Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
by Eduardo Petazze
Central Bank
The operation of the financial markets in 2013 pdf, 7 pages (Chinese)
2013, a total bond market to issue RMB bonds 9 trillion yuan, +12.5%. At the end of 2013, bond market hosting amounting to 29.6 trillion yuan, an
increase of 13.0%
December 2013, pledged repo weighted average interest rate was 4.28%, compared with the same period last year rose 166 bps; interbank weighted
average interest rate was 4.16%, compared with the same period last year rose 155 bps.
At the end of the year, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 2115.98 points, compared with the end of last year, down 153.15 points, or 6.75%
Micro Credit Company Statistics in 2013
Uses of Loans by Financial Institutions, 2013 pdf, 7 pages
Miilion of Yuan
Change - % yoy
M2
M1
M0
M2
M1
M0
Jan13
99,212,925 31,122,855 6,244,963 15.92%
15.27%
4.39%
Feb13
99,860,083 29,610,324 6,031,365 15.16%
9.54%
17.23%
Mar13
103,585,837 31,089,829 5,546,052 15.67%
11.83%
11.83%
Apr13
103,255,190 30,764,842 5,560,715 16.07%
11.88%
10.77%
May13
104,216,916 31,020,448 5,443,139 15.79%
11.32%
10.99%
Jun13
105,440,369 31,349,982 5,406,391 13.99%
9.03%
9.70%
Jul13
105,221,234 31,059,646 5,441,278 14.49%
9.72%
9.47%
Aug13
106,125,643 31,408,591 5,492,535 14.74%
9.92%
9.34%
Sep13
107,737,916 31,233,034 5,649,253 14.17%
8.91%
5.72%
Oct13
107,024,217 31,950,938 5,855,831 14.29%
8.93%
13.78%
Nov13
107,925,706 32,482,192 5,644,127 14.23%
9.41%
7.73%
Dec13
110,650,915 33,726,063 5,855,831 13.59%
9.26%
7.13%
2010
67,495,507 24,187,026 4,081,393 20.57%
26.15%
14.65%
2011
78,040,479 27,140,745 4,729,149 15.62%
12.21%
15.87%
2012
91,469,342 28,449,684 5,177,358 17.21%
4.82%
9.48%
2013
105,021,413 31,401,562 5,680,957 14.82%
10.38%
9.73%
Since October 2011, the money supply, including deposits of the fund housing centers and nondeposit-taking
Money Supply
2013.10
864.0
506.0
5.3
183.4
43.1
-34.5
107.2
7.8
2013
Chg.
17,290.4 1,527.2
8,891.7
688.1
584.8 -331.6
2,546.5 1,262.4
1,844.8
560.1
775.0 -274.9
1,802.2 -452.9
221.9
-28.8
CGPI
100.0%
136.7
136.8
136.6
136.4
135.9
134.9
134.4
134.5
135.0
134.8
134.3
133.8
119.6
128.0
121.5
129.4
139.2
136.9
135.3
Agri.
17.7%
183.1
185.6
181.8
186.6
184.9
186.9
189.2
189.7
192.0
191.2
190.1
187.5
132.3
142.4
140.2
157.7
180.0
178.9
187.4
Energy
-1.7%
-1.9%
-2.7%
-5.0%
-5.8%
-4.4%
-2.2%
-1.7%
-1.8%
-2.1%
-2.1%
-1.5%
4.1%
16.4%
-10.4%
12.0%
9.4%
1.7%
-2.8%
Mfg.
-2.4%
-3.2%
-2.7%
-3.5%
-3.3%
-3.6%
-3.6%
-2.7%
-2.8%
-3.0%
-2.7%
-2.2%
3.7%
5.2%
-5.1%
3.5%
4.9%
-2.5%
-3.0%
Ministry of Commerce
Regular Press Conference
In 2013, 22,773 foreign-invested enterprises were newly approved, down by 8.63% yoy; realized FDI reached US$117.586 billion, up by 5.25% yoy
Brief Statistics on China Direct Investment Overseas in 2013
China's FDI inflow grows 5.25 pct in 2013
Trade balance (Official data - US$ thousand)
Also see: China - Foreign Trade in Goods in 2013
Trade
Y/Y
Cumulative
Y/Y
Month
(000) US$ _ _ _
( _ ( _ (
)
)
)
(%)
(%)
Dec-09
243,017,595 32.7 2,207,218,520 -13.9 130,723,881
Dec-10
295,217,729 21.4 2,972,760,961 34.7 154,148,895
Dec-11
332,914,539 12.6 3,642,057,738 22.5 174,717,651
Dec-12
366,840,927 10.2 3,866,760,327
6.2 199,229,682
Dec-13
389,843,996
6.2 4,160,330,639
7.6 207,742,423
Month
Exports
Y/Y
Cumulative
_
_
()
(%)
17.7 1,201,663,294
17.9 1,577,932,252
13.4 1,898,599,840
14.1 2,048,934,762
4.3 2,210,041,939
Imports
Y/Y
Month
Y/Y
Cumulative
_ _ _
_
(
()
)
(%)
(%)
-16.0 112,293,713 55.9 1,005,555,225
31.3 141,068,833 25.6 1,394,828,709
20.3 158,196,889 11.8 1,743,457,898
7.9 167,611,245
6.0 1,817,825,565
7.9 182,101,573
8.3 1,950,288,700
Balance
Y/Y
Month
Cumulative
_ _
_( (
)
)
(%)
-11.2 18,430,168 196,108,069
38.7 13,080,062 183,103,543
24.9 16,519,919 155,141,098
4.3 31,618,437 231,109,197
7.3 25,640,850 259,753,239
SAFE
BoP - 4Q and 2013 - preliminary data (Chinese)
Capital account swings to surplus in 2013: SAFE
In the 4Q2013 China's current account surplus of 305.4 billion yuan (equivalent to 49.8 billion U.S. Dollars)
In 2013, China's international balance of payments current account surplus 1.1688 trillion yuan (equivalent to $ 188.6 billion), the capital and
financial account surplus 1.5061 trillion yuan (equivalent to $ 242.7 billion), international reserve assets increased by $ 2.6749 trillion yuan (431.4
billion U.S. dollars equivalent )
million of US dollars
2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4
current account balance
23,544.0 53,704.4 70,779.0 45,111.7 47,556.0 50,882.8 40,460.0 49,800.0
goods and services balance 3,818.3 68,749.8 73,251.7 86,025.1 40,068.6 62,358.0 44,175.0 91,500.0
credit
474,943.4 573,018.6 591,051.5 609,303.5 557,246.5 597,140.1 614,915.0 658,100.0
debit
471,125.1 504,268.8 517,799.8 523,278.4 517,177.9 534,782.1 570,740.0 566,600.0
goods balance
21,901.8 90,919.9 102,948.3 105,824.8 67,534.0 90,026.7 86,740.0 115,600.0
credit
431,277.1 526,430.5 543,138.5 556,040.4 510,967.8 546,697.5 564,135.0 597,200.0
debit
409,375.3 435,510.7 440,190.2 450,215.6 443,433.8 456,670.8 477,395.0 481,600.0
services balance
-18,083.5 -22,170.1 -29,696.6 -19,799.7 -27,465.4 -27,668.8 -42,565.0 -24,100.0
credit
43,666.3 46,588.1 47,913.0 53,263.1 46,278.7 50,442.5 50,780.0 60,900.0
debit
61,749.8 68,758.2 77,609.6 73,062.8 73,744.1 78,111.3 93,345.0 85,000.0
income balance
17,268.1 -15,646.6 -3,269.4 -40,491.6
8,979.8 -9,171.6 -2,510.0 -38,100.0
2,457.6
601.2
796.7
-421.8 -1,492.4 -2,303.6 -1,205.0 -3,600.0
current transfers balance
capital & financial account balance 56,105.6 -41,245.6 -51,700.0 20,023.5 90,069.8 28,586.7 43,043.0 81,000.0
reserve assets
-74,645.3 11,755.7
440.7 -34,102.6 -156,969.7 -46,584.3 -97,046.0 -130,800.0
-5,004.3 -24,214.4 -19,519.8 -31,032.6 19,344.0 -32,885.3 32,737.0 65,800.0
net errors & omissions
Provisional data
2010
4,053,360
18,738,321
17,359,598
40,151,280
2011
4,225,646
20,665,512
18,994,145
43,885,302
2012
4,417,863
22,301,454
20,524,280
47,243,596
2013
2010 Y/Y 2011 Y/Y 2012 Y/Y 2013 Y/Y
4,595,027
4.27%
4.25%
4.55%
4.01%
24,051,387
12.25%
10.28%
7.92%
7.85%
22,229,968
9.75%
9.42%
8.06%
8.31%
50,876,381
10.45%
9.30%
7.65%
7.69%
30,013.9
52,757.7
14,512.3
85,789.9
65,925.1
2010
4,053,360
18,738,321
17,359,598
40,151,280
32,649.7
57,426.5
15,889.5
91,667.5
69,621.5
2011
4,748,621
22,041,281
20,520,502
47,310,405
34,976.7
61,592.1
17,141.4
95,957.4
74,121.6
2012
5,237,360
23,516,199
23,140,649
51,894,211
37,480.2
9.91%
8.78%
7.13%
7.16%
66,093.0
10.04%
8.85%
7.25%
7.31%
18,596.8
7.86%
9.49%
7.88%
8.49%
100,351.3
8.33%
6.85%
4.68%
4.58%
78,548.1
7.77%
5.61%
6.46%
5.97%
2013
2010 Y/Y 2011 Y/Y 2012 Y/Y 2013 Y/Y
5,695,700
15.07%
17.15%
10.29%
8.75%
24,968,400
18.87%
17.63%
6.69%
6.18%
26,220,400
17.26%
18.21%
12.77%
13.31%
56,884,500
17.78%
17.83%
9.69%
9.62%
30,013.9
6.7696
35,197.9
6.4636
38,419.8
6.3088
41,906.3
6.1478
17.21%
-0.90%
17.27%
-4.52%
9.15%
-2.39%
9.07%
-2.55%
Population (million)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013 Change
Total
1,321.29 1,328.02 1,334.50 1,340.91 1,347.35 1,354.04 1360.72
6.68
Urban
606.33
624.03
645.12
669.78
690.79
711.82 731.11
19.29
Rural
714.96
703.99
689.38
671.13
656.56
642.22 629.61
-12.61
Economically Active Population
765.31
770.46
775.10
783.88
785.79
788.94 793.16
4.22
Activity Rate
57.92% 58.02% 58.08% 58.46% 58.32% 58.27% 58.29%
Employment
753.21
755.64
758.28
761.05
764.20
767.04 769.77
2.73
Urban
309.53
321.03
333.22
346.87
359.14
371.02 382.40
11.38
Rural
443.68
434.61
425.06
414.18
405.06
396.02 387.37
-8.65
Unemployment
12.10
14.82
16.82
22.83
21.59
21.90
23.39
1.49
Unemployment rate
1.58%
1.92%
2.17%
2.91%
2.75%
2.78%
2.95%
Own estimate
Investment in Fixed Assets in 2013
In 2013 investment in fixed assets was 43,652.8 billion yuan, +19.6% in nominal (19.2% in real terms) from +20.6% in 2012
Private Investment in Fixed Assets
Private fixed asset investment was 27,479.4 billion yuan, +23.1% in nominal (22.7% in real terms), from +24.8% in 2012
National Real Estate Development and Sales in 2013
In 2013 real estate investment was 8,601.3 billion yuan, +19.8% in nominal (+19.4% in real terms), from +16.2% in 2012
Industrial Production Operation in December 2013
In December 2013, above-scale industrial added value increased by 9.7% Y/Y (+0.71% M/M), from +10.0% Y/Y (+0.74% M/M) in Nov13.
From Jan. / Dec13 industrial value increased 9.7%
Also see: China Industrial Value Added - Overcapacity still a problem: MIIT
Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods
In December 2013, total retail sales of social consumer goods was 2.306 trillion yuan, +13.6% Y/Y in nominal (+12.2% Y/Y in real terms), from
+13.7% Y/Y in Nov13 and +15.2% Y/Y in Dec12
Business Climate Index 4Q2013
Business confidence index was 117.1 in 4Q2013, from 119.5 in 3Q2013 and 120.4 in 4Q2012
Business climate index was 119.5 in 4Q2013, from 121.5 in 3Q2013 and 124.4 in 4Q2012
Sales Prices of Residential Buildings in 70 Medium and Large-sized Cities
Also see:
China - Real Estate - Price Sales Indices
Home prices keep climbing, slower rises seen in 2014
Land prices to climb slower in Q1
Producer Prices for the Industrial Sector for December
Consumer Prices for December 2013
Index (same month last year = 100) 2013.12 2013.1 2013.1 2013.1 2013.1 2013.1 2013.1 2013.1 2013.0 2013.0 2013.0 2013.0 2012.1
The consumer price index
102.5 103.0 103.2 103.1 102.6 102.7 102.7 102.1 102.4 102.1 103.2 102.0 102.5
Food
104.1 105.9 106.5 106.1 104.7 105.0 104.9 103.2 104.0 102.7 106.0 102.9 104.2
Tobacco and liquor
99.6
99.8
99.8
99.8 100.0 100.2 100.3 100.5 100.8 101.0 101.1 101.4 101.5
Clothing
102.1 102.0 102.4 102.3 102.2 102.2 102.3 102.5 102.5 102.3 102.1 102.5 101.9
Household equipment
101.4 101.3 101.5 101.4 101.4 101.4 101.5 101.6 101.6 101.6 101.6 101.5 101.7
Health care --100.9 101.0 101.0 101.1 101.2 101.2 101.4 101.5 101.5 101.7 101.8 101.8 101.7
Transport and communications
99.9
99.5
99.4
99.8 100.0
99.9
99.3
98.8
98.9
99.7 100.2
99.7 100.0
Entertainment and educational
102.9 102.8 102.5 101.9 101.2 101.3 101.4 101.3 101.5 101.7 102.0 100.5 101.1
Live class
102.8 102.6 102.6 102.6 102.6 102.8 103.1 103.0 102.9 102.9 102.8 102.9 103.0
Final Verification Data of GDP in 2012
China's Non-manufacturing PMI Decreased in December
China's PMI Was 51.0 Percent in December
Also see: China - CFLP Manufacturing PMI
Bulletin on the National Grain Output in 2013
Also see: China to increase subsidies to grain production
Other
HSBC China Services PMI
HSBC China Manufacturing PMI
8.8% salary hikes expected for 2014
China - National government debt audit results - Provinces scale back 2014 investment targets
CEMAC Leading Index December 2013: Leading index=99.5 - Coincident index=97.5 - Lagging index=95.4 - Warning Index=90.7 (Chinese)
The Conference Board - Leading Economic Index, December 2013 pdf, 8 pages