From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling

To: Interested parties

Subject: Ohio Governors Race Continues to Looks Like a Toss Up
Date: 12/16/13

Public Policy Pollings newest survey of the Ohio Governors race finds Republican John
Kasich polling at just 40%, a very weak position for an incumbent. Democrat Ed
FitzGerald is at 38%, Libertarian Charlie Earl is receiving 6%, and 16% of voters remain
undecided.

A PPP survey of this race in early November found that Kasich and FitzGerald were
knotted at 41%. Although theres been a fair amount of movement toward Republicans
nationally since that time, the state of this particular race has seen very little movement
and Democrats continue to have an excellent chance at a pick up next year.

A few things really stand out in the crosstabs. FitzGerald dominates the middle, getting
55% of the vote with moderates to just 17% for Kasich. Also 66% of the voters who
remain undecided are women, giving FitzGerald a lot of room to grow with a
traditionally strong Democratic constituency.

PPP surveyed 1,011 Ohio voters from December 6th to 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.1%. This
poll was sponsored by Freedom Ohio.
Public Policy Polling
2912 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988

Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com

Ohio Survey Results

Q1

Are you registered to vote in the state of Ohio

at this address?

Q6

Yes..................................................................100%

Strong Republican .......................................... 27%

No ................................................................... 0%

Q2

Somewhat likely.............................................. 6%

Q3

Not so strong Republican................................ 14%

Thinking ahead to the November election that

will be held next year for Governor, Congress,
and other offices, how likely are you to vote in
that election? Would you say you are very
likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or
very unlikely to vote next November?
Very likely ....................................................... 94%

Strong Democrat............................................. 27%

Not so strong Democrat .................................. 9%
Independent.................................................... 19%
Other............................................................... 4%

Q7

Very conservative ........................................... 30%

Very unlikely.................................................... 0%

Somewhat conservative.................................. 25%

Not sure .......................................................... 0%

Moderate......................................................... 28%

If the election for Governor were held today,

would you vote for Republican John Kasich,
Democrat Ed Fitzgerald, or Libertarian Charlie
Earl?

Somewhat liberal ............................................ 10%

Very liberal ...................................................... 8%

Q8

More liberal ..................................................... 51%

Charlie Earl ..................................................... 6%

Not sure .......................................................... 16%

Do you know someone who is gay, lesbian,

bisexual, or transgender?
Yes.................................................................. 85%
No ................................................................... 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 4%

So that we have a representative sample of

Ohio voters, please provide the following
information. If you are female, press 1. If
male, press 2.

Do you think of yourself as more conservative

or liberal?
More conservative .......................................... 24%

Ed FitzGerald.................................................. 38%

Q5

On political issues, do you consider yourself to

be conservative, moderate, or liberal?

Somewhat unlikely .......................................... 0%

John Kasich .................................................... 40%

Q4

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as

a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, or
something else?

Not sure .......................................................... 25%

Q9

Do you consider yourself to be Hispanic, white,

African-American, Asian, or something else?
Hispanic .......................................................... 1%
White .............................................................. 83%
African-American ............................................ 12%
Asian............................................................... 1%
Something else ............................................... 3%

Female............................................................ 53%
Male................................................................ 47%

December 6-8, 2013

Survey of 1,011 Ohio voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Q10 What is your age?

18 to 29........................................................... 6%
30 to 39........................................................... 13%

Q13 Would you say you attend religious services

more than once a week, once a week, almost
every week, once or twice a month, a few times
a year, or never?

40 to 49........................................................... 20%

More than once a week................................... 13%

50 to 59........................................................... 23%

Once a week................................................... 31%

60 to 64........................................................... 13%

Almost every week.......................................... 10%

65 or older....................................................... 25%

Once or twice a month.................................... 10%

Q11 Is your home in an urban area, suburban area,

medium-sized town, small town, or rural area?
Urban .............................................................. 13%

A few times a year .......................................... 20%

Never .............................................................. 15%

Suburban ........................................................ 35%

Medium-sized town ......................................... 14%
Small town ...................................................... 18%
Rural ............................................................... 20%

Q12 What part of the state do you live in: Northeast

Ohio, Northwest Ohio, Central Ohio, Southwest
Ohio, or Southeast Ohio?
NE Ohio .......................................................... 32%
NW Ohio ......................................................... 15%
Central Ohio.................................................... 24%
SW Ohio ......................................................... 19%
SE Ohio .......................................................... 10%

December 6-8, 2013

Survey of 1,011 Ohio voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Gender

Know LGBT
Person?
Base

Base Fem ale Male

Not
No sure

Yes

Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl

Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl
John Kasich 40%

40%

39%

55%

Ed FitzGerald 38%

37%

45%

29%

6%

6%

2%

1%

Not sure 16%

17%

13%

15%

Charlie Earl

John Kasich 40%

36%

45%

Ed FitzGerald 38%

39%

37%

6%

5%

6%

Not sure 16%

21%

12%

Charlie Earl

Party

Ideology

Strong Not so strong

Strong Not so strong
Republican Dem ocrat
Dem ocrat Independent Other
Base Republican
Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl
John Kasich 40%

79%

49%

8%

9%

38%

Ed FitzGerald 38%

49%

Very
Som ew hat
Som ew hat Very
Base conservative conservative Moderate
liberal liberal
Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl

7%

31%

78%

58%

25%

6%

John Kasich 40%

68%

57%

17%

9%

2%

6%

2%

3%

5%

1%

13%

19%

Ed FitzGerald 38%

12%

21%

55%

72%

82%

Not sure 16%

12%

17%

9%

32%

24%

26%

Charlie Earl

6%

5%

4%

8%

2%

6%

Not sure 16%

14%

18%

19%

17%

9%

Charlie Earl

Race

Moderate Leaners
More More
Not
Base conservative liberal sure
Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl
John Kasich 17%

38%

8%

15%

Ed FitzGerald 55%

32%

71%

46%

8%

12%

8%

6%

Not sure 19%

18%

13%

33%

AfricanSom ething
Base Hispanic White Am erican Asian
else
Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl
John Kasich 40%

38%

46%

9%

23%

22%

Ed FitzGerald 38%

14%

33%

79%

50%

19%

6%

4%

5%

16%

35%

Not sure 16%

43%

17%

12%

11%

24%

Charlie Earl

Charlie Earl

December 6-8, 2013

survey of 1,011 Ohio voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Com m unity Type

Age

Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl

Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl
John Kasich 40%
Ed FitzGerald 38%
Charlie Earl

Medium - Sm all
Base Urban Suburban sized tow n tow n Rural

18 to 30 to 40 to 50 to 60 to 65 or
29
39
49
59
64 older

Base

40%
41%

42%

38%
33%

36%
43%

40%
44%

49%
31%

11%

8%

4%

2%

5%

19%

13%

20%

17%

14%

16%

6%

Not sure 16%

34%

John Kasich 40%

26%

41%

45%

40%

46%

Ed FitzGerald 38%

55%

42%

29%

34%

29%

6%

4%

5%

3%

7%

7%

Not sure 16%

14%

12%

23%

19%

18%

Charlie Earl

Religious Service Attendance

Region
Base

NE
NW Central
SW
SE
Ohio Ohio
Ohio Ohio Ohio

Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl

More than Once a Alm ost every Once or tw ice A few tim es
w eek
a m onth
a year Never
Base once a w eek w eek
Kasich/FitzGerald/Earl
John Kasich 40%

57%

48%

35%

44%

29%

26%

Ed FitzGerald 38%

22%

31%

53%

38%

44%

47%

6%

2%

4%

2%

6%

10%

7%

Not sure 16%

19%

17%

10%

13%

17%

19%

Charlie Earl

John Kasich 40%

35%

37%

42%

47%

42%

Ed FitzGerald 38%

43%

35%

37%

32%

38%

6%

3%

5%

7%

9%

3%

Not sure 16%

18%

22%

14%

12%

17%

Charlie Earl

December 6-8, 2013

survey of 1,011 Ohio voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988