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Baseline Optimized
NPV NPV
Re-default rate Re-default rate
Household debt-to-income ratio Household debt-to-income ratio
Optimizing for Net Present Value
This is a simplied depiction of a decision model that predicts the impact
of likely customer reactions to loan modication oers.
This chart shows the results of decision optimization for one specic
borrower across a subset of 24 loan modication alternatives.
www.co.com page 8
Five Imperatives in a Shifting Collections Landscape
INSIGHTS
In this particular market, delinquency negotiations generally occur through a meeting with a loan
agent in a bank branch. Few customers are comfortable yet with making nancial agreements on
the internet or via mobile devices. Nevertheless, optimization analytics are exactly what are needed
to power intelligent self-service loan negotiation via e-channels. The decision strategies they yield
can be directly deployed as business rules that manage automated processes across all channels.
This approach will become essential to creditors as consumer demand for online channels increases.
Organizations that have invested in web-based self-service portals can increase customer usage not
only through automated contact strategies that drive trac to them, but also through analytics that
power personalized interactions and exible negotiation processes on the site.
Creditors who arent ready for optimized decisions and self-service channels can still make strides
toward more customer-centric delinquency resolution. One way is by bringing together all relevant
data for analysis and decision making. When a FICO automated collections system was implemented
at a US state-level department of revenue, for example, the agency was able to consolidate
information from multiple systemslien, warrant, bankruptcy, court, department of motor vehicles,
payment, etc. For the rst time, agents could discuss all liabilities with the taxpayer during a single
phone call. Results include a 300% increase in productivity with a 200% increase in revenue collected.
4. Concentrate collections resources where they make the biggest dierence
Competition for payment share, rising consumer debt levels and economic volatility have many
creditors thinking about improving the eciency and scalability of their collections operations. They
need to get more bang for the buck from their collections resources, and the most reliable way to
do that is with analytics.
Predictive models, long used to help determine when delinquent accounts should enter collections,
have an equally important role to play in nding the most cost-eective way to treat those accounts.
Collection scores, for example, identify which early-stage accounts are most likely to self-cure and
which are most likely to roll. They rank late-stage accounts by the amount theyre likely to pay.
With these insights, companies can avoid wasting resources on probable self-cures (or, even worse,
handing them over to outsourced collectors). They can shift available resources onto accounts
where contact eorts are more likely to change the customers behavior. Using collection scores
with automated contact strategies, for example, organizations can massively ratchet up eorts
contacting a customer through multiple channels at the four best times each day, every day until
successfulwithout increasing call center sta. Typical results from this kind of analytically targeted
treatment include a 15 to 20% increase in recovered amount.
Other types of models detect behavior patterns indicative of rst-party fraudcustomers whove
taken on debt with the intent not to pay it back. Strategic default models identify those whove
decided its in their self-interest not to make payments on their mortgage. Knowing who they
are, creditors can manage these customers with specic and early treatments that reduce both
collections costs and write-os (e.g., limiting access to extended funds or automated increases,
cross-sales and upgrades; accelerating collections actions).
Another way to collect more from available resources is to improve the match-up between accounts
and resources. Placement optimization employs advanced analytics to pinpoint strengths and
weaknesses in the historical performance of collection agencies, attorneys and placement channels.
It outputs precise assignment recommendations that maximize the chances of success. In fact, this
kind of optimization generally increases recoveries by an additional 5% to 20%.
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Five Imperatives in a Shifting Collections Landscape
INSIGHTS
5. Know what happened and whats working, right away
In todays fast-changing collections landscape, organizations need to be able to test new
approaches, measure results and adjust strategies without delay. A great advantage of automated
multichannel collection processes is that by accelerating contact and resolution, they yield results
sooner. They also close the loop between data analysis, decisions, actions and learning from results.
Customers benet from consistent, coherent treatment. The analytics
and rules making the treatment decisions and directing workows receive
real-time data. Any payment or arrangement made prior to the decision
will be factored in. A customer who makes a payment through a web
portal, therefore, will not receive a collections call to her mobile phone
10 minutes later. And because automated systems work round-the-clock
and cover all channels, there are no hiccups when customers receive
a contact through one channel and choose to respond later through
another. The system still knows who they are and everything that has
transpired on their account.
Collections organizations benet from this rapid, closed-loop feedback
by being able to learn in shorter cycles. They can launch more champion-
challenger contests in a given period of time to test alternative
strategies against current best performers, and thus drive performance
improvements. They also gain greater control over operational negation
collection strategies not being executed properlybecause they can
quickly see what actions have been taken and compare the results against
simulated projections.
Analyze
Decide
Act
Learn
Figure 4: Closing the loop for higher performance
How the Leaders Are Doing It
Key solution components for the new collections paradigm
Here are some of the solutions being used by the leaders discussed in this paper and helping other organizationsincluding credit issuers,
government organizations, collection agencies, retailers and healthcare providersrespond to todays challenges and opportunities.
Automating collections processes with intelligent, multi-channel communications. FICO Adeptra Risk Intervention Manager
is a SaaS solution that scales to handle peak volumes and portfolio growth. Its broad access to data, including real-time updates, and
sophisticated engagement strategies, enable collectors to connect with customers over the right channelwhether mobile application,
voice, SMS, web or emailat the right time and drive resolution.
Increasing exibility and customer centricity in their collections processes. FICO Debt Manager solution oers advanced
analytics, strategy design tools, business rules management and adaptive control capabilities for rapidly testing new treatment strategies,
learning from results and driving performance improvements. The solution enables business-user driven conguration of industry-specic
functionality along with outstanding scalability and security. It serves as a System of Record (SoR), a true extension of the users host system,
while enabling real-time data integration with virtually any client system.
Adding more analytics for more precise decisions. FICO Collection Scores are rapidly deployable analytics that typically boost
collection performance by 1520%. They include early-stage scores for cycle 1 and cycle 2 that rank-order accounts by their probability
of rolling, as well as a late-stage score that ranks accounts by expected collection amount. FICO custom analytics include a wide range of
predictive modeling (behavior, propensity, strategic default, attrition, etc.), decision modeling and optimization techniques.
Five Imperatives in a Shifting Collections Landscape
INSIGHTS
The Insights white paper series
provides briengs on research
ndings and product development
directions from FICO. To subscribe,
go to www.co.com/insights.
FICO, Debt Manager, Adeptra and Make every decision count are trademarks or registered trademarks of Fair Isaac Corporation in the United States and in other countries. Other product and company names herein may be
trademarks of their respective owners. 2013 Fair Isaac Corporation. All rights reserved.
2942WP 02/13 PDF
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A new collections paradigm is emerging to make it easier and to improve the process for both
creditors and their customers. Todays best practices recognize the role of collections as a customer
service, and they build from a foundation of stronger ongoing customer relationship management.
Collections organizations in every industry, all over the world, can benet from one or more
aspects of this new approach. Whatever their current collections processes and particular
challenges, they can move toward the new best practices incrementally, achieving measurable
gains that multiply with each improvement made.
Learn more:
Watch on-demand webinars: Overcoming Barriers to Collection Success and Best Practices
in Collections Agency Placement and Optimization.
Download FICO white papers: Breaking Through Barriers8 Steps to C&R Excellence,
Boost Collections and Recovery Results With Analytics and Reduce Exposure with
Pre-Delinquent Treatments.
Check out our Collections Optimization page for more information on this analytic technique.
Subscribe to the FICO Banking Analytics Blog where we share new research and best practices.
Conclusion