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ekst
nekst4.indd 1 12-6-2009 11:59:30
Ernst & Young
preface
COLO P H O N
Nekst is the quar te r l y m a g a z i n e
of Asset | Econom e t r i c s © 2 0 0 9
Corresp ondence
T ilburg Universit y
R o om E 110
P.O. B ox 90153
5000 LE T ilburg
Telephone: 013 46 6 2 7 4 7
info@Asset-Econom e t r i c s. n l
www.Asset-Econom e t r i c s. n l
Editorial staff
M ar leen B alver t
Tess B euk ers For the seventeenth time in the history of the Asset | Econometrics magazine
S er vaas van B ilsen
T im B o onen
T imo D eist the current editor-in-chief has the honour to introduce to you the editor-in-
Emile van E len
M irjam G ro ote Sch a a r s b e rg chief for the upcoming year.
Whitney Pattinaja
B as Ver heul
Linda Vos
Rather annoying it must be for you, as a loyal reader of this great magazine, to read again
Contributions and again about how much the current editor-in-chief enjoyed his work and about the
M ar ije Alblas fact that all beginnings have an end.
H ettie B o onman
Edwin van Dam
Stefan Damen Apparently all chief editors do somehow have the feeling that they have to share this
Harold van H eijst thought with you. But do not worry, I am not going to bore you with that.
D or i van Hulst
W ilb er t K istemak e r
Patr ick Kuijp ers Neither my intentions would be satisfied nor would your expectations of this preface be
Wouter Ludwig met if I would just leave it to announcing the new editor-in-chief. Therefore, as usual, I am
Ir is M ehlk opf going to tell you about the content as well.
R o el M ehlk opf
T im van der M olen Ku i p e r s
H enk Norde So let us face things first though. Likely, the only reason why you are still reading is
R obb er t van O oste n because you are curious about the new editor-in-chief. Therefore, I will spend just four
S ander van der Plo e g sentences on the contents, including this one, before I continue with announcing the
Promotion commit te e new editor-in-chief. This edition of Nekst contains several interviews, including one with
M ar ta S er ra-G arcia
T im Thijssen Head of Planning at Shell and one with professor Nijman, who is affiliated with Netspar.
Freder ic Ver meule n Furthermore, due to great successes from last year, the photo contest is back as well. Your
B ar t Verscho or usual sections are of course also well represented. All right, to back the moment you have
David Vonk a all been waiting for. Actually, without you probably noticing, you already came across the
first name of the new editor-in-chief. I would like to ask you to first do as I describe and
E nglish language co rre c to r then to continue reading the next line. Form a word of all the first letters of the first words
Ni kk i Idema of the five paragraphs of this preface. That word makes the first name of the new editor-
in-chief. Curious about his last name? Of course I am not going to give it to you just like
Printing that. Go to the website stuwww.uvt.nl/asset-econometrics/curious/ to check it out. Enjoy
D rukk er ij O ffset S e r v i ce your summer!
Ci rculation
650
Editor-in-chief
Dear members, all good things come to an end. Even though the official end of our board year is still months
ahead, it certainly does not feel that way. After quite a busy period with among other things the Finance
Symposium, Active Members Weekend (AMW) and this last Nekst of the year, it is getting significantly quieter
This peaceful period will probably not last long, With rounding up the last activity of the
since there are five enthusiastic active members year and the introduction of the candidate
who cannot wait to start the summer as candidate board the ending of our year on the board of
board of Asset | Econometrics. During the summer our association becomes definite. We are all
there will be plenty of time for the candidates to excited about life after our board year, but it
familiarise themselves with the daily business of is strange to say goodbye to the world that
our association and learn more about everything we have created this year at the rooms of
that is known about the thirty-year history and Asset | Econometrics. A world in which there
traditions of our association. is plenty of time for sports, including table
football and various interesting variants of
Our association has many traditions most volleyball, and where strange nicknames like
of which can be practised, and therefore Allie, Buddy, Fox, Mattie and Swa are common
are practised excessively, during an AMW. use. A world were there is never a clean piece
Therefore we were not at all surprised when of dishes to be found and it is not uncommon
a former board member drove off with the to run into a half-eaten sandwich that looks
association flag hanging out of the window like it has been sitting out for quite a while. Name:
of his car after visiting the location of the A world where we laugh at Emile’s somewhat Marije Alblas
AMW. Furthermore during this year’s AMW femine bag, Linda’s jokes that are so extremely
the tradition of Masters of Barbecue Masters bad it actually makes them funny, Mathijs’ dry
was brought back to life with the installation sense of humour, Stefan’s loud voice when Position:
of three new Juniors of Barbecue Masters. using the phone and my somewhat peculiar Chairman
Unfortunately not all traditions were carried eating and drinking habits. And the best
Asset | Econometrics
out properly. For instance, Douwe Egberts thing is that a while after the start of a board
Roodmerk coffee was nowhere in sight and year, active members start to catch up on the Board 2008-2009
I have not been flipped while sleeping. Not humour created by a new board an actually
that there were no attempts at flipping me, join in on the bad jokes and the ridiculing of
but I just kept waking up every time someone the habits and looks of board members. After
came near my bed. Resulting in frustrated almost a year the jokes are starting to get old
members who waited next to my bed until I so it is right about time for new jokes and a
would fall asleep and finally a violent attempt new world created by a new board.
to flip me while I was already awake. I hope
I made up for the failing of this tradition by On behalf of the Asset | Econometrics board,
serving everyone bacon and eggs after going
out and cleaning the toilets at the end of the Marije Alblas
weekend, one of the less favoured traditions Chairman Asset | Econometrics
among Asset | Econometrics chairmen.
In the Netherlands, besides Tilburg University, there are Vectum is the study association of the
University of Maastricht. Every year, all
five other places where the possibility exists to study members of Vectum are looking forward
to our Members’ Weekend. Around this
Econometrics. One might expect that the courses in time of the year we will go to Kempense
Meren in Belgium in mid-June. In this
the other cities probably only differ in name when you weekend we have much fun at the lakes,
where we play some entertaining games
compare it to the courses at Tilburg University. Nekst and have a barbecue and a beer together.
It will wrap up a fun year. For those who
wondered if the same thing holds for the econometric study are leaving, either permanently or for
their exchange semester, this weekend is
associations. Therefore we asked the five chairmen of the Daniel Pollman a nice goodbye.
Vectum
LOES associations in the rest of the Netherlands what kind University of Maastricht
First of all I would like to introduce myself The VSAE is the study association for students
to you: my name is Geert Stapensea Econometrics, Actuarial Sciences and
and this year I am the chairman of Operational Research Management at the
the Econometric Study Association in University of Amsterdam. The spectacular
Rotterdam ( Econometrisch Dispuut ). Our project of the VSAE is the Econometric
most fun activity is without a doubt our Game which was organised for the first time
International Research Project. Students in 1999. Over the last ten years, this game
do a research project in the Netherlands has evolved from a one day national event
and will then travel to a destination to a highly respected international event
outside Europe for about three weeks to lasting three days. During the Econometric
have an unforgettable journey. I would Game 2009 this April, 26 universities like
like to thank the editors of this magazine the New York University and the University
for giving me the opportunity to tell Geert Stapensea Annelies Langelaar of Oxford, came to Amsterdam to strive for
something about the most fun activity Econometrisch Dispuut VSAE the highest honour by trying to solve the
of our association. Erasmus University University of case concerning child mortality. The winner
Rotterdam Amsterdam of this year’s Econometric Game was the
Universidad Carlos III of Madrid.
Nekst was happily surprised to hear it would have the honour of interviewing a prominent employee
within Royal Dutch Shell, who it just so happened studied econometrics at Tilburg University: Hein van den
Wildenberg. Currently, Hein is located at the headquarters of Royal Dutch Shell in The Hague, where he is Head
of Planning. Nekst asked him about his career and his view on Shell in the international energy market.
It all started for me when I unsuspectingly followed a course and having been beaten up by a firm portion of maths, was
enjoying my break.Suddenly,two happy girls came by and told us about‘the tapas-evening to be held next Wednesday’.
Of course, we subscribed for this evening not-to-be-missed and immediately called one of our study mates that had
just left, to tell him that he had to cancel everything for this event and that he should subscribe to it as well.
e x cursion aon
On 8 May a group of 36 freshmen, accompanied by two board members and two student assistants, took off to
Rotterdam to introduce the freshmen to a company where they might end up working after the completion of
their studies. The company to be visited was Aon Consulting, a firm focusing on risk management, employee
Expectations came up with some original answers. Other groups with less
The freshmen were to make a case about the currently much original yet empirically well funded answers. All together
debated topic pensions, as this is one of the main pillars most groups did a fine job and hence everyone could be
the division we visited, Actuarial Service, focuses on. The proud of themselves for performing so well. Once the
group was a nice mix of native and non-native students. presentations were finished the group gathered once more
Although the language between these two groups differs, in the main room so Aon could thank the students and Asset
they definitely had one thing in common: they all had no | Econometrics could thank Aon for their hospitality.
“Q uite a s h o c k i t m u s t h a ve b e e n to s e e s u c h a n i ce building
w i t h s u c h a m a r ve l l o u s v i e w ove r Ro t te rd a m. ”
clue what to expect, as this would be their first time to Aon must have thought that the students were rather tired
see econometrics applied in daily business. Quite a shock after solving the case, as they arranged for a fine drink along
it must have been to see such a nice building with such a with some snacks to regain strength. Also, in case the students
marvellous view over Rotterdam. Another thing that must would get tired in the future again, Aon handed over a sports
have shocked them was the fact that nothing they learned drinking bottle to all students. All in all it was a successful
in the past year was noticeable in the case Aon designed. day for all parties: students’ expectations were met, Aon got
Fortunately, the case contained a decent description about to present itself the way they wanted to and hence study
how the Dutch pension system works. The freshmen, divided association Asset | Econometrics is satisfied. [EvE]
into groups and put into several very nice looking rooms,
received some additional explanation about the three well-
known pillars and about the differences between a Defined
Benefit scheme and a Defined Contribution scheme. As if this
were not enough, several technical terms, such as ‘accrual
rate’ and ‘salary offset’, were introduced. After the necessary
habituation most groups started working hard on trying to
find the answers to the somewhat tough questions. Not only
because the winning group would receive much respect from
the other groups, but also because the freshmen wanted to
show off the extraordinary skills Tilburgian econometricians
possess.
Results
The day grew older and raindrops made place for beautiful
sunbeams that fell into the Rotterdam office. Meanwhile the
students whipped of their sweat that appeared because of
the hard working so they could finish the case which they
were to present in front of other groups. Several groups Freshmen working on the Aon case
Many of you may have received some signals that changes are going to be carried through in the bachelor
and master programmes of Econometrics & OR. In this article we will explain why the programmes are going
to be changed, which changes are going to be carried through and how you, as a student, may be affected by
these changes.
Year 1 (as of September 2009) Year 2 (as of September 2010) Year 3 (as of September 2011)
Some of you might know that changes in the bachelor and master programmes are going to be carried
through. Because of the changes in the master, some bachelor courses had to be changed as well. Also some
adjustments have to be made to ensure a smooth transition from secondary school to the first year of the
bachelor programme. So what do students enrolled in Econometrics think of these changes? Is it about time
E conometric game 2 0 0 9
You may not know it, but there is a thing called the Econometric Game. It has been around for eleven years now,
starting as a small competition of teams from six Dutch universities in 1999 and becoming an international
The Econometric Game is a competition limit ourselves to the few papers suggested
for graduate students coming from all over by the case-makers.
the world. Every team consists of two PhD
students and three students in final phases The real work began on day two. The first case
of their master studies, which in the case dealt with child mortality in India. We were
of Tilburg University comes down to either asked to analyse the link between fertility of a
second year Mphil students or final year family and the number of children the family
students of the Econometrics programme. This has lost. The case-makers were interested
year, we, Luc Bissonnette and David Vonka, in causal relationships, which made the
both from the Econometrics Department, case rather challenging. We came up with
joined as PhD’s and Georgios Petropoulos, a solution, which we would not hesitate to
Simone Sadzeviciute and Janos Zsiros (all call original. We still argue, whether it was
from the Mphil Economics programme) were the completely stupid kind of original, or the
our team’s master students. As you can guess genius kind of original. Both our positions on
from the names, our team included no Dutch this issue changed a few times, but original
Name: students, which can be interpreted as either it was. Anyway, the work ended at 18.00
David Vonka very cool (we are so international here in hours. Thereafter, a rich social programme
Tilburg) or very sad (the Dutch students do begun, including a huge dinner, talking to
not care). all the people and rather impressive amount
Position: of drinks. At 22.00 hours, the jury met us in
PhD student The Econometric Game works as follows. a bar and announced the ten finalists, which
There is one introductory day. The second included our team. To be completely honest,
day all teams work on case number one for after a day of nervous preparation and another
nine hours. All teams deliver a paper. The jury nine hours of frenetic work on the first case,
reads the papers and selects ten teams for the we were not unambiguously happy about
finals. On the third day, the finalists compete becoming a finalist. A free day in Amsterdam
on case number two. From these, the top sounded more like a reward than another
three teams are selected and announced. case. Still, it is not bad to beat teams from
places like London School of Economics, New
All the teams stay in hotels near the York University or the University of Oxford.
Amsterdam ZOO, where the competition
takes place. On the first morning, participants It is interesting to mention that the list of
assemble in the building of the University finalists was not a list of expected names
of Amsterdam to see the presentations of only. It included among others two Eastern
the case-makers. This year’s case was mostly European universities ( Warsaw and Budapest)
written under the supervision of professor and a business school from Norway.
Jan Kiviet, from the University of Amsterdam.
These first presentations are not very detailed; The third day’s case brought the finalists
they give a fair picture of the cases, but no to Brazil, where the effects of a poverty
precise formulation of the question and no programme had to be analysed using panel
description of the datasets that will be used data on Brazilian regions and policy advice
on the following days. This lack of information had to be given. In contrast to the first case,
and the lack of a decent Internet connection the case-makers had a concrete solution
made it hard to really start working. We had to method in mind. Teams without reasonable
It must have been a strange sight for people around Tilburg Central Station on the afternoon of Friday 24 April:
a group of about thirty active members, dressed in various bright colours and carrying big bags, gathered in
front of this station. Enthusiasm radiated from their faces. The air was crystal clear, the temperature had risen
to 20°C. It was the start of the Active Members Weekend (AMW), the one-and-only, should-have-experienced-
so-try-before-you-die weekend.
This year’s AMW was different from previous There were several activities on the way. One of
ones: this edition was in fact a huge competition those activities was rope pulling and our team
between teams (referred to as the Asset | was able, for the first time, to prove that we
Econometric games). Those teams could earn really were as strong as orange lions. We had
points with activities during the weekend. The to take up arms against team Purple. Maybe
ultimate goal was, of course, to win the Asset it was the heat, maybe it was the tension of
| Econometric games. Right from the start of the battle or maybe it was the fact that the
the weekend, one could feel the tension of other team could brace their selves against
competition. There were five teams: Purple, the curb? Unfortunately, our team was beaten.
Green, Orange, Red, and Blue. Most people No worries, there were a lot of activities ahead
would say that these are the names of colours, of us.
but team Blue gave their own interpretation to
their name: Best Linear Unbiased Estimator. Ok, After the picture trail, we walked to the
we are still econometricians…and please be beautiful accommodation the AMW-committee
Name: so kind as not to ask me what it means! Yours had picked for us: Kampeerboerderij Van
truly was a member of the Orange team. Pinksteren. For some, this location was well-
Harold van Heijst known, because the KOALA (Kansloos Oud
Actief Leden Activiteit) also took place here.
Age: For others, the location should have been
column
On 4 July, the Tour de France, the yearly high mass of cycling, will kick off in Monaco. The three weeks that
follow will, without any doubt, couple the beautiful scenery of waving corn fields to knife-edge heroic duels
in the Alps or the Pyrenees. Old saints will be celebrated while new martyrs will enter the scene.
Like in many religions, though, there will game who behave strategically while taking
also be beings who bedevil and put to the account of the other players’ actions. They
test the righteous ones. Indeed, the list of take strategic decisions that should lead to
fallen angels is all too long: Jan Ullrich, Floyd the, for them, best possible outcome of the
Landis, Ivan Basso, Michael Rasmussen and game.
Alexandre Vinokourov are only a few top
favourites who took drugs and were caught in Let us assume that there are only two cyclists
the more recent editions of la Grande Boucle. in the peloton. Although the following
Some people claim that cycling is simply too simple example can be easily generalised in
Cyclist B
Cyclist A Takes drugs (Cyclist A: 10, Cyclist B:10) (Cyclist A: 13, Cyclist B:7)
Does not take drugs (Cyclist A: 7, Cyclist B:13) (Cyclist A: 12, Cyclist B:12)
To u r d e F r a n c e
As buyers or sellers in different markets,we negotiate prices and quantities.In the process,we often communicate
and share information with each other. Hence the question arises; does our communication lead to more efficient
outcomes? Although we might intuitively expect so, under the standard theoretical framework in economics this
assumption does not necessarily hold. Even if buyers have no reason to mislead sellers, the latter might believe
they do and hence ignore their messages. However recent research suggests that individuals prefer to be
truthful and messages are often believed; thus communication can have an important impact on outcomes.
“S i n ce co m m u n i ca t i o n i s co s t l e s s, discussions
Name: a b o u t i n te n t i o n s a re n o t n e ce s s a ri l y credible. ”
Marta Serra-Garcia
findings shed a new light on the role of while the other is labelled B. You know one car
Position: communication in economic interactions and is of good quality and worth 100 to you, while
PhD student support its potential in determining economic the other is of bad quality and worth 0 to you.
outcomes. Unfortunately, you cannot tell which car is
Ta b l e 1 : P a y o f f s i n g a m e 1
In this article, we first discuss a strand of what quality, but the seller does know. Suppose
the literature, which focuses on individual’s the price of both cars is 50 and the seller earns a
preferences for truth-telling. Then we argue fixed wage of 50. Whatever car he sells you, he
how these preferences can, under some will earn 50 but you will only earn 50 if it is the
circumstances, lead to more precise predictions high-quality car and lose 50 otherwise. Table 1
regarding the role of communication in summarises the payoffs in this game, which we
economic interactions. will call game 1.
The literature on communication is quite wide. Imagine the seller tells you that ‘Car A is of better
On the one hand, it studies communication in quality’. Would you believe him? He has no
situations of symmetric information, in which incentive to lie, since he earns the same amount
evolutionarily stable equilibrium in do not tell the truth? This cost could from experimental research and
these games is Pareto-efficient. also be dependent on the monetary theoretical modelling will be needed.
payoffs obtained by lying, if the lie Furthermore it is the dialogue between
This literature is very recent and many is thought to be trustworthy. To find them that will probably result in the
questions still remain unanswered. the answers to these questions, both most relevant answers. |
One of the most interesting questions empirical evidence, mainly stemming
consists of investigating the strength of
individuals’ lying aversion. As we have
seen in game 2, lying aversion can lead
the seller to be truthful and the buyer
to buy the car, only if the costs of lying
are ‘high enough’. Further experimental
studies could investigate the strength
of lying aversion in different economic
interactions, allowing us to have a
better understanding of when it is
relevant. This could lead to a better
prediction power regarding the
impact of communication in economic
interactions.
References
Gneezy, U. (2005). Deception: The Role of Consequences, American Economic Review, 95(1), 384-394.
Sánchez-Pagés, S. and Vorsatz, M. (2007). An experimental study of truth-telling in sender-receiver games, Games and Economic Behavior, 61,
86-112.
Demichelis, S. and Weibull, J. W. (2008). Language, Meaning, and Games: A Model of Communication, Coordination, and Evolution, American
Economic Review, 98(4), 1292-1311.
C ycling dinner
A few weeks ago it was time for the cycling dinner. Every participant was placed in a group of two and had to
prepare a course so one would end up eating each course at someone else’s place with another group. This
is a very nice way to meet some other econometricians, especially for freshmen. I was placed in a group with
Tess Beukers.
We were to prepare a dessert. Because it was to be a very well prepared pasta dish with
such nice weather, we decided to make a white smoked salmon and vegetables. And again,
chocolate strawberry tiramisu. After doing a glass of fine white TEV wine was served.
some shopping for all the ingredients we During the meal Marleen and Lars tried to
tried to concoct it. Because neither of us had bribe us with some money to give a good
ever made it before, we just had an attempt review of their meal in this article. Luckily for
at it and were quite surprised that it tasted so them, that wasn’t necessary, as they would
good. Our first course was at Emile van Elen’s get a good review anyway!
place. The sun was shining, so the first thing
we did after we arrived was drink a glass of flat The dessert was served at my place. Tess and
TEV wine on the balcony. Emile and Yvonne I tried to squeeze everyone into my room,
Blom served a delicious Carpaccio with salad which was a very tight fit. We were very happy
and a dressing. This was of course a very good that our dessert tasted so good because it
start to the cycling dinner! And while sitting was a bit of an experiment. After some beers
in the warm afternoon sun we almost forgot and some more beers, we went to Philip’s for
the time, so we arrived a bit too late for our the final drink. Everyone was already there Name:
main course. Fortunately, when we arrived and was trying to convince one another that Tim van der Molen
at the house where we were to consume the their course was the best. All in all this was a Kuipers
second course, we found Marleen Balvert and very good end to the cycling dinner! |
Lars van Heijst still cooking. It turned out
Age:
18
Begin studies:
2008
We arrive at the Deloitte offices in Eindhoven 45 minutes early and are welcomed by a friendly lady at the
reception. Three quarters of an hour later, at the scheduled time, we are welcomed once more, this time
by Martin Delsman, senior consultant at Deloitte. Martin is accompanied by an active member of Asset |
Econometrics, Inge Pulles. For two days a week Inge is a working student at Deloitte. Martin has agreed to tell
Thursday morning, 9.00 hours until 10.00 hours. That was where we were squeezed into Professor Nijman’s
tight schedule. He is a busy man: Scientific Director Tilburg Center of Finance; Academic Coordinator Inquire
Europe; Scientific Director and Chairman of Netspar and – of course – full professor at Tilburg University.
” S o m e e co n o m e t ri c i a n s t h i n k t h e ir added
Name:
Theo Nijman
va l u e i s to m a ke t h e m o d e l m o re complex. ”
Position:
Scientific director
Now, he has been working at Tilburg University United States that do save but leave the
and chairman of
for 24 years, in which he contributed his part citizens completely free in their decisions
Netspar to the change of the very local department and therefore completely vulnerable to their
of Econometrics to a fully international own ignorance. The Dutch pension system
institute. Until 2002 he had focused mainly on avoids these pitfalls but has the drawback
econometric methods and finance. The first that it neglects the potential of fitting the
ten years he concentrated his work mainly on schemes to individual preferences and
econometric methodology and the next ten circumstances, which would make use of the
years on financial econometrics. However, different sensitivities towards risk factors.
since 2005 he focused on the analysis of An increase in retirement age is required
pensions, in which professor Nijman has put globally - and Nijman predicts it to be raised
almost all his effort the recent years. Many further in the future. Professor Nijman: “My
students recognise him from his contributions, generation will have to cope with a lot of risk
both to the academic literature and to the regarding the funding of our pensions. We
public debate. He really likes his position as cannot depend on the younger generations
scientific director and chairman of Netspar, to pay for us. A huge part of it will be based
since it allows him to be very independent in on investments which always involve risk.”
his opinions, which he would not have been Another important factor which is stressed
possible if he worked for the government or by Professor Nijman is the lack of awareness
in business. Therefore he expects to stay at in society: “Hardly anyone thinks about his
Tilburg University in the future and maybe own future retirement or even plans how he
until his retirement, in which he can enjoy his or she will save up for it. It is taken for granted
pension. to receive a decent pension and this state of
be a vital policy concern and heated debates Personal life Theory or practice?
regarding the current funding can be seen He would like to spend more time on Practice
on television. Even on the international level, teaching and research himself, but, due to his
Netspar has gained attention and other several administrative positions, he spends
countries show interest in their work. For the three days a week on management and Calculator or mental
period 2008-2011 14 million Euros have been can only devote part of his time on these. arithmetic?
raised from the private and public sector Fortunately Frank van der Duyn Schouten Calculator
to fund Netspar and Nijman emphasises has recently joined the Netspar board which
that there would be no limits for Netspar if should reduce the time Nijman spends on ALM or Pension System
they received more support. Netspar tries administrative duties. Nijman admits that Design?
to meet the future demand for economists work has become his hobby and that it does Pension System Design
by coordinating the relatively new master’s heavily influence his private life. Apart from
programme ‘Economics and Finance of Aging’ doing research during the weekend, he also Beer or wine?
and moreover initiated and sponsors three plays tennis and is part of an investment Wine
courses in the Econometrics curriculum. committee. He has three daughters of which
one is currently studying psychology. This
Econometrics topic has immediately aroused his interest, Risky investment or
Besides all this, Professor Nijman teaches since her thesis is surprisingly heavily related savings account?
the courses ‘Asset Liability Management’ to statistics. Nijman is also interested in the Risky investment
and ‘Pension System Design’ which both use of statistics and mathematics in other
introduce students to tools to find solutions fields, including applications in health care. Stress or boredom?
regarding problems with pensions. There are too many things he would like to Stress
Theo Nijman regards Econometrics as a do.
powerful device to solve financial problems
but he criticises the current focus of the Many of them will have to be postponed until
programme. The curriculum is very much he retires. But even then, lecturing on the
centred on theory and tools, which is use of econometrics in finance and pensions
appropriate for the first semesters, but is likely to be one of his activities. [ TD]
beer cantus
28 April, the day on which the fourth COdE Beer Cantus took place in the Music & Theatre house La Vida. The
theme of the cantus was orange, thereby making this event a great warming up for the upcoming Queen’s
day. At first, only active members of the Asset associations were allowed to buy tickets for this special event,
but eventually as there were some tickets left, I managed to get myself one as well.
We wanted to be sure to get a nice table organisation explained the rules one last
at the cantus, where we could sit together time. With that said, everybody was more
with as many econometricians as possible. than ready to empty their first glasses!
So about half an hour before the start of the The cantus started a little rusty, probably due
cantus, we changed into our orange outfits to overall soberness. However, after a couple
and cycled to La Vida. After we had found a of songs and beers you could really sense the
table in a perfect spot, which was close to the atmosphere growing. Especially during songs
bar and with enough space to move around, like ‘‘t Dondert en ‘t Bliksemt’ and ‘Stil in
we waited until the singing and drinking mij’. Everybody was singing as loudly and as
began. physically as possible. In between the songs,
we sang the short famous cantus song ‘Trink,
Because this was my first beer cantus in trink, Brüderlein trink!’. It was only allowed
Tilburg, I didn’t know the rules in detail or to drink after this cantus song, which is why
what kind of songs we would be singing. As a (almost) everyone emptied his or her glasses
result, I took a quick look at the rather small in one gulp as soon as it had ended.
cantus book while we were waiting. I quickly Name:
concluded that the songs were familiar to With the end of the cantus in sight, everyone Patrick Kuijpers
me and that most of the rules where quite got pretty ‘tipsy’ and lots of people were
straightforward. A notable rule was that it standing on benches and tables, dancing and
was not allowed to go to the toilet during the singing. When the cantus was over, everybody Age:
cantus. Furthermore, we were only allowed stormed to the nearest toilet, causing quite a 20
to drink when the organisation of the cantus chaos. After that exceptional event, everyone
allowed us to. Just before it all started, the enjoyed the so-called ‘after party’. Some
casual music was played and there were lots Begin studies:
of cold beverages available. Many members 2007
of Asset | Econometrics were around, so it
was practically like drinks at café Babbus.
This leaves me with one thing I wish to share:
the considerable number of people falling
on the ground. Whether this was due to the
condition some of us were in or to the fact
that the floor was all wet, as those who had
fallen down tried to explain their behaviour,
is for you to guess.
At 10 o’clock on 25 March we gathered at Tilburg Central station for a trip to Amsterdam. The trip, organised
by Asset | Econometrics and associated with the third year course ‘Life Insurance’, was to lead us to Ernst &
Young.
We all thought the day at Ernst & Young a case developed by Ernst & Young had to be
would immediately start with a talk by the solved. In groups of five, we had to pretend
company, so everybody had a quick bite to eat we were hired by the board of a company
at Amsterdam Central Station. We were quite specialised in waste retrieval. The company had
wrong, as the day started with a delicious several employees in their service who were
lunch. Luckily, most of us had left some not satisfied with their pension contracts. We
space, so a considerable amount of lunch needed to come up with a solution that would
disappeared into the stomachs of the ever satisfy the employees. In order to gather more
hungry Tilburgian econometricians. After this information, we needed to negotiate with
student’s ritual, the employees of Ernst & Young some professionals (who were actually the
told us a bit about themselves, what they had well acting employees from Ernst & Young).
studied and how it all started for them at Ernst There were five professionals, but we could
& Young. They also told us about their daily only talk to three of them. Of course, the right
work at the company. One of these people questions needed to be asked in order to
was Ellen Kessels, former board member of retrieve the essential information.
Name: Tilburgse Econometristen Vereniging, now
Iris Mehlkopf known as Asset | Econometrics. Ellen’s talk With the information received, a solution had
was followed by an interactive lecture about to be found by implementing the information
what econometricians can mean for Ernst & in Excel. After that, we needed to be present
Age: Young and what Ernst & Young can mean for a solution to the board of the company. With
22 them. Of course, one of the hottest items at this case, Ernst & Young tried to show us
the moment in the financial world, the credit that working as an econometrician at their
crunch, was a main topic of discussion. It was company does not mean you have to calculate
Begin studies: clearly explained to us how the credit crunch and model things all day long, but that skills
2005 started and how it was possible that it had like negotiating and presenting are important
become so largely and widely spread across for the employees of Ernst & Young as well.
the different sectors.
Of course, the winners would not leave
After a short break, it was time for serious Amsterdam without a prize. Unfortunately,
business: the students were put to work, as our group did not win, but I heard the winners
thoroughly enjoyed the bottle of champagne
they received. This rumour was confirmed by
the fact that the bottle was already empty
before we even left Amsterdam.
After a whole year packed with freshmen activities, we concluded the work of the Freshmen Committee with
a final night out at Havana’s, where we would soon learn how to create some fancy cocktails like the Mojito
It is a long road to becoming a real student, but with a After finishing all the cocktails, concoctions and wannabe-
guide at your side everyone can find his way down this road. cocktails, we hurried to Café Babbus to conclude the evening
Over the past year, Asset | Econometrics has quite often led and consolidate our past experiences in there. Asset |
the freshmen to interesting activities. For the last time this Econometrics opened barrel after barrel and everyone was
academic year we stopped by 18 to add the finishing touches busy keeping up, which of course steadily improved the
to our student life. Since our upcoming years should not just atmosphere. Everyone who failed to come did indeed miss
consist of lectures and pubs, but also the more sophisticated out on a nice evening. It was the last freshmen get-together
cultural offerings, we were inducted into the secrets of cocktail for us and now we have to make room for new people who
making. are eager to immerse themselves in Tilburg’s student life. But
“I f p oss i b l e d o n o t co o k fo r yo u r s e l f b u t i n s te a d l e t someone
p re p a re a n ex h a u s t i ve d i n n e r. ”
The evening started off with an important lesson: if possible we do not need to worry: there is still a lot to do with Asset |
do not cook for yourself but instead let someone prepare an Econometrics and we are prepared. [TD]
exhaustive dinner. As we had come together for the advanced
level of amusement, we expected above average catering.
Indeed, it did meet our expectations and the dinner was
certainly above the average student’s cooking – at least for
my part (this might not be that much of a struggle though).
Only the chicken salad seemed to be less satisfying than steak
and spare-ribs, which were both popular choices. Therefore,
the kind-hearted shared their fortunate choice.
The following two drinks were prepared quite easily once you
got the hang of it and some decided to create their own rather
foolhardy compositions. Overall, the Mojito added a very
interesting taste due to its mixture of peppermint and lime, so
that it is definitely worth remembering for future drinks. Freshmen enjoying their dinner
The ‘ Nacht van Eindhoven’ (Night of Eindhoven) is the yearly highlight for Operations Research & Management
Science (ORMS) orientated students. This event, organised by CQM, shows students the practical aspects of
the quantitative methods they have learnt and to meet prospective employees within CQM. The Night of
Eindhoven is in fact a match between different student associations in the field of quantitative mathematics.
In the preperation we have had a laugh for dinner which took place in a nearby was beer taste optimisation. With 200
about the teams from chemistry and tapas restaurant. We had the honour simulation runs we had to identify
the team from artificial intelligence: of sitting next to the chemistry team. the impact of eight control variates
how were they supposed to solve any They were unfamilair with packages on the taste. The third problem was
of the problems and what were they like SPSS, AIMMS, Arena, Delphi, Excel, to optimise a supply chain by the
thinking to take part in such a match? Paint, etcetera, but they knew basic use of simulation. CQM programmed
With four laptops crammed with Matlab programming and had common a simulation tool for us, but it was
software and e-books, and Servaas’ sense (so we were told). Walking back intentionally made extremely slow by
book of applied physics just in case we to the office we evaluated our winning including redundant loops. The first
had solve all problems before midnight, probability. problem was to protect a museum
we took the train to Eindhoven at the by camera surveillance with as few
end of the afternoon. At the CQM Back in the office we got a short cameras as possible. Our solution was
main office we were welcomed by the introduction into the problems we really nice but CQM thinks that a wall
employees and guided to our very were to face the upcoming night. is fully protected if only one side is
own office. Within less than 30 minutes There was a total of five problems to be seen. Imagine that the famous painting
this clean office was transformed into solved, three of them were big. The first ‘Nachtwacht’ is on the unprotected
a big mess with cables and books all problem was to deliver beer to hundred side! Very few points for us on this one.
over the place. Bram took a seat in pubs in one day with six trucks and to The last problem was the so-called
the (excellent) chair of the CEO, but take back empty beer crates; a typical ‘Ants game’. The goal was to get as
unfortunately he could not enjoy it for problem for the savings algorithm of many of your twelve ants to the other
more than ten minutes, as it was time Clarke & Wright. The second problem side of the battlefield as possible. You
can make the ants powerful by dividing
your 1000 available points among
your ants. If one of your ants meets
another ant on the battlefield, the ant
with least power gets killed. During
the night three rounds were played on
a large screen, the last round counting
twice. After every round there was
a possibility to analyse other teams’
strategies.
symposium
12 May 2009. I still doubted whether or not I wanted to visit the symposium ‘A New Financial World, the Day after
the Credit Crunch’, organised by Asset | Econometrics. Twenty minutes after the final subscription deadline, I was
luckily still able to subscribe myself for the symposium. After the symposium a member of the editorial staff of
Nekst approached me and asked whether I would be willing to write an article about the day! A valid reason to
actually try to remember the newly gained information, since I had to write an article about it.
Thursday 14 May 2009. The day the symposium The first plenary lecture was given by Mr
would take place. I tried to imagine how I Brouwer, executive Director of De Nederlandse
would feel if I were part of the committee Bank (DNB). “The losses on the United States
(which was not the case). I would most subprime mortgage market and the ensuing
definitely be quite nervous for a day that you worldwide financial crisis is a typical example
have been preparing for so long. Nevertheless, of the tail wagging the dog”, Mr Brouwer
the entire committee seemed very controlled explains. Important for econometricians is that
and calm. Even the chairman of the committee the current crunch raises fundamental issues
didn’t look at all nervous about her upcoming on the structure of financial markets, such as
speech. Nothing was actually going wrong, so the viability of certain business models and the
I guess there was nothing to be nervous about size and complexity of financial institutions.
either.
After the interesting lecture by Mr Brouwer,
The chairman of the symposium committee, the floor was given to Mr De Boo, Head of
Nicole van de Reij, opened the day. In order to Government, financial institutions and the rest
Name: make the upcoming lectures as interactive as of the world accounts at the Central Statistical
Hettie Boonman possible, she encouraged the audience to ask Office (CBS in the Netherlands). He stated
any questions they might have. The committee that the governments intervened massively
wanted all the questions the audience might by taking various actions in response to the
Age: have about the credit crunch to be answered. escalating financial turmoil that started in 2007.
21 Such interventions can have consequences for
The chairman of the day was Professor Beck, government finance. This was shown by means
affiliated with Tilburg University and chairman of graphs in his presentation.
Begin studies: of the board of the European Banking Centre.
2006 The current crisis we have been experiencing Since I had chosen for the parallel sessions (one
over the past year has turned into a global could also choose a workshop about trading,
recession. Prof. Beck asked the audience: “What provided by All Options), after the fifteen
policies do we need in the Netherlands, in minute break and having stretched my legs I
Europe and on a global level, to overcome this continued with a lecture by Mr Van den Bosch,
crisis?” Too little attention has been paid to Manager Credit Risk & Pricing management
the role of politics up till now. The neglect of at SNS REAAL. Mr Van den Bosch gave several
risk-taking and bail-out expectations go a long ideas on how the Netherlands could get
way in explaining the build-up of the bubble involved in a credit boost. The second parallel
in the United States and parts of Europe. session was given by Mr Van Wiggen, Senior
I noticed the person in front of me being Manager Financial Services Risk Management
pretty touched by one of the slides shown at Ernst & Young. He concluded that we should
by Prof. Beck; a wages scale of employees in not throw away all risk models. Mr Van Wiggen:
different sectors. The wages of employees in “All models are wrong, but some are useful.”
the financial business sector during a period Furthermore, according to Mr Van Wiggen,
of economic welfare were almost double the Basel II helps to increase inside risk. However, he
wages of employees with a similar position in also believes that the underlying assumptions
another sector. However, after the crisis, the of the models need to be reconsidered.
wages of those employed in financial business
dropped to the level of the other sectors.
a cup of coffee and talked about her experience in the pension business. I was very surprised when I heard
about her past. She talked about her studies and I quickly found out she had studied social sciences. In my
opinion, this is not a logical step to becoming active in the pension sector after the completion of your studies,
Before her lecture, however, we had the about the stochastic distribution used in the
opportunity to listen to another speaker, Mr models. Did we choose the right distribution?
van Welie. Mr van Welie, CEO at ORTEC Finance, Past data tells us that a Gaussian distribution
started his lecture about pension funds. underestimates risks. Furthermore, questions
Pension funds are a hot item at the moment, about the correlations are important for the
because of the current state of the financial right predictability.
world. Many (Dutch) pension funds have seen After the interesting lecture by Mr van Welie,
their funding rates decreased by a lot ever it was time for Ms Biezeveld to tell us about
since the credit crunch. The extreme drop of pension funds from a more sociological
the funding rate of Dutch pension funds is viewpoint. Actually, she continued the lecture
comparable with a loss of 200 to 250 billion of Mr van Welie. The topics of the lecture given
euros. We can call ourselves lucky that in the by Ms Biezeveld had a link between the risk
past many pension funds had a large buffer. management of the pension funds and the
That is the reason why pension funds are still future risks you can expect. A topic that needs
standing. But to protect ourselves against special attention is the aging of society and
a new ‘black swan’ event, we have to debate the probable increase of the retirement age. Name:
the past and learn from the lessons from the These are good points for designing future Stefan Damen
past. Mr van Welie told us about models and pension schemes. There are a lot of topics that
the use of these models for measuring risk need to be plugged into the pension scheme
management and asset liability management. and therefore have to be discussed in detail. Age:
Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman emphasised 22
the use of models by saying: “The only way to After these lectures we closed the day with a
make sense of a complex system is to work nice social drink and Summer Party drinks at
with models.” But models are a simplified our local, Café Babbus. Everyone who arrived at Begin studies:
statement of reality and they can always be the drinks was given a free thematic cocktail! 2006
improved. Once the evening became night, it was time
for famous Asset | Econometrics songs like
The main question about managing risk is ‘Tribute’ by Tenacious D and ‘Kryptonite’ by
how much risk you are willing take and how to 3 Doors Down. It was a dignified ending to a
manage those risks. Part of the answer to this successful symposium. |
question is that there must be a good match
between the wishes of the stakeholders and
the implementation of the pension funds.
Therefore it is important that the stakeholders
understand the risks and are prepared to bear
them. To prevent problems in the future we
have to be very careful about taking risks.
Therefore the ambition level of models is very
important. The models are the basic element
of calculating risk. A good predictability is
necessary. Also the transparency of the models
and products and the fact that stakeholders
understand the risk is important. The last,
but definitely not least important question is Ms Biezeveld
Seen from Eindhoven central station, one cannot miss the impressive Rabobank building. Inside this
Rabobank headquarters, we were welcomed by William Verkooijen, who guided us through the Rabobank
office jungle to finally end up in a room with a wonderful view of Eindhoven, where the interview would take
place. William told us about his work and daily life as head of Business Analysis and Modelling.
“ The s ay i n g ’ C re d i t s co ri n g i s b o ri n g’ d o e s n o t h o ld at all.
I t h i n k t h e o p p o s i te i s a c t u a l l y t ru e. ”
for about three years. He experienced Moreover, he has several feedback Asking him about his future, William
that it was hard to push new techniques meetings and performs validation finds it difficult to make it concrete;
into the organisation. In those areas, for checks for his group. Mr Verkooijen: as he is fresh in his new job. He does
instance marketing and credit scoring, “Sometimes, we have to develop credit know, however, that he wants to keep
where the need was identified by the risk models for corporate clients. in touch with the field of work in which
business-units itself the new techniques Then there are expert meetings with he is now active. William: “Perhaps a
were easily adopted. After having full- specialists from the member banks, position on the next management
filled a function as data warehouse as these models are build on both level would be interesting in case my
consultant, William moved to t the area expertise and statistics.” Usually he has personal development will make this
of credit risk management. When credit a long working day of about nine to ten possible.” He also puts some emphasis
risk management became important hours. He likes the combination of on on the statement that the opposite of
mainly through Basel, his job was in one hand dealing with a broad range the statement ‘Credit scoring is boring’
this sector. Mr Verkooijen experienced of topics and on the other hand the in- holds. William claims that this saying
the birth of credit risk management depth discussion of modelling solutions should not scare you off. There are lots
and watched it become what it is today. with my team. This combined with day- of challenges in this specialist field. As a
When he started, the department to-day management of my teams make final question we ask William about his
consisted of only three employees. As my job interesting and challenging. choice of studies. Mr Verkooijen: “Taking
of that moment, it started to become William says that as a manager with a my current job and fields of interest
more and more obvious that credit risk mathematical background you have into account, I think Econometrics
management was also important to be able to delegate the details to the would have fit better with my personal
manage the risks of private individuals specialists while keeping a good eye profile.” It was hard to suppress the
and small and medium enterprises. on the end-result as well as on the smile on our faces after hearing this.
For instance, within retail it is also a process followed. This has convinced us [TB]
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Every student in Tilburg is familiar with the four student associations: Olof, Plato, d’Artagnan and Vidar. Most of
them have the appearance of having lots of fun, characterised by drinking much beer. However, Vidar, known
as Tilburg’s Student and Rowing Association, also has a serious side, namely, the top class sportsmen. Nekst was
curious about this side of Vidar and asked freshman Kathinka de Veer about the ins and outs of the rowing sport.
Kathinka de Veer is only nineteen years old period at debating society Dionysos, which
and currently enrolled in the Econometrics is a sub-association of Vidar consisting of a
programme. Unfortunately, she will switch group of women.”
to the Economics course at the end of this
academic year. She likes Econometrics Although it was a hard time for her, at the
but due to her passion for rowing, she did beginning of January it was finally official:
not have enough time to study this year. Kathinka de Veer signed a contract at Vidar
Kathinka is one of Vidar’s so called ‘Women and could proudly pronounce herself as one of
8’, one of the top class rowing teams of this Vidar’s ‘Women 8’. Kathinka: “I was very happy
student association. Besides the ‘Women 8’, that I had been chosen, because now the real
the competition section of Vidar consists of competition began. Instead of competing
seven other rowing teams, for example the against other women members of Vidar, we
‘Men 8’ and the ‘Women 4’. now had to form a team of eight women to
defeat the rest of the Netherlands.”
Vidar
Name: During the TIK-week of 2008, Kathinka de Rowing
Kathinka de Veer Veer joined Vidar with the idea that being a Even though it was luckily the end of a period
member of this association would bring her with lots of stress, Kathinka tells us that the
into contact with new people, but most of really hard work had just begun. Starting
Age: all that it would bring her much fun. Another with a schedule of two training sessions per
19 reason to join Vidar is the combination of week at the beginning of the academic year,
serious sport and fun. Kathinka: “I see myself by the time you are a top class rower you
as a sporty lady and I really like these two have developed your body to train six to nine
Begin studies: aspects of this student association.” times per week in the competition season. We
2008 asked Kathinka what ‘Women 8’ do during
Becoming one of the ‘Women 8’ a training session. “Half an hour before the
As a freshman of Vidar, during the first weeks training begins, all eight women meet at a
you have to train twice a week to learn the certain place, from where we cycle together
basic skills of rowing, which is called the to Vidar. After arriving at our association, we
‘afroei’-period. After this period, the selection put on our sports clothes and are ready to
for the ‘Women 8’ of Vidar starts in the so start our training. First of all we have to warm
called pre-training period. “It was strange up our muscles by stretching and practice
to see so many people drop out after each the technique of rowing on dry land in a so
selection. For a place in the ‘Women 8’ you called ‘bak’. After that the coaches give us
have to compete against each other, but at tips and explain the goal of the training. Then
the same time you are also a member of the we prepare the boat and start the actual
same association.” Kathinka tells us it was a rowing.”
time in which she had to prove that she had
the motivation and strength to become a top Since Kathinka’s team only consists of women,
class rower. In the pre-training, the number there is also a lot of talking before they start
of training sessions per week increased every rowing, but once the eight women are in
few weeks. “Sometimes it was very rough, their boat, concentration and silence are very
because at the same time I had my freshmen important. Kathinka tells us that there are
“I t is ha rd e r fo r m e to g o h o m e b e fo re m i d n i g h t when I am
h a v i n g f u n t h a n n o t to d ri n k a l co h o l . ”
Living for the sport takes place during the long distance and since then we are very close. In
You may wonder: what is a student season. This competition consists of fact it is necessary to be close in order
life like without drinking beer and four different distances: 5 kilometres, to perform well in the boat. Not only
wine at a party every once in a while? 2.5 kilometres, 500 metres and 250 do you need to have a good technique,
However, when you sign a contract metres. Unfortunately I couldn’t but we need a good rhythm too. That
at Vidar as a competition rower, you participate because of an injury. is something we lacked in the first
promise to live as healthily as possible Nevertheless, it was a nice weekend few months. During the first months
for the rowing sport. This means that in which my team and I learned a lot as the ‘Women 8’, my teammates and
drinking alcohol or heading for late about rowing and about each other.” I got a better understanding of the
night parties is prohibited. Kathinka water, the boat, the oars and how to
tells us that when someone from Vidar ‘Blikken’ respond to the water. Eventually you
sees you after midnight or notices you The short distance season is the do not row on technique, but really
drinking alcohol, her coach will be most important period, where there have to feel the movement of the boat
fined. “It is harder for me to go home is a competition weekend every two in every stroke.” Kathinka really likes
before midnight when I’m having fun weeks. On the Saturdays you compete rowing and hopes she will continue
than not to drink alcohol.” Since the against other teams to gain points for rowing in the competition section of
rules hold for all the eight women, the Ernst & Young Division, which is Vidar next academic year. “Rowing is a
everyone obeys them for the whole comparable to the Premier League in sport that you learn very quickly, but it
team. “It would not be appreciated the world of football. On Sundays the takes a couple of years before you can
if one of the women broke the rules, teams row to win a ‘blik’. This is the term say that you understand it and actually
while the rest are doing their best to that is used in the rowing world for the can row.” Nekst wishes Kathinka good
keep their word.” Furthermore, you award you receive when you win an luck in her rowing career. [WP & MGS]
need a good resistance, so healthy important competition. The number
food is very important. Kathinka: “We of ‘blikken’ a rower has indicates his
You have been studying for hours preparing for an exam and you feel like you could use a break. But what
to do during the study break? Here is my favourite study-break-activity: finding fallacies in the speeches of
politicians. It turns out to be fun and really easy. Even better: this activity can be done at any time of the day
because all debates in the Dutch parliament are broadcasted live on the Internet.
A fallacy is an argument that is not logically Politicians are also masters when it comes to
sound. As an Econometrician you are the evasion of the burden of proof by simply
probably good in logic, so finding fallacies pointing out that many people believe
in the speeches of politicians should not be something. When watching parliamentary
too difficult for you. Let us run through a debates you often hear politicians saying
couple of fallacies of famous politicians. Let’s things like: “Everyone knows that longer
start off with an easy one: George W. Bush. periods of prison time do not work” or “No
His famous quote “You are either with us, or sane human being would agree that we
“Even if t h e m a j o ri t y o f vo te r s b e l i e ve i n a n
idea, t h a t d o e s n o t m a ke i t a g o o d o n e. ”
Name:
against us”, which he often used during the should all become vegetarians”. Even if the Roel Mehlkopf
Iraq invasion, clearly is a fallacy. Bush creates majority of voters believe in an idea, that does
false dilemma where he pretends that there not make it a good one. After all, there has
are two options, where in fact there are many been broad support for slavery and fascism Position:
others. George Bush was probably inspired in the past and these things did not turn out PhD student
by Jesus, who said: “He who is not with me very well.
is against me, and he who does not gather
with me scatters”. A more tricky application Finally, there is the slippery slope fallacy. That
of the false dilemma was used by Mark Rutte, fallacy was used by Maxime Verhagen, one of
the leader of the Dutch liberal party, when he the leaders of the Dutch Christian-Democrats,
claimed that “government expenditures must when attacking a proposal of the Labour party
be cut otherwise we will run into a budget to reform the pension system by claiming that
deficit”. Mark Rutte wants you to believe that “if we start to reform the pension system, then
there are only two possible outcomes, where future politicians will inevitably continue to
of course there are other alternatives, such as reform such that the whole pension system
raising taxes. will eventually dissapear.” The slippery slope
argument of Maxime Verhagen makes the
Also politicians on the left are not without false assumption that a relatively small first
fallacies. Agnes Kant, the leader of the step inevitably leads to a chain of related
Dutch socialist party, is famous for quotes events culminating some kind of terrible
like: “Yesterday I received an email from a outcome.
woman from the city of Lutjebroek who has
been waiting for three years for her medical So, these are some example fallacies. I leave it
treatment. This proofs that our health care up to you to find a lot more! |
system is a mess.” Apparently Agnes Kant
applies a model where significant results can
be derived on the basis of a sample size of
one observation.
e x change report
It was more than one and a half years ago that I started planning my exchange experience and it was more
than four months ago that I finally seated myself in a plane to start the adventure. Although my time in
Buenos Aires is not over yet, the editorial board of Nekst asked me to take a quick look back and share my
“Ac ce p t t h e c h a l l e n g e a n d t re a t yo u rself to an
Name:
Bart Verschoor
u n fo rg e t t a b l e ex p e ri e n ce ! ”
Age:
23 foreigners. Because this is one of the nicest Looking back I can definitely say that
areas of Buenos Aires, we spend most of our meeting different people and experiencing
days in our neighbourhood, with visits to the different cultures has been very interesting
Begin studies: other areas to explore more and more of the and a lot of fun. I share my apartment with
2004 city from time to time.
Buenos Aires is a city with more then twelve
million residents (if you include the suburbs),
which is over one third of the total number
of inhabitants of Argentina. Besides this,
Argentina is the eighth biggest country
in the world, which together result in lots
of uninhabited areas. Also, the Andes in
the west, the Atlantic Ocean in the east,
Antarctica in the south and the desert in
the North make Argentina a country with a
multitude of different, breathtaking nature
views. Besides exploring the city, one of the
things that I have been doing during my time
abroad is exploring more of South America.
Because this is the perfect time to see much
of the different landscapes I am trying to take
trips to the best places around like Uruguay,
Chili, Bolivia, Machu Picchu (Peru) and Rio de
Janeiro (Brazil). Monument in Buenos Aires
Last April, the eleventh edition of the Economic Business week Tilburg (EBT) took place. During two weeks
students had the chance to come in contact with their preferred future employer. Besides that also a lot of
trainings, assessments, workshops, cases, high teas, dinners and other activities were possible.The programme
was most promising and many opportunities to match both parties were presented.
Now, the evaluations have been processed and instructions for the first day of our event,
as the title already implied, we are proud to the Training Day. During this day twelve
say that the EBT 2009 was a sensation. Indeed, companies provided one or two training
in the end leads Ambition via Development sessions. The training sessions varied from
to Success. application trainings, to network training, or
communication training. It was a day with
Opening a complex logistic plan and we are very
Monday 30 March, 20.00 hours: the largest satisfied that everything went well. During the
career event of Tilburg University commences. lunch and drink we received much positive
A team of seven men representing all study response from both students and companies,
associations of Asset, have been working very so we can conclude that it was a good day.
hard for almost a year for this moment. After
a short word of welcome of the chairman of Assessment Centre
the EBT organisation, the Vice Dean of the The Wednesday was reserved for the
Faculty of Business and Economics of Tilburg traditional Assessment Centre at the Willem
Name: University, Harald Benink, officially opened II Conference Centre. This day the students
Sander van der Ploeg the week. After these two speeches, the got the opportunity to experience how it is
magicians’ duo Rob & Emiel started their show to practise the assessments that are regularly
full of magic and mystery. During an hour used by application procedures for a job or
Function: they amazed their public with a spectacular internship at a firm. During the day each
Chairman EBT 2009 tailor-made show or as they call it a cocktail student had the possibility to participate
of comedy, magic, theatre, interaction and in three rounds of assessments. These three
On the sixth of May we went to the Ministry of Finance in The Hague with a group that consisted of about
twenty people who are taking the second year course Orientation ME/EM. We met at Tilburg West train station
at 12 o’clock and arrived at The Hague Central Station at half past one. From there, the Ministry of Finance
was easy to reach on foot; it only took a five minute walk to get there.
For security reasons we had to identify our- price would be 50.5. This is because the gov-
selves in order to be allowed into the building ernment only needs 100 Euros and can sell
of the Ministry. At two o‘clock the presenta- enough bonds at a price of 50.5. But of course
tions started. First there was a general pres- the banks do not know beforehand what the
entation about the Ministry of Finance and cut-off price will be. If a company desires a
the agency. In this presentation we learned profit of only 50 for a bond, the bank could
about what econometricians within the Min- place a bid indicating they want 50.5 points
istry of Finance do. This general presentation profit. This way, the bank can try to raise the
was followed by a more specific presentation cut-off price and keep the difference. This is
about the Dutch Direct Auction (DDA), which to the advantage of the banks, because they
shed light on several aspects that were famil- receive the difference between the cut-off
iar to most of us. Finally, we were instructed price and the bid of the customer. If a com-
to solve a case with respect to the DDA. pany wants at least 52 and the bank indeed
tells the government they want 52 and the
The group was divided into six smaller groups cut-off price in the end turns out to be, say
Name: and each group represented a bank. The main 51.5, there is no problem. But if the bank plac-
Dori van Hulst idea was that the Ministry of Finance had es a bid for 51.5 and the cut-off price is 51.5,
some bonds for sale and we had to buy some then the customer refuses it because he only
of them on behalf of the bank we represent- wanted to buy a bond with a profit rate of at
Age: ed. Each bank received a list of ten customers least 52. As a result, the bank would have to
20 who were interested in buying a bond from sell the bond to someone else on the market.
the government. For each customer, there This costs the bank money, so by indicating
was information on how much profit they another bid to the government than what the
Begin studies: wanted for each bond and how much they customer wants, a risk is also involved.
2007 wanted to invest in the government bonds.
These profits were between 50 and 52 points. From the above you are probably able to tell
However, as a bank we had to decide for our- that it was quite a complicated game and we
selves whether or not we wanted to increase have still not even listed all of the rules of the
our expected profit by placing a bid that dif- game. Nevertheless, it was a fun game to play
fered from our customers’ wishes. If we chose and everyone enjoyed it. Whilst the people
to do so, this would be at the risk of not being who did the presentations were calculating
able to satisfy our customers’ wishes or buy- which group was the winner, we were able to
ing a bond with a profit rate our customer is have a drink and a chat outside the room. The
not interested in. At the end of the bidding winner was the bank that earned the largest
period, the government would determine the amount of money in the end. There were two
profit of the bonds, which was called the cut- groups that got the highest profit, so they
off price. had to share the prize they won, which was
a nice bottle of wine. Although not all par-
For example, if the government needed 100 ticipants could be a winner, everybody had a
Euros and they would get bids for a total of great time.|
50 Euros from banks to buy the bond with a
profit rate of 50, 70 Euros from banks at a prof-
it rate of 50.5 and 20 Euros, respectively, from
banks at a profit rate of 51, then the cut-off
Our visit to Varkensmarkt 11-1 does not start inside Stan van Workum’s house. No, it starts with Stan jumping
around in the playground across the street. “Well, actually it is the first time I have sat on this swing,” he
mentions while he jumps off the seat. He takes us inside and briefly shows us his room.“It is not that interesting
At first we smell the pasta – probably the Cleaning, cooking and enjoying the –
evening meal – and then we find two ladies hopefully – delicious meal are things Stan and
sitting on one of the three benches. “I am his roommates do together. In this house Stan
being interviewed,” Stan says with a smile discovered a whole new world of cooking: the
– some eyebrows rise slightly – and to us he oven. “I do eat a lot more pizza, in Oss we did
says: “please sit down.” not have an oven. I also learned another thing
here: when I am cooking, I should not listen
A nice roommate to other people’s advice. Most of the time I
The bench is quite comfortable, as is the just buy some ingredients and make up the
whole living room with its open kitchen. recipe while I’m cooking. A few months ago
There is certainly enough space for Stan I was given all kinds of tips and advice about
and his six housemates. Stan joined them how to cook beans, warm up the potatoes
about seven months ago. “In my first year of etcetera. I listened to everybody and the
Econometrics I was still living in Oss, but I did result was awful.” One of Stan’s roommates
miss something. You know, you just miss some confirms this by nodding.
Name: part of your student life if you don’t live on
Stan van Workum your own. So I started looking for a room, my Afterwards they like to drink coffee or tea and
criteria were: at least 18 m2 and no more than watch television or play games. Stan points
300 Euros monthly rent. After some searching, at a bookshelf in the living room; it is filled
Begin studies: I saw this ad for a room that was 17 m 2 and with games. Skip Bo and Singstar especially
2007 that cost 280 euros so I thought I ought to are favourites in the house. “I always win
give it a try. Now I live here and I really enjoy at Skip Bo and Matthijs is really good in
being here. The only thing is that my room is humming the songs with Singstar,” Stan says.
Address: only 16 m 2 and I pay 312 euros per month, so He is talking about his roommate Matthijs
Varkensmarkt 11-1 I was a bit misled by the housing association. Poorthuis, a fifth year econometrician, who
I would have gone looking for another room, could not make it on the evening of the
if I did not like my housemates so much. I interview due to his Vidar activities. One of
Room surface: don’t think there are many student houses Stan’s roommates mentions that they all are
16 m 2 where the students are as close as we are. We actively involved in student life, either in
maintain an ‘open-door-policy’, as we like to student associations like Plato and Vidar or
call it. Besides the location is quite good, it study and sports associations. Asset is very
Monthly rent: is very close to the centre.” Stan’s roommates well represented by both a board member of
312 euros are also very pleased with their choice. “He is Asset | TOP-DOWN and the chairman of Asset,
very enthusiastic, happy and he sings all the who just moved to the Varkensmarkt. “Our
time. Stan also likes to impress us by baking huisfeut,” according to Stan.
omelettes and cooking a nice meal.” However,
one of his roommates has a theory: “Stan is a New sports
nice guy, except when he plays his shooting Stan is more the sports guy. He plays handball
games on the computer. I think that is why he at Camelot and back in Oss he dances both
is so nice. He gets rid of all his aggression by ballroom and salsa. The dancing started a
playing those games.” few years ago, more as a joke that resulted
from some alcohol. “I was at a party and a
Sleepover
Finally, we ask Stan if we could take a
longer look at his room. It is a rather
calm, light room and then we notice
why. “I do not have any curtains yet,
but I don’t really miss them.” With pride
he shows us his shelves of medals and
his aquarium. Then all of a sudden, he
invites us for a sleepover. “Tomorrow
morning we all have to go to class so
then we can go together. I will sleep
on the couch and you can sleep in
my bed.” Well Stan you might think
you are famous, but you are not that
famous yet. So we kindly rejected the
invitation. Maybe some of you would
like to stay? Then you could at least
try to figure out where Stan and his
friends are going on vacation or you
might be surprised by one of Stan’s
Stan in his room omelettes. [MGS & TeB]
Since I play draughts (sports!) on a high level, I wanted to combine draughts with Econometrics. Therefore
I decided to write a theoretical thesis instead of doing an internship. Several years I played championships
and considered the final ranking list unfair. However, there is no use for complaining when you cannot come
Age:
23
Begin studies:
2004
Figure 1
Figure 2
The promotion committee is proud to present to you Elske Leenaars & Pascal Heuijerjans as the cooks of
the evening. They made a delicious dish of tortellini carbonara and for dessert ‘dubbelvla’ with chocolate
Recipe for tortellini with carbonara sauce and Reaction from Timo Deist
mushrooms I do very much agree with Stefan, although I do not
Take a pan with enough water and let the water boil. Boiling understand his Dutch, finishing off the day with a nice dinner
the water takes about ten minutes. Meanwhile, wash the is perfect. My focus lies on the sum of quality and quantity
mushrooms and slice them into pieces. If you are finished and this dish comes off quite well. Even though it seems
with the mushrooms and the water is still not boiling, then to be a rather straight forward dish, one can refine it with
you have probably not been precise enough about slicing the different spices and cheese. Since the major taste is based
mushrooms. If you have been precise enough, the tortellini on the sauce, everyone should make sure he or she finds the
can be put into the water. Do not forget to add a little bit right brand which fits his personal taste.
of salt. Now you have to wait about ten minutes before you
can add the mushrooms to the tortellini. The tortellini is Concerning the dessert: No one should ever shake the
best served al dente. Take the pan off the cooker and drain ‘dubbelvla’, not even stir it. That ruins the whole idea
the water. Put the sauce in the pan and heat it a little, so of ‘dubbelvla’. Certain members of our committee have
that everything is nicely warm. Now your meal is ready to developed the sadistic habit of torturing innocent vla-
be served! If you prefer, you can put the cheese on your epicures, who I will not name here. So, bear in mind: Please,
tortellini. do NOT shake the vla! Please!! |
In the first week of September the Introduction Activity will take place for the first time. The idea behind this
activity is that freshmen will get to know each other better at the beginning of their courses. During this day
we will play a lot of games in which the participants will have to compete with each other but also cooperate
Nekst is excited to announce the second Asset | Econometrics photo contest. The contest will gather pictures
from around the world on the theme of you and a nice mathematical related object, like an equation or a
certain famous pattern. The most original picture will win an original ‘vlaai’ or a crate of beer.
The rules are simple: email us a picture that shows both you and Entering a submission to this competition constitutes
a mathematical object you encountered on your holiday. The acceptance of the rules.
submission deadline is 1 September, 2009. Several submissions
will be published in the first edition of next year’s Nekst.
l anning
to conclude
P uzzle
For the last time this academic year you have the opportunity to solve an Asset | Econometrics puzzle and
to possibly win nice prizes. In order to solve the puzzle you have to posses above average mental arithmetic
skills, as this edition’s puzzle is about solving a long division. All that remains to say is Good Luck!
The puzzle: what does the complete long division look like?
..9/6.8...\.53 That is, what are the numbers that are to be placed on the
...2 dots?
-------
.9.. Please send your solution to the puzzle to Nekst@Asset-
..4. Econometrics.nl before 1 September, 2009. The previous
------- puzzle, the Kwon Tom Loop puzzle was solved by many
..4. members. Therefore, Nekst chose a winner at random. The
.... lucky winner is Heidi Veugen. She can pick up a crate of beer
------- or a ‘vlaai’ at the Asset | Econometrics room. For the winner of
0 this final puzzle, the same prize will be waiting. |
r aduates
congratulations
Over the past months, the following econometricians obtained their Master’s degree. Asset | Econometrics
Name : Mrs. A.A.M. Loonen (Master) QFAS Name : Mrs. J. Oosthuizen (Master) QFAS
Title : Segregated fund guarantees, modeling Title : A Stochastic Discount Factor Approach
and hedging interest rate and equity to VAR Models
derivatives Supervisors : Prof.dr. J.M. Schumacher, Prof. dr. B.
Supervisors : Prof.dr. J.M. Schumacher, Mr.prof.dr. Melenberg
Boshuizen
remarkable quotes
Fortunately, the editorial staff of Nekst received many quotes that relate to the study of Econometrics and
to the activities organised by Asset | Econometrics. Therefore, a very well-filled page with some striking and
sensational quotes! Please mail all remarkable quotes you have heard to Nekst@Asset-Econometrics.nl!
Dutch quotes Stephanie van Breda tegen Linda Vos: “Hee Linda, zit hier SBS 6
Emy van der Wielen: “Ik heb niet zo veel verstand van politiek, ik op de computer?” (SPSS, red.)
weet niet eens wat links en wat rechts is.”
Bart Kruize tijdens de OID vergadering als er een discussie is of
Linda Vos bij het concert van The Sheer in de 013: “Hee, van wie is we een spreker in de ochtend of in de namiddag willen: “Dat ligt
dit nummer eigenlijk?” eraan of hij een ochtendmens is.”
Tijdens het toetje van het cycling dinner: Linda Vos tegen Paul Peters: “Hoe ging de Kennedyloop?”
Frank Steenbergen: “Hmm, er zit iets in dat smaakt naar koek, dat Paul: “Ja, goed. Ik was uiteindelijk als twee na laatste binnen van
is erg lekker. Wat is dat?” de vier. Dus ja, als tweede eigenlijk. “
Tim van der Molen Kuipers: “Koek.”
Emile van Elen: “We moeten kaarten hebben, we gaan Mexxen.”
Marleen Balvert tegen Linda Vos als ze de waterkoker wil aanzetten
en op een knopje drukt: “Hey, werkt deze op batterijen?” Marleen Balvert: “Maar dan moet je k toch uitrekenen?”
Stan van Workum: “Nee, die vervang je gewoon door c.”
Tijdens het cycling dinner doet Freerk Post geheimzinnig over
een meisje. Frank Steenbergen tegen Professor Einmahl: “Maakt u altijd al
Freerk: “Jullie mogen haar naam raden. Het begint met een ‘T’ en een deel voor dit tentamen?”
eindigt op ‘essa’.” Professor Einmahl: “Nou, niet altijd, ik ben pas 32. Nou ja, plus
Hettie Boonman: “Sabine!” epsilon dan.”
Linda Vos tegen Marije Alblas over het gestolen bord van Asset | English quotes
Econometrics: “Ik vind het echt triest dat mensen zoiets jatten en Hettie boonman: “I only know a few words Dutch (Editorial note:
ook gewoon niks van zich laten horen. Als je nou iets jat van de German).”
gemeente of zo...”
Tim Boonen: “Not wising at other people.”
Stephanie van Breda de maandag na het ALW tegen Evelien
Kerkmeijer: “Je mag wel een appel uit deze zak, die zijn toch op.” Servaas takes the jack from a staple of card: “I have the farmer.”
Joris van Raak tijdens RavA tegen Marije Alblas: “Maar jij kan daar Linda Vos asks a foreign student from China: “What is the English
als onzijdig persoon natuurlijk een belangrijke rol in spelen.” word for ‘Swa’?”
Ruud Hendrickx tijdens Oriëntatie MEEM over de case van dat Professor Talman: “Do not expect this to be good, I do it out of
vak: “Het ging best goed. Ik had nog 1 kilo M&M’s voor mezelf. my mind!”
Stefan Damen: “Ja, dat is te zien.”
Linda Vos: “There is a party of an association that celebrates its
Robert de Veer tijdens de RavA: “Technische bedrijfskunde is twentytwoth birthday.”
Econometrie light.”
Professor Talman: “Through the i’s I cannot see the 1’s anymore.”
Tim van der Molen Kuipers komt op 5 mei ‘s avonds het bestuur
tegen op station Tilburg: “Hebben jullie Bevrijdingsdag gevierd Linda Vos: “We are going to visit Arnoud Klep and his women.”
in Haarlem?’”
Stefan Damen: “Nee, in Wageningen.” Professor Talman while explaining an equation: “What went to
Tim: “Vieren ze daar ook Bevrijdingsdag dan?” the right is right, so what is left should also be right.”
Marleen Balvert: “Een pimpelmeesje is toch pimpelpaars?” Linda Vos while playing Kingzen: “And then you need to add.”