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Stat 315 - Homework 5 - Solution

Due Monday June 22, 2009

5-44
p = 0.5

n = 120

SE( P ) =

p(1 p)
=
n

(.5)(.5)
= 0.0456
120

5-45
E( P ) = p = 0.2
SE( P ) =

p(1 p)
=
n

(.2)(.8)
= 0.04216
90

5-47
P(0.72 < X < 0.82) = P(10.95 < Z <16 .432) = 2(.5) = 1.00

Sampling Distribution of Sample


Mean
known
Population Distribution
Mean
0.76

Stdev
0.02

Sample Size
n
30

x1
0.72

Is the population normal?

Sampling Distribution of X-bar


Mean
Stdev
0.76
0.00365

P(x1<X<x2)
1.0000

x2
0.82

5-56
S 2 has n 1 in the denominator because there are n 1 degrees of freedom for deviations from the
sample mean. Using n 1 instead of n makes S 2 an unbiased estimator of 2 .
5-64
X , P , S 2 are unbiased. S is the square root of an unbiased estimator of
it is not unbiased. Proof:
Assume E(S) =
then: (E(S))2 =

, thus

and: E(S 2) (E(S))2 = 2 2 = 0


(since E(S 2) = 2 ).
But E(S 2) (E(S))2 = V(S)
V(S) = 0 means that S is not a statistical estimator. The contradiction establishes the proposition
that S is biased.

6-4
An expensive way of solving the problem: buy more information. As n increases, the width of
interval decreases.
Or, a cheap way to solve the problem: lower your required confidence level from 95% to 90% or
lower. As the confidence level decreases, the interval width decreases with it.
6.5

95% C.I.:

x 1.96( / n ) = 89,673.12 1.96(5,500/ 16 )


= 89,673.12 2,695 = [86,978.12, 92,368.12] dollars.
6-17

2(1.96 / n ) = 10
1.96( / n ) = 5

/ n = 5/1.96 = 2.551
For 90% confidence, z

/2

= 1.645

Width of 90% C.I. = 2(1.645(2.551)) = 8.393 units.


Easier way: new width = (old width)1.645/1.96 = 10(1.645)/1.96 = 8.393
6-20.

n = 12 x = 34.2

s = 5.9

95% C.I.: x t .025(11) ( s / n ) = 34.2 2.201(5.9 / 12 ) = [30.45, 37.95]


Assume a normal population.
6-21.

From the data we compute: n = 32

x = 30.5625

s = 5.775

99% C.I.: x z .005 ( s / n ) = 30.5625 2.576(5.775 / 32 )


= [27.93, 33.19] thousands of miles.
6.35.Assume a normal distribution.
x = 61.67 s = 11.22
n = 12
90% C.I.: x t .05(11) ( s / n ) = 61.67 1.796(11.22 / 12 ) = [55.85, 67.49] containers.
6-40.

n = 120

x = 28

95% C.I.: p 1.96 p q / n =

28
28 92
1.96

120
120
120 120

= [0.1577, 0.3090]
6-41.

n = 68 x = 42
99% C.I.: p 2.576 p q / n =

42
42 26
2.576

68
68
68 68

= [0.4658, 0.7695]

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