TRIAL EXAMINATION

2013
MATHEMATICS M
Paper 2
1 hours

Instructions to all candidates:
Answer all questions in Section A and any one question in Section B. Answers may be written in
either English or Bahasa Malaysia.
All necessary working should be shown clearly.
Scientific calculators may be used. Programmable and graphic display calculators are prohibited.
A list of mathematical formulae, statistical tables and graph papers are provided on pages of this
question paper.

Section A [45 marks]
Answer all questions in this section.

1. In a garden, 25% of the pots are sunflowers. For a sample of 6 pots selected at random
from the garden, find the probability that
(i) exactly 3 pots are sunflowers. [2]
(ii) at least 4 pots are sunflowers. [3]

2. An opinion poll on a certain political party is conducted on 1000 voters, of whom 600 are
males. It is found that 250 voters are in favour of the party. It is also found that 450 male
voters are not in favour of the party.
(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen voter is in favour of the party if the voter is
a female. [1]
(b) Find the probability that a randomly selected voter is a male or not in favour of the
party. [2]
(c) Determine whether the events a voter is a male and a voter is in favour of the party
are independent. [3

3. X and Y are events such that P(X) = , P(X/Y) =
2
3
, and P(X/Y)=
3
7
. Find P(XY), P(XY),
P(Y) and P(Y/X)
Based on the information obtained, state with reason whether events X and Y are
(a) independent (b) mutually exclusive.
[6]






[3]
4. A continuous random variable X has cumulative distribution function F(x) given by

>
< s +
< s +
<
=
8 ,
8 4 ,
10
1
4 0 ,
0 , 0
) (
x d
x cx
x b ax
x
x F
(a) Determine the values of the constants a, b, c and d. [4 marks]
(b) Sketch the graph of F(x) [3 marks]
(c) Find the probability density function, f(x). [4 marks]
(d) Find P( 3 < X < 5 ) [2 marks]


5. The marketing manager of a large supermarket chain would like to determine the effect
of shelf space on the sales of pet food. A random sample of 10 equal-sized stores is selected,
with the following results:
Store Shelf space, x m Weekly sales, y
( RM100)
1 1.2 1.6
2 1.2 2.2
3 2.0 1.4
4 2.8 1.9
5 3.1 2.4
6 3.2 2.6
7 4.0 2.3
8 4.6 2.7
9 5.0 2.8
10 5.5 2.6

(i) Plot these values on a scatter diagram. [2 ]
(ii) Obtain the equation of the regression line of y on x in the form bx a y + = , where
a and b are given to three decimal places. [4 ]
(iii) Interpret the meaning of the slope b in this problem. [ 1]

6. The weights, measured to nearest kilogram, of 120 secondary students were recorded
in the frequency distribution as follows:








Weight frequency
35-39 4
40-44 24
45-49 28
50-54 40
55-59 16
60-64 6
65-69 2


i) Calculate the median weight of the students. [3 marks]
ii) Plot a cumulative frequency curve of the above data. [3 marks]
iii) Using your graph, estimate the percentage of students whose weight lies within
one standard deviation from the mean. [5 marks]

Section B [15 marks]
Answer any one question in this section.


7. Amy Company believes that the quarterly sales trend for its production can be
expressed in the linear regression equation as follow:-
T = 409 + 11 t

t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
S 400 430 490 440 420 535 490 460 480 550 530

S represents the sales and t = 1 to 11 represents times from the first quarter of 2005 to the
third quarter of 2007.
(i) Plot the time series and comment on the trend. [3 marks]
(ii) Use the given regression equation, find the trend values from t=1 to t=11. [3 marks]
(iii) Find the seasonal variations using an additive model. [6 marks]
(iv) Estimate the sales for fourth quarter of the year 2007 and first quarter of year
2008. [3 marks]


8.
[4 marks]