two days ago. Anyone who does not note support and resistance points in the market is taking exceptional risk. Another day of trading should tell the story. Three Inside Up
This pattern, being a confirmation for the Bullish Harami, can only show the success of the previous forecast. The Bullish Three Inside Up is a confirmation pattern for the Bullish Harami. Its pattern is defined by the first two days of the three day pattern forming a Bullish Harami, and the third day giving support to the suggested reversal of the Harami, by being a white candle closing with a new high for the three days.
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The market has continued in its trend, aided by the recent Three White Soldiers pattern. The fourth day opens in the direction of the trend, but profit taking or short covering causes the market to move strongly in the opposite direction. This action causes considerable soul searching, but remember that this move completely eradicated the previous three days. This surely dried up the short-term reversal sentiment and the trend should continue in its previous direction. Three Outside Up
This pattern representing the confirmation of the Bullish Engulfing pattern, can only show the success of the forecast.
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A downtrend has continued when, after a new low has been made, a rally closes well above the low. This will cause some concern among the shorts because it represents buying, something that has not been happening until now. The second day opens higher, which lets some longs get out of their positions. However, that is the high for the day. Trading is lower, but not lower than the previous day, which causes a rally to close above the low. The bears are certainly concerned now because of the higher low. The last day is a day of indecision, with hardly any price movement. Anyone who is still short will not want to see anything more to the up side. Three White Soldiers
The Three White Soldiers pattern occurs in a downtrend and is representative of a strong reversal in the market. Each day opens lower but then closes to a new short term high. This type of price action is very bullish and should never be ignored.
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The market has probably been in a downtrend for a long time. With the trend starting to show weakness, bodies probably are becoming smaller. The first Doji would cause considerable concern. The second Doji would indicate that there was no direction left in the market. Finally, the third Doji would put the last nail in the coffin of the trend. This is essentially because this pattern indicates too much indecision, and everyone with any conviction would be reversing positions Unique Three River Bottom
A falling market produces a long black day. The next day opens higher, but the bearish strength causes a new low to be set. A substantial rally ensues in which the strength of the bears is in question. This indecision and lack of stability is enforced when the third day opens lower. Stability arrives with a small white body on the third day. If, on the fourth day, price rises to new highs, a reversal of trend has been confirmed.
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The market is moving strongly upward. This move is extended further by another day that gaps even more in the direction of the trend. The third day opens well into the body of the second day, then completely fills the gap. This gap-closing move should be looked upon as supporting for the current uptrend. Gaps normally provide excellent support and/or resistance points when considered after a reasonable period of time. Because this gap is filled within one day, some other considerations should be made. If this is the first gap of a move, then the reaction (third day) can be considered as profit taking. Upside Tasuki Gap
The psychology behind a Tasuki Gap is quite simple: Go with the trend of the gap. The correction day (the third day) did not fill the gap and the previous trend should continue. This is looked upon as temporary profit taking. The Japanese widely follow gaps (windows). Therefore, the fact that the gap does not get filled or closed means that the previous trend should continue.
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Like most of the three day star patterns, the scenarios are similar. The primary difference is that the star (second day) can reflect greater deterioration in the prior trend, depending on whether it gaps, is a Doji, and so on. Advance Block
The Advance Block pattern is a derivative of the Three White Soldiers. However, it must occur in an uptrend, whereas the Three White Soldiers pattern must occur in a downtrend. Unlike the Three White Soldiers, the second and third days of the Advance Block show weakness. Belt Hold
The market is trending when a significant gap in the direction of trend occurs on the open. From that point, the market never looks back:
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It is important to realize what is being accomplished here. The trend has accelerated with a big gap and then starts to fizzle, but it still moves in the same direction. The slow deterioration of the trend is quite evident from this pattern. Finally, a burst in the opposite direction completely recovers the previous three days' price action. What causes the reversal implication is that the gap has not been filled. A short-term reversal has taken place. Dark Cloud Cover
The market is an uptrend. Typical in an uptrend, a long white candlestick is formed. The next day the market gaps higher on the opening, however, that is all that is remaining to the uptrend. The day after, the market drops to close well into the body of the white day, in fact, below its midpoint. Anyone who was bullish would certainly have to rethink their strategy with this type of action. Like the Piercing Line, a significant reversal of trend has occurred.
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This pattern exhibits a weakness similar to the Advance Block pattern in that it gets weak in a short period of time. The difference is that the weakness occurs all at once on the third day. The Deliberation pattern occurs after a sustained upward move and shows that trends cannot last forever. As with the Advance Block, defining the deterioration of the trend can be difficult. Downside Gap Three Methods
The market is moving strongly downward. This move is extended further by another day that gaps even more in the direction of the trend. The third day opens well into the body of the second day, then completely fills the gap. This gap-closing move should be looked upon as supporting for the current uptrend. Gaps normally provide excellent support and/or resistance points when considered after a reasonable period of time. Because this gap is filled within one day, some other considerations should be made. If this is the first gap of a move, then the reaction (third day) can be considered as profit taking.
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The psychology behind a Tasuki Gap is quite simple: Go with the trend of the gap. The correction day (the third day) did not fill the gap and the previous trend should continue. This is looked upon as temporary profit taking. The Japanese widely follow gaps (windows). Therefore, the fact that the gap does not get filled or closed means that the previous trend should continue. Engulfing (bearish)
An uptrend is in place when a small white body day occurs with not much volume. The next day, prices open at new highs and then quickly sell off. The sell-off is sustained by high volume and finally closes below the open of the previous day. Emotionally, the uptrend has been damaged. If the next third) days prices remain lower, a major reversal of the uptrend has occurred.
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An uptrend has been in place which is assisted by a long white candlestick. There is little doubt about the uptrend continuing with this type of action. The next day prices gap higher on the open, trade within a small range and close near their open. This small body shows the beginning of indecision. The next day the prices gap lower on the open and then close still lower. A significant reversal of trend has occurred. Evening Doji Star
The psychology behind this pattern is similar to that of the Evening star, except that the Doji Star is more of a shock to the previous trend and, therefore, more significant.
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The Falling Three Methods pattern is considered a rest from trading. The psychology behind a move like this is that some doubt creeps in about the ability of the trend to continue. This doubt increases as the small-range reaction days take place. However, once the bears see that a new high cannot be made, the bearishness is resumed and new lows are set quickly. Hanging Man
For the Hanging Man, the market is considered bullish because of the uptrend. In order for the hanging man to appear, the price action for the day must trade much lower than where it opened, then rally to close near the high. This is what causes the long lower shadow which shows how the market just might begin a sell-off. If the market opens lower the next day, there would be many participants with long positions that would want to look for an opportunity to sell. Steve Nison claims that a confirmation that the hanging man is bearish might be that the body is black and the next day opens lower.
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An uptrend is in place and is perpetuated with a long white day and high volume. The next day, prices open lower and stay in a small range throughout the day, closing even lower, but still within the previous day's body. In view of this sudden deterioration of trend, traders should become concerned about the strength of this market, especially if volume is light. It certainly appears that the trend is about to change. Confirmation on the third day would be a lower close. Harami Cross
The Harami Cross starts out the same as that for the basic Harami pattern. A trend has been in place when, all of a sudden, the market gyrates throughout a day without exceeding the body range of the previous day. What is worse, the market closes at the same price as it opened. Volume of this a Doji day also dries up, reflecting the complete lack of decision of traders. A significant reversal of trend has occurred.
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This pattern resembles a panic selling that should cause additional downside action. Each day's close sets a benchmark for opening prices the next trading day. There is a total absence of buying power in this pattern. In Neck
The scenario is almost identical to the On Neck Line, except that the downtrend may not continue quite as abruptly because of the somewhat higher close. Long Legged Doji
The Long Legged Doji has long upper and lower shadows with the open and the close very close or the same. This pattern reflects the indecision of buyers and sellers. The
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The Low Price Gapping Play is the bearish counterpart of the High Price Gapping Play, and leads a renewed fall out of a stalled downtrend. The pattern this forms is a downside window from a lowprice congestion band. After a sharp decline the market consolidates via a series of real small bodies near the recent lows. If prices gap under this consolidation it is a sell signal. Meeting Lines
There exists an almost opposite relationship for the bearish Meeting Line relative to the Dark Cloud Cover pattern. The bearish Meeting Line opens at a new high and then closes at the same close of the previous day, while the Dark Cloud Cover pattern drops to below the midpoint.
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The On Neck Line usually appears during a decline. Bearishness is increased with the long black first day. The market gaps down on the second day, but cannot continue the downtrend. As the market rallies, it is stopped at the previous day's low price. This must be uncomfortable for the bottom fishers who go into the market that day. The downtrend should continue shortly. Separating Lines
While the market is in a downtrend, the forming of a long white body should be cause for concern for the bears, since this shows signs of a possible rally. However, the next day opens much lower, in fact, it opens at the previous white days opening price. Prices then move lower for the rest of the day and close lower, which suggests that the prior downtrend should continue.
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During an uptrend, the market gaps open, rallies to a new high, and then closes near its low. This action, following a gap up, can only be considered as bearish. Certainly, it would cause some concern to any bulls who have profits. Side By Side White Lines
A downtrend is further enhanced with a long black candle line followed by a large downward gap open on the next day. The market trades higher all day, but not high enough to close the gap. The third day opens lower, at about the same open as the second day. Because of the resistance to further downside action, shorts are covered, causing the third day also to rally and close higher, but again not high enough to close the gap. If enough short covering was accomplished and the rally attempt was not very convincing, the downtrend should continue.
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The market is either approaching a top or has been at a high level for some time. A decisive trend move to the downside is made with a long black day. The next two days are accompanied by further erosion in prices caused by much selling and profit taking. This type of price action has to take its toll on the bullish mentality. Three Inside Down
This pattern, being a confirmation for the Bearish Harami, can only show the success of the forecast. The Bearish Three Inside Down is a confirmation pattern for the Bearish Harami. Its pattern is defined by the first two days of the three day pattern forming a Bearish Harami, and the third day giving support to the suggested reversal of the Harami, by being a black candle closing with a new low for the three days.
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The market has continued in its trend, aided by the recent Three Black Crows pattern. The fourth day opens in the direction of the trend, but profit taking or short covering causes the market to move strongly in the opposite direction. This action causes considerable soul searching, but remember that this move completely eradicated the previous three days. This surely dried up the short-term reversal sentiment and the trend should continue in its previous direction. Three Outside Down
These patterns, representing the confirmation of the Bearish Engulfing pattern, can only show the success of the forecast. Thrusting
Much like the On Neck and In Neck Lines, the Thrusting Line represents a failure to rally in a down market. Because of this failure,
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The market has probably been in an uptrend for a long time. With the trend starting to show weakness, bodies probably are becoming smaller. The first Doji would cause considerable concern. The second Doji would indicate that there was no direction left in the market. Finally, the third Doji would put the last nail in the coffin of the trend. This is essentially because this pattern indicates too much indecision, and everyone with any conviction would be reversing positions. Two Crows
The market has had an extended up move. A gap higher followed by a lower close for the second day shows that there is some weakness in the rally. The third day opens higher, but not above the open of the previous day, and then sells off. The sell-off closes well into the body of the first day. This action fills the gap after only the second day. The bullishness has to be eroded quickly.
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Like the beginning of most bearish reversal patterns a white body day occurs in an uptrend. The next day opens with a higher gap, fails to rally and closes lower forming a black day. This is not too worrisome because it still did not get lower than the first days close. On the third day prices gap to a higher open and then drop to close lower than the previous days close. This closing price, however, is still above the close of the white first day. The bullishness is bound to subside.
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Probably the most incorrectly interpreted patterns, it is critical that volume peaks with the left shoulder, and drops at the head and is very low at the right shoulder. The price target will be measured from the break of the neckline and should equal the height of the head to the neckline.
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A very fast move follows these patterns, so theyre worth paying attention to. Wedges tend to at least test the initiation of the pattern.
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The Ascending Triangle is a common pattern, denoted by higher lows and tests of a resistance level. The price target is measured from the break of resistance and should equal the height of the pattern.
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The Descending Triangle is a bearish continuation pattern, denoted by lower highs and tests of a support level. The price target is measured from the break of support and should equal the height of the pattern.
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The Symmetrical Triangle is denoted by higher lows and lower highs creating a downtrend resistance level. The price target is measured from the break of resistance and should equal the height of the pattern.
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Flags are denoted by a declining channel following an uptrend or a rising channel following a downtrend. The price target is measured from the break of trend line resistance in the bull flag (or trend line support in a downtrend) and should equal the height of the pattern. Sometimes you can get a symmetrical measured move equal to the move prior to the pattern if the pattern doesnt retrace more than 38% of the previous move.
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The Rectangle Patter is denoted by a sideways channel with equal support and resistance. The price target is measured from the break of support or resistance and should equal the height of the pattern.
As you can see, patterns are not too complicated and your ability to recognize them will grow overtime as you gain experience in the market. One thing to remember is that if the pattern is widely publicized, the likelihood of it applying will be very low. This will come with experience. One can only guess as to why this happens. And why it happens is not important. Perhaps traders recognize a bearish pattern and position short. The positioning of a large population of traders (and hedge funds) in one direction makes it more likely that the market will move in the other direction. When the crowd leans to the left, your job is to recognize it and lean to the right. Good Trading!
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