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Prepared For CEOs For Cities Talent Dividend Webinar October 4, 2013
Prepared By The University of New Mexico Center For Education Policy Research: Peter Winograd, Amy Ballard & Jason Timm
Overview
Why We Like Geospatial Mapping Our Approach Three Cases (Albuquerque, NM; Columbia, SC; and Lakeland, FL) How You Can Use Geospatial Mapping Questions
Our Cases
Data Notes We have picked three cases (Albuquerque, Columbia, SC and Lakeland, FL) because they show the range of data that are available. There are lots of data publicly available. Those we used to map Columbia and Lakeland. Some of the most important data, however, must come from partners with courage who can trust that those data will be used fairly and constructively. We thank our partners in Albuquerque for their support.
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We Believe That The Gravest Threats To Our Citys Prosperity Are The Deep Disparities Among Our Communities And The Education Achievement Gap That Wastes Much Of Our Future Human Capital
Low unemployment rate 21st Century jobs Vital Living wages Workforce Civic engagement Key Strategies: Internships Community Partnerships Mentors Successful remediation Education for civic engagement Attract and/or retain educated citizens
Healthy Cities
Key Strategies: Dual Enrollment Dropout prevention Scholarships and Aid FAFSA Filed Programs to support underserved populations College outreach Veterans
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DESCRIPTION: DEMOGRAPHICS
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SC
Tract
2007 2011 Racial/Ethnic Composition, By Census Tract, South Carolina (top) and Columbia (bottom)
African American Caucasian Hispanic
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. DP05: ACS Demographic and Housing Estimates.
FL
Tract
2007 2011 Racial/Ethnic Composition, By Census Tract, Florida (top) and Lakeland (bottom)
African American Caucasian Hispanic
Less than 8.9% 9% - 24.1% 24.2% - 45.6% 45.7% - 71.5% 71.6% - 99.4%
Less than 21.6% 21.7% - 45.8% 45.9% - 66.3% 66.4% - 83.1% 83.2% - 100%
Less than 11.6% 11.7% - 27% 27.1% - 47.1% 47.2% - 73.5% 73.6% - 99.8%
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. DP05: ACS Demographic and Housing Estimates.
NM
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NM
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NM
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NM
Tract
Percent of Individuals Who Speak a Language Other Than English at Home, Albuquerque, New Mexico
Barelas
Southwest Mesa
South Valley
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Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2007 - 2011
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NM
Tract
Percentage of Single Female Householders with No Husband Present Living Below Federal Poverty Level
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Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2007 2011; Table Table B7010_16E, Single Female Householder Living Below Poverty Level
NM
Tract
This powerful map by the Joint Center For Political and Economic Studies shows that life expectancy can vary by 28 years depending on where one lives in Bernalillo County.
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Source: Map produced by Joint Center For Political and Economic Studies (September, 2012) Place Matters For Health In Bernalillo County: Ensuring Opportunities For Good Health For All.
SC
Tract, County
2007 2011 Educational Attainment: Associates Degree and Higher, South Carolina and Columbia
SouthCarolina$.Perc_AA_and_Above
Less than 18.6% 18.7% - 28.6% 28.7% - 40.7% 40.8% - 56.6% 56.7% - 95%
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S1501: Educational Attainment.
FL
Tract
2007 2011 Educational Attainment: Associates Degree or Higher, Florida and Lakeland
Less than 20.3% 20.4% - 31.4% 31.5% - 44.1% 44.2% - 59.4% 59.5% - 100%
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S1501: Educational Attainment.
SC
Tract, County
Less than $33,152.00 $33,152.01 - $45,781.00 $45,781.01 - $61,297.00 $61,297.01 - $82,266.00 $82,266.01 - $148,393.00
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S1903: MEDIAN INCOME IN THE PAST 12 MONTHS (IN 2011 INFLATION-ADJUSTED DOLLARS). Household Income.
FL
Tract
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S1903: MEDIAN INCOME IN THE PAST 12 MONTHS (IN 2011 INFLATION-ADJUSTED DOLLARS). Household Income.
NM
Tract
Percentage of Individuals Living Below Poverty Level with Less than High School Education, Albuquerque New Mexico
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Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2007 - 2011
SC
Tract
Median Income, and Percent of Population with at Least an Associates Degree by Tract, Columbia
Median Income
$9,515.00 - $30,000.00 $30,000.01 - $50,000.00 $50,000.01 - $60,000.00 $60,000.01 - $80,000.00 $80,000.01 - $110,000.00
SouthCarolina_Tracts_2011
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S1903: MEDIAN INCOME IN THE PAST 12 MONTHS (IN 2011 INFLATION-ADJUSTED DOLLARS). Household Income. 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S1501: Educational Attainment. NOTE: Classifications are based on the MSA.
FL
Tract
Median Income, and Percent of Population with at Least an Associates Degree by Tract, Lakeland
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S1903: MEDIAN INCOME IN THE PAST 12 MONTHS (IN 2011 INFLATION-ADJUSTED DOLLARS). Household Income. 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S1501: Educational Attainment. NOTE: Classifications are based on the MSA.
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FL
School Location
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Source: South Carolina State Department of Education > Research Portal > State Report Cards > District Performance Data 2012.
SC
District
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Source: South Carolina State Department of Education > Research Portal > State Report Cards > District Fact File 2012.
SC
District
2012 Passed both HSAP Exams, By District, South Carolina and Columbia
44.6 - 61.1% 61.2 - 71.8% 71.9 - 78.7% 78.8 - 84.9% 85.0 - 95.2%
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Source: South Carolina State Department of Education > Research Portal > State Report Cards > District Performance Data 2012.
SC
District
The average graduation rate for all South Carolina districts is 76.7%
Richland 1 and Lexington 2 and 4 School Districts have graduation rates lower than the state average.
59.7 - 65.2% 65.2 - 72.4% 72.4 - 77.7% 77.7 - 81.8% 81.8 - 93.3%
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Source: South Carolina State Department of Education > Research Portal > State Report Cards > District Performance Data 2012.
SC
District
The average dropout rate For all South Carolina Districts is 2.7%
Richland 1 and Lexington 1 School Districts have dropout rates higher than the state average.
0 - 1.2% 1.2 - 2.1% 2.1 - 3.5% 3.5 - 5.0% 5.0 - 6.6%
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Source: South Carolina State Department of Education > Research Portal > State Report Cards > District Fact File 2012.
NM
Attendance Boundary
Early Warning Indicator: Percentage Of Albuquerque Public Schools Students Entering 9th Grade With One or More F Grades And 5 Or More Absences In 8th Grade Core Courses
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NM
Attendance Boundary
Albuquerque Public Schools Four-Year High School Graduation Rate, All Students, Class of 2012
According to the Alliance for Excellent Education, there are nearly 2000 high schools nationally that graduate less than 60% of their students within four years. These schools disproportionately produce 51% of the nations dropouts. APS has four high schools with less than a 60% graduation rate. 35
Source: NM Public Education Department, 4-Year Cohort High School Graduation Rate, Class of 2012. Alliance for Excellent Education statistics taken from http://www.all4ed.org/about_the_crisis/schools/dropout.
Percentage of Albuquerque Public Schools Students Attending New Mexico Colleges Who Took Remedial Courses, Attendance Boundary 2000-2009, By Sending High School
NM
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Source: Ready For College? A Report on New Mexicos High School Graduates Who Take Remedial Courses In College, June 2010, New Mexico Office of Education Accountability. Data were unavailable for Volcano Vista & Atrisco Heritage Academy.
SC
Tract
2012 Dropout Rates By District, with Number of African Americans by Tract, Columbia
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Source: South Carolina State Department of Education > Research Portal > State Report Cards > District Fact File 2012.
SC
Tract
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Source: South Carolina State Department of Education > Research Portal > State Report Cards > District Fact File 2012.
SC
Percentage of Total 11th and 12th Grade Students Completing FAFSA Applications, Shown With Median Income, Columbia
The average percentage of 11th and 12th graders who had completed FAFSA applications in Columbia High Schools as of Dec. 31, 2012 was approximately 44%. FAFSA application completion is considered a good indicator of college attendance.
Total Median Income
$11,406.00 - $30,000.00 $30,000.01 - $40,000.00 $40,000.01 - $60,000.00 $60,000.01 - $70,000.00 $70,000.01 - $106,858.00
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Source: FAFSA data retrieved from Federal Student Aid website for Florida and South Carolina http://studentaid.ed.gov/about/data-center/student/application-volume/fafsa-completion-high-school. Data on completed applications submitted as of December 2012 used for calculation. Student counts from South Carolina Department of Education website: 45 day active headcount by school (2012-13) school year, 11th and 12th graders.
FL
Tract, School Location
Percentage of Total 11th and 12th Grade Students Completing FAFSA Applications, Shown Educational Attainment, Lakeland
The average percentage of 11th and 12th graders who had completed FAFSA applications in Lakeland High Schools as of Dec. 31, 2012 was approximately 22%. FAFSA application completion is considered a good indicator of college attendance.
Associate's and Above
0.9% - 10% 10.1% - 20% 20.1% - 30% 30.1% - 40% 40.1% - 61.5%
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Source: FAFSA data retrieved from Federal Student Aid website for Florida and South Carolina http://studentaid.ed.gov/about/data-center/student/application-volume/fafsa-completion-high-school. Data on completed applications submitted as of December 2012 used for calculation. Student counts from Florida Department of Education website: http://www.fldoe.org/eias/eiaspubs/pubstudent.asp Membership by School by Grade, 2012-2013.
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Data Notes
College success includes graduating from college prepared for career and life success. High college graduation rates are a good indicator that on-time graduation is an attainable goal. High school students taking remedial courses in college have less success than those who are prepared. Low loan default rates are a good indicator that graduates are on their way to economic success.
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NM
New Mexicos College Graduation Rates Are Among The Worst In The Nation
The 2009 six-year graduation rates of bachelor degree students by state for the entering cohort of 2003. The average college graduation rate for the U.S. is 55.5%.
26.9% - 40%
40.1% - 55.4% (Below nat'l avg.) 55.5% - 60.2% (Above nat'l avg.) 60.3% - 69.2%
AK
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Source: The National Center For Higher Education Management Systems Information Center for Higher Education Policymaking and Analysis.
NM
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SC
School Location
The average loan default Rate at U.S. colleges and Universities is 13.4%
ITT Technical Institute: Default 34.1% Allen University: Default 27.1%
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Source: 1White House College Scorecard website. Data retrieved 9/24/2013. Cost reflects average net price after grants and scholarships. Graduation rates are for on undergraduate students who enrolled full-time and have never enrolled in college before, time to graduation can vary by institution. Only institutions with a reported graduation rate are included.
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Adult Outcomes: Persons 18-24 Not In Labor Force Or School, No Degree Above HS, 2010
This map shows percent of population that is not in the labor force or attending school, with no degree beyond high school. Colors indicate distance from national mean with redder states having higher rates of unemployed persons not attending school or having beyond a high school degree.
< -1.5 Std. Dev. -1.5 - -0.50 Std. Dev.
Hawaii 17%
Alaska 20%
-0.50 - 0.50 Std. Dev. 0.50 - 1.5 Std. Dev. 1.5 - 2.2 Std. Dev.
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NM
Tract
More than 21% 14.1 to 21% 7.1 to 14% (US Avg July 2012: 9.5%) 7% or less
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Source: The 2012 Unemployment Rate reflects Esri's estimates for July 1, 2012. All civilians aged 16 years and older were classified as unemployed if they were looking for work during the last 4 weeks, and were available to start a job. Esri's totals do not include figures for seasonal workers. The unemployment rate for the United States in July 2012 was 9.5%. The data shown is from Esri's 2012 Updated Demographics. This map shows Esri's 2012 estimates using Census 2010 geographies.
SC
Block Group
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S2301: Employment Status. Universe = Civilian Workforce Population 16 and over.
FL
Block Group
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Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. S2301: Employment Status. Universe = Civilian Workforce Population 16 and over.
Data Notes
Just describing the data is not enough. Here are some kinds of analyses that can help provide decision-makers with some ways to take action. These kinds of analyses often take data that are harder to get. Many of the examples that follow deal with children but the underlying approach is useful at any level:
Where are the needs? Where are the resources? Where are the gaps? How can we target those gaps most effectively?
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NM
Attendance Boundary
37.2 - 40.1% 40.1 - 45.5% 45.5 - 48.3% 48.3% - 54.4% 48.3% - 54.4%
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Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009, New Mexico Departments of Health and Public Education and U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Students were asked, During your life, with how many people have you had sexual intercourse? The percentage reported here reflects respondents who answered one or more people.
NM
Tract
For example, the census tract in the center with a teen birth rate of 106.4 means that there were 106 live births to teen women for every 1000 teen women who live in the census tract.
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Source: New Mexico Community Data Collaborative. The rates shown here reflects the average number of children per 1000 women born to teen mothers (ages 15-19) between 2001 and 2005. Rates are reported by census tract; high school boundaries are overlaid to provide perspective. In 2005, the statewide teen birth rate was 62 per 1000, and the nationwide rate was 40 per 1000 (Kids Count Data Center, http://datacenter.kidscount.org).
NM
Tract
Capacity of Center
6 - 60 61 - 120 121 - 250 251 - 500
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Source: New Mexico Community Data Collaborative, December 2010. Enrollment data are reported by program site. Elementary school boundaries are overlaid to provide perspective.
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Source: http://www.cdc.gov/violenceprevention/childmaltreatment/riskprotectivefactors.html
NM
Tract
Northeast Heights
Based on the CDC factors, tracts with a higher score have fewer child maltreatment indicators.
South Valley
Opportunity Score
High Moderately high Average Moderately low Low Low
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Source: Unemployment, family size, single parent household, household mobility, family poverty model input layers from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census , census tract level. Alcohol license data from New Mexico Community Data Collaborative, compiled by New Mexico Department of Health.
NM
Tract
Using The Maps To Address Issues Of Community Equity: Where Are The Hispanic Children In Relation To Opportunity?
Westside
Northeast Heights
North Valley
This map clearly shows the concentration of Hispanic children under the age of 5 in lower opportunity areas.
Opportunity Score
High
South Valley
Bernc
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Source: Unemployment, family size, single parent household, household mobility, family poverty model input layers from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census , census tract level. Alcohol license data from New Mexico Community Data Collaborative, compiled by New Mexico Department of Health.
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NM
16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4%
8.1%
2.2%
2% 0% -2% -0.8%
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Source: Rothwell, J. (August, 2012) Education, Job Openings, and Unemployment in Metropolitan America Brookings. www.brookings.edu/metro.
NM
Educational Attainment In Central New Mexico Adults 25 And Over, With An Associates, Bachelors, Or Graduate Degree, 2011
Tract, County
Less than 19.4% 19.4 - 32.8% 32.8 - 42.2% 42.2 - 55.6% 55.6 - 78.0%
45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
35.8
38.8
32.8
37.2
20.3
23.2
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NM
MSA
How Does Albuquerque Compare to Other Communities? Percentage of the Population, 25-64 Years of Age, With an Associate's Degree or Higher
54.3% 52.5% 48.1% 47.3% 46.1% 43.6% 40.3% 40.2% 38.6% 38.0% 35.4% 35.3% 35.2% 29.6% 27.8% 20.9% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% Raleigh-Cary, NC Metro Area Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA Metro Area
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX Metro Area Colorado Springs, CO Metro Area Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area Salt Lake City, UT Metro Area Ogden-Clearfield, UT Metro Area Tucson, AZ Metro Area Albuquerque, NM Metro Area Oklahoma City, OK Metro Area Tulsa, OK Metro Area Reno-Sparks, NV Metro Area Las Vegas-Paradise, NV Metro Area El Paso, TX Metro Area McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Metro Area 0.0%
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Data Notes
Mapping risks and challenges is fairly easy. Those data are everywhere. Gathering information on resources and assets is more time consuming but it is worth it. Assets are usually people, organizations, and agencies. But it is important to think about social and cultural assets more broadly.
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NM
YDI Head Start Programs: Barelas, South Valley, Southwest Mesa and Beyond With Percentage of Population Living in Poverty
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NM
PUMA
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2770 - 4055 Source: American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011. Multi-generational households include households with at least 3 generations living in the same dwelling.
NM
Tract
Percentage of Individuals Who Speak a Language Other Than English at Home, By Census Tract
20 census tracts in 8 counties have populations in which greater than 75% speak a language other than English at home. Those counties are: 1. Doa Ana (7) 2. Sandoval (4) 3. McKinley (2) 4. Bernalillo (2) 5. San Juan (2) 6. Otero (1) 7. Rio Arriba (1) 8. Socorro (1)
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NM
One Of The Most Important Disparities In Doa Ana Are The Differences Between The Academic Proficiency Levels Of Students Who Are English Language Learners (ELL) And Other Students. The Ability To Speak Dual Languages Is A Unique New Mexican Asset To Be Cultivated.
The Paso del Norte Region
Human Capital Development In The Paso del Norte Region The ability to fuel local growth by cultivating relevant skills is the best guarantee that the region will thrive in the future. A region that wants to be globally competitive needs to have a highly skilled workforce and knowledgebased economy In order to break out of the low wage equilibrium. The Paso del Norte Region needs to improve the educational attainment levels and widen access to higher education (p. 17, The Paso Del Norte Region, Mexico and the United States. OECD, 2010)
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Source: The Paso Del Norte Region, Mexico and the United States. OECD, 2010
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Data Notes
One of the challenges we face in Albuquerque is keeping talented people here once they have graduated from college. How might we use data and mapping to help focus the conversation between educators and business leaders?
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SC
MSA
Inflow and Outflow of Degreed People (Associates and higher) from 2007-11, by MSA. Columbia
Columbia_Ins
23 - 98 99 - 180 190 - 310 320 - 500 510 - 1,800
1,300 - 2,200
Columbia_Outs
20 - 160 170 - 370 380 - 630 640 - 1,200
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Source: IPUMS.org. Values reflect an aggregate of 1-Year estimates from 2007-2011. It should be noted that only migrations to other MSAs are included in the above estimates. Universe = Population 25-64 (Persons living in group quarters excluded). Inflow = the number of people with an Associates degree or higher who presently live in the Columbia MSA but did not a year ago [METAREA = 20, MIGMET1 200, MIGRATE1 1]. Outflow = the number of people with an Associates degree or higher who presently do not live in the Columbia MSA but did so a year ago [METAREA 20, MIGMET1 = 200 ].
NM
MSA
Inflow and Outflow of Degreed People (Associates and higher) from 2007-11, by MSA. Albuquerque
ABQ_INS
34 - 180 190 - 350 360 - 590 600 - 1,200 1,300 - 2,500
ABQ_Outs
12 - 140 150 - 290 300 - 470 480 - 1,100 1,200 - 1,900
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Source: IPUMS.org. Values reflect an aggregate of 1-Year estimates from 2007-2011. It should be noted that only migrations to other MSAs are included in the above estimates. Universe = Population 25-64 (Persons living in group quarters excluded). Inflow = the number of people with an Associates degree or higher who presently live in the ABQ MSA but did not a year ago [METAREA = 20, MIGMET1 200, MIGRATE1 1]. Outflow = the number of people with an Associates degree or higher who presently do not live in the ABQ MSA but did so a year ago [METAREA 20, MIGMET1 = 200 ].
FL
MSA
Inflow and Outflow of Degreed People (Associates and higher) from 2007-11, by MSA. Lakeland
LL_Ins
49 - 170 180 - 410 420 - 710 720 - 2,800 2,900 - 5,800
LL_Outs
21 - 140 150 - 300 310 - 690 700 - 1,600 1,700 - 2,900
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Source: IPUMS.org. Values reflect an aggregate of 1-Year estimates from 2007-2011. It should be noted that only migrations to other MSAs are included in the above estimates. Universe = Population 25-64 (Persons living in group quarters excluded). Inflow = the number of people with an Associates degree or higher who presently live in the Lakeland MSA but did not a year ago [METAREA = 20, MIGMET1 200, MIGRATE1 1]. Outflow = the number of people with an Associates degree or higher who presently do not live in the Lakeland MSA but did so a year ago [METAREA 20, MIGMET1 = 200].
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The Approach
1. Understand: Identify the issues that matter What challenges are facing our communities? Who are the key participants and what perspectives do they bring? What kinds of data and analyses will help them take action and make progress? 2. Description: Making the data accessible to all audiences Clarifying the challenges we face Revealing community disparities 3. Analysis: Making sense of the data Identifying gaps in resources Mapping assets Raising questions 4. Action: Using data for change Providing a basis for advocacy Strengthening public engagement Supporting collective impact
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The Data
A huge amount of public data is available for mapping. Data for this presentation fall primarily into 2 categories: general demographic and academic.
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CEPR.UNM.EDU
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