Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
By Richard L. Dixon
We are witnessing a changing, transforming, and declining of not only nations but whole
regions. One can truly witness the transfer of wealth, raw materials, and political
influences. An excellent example of that changing of regions and countries is the BRIC
(Brazil, Russia, India, & China) as coined by the investment firm Goldman’s Sach’s.
“Back in 2001, the Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) - eager to push its clients toward
emerging markets investment - created the acronym “BRIC” to stand for Brazil, Russia,
India and China, the four emerging markets the investment bank’s strategists believed
would become a dominant part of the world economy in the years ahead.” (Mike
Caggeso, March 3, 2009). This group represents the fastest growing economies in the
world. Of the four, China has been the most aggressive in terms of flexing its economical
and political muscle. Since the 2008 Olympics, China has been on an infrastructure
building bend to shore up its competitive strength in the Global economy. With the onset
of the worldwide economic crisis, it has taken advantage of the declining economies of
Australia and Europe by buying up companies that are staggering from debt and one step
away from bankruptcy. “While the rest of the world is grappling with the global
Over the past few months, China has capitalized on the financial turmoil that has
weeding out competition to its largest state-run companies, and acquiring even more
foreign assets.
Indeed, with China’s economic growth projected at an enviable 8% for this year, that
country’s government has been able to spend less time promoting immediate growth and
liquidity, and more time preparing for the economic renaissance that almost certainly
clout, and eviscerating commodities prices, the financial crisis has offered China the
perfect opportunity to advance its domestic agenda.” (Jason Simpkins, January 28, 2009).
As one can see, the ascension of China, India, Brazil, & Russia in the Global Economy
has caused conflict, friction, and tensions with other Regions in the Global Community.
The changing economic conditions have also caused political and social unrest in LDC’s.
In other words, in terms of the Global Economy what may have been China’s golden
goose may in actuality has led to chaos, civil war, famine, poverty, and the political
in the chaotic state of world affairs. Alliances and allegiances betweens nations constantly
change not due to what is good for an individual nation but what is based on the personal
disorder between nations and leaders are in most cases self-induced instead of an
in his essay entitled “Civiilizational Conflict and the Political Sources of the New World
Disorder,” defines the actions and political maneuvering by Maverick and monopolistic
leaders of a particular nation as structural fatality. “In the second (or fatalist) format we
compelled to clash by the principles which constitute their existence. We could see as
their core the aspiration to monopoly, a universalization of devotion, which can be
abandoned only by a sort of suicide, a surrender not merely of their hopes or aspirations
but their whole raison d’etre. Seen that way, it is not obscure why civilizations should
often have clashed in the past not merely with what they saw dismissively as barbarism,
but every bit as bitterly with one another, rival aspirants to monopoly, but in each other’s
eyes more or less shameless and illicit pretenders to it. The aspiration to monopoly is an
apparent enough source of danger, amply confirmed by historical induction. But that
monopoly, many of them scarcely mistakable for civilizations even by themselves. The
which limit the impact of the aspiration to monopoly to imaginative competition (the
market in souls), and excluding from it all corporal bullying or intimidation.” (John
conflicts are not caused between civilizations, cultures, or ideologies but rather through
example is the regional hegemony of conflict and civil wars that are taking place on the
continent of Africa. Countries such as Chad, Sudan, Somalia, and the Congo have
descended into the realms of fragile or failed state status because of the maneuvering and
infighting between rebel groups, corrupt leaders, and power hungry outside interest like
conflict diamonds, weapon proliferation, and oil as dangerous fuses which light up these
powder kegs of conflict. One will find that deep data resources such as the CIA Fact book
or Freedom House continually demonstrate the relationship of GDP as an indicator of a
countries political process to democratic rule. However, there are other sources that are
more readily available from NGO’S (Non Governmental Organizations) that give more of
a real world outlook of the state of world civilization that now exist in its transition
between regions and Global Powers. Once such NGO is Amnesty International which
human rights records in its annual The State of the World’s Human Rights. In the context
of the conflict and destabilization that is now taking place in sub-Saharan Africa, its
prognosis of the situation is timely accurate. “The rights of many people in Africa
continued to be violated in 2007. Economic and social rights remained illusory for
millions of people. The internal armed conflicts that continued to ravage several states
were accompanied by gross human rights abuses including unlawful killings and torture,
including rape. In some countries all forms of dissent were suppressed, and in many
freedom of expression was restricted and human rights defenders suffered intimidation
and harassment. Women endured widespread discrimination and systematic human rights
abuse. Throughout the continent, those responsible for human rights violations escaped
Africa is not the only region where we see the forces of disintegration taking place. The
Middle East particularly in the Persian Gulf region has also become unstable in recent
years. The advent of fossil fuels and mineral wealth can be destabilizing factors as our
well. There are players in the region such as President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran
who are jockeying for influence and power within the Gulf after a vacuum of leadership
was created with the fall of Saddam Hussein of Iraq. The use of Oil revenue has become
a catalyst of power for Iran and a potential confrontation for the United States. To really
illustrate of how the quest and possession of fossil fuels by one nation or individual can
create conflict we need to go no further than Russia’s attempt to nationalize the Arctic
Circle for its own National Interest, as the cumulative effects of Global Warming
continues to melt the Arctic Ice Shelf thereby making it easier to extract vast deposits of
both Oil and Gas. “Russia said on Monday it was watching the extent of militarization in
the Arctic as global warming makes potentially valuable resources in the polar region
Russia has already staked its claim to a majority of the Arctic waters, which it shares with
four NATO countries and planted a Russian flag on the seabed under the North Pole 18
months ago to reinforce its position.” (Reuters News Agency, February 23, 2009).
In a sense, economics by any country can be used to stabilize a country’s political system
downturn. Russia in its present situation economically does not have the revenue to
strategic reserves of Natural gas deposits that it can use to straitjacket and blackmail the
economies of Eastern Europe particularly its former Soviet States of Georgia and the
Ukraine by refusing to honor trade treaties. The end result has been massive shortages of
Natural Gas in these countries to take care of the needs of its citizens. The Russians
therefore utilized political leverage economically to advance its agenda to keep its former
states under its sphere of influence and away from the path of westernization that both the
Ukraine and Georgia have pursued especially in seeking membership into the NATO
Military Alliance. In terms of spheres of influence, the actions of nations against each
other demonstrate that that they are more economically interconnected and integrated in
connection with the Global Economy. What economic or political fallout that may affect
one will eventually affect or destabilize the whole region. G. John Ikenberry in his article
entitled “Globalization and Political Order the Sources and Consequences of World
interpretation of the series of events that evolve into a larger picture in the shaping of the
shaping world political economy than regionalism. The argument that the world is
early 1990s – is less convincing than ever before. Regionalism is driven more by agendas
globalization on inter-state relations are real and do make it more difficult or less
attractive for states to pursue relative gains or narrowly nationalist policies. The character
nationalist calculations. Vested economic interests create pressures for continuous and
In terms of world systems construct, the biggest impact that the changes of Global
democracies. History has shown that without a sound foundation, international support,
and financial assistance the democratic institutions in these countries are doomed to fail.
It only takes a few events either on the international scene (high fuel cost, Climate
change, or rapidly rising food prices) or national scene of a particular nation for the
Pendulum to swing from emerging democracy to fragile or failed state status. “Despite
the West’s political commitment to support democratization, the durability of the new
democratic age remains an open question. By some accounts, at least half of the world’s
or fragile-are still struggling to develop their political institutions, and several have
reverted back to authoritarian rule. Among the countries in the early stages of democratic
institution building are states vital to U.S. national security interest, including
Afghanistan and Iraq. Ensuring that the developing world’s democracies survive and
prosper is therefore a crucial policy challenge.” (Nathan Converse & Ethan Kapstein,
March 2006).
Successful and developing young democracies are in the best interest of the US and its
Western Allies. However, democratic applications under countries that have been under
authoritarian rule have had mixed success lately because these institutions were not
allowed to develop over a period of time as had been the case in the past. The two
countries that come to mind are both Iraq and Afghanistan. The US’s attempt to bring
democracy to these two countries initially did not take into account the century’s old
conflict between tribes and spheres of religious influence. In addition, both countries are
rift with corruption at both the local and national level. What should have been done first
would have been the installment of a strongman who would have had the support of the
various ethnic, religious, and tribal groups in both countries. The US could have provided
technical, political, and financial assistance without appearing to pry into their internal
and the ascension of a stable Middle Class. None of these attributes have taken place as
of yet. The reason that developing democracies in Malaysia, South Korea, Peru, Brazil,
Chile, Ukraine, and Georgia have been successful is that these necessary building blocks
were followed. In Africa, the most successful developing democracy that comes to mind
is Senegal. It has remained a stable democracy since its Independence from France in
1960. “Senegal remains one of the most stable democracies in Africa. Senegal was ruled
by a Socialist Party for 40 years until current President Abdoulaye Wade was elected in
2000. He was reelected in February 2007.” (CIA World Fact Book). Senegal under
Development the most important of which is a new green revolution to stop the
which the sahelo-saharan nations have launched in Africa to prevent the spread of
desertification. The project, called the "Great Green Wall" is a continental effort
As President Wade put it: "This project consists in planting trees over a distance of 7000
km from Dakar to Djibouti to constitute a 5 km wide green strip across the desert to stop
plan to give our planet a new 'green lung' and contribute thus to the fight against climatic
changes.... We have already identified the course of the Great Green Wall and selected the
tree species to be planted according to climatic zones, each country crossed by the Great
Wall being responsible for its edification within its borders.” (LaRouche Political Action
Another potential roadblock of the integration of developing countries into the sphere of
the Global Community is the eradication of poverty and the closing of the income gap
that now exist even in established democracies such as the United States. There must be a
system of social transformation that has to occur. That can only happen if the government
provides for their general welfare in terms of essential services such as water, sanitation,
economic output and employment, a rising share of urban economic activity in industry
and modern services, migration of rural workers to urban settings, and a demographic
transition in birth and death rates that always leads to a spurt in population growth before
a new equilibrium is reached. Political pressures generated along the pathway have led to
diverse policy approaches designed to keep the poor from falling off the pathway
The country that comes to mind that utilized and implemented structural transformation
effectively is the country of Malaysia. I have stated in a previous essay that I wrote
entitled “Sons of the Soil (Bumiputra),” Malaysia was able to successfully narrow the
income gap between the wealthier Chinese Minority and the Malay majority through a
series monetary initiatives called the NEP (National Economic Plan), 2nd Malaysian Plan,
and Vision 2020 to become a fully developed nation. In the process, they were able to
propel their economies as one of the fastest developing ones in the world.
“The policy that has certainly had the most profound effect on how Malaysians relate to
each other, how they perceive each other across ethnic lines, and how they view
themselves and their future in the country must be the affirmative action program, the
New Economic Policy (NEP). This was implemented in 1970 after racial riots the year
Most were convinced at that time that such a programme was necessary if the
multicultural country was to survive as a single entity. However, the addition to its
rationale that made it acceptable to most Malaysians was the caveat that redistribution of
wealth should occur within a growing economy and never through confiscation.
In the 1973 mid-term review of the second Malaysian Plan, it was proclaimed that the
goals of the NEP were to be undertaken "in the context of rapid structural change and
expansion of the economy so as to ensure that no particular group experiences any loss or
This "no confiscation" principle was in practice a very tall order. The NEP is after all a
wide socio-economic programme meant to rectify unhealthy conditions left behind by the
colonial system. There was no way that no particular group would in the long run
experience loss and a sense of deprivation.” (Ooi Kee Beng, April 6, 2007).
Malaysia, like the United States is a pluralistic and multi-cultural society. Therefore, it
was quite remarkable that they were able to rectify the social and inequitable ills in their
society during their very young stage of nationhood. Probably no other Malaysian
personified that success than the leadership of Prime Minister Tun Dr. Mahathir bin
Mohamad. It was his abilities as a coalition builder and compromiser that he was able to
get both the Chinese and Indian minorities to buy into the NEP and second Malaysian
Plan by emphasizing that all Malaysians were Sons of the Soil regardless of their ethnic,
because the Malaysians planned the evolutionary process of both their country both
economically and politically during their time under British Home Rule. The crucial key
to Malaysia’s success was long-range central planning. In the early years they moved
from an economy that was depended on rubber, tin, and palm oil (as had been the case of
its economical origins as a colonial asset of the British Empire) to one based on high
tech, manufacturing, and banking. “Eventually the country decided during the seventies
regiment. Foreign assistance from Japan and the West eased and hastened the process of
transformation. Exports of manufactured goods were soon fuelling the country’s growth.”
Structural formation if done correctly can elevate and integrate a country quickly within
the Global economy. However, if structural transformation policies are pursued too
quickly or developed incorrectly, they can have dire consequences for the internal
actually the case in Latin America during the early 1960’s when the cry of revolution
filled the air right after the overthrow of Battista by Castro and the Communists during
the Cuban Revolution. Up to the point of the revolution, countries such as Columbia,
Educador, Brazil, Venezuela, and Bolivia were ruled by a Dictatorship, Military Junta, or
Land rich aristocracy who utilized a form of feudalism to keep the population in
perpetual poverty. With the advent of the Cuban revolution, the citizens in these countries
rose to power (as was in the case of the Socialist Allende government in Chile) and
decided to pursue a path of development called economical structuralism (which was a
philosophy to redress and correct the inequalities that had existed for decades. A large
part of economic structuralism was land reform and the other part dealt with
“Constraints on growth stem from Latin America’s specific position on the periphery of
the developed world. Prebisch used the term “peripheral” economies in order to contrast
them with the “central” economies. The main argument is that the differences between
the two are associated with poor growth conditions in the periphery, which impose
constraints on the industrialization process and technological progress and require growth
strategies coordinated by the State, since, under those conditions, market forces are not
The main theorists behind this shift in both economical and political philosophy was a
special section of the United Nations dedicated to the development of the Latin American
Region called “Comision Economica para America Latina de las Naciones Unidas"
(CEPAL) (United Nations Economic Comission for Latin America, ECLA, today known
as Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, ECLAC). “The main
theoretical tenet of ECLA's approach was that former colonies and non-industrialized
nations were "structurally" different from industrialized countries, and, therefore, the
former needed different recipes for economic modernization than the latter.
especialized in producing raw materials, cash crops and foodstuff at low prices to meet
the needs of the colonizer's economies". That created economically "fractured" societies,
in which a modern sector was being constrained by international trade, and a traditional-
backward sector was blocking any process of economic modernization. These structures
were creating a dynamic that was impoverishing former colonies instead of promoting
The fatal flaw in the ECLA philosophy was that they did not compensate for changing
were too rigid to adapt and actually held their nations captive in terms of further
development and the gradual improvement of the lives of their citizens as outlined earlier
in this essay piece with the ideology of structural transformation. It was this rigidness
which led to the collapse of the Soviet Economy in the 1990’s and convinced the Chinese
to abandon the failed state collectivism of the cultural revolution of Chairman Mao and
the adaption of a decentralized less intrusive state-controlled economy with a free market
approach that greatly encouraged FDI’s Foreign Direct Investments. When India loosened
the tight state control strains of its economy in the 1990’s they saw phenomenal growth
as well. The same could be said about South Korea as well as Taiwan. These countries
with the exception of India used this growth as a catalyst to fuel infrastructure
development to improve the General Welfare of its citizens as well as their productivity.
India has done the least to improve the welfare of its citizens and still has some of the
highest concentrations of poverty in the world. The concentration of wealth still lies in
the hands of a privileged class. India compared to China, has just started to develop a
The growth of these emerging economies were somewhat stymied by the economic crisis
of the 1990’s starting with the devaluating of the currency in Thailand. Countries such as
Thailand which had taken out huge loans with both the IMF and the World Bank had to
restructure them because the interest rates were too much to bear. It should be noted that
both the IMF and World Bank have been notorious in forcing market based initiatives
that have been proven to be incompatible with the growth based models of second and
three-tier LDC’s (Low Developing Countries). “Despite this growing consensus, aid and
debt relief is still tied to economic policy reforms. The main culprits are the World Bank
and the IMF, who continue to use their aid to push inappropriate economic policies on
developing countries. Their conditions have a significant impact, given the large volume
of aid that the World Bank gives. Moreover, nearly all other rich-country donors (for
example the French or British governments) use the presence of an IMF programme - and
compliance to its conditions - as a signal to give their own bilateral aid to support poor-
country budgets. They also often tie their aid to the framework of conditions developed
Asian countries such as Malaysia and Thailand borrowed heavily from the IMF & World
Bank in order to grow their economies by building basic infrastructure projects such as
roads, bridges, canals, water sanitation plants, schools, and hospitals in order to provide
for the general welfare of its people. However, organizations such as the World Bank &
IMF would place stipulations on the aid that were given to poorer countries called
conditionalties. That is to say that a country had to go through certain market based
stages and criteria in order to qualify for the money. “But if this aid and debt relief comes
with large numbers of inappropriate strings attached, or what are known as conditions, its
utility can be seriously undermined. Aid should of course come with some terms
attached. Donor countries, which after all are spending the taxes of their own citizens,
have a right to expect their money to be spent in a transparent way and to be clearly
accounted for. They – and poor people around the world – are also entitled to expect the
aid to be used to contribute to goals to eliminate the unacceptable suffering which exists
Hence, for example poor countries such as Ghana & Mali would be hit with back-loaded
interest rates if they didn’t meet the benchmarks or performance standards as set by the
IMF from a Keynesian neo-liberalism economic model. Therefore, both second and
especially third tier countries were forced to stop growing their economies and impose
harsh austerity measures on the backs of their people just to make the minimum
repayments to the IMF, and that was just on the interest alone. These austerity measures
caused hyperinflation, joblessness, starvation, and acute forms of poverty which lead to
political unrest. Thailand chose to go ahead and renegotiate its loans with loaded
conditions that did not sit well with its economy. Malaysia however, under the leadership
of Prime Minister Tun Dr. Mahathir bin Mohamad chose to defy the IMF and World
Bank by riding the economic crisis storm and pursued policies that would benefit the
growth of his country. “There were some discussions between the IMF and the Malaysian
government at that time, but Mahathir rejected the IMF package claiming that it was too
restrictive and counter productive. For example, one of the measures proposed by the
IMF was a financial restructuring which would have had the effect of turning many
bumiputras (Malay owned) companies over to foreign ownership. The IMF also called for
and open competition in both private and public sectors.” Dr. Mohammad took steps to
protect the national currency called the ringgit by affixing a fixed exchange rate contrary
to the popular practice of speculating on the open market against floating currencies.
The other initiative that Prime Minister Mohamad emplaced was to lower the interest
rates in both the bonds market and banking sector. He realized that providing cheap stable
credit to businesses in order to grow their enterprises was the best hedge against the
inflationary cyclone which consumed other Asians such as Taiwan & South Korea. “The
high interest rate policy lost its effect on the spot exchange rate in the second period.
Mahathir was justified in cutting the interest rate, and acting contrary to the advice given
by the IMF. With a depleted foreign reserve and the short-term interest rate losing its
influence on exchange rates, the only option left for stabilizing the exchange rate was to
introduce foreign exchange control. To this end, Mahathir acted swiftly and implemented
Dr. Mohamad also initiated public sector initiatives in conjunction with the National
Economic Policy and the Second Malaysian Plan in order to shore up the Industrial and
Manufacturing by providing buffer against the inflationary cyclone that had consumed
the national economies of his other Asian neighbors such as Singapore & the Philippines.
While the Southeastern Asian economies during this period became both stagnant and
paralyzed with negative growth, the Malaysian economy achieved real growth. “Several
First prioritizing the large infrastructure projects, especially the ones that required high
import content, would improve the quality of investments. Second the overall balance of
payments deficit would become a surplus by reducing the service account deficit and by
although it would continue to support economic activities if the crisis should continue.
The measures also committed to maintaining a flexible and responsive monetary policy
and price stability. Finally a flexible wage system, linking wages to productivity, and
In actuality, Malaysia came out the strongest from the financial that engulfed all of Asia
and capitulated itself into a major economic and political leader within the region and the
Global Economy. The Latin American Region is still in the first few stages of
development that Asia actually went through in the late 1980’s and early 1990’s. In
retrospect, economic and political integration in global communities can build, make, or
predicated on the political savvy of a leader or group of leaders who can master and
develop bonds with organizations such as the World Bank, IMF, WTO, TNC’s, and the
United Nations that will benefit their citizens and project a healthy sense of Global
Influence.
Endnotes
2009).
18, 2009).
3. John Dunn, “Civiilizational Conflict and the Political Sources of the New World
2008), 4.
http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSTRE51M3ES20090223?feedTyp
10. C. Peter Timmer and Selvin Akkus, “The Structural Transformation As A Pathway
27, 2009).
12. Hasan Zubair, “Fifty Years of Malaysian Economic Development: Policies &
http://www.eclac.cl/revista/noticias/articuloCEPAL/3/26313/LCG2289iBielschow
14. Róbinson Rojas, “Notes on ECLA's Structuralism and Dependency Theory,” The
15. Oxfarm International,” Kicking the Habit-How the World Bank and the IMF are
16. Ibid., 6.
17. Ser-Huang Poon, “Malaysia and the Asian Financial Crisis A View from the
19. Appleyard, Melissa M. “Malaysia Faces the New Millennium (A),” Portland State
2008):1-41