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ANSWER: Vietnam and China has longed sought to create a mechanism to manage their
myriad bilateral relations. They have agreed to a high-level Joint Steering Committee on
Cooperation as the appropriate forum. The agreement to set up a hot line raises Vietnam’s
prestige because China and the United States have also set up a hot line. The hot line is also
an indication that senior leaders wish to ensure early intervention when an incident is caused
further down the chain of command. Vietnam is desperate to constrain China’s actions
through diplomatic means.
5. After what happened over South China Sea, Vietnam media seems to have been given
green light by the authorities to be more open about this so-called sensitive subject. The first
official conference on disputed Spratlys and Paracels was recently held. Do you think
Vietnam is stepping up its fight for rights over these islands by using communications tools?
ANSWER: Up to now Vietnam has been very circumspect about raising any clash of interest
in the South China Sea with China in public. This was because the issue was largely bilateral.
Now the South China Sea has been elevated on the strategic level because the great powers
are involved and fellow ASEAN members have undertaken unilateral steps. In addition to the
Philippines redrawing its baseline, Malaysia has recently reasserted its sovereignty over
features in the South China Sea. Vietnam has had to alter its information strategy to suit the
changing circumstances.
6. On a broader scale, how should Vietnam balance its relation with China and the US in
resolving disputes over South China Sea?
ANSWER: Vietnam will not try to balance its relations by attempting to play off China against
the United States. And Vietnam should try an avoid having territorial issues in the South
China Sea dominate the agenda of its bilateral relations with China. Vietnam has several
international institutions it can use to exercise diplomatic influence such as the ASEAN
Regional Forum. In addition Vietnam attends the Shangri la Dialogue which draws defence
ministers and other high ranking government officials. This would be a new ground for
Vietnam to pursue. Vietnam, through ASEAN, could raise the issue in ASEAN Plus Three
summit process. But most importantly, Vietnam needs to convince fellow ASEAN members of
the importance of this issue as well as ASEAN diplomatic unity when dealing with China.
Vietnam is not at odds with the US but its diplomats in Washington must work overtime to
determine what future courses of action the Obama Administration is likely to take.