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Water Future
Copyright © June 2009 by Food & Water Watch. All rights reserved. This report can be viewed or downloaded at
www.foodandwaterwatch.org.
Sustaining Our Water Future
A Review of the Marin Municipal Water District’s Alternatives
to Improve Water Supply Reliability
Table of Contents
iv Letter from Food & Water Watch
v Abbreviations, Acronyms and Definitions
vi Executive Summary, Recommendations and Conclusions
50 Endnotes
Letter from Food & Water Watch
In February 2009, Food & Water Watch released a report on desalination entitled Ocean of Problems, in
which we outlined the growing threat of desalination to consumers and our coastal environments. Throughout
California more than 20 facilities are being considered and other states from New York to Florida are moving in
the same direction. As desalination is expensive, polluting, energy-intensive and in most cases unnecessary, it
should be the water supply option of last resort.
This report provides specific water solutions that are locally based, cost-effective and environmentally sound.
While this report is about Marin County, our hope is that the smart water solutions it recommends will provide
a roadmap for other communities in California and beyond — that it will provide a framework for thinking
about water and our natural environment that stands in contrast to costly industrial projects like desalination.
Similar to other proposed desalination facilities, the Marin Municipal Water District’s (MMWD) proposed
facility is unnecessary, energy intensive, expensive and could further degrade the San Francisco Bay. This
report offers smart water solutions that include replacing inefficient fixtures, improving landscape irrigation,
plugging system leaks and enhancing reservoir operation. These efficiency and waste prevention measures
would continue to provide Marin County with a reliable water supply.
We are proud to be working with Marin citizens, elected officials, community-based organizations and
environmental groups to advance these measures and oppose desalination. While we were disappointed that
the environmental review of the desalination plant downplayed the potential for conservation and the adverse
effects on the environment, we look forward to working with MMWD staff and board members who share our
goals of finding solutions that are in the public interest.
There is no doubt that in the coming years, especially in the West, water scarcity will be an increasingly
significant issue. We must work collectively to address this problem by first preventing waste and promoting
efficiency, not expensive and energy intensive projects that will ultimately cost consumers and the
environment.
Sincerely,
Wenonah Hauter
Executive Director
Food & Water Watch
However, by assuming normal year demand equates to just the occasional highest years of careless and wasteful water
use that typically occur after a series of very wet years, modified with a modest amount of long-term conservation,
MMWD overestimates demand. According to MMWD records, total water production from 1993 to 2008, years with
no rationing to restrict water use, averaged 29,943 afy. Total water production during the last four calendar years
(2005-08), with no rationing in place, averaged 29,718 afy. This is well below the normal year demand of 31,700 afy
indicated by MMWD.
The existing supply deficit is about 1,300 afy, which is about 2,000 afy less than indicated in MMWD public infor-
mation materials. If we accept the assumption that in the absence of serious new water conservation programs, new
growth in the service area through 2025 will increase demand another 3,400 afy, the result is a supply deficit of 4,700
afy.
However, whether one accepts the recent average year demand of 29,700 afy or MMWD’s suggested normal year
demand of 31,700 afy as the basis of supply planning, a package of six options to improve local water management and
increase conservation recommended in this report can provide a cost-effective and environmentally friendly solution
to providing long-term supply reliability.
In 1991, during a series of drought years, MMWD voters defeated Measure W, an $80 million bond measure to con-
struct an enlarged pipeline for increasing Russian River water imports. However, Measure V, a $37.5 million bond
measure to fund a five-phase plan, was adopted by voters in 1992. The five-phase plan was based on increased water
conservation and recycling first, and facility improvements for increased Russian River supply only on an as-needed
basis. As part of an agreement with local community organizations for support of Measure V, a new and ongoing
citizens advisory committee was formed. The new committee was to provide input and guidance to MMWD on the
development of new water conservation programs and help define when as-needed trigger points were reached that
would require phasing in of new Russian River facilities and supply.
Although MMWD now has contracts with the Sonoma County Water Agency for increased deliveries of Russian River
water, the actual delivery of additional water is seriously constrained. This includes limited pipeline and facilities ca-
pacity since some of the facilities considered with Measure V were never constructed. But a more important constraint
is now the unresolved environmental problems on the Russian River, and the Eel River diversions into the Russian
River. Resolution of the environmental problems and improved environmental health for both rivers should occur
before considering importation of additional water from the Russian River.
The proposal for a desalination facility in Marin is very controversial, with residents voicing opposition based on
questions over the real need, the high cost, concerns about water quality, and the associated energy use and negative
environmental impacts. The proposed 5 MGD to 15 MGD expandable facility would increase the available water sup-
ply from 19.3 percent to 500 percent depending on operation scheme, compared to an existing, but overestimated, 10
percent supply deficit identified in District planning documents. Average annual MMWD energy use would increase
from 43.4 percent to 124.3 percent, and annual use could peak as high as a 295.8 percent increase with a 15 MGD
facility run at full capacity.
Under the MMWD proposed operational scheme, the marginal cost of desalination ranges from about $3,600 to
$4,400 per acre-foot for a 5 MGD facility and $2,900 to $3,540 per acre-foot for a 10 MGD facility. Due to the higher
capital and operational cost, and not including future escalating operational cost, a 10 MGD facility will increase
MMWD overall revenue need about 23 percent and a 5 MGD facility will increase overall revenue need about 14 per-
cent.
Water Conservation
MMWD underestimates the potential for increasing cost-effective water conservation. During the last decade, MMWD
fell well behind the conservation goals in their 1994 conservation master plan and the implementation schedule for
some key water conservation best management practices. MMWD also fell behind more conservation oriented water
agencies in California.
Recommended Solution
Based on a review of MMWD and water industry documents and records, interviews of MMWD and other water
agency staff and water experts, and analysis of a range of options, this report recommends the following package.
Note that the package of six options will improve system yield and reduce demand. The package provides a combined
benefit of 7,950 afy. This is 1,250 afy more than the 6,700 afy MMWD indicates is needed. It is 3,250 afy more than
the actual existing and projected supply deficit in 2025. This provides a substantial contingency if any of the measures
underperform.
It is also worth noting that many additional conservation measures exist in addition to this list which are sensible and
cost-effective for MMWD to implement. These include swimming pool and spa conservation, improved cooling tower
efficiency, improved dishwashing machine technology, etc. The conservation items above are really just the measures
with the largest individual savings and additional measures would provide additional cost-effective savings. Also, two
potential future measures noted above may provide an additional 1,000 to 2,000+ afy of future supply and water sav-
ings benefits.
Each option in the recommended package is more thor- Table ES-1: Marginal Cost Comparison
oughly discussed in subsequent sections of this report. 5000 Recommended options
Desalination
Table ES-1 at right provides a marginal cost comparison of
the various alternatives evaluated in this report. 3000
Graywater - High
ETo Controllers
Landscape - High
Recent public information presentations by MMWD indicate that the conservation programs would require a substan-
tial additional customer investment of $77 million and that this may make them more costly compared to desalina-
tion. This is misleading. The combined utility and customer marginal cost of all the proposed conservation programs
in the MMWD 2007 Conservation Master Plan is $1,111 per acre-foot.
More importantly, the financial incentives for the conservation measures are designed primarily to persuade custom-
ers to make a more efficient choice when replacing or servicing their water using features and fixtures. In most cases,
the customers will be faced with these replacement costs regardless of the conservation incentive program or desalina-
tion project. If customers utilize the conservation incentive programs (which are much less costly than a desalination
project) and make more efficient choices for their projects, they will avoid the cost of a desalination project on top
of the cost of their individual projects. They will also own upgraded assets for their homes and businesses and enjoy
long-term cost savings. By all well accepted economic measures, the conservation programs are much less costly from
the perspective of the individual customers, the water agency, and the community perspective.
2. Reevaluate the acceptable depth and frequency of rationing with a reestablished citizens advisory committee.
3. Develop a comprehensive, coherent water conservation master plan based on desalination marginal costs as the
measurement point for cost-effective water conservation programs.
4. Conduct a comprehensive urban landscape analysis using GIS and on-site surveys to determine the state of existing
landscape water use and shape a new landscape water conservation program.
5. Conduct a comprehensive district-wide groundwater study that also evaluates the integration of cisterns, rain gar-
dens, and flood management with groundwater recharge and management.
6. Conduct comprehensive reservoir reoperation study to identify optimum management schemes to increase yield in
an environmentally friendly manner.
7. Consider the price elasticity impact on demand as MMWD plans present and potential future rate increases to pro-
vide adequate revenue for a proposed desalination facility.
Conclusion
By assuming normal year demand equates to careless and wasteful water use after a series of very wet years, MMWD
overestimates existing average year demand by 2,000 afy. With a policy to limit rationing to 25 percent of wasteful
year water use in drought of record conditions, MMWD also underestimates demand elasticity and customer willing-
ness to conserve during serious drought events. Well-designed, long-term water conservation programs better prepare
customers to use considerably less water during future drought events.
MMWD underestimates the potential for increasing cost-effective water conservation. The 2007 water conserva-
tion master plan uses a flawed cost-benefit marginal cost comparison of $1,631 per acre-foot rather than the $2,900
- $4,400 per acre-foot that desalination is expected to cost. Thus, the plan under-recognizes the cost-effectiveness of
potential conservation measures. Furthermore, the plan reduces the goals of some core conservation programs from
even the rate achieved in recent years.
Through numerous mechanisms, MMWD customers have voiced a strong and consistent preference for the most envi-
ronmentally friendly solution to improved water supply reliability. Improved water conservation programs combined
with an improved distribution system and reservoir management along with a modest increase in water recycling can
provide a long-term solution to improving water supply reliability. This can be done at much lower cost compared to a
desalination facility and is the most environmentally friendly solution.
T he Marin Municipal Water District is located in the San Francisco Bay Area on
the north side of the Golden Gate Bridge across from San Francisco. MMWD
serves most of the population of Marin County and is primarily composed of single-
family residences, along with some multi-family, landscape, and light commercial
services. Presently, the population served is about 190,000, through about 61,000
service connections. Most of the population resides in the eastern corridor that
fronts San Francisco Bay. The District owns and manages a 21,250 acre watershed
situated on the western slopes of Mt. Tamalpais.1
The MMWD watershed and service area experiences
a Mediterranean climate with mild, dry summers and
Table 1: Population and Consumption Trends
cool, wet winters. Annual rainfall averages 52 inches
in MMWD Service Area5
on the watershed2 and about 30 inches on the populous
eastern corridor. However, there is much variation in Water Gallons/
the annual rainfall with numerous wet and dry peri- Year Population
Production Capita/Day
ods in the hydrologic record. The driest year on record 1940 48,000 3,989 74.2
was 1924, with 18 inches of rain.3 MMWD recorded 22 1950 78,000 9,207 105.4
inches of rainfall in 1976 and 25 inches in 1977, which 1960 124,000 19,344 139.3
comprises the 1976-77 drought of record.4 1970 168,000 32,530 172.9
1980 167,000 27,313 146.0
Water demand widely fluctuates based on wet or dry 1987 168,000 32,837 174.5
year conditions. It now averages less than 30,000 afy, 1990 170,000 29,122 152.9
but peaked at about 32,500 afy in 1970 and 1987. About 1995 176,000 28,350 143.8
two-thirds of water is used indoors, and one-third used 2000 184,122 31,165 150.4
for landscape irrigation. MMWD manages its own 2004 184,818 32,478 152.6
watershed, which accounts for the majority of its water 2008 190,000 29,975 144.4
supply. However, arrangements were made beginning in
the 1970s to import some water from the Russian River. 1980s, wasteful and careless use again drove consumption
The Russian River imports now account for up to 25 per- to a high level peak in 1986-87. Another, less severe series
cent of the water supply. Recycled water provides about of drought years began with the 1987-88 rainfall season.
2.2 percent or 650 afy. In response, consumption again dramatically drops, and
rebounds during subsequent wet years. But the rebound of
Table 1 on the previous page and Figure 1 below summa- the 1990s is less pronounced due to the implementation of
rize population and consumption trends since 1940. more comprehensive and durable long-term conservation
efforts compared to the 1976-77 drought.
Figure 1 shows the dramatic reduction in use that occurred
in the 1976-77 drought. It also shows consumption quickly Table 2 below provides a more detailed breakdown of
rebounding after the drought, and then leveling off for sev- consumption, production and unaccounted use since
eral years at a level well below the pre-drought high. Then, 1990. Note that in the last four years, 2005 – 2008, years
as a series of very wet El Nino years occurred in the early with no rationing in place, total production was less than
30,000 each year.
Figure 1: Per Capita Demand6
200 As demonstrated in the above data sets, water use has
remarkable elasticity. The elasticity is based on many
factors discussed in this report, but to a large extent on
Gallons Per Capita Per Day
1971-72
1999-00
1965-66
1979-80
1993-94
1975-76
1989-90
1969-70
1997-98
1963-64
1977-78
1991-92
1959-60
1973-74
1987-88
1967-68
1983-84
2005-06
1985-86
1995-96
2003-04
realities in California.
MMWD points to an existing supply deficit of about • Ongoing water conservation programs better
3,300 afy, the difference between 31,700 afy and opera- prepare water users to conserve additional water
tional yield of 28,400.10 However, since the existing aver- in future droughts.
age year demand is about 29,700 afy, the present supply
deficit is overestimated and is actually about 2,000 afy California has a Mediterranean climate of warm, dry win-
less or about 1,300 afy. ters and cool, wet winters, but it experiences considerable
variation in winter rainfall from year to year. Marin’s
Existing average year demand: 29,700 afy rainfall records document three significant drought
Existing operational yield: 28,400 afy events since 1879. A six-year drought in the 1930s, an-
Existing supply deficit: 1,300 afy other six-year drought in the late 1980s through the early
1990s, and the most extreme event, the drought of record
in 1976-77.11
used for landscaping. A three-person household would non-efficient household with average water use behavior.
have 18 extra gallons per day, and if combined with With an interior average daily water use of about 95 gal-
graywater, up to 113 extra gallons per day. Note that this lons per capita, some water conserving behavior modifi-
example is with average water use behavior. cation will be needed to stay within either a 70 gallon or
63.5 gallon per day allotment.
Using the same data sources as above, Table 7 evaluates
water use in a house with efficient fixtures and adopting Table 9 evaluates the interior water use of a person in a
water conserving practices during a drought. household with non-efficient fixtures adopting conserv-
ing behavior during a drought. After adopting conserving
As shown in Table 7 above, a person in an efficiently behavior, this person is using about 50 gallons per day
equipped household that adopts conserving practices and producing about 29 gallons per day of graywater.
during a serious drought uses about 31 gallons per day. Although living in a house with non-conserving fixtures,
With a 70 gallons per day allotment, this person would with the adoption of conserving behavior this person has
have 39 extra gallons, and up to an additional 18 gallons extra water under both the 70 gallons per day and the
if capturing graywater for a potential total of 57 extra gal- 63.5 gallons per day rationing allotment. Combined with
lons per day. extra water from other household members with conserv-
ing behavior and the potential capturing of graywater, a
In the case of a daily per capita rationing allotment of three-person household may have as much as 147 extra
63.5 gallons in the year 2025, an extra 32.5 gallons per gallons per day with the 70 gallons per day rationing al-
day is available to each individual and could be combined lotment, and as much as 128 extra gallons per day with
with up to 18 gallons per day of graywater. In both ration- the 63.5 gallons per day ration allotment.
ing allotment cases, the amount of extra water per day
for landscaping or other uses increases with additional As is demonstrated by this analysis, most households
household members. Even with the 46 gallons per person equipped with water efficient technologies would be well
per day rationing allotment during the 1976-77 drought, prepared to remain within their rationing allotments in
a person living in an efficiently equipped house and using the 30 percent rationing allotment in both the present day
water conserving practices will have an extra 15 gallons and in the year 2025. With the adoption of water conserv-
per day and have the potential to use 18 additional gal- ing behavior, considerable extra water would be available
lons of graywater per day. for discretionary or landscape water use. And if they had
already converted to a drought tolerant landscape, they
Table 8 evaluates the interior water use of a person in a would probably lose little landscaping to the drought.
While nobody looks forward to the next inevitable 16 Shower 4 Minutes 4 Gal/min
drought, it appears that given modern efficient technol- 3 Personal Cleaning 3 Cleanings 1 gal/cleaning
ogy, residents with efficient fixtures and behavior will be 6 Cooking 3 Meal 2 gal/meal
well prepared for weathering such future events. As non- 1 Drinking Day 1 gal/day
conservers respond to drought conditions and adopt ef- 36 Subtotal – Daily
ficient technologies and conserving behaviors, additional
demand elasticity will result. This analysis demonstrates Weekly Items
that the willingness of MMWD customers to accept 15 Dishwasher 1 Loads 15 gal/load
infrequent water supply shortage during serious drought 80 Clothes Washer 2 Loads 40 gal/load
conditions is reasonable. The MMWD board should reex- 2 House Cleaning 1 Cleanings 2 gal/cleaning
amine this issue and work to align water supply planning 97 Subtotal – Weekly
and District code with clearly voiced customer preference
of reducing use in serous drought over expensive and 49.9 Daily Average
environmentally risky new supply projects.
28.9 Graywater production/person/day
MMWD has numerous instruments for accurately and • 78 percent of single-family, 55 percent of multi-
quantitatively gauging customer viewpoints regarding family, and 61 percent of nonresidential site
water management options and policies. These include survey respondents said they would be interested
citizen comments at board meetings, citizen advisory in participating in financial retrofit programs.
committees, focus groups, letters to local papers, and cus- An additional 15 percent to 20 percent said they
tomer opinion surveys. While all are useful, many reflect would need more information.
a small sample size and may not entirely represent the
broader customer base. Well-designed, randomly select- • 69 percent of respondents said MMWD should
ed customer surveys are a reliable indicator of attitudes offer financial incentive programs, only 18 per-
and views of the general population. Interestingly, in cent opposed financial incentive programs.
The questions in Figure 6 above probe support for in- Late Ballot Early Ballot
creased conservation and reduced landscape irrigation in
what many would find to be considerably more alarming 51
52
terms, such as “let their landscape die at times,” “increase
the rates charged” and “more frequent and deeper water 29
21
rationing.” Despite the alarming language, nearly 70
percent supported increased conservation, with over 40 17
23
percent strongly supporting.
1
2
Figure 7 at right is a late ballot question probing whether
the increasingly alarming and dire-sounding questions 2
2
regarding water shortages and conservation program
0 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
change respondent views regarding conservation. The
Source: Charleston Research Company.
presence of this question indicates that the opinion
survey was designed partly to “educate” respondents on
some of the “realities” of new water options. Or, more port for taking more water from the Russian River. One
directly stated, it appears designed to persuade respon- wonders what the late ballot responses would have been
dents to increase support for desalination as an alterna- if asked a series of alarming and dire-sounding questions
tive, rather than simply document existing opinions and about the desalination and Russian River options such as:
attitudes. Nonetheless, the late ballot responses reflect
Do you favor building a desalination plant that will
steadfast support for water conservation as the heavily
contribute to global warming and result in signifi-
favored solution to improving water supply reliability.
cantly increased water costs, while risking the extinc-
While the support for desalination increased relative to tion of some San Francisco Bay marine life so that
the Russian River option, the support for water conserva- people can flush more water down inefficient toilets,
tion only decreased 1 percent (which is within the survey irrigate side walks and storm drains, and irrigate
sampling error) and remains almost twice the level of water thirsty landscapes during infrequent serious
support for desalination and over twice the level of sup- drought events?
21 Other people/somewhat
With the completion of the smaller pipeline connection
Other people/strongly NMWD, the MMWD Board grappled with the very con-
tentious decision of whether to repeal a moratorium on
39 Net: Least new service connections when the 1976-77 drought began
environmental and rationing was instituted.55 Both rationing and the
harm 60%
Source: Charleston Research Company.
Table 15: Marginal Cost of Supply under Proposed Operational Scheme with 15 Percent
Construction Contingency and 3 percent Annual Cost Escalator
Adj. for Adj. for
Avg Ann Op Avg Annual
Cap Cost Increased Env. Carbon Avg
Facility cost 23 Yrs + 2 Cap Cost, Total Avg Avg Ann
w/15 Monitoring Offset Marginal
Capacity Yrs, 3 percent 30 yrs at 5 Ann Cost Production
percent (with 3 (with 3 Cost/AF
Esc percent
percent) percent)
5 MGD 111,229,417 5,877,175 145,837 58,621 7,235,633 13,317,266 3,024 $4,404
10 MGD 173,393,213 9,901,228 145,837 110,259 11,279,477 21,436,801 6,048 $3,544
servation programs, and evaluates the future potential was used to determine and screen the cost-effectiveness
for conservation program given appropriately aggres- of new conservation measures.113 This is far below the
sive goals.110 The report indicates 5,000 to 8,000 afy desalination marginal cost estimate of $2,900 to $4,400
of potential through increased water conservation and per acre-foot. In addition, some of the water conserva-
improved water management.111 tion measures were found to have a marginal cost much
higher than generally accepted cost established by other
In a further step, the 2007 Water Conservation Master credible analysis. For example, large landscape surveys in
Plan was developed.112 It includes a considerable amount the 2007 Water Conservation Master Plan were found to
of analysis and discussion of conservation options. have a marginal cost of $2,565 per acre-foot.114 The cost
However, rather than a well organized, comprehensive, assumptions in the analysis are not sufficiently docu-
and coherent analysis of water conservation options, the mented to review the calculations. However, in the 2006
2007 Water Conservation Master Plan is a document that CALFED Water Use Efficiency Comprehensive Evalua-
appears to be haphazardly cobbled together from numer- tion, where the cost assumptions are well documented,
ous previous reports and more narrowly focused analy- the marginal cost for large landscape surveys was deter-
ses. As a result, it is fairly incomprehensible for readers mined to be $210.115
attempting to understand the present state of conserva-
tion programs and the basis for water conservation costs, Figure 9 above provides a list of potential conservation
goals, and projected water savings for the 2025 planning measures and water conservation Best Management
horizon. Practices from the CALFED study along with the mar-
ginal costs. The assumptions behind the cost analyses are
Furthermore, the implementation goals for some core well documented in the study.
conservation measures are weaker than past goals or
activity levels for many measures in recent years. The All of these measures are appropriate for the MMWD
problem of weakened goals will be further noted in service area and are clearly much more cost effective
subsequent sections of this report. In another serious compared to the cost of desalination. Yet many of these
flaw, a marginal cost for new water supply of $1,631 are not found in the MMWD 2007 Water Conservation
Master Plan or have poorly documented costs that are • expected water savings with the identified conser-
dramatically higher than the CALFED analysis. vation measures and assumptions for generating
the savings estimates
Given its inherent flaws, it is difficult to understand how
the 2007 Water Conservation Master Plan can provide • proposed bundling of measures into programs
board members with confidence that water conservation and marketing and delivery mechanisms of the
programs can adequately address MMWD’s perceived programs
supply deficit. This is unfortunate, since it appears that
MMWD has dedicated water conservation staff and the • opportunities to partner with local agencies and
senior staff, board and community support for water con- community groups to deliver water conservation
servation appears to be as high or higher than has often measures and programs
been the case in the past.
• mechanisms to monitor and track implementa-
In order to adequately plan, communicate and imple- tion progress and resultant water savings
ment a truly aggressive, industry leading conservation
program, a more coherent planning document with ap- • credible marginal cost comparisons of water con-
propriately aggressive implementation goals is needed. servation programs and new supply options using
The document should organize and define the following the marginal cost estimates for desalination
information:
In order to provide a sound planning basis for this docu-
• past water conservation program performance ment, an update to the water conservation baseline study
is needed. This would examine the following:
• present conditions in the service area as they
relate to conservation options • the measured penetration of past interior and
landscape conservation measures and programs
• specific conservation measures
• existing customer knowledge and attitudes re-
• planned annual implementation rates for specific garding the implementation of specific conserva-
measures and long-term penetration goals and tion measures and programs
how this compared to implementation in past
years • presently existing ornamental landscape char-
acteristics, including quantity of irrigated land-
scaping, quantity of turf area and high water use
Answers to these questions are critical in designing a Furthermore, in a public presentation on April 28, 2009,
new generation of effective interior and landscape con- MMWD’s staff noted that 40 percent of the water conser-
servation programs. But at this point, the answers are vation budget is for financial incentives.121 This means that
highly speculative. Given MMWD’s proposed $44 million of the $44 million in projected conservation expenditures
commitment to water conservation in the years ahead,117 by MMWD, 40 percent of the $44 million, or $17.6 million
an adequate technical foundation for planning the con- will be returned directly to MMWD customer as financial
servation programs is needed. incentives. The remaining 60 percent of the $44 million
conservation budget, or $26.4 million, will be expendi-
The technology and resources available for conducting tures for program support such as staff and marketing.
this background research has greatly improved since the
1994 baseline study. The update should include the use If we make the (probably overestimated) assumption that
of modern GIS tools, including analysis of multi spectral 25 percent of the $77 million customer cost represents
aerial orthophotos to determine landscape composi- new expenditures triggered only by the incentive program,
tions and a ground truthing site visit of a representative this results in a $19.2 million customer cost. By adding
sample to verify findings and collect qualitative data on $19.2 million in new customer cost to the $26.4 million in
landscape irrigation management practices. This should MMWD expenditure not returned to customers as finan-
then be used along with GIS for monitoring and tracking cial incentives, the result is $45.6 million in conservation
and a citizens’ advisory committee that includes some program cost that must be borne by MMWD ratepayers.
members with landscape management expertise to help
develop, implement, and provide guidance to a serious On the other hand, if we consider the $111.2 million capi-
and long-term landscape and interior water use reduction tal cost of a 5 MGD desalination facility (see Table 15) am-
program. ortized for 30 years at 5 percent, the total capital cost with
financing is actually $217.1 million. If we add the annual
In an updated conservation plan, all the cost assumptions operating cost of $6.1 million (see Table 15) for 30 years
should be clearly documented to avoid potential confu- with a 3 percent annual escalation, this results in $182.4
sion or misleading interpretations. For example, recent million. Adding the financed capital cost of $217.1 with the
public information presentation by MMWD indicate that escalated 30-year operation cost of $182.4, the result is
the conservation programs in the 2007 Water Conser- $399.5 million cost to MMWD ratepayers over 30 years.
vation Master Plan would require MMWD investment
of $44 million and a substantial additional customer MMWD is projecting the above-noted conservation
investment of $77 million and that this may make them program costs and desalination program costs to provide
more costly compared to desalination.118 (Note that both similar amounts of water supply reliability improvement.
of these figures include a 3 percent annual cost escala- So if we double the $45.6 million conservation cost to
tor.119) This is highly misleading. First of all, the MMWD MMWD ratepayers to $91.2 million, or even triple the
2007 Conservation Master Plan actually found that the conservation costs $136.8 million, to provide sufficient
combined utility and customer marginal cost of all the increased conservation to completely avoid the need
proposed conservation programs in the plan is $1,111 per for desalination, the cost to MMWD ratepayers is still
acre-foot,120 which is far below the projected marginal dramatically less than the $399.5 million cost of desalina-
cost of desalinated water. tion. And this is the case without including the non-quan-
tified “externalities,” such as potential environmental
It is important to note that the financial incentives for costs or benefits.
conservation measures are generally designed to per-
suade customers to make more efficient choices when Of course, the reason economists use a marginal cost
replacing or servicing their water using features and analysis is to provide a simple result of comparable costs
fixtures. In most cases, probably well over 75 percent of for different program alternatives (see Table ES-1). By all
the cases, the customers will be faced with the costs of well accepted economic measures, cost-effective con-
replacing aging or malfunctioning water features regard- servation programs are much less costly than MMWD’s
less of the conservation incentive programs or desalina- desalination proposal from the perspective of the indi-
tion project. If customers are persuaded by the conserva- vidual customers, the water agency, and the community
tion incentive programs (which are much less costly than perspective. These issues need to be more accurately
a desalination project) to make more efficient choices articulated in an updated water conservation master plan.
Despite the public resistance to rate increases, price elas- As indicated in Table 17, the tiers incline steeply. This
ticity studies suggest that, for the most part, the cost of is generally considered a good driver for efficient water
water is too low for rate structures to provide an adequate use since customers with low water use will have much
stand-alone tool for driving full efficiency in use. Elastic- lower bills than customers with high water use. However,
ity studies generally indicate that for a 10 percent in- customers are billed on a bimonthly cycle, so it may be
crease in price, demand will decrease by about 2 percent two months before a price signal for high consumption
for single-family customers, 1 percent for multi-family
customers, 2.5 percent for commercial customers, and 2 Table 17: MMWD Tiered Rates124
percent to 5 percent for landscape irrigation.122 This has
the paradoxical effect that rate increases to pay for the Tier Rate per CCF
cost of new water supply projects actually help reduce 1 $2.81
the need for new supply by reducing water use. While 2 $5.62
water pricing alone is not enough to drive economically 3 $11.24
4 $16.86
the fall.”139 Also, a 2006 MMWD report notes that “wa- • ETo controllers for new or remodeled landscapes:
ter savings of 25-50 percent are routinely observed after $36 per acre-foot143
improvements are made to irrigation equipment and
operational practices.”140 • Landscape water budgets: $75 per acre-foot144
The University of California Cooperative Extension has • Residential landscape irrigation seminars: $197
developed an extensive list of plants in their Water Use per acre-foot145
Classification of Landscape Species and groups them in
the following categories:141 • Landscape surveys: $210 per acre-foot146
High 70 - 90% of ETo (includes turf grass • Residential landscape surveys: $442 per acre-
and other high-water-use plants) foot147
• By achieving a reduction in losses and leakage As shown in Table 18, in recent years, the unaccounted
of at least 4 percent from the existing average losses and leakage rate is higher than 10 percent, and av-
of over 10 percent, water savings of 1,200 afy or eraged close to 12 percent in the last four years. MMWD
more would be obtained at a marginal cost of staff note that the customer end use water meters typical
about $265 per acre-foot of saved water. run slow as they age and staff believes this may account
for a substantial portion of the unaccounted water use.176
Inaccurate meters undoubtedly account for some portion
MMWD reports an average distribution system unac- of the unaccounted use. The 20X2020 Agency Team is
counted loss rate of around 10 percent168 As noted in recommending a water meter maintenance program so
MMWD staff reports, for every one percent reduction that the inaccurancy rate does not exceed 2.5 percent.
in leakage, about 300 afy is saved.169 MMWD has over MMWD’s inaccuracy rate may be higher but the actual
900 miles of pipelines.170 According to MMWD staff rate is unknown. However, MMWD does have aging
The system of water facilities that includes dams and surface area per volume, some increase in yield may be
levees has contributed to California’s economic develop- obtained. Also, moving water from Nicasio Reservoir to
ment. It has also come at a cost that was not anticipated Kent Lake reservoirs to reduce spillage during moderately
and is now becoming better understood and recognized. high rainfall years, when Nicasio would spill but Kent
This is leading to calls from many researchers and public would not, can increase the system yield.182
interest groups to better manage and reoperate the sys-
tem using integrated watershed and floodplain manage- As is clear in the customer opinion surveys conducted
ment practices to provide necessary economic benefits by MMWD, most residents prefer to better manage and
while improving the environmental health of the system. make do with the existing water system rather than pur-
Resolving the inherent water management conflicts with sue large new supply projects. MMWD staff has recently
better integrated management practices will be a key is- developed a proposal for reservoir operation improve-
sue in addressing California’s water problems.181 ments.183 The proposal has three components. The first is
to modify the pump system to include one mile of floating
The Russian River portion of Marin’s water supply is sub- pipeline along with pumps and barges in Alpine Lake to
ject to many of these issues, but is not directly managed recover more water when the reservoirs are extremely
by MMWD. In the case of MMWD’s seven local reser- low. This will allow collecting some of the water remain-
voirs, management for flood control is not required as ing in low depressions in the reservoir. This additional
part of licensing agreements for the dams. Therefore, the water would be unavailable to the existing pump system
management of MMWD’s reservoirs is less complex. But and for stream flow releases. The second is to construct
operation schemes do affect the calculated water-supply an additional half-mile of pipe and outlet structure on
yield. The year-to-year management of the reservoirs also Kent Lake to capture more of the wet-season spillage
affects the actual year-to-year water supply. For example, from Nicasio Reservoir. The third is to upsize a pump
some reservoirs have a higher evaporation rate due to station in Corte Madera to allow better management of
higher surface area per volume than others. By moving reservoir water levels and optimize the use of water in the
water from high-evaporation reservoirs to Kent Lake, western reservoirs of Soulajule, Nicasio, and Kent Lake.
which has a relatively low evaporation rate due to less
Recommendation
Increase recycling by 250 afy, conduct GIS analysis of
potential satellite recycled facilities and work to expand
graywater use by MMWD customers as an alternative to
centralized water recycling.
Photo by StockXpert.
Years (1879-2008)