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ACIIC Analyst Program

By: Ivan, Aaquib


November 24, 2013

ACIIC Analysts

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

ANALYSTS TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 TOPIC 6

7 schools across Canada and U.S. Over 100 applications 39 analysts


9 from Ivey 6 from Schulich 5 from Queens 1 from Wharton - 8 from McGill - 5 from McMaster - 5 from Laurier

Introducing ACIIC

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 TOPIC 6

Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs Formally organized as a non-profit charity organization 6 member Universities across Canada today
Goal of expanding from coast to coast

ACIIC Vision

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 VISION TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 TOPIC 6

Investment education
Rigorous, structured

Shared resources Tight-knit community


Alumni database Mentorship

ACIIC Conference

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 CONFERENCE TOPIC 5 TOPIC 6

Annual 2 day conference set in March Stock pitch competition


Presenting your stock report

Education series Industry guest speakers Networking session

Stock Analyst Program

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 PROGRAM TOPIC 6

Group of 6-7 assigned to a sector


One Chapter Head will be your mentor

One stock report for the next 4 month


Goal is to present it at the Annual Conference

6 separate deliverables in stages Team dialogue is important

Stock Analyst Program

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 PROGRAM TOPIC 6

Action Items Meet the Team Understanding Industry Themes Understanding Industry Drivers Identifying Potential Stock Investments

Nov-24

Dec-1

Week of Dec-8

Dec-15

Industry Analysis

Deliverables
4-5 PowerPoint slides Identify the key drivers and themes Identify several stocks that are potential investments Choose a stock

Stock Analyst Program

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Action Items

Dec-29

Week of Jan-5 Jan-12

Jan-19

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 PROGRAM TOPIC 6

Investment Thesis Company Overview, Segment Analysis, Mangement Analysis, Shareholder Analysis Competitive Analysis vs. Peers Comparable Analysis Company Analysis

Deliverables
5-8 PowerPoint slides Business model, how does it make money Identify and analyze the segments of the company Assess quality of management Shareholder analysis Assess competitive landscape (Porter 5 Forces, SWOT) Calculate ratios, DuPont analysis, comparable valuation

Stock Analyst Program

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 PROGRAM TOPIC 6

Action Items Operating Assumptions: Understanding Key Drivers DCF Other Valuation: Precedent, Sum of the Parts, LBO, Liquidation Value, NAV

Week of Jan-26 Feb-2

Feb-9

Valuation

Deliverables
4-5 PowerPoint slides Operating assumptions should reflect company and industry analysis Perform DCF valuation Have at least one other valuation methodology that is relevant to the company

Stock Analyst Program

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 PROGRAM TOPIC 6

Action Items Risks to Valuation and Potential Mitigants, Catalyst

Week of Feb-16

Risks & Catalyst

Deliverables
2-3 PowerPoint slides Risks to the downside (great if you can quantify) Potential mitigants Catalyst in the short term horizon (soft and hard)

Stock Analyst Program

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2

Action Items Potential Transformative Value Creation Strategies

Week of Feb-23 Mar-2

Strategy
TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 PROGRAM TOPIC 6

Deliverables

4-5 PowerPoint slides Operational or financial strategy that the company can employ to enhance valuation Example, if you forecasted margin expansion or to increase cross selling, how is that achieved Potential acquisition and other transformative transactions

Stock Analyst Program

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Action Items
TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 PROGRAM TOPIC 6

Week of Mar-9 Mar-16

Presentation Presentation

Deliverables

~20 PowerPoint slides Compile your presentation and summarize the salient points Practice it together Polished

Stock Analyst Program

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 PROGRAM TOPIC 6

Resources
We are here to help Chapter Head Industry Mentors Each Other

Mentorship
Mentorship database Recruitment or questions in general

Sector Allocation

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 SECTORS

FIG Matthew Parrott TMT Mario Campea CRG Colton Dick Industrials Artie Novik HC Geoff Clark NR Dave Marrello

Financial Institutions Group (FIG)


TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 SECTORS TOPIC 6

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Matthew Parrott
Eric Luo Alex Hong Andre Luk Alex Payne Andrew Gibbs Krishna Aggarwal Sebastian Grutter

FIG
By: Matt Parrott
November 24, 2013

What is FIG?

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

WHAT IS FIG THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING THESIS

Financial Institution Group Three main sub-sectors


Banks Insurance Companies Asset Managers and Specialty Finance

Recent Themes

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

WHAT IS FIG THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING THESIS

Increased regulation
Implementation of Basel III

Rising interest rates


Insurance companies to benefit the most

Rotation from bonds to equities


Asset managers to benefit the most

Key Drivers

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

WHAT IS FIG THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING THESIS

Economic growth
The financials sector is often considered a levered play on the economy

Interest rates and inflation Consumer and business confidence Fund flows

Investing

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

WHAT IS FIG THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING THESIS

Most widely used metric is P/B Regression between P/B and ROE Asset/dividend based models as opposed to cash flow models

Sample Investment Thesis


WHAT IS FIG THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING THESIS

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Macro
Expectations that interest rates will rise and equity markets will rally

Micro
Insurance company X has the lowest combined ratio relative to its peers

Valuation
Currently trading at a discount on a P/B basis

Questions

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

FIG
By: Matt Parrott
November 24, 2013

TMT (Tech, Media, Telecom)


TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 SECTORS TOPIC 6

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Mario Campea
Matt Ting Jin Hwang Emerson Dieudonne Julie Vincent David Greenman Sean Saggi Emily Ren

Technology, Media & Telecom


By: Mario Campea & Mikhail Stepanov
November 24, 2013

TMT Overview / Trends


Technology
TECHNOLOGY MEDIA TELECOM KEY DRIVERS KEY METRICS EX. THESIS

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Software
Generally refers to computer programs and applications that dictate specific functions

Hardware
Physical elements that a computing system is made of Many companies sell both Hardware and Software components (ex. IBM)

TMT Overview / Trends


Technology
TECHNOLOGY MEDIA TELECOM KEY DRIVERS KEY METRICS EX. THESIS

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Internet
Companies that have majority focus on selling products and services using Internet as main delivery platform Includes social media, advertising, search engines, user review, e-Commerce, etc.

Cloud Computing
Refers to companies that deliver hosted services over the Internet Software as a Services (SaaS): Vendors deliver applications to customers Platform as a Service (PaaS): Customers can rent hardware, storage, etc. from vendors

TMT Overview / Trends


Media
TECHNOLOGY MEDIA TELECOM KEY DRIVERS KEY METRICS

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Advertising
Usually an in-house function of corporate finance Investment opportunities emerging in the mobile space

Broadcasting

EX. THESIS

Incredibly saturated industry, with large players being the only ones scalable enough to compete Usually a portion of a larger conglomerate (e.g. Rogers Communications, Time Warner Cable) Very little pure-play broadcasting companies due to high overhead required to compete Many private companies (e.g. CNBC, Fox News)

TMT Overview / Trends


Telecom
TECHNOLOGY MEDIA TELECOM KEY DRIVERS KEY METRICS EX. THESIS

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Carriers Wireline/ Wireless


Provide telecommunication services through either wireless or wireline Ex. Rogers, Bell, AT&T, Verizon

Satellites
Provide satellite communication services Ex. Sirius, Dish Network

Key Drivers

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Example TMT Key Success Factors


TECHNOLOGY MEDIA TELECOM KEY DRIVERS

Potential for Rapid Growth


Many investors look to the TMT space specifically for rapidly growing companies that could provide outsized returns These high expectations relative to other industries make investors associate this space with a riskier profile Ex. Twitter R&D expenditure is a key requirement in TMT in order to sustain innovation Effective R&D will lead to the creation of a patent portfolio and other developments that assist in creating competitive advantages Ex. Apple A strong user base is key to generating sustainable earnings Providing value to your users through a strong ecosystem will create a defendable position that could prevent being displaced from the market Ex. iOS App Store

KEY METRICS EX. THESIS

Significant R&D Expenditures


Strong User Base / Defendable Position


Metrics to Look For


TMT Specific Multiples
TECHNOLOGY MEDIA TELECOM KEY DRIVERS KEY METRICS

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Enterprise Value / Revenue


Many early-stage TMT companies have little to no profits Serves as a proxy for the P/E ratio Compares the entire value of the firm to the revenues generated Inherent limitations: ignores profitability completely Important to look at the change in multiples over time

EX. THESIS

Enterprise Value / Users


Company may lack revenues, or it may not be a sound basis for comparison For most such companies, users are the main driver behind revenue Google, Facebook, Twitter, Zynga, LinkedIn, etc. Forward multiples are very important Inherent limitation: ignores revenue generation completely

Metrics to Look For


Other Core Metrics
TECHNOLOGY MEDIA

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Subscriber or user growth rate


Since users drive revenues, user growth is critical to TMT

Retention rate
High retention rates indicate more stable revenues and cash flows Can indicate quality of product and distinguish fads
More time means more potential exposure to advertisements and products What percentage of users actually contribute to revenues

TELECOM KEY DRIVERS KEY METRICS EX. THESIS

Time on site

Paying Users/ Users Revenue per user


Compliments above metrics, and the EV / U multiple

Example Thesis
Nokia
TECHNOLOGY MEDIA TELECOM KEY DRIVERS KEY METRICS EX. THESIS

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Post MSFT deal, the company has been transformed


Pure play network services infrastructure leader
Focus on the companys strongest business segment Divestiture of non-core assets to unlock shareholder value

Monetization of industry leading patent portfolio


Previously defensive segment allows for growth

Unfair overhanging Nokia could


Historically deteriorating performance of the handset business

Different ways to value the business


Network services infrastructure using a DCF and comparables Patent portfolio using precedents and Gordon Growth method

Technology, Media & Telecom


By: Mario Campea & Mikhail Stepanov
November 24, 2013

I apologize for being unable to attend. Please feel free to reach out and we can arrange a chat. Mario Campea (mccampea@gmail.com)

CRG (Consumer, Retail)

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 SECTORS TOPIC 6

Colton Dick
Vinayak Modi Will Zed Daniel Viner Steven Lo Erik Chu Fred Jackson Asem Mosmer

Consumer Discretionary & Staples Industry


By: Colton Dick
November 24, 2013

Industry Introduction
Consumer Staples:
INTRO THEMES DRIVERS OPPORTUNITY TJX

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Non-cyclical companies that sell food, beverage, tobacco, and other household items

Consumer Discretionary
Cyclical companies that sell durable and non-durable products/services; considered non-necessities

Recent Industry Themes


U.S. economic recovery
INTRO THEMES DRIVERS OPPORTUNITY TJX

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

distribution of recovery is not equal


Luxury Discount - Those that need a bargain and those that want a bargain.

Canadian grocer consolidation


Loblaw/Shoppers & Empire/Safeway
Recent earnings prove Canadian environment is saturated and extremely competitive

Recovery Gains
6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% (1.0%) (2.0%)

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

5.2%

INTRO THEMES DRIVERS OPPORTUNITY TJX

2.0%

(0.8%) (1.2%) (1.2%) (1.2%)

Lowest Fifth

Second Fifth

Third Fifth

Fourth Fifth

Highest Fifth

Top 5 %

Negative real income gains heightens the number of value conscious consumers

Increasing Valuations
1.3

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

U.S. Normalized NTM P/E Growth


INTRO THEMES DRIVERS
1.1 1.25

1.2
1.15

21% 17%

11%

OPPORTUNITY
1.05

TJX

1 0.95 0.9 2012

2012

2012

2013

2013

2013

2013

2013

2013

2013

2013

2013

2013

S5COND Index

S5CONS Index

SPX Index

Discretionary has seen margin expansion relative to the S&P500, whereas Staples has seen a relative margin contraction

Industry Key Drivers

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRO THEMES DRIVERS OPPORTUNITY TJX

Macro Drivers
Unemployment Rate Outstanding Household Debt Real Disposable Income Emerging Market & European Recovery Same Store Sales Growth Food Inflation Margin Expansion Pricing Power

Micro Drivers

Industry Opportunities

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRO THEMES DRIVERS OPPORTUNITY TJX

Off-Price & Luxury Retail


Gaming

Newspapers Diversified Food Packagers

TJX Investment Thesis


The Market is undervaluing.
INTRO THEMES

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Marmaxx Remodel eCommerce

Compete with department store experience Potential significant growth Consumer analytics insight Store growth in USA, SSS driven by housing recovery Store growth in new/existing countries Convergence to US margins Barrier to entry Foundation for successful international expansion Continued margin expansion

DRIVERS OPPORTUNITY TJX

HomeGoods

Europe

Global Buying Organization

Especially to its only true competitors ROSS

TJX Investment Thesis


Data as at November 20, 2013
INTRO THEMES DRIVERS OPPORTUNITY TJX
(in US$ millions) Company Off-Price Retailers Big Lots Ross Stores Stein Mart Burlington Coat Average TJX Companies Notes: Share price as at November 20, 2013 (1) EV, and Net Debt adjusted for capitalized operating leases (2) All estimates are consensus as at November 20, 2013 $46,218.21 $45,482 $2,204 $17,844 $695 $1,544 $2,281 $17,443 $647 $3,205 6.8x 10.3x 8.1x n/a 8.4x 10.7x 6.5x 9.6x 7.8x n/a 8.0x 9.9x 6.5x 9.0x nmf n/a 7.8x 9.3x 13.0x 20.6x 22.8x n/a 18.8x 22.0x 11.7x 18.3x 20.3x n/a 16.8x 19.4x 11.3x 16.2x 18.5x n/a 15.3x 17.4x 3.7x 1.6x 3.6x n/a 3.0x 1.7x Market Cap. Enterprise Value adj. EV / adj. EBITDAR( 1) ( 2 ) CY2013E P / E( 1) ( 2 )

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

adj. Net Debt / adj. EBITDAR( 1) ( 2 ) CY2014E CY2015E

SSS Growth LTM EBITDA LTM Margin

LTM ROIC

CY2014E CY2015E CY2013E CY2014E CY2015E CY2013E

3.6x 1.5x 3.5x n/a 2.9x 1.6x

3.6x 1.4x 7.4x n/a 4.1x 1.5x

(2.7%) 6.0% 2.7% 1.2% 1.8% 7.0%

7.2% 15.4% 5.6% 7.6% 8.9% 14.4%

19.2% 43.6% 10.6% n/a 24.5% 43.8%

TJXs dominance as a leader in off-price retail is reflected by a high return on invested capital and as such, commands a premium to its peers

Questions

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Consumer Discretionary & Staples Industry


By: Colton Dick
November 24, 2013

Industrials

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 SECTORS TOPIC 6

Artie Novik
Ryan Haydon Jonathan Kim John Lu Chris Pepper Dean Brown Hyla Nayeri

Industrials
By: Artie Novikov
November 24, 2013

Sector Overview

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Diverse sector including companies involved with:


INTRODUCTION THEMES KEY DRIVERS KEY RISKS SPECIFICS THESIS RETURNS QUESTIONS

Capital Goods
Aerospace & Defense Building Products Construction & Engineering Electrical Equipment Industrial Conglomerates Machinery

Services
Commercial Services & Supplies Professional Services

Transportation
Air Freight & Logistics Airlines Marine Road & Rail Transportation Infrastructure
Market Cap
P/E

$7.77T
20.4 x

Themes & Trends

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION THEMES KEY DRIVERS KEY RISKS SPECIFICS THESIS RETURNS QUESTIONS

Services an increasingly important source of revenues Industrials scaling back on operational leverage Focus on cost reductions and divestiture of non-core operations

Key Drivers

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION THEMES KEY DRIVERS KEY RISKS SPECIFICS THESIS RETURNS QUESTIONS

Performance largely driven by demand for building construction, manufactured products, and capital goods
GDP growth provides good indicator of future demand Growth in government spending Large infrastructure projects

Key Risks

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION THEMES KEY DRIVERS KEY RISKS SPECIFICS THESIS RETURNS QUESTIONS

Large companies putting off investments due to uncertain economic conditions Increasing interest rates

Declining budget environment for several subsectors

Sector Specifics

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION THEMES KEY DRIVERS KEY RISKS SPECIFICS THESIS RETURNS QUESTIONS

PMI is a good leading indicator of industrial production Generation of Free Cash Flow is key Airlines:
EV/Plane EV/Passenger

Infrastructure:
EV/NAV P/B

Thesis Example

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION THEMES KEY DRIVERS KEY RISKS SPECIFICS

Micro
High return on capital
Barriers to entry High margins relative to industry

THESIS

RETURNS QUESTIONS

Good management

Thesis Example

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION THEMES KEY DRIVERS KEY RISKS SPECIFICS

Macro
Important to understand what is happening at the subsector, sector, and national levels GDP reports & forecasts: U.S., China, Germany

THESIS

Setup
What is the current state of your pitch? 52-week highs/lows Short-interest

RETURNS QUESTIONS

Sector Performance

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION THEMES KEY DRIVERS KEY RISKS SPECIFICS TOPIC 7 RETURNS QUESTIONS

Questions

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Industrials
By: Artie Novikov
March 9, 2013

NR (Natural Resources)

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 SECTORS TOPIC 6

David Marrello
Karishma Balani Bill Cong Akshay Gujral Darren Viegas Egor Gaggin Jenny Kletnich

Natural Resources
By: David Marrello
November 24, 2013

Sector Intro
Metals and Mining
SEC. INTROS SEC. THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING SAMPLE THES.

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Was once Canadas most important sector Major underperformer for 2013 (-24% for the year) Key Canadian companies in the sector include Barrick Gold, Agnico Eagle, and Potash Corp. Success of the industry highly dependent on the prices of underlying precious metals Companies have different specialties: as producers or as explorers

Sector Intro
Energy

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Includes: Petroleum, Gas, Electrical Power, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Currently Canadas second most important sector Also an underperformer for 2013 (8% for the year Key Canadian companies in the sector include Suncor, CNR, Encana, Talisman, & Imperial Oil Success of the industry highly dependent on the prices of underlying commodities

Sector Themes
Mining and Metals
SEC. INTROS SEC. THEMES

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Shift in mining focus towards developing nations The profound impact of new technology (ex. Arctic mining) The increased importance of small to medium sized miners

Energy
Increased prominence of renewable technologies and decreased reliance on nuclear A shift in demand from developed nations to developing nations New technologies (deepwater drilling now only 9% but increasing) The profound impact of new technology (ex Deepwater drilling) US energy independence

KEY DRIVERS INVESTING SAMPLE THES.

Key Drivers
Metals and Mining
SEC. INTROS SEC. THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING SAMPLE THES.

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Prices of Underlying Precious Metals (gold, silver, diamonds) Production efficiencies of miners Regulation (threat of nationalization) Ability to raise debt/equity, and cash flow Macroeconomic considerations

Energy
Underlying commodity prices Government subsidies and regulations Global demand and supply outlook Mergers and Acquisitions

Investing Specifics
Key Industry Metrics Metals and Mining
SEC. INTROS SEC. THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING SAMPLE THES.

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Production/Capacity/Reserves (typically measured in weight) Cash flow from operations EBITDAX Net Asset Value Model Typified by long lasting, but punctuated cycles

Energy
Production/Capacity/Reserves (typically measured in barrels or other volume measure) EBITDAX Net Asset Value Model Dividend yield may be a consideration

Sample Investment Thesis


Dominion Diamonds
1.
SEC. INTROS SEC. THEMES KEY DRIVERS INVESTING

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

2.

SAMPLE THES.

3.

4.

Larger multi-mineral mining companies are leaving the industry to pursue the opportunities that come with increased demand for other commodities such as steel, iron, copper etc; giving companies such as Dominion Diamond Corporation the opportunity to step in and increase their market share in the diamond industry substantially. The rough-diamond market is expected to remain balanced from 2013 through 2017. From 2018 onward, as existing mines get depleted and no major new deposits come online, supply is expected to decline, falling behind expected demand growth that will be driven by China, India and the US. Proved and Probable Recoverable and Attributable Reserves showing signs of growth, especially from 2012 to 2013:expected to grow from 30840 T to 37080 T Current Ekati mine plan calls for further seven years of production until 2019, however Dominion Diamond Corp has discovered additional resources on Ekati property.

Thesis Continued

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

The Company is the fourth largest diamond producer by value globally Largest publicly listed diamond mining pure play by market capitalization Both mines located in the low political risk environment
In Q3, a 62% increase in carats sold was offset by a 9% decrease in achieved diamond prices Rough prices had picked up by about 6% in the first months of the year
Since then, prices have been flat

Production at the Misery pit, where stripping is under way, is slated to begin in 2016. One-time expenses due to purchase of Ekati resulted in the US$16.3-million net loss
Excluding such one-time items, the company would have seen $11.1 million, or 13 a share, in profit

Investment Thesis Continued

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

At $14/share, Dominion is undervalued

Questions

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

Natural Resources
By: David Marrello

Healthcare

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

TOPIC 1 TOPIC 2 TOPIC 3 TOPIC 4 TOPIC 5 SECTORS TOPIC 6

Geoff Clark
Tianhao Fang Wahaaj Ud Din Tanveer Randhawa Rahul Sharma Dmitry Kutsyy

Healthcare
By: Geoffrey Clark
November 24, 2013

Sector Introduction

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

The healthcare sector is made of many different sub-industries


Pharmaceuticals and biotechs: Manufacturers of drugs Device manufacturers: Medical equipment Hospitals Health-insurers

Recent Themes

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

Shift towards a single-payer system in the U.S.


Obamacare, Medicare, Medicaid

Healthcare spending growing in relation to GDP


Currently at 18% of U.S. GDP and growing at 4% annually
Sector growing too fast for its own good

Focus is on cutting costs, companies that can will be successful

Employers passing burden on employees


Rising costs of insurance Increased amount of part-time/contract workers

Recent Themes

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

Changing demographics from aging population


People are living longer and suffering from chronic diseases for more of their lives

Environmental factors
Air and water pollution are increasing the prevalence of conditions like asthma

Rise of problems like obesity, diabetes and allergies Increased prevalence and awareness of mental disabilities

Key Drivers

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

Government budgets
For most states, Medicaid is the number one cost Healthcare spending growing faster than other categories

Key Drivers

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

Management Innovation
Company must be able to offer innovative solutions to meaningfully impact diseases
Either be first in the area or be the best

Companies must find ways to cut costs


Healthcare is too expensive

Upcoming clinical trials


A trial failure or an increase in time to market can cripple some companies

Sector Specifics

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

Pharmaceuticals and Biotechs


Patent protection: Intellectual property is key
Difficult to make money when generic brands are available

Long and expensive process to bring products to market


FDA and other regulatory approvals take time

High R&D budgets


Look for companies with consistent success in developing innovative products

Sector Specifics

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

Facilities
Focus on operating costs and sustained cost advantages Large and well-funded systems vs. local hospitals
Significant M&A activity between the two

Sector Specifics

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

Health Insurers and Managed Care Providers:


Focus on medical cost ratio, the reverse of operating profit
Healthcare costs divided by revenue from premiums Shows whether the company is skilled in underwriting

Affected by interest rates


Most investment holdings are short-term, investment grade fixed income securities

Sample Investment Thesis


INTRODUCTION RECENT THEMES KEY DRIVERS SECTOR SPECIFICS SAMPLE INVESTMENT THESIS

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

For company XYZ in healthcare facilities:


Leading market share in large and growing urban centers Economies of scale act as barrier to entry to newcomers and protect against existing local hospitals Benefiting from increased M&A activity with a balance sheet that can support it

Questions

The Association of Canadian Intercollegiate Investment Clubs

ACIIC Analyst Program


By: Ivan, Aaquib
November 24, 2013

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