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The manufacturing sector posted a growth rate of 3.56 percent during the current fiscal year JulyMarch 2011-12 compared to 2.96 percent of the same period last year. A modest improvement was seen in Large Scale Manufacturing (LSM) in JulyMarch 2011-12 as the Quantum Index of
Box-1
The methodology to compute Quantum Index of Manufacturing (QIM) has been revised during the current fiscal year. This includes rebasing, addition of new industries and revision of weights. Important Changes can be gauged from the table below. Previous QIM Base Year 1999-00 Weight derived from the Census Manufacturing Industries (CMI) 2000-01 Rebased QIM Base Year 2005-06 Weight derived from the Census of Manufacturing Industries (CMI) 2005-06 using UN International Standard Industries Classification (ISIC) Rev 3.1 Cumulative weight of 70.332 percent for 112 items is being used for computation of QIM
of
Cumulative weight of 75.075 percent for 100 items is being used for computation of QIM
CMI 2005-06 Weights (%) 44.446 5.232 25.397 75.075 Sources MOIP/1 OCAC
/2
No of Items 35 11 54 100
No of Items 36 11 65 112
BOS/3 All
/1 /2
BOS/3 All
: Ministry of Industries and Production : Oil Companies Advisory Committee /3 : Bureau of Statistics (Provincial)
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Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 Statistics 65 items respectively have contributed in LSM growth as -0.26 percent, 0.75 percent and 0.55 percent.
The production data received from the Oil Companies Advisory Committee (OCAC) comprising of 11 items, Ministry of Industries and Production 36 items and the Provincial Bureau of
Fig 3.1: LSM Growth rates (Y-o-Y)
15.0 10.0
Growth rate
5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0 June-11 Oct-10 Feb-11 Oct-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Aug-11 Sept-10 May-11 Sept-11 Nov-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 Feb-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jul-10 July-11 Mar-12 Dec-10 Dec-11
The growth rate in Large Scale Manufacturing (LSM) has recovered, largely due to good performance among the sub categories such as food, beverages and tobacco, paper and board, textile, non-metallic mineral products, pharmaceutical and leather products compared to negative growth seen during the second quarter of the current fiscal year. The Year to Year positive growth during the start of current fiscal year (JulySep) can be partially attributed to export demand which has increased the production in the short run. Dismal performance was seen in the winter season (Oct-Dec) which was due to persistent gas shortages. Moreover, agro-based industries which were recovering from the impact of the floods of 2010, was again hit by another natural calamity in the form of heavy rains in Sindh during August 2011. The cotton crop is most vulnerable to floods and almost all major sugarcane producing districts were affected but losses to sugarcane were lower as the crop is relatively resilient to flooding. The floods also damaged industrial supply networks and rural demand and this coupled with severe power and natural gas shortages led to a number of
key industries (textile, fertilizer, steel, glass etc) not operating at expected levels. LSM production began to revive in December 2011 as the impact of flood began to subside. A remarkable growth of 6.0 percent was witnessed in Feb-2012. This could also be attributed to the beneficial effect of specific policies on large scale industry. Effective fiscal policy helped in revitalizing the growth to some extent due to reduction in duties on beverages, automobiles, cement and air conditioners. This step was necessitated in view of the costly input prices and the need to absorb the volatility in the production of these industries. In addition, the growth in agrobased industries was based on increase in cotton (Punjab) and sugarcane production during the current fiscal year. In March 2012, the year to year performance of the sector turned negative by registering a decline of 3.7 percent owing to prolonged power and gas shortages. Group-wise Performance The group-wise analysis (Table 3.1) indicates some of the groups in the Large Scale
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Manufacturing and Mining Manufacturing (LSM) experienced a positive growth during the first nine months (July-March) of the current fiscal year. The groups showing substantial increase include pharmaceutical (10.89 percent), paper and board (8.38 percent), wood
Fig 3.2: LSM growth rate (Annual Basis)
12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 -6.00 -8.00 9.49 6.02 1.51 1.05
product (7.39 percent), food beverages and tobacco (6.53 percent), non-metallic mineral products (2.87 percent), leather product (1.76 percent) and textile (0.77 percent).
0.33
-5.98
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12 (July-Mar)
The sectors showing a decline in production during July-March, 2011-12 were iron and steel products (28.47 percent), rubber products (24.63 percent), engineering products (10.19 percent), electronics (7.88 percent), coke and petroleum products (5.68 percent), chemicals (4.70 percent), automobiles (0.84 percent) and fertilizers (0.42 percent). The performance of LSM production for the remaining period of 2011-12 augurs well due to the
improvement in some other external factors such as higher textile export, better marketing strategies in smaller food processing industries and the governments supportive policies for tractors, wheat milling and pharmaceutical industry. The group wise growth and the contribution of each of the LSM for the period July-March 201011 versus July-March 2011-12 is presented in Table-3.1.
Table 3.1: Group-wise Growth and Points Contribution rate of LSM for the month of July-March 2011-12 vs. July- March 2010-11 % Change % Point Contribution July-March July-March S.No Groups Weights 2010-11 2011-12 2010-11 2011-12 1 Textile 20.91 0.7 0.8 0.15 0.16 2 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 12.37 14.0 6.5 1.73 0.81 3 Coke & Petroleum Products 5.51 -4.6 -5.7 -0.25 -0.31 4 Pharmaceuticals 3.62 1.3 10.9 0.05 0.39 5 Chemicals 1.72 -2.5 -4.7 -0.04 -0.08 6 Automobiles 4.61 11.9 -0.8 0.55 -0.04 7 Iron & Steel Products 5.39 -10.3 -28.5 -0.56 -1.53 8 Fertilizers 4.44 -9.2 -0.4 -0.41 -0.02 9 Electronics 1.96 -14.4 -7.9 -0.28 -0.15 10 Leather Products 0.86 17.4 1.8 0.15 0.02 11 Paper & Board 2.31 -2.3 8.4 -0.05 0.19 12 Engineering Products 0.40 -9.5 -10.2 -0.04 -0.04 13 Rubber Products 0.26 9.2 -24.6 0.02 -0.06 14 Non-Metallic Mineral Products 5.36 -9.6 2.9 -0.51 0.15 15 Wood Products 0.59 6.9 7.4 0.04 0.04 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
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Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 juices, syrups and squashes (26.68 percent), heavy machinery & equipment (20.99 percent), sugarcane machine (19.24 percent), electric tubes (17.86 percent), kerosene oil (14.56 percent), liquids/syrups (14.09 percent), footwear (6.15 percent) and LPG (3.44 percent). An Item wise review of production of selected items in Large Scale Manufacturing during JulyMarch 2011-12 is presented in Table 3.2.
Growth was mainly derived from consumer goods. Food and pharmaceuticals showed the strongest contribution. In addition, intermediate goods such as building materials, fertilizers and petroleum products posted a modest contribution in overall LSM performance. Some important items wise contribution in Large Scale Manufacturing growth witnessed in generating sets (143.88 percent), blankets (109.87 percent), electric transformer (31.15 percent),
Table-3.2 : Production of selected industrial items of Large Scale Manufacturing July-March % Change % Point S.No. Items Unit Weight (Jul-Mar) Contribution 2011-12 (Jul-Mar) 2011-12 2010-11 2011-12 1 Deep Freezers (Nos.) 0.16 67380 35316 -47.59 -0.08 2 Jeep & Cars (Nos.) 2.80 101532 110430 8.76 0.25 3 Refrigerators (Nos.) 0.24 690236 737146 6.80 0.02 4 Upper Leather (000 sq.m.) 0.39 19324 18350 -5.04 -0.02 5 Cement (000 tones) 5.30 20814 21410 2.86 0.15 6 Liquids/Syrups (Milion Liters) 1.10 62.456 71.259 14.09 0.16 7 Phosphatic fertilizer (000 N tones) 0.40 385.313 359.344 -6.74 -0.03 8 Tablets (Milion Nos) 1.90 15848.369 17550.617 10.74 0.20 9 Cooking oil (000 tones) 2.20 228.649 228.834 0.08 0.00 11 Nitrogenous fertilizer (000 N tones) 4.04 1667.918 1674.972 0.42 0.02 12 Cotton Cloth (Million sq.m.) 7.20 764.480 769.600 0.67 0.05 13 Vegetable Ghee (000 tones) 1.10 816.924 829.434 1.53 0.02 14 Cotton Yarn (000 tones) 13.00 2200.41 2225.31 1.13 0.15 15 Sugar (000 tones) 3.50 3892.141 4485.592 15.25 0.53 16 Tea Blended (000 tones) 0.40 50.783 57.511 13.25 0.05 17 Petroleum products (Milion Liters) 5.50 8427.809 8046.298 -4.53 -0.25 18 Cigarettes (Billion Nos.) 2.10 47.458 45.674 -3.76 -0.08 19 Coke (000 tones) 0.10 218.824 138.616 -36.65 -0.04 20 Pig iron (000 tones) 1.58 326.675 195.81 -40.06 -0.63 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
The country has been faced with energy shortages due to which the utilization capacity remained low (Box-2). Nevertheless capacity in the local industry and expected domestic demand based on
high consumption trends remained the driving force in helping to stimulate revival. However, alternate energy sources in the long run could help to further foster growth in the industrial sector.
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-11
Sugar Cigarettes Cotton Yarn Cotton Cloth Jute Hessian Jute Sacking Jute Others Paper & Paper Board 12 Chip Board Tones 95,000 13 Sodah Ash Tones 500,000 14 Caustic Soda Tones 230,650 15-21 Fertilizer Tones 7,264,700 22 Glass Sheet Th.M2 71,000 23 Cement Th. Tons 41,484 24 Bicycles Nos 700,000 25 Coke Tones 970,000 26 Pig Iron/H. Metal Tones 1,230,000 27 Cast / Rolled Billet Tones 660,000 28 Hr. Coils/ Plates Tones 792,000 29 Cr. Coils Tones 210,000 30 Glav. Products Tones 100,000 31-33 Cars/LCVs/Jeeps Nos 280,000 34-35 Trucks/Buses Nos 25,000 36 Tractors Nos 75,000 37 Motor Cycles Nos 2,935,525 Source: Ministry of Industries and Production
3.2
Textile Industry
The textile industry plays a pivotal role in Pakistan's economy. The contribution of the textile industry in total exports is around 54 percent of the total export earnings of the country. It is a labourintensive industry and offers entry-level jobs for unskilled labour. Job creation, especially in the clothing sector, has been particularly strong for women, who previously had limited income opportunities outside the household or the informal sector. The textile and clothing industry accounts for 46 percent of the total manufacturing and provides employment to 38 percent of the manufacturing labour force. The availability of basic raw material for the textile industry i.e. cotton, has played a significant role in the growth of the industry because of which Pakistan has been
able to prove its strength in the world by sustaining its position and growth. Global Overview The international statistics report on export of textile and clothing trade indicates some signs of recovery in this sector after the global financial meltdown in 2008-09. The exports of textile and clothing trade has increased from US$ 524.0 billion in 2009 to US$ 602.2 billion in 2010; an increase of 14.7 percent. The export of Pakistan textile and clothing trade has also shown positive signs, increasing from US$ 9.9 billion in 2009 to US$ 11.8 billion in 2010, an increase of about 20 percent. In 2010 China became the major exporter of textiles, pushing the European Union into second 41
Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 place. India recorded a 40 percent increase in its exports of textiles in 2010 to become the third largest exporting nation, just ahead of the United States. Chinas share in world exports of clothing increased to 37 percent in 2010, rising from 18.3
Table 3.3: Export of Textile and Clothing 2000 2004 World Textile 157.3 195.5 World Clothing 197.7 260.6 Total:355.0 456.1 Pakistan Textile Pakistan Clothing Total % Age of World Trade Source: Ministry of Textile 4.5 2.1 6.7 1.88 6.1 3.0 9.1 2.01
percent in 2000, while its share in the countrys total exports declined to 8.2 percent, from 14.5 percent in 2000. Among the major exporters of clothing, India registered a decline of 3.1 percent.
(US $ Billions) 2009 2010 209.9 250.7 315.1 351.5 524.0 602.2 6.5 3.4 9.9 1.88 7.8 3.9 11.8 2.00
Domestic Overview Domestically Pakistan is facing problems of shortage of electricity, gas and law and order situation. The unscheduled/scheduled load shedding along with increasing rates of gas and electricity have obstructed the viability of the textile industry as exporters are unable to meet their commitments. Besides this, high interest rates of bank financing have also hindered new investments in the textile industry and layoffs and closures have become common in the industry.
Performance of Textile Industry The textile industry of Pakistan has the potential to perform better both in production as well as in export by virtue of its inherent competitiveness on account of its conventional products. However, to sustain its position and increase its share and to move into high value added products, large investments in machinery equipment and new technology are essential. The training of workers, improvement in labour productivity, research and development, product diversification and branding are the immediate areas to focus on. The export performance of this industry is reported in Table 3.4.
(US$ Millions) 2011-12 (Jul-Mar) 8513 395 95 9063 16913 54%
Table 3.4: Export of Pakistan Textiles 2006-07 Cotton & Cotton Textiles Synthetic textiles Wool & Woolen Textiles Total Textiles Total Exports Textile as %age Source: Ministry of Textile 10390 430 233 11053 17011 65% 2007-08 10071 490 216 10777 19224 56% 2008-09 9308 319 145 9772 17782 55% 2009-10 9754 446 137 10337 19290 54% 2010-11 13104 670 132 13906 24827 56%
3.2.1 Ancillary Textile Industry The ancillary textile industry includes cotton spinning, cotton cloth, cotton yarn, cotton fabric, fabric processing, home textiles, towels, hosiery and knitwear and readymade garments. These 42
components are being produced both in the largescale organized sector as well as in the unorganized cottage/small and medium units. The performance of these various ancillary textile industries is discussed below.
Manufacturing and Mining (i) Cotton Spinning Sector The spinning sector is the most important segment in the hierarchy of textile production. At present, as per the record of Textile Commissioner Organization (TCO), it is comprised of 521 textile units (50 composite units and 471 spinning units) with 9.99 million spindles and 116 thousand rotors in operation with capacity utilization of 89 percent and 60 percent respectively, during July March, 2011-12. Clothing Sector The pattern of cloth production is different from that of the spinning sector. Usually production of cloth in the mill sector is reported and the nonmills sector is not reported. For the non-mills sector, therefore, estimated numbers are taken as proxy. The production of cotton cloth has increased substantially. This sector served as the main strength for the down stream sectors such as bed wear and made-ups and garments. The following table presents the production and export performance of the cloth sector.
July-Mar 2011-2012 769.600 5975.850 6745.450 1412.963 1709.961 % age Change 0.67 0.07 0.14 9.12 -0.369
Table 3.5: Production and Exports of Clothing sector Production July-Mar (M. Sq. Mtrs.) 2010-2011 Mill Sector 764.480 Non Mill Sector 5971.650 Total 6736.130 Cloth Exports Quantity (M.Sq Mtr.) 1294.863 Value (M.US$) 1716.300 Source: Ministry of Textile
(ii) Textile Made-up Sector This is the most dynamic segment of the textile industry. The major product groups are towels,
Table 3.6: Exports of Made-Ups 2011-2012 (July Mar) Hosiery Knitwear Quantity (M.Doz) Value (M.US$) Readymade Garments Quantity (M.Doz) Value (M.US$) Towels Quantity (M.Doz) Value (M.US$) Tents/Canvas Quantity (M.Doz) Value (M.US$) Bed Wears Quantity (M.Doz) Value (M.US$) Other Made up Value (M.US$) Source: Ministry of Textile
tents and canvas, cotton bags, bed-wear, hosiery and knitwear, and readymade garments including fashion apparels. Export performance of the madeup sector is presented in Table 3.6.
2010-2011 (July-Mar) 100.451 1276.722 25.455 1276.722 149.224 580.448 9.221 29.260 243.051 1556.984 508.768
% Change -24.96 -4.75 -22.45 -4.75 -31.98 -15.88 96.71 130.37 -22.49 -12.87 -17.68
75.383 1216.120 19.741 1216.120 101.508 488.273 18.139 67.406 188.385 1356.656 418.802
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Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 a) Hosiery Industry There are about 12,000 knitting machines all over the country. There is greater reliance on this industry due to the substantial value addition in knitwear. This sector has tremendous export potential also. However the sector remained under pressure from its competitors.
Table 3.7: Export of Knitwear
(July Mar) 2011-2012 (July Mar) 2010-2011 % Change
Quantity 18.139 (000 Doz) Value 67.406 (M.US$) Source: Ministry of Textile
9.221 29.460
96.71 130.37
iv) Art Silk and Synthetic weaving industry The art silk and synthetic weaving industry has developed as a cottage industry over the time based on power looms. Units comprising of 0-10 looms are spread all over the country. The major concentration is in Karachi, Faisalabad, Gujranwala and Jalalpur Jattan as well as in the unsettled areas (Bara, Swat, Khyber Agency and Waziristan). During 2011-12 (July-March), production of synthetic fabric recorded at 1,311,550 million square meters as compared to 1,478,571 million square meters during the same period last year, showing a decrease of 11.3 percent. v) Woolen Industry The main products manufactured by the woolen industry are woolen yarn 6.864 M.kgs, acrylic yarn 6.960 M.kgs, fabrics 3,445 (M.sq.meter), shawls 13.353 million, blanket 657,235, and carpets 3.5 (M.Sq.meter). The exports of carpets during the period July to Mar 2011-12 is as below Table 3.9.
Table 3.9: Exports of Carpets and Rugs (Woollen)
(July Mar) (July Mar) 2010-2011 2011-2012 % Change
Quantity 75.383 (000 Doz) Value 1534.662 (M.US$) Source: Ministry of Textile
100.451 1726.139
-24.96 -11.09
b) Readymade Garment Industry The garment industry provides highest value addition in the textile sector. The industry consisted of small, medium and large scale units most of them having 50 machines and below. Large units are now coming up in the organized sector of the industry. During July-March 2011-12, readymade garments worth $ 1.2 billion were exported compared to $ 1.3 billion in the comparable period of last year, thus showing a decline of 4.8 percent. In quantity terms the decline in the exports of readymade garments was 22.5 percent. c) Towel Industry During July-March 2011-12, exports in this sector stood at $ 488 million as against $ 580 million in the comparable period of last year; showing a decrease of 15.9 percent. Quantity exported declined by 31.9 percent. d) Canvas This is the highest raw cotton consuming sector. The production capacity is more than 100 million sq. meters. This value-added sector also has great potential for export. Nearly 60 percent of its production is exported while 40 percent is consumed locally mostly by the armed forces. Pakistan is the cheapest source of tents and canvas.
2.512 95.305
13.61 0.80
vi) Jute Industry The main products manufactured by the jute industry are jute sacks and Hessian cloth, which are used for packing and handling of wheat, rice and food grains. During 2011-12 (July-March), no change has been recorded in spindles installed capacity whereas single addition has been recorded in the looms installed capacity compared to last
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Manufacturing and Mining year. However, negative growth was observed in the working capacity of both spindles and looms during the current fiscal year. Table 3.10 shows the installed and working capacity of the industry during the period under review.
Table 3.10: The installed and working capacity of jute industry
(July Mar) 2010-11 (July Mar) 2011-12 % Change
planning to prepare a growth strategy with active participation of all stakeholders in order to touch the export target of US$ 500 million by 2015. The electric fan industry is mainly clustered in Gujrat and comprises of more than 2,000 small and medium enterprises. The industry is not only fulfilling local demand for domestic fans of various categories but is also earning handsome foreign exchange besides providing ample employment opportunities. A number of measures have been taken during 2011-12 and are currently underway to facilitate the industry to produce domestic fans at par with internationally accepted standards. The Fan Development Institute (FDI) is also being updated with the cooperation of the Pakistan Council for Science and Industrial Research (PCSIR). In addition to projecting the engineering image of Pakistan, the EDB has initiated the compilation of the Engineering Goods and Services exporters Directory of Pakistan 2012. The directory shall have the complete profile of the Exporters and shall be circulated to Pakistans Foreign Missions, Foreign Chambers of Commerce and the EDBs International support partners in the potential markets. 3.3-2 Automobile Industry The four sectors of the automobile industry have shown mixed trends of growth during the year July-March 2011-12. The industry seems to be less buoyant in comparison with the corresponding period of last year 2010-11. Buses, cars, LCVs and two/three wheelers managed to grow by 23 percent, 9.1 percent, 5.7 percent and 3.1 percent respectively compared to 24.7 percent, 16.4 percent, 20.5 percent and 12.6 percent respectively during the same period last year. A larger decline was witnessed in tractor production which was recorded at 48 percent compared to negative growth of 2.2 percent. During the start of the current fiscal year, production of tractors declined substantially by almost 70 percent after the imposition of the 16 percent general sale tax (GST) in April 2011. Following the governments announcement to cut GST from 16 percent to 5 percent production
The production of jute goods for the period of July Mar. 2010-11 and 2011-12 was 92,666 M. ton and 98,753 M. ton respectively, showing an increase of 6.6 percent. 3.3 Other Industries
Although Pakistans exports are mostly confined to cotton and textile products in the international market, there are other industries as well which progressed rapidly and also contributed to the manufacturing sector.
3.3-1 Engineering Sector The engineering industry in Pakistan has enjoyed some success as a result of some really hard work. The increasing competition that the international market presents has been challenging. Engineering Development Board (EDB) is the apex government body entrusted with strengthening the engineering base of Pakistan. Its main objective is to maintain international standard in the field of engineering goods and services. The EDB has taken initiatives to boost the production of the surgical industry and electric fan Industry. The current capacity in the surgical sector is under utilized. During 2011-12 (July-March), exports of surgical goods and medical instruments reached US$ 221 million compared to US$ 186.7 million during the same period last year. The EDB is
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Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 figures have started to recover. The two other components of the automotive industry such as jeeps and trucks also showed dismal performance by registering negative growth of 44 percent and 6.8 percent respectively. The table given below presents the comparative analysis of the sector.
Table 3.11: Production of Automotive Industry Installed 2010-11 Products Capacity (July-March) Cars 240,000 100,870 LCVs 43,900 14,159 Jeeps 5,000 662 Buses 5,000 357 Trucks 28,500 2,031 Tractors 65,000 51,664 Two/Three Wheelers 1,800,000 602,268 Source: Pakistan Automotive Manufacturing Association (PAMA)
The potential demand for vehicles in the economy is helping to grow the industry but it is highly dependent on the long term policy commitments. The term of the current Auto-industry Development Program is expiring on June 30th 2012. The governments commitment with the industry would reflect in a new program which may bring new hope and opportunities for growth. It may be added that the forthcoming opening up of trade with India would bring new opportunities as well as challenges for the auto-industry and thus a transformation is inevitable. 3.3-3 Fertilizer Industry The fertilizer industry, being provider of one of the key inputs for crop production, has significant importance in the countrys economy. At the beginning of 2011-12, it was assumed that the country will attain self-sufficiency at least in urea availability because of the operationalizing of two new plants. This has added annual production capacity of 1.8 million tonnes to the national installed capacity taking it to 6.3 million tonnes per annum. However, due to the curtailment of natural gas (the raw material for urea manufacturing), some urea plants produced substantially less than their production capacity. As a result 1.6 million tonnes of urea had to be imported by the government during 2011-12 to meet the deficit. Hence, in addition to spending foreign exchange for imports, the government had to pickup the price difference to equalize the prices of domestic and imported urea; and for this purpose, it is
estimated that the government spent around Rs. 45 billion as fertilizer subsidy in 2011-12. The fertilizer sector is the second largest consumer of gas after the power sector. Natural gas is used as feedstock as well as fuel in the manufacturing of nitrogenous fertilizers. Three companies namely Sui Northern Gas Pipeline Limited, Sui Southern Gas Company Limited and Mari Gas Company Limited are providing gas to the fertilizer sector. The intensity of the prevailing energy crisis specifically in relation to the supply of natural gas to supply curtailment (20 percent on Sui Network plants and 12 percent on Mari Network) to the fertilizer industry since May, 2010, has meant that the winter load shedding has increased from normal 45 days to 60 days. And on the SNGPL system the rotational load management (shedding) of 15 days for fertilizer plants has also been observed. This policy of gas supply is adversely affecting domestic production of fertilizer and resulting in a price hike and increase in the import bill. Smooth supplies of natural gas to urea plants are essential to run the plants at 100 percent of their installed capacity for making urea available (as per requirement) at stable/affordable prices and for avoiding its import. 3.3-4 Cement Industry The cement production capacity in Pakistan has increased to 44 million tonnes in 2011-12 from 30 million tonnes in 2006-07 due to the establishment of new cement plants. Pakistans cement is being exported to Afghanistan, India, Africa, and Middle
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Manufacturing and Mining East. Export of cement is exempted from the Sales Tax and Federal Excise Duty (FED). However, a 16 percent sales tax and the Rs. 500 per ton Federal Excise Duty are being charged on the domestic consumption. The import of coal used as fuel for the cement plants is allowed at 0 percent customs duty and 16 percent sales tax. As per the investment policy of the government, the import of
Table 3.12: Supply (Million tonnes) Years Production Capacity Capacity Utilization(% age) 2006-07 30 80 % 2007-08 37 82 % 2008-09 42 75 % 2009-10 45 77 % 2010-11 41 76 % 2011-12 44 70% (July-Dec) Source: Ministry of Industries
plant machinery and equipment for the manufacturing sectors is allowed at 5 percent customs duty. The key factors hindering the overall production capacity of cement industry are the energy crises and demand and supply mechanism. Table-3.12 presents the production and utilization capacity along with the total production of cement.
Total Production 24 30 31 34 31 15
3.5: Privatization Programme Pakistans privatization program was initiated in the early 1990s to demonstrate the governments high priority to private sector development. Pakistans privatization program was the most successful program in the whole of South Asia, Central Asia and the Middle East as it successfully managed to complete approximately 167 privatization transactions, generating revenue of over US$ 9 billion. The last privatization transaction completed by the Privatization Commission was Hazara Phosphate and Fertilizers Limited (HPFL) in November 2008. Thereafter, the privatization program entered into an extended lean period due to domestic and global challenges. Domestically, unstable law and order situation and negative economic outlook adversely affected the investment climate in the country. Internationally, the global financial crisis of 2008 and the on-going Euro zone sovereign debt crisis affected the flow of investment into the country. It may be noted that the privatization program cannot be conducted in isolation and is highly dependent on both the domestic and international regulatory, financial, economic and political environment. Despite the challenges, the government had re invigorated the privatization program by focusing
on a policy of Privatization for the People. Under this program a renewed focus is placed on domestic capital market listings. Despite many challenges, the Privatization Commission is actively pursuing a capital market road map, which includes a secondary public offering of Pakistan Petroleum Limited and an Exchangeable Bond for the Oil and Gas Development Company Limited. The transactions will be launched in the near future subject to market conditions. The Privatization Commission, besides conducting privatization through the capital markets, is also exercising the traditional privatization mode i.e. the strategic sale of two entities, the National Power Construction Company (NPCC) and Heavy Electrical Complex (HEC). The transactions are at an advanced stage and the privatization process is expected to be completed soon subject to market conditions. In addition, the Ministry has also initiated a landmark program for empowerment of employees of public sector entities in the form of the Benazir Employees Stock Scheme (BESOS), offering 12 percent stock options to employees of 78 public organizations. It is expected that approximately 500,000 employees of 78 SOEs will benefit from this scheme. So far, Trusts have been registered in 64 entities. Out of these, Unit Certificates have 47
Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 been distributed to 142,756 employees of 50 entities. The total dividend received from the Trusts of 11 entities stands at Rs. 6.79 billion (approx.) out of which 50 percent has been distributed among employees of respective entities and the remaining 50 percent has been transferred to the Central Revolving Fund (CRF) of the Privatization Commission (PC). Buyback claims received till date stand at Rs. 4.45 billion, out of which Rs. 1.160 billion has been paid. 3.6: Small and Medium Enterprises SME-led economic growth has become the hallmark of economic prosperity and general wellbeing in the world. SMEs are globally recognized as critical for economic development and poverty alleviation. In Pakistan, nearly 99 percent of economic establishments are SMEs; absorbing 80 percent of unskilled labor. These SMEs are collectively providing undeniable support to economic growth by contributing 40 percent to GDP and 30 percent to the exports from the manufacturing sector. To further boost its significance in the economic development process the government has introduced various initiatives to promote SME-led economic growth with the dual aim to accelerate industrial development and export diversification. Most important of these initiatives include approval of the first SME Policy of Pakistan and Infrastructural Development through Public Sector Development Program. In addition to these, SMEDA as a government agency for SME development has been involved in various activities such as providing over the counter services to SMEs, helpdesk facilitation, human resource development, technological up gradation and infrastructural support. Parallel to infrastructural support, SMEDA, in collaboration with international agencies like Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), Deutshe Gesellshaft Fur Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), Senior Experts Services (SES, Germany), Asian Productivity Organization (APO) and local experts, is providing technical assistance to SMEs in the relevant industrial units to upgrade their skills and improve systems. During July-March 2011-12, 27 industrial units have been the direct beneficiaries of this programme; whereas, 16 technical training workshops, seminars and awareness sessions were conducted. Major sectors facilitated under the Industry Support Programme are: textiles (spinning, weaving processing, garments, sportswear and apparel), auto parts, electric fans sector and furniture sector across the country. The factors that impede development of the SME sector in Pakistan are well-known. However, lack of support of concrete data and quantifiable research are making the task of securing attention of policy makers and key government stakeholders difficult. During 2011-12, SMEDA took the initiative of bridging this information gap through publication of the SMEDA Research Working Papers Series. 3.7: Mineral Sector The production of minerals are important for the growth of mineral based industries due to their use in the other sectors of the economy such as energy minerals-coal; agriculture mineralsrock phosphate, gypsum; construction mineralslimestone, natural stones, pozzolana etc. The most significant benefits to be derived from an expansion of the mineral sector activities are: expansion of employment opportunities; expanding business opportunities for local industries; increase revenue flow to the provincial and federal governments; technology transfer; and regional infrastructure development. Pakistan has a widely varied geological framework, ranging from Pre-Cambrian to the present that includes a number of zones hosting several metallic minerals, industrial minerals, precious and semi-precious stones. The government has extended special incentives for mineral development through public and private investment and facilitating private sector to contribute in this sector. To revive industrial growth, a 100 MW power plant was established by using Thar coal deposits based on underground coal gasification, which would convert into 1000 MW power plant. Efforts are for exploration and evaluation of coalfields in Sindh and Balochistan. These studies are aimed at enhancing the coal resource base, supplement power generation, and
48
Manufacturing and Mining substitute furnace oil in different industrial units in the country. The indigenous problems faced by this sector are inadequate provision of the geological data base, limited mining experience and inadequate capital resources and finally the lack of infrastructure and security in geological promising areas. The future programmes in the sector are: Reko Diq Cooper Gold Prospects; utilization of indigenous Iron ore resources at Nokkundi and Dilband area; exploring the hidden resources through private/multinational investment and, up gradation/strengthening of Geosciences advance Research labs.
49
Over 100 Very million large tons deposits 736 143 833 132 895 158 916 169 890 152 958 184 1,066 154 971 135 1,190 158 1,358 167 1,394 155 1,423 157 1,426 185 1,640 259 1,648 309 1,859 411 1,873 402 1,849 403 1,917 370 1,944 411 1,954 301 . 1,443 234 1,445 270
.. 1,285 1,001 1,000 745 4,623 8,081 2,047 3,147 4,080 4,793 4,691 5,064 6,733 7,861 18,686 34,320 61,665 46,215 56,617 55,352 36,078 24,425 23,450
246,166 18.08 31.43 274,211 17.97 31.42 Source : Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Year 1990-91 1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 July-March 2010-11 2011-12 * .. : Not available * : Provisional
1969-70=100 468 472.1 478 483.4 461.8 504.8 520.1 512.3 509.1 545.6 576.7 611.3 656.7 709.8 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Year No. of Mills 1990-91 247 1991-92 271 1992-93 284 1993-94 320 1994-95 334 1995-96 349 1996-97 357 1997-98 353 1998-99 348 1999-00 351 2000-01 353 2001-02 354 2002-03 363 2003-04 357 2004-05 423 2005-06 437 2006-07 427 2007-08 427 2008-09 431 2009-10 439 2010-11 439 2011-12 P 439 P : Provisional .. : Not available
Installed Capacity No. of No. of Spindles Looms (000) (000) 5,493 15 6,141 15 6,768 14 8,182 14 8,307 14 8,493 13 8,137 10 8,274 10 8,298 10 8,383 10 8,594 10 8,967 10 9,216 10 9,499 10 10,941 9 11,168 9 11,266 8 11,834 8 11,280 8 11,392 7 11,392 7 11,421 7
Loom ConsumpTotal Surplus Total ProHours tion of Yarn ProYarn duction Worked Cotton duced of Cloth (Million) (mln kg) (mln.kg) (mln. kg) (mln. sq mtr.) 60.2 1,197.5 1,041.2 1,001.0 292.9 58.8 1,342.8 1,170.7 1,134.7 307.9 55.5 1,427.0 1,219.0 1,148.6 325.4 44.0 1,483.4 1,309.6 1,272.8 314.9 41.8 1,558.9 1,369.7 1,340.6 321.8 37.1 1,661.9 1,495.1 1,434.7 327.0 36.4 1,670.1 1,520.8 1,473.9 333.5 37.7 1,751.0 1,532.3 1,478.9 340.3 35.2 1,839.6 1,540.3 1,482.4 384.6 34.3 1,961.6 1,669.9 1,604.4 437.2 34.1 2,070.1 1,721.0 1,652.7 490.2 36.3 2,155.2 1,808.6 1,731.2 568.4 38.7 2,371.3 1,934.9 1,855.4 576.6 32.7 2,397.8 1,929.1 1,835.9 683.4 31.2 2,622.8 2,270.3 2,104.9 924.7 24.8 2,932.6 2,556.3 2,457.6 915.3 21.7 3,143.5 2,727.6 2,623.2 1,012.9 21.5 3,159.2 2,809.4 2,700.3 1,016.4 23.0 3,195.6 2,862.4 2,754.0 1,019.7 22.4 3,372.4 2,881.0 2,776.6 1,009.6 23.0 3,456.7 2,938.6 2,831.8 1,029.8 22.8 3,439.8 2,967.9 2,859.9 1,024.0 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Textile Commissioner Organization
Year Urea 1990-91 2,050.3 1991-92 1,898.0 1992-93 2,306.1 1993-94 3,103.8 1994-95 3,000.2 1995-96 3,260.1 1996-97 3,258.7 1997-98 3,284.2 1998-99 3,521.7 1999-00 3,785.0 2000-01 4,005.1 2001-02 4,259.6 2002-03 4,401.9 2003-04 4,431.6 2004-05 4,606.4 2005-06 4,806.4 2006-07 4,732.5 2007-08 4,925.0 2008-09 4,918.4 2009-10 5,056.5 2010-11 4,552.1 Jul-Mar 2010-11 3,356.0 2011-12 P 3,338.9 - : Not available P : Provisional
Vegetable Ghee 656 639 725 671 711 733 714 719 773 698 835 797 772 888 1,048 1,516 1,180 1,137 1,062 1,076 1,081
Sugar 1,934 2,322 2,384 2,841 2,964 2,426 2,383 3,555 3,542 2,429 2,956 3,247 3,686 4,021 3,116 2,960 3,527 4,733 3,190 3,132 4,169
Cement 7,762 8,321 8,558 8,100 7,913 9,567 9,536 9,364 9,635 9,314 9,672 9,935 10,845 12,862 16,353 18,564 22,739 26,751 28,380 31,160 28,723
817 3,892 20,814 829 4,486 21,410 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Year
1990-91 1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Jul-Mar 2010-11 969,070* 2011-12 P 1,068,526* P : Provisional * : 000 Litres
Chlorine Gas
(000 tonnes)
Transport, Machinery & Electrical Appliances Sewing Total Bicycles Machines TV Sets
(000 Nos.) (000 Nos.) (000 Nos.)
78.5 82.0 81.5 89.0 92.7 109.0 118.2 115.7 120.4 141.3 145.5 150.3 164.4 187.5 206.7 219.3 242.2 248.3 245.3 182.3 172.0 128.7 128.6
6.7 6.1 5.9 5.8 7.8 9.1 9.4 9.7 11.3 14.2 14.5 15.1 15.9 17.2 19.1 18.3 17.2 18.2 16.5 16.1 15.4 11.6 11.6
14,308 18,950 16,626 9,373 6,865 8,030 8,005 5,917 6,500 7,347 10,922 10,341 3,899 5,406 15,023 17,147 23,936 26,308 29,835 30,752 25,835 19,158 15,961
651.1 682.5 638.1 602.8 719.5 836.8 861.1 869.7 888.8 897.7 906.7 920.9 935.3 950.1 959.6 969.2 978.8 988.6 998.5 1008.5 1018.6 729.7 737.0
428.8 478.4 588.6 563.7 473.4 545.1 432.4 452.1 504.0 534.1 569.6 553.4 629.7 664.1 587.9 589.6 486.3 535.5 419.9 447.2 342.4 257.2 179.0
81.3 85.1 72.3 76.7 68.1 84.1 61.1 36.2 29.7 27.6 26.9 24.0 30.6 35.0 36.1 39.1 52.2 57.3 50.8 48.6 47.0 36.3 32.6
181.7 145.5 162.2 112.5 101.1 277.6 185.6 107.4 128.3 121.6 97.4 450.0 764.6 843.1 908.8 935.1 608.6 716.1 402.3 342.9 440.5 336.1 248.9 (Contd.)
Year 1990-91 1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Jul-Mar 2010-11 2011-12 P P : Provisional
Pig Iron
(000 tonnes)
Billets
(000 tonnes)
49.3 43.2 41.3 42.7 41.6 45.8 56.4 62.5 66.8 63.2 55.2 52.8 58.3 139.4 146.7 143.6 144.8 129.8 91.8 75.2 80.0 56.1 61.8
7,728 4,460 4,205 5,307 5,352 5,417 7,598 8,354 7,991 7,144 10,548 10,441 10,844 14,630 19,819 19,992 21,400 19,524 11,101 2,914 1,065 924 1,089
88.6 111.0 154.8 133.2 106.2 110.0 197.6 166.5 173.6 228.0 246.3 165.1 203.8 225.7 236.5 286.1 280.4 227.6 168.8 178.2 206.1 154.6 175.6
64.2 66.0 109.0 129.3 208.4 193.4 149.0 178.3 186.8 434.6 531.1 137.9 148.0 156.8 163.7 167.7 161.7 192.0 252.5 249.1 228.7 173.5 180.0
723.6 737.2 716.4 771.6 701.5 685.6 663.0 667.7 588.7 662.6 717.3 694.6 775.2 785.5 772.8 182.3 326.3 290.9 423.7 342.8 301.7
1,073.9 1,048.1 1,098.2 1,252.7 1,044.7 1,002.2 1,068.6 1,015.8 989.3 1,106.6 1,071.2 1,042.9 1,140.2 1,179.9 1,137.2 768.0 1,008.8 993.4 791.1 483.3 433.1
330.0 306.7 338.4 403.9 343.5 332.7 378.5 350.1 276.1 1,381.9 1,664.7 1,874.2 1,874.2 2,118.9 2,430.1 2,714.7 3,380.6 3,677.8 2,873.8 1,943.4 1,628.9
218.8 326.7 1,213.0 138.6 195.8 1,173.4 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics Ministry of Industries
1990-91 (3.93) 1991-92 (2.59) 1992-93 13.46 1993-94 (7.45) 1994-95 5.96 1995-96 3.09 1996-97 (2.59) 1997-98 0.70 1998-99 7.95 1999-00 (9.65) 2000-01 19.60 2001-02 (4.50) 2002-03 (3.20) 2003-04 15.10 2004-05 18.00 2005-06 9.90 2006-07 2.50 2007-08 (3.60) 2008-09 (6.60) 2009-10 1.30 2010-11 0.60 Jul-Mar 2010-11 1.91 0.33 (14.44) 3.95 2011-12 1.13 0.67 5.51 1.53 Note : Figures in parenthesis represent negative growth
(6.04) (6.11) 26.46 (5.13) (0.04) 15.25 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics