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The information contained in this presentation may include statements which constitute forward-looking statements, within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such forward-looking statements involve a certain degree of risk and uncertainty with respect to business, financial, trend, strategy and other forecasts, and are based on assumptions, data or methods that, although considered reasonable by the company at the time, may turn out to be incorrect or imprecise, or may not be possible to realize. The company gives no assurance that expectations disclosed in this presentation will be confirmed. Prospective investors are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, due to a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, the risks of international business and other risks referred to in the companys filings with the CVM and SEC. The company does not undertake, and specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which speak only for the date on which they are made.
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Financial Highlights
Agenda
Financial Highlights
2Q13 Results
Pulp Production and Sales (000 t) Net Revenue (R$ million)
1,275 1,265
1,263
1,186
+15%
1,669
2Q12
1Q13
Production Sales
455
505
463 507
550
565
2Q12
1Q13
2Q13
Cash cost
2Q12
1Q13
2Q13
USD appreciation increased debt and leverage in Reais, but with no cash impact
Net Debt (Million)
Net Debt/EBITDA (R$) Net Debt/EBITDA (US$)
Debt cost in US$ (% p.a)
4,485
Jun/13
4,186
3,732
R$
US$
R$
Closing FX (R$/US$)
US$
1,195 792 504 780
2,212 1,643 1,141 932 724 13 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Bond BNDES Multilateral agencies and other Pre-Payment Trade Finance
2.02
2.01 +10%
2.22
FCF Yield
7%
7% 956
2012
2Q13 LTM
As previously announced, Fibria resumed part of its receivable discount operations, which positively impacted the free cash flow in the 2Q13.
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Fibria delivers one of the highest EBITDA/t and FCF/t of the industry
SG&A
Others
EBITDA
CAPEX (2)
Interest
(1) On a cash basis, does not include depreciation, amortization and depletion (2) Includes advance to forest partner program | (3) IR/CS and other
2.04
844
810
751
783
562
EBITDA Margin
40% 34%
36%
39%
28%
2,526 1,964
2,253
2,537
1,697
2009
2010
2011
2012
2Q13 LTM
30% 20%
10%
10% 0%
-6%
-5%
Soy
Pulp price has the lowest historical volatility(1) among all commodities. Considering pulp price in US$, a low correlation with hard commodities and traditional assets is observed. With a low correlation the inclusion of BHKP in the portfolio expands the efficient frontier of a commodities portfolio(2).
30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% Volatilidade (% a.a.) 20% 25%
Since 2009 Considering the expected return of a portfolio comprised of: DJ, Ibovespa Index , Oil, Copper, Niquel, Libor 3M in US Dollar and BHKP. R multiple regression of 80%
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5.0
5.1
5.3
3.2 2.9
Jun/10
Sep/10
Dec/10
Mar/11
Jun/11
Sep/11
Dec/11
Mar/12
Jun/12
Sep/12
Dec/12
Mar/13
Jun/13
2013E(1)
Ratings
Fibria S&P Moodys Fitch BB+/Stable Ba1/Positive BB+/Positive Arauco BBB-/Stable Baa3/Negative BBB/Stable CMPC BBB/Negative Baa3/Negative BBB+/Stable Klabin BBB-/Stable BBB-/Stable Suzano BB/Negative Ba2/Stable BB-/Stable
(1) (2)
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Fibria is seeking value creation for its shareholders with capital discipline
PULP
- Growth with discipline - Best portfolio of projects
INDUSTRY CONSOLIDATION ?
OTHER OPPORTUNITIES
Portocel Land and forest
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Fibria APRIL Arauco Georgia Pacific CMPC UPM-Kymmene Sodra Suzano Paper Excellence Weyerhaeuser Stora Enso Domtar Ilim IP Mercer Metsa Fibre Eldorado West Fraser ENCE Canfor 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Mechanical
5,300
Relative valuations
6000
(1)
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Veracel II
Jacare Santos
Aracruzs Expansion
Port Terminal Pulp Unit
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Portocel I
Portocel II
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Pulp projects, net of closures, will add less than 10% of global capacity between 2013 and 2015, less than in other basic materials sectors
SOFTWOOD(1) 25.0 MT
HARDWOOD(1) 30.1 MT
Net: (0.3) mt
Net: 4.6 mt
Net: 4.3 mt
(1) Source: PPPC Special Research Note May 2013 does not include Sulphite and UKP (2) Projects included:Ilim Group (490kt) | Closures: Resolute Forest (75kt) ; Domtar (125kt) ; Rayonier (280kt); Birla (350kt) (3) Projects included: Eldorado (1.5 mt); Montes del Plata (1.3 mt); Maranho (1.5 mt); Guaba II (1.5 mt) | Closures: Jari (410kt); Sappi Cloquet (270kt); Double A (85kt); Sodra Tofte (180kt); Ilim Group (100kt); April Rizhao (130kt)
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-85
-105
-500 -540
-910
-1180 -1260
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
-1200
2013-2015E
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Gross capacity addition should not be counted as the only factor influencing pulp price volatility
1.000 900
Eldorado
2,0 1,8
Guaba II
800
700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
APP Hainan Nueva Aldea Santa F Valdivia Kerinci PL3 Fray Bentos Mucuri Veracel
Trs Lagoas
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Rizhao
Maranho
1,6
2013/Q1
STRONG
2.500
2.000
1.500
1.000
500
0 30
WEAK
25
20
15
10
30
WEAK
25
20
15
10
21
1,700
370
1,975
570
505
2,430
3,320
3,805
945
11,385
= 29,965
590
123 467 70 41 86 495 480 426 38 45 36 468 456 388 56 63 361 315 45 71 329 276 226
308
82
Delivery (US$/t)
Source: Hawkins Wright (Outlook for Market Pulp, July 2013) | Fibrias LTM 2Q13 cash costs divided by the FX used for HW report R$/US$2.2.
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23
24.3
25 20
14.8 14.6 11.1 6.3 6.1
Growth Potential
15 10
5 0
1991 1996 2001 2006 E.Europe Asia FE 2009 2010 2011 2012 N.America Japan W.Europe China L.America Oceania Middle East Africa
N. America
L. America
Oceania
E. Europe
W. Europe
N&M East
Japan
China
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Shift from exports to private consumption; Positive effects on households income and rising standards of living. Improve the lives of Chinese citizens: increasing minimum wages at 13% p.a.
Sources: (1) the Economist. (2) RISI China Pulp Market Study.
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Different from other commodities, China accounts for 26% of hardwood demand compared to around 60% in other basic materials sectors
8.000 26% 25% 6.000 21% 18% 4.000 14% 17% 2.000 12% 15% 16% 15% 19% 20% 26% 26% 25% 26%
Eucalyptus ('000 t)
Hardwood ('000 t)
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Europe
21% 51% 28%
North America
2% 4%
94%
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13
Asia
North America
32% 22%
Europe
Asia
Others
46%
Fibria is exposed to the least volatile consumer markets (tissue) which brings stability to sales volume.
Specialties
Tissue
Fibria has a low dependence on China (less than 20% of total sales volume).
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Investor Relations
E-mail: ir@fibria.com.br Phone: +55 11 2138-4565 Website: www.fibria.com.br/ir
THANK YOU
Back up
117,611
114,507
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Developed Markets
Emerging Markets
37,474
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Developed Markets Emerging Markets
Source: RISI
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Inventories
Hardwood Market Pulp Producers Inventories (days of supply)
65 55 45 35 1000 25 15 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 500 0 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Jun/13: 41 days Jul/12: 43 days Jul/13: 46 days
Jun13: 19 days
10
11
12
13
05
06
07
08
09 BHKP
10
11
12
13
Source: Utipulp
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Inventories(1)
38
41
41
2229
59
Inventories Calculation =
(1) Source: PPPC Global World 20 June Report. (2) Fibrias estimates.
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000 ton
1996
2006
2016
Growth 20072016
27%
Hardwood
14.3
22.4
29.9
Eucalyptus
5.4
11.1
21.4
106%
67%
Softwood
16.4
22.0
24.1
35%
7%
Market Pulp
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
30.8
44.4
54.0
Hardwood
Softwood
Source: PPPC
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