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Complete Guide to Building an Acquisition Strategy and Valuation Methodologies

IDENTIFYING AN ACQUISTION TARGET

There are various aspects to consider when searching for an acquisition target

Key Aspects of Value to an Acquiror


Competitive Advantage Strong market position through large, stable user base or other competitive edge division or area Important Market Segment Operates key commercial platform with potential for strong cash growth Robust Financial Performance Healthy business with track record of strong cash flows and resilient earnings Access to New Geographies Target has established positions in new or high growth markets where the Acquiror is not present

This is only a partial view of the full presentation. For further details and download Market is of key strategic Strong top-line growth please goto: www.straticx.com/store.html Expertise in a particular importance in the value trajectory These new markets are
chain

Target's strengths can be leveraged throughout Acquiror's organization

Target's products or services can catalyze growth of Acquiror's existing businesses

Disciplined cost management

relatively difficult to expand into organically

Ideal Acquisition Target

IDENTIFYING AN ACQUISTION TARGET

Aligning Acquisition Strategy to Seller Process


Competitive Auction Formal process with organized disclosure on business sold via information memos and management presentations Auctions usually have a longer timetable Negotiated Transaction Less formal process with:

More flexibility in requesting specific or customized information


Greater access to Targets management team

Higher chance that Acquirors interest may be leaked to public


When drawn into a competitive auction, Acquiror can avoid a bidding war by positioning each bid strategically in two-tiered processes

In a limited negotiation, Acquiror can:


Push for exclusivity to remove concerns over

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E.g. bid conservatively in first round to learn more about other bidders and preserve valuation flexibility Acquiror should also conduct an interloper analysis to Identify potential financial or strategic buyers creatively E.g. Acquiror can decide whether to acquire entire business or carve out specific assets Limited competition suggests a higher likelihood for Acquiror to capture pre-emptive value

Assess their ability to pay


Estimate rivals ability to achieve synergies with Target

Evaluate impact to market landscape if Target falls into competitors hands


Strategic positioning in a buyside approach can vary significantly depending on whether Seller is running a competitive auction or engaged in exclusive negotiations with Acquiror

DILIGENCING THE TARGET

Diligencing the Target entails reviewing the market, financials and the business

Key Areas Size and scope of markets Key economic drivers Market Overview

Details

Expected regulatory changes that could change competitive landscape


Key competitors Historical, current and anticipated

This is only a partial view of indicators the full presentation. For further details and download Key performance and expected trends Historical audited financials www.straticx.com/store.html please goto:
Financials Projected financials and near-term Variance between historical budgets and actual performance Capital structure and expected maturities Marketing and customer acquisition strategy vs. peers Customer mix Focus on high or low share customers Business Mix of customer demographics Outlook on required capex over next few years Could changes in technology etc derail those projections? Cost structure vs. peers

Strengths/weaknesses vs. peers

CONTENTS

1. Formulating an Acquisition Strategy


A. Identifying the Acquisition Target and Process B. Diligencing the Target

This is only a partial view of the full presentation. For further details and download goto: www.straticx.com/store.html C. please Evaluating Other Strategic Considerations
2. Overview of Valuation Methodologies

There are several critical aspects to a well thought-out acquisition strategy for enterprise assets

CONTENTS

1. Formulating an Acquisition Strategy


A. Identifying the Acquisition Target and Process B. Diligencing the Target

This is only a partial view of the full presentation. For further details and download goto: www.straticx.com/store.html C. please Evaluating Other Strategic Considerations
2. Overview of Valuation Methodologies

There are several critical aspects to a well thought-out acquisition strategy for enterprise assets

OVERVIEW OF VALUATION METHODOLOGIES

Valuation Methodologies and Key Issues

Methodology

Key Sensitivities Quality of comparables Market environment Consistent accounting treatment Forward-looking multiples Public data

Public Market Comparables

Trading multiples of comparable companies To determine the relative value of companies within the sector

This2 is only a partial view oftransactions the full presentation. For furthertransactions details and download Market of comparable Quality of comparable Takes into consideration acquisition premium Historical multiples please goto: www.straticx.com/store.html
Merger Market Comparables Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Present value (PV) of projected unlevered free cash flows (FCFs) Discounted at weighted average cost of capital (WACC) Generally limited public data Market conditions at time of transaction Quality of financial forecasts (large number of assumptions) Discount rate Terminal value / perpetuity growth rate

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Pro Forma Analysis

Impact of a transaction (growth, margins, credit rating, etc.)


Assess whether a transaction is accretive / dilutive to EPS Near-term vs. long-term impact

Affected by financing capital structure


Affected by accounting (purchase price allocation) Not indicator of fundamental value

OVERVIEW OF VALUATION METHODOLOGIES PUBLIC MARKET


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Financial ratios should be compared across different sectors


Benchmarking of Market Multiples Example Output
2013E EV / Sales

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2013E EV / EBITDA

Sector 1

Sector 2

Sector 3

OVERVIEW OF VALUATION METHODOLOGIES PUBLIC MARKET


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Overview of the Discounted Future Value Approach


Discounted Future Value Approach

Overview Consider the start-up when the business model approaches maturity, and achieves positive EBITDA and longer-target margin targets The start-up can be valued with a 1-year forward multiple on future financial metrics based on projected future forward multiples The resulting valuation is subsequently to today to find the present value of the start-up business

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Forward 2017 Steady EBITDA

1 Year Forward Multiple

Future Value at 2016

Discount 4 Years

Present Value Today at 2013

OVERVIEW OF VALUATION METHODOLOGIES MERGER MARKET

Analysing precedent transactions will give a snapshot of multiples being paid


Selected Precedent Transactions Example Output

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Date
Acquirer

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Target Transaction Value Period

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OVERVIEW OF VALUATION METHODOLOGIES - DCF


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There are three main components of a Discounted Cash Flow Analysis

Determination of Free Cash Flows

DCF Analysis

Calculation of Terminal Value

Value of business in projection period Projections (5 10 years)

Value of business / cashflows post projection period Exit multiple method

Sales growth This is only a partial view of the full presentation. For further details and download Perpetuity growth method Margins (steady state) please goto: www.straticx.com/store.html Capex Change in Working Capital

Calculation of Discount Rate

Incorporates time value of money WACC vs. Equity discounting Discount Rate

Acquiror, Target or Sector?


Risk Free Rate Beta

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OVERVIEW OF VALUATION METHODOLOGIES - DCF

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Terminal value serves as proxy for present value of cash flow stream that is to be generated after the projection horizon

Terminal value serves as proxy for present value of cash flow stream that is to be generated after the projection horizon (usually 5 to 10 years) Ideally when business is in steady state Calculate PV of terminal value and add to PV of projected cash flows to arrive at a total value for the company The two principal terminal valuation approaches are: This is only a partial view of the full presentation. For further details and download Methodology Benchmarks please goto: www.straticx.com/store.html
FCF in Year after Final Year TV =

Industry growth rate

Perpetuity Method
TV =

WACC Growth Rate FCF5 x (1+g) WACC g

General economic growth rate Differentiate real growth vs. inflation Current trading multiples Mid-cycle trading multiples M&A multiples

Compare results to check assumptions

TV = EBITDA x Exit Multiple Exit Multiple Assumes sale/IPO of business at multiple of final years sales, EBITDA, EBIT or other metric

Alternatively, calculate terminal value through one method and back out the implied assumption for the other method (e.g. implied perpetuity growth of a certain exit multiple)

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OVERVIEW OF VALUATION METHODOLOGIES PRO FORMA

Pro Forma Analysis is a method of calculating financial results in order to emphasize either current or projected figures
Key Inputs to Consider Mix of financing Considerations Impact of target to pro forma growth and margin profile

Stock vs. cash


Financing Cost (incremental debt to finance the acquisition) Interest expense on new debt issued

Potential multiple impact


Level of diversification vs. product concentration

Synergy Analysis

For Cross-selling opportunity This isInterest only income a partial view of the full presentation. further details and download lost on cash used Cost savings potential please goto: www.straticx.com/store.html Accounting Treatment Excess purchase price allocated to asset write-up Amount required to breakeven (if dilutive) vs. amount that is achievable

Depreciated / amortized over how long?


Transaction Costs

Balance sheet impact


Credit rating

Financing fees, advisor fees


Merger costs Taxes

Ability to de-lever
Pro forma ownership

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OVERVIEW OF VALUATION METHODOLOGIES PRO FORMA


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Company A Acquires Company B An Illustrative Example

Illustrative EPS Accretion / (Dilution) Analysis


Deal Terms
Company B Share Price (US$) Premium Over Purchase Price Acquisiton Share Price (US$) Company B Shares Outstanding (mm) Implied Takeover Equity Value 10.00 20.0% 12.00 500 6,000

Sensitivity Analysis
2013E EPS Accretion
Acquisition Share Price
5.3% 10.00 8.9% 8.6% 8.2% 7.9% 7.5% 11.00 7.5% 7.1% 6.7% 6.4% 6.0% 12.00 6.2% 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 13.00 4.8% 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 3.0% 14.00 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5%

Pre-Tax Cost of Debt

3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0%

Financing Terms
Debt Financing (50%) Equity Financing (50%) 3,000 3,000

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Company A Post-Deal Shares Outstanding 1,150

2014E EPS Accretion


EPS Accretion / (Dilution)
(US$ mm) Company A Net Income Company B Net Income Post-Tax Interest Expense @ 4.0% Pre-Tax Pro Forma Net Income Company A Pro Forma EPS (US$) Company A Status Quo EPS (US$) EPS Accretion / (Dilution)
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2013E 2,000 500 (78) 2,422 2.11 2.00 5.3%

2014E 2,200 550 (78) 2,672 2.32 2.20 5.6%


5.6% 10.00 9.1% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 7.8%

Acquisition Share Price


11.00 7.7% 7.4% 7.0% 6.7% 6.3% 12.00 6.4% 6.0% 5.6% 5.2% 4.8% 13.00 5.0% 4.6% 4.2% 3.8% 3.4% 14.00 3.7% 3.3% 2.9% 2.4% 2.0%

Pre-Tax Cost of Debt

3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0%

Assumes corporate tax rate of 35%

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