Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
ing expenditures, construction expenditure, and ratio of finance to total foreign direct investment projects) Education-related (including teacher-pupil ratio in higher education, number of institutions deemed to be universities, number of arts, science and commerce colleges, number of engineering, technical and architectural colleges, number of law, management, postgraduate institutes offering degrees in computer applications, agriculture and IT colleges, number of teacher-training schools, percentage of universities and business schools in national rankings, total enrollments at school level.)
200
150
100
50
and multinational corporations wooing talent by paying premiums (wage inflation was as much as 18 percent in 2007 ). Another challenge for Indian companies and multinationals alike is the dispersion and divergence in the availability and quality of talent across the various Indian states. In India, population has traditionally been perceived to be a burden. But the lack of uniformity in the demographic stages of different states actually offers a window of opportunitystates with population surpluses should find ways to turn them into assets. India has time and youth on its side. With one of the youngest populations in the world, it is at the cusp of realizing its demographic dividend. Continued economic growth can be sustained with growth in the working age population assuming that there are continued investments in education and skill building. However, growth in population also tends to
slow down with further industrialization and urbanization of populations brought about by increasing development and sophistication of the economy. Given this context, it is becoming increasingly important that businesses have a good understanding of talent supplywhat Accenture calls talent supply mappingand that they closely tie their talent planning, resourcing and acquisition strategies with their areas of business focus and identified growth drivers. By doing so they can hope to identify and acquire talent that is suitable and can fuel their competitive advantage in a way that puts them on the road to high performance. To assist corporations and policymakers alike in such an initiative, Accenture has undertaken a multidimensional mapping of the talent potential and talent availability situation within India over a 20-year horizon, ranging from 2006 to 2026, while simultaneously assessing
the demand-side scenario through a sectoral growth pattern study. Accentures deep and broad experience across industry sectors uniquely qualifies it to do so. To this end, Accenture has also developed a talent supply index which is a compound measure made up of 14 underlying parameters that provide a top-down view of talent supply availability and quality across the states of India. The parameters can be grouped under the heads of labor-related, educationrelated and investment-related and includes critical variables like per capita income, economic investments made and enrolment in higher education. This executive preview is a precursor to the comprehensive report prepared by Accenture, in association with its research partner 9.9 Mediaworx, which captures the detailed findings of this survey. This preview provides a summary of the key findings. The three aspects that it covers are the demand drivers, the supply drivers and finally, the talent supply index.
Talent supply mapping involves accurate analysis and forecasting of talent pool availability and employability using past data and market trends, and can be done from a company-specific, location-specific and industry-specific perspective. If corporations get involved early on in the talent creation processnot only does this help them to serve their business needs, it gives them a far greater control over their talent acquisition strategy.
5 5
Accentures multi-dimensional mapping of Indias talent availability potential covers three aspects.
Figure 2. Employment by Sectors - 2001 to 2015 (Projected)
Employment in sectors reflects persons employed in organized sectors of the economy including skilled and unskilled personnel. BFSI Retail Healthcare
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2015
Services
Economic Transition
But it is states like Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradeshwhich today have low scores on the human development indices (like birth rate, mortality rate and quality of health services)that are likely to hold the growth potential for India. These states seem to be in a position to realize their demographic dividend around 2025, at a time when todays frontrunner states are likely to have aging populations. The findings that emerge from our survey are laden with immense possibilities, but also signal the need for concerted and focused initiative from corporations and policymakers as they plan for a future today where the possibilities of achieving high performance can benefit all. Corporate leaders could consider setting up training institutes in states that have the potential to realize their demographic dividend in the later years. By sowing the seeds of educational infrastructure creation today, corporations could help to build alternate pools of talent, consequently enhancing talent capacity generation. The other advantage of an early entry into the talent creation process is that it has the potential of giving corporations a head start as far as their talent supply mapping initiatives go. Talent supply mapping involves accurate analysis and forecasting of potential talent pool availability and employability using past data and market trends, and can be done from a company-specific, location-specific and industry-specific perspective. If corporations get involved early on in the talent creation process, not only does this help them to serve their business needs, it gives them a far greater control over their talent acquisition strategy.
Karnataka
Andhra Pradesh
Agrarian
West Bengal
Economic Transformation: Transition from a largely rural agrarian society with high fertility and mortality rates to a predominantly services-led society with low fertility and mortality rates. Demographic Transition: Stage I - increase in the proportion of the young aged below 15 Stage II - proportion of working age population age 15 to 60 increases. Stage III - proportion of old people aged 60 and above - rises
Inferences
Accenture has perceived certain overarching trends as a result of its multidimensional talent mapping exercise. Within the high-growth sectors, sectoral growth rates and growth patterns may vary given the maturity of the industry.
This has the following implications for states: Sectors lower on the product lifecycle curve like health care and retail are expected to be in an expansion mode as they increase their penetration. The retail industry is likely to have a heavy demand for cheap, unskilled and semi-skilled labor that states like Bihar and Rajasthan can fulfill. But organized retail also needs to be located close to high-spending customer basesa conundrum that policymakers and businesses will have to solve to be able to unleash the retail revolution in India. IT and IT-enabled services are much higher up on the product life-cycle curve, which manifests itself through a squeeze in the labor cost advantage. As this industry continues to move up the value chain, its growth is likely to be driven by specialized skills which all states might not be equipped to fulfill given their current state of educational and infrastructural development. Yet many states are eager to replicate the successes of first movers like Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh in this sector. Accentures India Talent Supply Mapping report, to be published later, will give a detailed analysis of the factors affecting: The sectoral demand scenariothe growth drivers, the emerging skills and capabilities and the states that, in Accentures opinion, are best positioned to service these industries. The talent supply scenariothe states that Accenture considers to be best positioned to provide talent to Indias growth sectors and their performance on significant parameters indicating their preparedness for attracting investment and employment generation. The talent supply indexits implications for sectoral demand and statewise talent availability potential.
The third aspect of Accentures multidimensional talent supply mapping initiative for India is the talent supply index, a compound measure made up of 14 underlying parameters that has been used to arrive at an indicative list of states that Accenture considers to have the highest talent employability potential. The talent supply index uses a variety of labor-related, investment-related and educationrelated parameters pertaining to individual states to assess the potential of employable talent they have to offer.
As per the talent supply index (refer to figure 4), Maharashtra ranks the highest on talent employability potential, followed by Uttar Pradesh and then the southern triad of Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. The findings, in a sense, reflect the economic and industrial preponderance of these states for emergent India, as well as, a continuation of the earlier economic legacy for some. A key consideration for devising the index has been the enrollment rate for higher education in the various states. This is because research findings across the world have established a high causal relationship between the gross enrollment ratio (GER) into higher education and the per capita gross domestic product (GDP)the more qualified the workforce is, the higher the chances of its employability and resultant impact on the earnings for the state. Though for India this causal relationship is not that clear yet, the two variables show extremely high correlation which gives us the confidence to use them 10
as a basic premise for our study. While designing this index, 80 parameters were examined, of which 14 were ultimately considered as having the highest impact on the GER for a state. These parameters are broadly classified as: Labor-related (for instance, labor productivity of public administration, labor productivity of other services) Investment-related (for instance, registered manufacturing expenditures, construction expenditure and ratio of finance to total foreign direct investment projects) Education-related (for instance, teacher-pupil ratio in higher education; number of institutions deemed to be universities; number of arts, science and commerce colleges, number of engineering, technical and architectural colleges total enrollments at school level) The index reflects the fact that the higher ranked states have a higher
proportion of educational institutions within their boundaries. For example, Maharashtra has more than 10 percent of the educational institutions in all the major disciplines in India , ensuring that a steady stream of youth come to study in this state. Likewise, Bangalore in Karnataka, Chennai in Tamil Nadu, Hyderabad in Andhra Pradesh and Pune in Maharashtra have been able to attract the highest number of foreign direct investments into the IT and IT-enabled services industries because of their proximity to a large number of the countrys engineering and technical institutions. These index rankings thus reflect the self-perpetuating cycle of education, investment and talent supply, an integral and critical link that needs to be judiciously handled by all stakeholders to gain the optimum growth advantage.
11 11
12
Factor Demographic Dividend Physical Infra structure Potential first mover advantage Availability and Quality of Institutions State Economic Policy Political Climate of State Cost of Living Opportunity to scale up quickly Social Infrastructure
Companies can score each of these criteria on parameters included in the talent supply index (like number of institutions in relevant disciplines, enrollment into higher education and so on), choosing the parameters most relevant for them. In addition to this, they also need to give scores against the socio-economic conditions and quality of physical and social infrastructure availability for the states they wish to evaluate. This would help them arrive at a go, no-go decision point and companies could accordingly decide where they wish to invest based on overall talent potential. Create and nurture right partnerships to grow talent and enhance employability: The states that have low scores on economic parameters but currently have population surpluses, are expected to be critical for medium- or long-term growth of most of the organizations located in such states. Therefore, those organizations, who either have presence in or are contemplating expansion to these states could form partnerships with the government or private institutes
to nurture the talent further to make them employable. Those organizations, that have a deeper presence in states with employable talent deficits could help expand the talent pool for themselves or others through creative solutions like identifying synergies with the kind of skills they will need in the medium- to long-term, and establish forums for private-private or public-private partnerships. Until now, corporations have largely used the availability of infrastructure and government policies to guide decisions on investmentsthat is, where to locate their business hubs. Accenture believes that to be successful in the future, corporations should proactively engage in talent supply mapping to closely understand all aspects of talent sourcesthe availability and quality of talent and how it can be most effectively retained. For India to achieve a critical position of importance in todays multi-polar world, it is imperative to have a talent
development strategy that is completely in synch with the countrys future aspirations and capabilities. This might be difficult to achieve without concerted and targeted initiatives from policymakers and corporates alike, with each player taking equal ownership of its commitment the prospect of achieving high performance in the future depends on the route we take today. Disclaimer Clause: This study contains information available in the public domain, created and maintained by private and public organizations. Accenture does not control or guarantee the accuracy, relevance, timelines or completeness of any such information. Refer to Sources as part of the study. This study is indicative in nature. All projections presented in this report are indicative and subject to other extraneous factors. This study constitutes an opinion as on the date of publication and is subject to change. Accenture does not warrant or solicit any kind of act or omission based on this study 15 15
Sources
1. Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) labor force projections 2. United Nations Population Database 3. United States Census Bureau 4. International Labor Organization Estimates 5. Census of India 2001, Census of India Projection Report December 2006 6. State Statistics, Selected Educational Statistics 2004-5- Ministry of Human Resource Development 7. Economic Statistics - Reserve Bank of India 8. Indian Ministry of Commerce and Industry estimates 9. India Labourstat Database 10. 9.9 Insights Research 11. TPI study, India: An Attractive BPO Destination Marred by Alarming Attrition by Dinesh Goel and Prabhash Thakur 12. Devesh Kapur and Pratap Bhanu Mehta. Indian Higher Education Reform: From Half-Baked Socialism to Half-Baked Capitalism. CID Working Paper No. 18, September 2004 13. Hillage, J. and Pollard, E., 1998, Employability: Developing a framework for policy analysis, Department for Education and Employment (DfEE) Research report. no RR85 (London, DfEE)
Copyright 2008 Accenture All rights reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture.
About Accenture
Accenture is a global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company. Committed to delivering innovation, Accenture collaborates with its clients to help them become high-performance businesses and governments. With deep industry and business process expertise, broad global resources and a proven track record, Accenture can mobilize the right people, skills, and technologies to help clients improve their performance. With more than 186,000 people in 49 countries, the company generated net revenues of US$23.39 billion for the fiscal year ended Aug. 31, 2008. Its home page is www.accenture.com.