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• Coal production has increased at a five-year CAGR of 4.6 per cent to 540 million tonnes in
Third-largest coal
FY2012 making India the third largest producer in the world. Further, India has the fifth-
producer largest coal reserves in the world
Fourth-largest iron ore • Iron ore production expanded at a CAGR of 3.2 per cent during FY07–11. Based on iron
producer ore production, India ranks fourth globally
Second-largest steel • India is slated to become the second-largest steel producer by 2015. Crude steel
producer by 2015 production increased at a CAGR of 7.7 per cent over 2005–12
• India has the fifth-largest bauxite reserves, with deposits of about 3 billion tonnes or 5 per
Fifth-largest bauxite
cent of world deposits. Aluminium production is estimated to be 4.7 million tonnes per
reserves annum during 2012–17
Advantage
India
Competitive advantage Policy support
• The engineering sector is delicensed;
• India holds a fair advantage in • 100 per
100 percent
centFDI
FDIis allowed
allowed in the
cost of production and conversion sector sector under the Automatic
mining
costs in steel and alumina Route
• It’s strategic location enables •• Due to policy
Mining lease support,
grantedthere
for a was
long
convenient exports to developed cumulative
duration of FDI of USD14.0
minimum billionand
20 years into
as well as the fast-developing thetosector
up over April 2000 – February
30 years
Asian markets • 2012, making
Approval up 8.6 per
of MMDR Bill cent
(2011)of total
to
FDI into the country in
provide better legislative that period
environment for investment and
technology
1972
1956
• India is the largest
producer of sheet mica,
• Mineral Exploration the third largest producer
Corporation of iron ore and the fifth
established to largest producer of
• Central Government
conduct exploration bauxite in the world
1947 promulgated
with focus on coal, • Crude steel production in
Industrial Policy
iron ore, limestone, India expanded at a
Resolution
dolomite and CAGR of 6.7 per cent
• The exploration of manganese ore
minerals was over 1980-2012
• Mining sector
intensified and the • India accounted for 7.3
received a boost
Geological Survey of per cent of the metals
post
India was and mining industry in
independence
strengthened the Asia-Pacific region in
under the
• Indian Bureau of 2011
impact of
successive Five Mines was
Year Plans established to look
after the scientific
development of
mineral resources
Source: World Steel Association (WSA), DataMonitor
Note: CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
Iron and steel segment offers a product mix which includes hot
rolled parallel flange beams and columns rails, plates, coils, wire
Iron and steel
rods, and continuously cast products such as billets, blooms, beam,
blank, rounds and slab, and metallics and ferro alloy
Base metals Base metal market consists of lead, zinc, copper, nickel and tin
Precious metals and Precious metals market includes gold, silver, platinum, palladium,
minerals rhodium, diamond
India’s metals and mining industry recorded a strong 19.8 Value of India’s metals and mining industry
per cent expansion in 2011 to touch USD141.9 billion (USD billion)
India accounted for 7.3 per cent of the metals and mining industry in the Asia-Pacific region in 2011
Shares in India’s metals and mining industry (2011) India’s share in the metals and mining industry in
Asia-Pacific (2011)
2.0%
Iron & Steel
3.2% 9.0%
3.9% China
0.2%
Coal 7.1%
20.8% Japan
Crude steel production is estimated to reach 76.7 million metric tonnes in 2012, expanding at a CAGR of 7.7 per cent over
2005–12. Production in Q1 2013 is estimated at 19.8 million metric tonnes
India is the world’s fourth-largest producer of crude steel (2012), with a global share of 5.1 per cent
Crude steel production (million metric tonnes) Shares in global crude steel production (2012)
76.7
4.7%
62.8 72.2 China
66.8 5.1%
53.1 57.8
49.5 5.9% Japan
45.8
United States
7.1%
India
46.9%
Russia
With rising domestic demand-supply gap and to make 7.5 8.3 8.1
domestic supplies more attractive, the government on
6.6 7.1
March 2011 hiked freight charges and taxes on iron ore
exports
457
5.1% Australia
49.5%
5.6% India
5.8% Indonesia
India has 3.3 billion tonnes of bauxite reserves, the fifth-largest deposit of bauxite globally
Aluminium demand by sector (2011) India’s share in global aluminium production (2012)
China
• The demand for metal and metal products is rising in the domestic market with India being
Focus on domestic a net importer in the metals segment
market • In March 2011, freight charges and taxes on iron ore exports were increased to boost
domestic supplies
Inviting Resulting in
Sustained growth in
India’s automotive Allowing private
Increasing FDI
sector ownership
Rising production of
cement increasing
demand for coal
Passenger vehicles was the fastest-growing segment, representing a CAGR of 15.4 per cent
15.5 15.9
13.4
10.5
876 912
Power generation in India expanded at a CAGR of 5.7 per 811
724 772
cent during FY06–13
618 663 705
To meet growing power demand, the Power Ministry has FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13P
targeted capacity addition of 85,000 MW in the Twelfth Plan
(2012-17) period
Source: Central Electricity Authority (CEA), Aranca Research
Note: TWh - Terawatt-hour,P- Provisional
Infrastructure projects continue to provide lucrative business India’s expanding infrastructure industry
opportunities for steel, zinc and aluminium producers (USD billion)
66 65
48 48 58
37
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12E
FY13F
FY14F
FY15F
FY16F
FY17F
Source: Business Monitor International ‘s (BMI) report on
infrastructure industry in India Q4 2012, Aranca Research
Note: F - Forecasts (by BMI)
India’s residential and non-residential building industry Residential and non-residential building industry
expanded at a CAGR of 10.7 per cent over FY08-11 (USD billion)
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13E
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
FY17E
Source: Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion,
12th Five Year Plan, Aranca Research
Note: E - Estimate, MTPA - Million Tonnes Per Annum,
CAGR - Cumulative Average Growth Rate
Increasing number of
Government support
houses
Higher cement
production
• Government of India significantly reduced the duty payable on finished steel products and
Reduced custom duty has streamlined the associated approval process
• FDI up to 100 per cent is permitted under the Automatic Route to explore and exploit all
Relaxed FDI norms non-fuel and non-atomic minerals and process all metals as well as for metallurgy
• FDI caps for coal and lignite has been increased to 100 per cent under the automatic route
• In a positive move for the sector, in 2008, the Indian Cabinet approved the National
Approved NMP
Mineral Policy (NMP) 2008, to boost FDI in mining
998
391
25
In 2011, M&A deal value in the mining sector stood at USD11.2 billion, 292 per cent higher than the corresponding figure
for 2010 (USD2.9 billion)
Vedanta Resources PLC Cairn India Ltd (30.4% stake in December 2011) 4,541.9
Vedanta Resources PLC Cairn India Ltd (10.1% stake in July 2011) 1,513.2
6.5
• Set up in 1967, Coal India Limited (CIL) is the largest coal mining company in India
• Coal India contributes around 81 per cent of total coal production in India
The company's strategic overseas ventures with Colombia Coal production (in million tonnes)
and US enabled it to meet India's rising energy demand
Government has recently allocated 116 coal blocks to CIL FY10 395.1 36.1
for expansion
FY09 377.2 26.5
• Incorporated in 1954, Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) is India's second largest producer of iron ore
It won the Gold Trophy of “SCOPE Meritorious Award for Total saleable steel production (million tonnes)
R&D, Technology Development & Innovation” for 2007-08
12.6 13.0 12.5 12.6 12.9 12.4
It was also awarded the “Corporate Social Responsibility &
Responsiveness“ by the President of India in FY09 9.3
• India’s per capita steel • India has the world’s fifth- • Strong long-term demand
consumption was 59 kg in largest reserve base of from the steel industry is
2012 compared with the bauxite and fourth-largest expected to further boost
global average of 215 kg base of iron ore the iron ore industry
respectively, and accounts
• Rural per capita steel for about 7 per cent and 11 • Increasing power
consumption is likely to per cent respectively, of production is likely to
reach around 20 kg from total world production catapult demand for coal
13 kg currently
• Moreover, India has the • Booming construction,
• By FY12, a shortfall is world’s fifth-largest coal automobiles, and
expected in domestic reserves and accounts for packaging industries are
supply of steel worth 3-8 7.5 per cent of total global expected to lend
million tonnes production substantial support to the
metals and mining sector
• Odisha: Bonai (Keonjhar belt) and • Fines production was approximately 126
Tomka (Daitari and Umerkoke belts) MT in 2009–10
Market structure: it takes into consideration mining output in USD billion, sector value growth, per cent y-o-y r, mining
sector, per cent of GDP
Country structure: it takes into consideration labour market infrastructure, physical infrastructure r, tax, and scope of
state
Market risks: it considers metals prices, 5-year, forecast average, metals price forecast, average 5-year growth,
regulatory framework, legal framework
Country risk: it considers, long-term external risk, corruption, bureaucracy, long-term policy continuity
Public Private Partnership (a type of joint venture between the public and private sectors)
USD: US Dollar
Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number
Exchange Rates (Fiscal Year) Exchange Rates (Calendar Year)
Year INR equivalent of one US$ Year INR equivalent of one US$
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