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9 December 2013, 8:00 - 17:20 Chartered Insurance Institute 20 Aldermanbury, London, EC2V 7HY
Bringing together over 100 delegates for presentations from insurance and risk management industry experts and acclaimed commentators on counter-terrorism, Managing and Insuring Terrorism discusses methods for mitigating political and security risks and operational strategies for risk management. It assesses recent evolutions and challenges to terrorism insurance programmes so that a viable and resilient mitigation strategy can be expanded upon.
PROGRAMME
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CONTENTS
Welcome note.................................................................................................................................................... 3 Overview............................................................................................................................................................... 4 About Strategic Analysis.................................................................................................................................... 4 Agenda................................................................................................................................................................. 5 Keynote Speakers.............................................................................................................................................. 7 Moderators and Speakers................................................................................................................................. 8
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WELCOME NOTE
9 December 2013 Ladies and Gentlemen, It is my distinct pleasure to welcome you to Strategic Analysis at the Henry Jackson Societys conference on Managing and Insuring Terrorism: an increasing risk post-Arab Spring? This conference, which has brought together a remarkable number of talented experts and industry insiders in the fields of corporate security, counter terrorism, insurance and risk management, was inspired by the dramatic events and changes that have taken place in 2013, in what has been deemed the post-Arab Spring world. In this tumultuous year we have seen the gravity of Islamist terrorism move from the established theatres of the last decade to the Levant and North Africa. As the horrors of the Syrian civil war have deepened, so has the reach of al Qaeda. The failures of the secular opposition to produce a cohesive and effective front against President Bashar al-Assads forces have driven rebel fighters into the arms of the al Qaeda-associated al-Nusra Front and the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant. These groups have increased the regional nature of the conflict and created further instability in Syrias neighbours, who are already burdened with the tragic flow of refugees from the crisis. The chaos and violence of the Egyptian revolution have turned the contentious Sinai Peninsula into a lawless zone and there are few signs of a stable political order being established. Both the In Amenas hostage crisis and Westgate shopping mall attack shocked the world and thrust al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb and al Shabaab into the limelight, showing that North and East Africa have become fertile ground for the poisonous ideology of al Qaeda. Finally, the Boston Marathon bombing and the Woolwich attack serve as a reminder that homegrown terrorism remains a threat. These dramatic events necessitate new and dynamic strategies going forward. Today we are lucky to have some of the foremost experts in the industry in one place. Noted Counter-Terrorism expert Mark Clayton of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) will be moderating the first panel today, which will explore recent developments in al Qaeda and their implications for the calculation of risk. The second panel will cover changes in the security situation of North Africa and will be moderated by Brigadier James Ellery, Director at Aegis. The final panel, which features knowledgeable speakers from Marsh, Catlin, Risk Management Solutions, Canopius and Miller, will address recent evolutions in terrorism insurance programmes, as well as challenges which lie ahead. It will assess market trends and suggest what a proactive risk management strategy may resemble. It is my hope that this conference will provide refreshing insights into our fast-changing world. If you are not familiar with Strategic Analysis or the work of the Henry Jackson Society, we would be happy to answer any questions.
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OVERVIEW
The Arab Spring has led to increased freedom on where and how many groups operate. Al Qaeda is emboldened in Syria and Iraq and Hizbullah is bolstered in Lebanon. Vast lawless zones beg the question of whether a greater Western hand is needed in the region. For the providers of terrorism insurance, terrorism attacks constitute some of the most expensive events requiring insurance. The scope of cover offered by terrorism schemes is dependent upon the definition of terrorism and which exclusions apply. Whilst many schemes resulted in response to September 11, 2001, the real threat posed by terrorism has recently been highlighted by the Boston Marathon bombing (United States) and the Woolwich terrorist attack (United Kingdom), as well as the Westgate shopping mall attack (Kenya). This conference will address what a viable and resilient terrorism mitigation strategy will look like.
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AGENDA
08:00-08:40 08:40-08:50 08:50-09:15 09:15-10:45 Moderator: Speakers: Registration Welcome Remarks Ruth Lux, Managing Director, Strategic Analysis at the Henry Jackson Society Keynote Address Mark Clayton, Deputy Head of Counter-Terrorism, Foreign & Commonwealth Office PANEL ONE Al Qaeda in the Middle East: Understanding the political and security risks Mark Clayton, Deputy Head of Counter-Terrorism, Foreign & Commonwealth Office Robin Simcox, Strategic Analysis at the Henry Jackson Society Frank Gardner OBE, BBC Aimen Dean, Five Dimensions Alistair Harris, Pursue A contextual understanding of the risk environment is critical to appreciating interconnected political, economic and security risks. In the case of al Qaeda, what are the key threat drivers in the next one to three years? Special attention is given to Syria, Iraq and Yemen. 10:45-11:10 11:10-11:30 11:30-13:00 Moderator: Speakers: Networking Break Keynote Address The Rt Hon. Baroness Neville-Jones PANEL TWO Insuring Against Terrorism in North Africa: A Risk Manager Perspective Rachel Martinek, Deputy Head, North Africa Department, Foreign & Commonwealth Office Olivier Guitta, Strategic Analysis at the Henry Jackson Society Tim Holt, Special Contingency Risks, Willis Noman Benotman, Quilliam Topics discussed will include: Security risk assessment of North Africa Trends in terrorism threat in North Africa The challenge of protecting critical infrastructure and employees 13:00-14:00 Buffet Lunch
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AGENDA
14:00-14:15 14:15-14:30 14:30-14:50 14:50-15:15 15:15-17:00 Moderator: Speakers: Mitigating the risk through effective crisis response Stephen Askins, Ince & Co. Pool Re and how terrorism insurance has evolved to meet a dynamic risk Julian Enoizi, Pool Re Q&A with above speakers Networking Break PANEL THREE What does a viable and resilient mitigation strategy look like? Julian Enoizi, Pool Re Andrew Herring, Marsh Will Farmer, Catlin Gordon Woo, Risk Management Solutions David Eliot, Miller Insurance Tim Davies, Canopius Topics discussed will include: Terrorism insurance programmes: overview, recent evolution, challenges Market trends: evolution of demand, take-up rates, type of contracts, extent of coverage, exclusions What does a proactive risk management strategy look like and, in the context of a constantly diversifying set of risks, how plausible is this? 17:00-17:25 Closing Address Brigadier James Ellery CBE, Director and Group Advisory Council Member, Aegis
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KEYNOTE SPEAKERS
Mark Clayton, Deputy Head, Counter Terrorism Department, Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO)
Mark Clayton is the deputy head of the Counter Terrorism Department at the Foreign & Commonwealth Office. Mr Clayton started his FCO career in 1997 as a Baltic States Desk Officer and proceeded to hold posts in Moscow as a Second Secretary between 1998 and 2002 and in Kabul, where he worked for two years in the Counter Narcotics team. Between 2004 and 2005 he became head of the EU-FSU (Former Soviet Union) team, before assuming the role of G8 Sherpa Assistant for the following two years. Having headed the International Team at the Office for Security and Counter Terrorism from 2008, he was promoted to his current position in 2010.
Baroness Neville-Jones, Former Minister of State for Security and Counter Terrorism
Baroness Neville-Jones is the former Minister of State for Security and Counter Terrorism and currently a member of the Advisory Board of the Council on Cyber Security. She has a long history of civil service, especially in the realm of foreign policy and intelligence. Baroness Neville-Jones served in Her Majestys Diplomatic Service from 1963 to 1996, where she served missions in Rhodesia, Singapore, Washington, DC and Bonn. Following a career in diplomacy, she served as Chairman of the Joint Intelligence Committee and was the Political Director of the Foreign Office. In 2006 David Cameron appointed her as head of the Conservative Partys National and Security Policy Group. She currently sits on the Joint Committee for National Security Strategy in the House of Lords. Baroness Neville-Jones is a member of the Conservative Party and an Advisory Council Member at her alma mater, Lady Margaret Hall. In 1987 she became a Companion of the Order of St. Michael and St. George and was made a Dame Commander at the 1996 New Years Honours. She is also a Freeman of the City of London.
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NOMAN BENOTMAN practical issues arising from piracy incidents off West and East Africa. Mr Askins previous career as a Royal
Marine has helped him focus on the legality of deploying armed guards on ships and he speaks and writes President extensively on the legal issues that arise from this and wider piracy issues.
More recently Mr Askins has developed expertise in advising the various stakeholders on the legal and
Born in Libya in 1967, Noman Benotman first adopted radical Islamism in the mid1980s after reading the books of Sayyid Qutb. In 1989 he travelled to Afghanistan where he fought against the Soviet Union, taking part in battles around Khost, Gardez and elsewhere. After the Soviet withdrawal, he helped set up the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group which aimed to violently overthrow Colonel Gaddafi and establish an Islamic state in Libya. In 1994, he moved to Sudan where he forged close links with Osama bin Laden, Ayman al-Zawahiri and other key members of al Qaeda. Since 1995 he has lived in London where he man is President at Quilliam. He is leading Quilliams work on dewas initially part of the Londonistan scene alongside other senior extremists such as Abu Qatada and Abu processes in the UK and abroad, al-Suri working to raise international of himself from Islamism. During the last few years, he has played a Musab before graduallyawareness distancing ations, co-ordinating Quilliams outreach to current and former extremists and keyto role in the disbanding ofal-Qaeda the LIFG m as a platform from which share his inside knowledge of andand otherthe issuing of its refutations. He is also well-known as one of the most public critics of al Qaeda, appearing widely on international media such as CNN and al-Jazeera as well s with a wider audience. as taking part in a range of international conferences. He has a degree in Human Development Studies from in 1967, Noman Benotman first adopted radical Islamism in the mid-1980s Birkbeck University and speaks English and Arabic.
he books of Sayyid Qutb. In 1989 he travelled to Afghanistan where he fought viet Union, taking part in battles around Khost, Gardez and elsewhere. After hdrawal, he helped set up the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group which aimed to throw Colonel Gaddafi and establish an Islamic state in Libya. In 1994, he Tim Davies, War an where he forged close links with Osama bin Laden, Ayman al-Zawahiri andand Terrorism Underwriter, Canopius mbers of al-Qaeda. Since 1995 he has lived in London where he was initially ndonistan scene alongside other senior extremists such as Abu Qatada and After obtaining a BSc(Hons) degree Tim commenced his insurance career as a Lloyds -Suri before gradually distancing himself from Islamism. During the last few broker primarily on the US property and casualty side. In 2006 he started a specialist played a key role in the disbanding of the LIFG and the issuing of its terrorism team at Arthur J Gallagher, where he specialised in providing terrorism He is also well known as one of the most public critics of al -Qaeda, appearing rnational media such as CNN and al-Jazeera as well placements as taking part infor a range US of public entities and religious groups. At Arthur J Gallagher he was onferences. He has a degree in Human Development Studies from Birkbeck instrumental in the development of a number of terrorism liability products. Prior to d speaks English and Arabic.
moving to the underwriting side Tim was an Executive Director at Willis heading up their international terrorism team looking after a large number of global accounts from a terrorism and political violence perspective. Tim joined the Crisis Management division at Canopius (a leading Lloyds syndicate) in 2011 and heads up a team which underwrites a worldwide book of terrorism and political violence. In addition he also underwrites the Kidnap and Ransom book. Tim is a regular speaker at various industry related conferences including RIMS and PRIMA (Public Risk and Insurance Management Association) and is a member of the Defence and Security Forum.
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Rachel Martinek, Deputy Head, North Africa Department, Foreign and Commonwealth Office Rachel Martinek currently works as Deputy Head of the North Africa Department in the FCO, overseeing Libya and MENA operations. She has worked in the FCO in a variety of roles for the past eleven years, predominantly with a security policy focus. Between 2005 and 2008 Ms Martinek was posted in New Delhi, India. She focused on counter terrorism and counter proliferation whilst based there. Before progressing to her current role she worked on Iranian matters. Ms Martineks responsibilities cover policy work, supporting Libyas political and security transition and pursuing UK interests in Libya, as well as operational work, such as ensuring an appropriate security posture for Embassy staff.
Robin Simcox, Analyst and Research Fellow, Strategic Analysis at the Henry Jackson Society
Robin Simcox is a Research Fellow at the Henry Jackson Society. Beforehand, he was a Research Fellow at the Centre for Social Cohesion, a think-tank studying extremism and terrorism in the UK. He has written for the likes of the Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, New Republic, The Atlantic, Washington Times, World Affairs, Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, Weekly Standard and The Guardian; and comments in the media for the likes of the BBC, Sky News, AlJazeera and Fox News. Mr Simcox has spoken on a variety of platforms, including testifying to the House of Representative Homeland Security Committee, and at the White House, National Counterterrorism Center, British Parliament, US Special Operations Command and the European Parliament. Mr Simcox has an M.Sc. in US Foreign Policy from the Institute for the Study of Americas, University of London, and a B.A. in History (International) from the University of Leeds, which included a year at the University of Newcastle, Australia.
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