Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
2, HR7E
WBS
R. Saltzman
Level 1 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 3
Level ID No. Activity 1.0 Develop political campaign 1.1 Fund-raising plan 1.11 Set initial goals for fund-raising 1.12 Set strategy, including identifying sources 1.13 Raise the funds 1.2 Develop position on major issues 1.21 Identify voters' concerns 1.22 Analyzer competitor's voting record 1.23 Establish position on major issues 1.3 Staffing for campaign 1.31 Email old college classmates & friends 1.32 Solicit resumes from local law school students 1.33 Review resumes & call prospectives 1.34 Interview & select key aides 1.4 Paperwork compliance for candidacy 1.41 File papers with Florida Election Commission 1.42 Make tax records publicly available 1.5 Ethical plan/issues 1.51 Put investments into blind trust
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C D E F G H
Immediate Predecessors A A B B C D E, F
A, 3
37 59
H, 8 03 03 C, 6 7 11 9 13 F, 4
13 21 13 21
39 39
9 13 9 13
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C D E F G H I
Immediate Predecessors A A B B C E, F D G, H
Time (Days) 5 2 4 5 5 5 2 3 5
The activity-on-arc (AOA) network is given in the back of the book. Below is an activity-on-node (AON) representation of the project network. D, 5 B, 2 7 12 8 13 E, 5 12 15 13 16 I, 5 H, 3 Key ES EF LS LF
A, 5
57 68
G, 2 05 05 C, 4 7 12 9 14 F, 5
16 21 16 21
14 16 14 16
59 59
9 14 9 14
R. Saltzman
Activity J K L M N O P
start
16 23 16 23 O, 7 5 done
K, 8 08 6 14 3
N, 2
13 15 14 16 P, 5 13 18 18 23
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C D E F G
Immed. Predec. A B, C B, C D E, F
Time (Hours) 6.0 7.2 5.0 6.0 4.5 7.7 4.0 Key ES EF LS LF slack
A, 6
C, 5
D, 6
F, 7.7
G, 4
11.0 15.5 20.2 24.7 9.2 b) Critical path is shown in red. c) Total project completion time is 28.7 hours. d) Draw a Gantt chart for the project (uses the EF and ES times): Activity A B C D E F G 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 Hours
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C D E F
Immediate Predecessors A A B C, D E
Draw the activity-on-node (AON) project network. D, 30 B, 60 80 110 90 120 A, 20 20 80 30 90 120 140 120 140 C, 100 E, 20
F, 10
0 20 0 20
20 120 20 120
Project should take 150 hours. Critical activities are shown in red.
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C D E F G H
Immed. Predec. A A B B C, E D, F
a) Draw the activity-on-node (AON) project network. C, 3 69 8 11 2 D, 2 06 28 2 E, 4 B, 7 7 11 7 11 0 F, 6 7 13 8 14 1 b) Critical path is shown in red. c) Total project completion time is 21 weeks. 13 20 14 21 1 68 12 14 6
A, 6
11 21 11 21 0 H, 7
07 07 0
Probabilistic Times
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C D E F G H I J K
Immed. Predec. C B, D A, E A, E F G C H, I
a 3 2 1 6 2 6 1 3 10 14 2
Time (Days) m 6 4 2 7 4 10 2 6 11 16 8
b 8 4 3 8 6 14 4 9 12 20 10
Mean t 5.83 3.67 2.00 7.00 4.00 10.00 2.17 6.00 11.00 16.33 7.33
Variance 2 0.69 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.44 1.78 0.25 1.00 0.11 1.00 1.78
Key ES EF LS LF slack
Draw the activity-on-node (AON) project network. G A 0 5.83 7.17 13.00 7.17 B 0 3.67 5.33 9.00 5.33 C 0 2.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 D 2.00 9.00 2.00 9.00 0.00 J 2.00 18.33 20.00 36.33 18.00 Problem 3.15, HR7E Total project completion time is F 13.00 23.00 13.00 23.00 0.00 E 9.00 13.00 9.00 13.00 0.00 13.00 15.17 15.83 18.00 2.83 H 23.00 29.00 23.00 29.00 0.00 K 29.00 36.33 29.00 36.33 0.00 I 15.17 26.17 18.00 29.00 2.83
36.33
days
Problem 3.16, HR7E Probability that project completion time is 40 days or less Variance along critical path 5.22 Std. Dev. along critical path 2.29 Prob{Normal(36.33, 2.29) <= 40} = Prob{Z <=
1.60
} = .9452
(Appendix I)
Probabilistic Times
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C D E F G H I J K
a 4 2 8 4 1 6 2 2 6 4 2
Time (Days) m 8 8 12 6 2 8 3 2 6 6 2
b 10 24 16 10 3 20 4 2 6 12 3
Mean t 7.67 9.67 12.00 6.33 2.00 9.67 3.00 2.00 6.00 6.67 2.17
Variance 2 1.00 13.44 1.78 1.00 0.11 5.44 0.11 0.00 0.00 1.78 0.03
Key ES EF LS LF slack
B 7.67 17.33 8.00 17.67 0.33 A 0.00 7.67 0.00 7.67 0.00 C 7.67 19.67 7.67 19.67 0.00 D 7.67 14.00 25.00 31.33 17.33
E 17.33 19.33 17.67 19.67 F 0.33 19.67 29.33 19.67 29.33 0.00 G 19.67 22.67 28.33 31.33 8.67 H 29.33 31.33 29.33 31.33 0.00 I 29.33 35.33 32.00 38.00 2.67 J K 38.00 40.17 38.00 40.17 0.00
a) Expected time for activity C is 12.00 b) Variance for activity C is 1.78 c) What is the critical path? See red nodes and arcs. d) Estimated time of critical path? 40.17 e) Variance along the critical path? 10.03 Std. Dev. along the critical path? 3.17 f) Prob{completion before week 36} = Prob{Z < -1.32 } =
9.342%
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C
Immed. Predec. A B
Normal Time 7 4 11
Crash Time 6 2 9
a) What action would you take to reduce the critical path by one day? Crash Cost per day $ 600 $ 900 $ 1,000 Max. Crash time 1 2 2
Activity A B C
Since A is the critical activity with the lowest crash cost per day, crash A first. b) To crash the critical path a second day, crash B since it has the second lowest cost. c) What is the total cost of the 2-day reduction? $ 1,500
R. Saltzman
Activity A B C D E F G
Immed. Predec. A B C D, E
Normal Time 4 2 3 8 6 3 4
Crash Time 3 1 3 4 3 2 2
$ $ $ $ $ $ $
Crash Cost 2,600 2,800 500 2,600 1,200 4,200 2,000 Key ES EF LS LF slack
A 04 04 0 B 02 46 4 C 03 10 13 10
D 4 12 4 12 0 E 28 6 12 4 F 36 13 16 10
G 12 16 12 16 0
a) Project completion date is 16 weeks. b) Total cost required to complete project in normal time is $ 12,300 c) Which activity should be crashed first? Critical activity D, for Crash Cost per week $ 600 $ 600 #DIV/0! $ 75 $ 100 $ 1,200 $ 300 Max. Crash time 1 1 0 4 3 1 2
75
Activity A B C D E F G
d) What is the maximum time that can be crashed? Crash D for 4 weeks. Cost = Crash G by 2 weeks. Cost = Crash A & E by 1 week. Cost = Total 7 weeks
$ $