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Events does not happen because they are to happen for sure.

They just happen when all the other alternatives and possibilities within that -event space- fall short enough. In a collection of 50 events, the one with the probability of .04 will eventually happen and not the other 49 with equal probabilities of .0012. That is to say, the one which happened was also having a very feeble probability to happen but happened because the other events with .0012 probability cant occur as against this one. During the birth of a cause, there is nothing that can be said for sure to happen as a general consequence or effect of that cause. Probabilities of all other closely and remotely associated events will eventually let one even to occur and all other events to faid out. I enquire myself whether important events of a life like success, failures, happiness, marriage and death can also be mapped on the same model as if if 3 people are fighting for a competition then can we be sure that one who will succeed will succeed only and only when the other two have fallen short of the knowledge or expertise whatever is required.? Isnt it obvious? Isnt it every where?. Cant you see its so visible, so transparent. But it is not as easy to predict as it may sound. When you toss a coin, both heads and tails have got equal probability 0.5. How can we establish a theory, or can we?, that could led us to predict what face of the coin will show up when then coin will reach rest?. Lets say we toss a coin and get heads on top showing and tails touching the floor. The outcome could be thought of as primarily the combination of two remarkably complex events (complex in terms of the mathematics and quantum involved in it). The event that has led to finally show up heads is the combination of the facts that [A] the coin has not flipped anymore in the air after it reached a minimal threshold height from the ground sp that it doesnt had any more space to turn more when heads was up on the face. [B] the coin did not made any revolve on the ground after hitting the ground that could have showed up tails on the up face. Now, Mathematics can possibly predict with enough certainty that how many flips a coin can make before it reach the threshold height, if we provide the height to which its tossed, the exact gravity pull of that place, the force with which it was tossed and the weight of the coin itself. But, we cant predict anything close to find what factors could confirm how many revolves a coin will make before it comes to rest. This is not because

of the mathematical complexity but because of the fact that it depends on quantum factors of collision between the coin and the ground which itself are unpredictable. Ofcourse, if we can discover some predictability to quantum laws, we can make a break through in predicting which face will show up and consequently, which event will occur. Things like who in a family will become successful and who will not, will you get a boy or a girl even before your marriage, when the Next Elvis or Einstein will be born, when the next recession will come and other events of importance can then be predicted. --to be continued

copyright : Amit Nigam

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