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ABC Enterprise Solutions

Week
Customers
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400
1
401.9300503
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403.8694133
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409.7438292
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468.8630759
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471.1253992
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473.3986384
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475.6828464
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477.9780759
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480.2843802

Percent of Growth
0.48%

Revenue
2160124.033

The Percent growth of demand is 0.4825125718045%.

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494.3577869
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499.1399734
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523.7538307
526.2810088
528.8203808
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539.1009895
541.7022195
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552.2332594
554.8978543
557.5753063
560.2656772
562.9690295
565.6854259
568.4149292
571.1576027
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576.6827147
579.4652813
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585.070758

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605.1204012
608.0401833
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613.9220802
616.8843314
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709.2965315
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716.1579351
719.6134872
723.0857127
726.5746922
730.0805064
733.6032367
737.1429645
740.699772
744.2737415
747.8649559
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769.7790719
773.4933527
777.2255554
780.9757664
784.7440726
788.5305614
792.3353205
796.1584381
800.0000026

Upgrade
Fixed Costs
Variable Costs Total Cost Profit
160,000
468000
854000
1306124.033

d is 0.4825125718045%.

Revenue
1920000

Without Upgrade
Fixed Costs Variable CostsTotal Cost Profit
0
360000
336000
1584000

ID

Name
0 TreePlan
1 Decision 1
2 Decision 2

Value

Prob
0
0
0

Pred
0
0
0

0
0
0

Kind
D
T
T

NS

S1
2
0
0

S2
1
0
0

S3
2
0
0

S4
0
0
0

S5
0
0
0

0
0
0

Row

Col
4
2
7

Mark
1
TRUE
5
TRUE
5
TRUE

Number of Clients
Year

Unfavorable

0
1
2
3

Nuetral

400
300
300
300

Favorable

400
400
400
400

400 No Action
440
480 Sell
480

ABC Soultuions should use the Mini

Unfavorable

Nuetral

Sell ABC Enterprise Solutions


4,320,000.00 Monthly Fee

Favorable

2,820,000.00 $

3,960,000.00 $

3,900,000.00 $

3,900,000.00 $

3,900,000.00 UF OE 3 years
N OE 3 years
F OE 3 years

ons should use the MiniMax approach and sell for the 3.9 Million. The MiniMax

$
$

1,300,000.00
400.00

$
$
$

1,500,000.00
1,800,000.00
2,400,000.00

Number of Clients
Year

Unfavorable Nuetral

0
1
2
3

400
300
300
300

Favorable

400
400
400
400

400 No Action
440
480 Sell
480

Unfavorable

2,820,000.00

3,900,000.00

Criterion of Realism
Sell ABC Enterprise Solutions
3,960,000.00 $ 4,320,000.00 Monthly Fee

$ 1,300,000.00 No Action
$
400.00 Sell

3,900,000.00 $ 3,900,000.00 UF OE 3 years


N OE 3 years
F OE 3 years

$ 1,500,000.00
$ 1,800,000.00
$ 2,400,000.00

Nuetral

$
$

Favorable

They should sell. Using the criterion of realism is the correct decision making method for ABC

iterion of Realism
$ 3,570,000.00
$ 3,900,000.00

Coefficient =

0.5

making method for ABC Solutions if they want to be risk neutral. The coefficent of 0.5 is used to show equal consistant outcom

w equal consistant outcomes.

Number of Clients
Year

Unfavorable Nuetral

0
1
2
3

400
300
300
300

Favorable

400
400
400
400

400 No Action
440
480 Sell
480

Unfavorable

2,820,000.00

3,900,000.00

With ABC Solutions taking the risk the best outloo


approach and upgrade which will give them the fa

Nuetral

Favorable

$ 3,960,000.00 $
$ 3,900,000.00 $

Sell ABC Enterprise Solutions


4,320,000.00 Monthly Fee
3,900,000.00 UF OE 3 years
N OE 3 years
F OE 3 years

C Solutions taking the risk the best outlook would be to use the MiniMax
h and upgrade which will give them the favorable value of $4,320,000.00.

$
$

1,300,000.00
400.00

$
$
$

1,500,000.00
1,800,000.00
2,400,000.00

ID

Name
0 TreePlan
1 Decision 1
2 Decision 2

Value

Prob
0
0
0

Pred
0
0
0

Kind
0D
0T
0T

NS

S1
2
0
0

S2
1
0
0

2
0
0

S3

S4
0
0
0

S5
0
0
0

Row
0
0
0

Col
4
2
7

Mark
1
TRUE
5
TRUE
5
TRUE