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Consumption Function
Determinant of consumption:-
These are related to psychological characteristics of human wants. These factor changes
more in long run rather than short run. These factors are;
a. Precaution motive – Every individual has a strong feeling to prepare for
unseen emergencies like sickness, accident, unemployment etc. So they
build up reserves for such emergencies.
b. Foresight motive – Every man has future needs. They need to save for old
age, educational needs of children, Marriages of daughters etc.
c. Motive for independence – Most of us have a strong desire to be
independent financially. So we tend to save by sacrificing present
consumption.
d. Standard of living – We always want to improve the standard of living for
which we reduce the consumption and save for future.
e. Status Motive – People feel socially upgraded if they are financially strong
more wealth means higher status or pride.
Multiplier concept is associated with R. F. Kahn. He said that whenever the government
takes up some public works this leads to employment opportunities in the economy
which is called a employment Multiplier. Later on, this concept was developed by
Keyens. He said this concept is based on a simple logic; one man’s expenditure is another
man’s source of income. So a small autonomous investment leads to multiple increase in
income.
Definition of Multiplier:- The ratio of change in National Income resulting from change
in autonomous investment .We assume that the investment here is autonomous
investment that is government investment. Multiplier says an initial autonomous
investment leads to multiple increase in income.
Consumption Function is the basis for Multiplier. Whenever the income increase the
consumption also increase. The increase in the demand needs an increase in the supply
and so that employment also increases therefore income increases.
If the MPC is 100% that is when the income increase, it leads to increase in consumption
by same amount. The Multiplier will be infinite. So when MPC = 1 Multiplier will be
infinite. This is because when consumption increase there is a increase in demand and so
increase in employment to increase the supply.
If the MPC is 0 that is an increase income has no increase in conception that means
people save the entire increase in income. The Multiplier will be 1.
That is when MPC = 0, K = 1
But in real life, MPC is always more than 0 and less than 1. So the Multiplier value will
be greater than 1 but less than infinity.
So the value of Multiplier is used by the following formula
To summarize the relation between MPC and Multiplier you have to remember three
points
>Higher MPC, K is stronger
>Lower MPC, K is weaker
>MPC = 0, K=1
> MPC = 1, K is infinite
Assumptions:
Significance of Multiplier: -
This concept is not just theoretically important but also has practical significance.
Investment Function
In the previous section, we discussed Consumption Function. We will now start the
second important concept that is investment. Investment here means capital expenditure
i.e. the expenditure on purchasing physical assets, machinery, equipments etc. Items that
helps to increase productive capacity and output.
Types of Investments.
1. Gross and Net investment- Gross is total value of productive assets created during a
given period say one year. It tells us the resources mobilized by the economy.
Depreciation is part of gross investment.
When we deduct amount of depreciation from gross investment we get net
investment. Net investment creates new productive capacity and employment
opportunity.
2. Private investment and Public investment- Investments made by private companies
and corporate comes under private investment. Investment made by Government
and departmental undertakings is called public investment.
In this figure IX-2.1(2) income is shown on x-axis and investment is shown on y-axis.
You can see that even when the income is zero, some amount of investment is made.
Induced investment increases with increase in income and decreases with the decrease in
income.
In this figure IX – 2.1(3) income is shown on x-axis and investment is shown on y-axis.
You can see when income increases the demand and consumption will increase and so the
investment to increase the production and supply and vice versa.
In this figure IX- 2.1(4) income is shown on x-axis and investment is shown on y-axis.
We can see the total investment in the above figure.
Total investment = Autonomous investment + Induced investment
1. Investment and rate of interest- Rate of interest is considered most important factor in
investment decisions. If the rate of interest increases, the investment will be low and
vice-versa. This was a view given by classical economists. They considered rate of
interest as the only factor determining investment.
2. Marginal Efficiency of Capital (MEC) – Any investment decision depends not only on
rate of interest but also whether or not the expected rate of returns on the investment
is greater than cost of borrowing the funds. In these two factors the MEC is an
important factor because MEC is the expected rate of returns from the investment. If
the returns expected are low then the investment is not profitable because in short run,
rate of interest is stable. In MEC, capital means the real productive assets. MEC
depends on expected rate of returns of a capital asset over its life time which is also
called Prospective Yield and the supply price of capital assets. Any business man will
weigh the prospective yield with the supply price before investing.
1. Prospective yield
2. Supply price.
2. Supply Price - The next important valuable is the supply price which is the present
value of capital asset.
To summaries the whole theory. We should remember these points to calculate
profit of interest.
The businessmen will decide whether to purchase on the marginal unit of capital by
comparing the prevailing rate of interest with the MEC.
• If MEC >Rate of interest, this additional investment will get profit and investment
is profitable.
• MEC < Rate of interest. The additional investment will get loss and investment is
not profitable.
• MEC = Rate of interest. There is neither gain nor loss from the investment that
means investment expenditure will come to halt.
There are some short term and some long term factors.
1. Expected demand for future:- If the demand is expected to increase ,the MEC will be
higher. If the businessmen feels that the demand will decrease in future, the
prospective yield will be low and so the MEC. So the change in expectation gives
sudden ups and downs in investment decisions.
2. Level of income:- When people experience gains through reduction in tax or gains
in bullish market, the businessmen become more optimistic as they know when
income increase ,the demand will increase and so the MEC is high and it is the other
way when there are huge losses.
4. Business expectation:- Investment is something which gives returns only in the future.
Any decision on investment depends on the return which the businessmen expects in
future. If the environment is optimistic that leads to more expectations in future.
Limitations of MEC:-
1. Investment done by the Government for social purpose has no connection with the
MEC.
2. Practically it is difficult to estimate MEC.
3. Whenever there is contractionary monetary policy the firms may not find funds even if
the projects or investments are profitable
4. Every time the businessmen do not necessarily go for loans. Sufficient funds are
gathered by the businessmen for some projects which are planned for a long time.
MEC depends on the businessmen’s expectations which increases due to invention and
goes down due to any threat to the returns on investment. It is also affected by the annual
spirit of the entrepreneur. That is why investments are not always calculations but also
irrational optimism. Business expectations are based on existing events and partly future
facts. The investment decision is not done on actual investment but on the future yields.
Therefore huge expenditure is required but actual returns starts later. These two types of
expectations short term and long terms are based on existing facts whereas long term
expectation is based on the future events.
The Multiplier and Acceleration Principle are parallel concepts. This principle is also
called Principle of Acceleration.
• Multiplier shows the effect of consumption on investment.
• Acceleration shows the effect of investment on consumption.
This is so because to produce the final goods, capital goods are also required. Therefore,
if you want to increase the final product, the capital goods which are inputs for these final
goods should also be increased. When consumption increases, the demand for factors of
production will also increases.
Acceleration measures the change in investment good industries as a result of change in
consumption goods industries
.
Eg. If there is an expenditure of Rs. 20 Cr. on consumption goods, it leads to an
investment of Rs.40 Cr in investment goods industries, then acceleration is 2.
Acceleration is usually more than 0.
We will now summarize the difference between Multiplier and acceleration.
• ‘K’ shows effect of change in investment on income and employment where as ‘a’
shows the effect of change in consumption on investment.
• ‘K’ depends on propensity to consume and acceleration depends on durability of
machine.
• ‘K’ depends on psychological factors, whereas acceleration depends on
technological factors.
3. Availability of resources :-when demand increase for capital goods that means
increase in production which again means more employment. So there should be
enough unemployed resources available. But only when the full employment level
is reached there is difficulty in expanding the production.
4. Nature of Demand: - The demand for consumption good should be more or less
permanent for acceleration principle to work because if the demand increase is
temporary, then that will not increase demand for capital goods as these goods are
expensive.