Sie sind auf Seite 1von 13

Derivatives are financial instruments, whose prices are derived from the value of

something else (known as the underlying). The underlying on which a derivative is


based can be the price of an asset (e.g., commodities, equities (stock), residential
mortgages, commercial real estate, loans, bonds), the value of an index (e.g., interest
rates, exchange rates, stock market indices, consumer price index (CPI) — see
inflation derivatives), or other items. Credit derivatives are based on loans, bonds or
other forms of credit.

The main types of derivatives are forwards, futures, options, and swaps.

Derivatives can be used to mitigate the risk of economic loss arising from changes in
the value of the underlying. This activity is known as hedging. Alternatively,
derivatives can be used by investors to take a risk and make a profit if the value of the
underlying moves the way they expect (e.g. moves in a given direction, stays in or out
of a specified range, reaches a certain level). This activity is known as speculation.

Hedging

Derivatives allow risk about the price of the underlying asset to be transferred from
one party to another. For example, a wheat farmer and a miller could sign a futures
contract to exchange a specified amount of cash for a specified amount of wheat in
the future. Both parties have reduced a future risk: for the wheat farmer, the
uncertainty of the price, and for the miller, the availability of wheat. However, there is
still the risk that no wheat will be available due to causes unspecified by the contract,
like the weather, or that one party will renege on the contract. Although a third party,
called a clearing house, insures a futures contract, not all derivatives are insured
against counterparty risk.

From another perspective, the farmer and the miller both reduce a risk and acquire a
risk when they sign the futures contract: The farmer reduces the risk that the price of
wheat will fall below the price specified in the contract and acquires the risk that the
price of wheat will rise above the price specified in the contract (thereby losing
additional income that he could have earned). The miller, on the other hand, acquires
the risk that the price of wheat will fall below the price specified in the contract
(thereby paying more in the future than he otherwise would) and reduces the risk that
the price of wheat will rise above the price specified in the contract. In this sense, one
party is the insurer (risk taker) for one type of risk, and the counterparty is the insurer
(risk taker) for another type of risk.

Hedging also occurs when an individual or institution buys an asset (like a


commodity, a bond that has coupon payments, a stock that pays dividends, and so on)
and sells it using a futures contract. The individual or institution has access to the
asset for a specified amount of time, and then can sell it in the future at a specified
price according to the futures contract. Of course, this allows the individual or
institution the benefit of holding the asset while reducing the risk that the future
selling price will deviate unexpectedly from the market's current assessment of the
future value of the asset.
Derivatives traders at the Chicago Board of Trade.

[edit] Speculation and arbitrage

Derivatives can be used to acquire risk, rather than to insure or hedge against risk.
Thus, some individuals and institutions will enter into a derivative contract to
speculate on the value of the underlying asset, betting that the party seeking insurance
will be wrong about the future value of the underlying asset. Speculators will want to
be able to buy an asset in the future at a low price according to a derivative contract
when the future market price is high, or to sell an asset in the future at a high price
according to a derivative contract when the future market price is low.

Individuals and institutions may also look for arbitrage opportunities, as when the
current buying price of an asset falls below the price specified in a futures contract to
sell the asset.

Speculative trading in derivatives gained a great deal of notoriety in 1995 when Nick
Leeson, a trader at Barings Bank, made poor and unauthorized investments in futures
contracts. Through a combination of poor judgment, lack of oversight by the bank's
management and by regulators, and unfortunate events like the Kobe earthquake,
Leeson incurred a $1.3 billion loss that bankrupted the centuries-old institution.[1]

Types of derivatives

[edit] OTC and exchange-traded

Broadly speaking there are two distinct groups of derivative contracts, which are
distinguished by the way they are traded in market:

• Over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives are contracts that are traded (and


privately negotiated) directly between two parties, without going through an
exchange or other intermediary. Products such as swaps, forward rate
agreements, and exotic options are almost always traded in this way. The OTC
derivative market is the largest market for derivatives, and is largely
unregulated with respect to disclosure of information between the parties,
since the OTC market is made up of banks and other highly sophisticated
parties, such as hedge funds. Reporting of OTC amounts are difficult because
trades can occur in private, without activity being visible on any exchange.
According to the Bank for International Settlements, the total outstanding
notional amount is $684 trillion (as of June 2008)[2]. Of this total notional
amount, 67% are interest rate contracts, 8% are credit default swaps (CDS),
9% are foreign exchange contracts, 2% are commodity contracts, 1% are
equity contracts, and 12% are other. Because OTC derivatives are not traded
on an exchange, there is no central counterparty. Therefore, they are subject to
counterparty risk, like an ordinary contract, since each counterparty relies on
the other to perform.

• Exchange-traded derivatives (ETD) are those derivatives products that are


traded via specialized derivatives exchanges or other exchanges. A derivatives
exchange acts as an intermediary to all related transactions, and takes Initial
margin from both sides of the trade to act as a guarantee. The world's largest[3]
derivatives exchanges (by number of transactions) are the Korea Exchange
(which lists KOSPI Index Futures & Options), Eurex (which lists a wide range
of European products such as interest rate & index products), and CME Group
(made up of the 2007 merger of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the
Chicago Board of Trade and the 2008 acquisition of the New York Mercantile
Exchange). According to BIS, the combined turnover in the world's
derivatives exchanges totalled USD 344 trillion during Q4 2005. Some types
of derivative instruments also may trade on traditional exchanges. For
instance, hybrid instruments such as convertible bonds and/or convertible
preferred may be listed on stock or bond exchanges. Also, warrants (or
"rights") may be listed on equity exchanges. Performance Rights, Cash xPRTs
and various other instruments that essentially consist of a complex set of
options bundled into a simple package are routinely listed on equity
exchanges. Like other derivatives, these publicly traded derivatives provide
investors access to risk/reward and volatility characteristics that, while related
to an underlying commodity, nonetheless are distinctive.

Common derivative contract types

There are three major classes of derivatives:

1. Futures/Forwards are contracts to buy or sell an asset on or before a future


date at a price specified today. A futures contract differs from a forward
contract in that the futures contract is a standardized contract written by a
clearing house that operates an exchange where the contract can be bought and
sold, while a forward contract is a non-standardized contract written by the
parties themselves.
2. Options are contracts that give the owner the right, but not the obligation, to
buy (in the case of a call option) or sell (in the case of a put option) an asset.
The price at which the sale takes place is known as the strike price, and is
specified at the time the parties enter into the option. The option contract also
specifies a maturity date. In the case of a European option, the owner has the
right to require the sale to take place on (but not before) the maturity date; in
the case of an American option, the owner can require the sale to take place at
any time up to the maturity date. If the owner of the contract exercises this
right, the counterparty has the obligation to carry out the transaction.
3. Swaps are contracts to exchange cash (flows) on or before a specified future
date based on the underlying value of currencies/exchange rates,
bonds/interest rates, commodities, stocks or other assets.

More complex derivatives can be created by combining the elements of these basic
types. For example, the holder of a swaption has the right, but not the obligation, to
enter into a swap on or before a specified future date.

[edit] Examples

Some common examples of these derivatives are:

CONTRACT TYPES

UNDERLYING Exchange- Exchange-


OTC OTC OTC
traded traded
swap forward option
futures options
Option on
DJIA Index DJIA Index
future future Equity
Equity Index Back-to-back n/a
NASDAQ Option on swap
Index future NASDAQ
Index future
Option on Interest rate
Eurodollar
Eurodollar Interest cap and
future Forward rate
Money market future rate floor
Euribor agreement
Option on swap Swaption
future
Euribor future Basis swap
Total
Option on Repurchase
Bonds Bond future return Bond option
Bond future agreement
swap
Stock
option
Single-stock Single-share Equity Repurchase
Single Stocks Warrant
future option swap agreement
Turbo
warrant
Credit Credit
Credit n/a n/a default n/a default
swap option

Other examples of underlying exchangeables are:

• Property (mortgage) derivatives


• Economic derivatives that pay off according to economic reports [1] as
measured and reported by national statistical agencies
• Energy derivatives that pay off according to a wide variety of indexed energy
prices. Usually classified as either physical or financial, where physical means
the contract includes actual delivery of the underlying energy commodity (oil,
gas, power, etc.)
• Commodities
• Freight derivatives
• Inflation derivatives
• Insurance derivatives[citation needed]
• Weather derivatives
• Credit derivatives

Cash flow

The payments between the parties may be determined by:

• The price of some other, independently traded asset in the future (e.g., a
common stock);
• The level of an independently determined index (e.g., a stock market index or
heating-degree-days);
• The occurrence of some well-specified event (e.g., a company defaulting);
• An interest rate;
• An exchange rate;
• Or some other factor.

Some derivatives are the right to buy or sell the underlying security or commodity at
some point in the future for a predetermined price. If the price of the underlying
security or commodity moves into the right direction, the owner of the derivative
makes money; otherwise, they lose money or the derivative becomes worthless.
Depending on the terms of the contract, the potential gain or loss on a derivative can
be much higher than if they had traded the underlying security or commodity directly.

[edit] Valuation

Total world derivatives from 1998-2007[4] compared to total world wealth in the year
2000[5]
[edit] Market and arbitrage-free prices

Two common measures of value are:

• Market price, i.e. the price at which traders are willing to buy or sell the
contract
• Arbitrage-free price, meaning that no risk-free profits can be made by trading
in these contracts; see rational pricing

[edit] Determining the market price

For exchange-traded derivatives, market price is usually transparent (often published


in real time by the exchange, based on all the current bids and offers placed on that
particular contract at any one time). Complications can arise with OTC or floor-traded
contracts though, as trading is handled manually, making it difficult to automatically
broadcast prices. In particular with OTC contracts, there is no central exchange to
collate and disseminate prices.

[edit] Determining the arbitrage-free price

The arbitrage-free price for a derivatives contract is complex, and there are many
different variables to consider. Arbitrage-free pricing is a central topic of financial
mathematics. The stochastic process of the price of the underlying asset is often
crucial. A key equation for the theoretical valuation of options is the Black–Scholes
formula, which is based on the assumption that the cash flows from a European stock
option can be replicated by a continuous buying and selling strategy using only the
stock. A simplified version of this valuation technique is the binomial options model.

Criticisms

Derivatives are often subject to the following criticisms:

[edit] Possible large losses

See also: List of trading losses

The use of derivatives can result in large losses due to the use of leverage, or
borrowing. Derivatives allow investors to earn large returns from small movements in
the underlying asset's price. However, investors could lose large amounts if the price
of the underlying moves against them significantly. There have been several instances
of massive losses in derivative markets, such as:

• The need to recapitalize insurer American International Group (AIG)


with $85 billion of debt provided by the US federal government[6]. An
AIG subsidiary had lost more than $18 billion over the preceding three
quarters on Credit Default Swaps (CDS) it had written.[7] It was
reported that the recapitalization was necessary because further losses
were foreseeable over the next few quarters.
• The loss of $7.2 Billion by Société Générale in January 2008 through
mis-use of futures contracts.
• The loss of US$6.4 billion in the failed fund Amaranth Advisors,
which was long natural gas in September 2006 when the price
plummeted.
• The loss of US$4.6 billion in the failed fund Long-Term Capital
Management in 1998.
• The bankruptcy of Orange County, CA in 1994, the largest municipal
bankruptcy in U.S. history. On December 6, 1994, Orange County
declared Chapter 9 bankruptcy, from which it emerged in June 1995.
The county lost about $1.6 billion through derivatives trading. Orange
County was neither bankrupt nor insolvent at the time; however,
because of the strategy the county employed it was unable to generate
the cash flows needed to maintain services. Orange County is a good
example of what happens when derivatives are used incorrectly and
positions liquidated in an unplanned manner; had they not liquidated
they would not have lost any money as their positions rebounded.[citation
needed]
Potentially problematic use of interest-rate derivatives by US
municipalities has continued in recent years. See, for example:[8]
• The Nick Leeson affair in 1994

[edit] Counter-party risk

Derivatives (especially swaps) expose investors to counter-party risk.

For example, suppose a person wanting a fixed interest rate loan for his business, but
finding that banks only offer variable rates, swaps payments with another business
who wants a variable rate, synthetically creating a fixed rate for the person. However
if the second business goes bankrupt, it can't pay its variable rate and so the first
business will lose its fixed rate and will be paying a variable rate again. If interest
rates have increased, it is possible that the first business may be adversely affected,
because it may not be prepared to pay the higher variable rate.

Different types of derivatives have different levels of risk for this effect. For example,
standardized stock options by law require the party at risk to have a certain amount
deposited with the exchange, showing that they can pay for any losses; Banks who
help businesses swap variable for fixed rates on loans may do credit checks on both
parties. However in private agreements between two companies, for example, there
may not be benchmarks for performing due diligence and risk analysis.

[edit] Unsuitably high risk for small/inexperienced investors

Derivatives pose unsuitably high amounts of risk for small or inexperienced


investors. Because derivatives offer the possibility of large rewards, they offer an
attraction even to individual investors. However, speculation in derivatives often
assumes a great deal of risk, requiring commensurate experience and market
knowledge, especially for the small investor, a reason why some financial planners
advise against the use of these instruments. Derivatives are complex instruments
devised as a form of insurance, to transfer risk among parties based on their
willingness to assume additional risk, or hedge against it.

Large notional value


• Derivatives typically have a large notional value. As such, there is the danger
that their use could result in losses that the investor would be unable to
compensate for. The possibility that this could lead to a chain reaction ensuing
in an economic crisis, has been pointed out by famed investor Warren Buffett
in Berkshire Hathaway's annual report. Buffett called them 'financial weapons
of mass destruction.' The problem with derivatives is that they control an
increasingly larger notional amount of assets and this may lead to distortions
in the real capital and equities markets. Investors begin to look at the
derivatives markets to make a decision to buy or sell securities and so what
was originally meant to be a market to transfer risk now becomes a leading
indicator.

(See Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report for 2002)

[edit] Leverage of an economy's debt

Derivatives massively leverage the debt in an economy, making it ever more


difficult for the underlying real economy to service its debt obligations, thereby
curtailing real economic activity, which can cause a recession or even depression. In
the view of Marriner S. Eccles, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman from November, 1934
to February, 1948, too high a level of debt was one of the primary causes of the
1920s-30s Great Depression. (See Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report for 2002)

[edit] Benefits

Nevertheless, the use of derivatives also has its benefits:

• Derivatives facilitate the buying and selling of risk, and many people consider
this to have a positive impact on the economic system. Although someone
loses money while someone else gains money with a derivative, under normal
circumstances, trading in derivatives should not adversely affect the economic
system because it is not zero sum in utility.
• Former Federal Reserve Board chairman Alan Greenspan commented in 2003
that he believed that the use of derivatives has softened the impact of the
economic downturn at the beginning of the 21st century.[citation needed]

[edit] Definitions

• Bilateral netting: A legally enforceable arrangement between a bank and a


counter-party that creates a single legal obligation covering all included
individual contracts. This means that a bank’s obligation, in the event of the
default or insolvency of one of the parties, would be the net sum of all positive
and negative fair values of contracts included in the bilateral netting
arrangement.

• Credit derivative: A contract that transfers credit risk from a protection buyer
to a credit protection seller. Credit derivative products can take many forms,
such as credit default swaps, credit linked notes and total return swaps.
• Derivative: A financial contract whose value is derived from the performance
of assets, interest rates, currency exchange rates, or indexes. Derivative
transactions include a wide assortment of financial contracts including
structured debt obligations and deposits, swaps, futures, options, caps, floors,
collars, forwards and various combinations thereof.

• Exchange-traded derivative contracts: Standardized derivative contracts (e.g.


futures contracts and options) that are transacted on an organized futures
exchange.

• Gross negative fair value: The sum of the fair values of contracts where the
bank owes money to its counter-parties, without taking into account netting.
This represents the maximum losses the bank’s counter-parties would incur if
the bank defaults and there is no netting of contracts, and no bank collateral
was held by the counter-parties.

• Gross positive fair value: The sum total of the fair values of contracts where
the bank is owed money by its counter-parties, without taking into account
netting. This represents the maximum losses a bank could incur if all its
counter-parties default and there is no netting of contracts, and the bank holds
no counter-party collateral.

• High-risk mortgage securities: Securities where the price or expected average


life is highly sensitive to interest rate changes, as determined by the FFIEC
policy statement on high-risk mortgage securities.

• Notional amount: The nominal or face amount that is used to calculate


payments made on swaps and other risk management products. This amount
generally does not change hands and is thus referred to as notional.

• Over-the-counter (OTC) derivative contracts: Privately negotiated derivative


contracts that are transacted off organized futures exchanges.

• Structured notes: Non-mortgage-backed debt securities, whose cash flow


characteristics depend on one or more indices and / or have embedded
forwards or options.

• Total risk-based capital: The sum of tier 1 plus tier 2 capital. Tier 1 capital
consists of common shareholders equity, perpetual preferred shareholders
equity with non-cumulative dividends, retained earnings, and minority
interests in the equity accounts of consolidated subsidiaries. Tier 2 capital
consists of subordinated debt, intermediate-term preferred stock, cumulative
and long-term preferred stock, and a portion of a bank’s allowance for loan
and lease losses.

Derivatives
Commodities whose value is derived from
the price of some underlying asset like
securities, commodities, bullion, currency,
interest level, stock market index
or anything else are known as “Derivatives”.

In more simpler form, derivatives are financial security such as an option or


future whose value is derived in part from the value and characteristics of
another security, the underlying asset.

It is a generic term for a variety of financial instruments. Essentially, this


means you buy a promise to convey ownership of the asset, rather than the
asset itself. The legal terms of a contract are much more varied and flexible
than the terms of property ownership. In fact, it’s this flexibility that appeals to
investors.

When a person invests in derivative, the underlying asset is usually a


commodity, bond, stock, or currency. He bet that the value derived from the
underlying asset will increase or decrease by a certain amount within a certain
fixed period of time.

‘Futures’ and ‘options’ are two commodity traded types of derivatives. An


‘options’ contract gives the owner the right to buy or sell an asset at a set
price on or before a given date. On the other hand, the owner of a ‘futures’
contract is obligated to buy or sell the asset.

The other examples of derivatives are warrants and convertible bonds (similar
to shares in that they are assets). But derivatives are usually contracts.
Beyond this, the derivatives range is only limited by the imagination of
investment banks. It is likely that any person who has funds invested, an
insurance policy or a pension fund, that they are investing in, and exposed to,
derivatives – wittingly or unwittingly.

Shares or bonds are financial assets where one can claim on another person
or corporation; they will be usually be fairly standardised and governed by the
property of securities laws in an appropriate country.

On the other hand, a contract is merely an agreement between two parties,


where the contract details may not be standardised.

Derivatives securities or derivatives products are in real terms contracts rather


than solid as it fairly sounds.
Are Derivatives Disastrous?

Disasters involving derivatives have captured the attention of the financial sector
worldwide. Names like Barings, Proctor & Gamble, Orange County, etc. have come
to symbolise the "dangers of derivatives". As derivatives grow to have an increasing
importance in India's economy, what does this mean for us? A single trader brought
down Barings Bank -- is State Bank similarly vulnerable? Specifically, on the equity
market, where the first exchange--traded derivatives are likely to commence trading
in early 1998, what new pitfalls lie in store for us?

The first question that we will address is whether there is truly a rash of disasters.
Ever since the first financial futures started trading in 1972, the worldwide derivatives
industry has seen enormous growth rates, with trading volumes doubling every three
years for the following twenty years. The outstanding derivatives positions that exist
today typically run into many trillions of dollars. In this situation, in the early nineties,
we have seen disasters involving a few billion dollars. This is not a large "failure
rate".

An analogy might perhaps be made with the airline industry: the number of plane
crashes per year seen in the early nineties is enormously larger than what was seen in
preceding decades. This only reflects the fact that many more planes fly today as
compared with previous times. Derivatives are like aircraft in that they are very useful
most of the time, and generate front--page disasters when things go wrong. Yet, a
focus on plane crashes would not accurately convey the extent to which thousands of
planes fly safely every day.

The worldwide banking industry has run up hundreds of billions of dollars of losses
on bad loans (especially in Japan and East Asia). If we measure losses per unit
transacted, then the banking industry is hundreds of times more risky than the
derivatives industry. An analogy may be made here about the risks of planes versus
cars. Most laymen think that planes are riskier than automobiles. This impression is
wrong : the risk of an accident, per unit kilometre travelled, is much smaller when
flying. The difference between planes and automobiles is the difference between
derivatives and banking: in the former case, losses make headlines.

In this discussion, it is useful to demarcate two categories of derivative contracts:


those which are traded at an exchange, and those which are privately negotiated
(called "over--the--counter" or OTC derivatives). Exchange--traded derivatives are
intrinsically safer in many directions: they ensure that users get a fair price on all
trades, they involve almost zero risk of default through the role of the clearing
corporation, and there is a high level of transparency. In contrast, OTC derivatives
involve many difficulties: there is a risk of default by one or the other party, the price
that is negotiated might not be a fair price, the complexity of the contracts often
generates unsavoury sales practices and high fees for intermediaries, and the
transactions are not publicly visible. Many of the famous international disasters have
taken place with OTC derivatives.

In India, on the equity market, SEBI is quite clear that the development of the
derivatives industry should focus on exchange--traded derivatives. In the area of
commodities also, the developments of the last two years in India have centred around
exchanges. It is in interest--rates and currencies, where OTC derivatives presently
dominate in India, that these concerns about fairplay and credit risk are more serious.

India's equity market has been the centre of bitter debates. One argument which is
often heard runs as follows: "Derivatives are highly leveraged instruments, hence the
proposal to create index futures and options should be viewed with great caution".
This statement is inconsistent with a remarkable fact about exchange--traded index
derivatives in India: they involve less danger than the existing spot market.

Payments crises
The index, being a diversified portfolio, is less volatile than individual
securities. After taking volatility into account, the leverage that NSE's index
futures market will offer is less than that available today on NSE's existing
"cash" market, which is a one--week futures market. Hence the risk of
payments problems are smaller on NSE's proposed index futures market than
on the existing cash market. The reduced risk of NSE's index derivatives
market is even more pronounced when compared with other stock exchanges
in India, which lack intra--day exposure limits, charge smaller margins, and
have much smaller deposits from brokerage firms.
Market manipulation
The index, with a market capitalisation of Rs.2.2 trillion, is much harder to
manipulate than individual securities. Hence the dangers of market
manipulation are smaller on an index derivatives market as compared with the
existing cash market.
Insider trading
Individual companies are characterised by a sharp asymmetry of information,
between company insiders and external investors/traders. In contrast, the index
is about India's macroeconomy, where there is much less asymmetry of
information. In this sense, there is less scope for malpractice on a market
which trades the index.
Fake certificates
Trading involving physical certificates in India is fraught with dangers of
fake/stolen share certificates. Index derivatives are cash settled, which makes
them as safe as trades on the cash market which settle through the depository.

On balance, derivatives are a new technology. Like all new technology, there is the
promise of useful applications -- in this case, the major benefit is the fluency of
transfer of risk across individuals and firms in the economy. As with all new
technology, there are risks of damage. The introduction of aiplanes into India was
viewed with suspicion by those who watched newspaper headlines about plane
crashes. As the actual evidence about automobiles, banking or the existing equity
market suggests, these fears are not appropriate in comparison with risks that we live
with today.

Yet, as is the case with all new technology, derivatives do pose a challenge of skills
development. Individuals with expertise in trading one--week futures on the existing
equity market will need to understand the role for index futures in their risk
management and trading. Risk measurement, operational controls, and a "compliance
culture" are more important today than ever before. Exchange and regulators will
need new skills in crafting regulations, and high standards of honest and thorough
enforcement of these regulations. The growth of derivatives markets and the growth
of these skills will go hand in hand.

The experience of India's dollar--rupee forward market -- the largest derivative market
in existence in India today -- is an example of how this might proceed. When this
market first came about, it had a fairly restricted usage. Today, use of the forward
market is routine and commonplace amongst hundreds of importers and exporters.
These are firms with core competences such as exporting garments or importing crude
oil: they are faced with currency risk and do not view trading in the rupee as being a
core competence. The forward market enables them to proceed with their core
competences while using the forward market to eliminate currency risk. The dollar--
rupee forward market has typical daily trading volumes like $1.5 billion, which makes
it one of the biggest financial markets in India today. Even though it is an OTC
market, it has not known any serious disaster. This is a success story of regulation and
skills development.

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen