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Contents
1 2 Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................... 4 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 6 2.1 Overview of Indian Power Sector ............................................................................................ 8 2.2 Initiatives of the Central Government in Renewable Energy Sector .................................. 8 2.3 Initiatives of Orissa Government in Renewable Energy Sector:.......................................... 9 3 Brief Profile of the Company .......................................................................................................... 10 3.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 10 3.2 Promoters Background............................................................................................................ 10 4 Project Background .......................................................................................................................... 12 5 Meteorological information ............................................................................................................ 14 5.1 Radiation Climatology of India.............................................................................................. 14 5.2 Radiation Climatology Of Orissa ........................................................................................... 21 5.3 Meteorological Data................................................................................................................. 21 5.4 Climate Data ............................................................................................................................. 22 6 Site Selection ..................................................................................................................................... 24 5.1 Profile of the District ................................................................................................................ 24 5.2 District Map .............................................................................................................................. 25 5.3 Profile of the Land.................................................................................................................... 25 6 Technical Features............................................................................................................................ 26 6.1 Proposed technology ............................................................................................................... 26 6.2 Plant Layout .............................................................................................................................. 27 6.3 Plant Specification .................................................................................................................... 27 6.4 Civil Infrastructure .................................................................................................................. 31 7 Power Evacuation ............................................................................................................................ 33 8 Project Execution Plan ..................................................................................................................... 34 9 Operational Features ....................................................................................................................... 36 9.1 Factors Effecting Generation .................................................................................................. 36 9.2 Organization of power plant O &M ...................................................................................... 37 9.3 Protection of People and Equipment .................................................................................... 38 10 Financial Analysis ........................................................................................................................ 39 10.1 Key Assumption ....................................................................................................................... 39 10.2 Project Cost ............................................................................................................................... 40 10.3 Means of Finance...................................................................................................................... 40 10.4 Profitability Statement ............................................................................................................. 41 10.4.1 Projections of Performance, Profitability and Repayment ......................................... 41 10.4.2 10.4.3 10.4.4 Projected Cash Flow ........................................................................................................ 43 Projected Balance Sheet ................................................................................................... 44 Interest and Repayment Schedule ................................................................................. 46
10.5 Financial Analysis .................................................................................................................... 47 10.5.1 Debt Service Coverage Ratio: ......................................................................................... 47 10.5.2 11 Internal Rate of Return: ................................................................................................... 48
1 Executive Summary
The techno - commercial feasibility report will highlight the technical and financial aspects of the proposed project activity of 5 MW Grid Connected Solar Power generation project at Khurda district of Orissa State under Built Own Operate (BOO) mode. With a strategy to contribute towards sustainable development priorities of the host country government by investing in renewable energy technology, MGM Minerals Limited is developing a solar energy project in the state of Orissa. Technical Aspects: 1 2 Proposed Capacity Project Site 5 MW Village: Patrapada Tehasil: Tangi P.S.: Tangi District: Khurda State: Orissa Country: India Latitude-1958'31"N to 1958'44"N Longitude-8527'43"E to 8528'7"E Fixed Structure A poly crystalline silicon cell is a combination of more than one silicon cell in the form of wafer. This system can operate at an efficiency of 14.6% and is significantly cheaper than single crystalline cells. 25 Acres
3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Power Conversion Efficiency 13% of PV Module Total Modules required 17856 Module capacity Inverter Capacity Projected Annual Energy Production Capacity Utilization factor Grid Evacuation 280 Wp 500 kW Inverters (10) 8.322 MU with Degradation factor of 0% per annum 19% The Power Generated at 415 V in the plant will be stepped up to 33/132 kV and connected to the 33/132 kV substation of GRIDCO which is available nearby the project site. 20 Years
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Life Time 4
15 16 17
Expected Annual Green House 6990 tCO2e Gas Emission Reduction Expected Commissioning September 2010 Project Promoter MGM Minerals limited
Financial Aspects:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Capital Cost Debt Equity Ratio Rate of Interest Term Loan Loan Tenure Moratorium Equity Contribution Power Sale Price Pay Back Period With CDM Pay Back Period Without CDM DSCR with CDM DSCR without CDM IRR with CDM IRR without CDM NPV @10% discount with CDM NPV @10% discount without CDM 4995 Lakhs INR 01:01 15% 2500 Lakhs INR 10 Years 3 Years 2500 Lakhs INR Rs 15/Unit 8 Year 9 Year 1.85 1.78 12.79% 11.74% 480.85 303.25
Introduction
Energy usage has a dichotomous relationship with the development of the civilization. With rapid growth in urbanization and industrialization, the pressure is now on the energy sector to meet up the growing demand so as to sustain the human energy requirement for day to day activity and support growth. Over use of fossil fuel on the other hand is result in depletion of the finite fossil fuel reserve and bringing about environmental degradation. Concern over the sustainability of the energy supply and the environmental issues due to over use of the finite resources is forcing the human race to think of a judicious solution of meeting up the energy requirement without disturbing the ecological balance and raising concern over the energy security. In the wake of rising fossil fuel price, bleak projection of the fossil fuel reserve and increasing concerns over countrys energy security; the government is strategized towards a radical shift in the power sector plan and favoring the enhancement of the renewable energy in the power generation mix. With an objective to deepen institutional reform concerted effort has been made in Indian power sector by the government with specific focus over the renewable energy sector. JNSSM Scheme: With an objective to harness the huge untapped solar energy potential in the country and promote self energy sufficiency and independency, the Government of India has launched promotional scheme and incentives to enhance private sector participation in the field. The project is being conceptualized considering benefits as mentioned in Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM) for setting up Grid connected Solar Power Plants. Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM) aims at development and deployment of solar energy technologies in the country to achieve parity with grid power tariff by 2022. In the first phase i.e. till 2013 the mission targets 1100 MW of solar power both thermal and photovoltaic. The mission has also set up a national level entity i.e. the NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam Limited (NVVN) who would purchase all the power generated from such solar power plants at tariff determined by the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC). At present the CERC has announced a tariff of Rs 17.91 per unit. Orissa has been at the forefront in the use of renewable energy and demonstrates its effective utilization to the nation. Benefits of Grid Connected Solar Power Systems: a. The project activity will act as a corner stone towards diversification of national energy supply and lower dependency on fossil fuel. Such initiative will also contribute towards
2.1
Energy is the sine qua non of development. India with over a billion people, today only produces 728962 MU against the annual energy requirement of 799578 MU of electricity leaving over 600 million Indians, a population equal to the combined population of USA and EU, without access to electricity. This constrained energy access is reflected, in the relatively low Human Development Index of India. With an economic growth slightly above 8% and projected growth rate of over the same the country is proceeding towards serious dearth of power. The Central Electricity Authority (CEA) has projected concern over serious power shortage in the coming fiscal. Indian Power sector is highly fossil fuel dominated one owing to the comparatively lower cost of power generation from the same. Fossil fuel comprises of 63.3% of the total installed capacity rest being catered by large hydro power project 24.87%, nuclear 2.81% leaving 9.02% from renewable. However, with the improvement in technology and declaration of the incentives from the government in terms of tariff support and tax break on renewable products is expected to be commercialized the sector in the near future. The sector is expected to grow outward from the vibrant domestic capital market, increased activities in the area of project financing, and private equity investment. With an installed capacity of 146752.81 MW, which is highly fossil fuel dominated the country is facing the serious problem of energy shortage in the range of 10.5% and peak deficit in the range of 13.5%. The power shortage is prevailing and steadily dominating in spite of consistent sectoral growth in terms of enhancement of installed capacity. Such demand supply viability gap has occurred in the back drop of high economic growth, rapid industrialization and abrupt change in life style leading enhancement of per capita energy consumption. In order the match the pace of growth and fulfilling the deficit the sector is expanding its capacity leading towards depletion of the fossil fuel reserve, concern of enhanced environmental pollution and energy security. The high capital cost of installation, lack of commercialized technology, lower Capacity Utilization Factor and inconsistency in supplying of power owing to its high dependency on the nature has hindered the prioritization and development of the renewable energy sector.
2.2
The ever growing concern over the energy security of the nation had initiated the thought process of attaining energy self sufficiency for the nation. The very idea of Energy Self sufficiency was identified as a major driver for promoting renewable energy technology. The prior experience of oil shock in 70s, increasing crude price in the global market and uncertainties associated with its supply had paved way towards formulation of strategy under Commission for Additional Sources of Energy in the Department of Science & Technology in March 1981. The Commission was charged with the responsibility of formulating policies and 8
3
3.1 Introduction
MGM Minerals Limited is a part of 100 Crore MGM Group and is into mining and exporting iron ore, having its own mines in Sundargarh district of Orissa. The Group is setting up an integrated steel plant of 0.25 MT per annum capacity including power plant of 16 MW Capacity through WHRB process. The first phase of the above plant will be commissioned in 4-5 months time. The plant is being set up in Dhenkanal district of Orissa. The plant includes sponge iron plant, waste heat recovery power plant and steel billets manufacturing facilities. The Group is also diversifying into Horticulture for which land has already been acquired in different districts in Orissa.
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Meenoti Mohanty
Mrs. Meenoti Mohanty is wife of Mr. Rajib Lochan Mohanty aged about 55 years (D.O.B. 15-0655) is a resident of 2A, Forest Park, Bhubaneswar. She has 15 years experience in mining business. He is a Director in Aeon Minerals (P) Ltd & MGM Minerals Ltd. Her net worth is about 0.50 Crore.
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Project Background
MGM Minerals Limited proposes to set up a 5 MW grid connected Solar Power plant at Khurda District in the state of Orissa with the objective of renewable power generation and supplying clean electricity to grid on BOO (Build, Own & Operate) basis. The main objective of the project promoter is to be in tune with the sustainable development priorities of the country and contribute towards climate change mitigation initiative envisaged by the host country government. Successful operation of the project activity will act as a cornerstone towards promotion of the technology. With an age long relationship in the domain the promoter is intended to set the project activity and demonstrates feasibility of grid interactive solar power in supplying of reliable clean energy to the grid and support electrical demand in the country, which is blessed with more than 320 days of sunshine. The solar power plant shall operate on the principle of direct conversion of sunlight to electrical energy by employing photovoltaic technology and supply it directly to the grid. The plant location is chosen as MGM Minerals Limited is having 15 acres of open land available in that region, which is well suited for solar PV installations and hence will reduce the leveling cost, shadow losses and cost for cabling as well due to its proximity to grid. MGM Minerals Limited is also in the process of acquiring 10 acres of land adjacent to the current 15 acres of land. 33 KV line of adequate capacity is available nearby at Jankia, Khurda district about 5 Km from the proposed site and connectivity to the proposed plant can be nade by drawing 5 Km of 33 KV line for power synchronization with state grid through CESUs 33 KV system. The promoter will ensure installation of the proposed solar plant and related infrastructure will meet international standards for the industry. The power plant will be scheduled for commissioning within one year from the date of possession of land through the Orissa Government. The power plant shall consist of: Solar Array capacity (5 MW - rated high efficiency modules) Solar Modules Mounting Structure (may be with a combination of stationary and tracking systems) Power Conditioning Unit 10 nos. of 500 kVA main inverters. Data Logging System Monitoring Equipments 12
13
5
5.1
Meteorological information
The solar radiant energy, in its passage through the atmosphere undergoes depletion due to absorption and scattering by the various constituents of the atmosphere at different levels. While most of absorptions are due to radiatively active gases, chief of which are carbon dioxide, ozone and water vapour, the scattering takes place due to all constituents of the atmosphere including suspended particulate matter. The singlemost modifier of the radiation field is the cloud, both due to absorption and scattering processes. Both the absorption and scattering processes take place selectively, i.e. specific gases absorb or scatter at specific wavelengths/wavelength bands. The absorption can be weak or strong and partial or total. The scattering occurs both in the forward and backward directions. The back scattering process can be termed as reflected radiant energy at the appropriate levels. Ultimately, the radiant energy that reaches the earths surface is made of the direct beam solar irradiation, the scattered (diffuse) solar irradiation and the downward terrestriant radiant energy from the atmosphere. This heats up the earths surface and causes evaporation of moisture in the soil and over water surfaces. The earths surface and the constituents of the atmosphere including clouds and particulate matter emit radiant energy in the infra-red region at their own temperatures. This energy is absorbed by different atmospheric layers at different wavelengths, resulting in higher energy level content. But these absorbing layers also emit their heat resulting in the lowering of the heat energy content. However, since the temperatures of the different layers decrease as the height increases in the tropospheric region, the downward radiant energy from the higher layers is generally lower than those emitted upward by the lower layers. This results in a net loss of the radiant energy in the infra-red wavelengths (terrestrial radiant energy). It is in this terrestrial radiant energy regime that all living organisms including humans are immersed fully and thrive. It is also this energy field which causes the changes in the temperature of the air layer close to it and hence the density of air, leading a chain of interactions to affect the atmospheric temperature and humidity and then the atmospheric pressure and the wind field. This ultimately causes the weather patterns and the changes in them. The amount of radiant energy from the sun over a place is not the same on each day. The varying distance between the sun and the earth contributes to a small percentage in the radiation field. Because of the tilt of the axis of rotation of the earth about itself, the length of the day and night over a place changes everyday. Also because of the tilt and the rotational movement of the earth, various parts of the earth are irradiated differently leading to differential heating of any part on the earths surface. Superposed over this is the varying topography of the earths terrain, the relative distances from the oceans and the latitudinal 14
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March
16
May
17
July
18
September
19
November
20
Insolation
(kWh /m2/
Source: NASA
5.3
Meteorological Data
19 0 28 N 20 0 17 N
21
Month
Monthly Average Daylight Cloud Amount (%) 26.8 28.3 32.5 41.5 51.9 76.1 82.5 82.9 71.1 51.2 38.5 24.5
Monthly Average Relative Humidity at 10 m (%) 56.6 63.4 65.6 71.6 77.1 80.8 82.1 82.1 81.5 75.3 60.9 52.3
Monthly average day time cloud amount (%) 26.8 28.3 32.5 41.5 51.9 79.5 82.5 82.9 71.1 51.2 38.5 24.5
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
4.71 5.46 6.12 6.49 6.30 4.51 4.00 4.01 4.34 4.63 4.48 4.51
0.61 0.63 0.62 0.61 0.57 0.41 0.36 0.37 0.43 0.51 0.57 0.62
11.0 11.5 12.0 12.6 13.0 13.3 13.2 12.8 12.2 11.7 11.2 10.9
13 12 8 4 2 0 0 0 1 5 10 17
5.4
Climate Data
Temperature (0C) Maximum Minimum 29 36 36 39 38 22 14 16 21 27 27 Average Day Temperature (0C) 21.5 26.0 28.5 33.0 32.5 Normal Rainfall (in mm.) 12.6 27.1 24.3 27.2 52.9
Month
23
6
5.1 Profile of the District
State District
Site Selection
Orissa District Background: The District KHURDA came into being on 1 st April, 1993 by dividing it off its erstwhile Puri District which after division became Puri, Khurda and Nayagarh. Later on in the year 2000 the District name is changed as KHORDHA. Basic Information of the District : Sub-division - 02 Tehasil - 10 Blocks - 10 Notified Area Council (NAC) - 02 Municipality - 02 Municipal Corporation - 01 Parliamentary Constituency - 2 Assembly Constituency - 08 The district is bounded by Cuttack, Nayagarh, Puri and Ganjam districts. Location: Latitude - 1940' N to 2027 N Longitude - 8456' E to 8605 E
24
Proposed Site
25
6
6.1 Proposed technology
Technical Features
Poly crystalline technology based modules will be used in the proposed power plant. These modules are made with high efficiency multi crystalline solar cells (i.e. 13% to 17%). Polycrystalline solar cells are made by a casting process in which molten silicon is poured into a mould and allowed to cool, then sliced into wafers. This process results in cells that are significantly cheaper to produce than single crystal cells, but whose efficiency is limited to less than 20% due to internal resistance at the boundaries of the silicon crystals. These polycrystalline solar cells are best candidates for large-scale application of photovoltaic energy conversion because they have shown efficiencies in excess of 15%. These cells are encapsulated between a low iron content high transitivity tempered glass and premium quality back sheet to provide efficient protection from the environmental conditions. The laminates are framed with strong, robust and anodized aluminum profile with multiple holes for ease of installation. The modules are fitted with 4 terminal Tyco junction box with 16A, 40V schottky bypass diodes (3 diodes) and plug in connectors.
26
Plant Layout
The Photovoltaic (PV) Grid connected power plant comprises of mainly of 3 components: The PV array, Module Mounting Structure and the Inverters. The PV array converts the light energy to direct current (DC) power. The Module mounting structure is used to hold the module in position. The DC power is converted to alternating current (AC) power by the PCU, which is connected to the utility power grid.
As part of the land requirement for the 5 MWp Solar plant, MGM Minerals has estimated 25 acres for the project activity based on the panel size. Based on the system design developed for this potential project, a 5 MWp PV array would require approximately 25 acres of land.
6.3
Plant Specification
Standard Test Conditions (STC) Unit ELDORA 40 Pmax (W) Vmp (V) Imp (A) Voc (V) Isc (A) Vsys (V) IEC/UL Tk (Pmax) 37 17.0 2.25 21.8 2.40 1000 V 2.5 W 40 17.1 2.35 21.9 4.45
Electrical Specification Specification Module Name Rated Power Voltage at Maximum Power Current at Maximum Power Open Circuit Voltage Short Circuit Current Maximum system Voltage Temp. coefficient of Pmax
27
Mechanical Specification Length Width Weight Thickness (including J-box) Module Area Module type Frame material Glass Type Encapsulation Output Cable/Connectors cm cm kg cm cm2 Poly - crystalline solar cells High torsion & anodized aluminum frame provides structural strength and protection from corrosion. Tempered low iron content 3.2 mm front glass for efficient sunlight absorption. Low iron content high transitivity tempered glass and premium quality back sheet 4-terminal Tyco junction box with 16A, 40V schottky by pass diodes (3 diodes). Modules are designed to meet IEC 61215, IEC 61730 & UL 1703 certification standard. 55.2 66.6 4 3.4 15.6 * 5.2
Inverter: An inverter is an electrical or electro-mechanical device that converts direct current (DC) to alternating current (AC); the resulting AC can be at any required voltage and frequency with the use of appropriate transformers, switching, and control circuits. Inverters are commonly used to supply AC power. In present case of solar electricity generation, this is the device that takes the dc power from the PV array and converts it into standard ac power evacuated to the Grid. The power conditioning unit will be chosen from either of the following types:
28
Option- II: High efficient inverter modules will be ground mounted in series and parallel strings. 834 numbers of 6 kW or 625 numbers of 8 kW string inverters will be used for interface with grid. The system will have full protection as per international standard, such as IEEE 929-2000 & UL 1741, for protection against grid over voltage /frequency, islanding and all other fault conditions. Suitable lighting protection and earthling system will be installed for safety of personnel and protection of the equipment. An integrated data logging system for performance measurement and visual display of the important parameters, such as daily / monthly and cumulatively energy generated w. r. t solar intensity, wind velocity, ambient temp, module temperature etc. also be installed.
29
The above mentioned details are for probable system planned to be installed at the proposed Solar Park. Option III: Sunny Boy Grid-Connect inverters (SB- 1100 Sunny Boy 1100 W String Inverter) will be used with one series string of between 40 photovoltaic modules per inverter. 333 Inverter Units can be linked in parallel allowing extreme system design flexibility with the possibility of low cost system expansion and maximum system efficiency. This makes the inverter ideal for use alone or as part of a large PV plant. This make installation is safer and easier, special polarized plug in Multi Contact cable connectors are used for DC input and an AC connector for the grid connection. The inverters can be located as close to the PV string as desired (even on the roof, IP65 protection), eliminating long DC wire runs and allowing low DC currents. Inverters automatically shut down in the event of: High/Low grid AC-voltage; High/Low grid frequency; Grid failure; or Inverter Malfunction. These inverters automatically adjust PV array loading to provide maximum efficiency of solar panels by means of a maximal power point tracker (MPPT). Technical Specification (SB - 1100 Sunny Boy 1100 W String Inverter) Number of panels required Output Voltage Range Output Frequency Range Power consumption in operation Power consumption at night (standby) Max. efficiency Certification Solar module mounting structure: Ground mounted solar arrays require fairly precise foundation setup, are more susceptible to theft/vandalism. 30 333 207 -264Vac 47.0 - 50.5 Hz ~ 4W 0.1W. >93% G83
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7 Power Evacuation
The electricity generated from Solar Park can be fed to either 33 kV line by putting a sub-station. Alternatively the electricity can be fed to the nearest sub-station by laying a HT transmission line.
33
The project is planned to be implemented at the earliest. The most essential aspect regarding the implementation of the project is to ensure that the project is completed within the scheduled. The project zero date starts once the clearance is being obtained. It is envisaged that the project will have the following phases of activity. Phase I Project Development Phase II- Finalization of equipment and contracts Phase III- Procure & Construction Phase IV- Plant Commissioning
Project Development: In a power project development of the project plays an important role. Almost 50% of the work is done if one achieves the power purchase agreement from the respective state utilities. The project development start with visits to the region, understanding about the regional conditions, socio economic conditions, transportation facilities and infrastructure facilities available in the region. Apart from the above the tasks listed below will be under project development; Preparation of Detailed Project Report (DPR) Submission of DPR Power Purchase Agreement Clearance from State Level Technical Committee and Land acquisition (Govt. land preferred)
During this phase, a project team will be formed for the execution of the project. The engineers from this group will be involved from early stages of execution of project. These personnel should evolved critical team of installation of commissioning. After the plant is commissioned these engineers and technicians should occupy key position in the organization structure for the operation and maintenance of the plant. The responsibilities of the project team shall be Planning & Programming of all resources required for project completion Inspection of major fabrication items Organize the construction and commissioning of the plant 34
Finalization of equipment and contracts: In the power plant modules and junction boxes are lead items and the planning schedule for the project implementation should provide adequate time period for the acquisition and installation of these equipments. The specification for major equipment shall be drawn up at an early stage of the project. Programme of design information, from the equipment suppliers, that satisfied the overall project schedule shall be drawn up. Since the project execution calls for closer coordination among the contractors, consultants, and the company, proper contract coordination and monitoring procedures shall be made to plan and monitor the project progress. Procurement & Construction: The procurement is an important function of the implementation of the project. Once the purchase order is place, the project team follows up regularly to ensure smooth and timely execution of the contract and for obtaining technical information for the inter packing engineering. When the contracts for the equipment are awarded, detailed programme in the form of network are tied up with the supplier to clearly indicate the owners obligations and the suppliers responsibilities. Upon placement of the purchase order, the project team shall follow up regularly to ensure smooth and timely execution of the contract and or obtaining technically information for the inter package engineering. The procurement activity includes review of review of drawings, expediting, stage and final pre delivery inspection, supervision of installation and commissioning. During construction the erection and commissioning phase of the contract should proceed simultaneously. Adequate power and water shall be made available at site for the construction. Construction manager takes the overall responsibility of the site. Plant Commissioning: The commissioning phase in a project is one were design, manufacturing, erection and quality assurance expertise are put to test. The commissioning team will be from manufacturer of the equipment, consultant and the company as discussed in the earlier section, staff identified to operate the plant will be involved in the commissioning phase is completed, a checklist shall designed to ensure that the plant has been properly installed with appropriate safety measures. The commissioning team will follow the internal operating instructions. The plant shall be subjected to a performance test. 35
9 Operational Features
9.1 Factors Effecting Generation
Standard Test Conditions: Solar modules produce dc electricity. The dc output of solar modules is rated by manufacturers under Standard Test Conditions (STC). These conditions are easily recreated in a factory, and allow for consistent comparisons of products, but need to be modified to estimate output under common outdoor operating conditions. STC conditions are: solar cell temperature = 25 0C; solar irradiance (intensity) = 1000 W/m2 (often referred to as peak sunlight intensity, comparable to clear summer noon time intensity); and solar spectrum as filtered by passing through 1.5 thickness of atmosphere (ASTM Standard Spectrum). A manufacturer may rate a particular solar module output at 100 Watts of power under STC, and call the product a 40-watt solar module. This module will often have a production tolerance of +/-5% of the rating, which means that the module can produce 37 Watts and still be called a 40-watt module. To be conservative, it is best to use the low end of the power output spectrum as a starting point (37 Watts for a 40-watt module). Temperature: This is defined by percentage drop in power output for every degree of temperature increase. It is the effect of temperature variation.
Dirt and dust: Dirt and dust can accumulate on the solar module surface, blocking some of the sunlight and reducing output. A typical annual dust reduction factor to use is 93% or 0.93. So the 40- watt
36
37
Further personnel protection is ensured with the overloading, over voltage and Reverse current protections in built in the central inverter.
38
10 Financial Analysis
10.1 Key Assumption
Sl. No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 Particulars Project Size Project Life Debt : Equity Project Cost Term Loan Rate of Interest on Term Loan Rate of Interest on Working Capital Loan Tenure Moratorium Tax Rate Tax Holidays (Sec 80IA Deduction) MAT Tax Rate Operation & Maintenance Cost Escalation in O & M cost Insurance on WDV of Assets Inflation rate Power Sale Price Capacity Utilization Factor Number of Working days Working Hours 1 MW Hour Degradation Factor Grid Emission factor CER Price in EURO 1 EURO Expenditure on CDM Annual Admin Expenses Data 5 25 2.33 7,705.44 5,368.37 13.39% 12.89% 10 0 33.99% 0 16.995% 8.50 5.72% 0.00% 5.72% 17.91 19% 365 24 1000 0.00% 0.84 12 65 10% 4 Days per annum Per day kWh Per annum tCO2 / MWh Per CER INR of revenue Rs. in Lakhs Rs. In Lakhs /MW Per annum Per annum Per annum Rs. per kWh Years Rs. in Lakhs Rs. in Lakhs Per annum Per annum Years Years Unit MW Years
39
Description
Land & Land Development Land Land Development Office Building Building and Civil Construction Plant & Machinery Solar Modules (with junction box; w/o brackets) Other Fixed Assets Furniture & Fixture Other Office Equipment Preliminary & Pre-Operative Expenses Company Incorporation Pre-Operative Expenses Contingency Working Capital (3 Months Operating Expenses) Total Project Cost
Amount
Total Amount
60.00
45.00 15.00 40.00 40.00 7,500.00 7,500.00 40.00 20.00 20.00 40.00 15.00 25.00 750.00 25.44 25.44 7,705.44
40
43 4 52 706 530 1,335 156 -5,321 156 5 1,340 205 530 6,007 -5,272 205
45 4 55 667 530 1,301 190 -486 190 5 1,306 239 530 1,206 -437 239
48 4 58 622 530 1,262 229 513 229 5 1,267 278 530 246 562 278
50 4 62 571 530 1,217 274 750 274 5 1,222 323 530 53 799 323
53 4 65 513 530 1,165 326 841 326 5 1,170 375 530 14 890 375
56 4 69 446 530 1,105 386 909 386 5 1,110 435 530 6 958 435
59 4 73 370 530 1,036 455 980 455 5 1,041 504 530 5 1,029 504
63 4 77 283 530 957 534 1,060 534 5 962 583 530 4 1,109 583
66 4 81 184 529 865 625 1,151 625 5 871 674 529 4 1,200 674
70 4 86 71 529 760 730 1,256 730 5 766 779 529 3 1,305 779
Operational Period Y11 Power Revenue Units Generated (MWh) Selling price per unit (Rs.) Sales Income without CDM CDM Revenue CER Generated (tCO2) CER Price in EURO CDM Revenue Total Revenue with CDM Without CDM Annual Cost Operation and Maintenance Administrative Expenses Salary Interest on Loan Depreciation Total Expenditure (without CDM) Profit Before Tax Without CDM Taxable Profit without CDM Income Tax Profit After Tax without CDM With CDM Expenditure on CDM Total Expenditure (with CDM) Profit Before Tax With CDM Add : Depreciation Less : Depreciation Income Tax Taxable Profit with CDM Income Tax Profit After Tax with CDM 8322 18 1490 Y12 8322 18 1490 Y13 8322 18 1490 Y14 8322 18 1490 Y15 8322 18 1490 Y16 8322 18 1490 Y17 8322 18 1490 Y18 8322 18 1490 Y19 8322 18 1490 Y20 8322 18 1490 Y21 8322 18 1490 Y22 8322 18 1490 Y23 8322 18 1490 Rs. In Lakhs Y24 Y25 8322 18 1490 8322 18 1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
1490
74 4 91 3 102 275 1,216 1,315 447 769 275 1,216 102 3 1,315 447 769
78 4 96 3 102 284 1,207 1,306 444 763 284 1,207 102 3 1,306 444 763
83 4 102 3 102 294 1,197 1,296 441 756 294 1,197 102 3 1,296 441 756
88 4 108 3 102 304 1,186 1,286 437 749 304 1,186 102 2 1,286 437 749
93 4 114 3 102 315 1,175 1,275 433 742 315 1,175 102 2 1,275 433 742
98 4 120 3 102 327 1,163 1,263 429 734 327 1,163 102 2 1,263 429 734
103 4 127 3 102 340 1,151 1,251 425 726 340 1,151 102 2 1,251 425 726
109 4 134 3 102 353 1,138 1,238 421 717 353 1,138 102 2 1,238 421 717
116 4 142 3 102 367 1,124 1,224 416 708 367 1,124 102 2 1,224 416 708
42
Inflow Equity Capital Loan Fund Operational Income Total Cash Inflow Outflow Purchase of Assets Preoperative Expenses Repayment of Term Loan Total Cash Outflow Net Inflow/(Outflow) Cumulative Balance
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
Y16
Y17
Y18
Y19
Y20
Y21
Y22
Y23
871 871
865 865
858 858
851 851
844 844
836 836
827 827
819 819
809 809
800 800
789 789
778 778
767 767
755 755
742 742
871 5,220
865 6,085
858 6,943
851 7,794
844 8,637
836 9,473
827 10,301
819 11,119
809 11,929
800 12,729
789 13,518
778 14,296
767 15,063
755 15,818
742 16,560
43
Rs. In Lakhs Y11 Liabilities Capital Equity Capital Reserve & Surplus 2,312 2,312 5,163 5,926 2,312 6,682 2,312 7,431 2,312 8,173 2,312 8,907 2,312 9,632 2,312 10,349 2,312 11,057 2,312 11,755 2,312 12,443 2,312 13,121 2,312 13,788 2,312 14,442 2,312 15,083 Y12 Y13 Y14 Y15 Y16 Y17 Y18 Y19 Y20 Y21 Y22 Y23 Y24 Y25
44
7,500 8,263
45
Rs. In Lakhs Y1 Interest on Loan 706 Y2 667 Y3 622 Y4 571 Y5 513 Y6 446 Y7 370 Y8 283 Y9 184 Y10 71 Y11 3 Y12 3 Y13 3 Y14 3 Y15 3 Y16 3 Y17 3 Y18 3 Y19 3 Y20 3 Y21 3 Y22 3 Y23 3 Y24 3 Y25 3
46
47
Cash Inflow Cash Outflow Net Cash Flow Cumulative Cash Flow
437 437 65
Y17
461 1,851
Y13
Cash Inflow 871 Cash Outflow Net Cash Flow 871 Cumulative Cash Flow 2,883
PAY BACK PERIOD with CDM IRR with CDM Revenue NPV @ 10% with CDM Y6 21.35% 2,052
800 -
789 -
778 -
767 -
755 -
742 -
800 10,392
789 11,181
778 11,959
767 12,726
755 13,481
742 14,223
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
0 412 2,312 2,312 406 401 395 388 381 374 367 359 350 -
412
406
401
395
388
381
374
367
359
350
48
Y11 871
Y12 865
Y21 789 -
Y22 778 -
Y23 767
865 3,257
789 10,690
778 11,469
767 12,236
2,392
PAY BACK PERIOD w/o CDM IRR without CDM Revenue NPV @ 10% w/o CDM Y6 19.78% 1,778
49
51