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30 October 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued ....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Over
Valued ......................................................................6
Automobiles & Parts
Over Valued .........................................................................................6
Banks
Under Valued ...................................................................................6
Beverages
Under Valued ..................................................................................7
Chemicals
Under Valued ......................................7
Construction - Building Materials & Fittings
Construction - Heavy Construction

Over Valued ..................................................7


Under Valued ..................................................7

Construction Home Construction


Under Valued ..................................................8
Electronics & Electrical Equipment
Under Valued ...............................................................8
Engineering & Machinery
Over
Valued .......................................................................8
Food & Drug Stores
Over Valued ........................................................8
Food Producers & Processors
Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Health
Under Valued ..........................................................9
Household Goods & Textiles
Over Valued ...............................................9
Information Technology & Hardware
Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Under Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Under Valued .................................................................... 10
Life Assurance
Under Valued ................................................................ 11
Media & Entertainment
Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Over Valued .......................................... 12
Personal Care & Household Products
Under Valued ................................................ 12
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
Under
Valued
Real Estate - REIT
...................................................................... 12
Under
Valued
Real Estate REIS
..................................................................... 13
Under
Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Under Valued .......................................................... 13
Speciality & Other Finance
Under
Valued ..................................................................... 14
Support Services
Over Valued ....................................................... 15
Telecommunication Services
Over Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under
Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities
DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target price


based upon 49
valuation metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVON RUBBER

550.00

316.50

550.50

Neutral

Sell

496

0.86

BAE SYSTEMS

454.00

300.80

468.00

Neutral

Buy

600

0.66

CHEMRING GROUP

223.00

210.70

321.10

Neutral

Buy

319

0.65

COBHAM

281.00

190.10

307.70

Neutral

Neutral

284

0.76

MEGGITT

563.00

366.20

564.00

Neutral

Sell

497

1.24

QINETIQ GROUP

199.00

179.00

211.10

Neutral

Sell

122

0.63

1160.00

829.44

1230.62

Neutral

Buy

1479

0.95

295.30

185.90

295.30

Neutral

Sell

264

1.63

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS
SENIOR

Target

Beta

SMITHS GROUP

1414.00

1018.00

1455.00

Neutral

Neutral

1449

0.70

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1919.00

1505.00

1981.00

Neutral

Sell

1662

0.49

Over Valued

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

GKN

363.40

201.00

376.20

Neutral

Sell

-1826

1.98

INCHCAPE

634.00

397.60

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2992

1.35

LOOKERS

127.25

71.50

128.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

673

1.17

PENDRAGON

37.50

13.50

39.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

266

0.96

TOROTRAK

27.63

23.50

35.50

Neutral

Sell

13

0.68

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARCLAYS

266.05

210.15

308.39

Neutral

Sell

Target
-649

Beta
2.12

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

686.70

595.80

769.90

Neutral

Buy

839

1.35
1.90

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

78.01

40.57

80.37

Neutral

Sell

ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

364.80

266.10

384.90

Neutral

Sell

-103

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1543.50

1395.00

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3341

1.79

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARR (AG)

528.00

432.20

588.50

Neutral

Sell

430

0.52

BRITVIC

619.50

359.20

619.50

Sell

Buy

847

0.67

DIAGEO

2027.00

1771.00

2136.50

Sell

Buy

2357

0.52

SABMILLER

3287.00

2619.00

3657.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5233

0.92

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

30 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

347.00

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3743

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

282.30

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

543

1.11

CARCLO

389.00

342.75

501.00

Neutral

Sell

123

0.73

2618.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3303

1.06

262.60

204.20

275.00

Neutral

Buy

299

1.01
1.41

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY

2993.00

2190.00

2997.00

Neutral

Buy

3987

VICTREX

1668.00

1418.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1347

1.17

SYNTHOMER

252.30

146.00

257.80

Neutral

Buy

374

1.05

ZOTEFOAMS

180.50

180.50

224.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

287

1.01

Under Valued

Construction - Building Materials & Fittings


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

136.50

81.00

137.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

455

1522.00

1090.00

1580.00

Neutral

Sell

1076

0.97

75.75

50.00

80.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

562

1.11

MARSHALLS

172.75

87.50

184.00

Neutral

Neutral

179

1.37

NORCROS

19.75

11.75

21.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

224

1.02

195.80

102.00

200.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

994

1.61

41.50

22.00

45.50

Neutral

Sell

36

0.91

1812.00

1060.00

1815.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

15501

1.93

235.50

143.13

241.00

Neutral

Neutral

229

1.01

3309.00

2636.64

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

10462

1.32

ALUMASC GROUP
CRH
LOW & BONAR

SIG
TITON HOLDINGS
TRAVIS PERKINS
TYMAN
WOLSELEY

Target

0.54

Over Valued

Construction - Heavy Construction


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BALFOUR BEATTY

285.90

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1101

0.68

BOOT (HENRY)

185.00

123.50

201.00

Neutral

Sell

113

0.71

CARILLION

302.10

244.80

331.80

Neutral

Buy

366

0.98

CLARKE (T)

66.00

40.00

72.25

Neutral

Buy

84

0.68

COSTAIN GROUP

Target

Beta

287.25

226.25

306.00

Neutral

Buy

417

0.50

GALLIFORD TRY

1151.00

678.00

1157.00

Neutral

Sell

827

0.76

KELLER

1025.00

565.00

1161.00

Neutral

Sell

527

1.25

KIER GROUP

1797.00

1106.00

1797.00

Neutral

Sell

1604

0.82

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

806.00

508.00

828.00

Neutral

Buy

986

0.60

NORTH MIDLAND CON.

122.00

95.00

147.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

263

#NA

39.50

22.00

39.50

Sell

Sell

-9

0.45

POCHIN'S

Under Valued

Construction Home Construction


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

340.50

181.30

355.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1017

1.60

BELLWAY

1518.00

951.00

1534.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

10642

0.93

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2450.00

1482.00

2450.00

Neutral

Sell

-2205

0.47

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

790.00

489.30

851.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

25826

1.05

CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS

382.00

220.00

385.00

Neutral

Sell

-376

#NA
0.49

GLEESON (MJ) GROUP

316.25

148.00

354.75

Neutral

Sell

147

1255.00

695.55

1305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4367

1.06

REDROW

263.90

154.00

263.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

423

0.84

TAYLOR WIMPEY

111.50

56.65

113.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

852

1.45

PERSIMMON

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

30 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1120.00

999.50

1399.00

Neutral

Sell

1060

0.63

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

690.50

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

892

0.99

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

145.00

105.50

148.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

290

1.29

INVENSYS

503.50

217.33

509.50

Neutral

Sell

296

1.33

LAIRD

247.50

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

454

1.99

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1295.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1163

1.22

RENISHAW

1625.00

1494.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2085

1.31

SPECTRIS

2286.00

1719.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2849

1.48

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

183.50

65.00

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-449

0.70

TT ELECTRONICS

199.75

114.00

202.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

441

1.64

XAAR

818.00

258.00

898.00

Neutral

Sell

422

1.00

DIALIGHT

Beta

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

130.75

54.63

135.75

Neutral

Buy

167

1.06

BODYCOTE

657.00

362.70

685.00

Neutral

Neutral

640

1.51

CASTINGS

423.63

291.00

450.00

Neutral

Buy

569

0.93

VESUVIUS

480.00

280.31

490.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1757

2.20

FENNER

410.70

305.90

435.20

Neutral

Buy

575

1.44

HALMA

552.00

411.50

578.00

Neutral

Sell

397

0.84

HILL & SMITH

484.50

372.00

484.50

Neutral

Buy

558

1.25

1514.00

934.50

1537.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3819

1.31

300.00

240.30

318.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

504

1.82

2866.00

2278.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2137

0.97

62.88

35.40

76.39

Neutral

Sell

-38

0.76

SPIRAX-SARCO

2932.00

1938.54

3090.00

Neutral

Sell

1779

0.69

VITEC GROUP

718.00

559.00

718.00

Neutral

Sell

506

1.33

WEIR GROUP

2320.00

1710.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2311

1.31

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

452.90

392.10

523.50

Neutral

Neutral

Target
479

0.40

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

286.50

248.60

302.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

507

0.35

SAINSBURY (J)

398.00

321.90

400.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

750

0.58

TESCO

369.10

315.00

387.75

Neutral

Sell

304

0.74

THORNTONS

114.50

28.63

114.50

Neutral

Sell

102

0.83

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

2196.00

1365.00

2196.00

Sell

Sell

1757

0.57

CRANSWICK

1074.00

733.00

1189.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1865

0.35

DAIRY CREST

535.00

342.90

535.00

Sell

Sell

444

0.83

DEVRO

312.10

289.90

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

511

0.37

PREMIER FOODS

180.00

59.75

185.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

289

1.22

TATE & LYLE

798.00

724.00

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1374

0.62

2548.00

2290.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

2152

0.57

UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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30 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

26.38

24.00

29.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

46

0.65

527.50

330.30

577.00

Neutral

Neutral

529

0.56

1520.00

1164.00

1667.00

Neutral

Sell

1265

1.28

629.00

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

255

0.85
1.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP

Target

Beta

49.00

20.60

49.00

Sell

Sell

45

254.25

108.00

258.25

Neutral

Sell

154

0.90

39.38

23.00

41.50

Sell

Sell

10

1.09
0.68

412.80

299.00

412.80

Neutral

Buy

605

1130.00

670.00

1185.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2116

0.59

83.25

39.00

88.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

125

1.10

KINGFISHER

375.10

268.90

420.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

563

0.98

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

485.60

359.00

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

761

0.50

74.00

53.50

75.00

Neutral

Buy

87

0.78

JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP

385.75

271.00

492.75

Neutral

Sell

134

0.28

NEXT

MOTHERCARE

5205.00

3542.00

5250.00

Neutral

Neutral

5401

0.63

TED BAKER

1713.00

935.00

2017.00

Neutral

Sell

1062

0.60

88.00

47.00

94.00

Neutral

Sell

82

1.55

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

149.00

130.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

118

0.45

CONSORT MEDICAL

881.50

660.50

902.50

Neutral

Sell

683

0.37

OPTOS

157.00

106.75

215.25

Neutral

Buy

176

1.09

SMITH & NEPHEW

797.50

638.00

803.00

Neutral

Sell

686

0.33

Beta

Under Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

782.50

601.00

823.50

Neutral

Neutral

758

HEADLAM GROUP

385.00

302.50

415.00

Neutral

Buy

449

0.75

79.75

55.25

87.50

Neutral

Sell

48

0.70

HORNBY

Target

0.29

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

991.00

665.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

432

CSR

551.00

332.00

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1487

1.06

65.50

30.75

83.25

Neutral

Neutral

69

1.00

FILTRONIC

Target

Beta
0.63

IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

283.00

235.10

552.00

Neutral

Sell

214

1.09

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

115.00

115.00

169.20

Buy

Strong Buy

390

0.88

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

142.50

140.00

226.25

Neutral

Sell

-37

0.95

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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30 October 2013
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Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1270.00

1019.00

1416.00

Neutral

Sell

-538

0.58

AMLIN

433.20

364.10

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1635

0.47

BEAZLEY

221.30

167.30

242.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

1011

0.61

CATLIN GROUP

514.00

455.30

552.50

Neutral

Neutral

496

0.29
0.43

ADMIRAL GROUP

HISCOX

667.50

463.32

686.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2022

1020.00

734.00

1020.00

Neutral

Buy

1280

0.28

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

128.80

107.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

779

0.36

NOVAE GROUP

550.50

345.00

550.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3662

0.39

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

Under Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock
CARNIVAL
ENTERPRISE INNS

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

2233.00

2030.00

2628.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
3216

Beta
0.96

150.50

65.75

157.80

Neutral

Sell

115

1.51

TUI TRAVEL

384.00

246.70

401.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

657

1.06

FULLER SMITH 'A'

900.00

726.00

969.00

Neutral

Sell

781

0.24

GREENE KING

838.50

589.00

897.50

Neutral

Sell

633

0.87

LADBROKES

193.00

167.40

243.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

318

0.85

1822.00

1524.00

2039.00

Neutral

Buy

2108

1.10

MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

568.50

456.00

615.50

Neutral

Neutral

552

1.33

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

391.50

296.00

460.00

Neutral

Sell

255

0.89

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

123.40

101.30

156.00

Neutral

Sell

42

1.28

ICTL.HTLS.GP.

PUNCH TAVERNS

13.87

6.16

15.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

45

0.98

RANK GROUP

150.00

137.30

177.50

Neutral

Neutral

150

1.01

RESTAURANT GROUP

575.50

364.00

575.50

Neutral

Sell

462

0.66

WETHERSPOON (JD)

729.50

493.80

767.00

Neutral

Neutral

738

0.55

WHITBREAD

3466.00

2314.00

3466.00

Sell

Sell

2450

1.05

WILLIAM HILL

399.20

305.06

494.50

Neutral

Neutral

427

0.79

MARSTON'S

153.10

118.80

165.50

Neutral

Sell

-15

1.08

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

442.00

294.10

442.00

Neutral

Sell

402

1.23

CHESNARA

294.75

176.50

296.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

577

0.62

LEGAL & GENERAL

215.30

133.30

215.30

Sell

Strong Buy

547

1.82

OLD MUTUAL

204.80

166.10

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

437

1.54

PRUDENTIAL

1275.00

839.50

1276.00

Sell

Neutral

1318

1.82

677.50

379.70

679.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7410

0.88

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com
17

Target

Beta

30 October 2013
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Page 10 of

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

177.37

102.00

177.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

922

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

928.00

709.00

950.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1056

0.42

55.75

31.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.00
1.04

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'

Target

Beta
0.39

799.00

451.25

835.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3556

1045.00

747.50

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5566

0.87

INFORMA

554.50

380.50

556.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.51

ITE GROUP

319.00

183.50

319.00

Neutral

Buy

201

1.38

ITV

191.40

85.75

195.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1369

1.54

12.50

10.75

19.00

Neutral

Buy

720

1.11
0.60

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON

1365.00

1119.00

1365.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

PHOTO-ME INTL.

133.00

49.00

133.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2283

0.81

PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON

302.50

269.00

302.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.06

THOMSON REUTERS

38.58

26.85

38.58

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

0.39

STV GROUP

325.00

100.00

330.00

Neutral

Sell

240

0.86

ST.IVES

183.50

99.50

188.00

Neutral

Sell

159

1.34

TRINITY MIRROR

130.00

58.25

132.25

Neutral

Sell

-289

1.53
1.33

UBM

690.50

636.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1421

WILMINGTON GROUP

219.25

127.75

219.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1390

0.83

1327.00

795.50

1344.00

Neutral

Sell

-827

1.25

WPP

Under Valued

Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERICAN
ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
GLENCORE XSTRATA
LONMIN

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

1517.50

1207.00

2072.00

Neutral

Neutral

1575

Beta
1.74

219.00

161.00

289.00

Neutral

Neutral

230

1.03
1.27

888.50

784.50

1381.00

Neutral

Neutral

942

1949.00

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2450

1.41

342.25

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

1037

#NA

328.90

240.84

380.10

Sell

Buy

418

1.86

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4762.00

3972.00

7435.00

Neutral

Sell

3179

0.51

RIO TINTO

3193.50

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2400

1.44

VEDANTA RESOURCES

1080.00

992.00

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3037

2.17

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1248.00

1000.50

1329.50

Neutral

Sell

937

BP

477.50

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1060

1.04

CAIRN ENERGY

280.00

251.80

296.10

Neutral

Sell

-41

1.25
0.76

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS

Target

Beta
0.81

9.90

5.44

10.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

89

889.50

716.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

612

1.25

74.00

48.50

80.38

Neutral

Sell

-58

1.21
1.45

347.40

321.30

400.20

Neutral

Buy

423

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B

2264.50

2077.50

2365.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8598

0.78

SOCO INTERNATIONAL

397.90

306.38

417.00

Neutral

Neutral

408

0.53

TULLOW OIL

936.00

936.00

1445.00

Neutral

Sell

709

1.08

WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

816.00

720.50

915.50

Neutral

Sell

756

1.40

PREMIER OIL

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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17

30 October 2013
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Page 11 of

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock
MCBRIDE
PZ CUSSONS
RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

111.50

98.05

140.38

Neutral

Buy

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA
BTG
DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS
GLAXOSMITHKLINE
OXFORD BIOMEDICA

Beta

157

0.85

398.60

338.50

432.50

Neutral

Sell

332

0.75

4857.00

3704.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

5035

0.33

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.37

0.32

3.58

Buy

Sell

Target
-0

Beta

3312.50

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

10041

0.47

422.30

317.50

422.30

Neutral

Sell

274

0.38
0.18

0.89

691.50

569.00

780.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1355

1637.50

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Buy

2357

0.49

2.68

1.33

2.83

Buy

Sell

-2

0.38
0.79

IXICO

54.50

51.50

568.75

Buy

Sell

-164

SHIRE

2773.00

1727.00

2814.00

Neutral

Sell

2015

0.69

SKYEPHARMA

95.50

43.50

101.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

173

0.51

VERNALIS

29.00

19.38

31.00

Neutral

Sell

14

0.76

Under Valued

Real Estate - REIT


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

480.00

322.90

489.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

784

1.24

BRITISH LAND

632.00

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Buy

898

1.14

2564.00

1999.00

2574.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5584

1.32

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

592.00

451.50

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1302

1.07

HAMMERSON

541.50

458.70

554.00

Neutral

Buy

607

1.41
1.22

DERWENT LONDON

Target

Beta

INTU PROPERTIES

347.60

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

627

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

999.00

762.50

999.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1934

1.22

31.75

24.25

37.50

Neutral

Sell

-178

0.78

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY

130.00

103.20

130.20

Neutral

Sell

-7

0.33

MCKAY SECURITIES

187.25

131.50

187.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

314

0.50

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

471.00

347.75

500.00

Neutral

Sell

263

0.57

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

324.50

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

127

0.22

48.50

30.75

50.00

Sell

Sell

-414

0.43
1.96

LOCAL SHOP.REIT (THE)

REDEFINE INTL.REIT
SEGRO

331.40

221.60

336.70

Neutral

Sell

-328

SHAFTESBURY

613.00

524.50

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

932

1.13

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

223.50

178.75

230.00

Neutral

Sell

0.95

WORKSPACE GROUP

498.00

293.90

498.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1585

1.10

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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17

30 October 2013
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Page 12 of

Under Valued

Real Estate REIS


Stock
CAPITAL & CNTS.PROPS.
CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

355.20

225.00

365.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
716

Beta
0.72

44.50

22.75

45.25

Neutral

Sell

-58

0.55
0.80

CLS HOLDINGS

1204.00

656.50

1260.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3120

DAEJAN HOLDINGS

4140.00

2706.00

4200.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

15601

0.56

226.75

143.00

226.75

Neutral

Sell

208

1.14

DEVELOPMENT SECS.
GRAINGER

193.90

109.90

193.90

Sell

Sell

118

1.64

HELICAL BAR

308.00

178.00

308.00

Neutral

Sell

221

0.83

38.00

21.50

38.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

243

0.60

6700.00

4350.00

6975.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

19707

0.69

100.00

51.75

100.00

Sell

Sell

-226

1.10
1.56

LONDON & ASSOCS.PROPS.


MOUNTVIEW ESTATES
QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.
RAVEN RUSSIA
SAVILLS
SMART (J)

78.75

61.50

80.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

221

648.00

403.20

664.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1879

0.68

85.00

72.50

90.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

385

0.42

ST MODWEN PROPS.

358.00

201.00

361.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

671

1.68

UNITE GROUP

400.50

260.70

408.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1728

1.93

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

88.50

76.75

162.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

146

0.66

2576.00

1975.75

2650.00

Neutral

Sell

1533

1.49

COMPUTACENTER

575.00

333.29

575.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1494

0.85

KOFAX

375.00

260.75

388.00

Neutral

Sell

318

1.11
0.78

AVEVA GROUP

INNOVATION GROUP

Target

Beta

32.00

20.75

32.00

Sell

Sell

27

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

812.50

544.73

816.09

Neutral

Buy

1091

0.84

PHOENIX IT GROUP

150.50

130.00

184.00

Neutral

Sell

-282

0.59
0.58

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

115.00

64.00

124.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

272

2050.00

1275.00

2190.00

Neutral

Neutral

2213

0.62

334.70

289.36

368.18

Neutral

Buy

450

0.70

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

448.30

323.50

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1307

1.12

BREWIN DOLPHIN

287.20

169.80

287.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

689

0.85

8700.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

86487

0.85

455.00

288.00

474.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1511

0.89
0.64

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

Target

Beta

219.50

155.00

228.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1715

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1264.00

833.50

1300.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5126

0.78

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

103.30

90.00

110.40

Neutral

Sell

82

0.77

CHARLES TAYLOR

5.39

0.96

5.70

Neutral

Sell

-133

0.77

HENDERSON GROUP

HELPHIRE GROUP

211.10

109.10

211.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

839

1.44

ICAP

375.00

280.80

422.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

880

0.94

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

495.00

287.20

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2357

1.77

INVESTEC

436.20

364.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2812

1.54

1671.00

930.00

1682.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6946

1.32

91.00

71.80

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-5114

1.23

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP
RATHBONE BROTHERS

1640.00

1208.00

1691.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5742

0.83

SCHRODERS

2678.00

1518.00

2690.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8586

1.42

SCHRODERS NV

2194.00

1220.00

2217.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11883

1.38

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com
17

30 October 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 13 of

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

315.50

157.75

315.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

643

0.79

AGGREKO

1584.00

1442.00

2254.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4351

1.04

AMEC

1170.00

965.50

1170.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3323

0.98

666.00

364.60

730.00

Neutral

Buy

982

1.69

1263.00

954.50

1263.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2605

0.40

677.00

372.50

677.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2348

0.84

1367.00

1009.00

1409.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2776

0.49

UK MAIL GROUP

585.00

265.00

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1644

0.47

CAPITA

988.50

713.00

1057.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1907

0.57

62.50

34.54

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

444

0.79
0.78

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

896.50

680.00

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1997

BERENDSEN

959.50

563.00

962.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3395

1.02

DE LA RUE

852.00

845.00

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2321

#NA
0.21

DIGNITY

1393.00

922.31

1567.68

Neutral

Buy

1758

DIPLOMA

682.00

435.00

690.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1344

1.00

ELECTROCOMP.

295.30

203.90

298.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

894

1.03

ESSENTRA PLC

797.50

543.00

830.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1287

1.13

G4S

258.40

207.50

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

926

0.42

HAYS

122.50

76.70

124.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

394

0.99

HOMESERVE

233.50

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

941

0.93

INTERSERVE

631.00

349.10

631.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3142

1.15

3284.00

2819.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4472

0.74

53.13

33.63

53.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

237

1.03
0.61

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

25.75

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

190

MENZIES (JOHN)

791.00

573.00

841.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2028

1.37

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

477.10

346.40

502.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

813

1.19

MITIE GROUP

313.70

248.00

314.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1043

0.50

40.00

33.75

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

664

0.28

OFFICE2OFFICE

1040.00

770.00

1185.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1870

0.72

PREMIER FARNELL

PAYPOINT

220.10

165.50

238.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

566

1.40

REGUS

205.80

96.00

214.10

Neutral

Sell

70

1.46

RENTOKIL INITIAL

112.80

85.00

112.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

456

1.31

REXAM

521.00

432.56

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1813

0.90

RICARDO

601.50

349.63

661.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1888

1.04

ROBERT WALTERS

328.00

191.00

335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

964

1.11

RPC GROUP

514.50

378.00

514.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1645

0.72

RPS GROUP

293.20

195.50

293.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

920

1.49

SERCO GROUP

552.00

516.50

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2261

0.52

SHANKS GROUP

105.00

73.00

107.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

369

1.55

64.00

32.25

70.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

339

1.17

189.00

92.25

206.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

539

0.64

78.50

40.50

78.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

328

0.81

VP

500.00

313.00

510.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2295

0.65

WYG

110.50

52.75

111.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

200

0.78

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST

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Page 14 of

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

369.40

212.50

369.40

Sell

Buy

Target
468

Beta
0.92

44.24

34.31

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

87

0.66

INMARSAT

733.50

542.50

749.00

Neutral

Sell

278

0.52

KCOM GROUP

101.40

68.25

101.40

Neutral

Buy

134

0.97

TELECOM PLUS

1560.00

830.00

1560.00

Sell

Sell

913

0.05

226.30

154.45

229.30

Neutral

Sell

140

0.46

VODAFONE GROUP

Over Valued

Transport
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

334.90

195.70

336.60

Sell

Sell

224

1.17

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

535.00

350.00

540.00

Neutral

Neutral

566

0.91

CLARKSON

2045.00

1150.00

2370.00

Neutral

Sell

1252

0.77

EASYJET

1311.00

619.00

1448.00

Neutral

Sell

851

0.78

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

117.50

92.00

182.47

Neutral

Strong Buy

275

0.85

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1120.00

776.00

1148.00

Neutral

Sell

779

0.69

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1738.00

1220.00

1738.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2912

0.94

NATIONAL EXPRESS

260.00

164.50

274.90

Neutral

Sell

247

1.33

NORTHGATE

450.75

249.00

458.75

Neutral

Sell

355

1.22

STAGECOACH GROUP

343.20

265.90

343.20

Neutral

Buy

459

0.87

WINCANTON

132.00

43.75

139.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

282

0.83

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

360.70

310.80

402.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

555

0.51

NATIONAL GRID

788.00

682.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

965

0.49

PENNON GROUP

694.50

598.00

727.50

Neutral

Sell

574

0.66

SSE

1441.00

1364.00

1676.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2577

0.44

SEVERN TRENT

1885.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1502

0.39

718.50

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

754

0.51

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

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Beta

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