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DAILY REPORT

3rd FEBRUARY. 2014

Global markets at a glance Japan's Nikkei .N225 again led the way with a loss of 1.2 percent, hurt in part by a firm yen. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS eased 0.2 percent, while Seoul's KOSPI lost 0.6 percent. The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended down 0.2 percent at 1,291.17 points, posting a monthly loss of 1.9 percent. The index dropped as much as 1.6 percent during the session, before short covering in late trade helped it trim losses, Wall Street Update the January loss followed the S&P 500's gain of 30 percent in 2013 - its best year since 1997. It also marked the first time that the S&P 500 ended January with a loss since 2010, when the benchmark index started the year with a drop of 3.7 percent. In Friday's session, energy and consumer discretionary shares had the biggest declines of the day after some disappointing earnings. The S&P energy index ended the day down 1.5 percent, while the consumer discretionary index fell 1.3 percent. Chevron Corp and Amazon.com were among the biggest drags. Previous day Roundup The market ended on flat note while PSU banks stock added strength to the indices. The Sensex is up 15.60 points at 20513.85, and the Nifty is up 15.80 points at 6089.50. About 1511 shares advanced, 1045 shares declined, and 205 shares were unchanged. Tata Steel , Tata Power , GAIL , M&M and Bharti Airtel were top gainers in the Sensex. Among the major laggards were Tata Motors , HDFC , NTPC , Hero Motocorp and Bajaj Auto Index stats The Market was down in yesterday session where Bankex and Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (up93.63and 84.60 respectively). Among the sartorial indices the sectors which were up are consumer Durables [up 19.94pts] Capital Good [up 78.79 pts], Healthcare [up 39.29pts], PSU [up 59.59 pts], TECK [ up 53.33 pts] , IT [ up 68.06 pts ] Consumer FMCG [up 42.01 pts] Metals [up 114.41 pts], Realty [up 19.41 Pts], Oil& Gas [up 98.87 pts]. power [up 11.07pts]. and the Auto [ down 50.36 pts],

World Indices
Index DJl S&P 500 NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100 Nikkei 225 Hong Kong Value 15698.85 1782.59 4103.88 3013.95 6510.44 14914.53 22035.42
CMP Change

% Change -0.94 -0.65 -0.47 -0.44 -0.43 -0.62 -0.48


% Chg

Top Gainers
Company

PNB BANKBARODA ACC TATAPOWER BPCL

553.45 550.70 1015.80 74.25 363.00


CMP

35.85 19.35 33.20 2.30 10.50


Change

6.93 3.64 3.38 3.20 2.98


% Chg

Top Losers
Company

TATAMOTORS HDFC NTPC GRASIM ASIANPAINT


Symbol

349.95 806.10 126.20 2563.80 473.00


Prev. Close

-11.80 -23.05 -2.00 -25.70 -4.50


Change

-3.26 -2.78 -1.56 -0.99 -0.94


%Chg

Stocks at 52 Weeks high


ABAN GAIL HCLTECH SAKSOFT 375.45 350.30 1434.20 91.30
Prev. Close

75.05 9.75 27.10 0.75


Change

19.99 2.78 1.89 0.82


%Chg

Stocks at 52 Weeks Low


Symbol

AGRITECH ESSAROIL

33.40 48.95
CMP

-1.65 -4.05
Change

-4.94 -8.27
% Chg

Indian Indices
Company NIFTY SENSEX

6089.50 20513.85

15.80 15.60

0.26 0.08

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DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014

EQUITY CASH & FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1.APOLLO TYRE FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] . 1.KAVERI SEED COMPANY LTD

APOLLO TYRE FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 113 levels. We advise buying around 113-114 levels with strict stop loss 111 for the targets of 116-118 levels. 2.VOLTAS FUTURE

KAVERI SEED COMPANY LTD is looking strong on charts. We advice buying above 422 levels with strict stop loss of 405 for the targets of 435-445levels. MACRO NEWS

VOLTAS FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 107 levels. We advise buying around 106-107 levels with strict stop loss 104 for the targets of 109-112 levels.

Bharti Airtel , Vodafone, Reliance Jio Infocomm and five other telecom firms will battle it out at the spectrum auction today, from which the government expects to garner at least Rs 11,300 crore. The Department of Telecom has put on the block around 385 MHz of radiowaves in the 1800 MHz band, and 46 MHz in the 900 MHz band. After supermarket giant Walmart, it is online retail major Amazon which has begun lobbying with the US lawmakers to seek their support for facilitating its "foreign direct investment in India". the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) is likely to consider on February 4 a proposal to give a cash subsidy of Rs 2,000 per tonne for raw sugar exports. The Food Ministry in a Cabinet note has proposed a cash incentive of Rs 2,000 per tonne to the beleaguered sugar industry for exporting four million tonnes of raw sugar in two years.

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DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014

FUTURE & OPTION

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION


Symbol Option Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest

NIFTY NIFTY BANKNIFTY BANKNIFTY PNB SBIN MCDOWELL -N PNB


Symbol

PE PE PE PE PE PE PE PE
Option Type CE CE CE CE

6,000 6,100 10,000 9,500 500 1,500 2,400 520


Strike Price

61.4 97 172 59.5 8.9 45.35 75 13.5


LTP

2,34,343 1,71,511 22,278 12,006 3,304 3,283 2,191 2,119


Traded Volume (Contracts)

57,53,650 30,95,200 2,87,025 1,48,500 4,63,500 3,03,875 1,09,250 2,34,000


Open Interest

STOCKS IN NEWS Group of ministers is likely to meet today to discuss ways of unlocking value of property held by BSNL and MTNL SKS Microfinance completes Rs 55.6 crore securitisation BHEL will offload 5 percent stake sale in BHEL via block deal Supreme Court will resume final hearing in Tata Power plea on Sasan on February 6 NIFTY FUTURE

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION

NIFTY NIFTY BANKNIFTY BANKNIFTY SBIN SBIN PNB RELIANCE

6,200 6,300 10,500 11,000 1,600 1,550 540 840

57.5 28 185 59 29 45 28.2 17.9 BUY

2,00,338 29,69,900 1,69,518 31,68,850 15,083 13,661 3,797 3,736 3,591 2,524 1,82,750 2,88,525 4,56,375 Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session. 2,11,250 We advise selling around 6150-6140 levels with strict 2,30,500 stop loss of 6180 for the targets of 6110-6080 levels. 5,03,500 SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY Amount in Crores 11896.40 31451.12 29347.09 604.15 TOTAL NET AMOUNT -280.59 87.69 40.52 -19.94 -172.33

CE CE CE
CE

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS


No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts INDEX FUTURES INDEX OPTIONS STOCK FUTURES STOCK OPTIONS 54267 330139 64208 26570 1609.94 9812.17 1982.11 756.55 62858 324989 63499 27431 1890.53 9724.48 1941.59 776.49 395362 1037242 984084 21555

INDICES
NIFTY NIFTYJUNIOR BANK NIFTY YOUR MINTVISORY

S2
6054.4 11693.38 10075.34

S1
6071.95 11843.21 10156.54

PIVOT
6084.9 11930.23 10211.5

R1
6102.45 12080.06 10292.7

R2
6115.4 12167.08 10347.65

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DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014

COMMODITY MCX
COMMODITY ROUNDUP. The prices of COMEX Gold declined by $ 1240.1 per troy ounce, up 1.84%. The correction in metal was on account of rise of US Dollar after the news of Federal stimulus cuts. U.S. Federal Reserve decided to slash its monthly bondbuying program by a further $10 billion, as widely anticipated by economists. The euro ended lower against the dollar at $1.348 on Friday. In economic news from the U.S., the Labor Department said initial jobless claims climbed to 348000, an increase of 19000 from the previous week's revised figure of 329000. Copper corrected by a considerable margin in the week ending 31 January 2014. The bears lashed on to the selling positions after the US FOMC committee reported a decline of $ 10 billion from the stimulus package. Though the fund managers remained bullish last week, it will be interesting to see the COT report after the US decision and Chinese PMI numbers. The stimulus now stands at $ 65 billion. Though in long run the metals are still being favored by the recovery in US economy, immediate demand for risky asset classes will take a backseat after Chinese manufacturing numbers. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 6.4 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 24, far beyond expectations for an increase of 2.3 million barrels. NYMEX Light Sweet Crude Oil for March expiry gained sharply on the back of recovery in the prospects of US economy. MCX Gold futures are trading up , tracking the recovery in the global prices. The yellow metal had dipped this week, not being able to hold onto its two-month highs as worries about emerging market growth hit the sentiments for risky assets. However, reports of strong physical market demand for gold across the major advanced economies is supportive for the metal. COMEX Gold edged up on these counts, currently trading at $ 1250.70, up $8.20 per ounce on the day. MCX Gold is quoting at Rs 29500, up Rs 122 per 10 grams on the day Gold fell sharply last night, easing well under $1250 per ounce as the US gross domestic product, grew at a 3.2% annual pace in the fourth quarter.

RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 43800 TGTS 44050/44400 SL 43500 SELL SILVER BELOW 43050 TGTS 42800/42500 SL 43400 GOLD

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD(FEB) ABOVE 29680 TGTS 29750/29850 SL 29570 SELL GOLD(FEB) BELOW 29250 TGTS 29170/29070 SL 29360

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DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014

NCDEX

RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED

NCDEX INDICES Index Value % Change

Castor Seed Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Jeera Maize Feed/Industrial Grade Mustard seed Soy Bean Turmeric
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4135 TGTS 4165,4215 SL 4085 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4080 TGTS 4050,4000 SL 4130

4143 2888 8286 1524 12070 1188 3317 3916.5 7342

-0.98 -0.03 -0.58 -1.42 -0.96 -0.92 -0.93 0.98 0.03

DHANIYA

NCDEX ROUNDUP Cardamom prices plunged 3.90% to Rs 757 per kg in futures trade on Monday as speculators booked profits at prevailing higher levels amid subdued demand in the spot market. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, cardamom for delivery in February declined by Rs 30.80, or 3.90%, to Rs 757 per kg in a business turnover of 871 lots. Likewise, the spice for delivery in March shed Rs 29.80, or 3.64%, to Rs 788 per kg with a trading volume of 813 lots Crude palm oil prices fell 0.36% to Rs 522.80 per 10 kg in futures trading on Monday as speculators offloaded positions due to subdued demand in the spot market against higher supplies. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, crude palm oil for delivery in January fell by Rs 1.90, or 0.36%, to Rs 522.80 per 10 kg in a business turnover of 77 lots. Likewise, oil for delivery in February traded lower by Rs 1.10, or 0.20%, to Rs 531 per 10 kg in 63 lots. Soybean prices rose by Rs 42 to Rs 3,378 per quintal in futures trading on Monday on low levels buying amid firm physical sentiment. apart from increased buying by traders, limited supplies in spot markets mainly pushed up soybean prices. At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange,

BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8150 TGTS 8180,8230 SL 8100 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8010 TGTS 7980,7930 SL 8060

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3rd FEBRUARY. 2014

CURRENCY

RBI Reference Rate


Currency Rate Currency Rate

Rupee- $ Euro GBP/INR

62.4768 Yen-100 84.6022 GBP

60.9600 102.9493

CURRENCY ROUNDUP EUR/USD hit 1.3478, the weakest since November 22 and was last down 0.49% to 1.3488. For the week, the pair lost 1.35%. The annual rate of euro zone inflation slowed to 0.7% in January, after a 0.8% gain in December. Analysts had expected the inflation rate to tick up to 0.9%. It was the fourth consecutive month the inflation rate came in at less than 1% and was well below the ECB's target of 2%. The ECB unexpectedly cut rates to a record low 0.25% when inflation fell to a four-year low of 0.7% in October. The common currency fell to two-month lows against the yen, with EUR/JPY dropping 1.07% to 137.75, extending the weeks losses to 1.89%. The dollar was also lower against the yen as euro's steep declines and a broad based selloff in emerging economies bolstered safe haven demand. USD/JPY ended Friday's session down 0.69% at 101.99, and finished the week 0.63% lower. The Canadian dollar fell to a fresh four-and-a-half year lows against the U.S. dollar on Friday as the selloff in emerging markets prompted investors to stage a broad retreat from riskier assets. USD/CAD hit highs of 1.1224 before retracting some of those gains to settle at 1.1125. NZD/USD fell 0.97% to 0.8080 at the close of trade, while AUD/USD was down 0.50% to 0.8751. Emerging markets were hard hit by a combination of concerns over the impact of cuts to the Federal Reserve's stimulus program and fears over a possible slowdown in China. The dollar was higher against the pound and the Swiss franc on Friday. GBP/USD was down 0.29% to 1.6436 at the close and the pair lost 0.83% for the week. USD/CHF advance 0.39% to settle at 0.9064, extending the week's gains to 1.12%. In the week ahead, investors will be keenly anticipating Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for January after December's report showed that the economy added far fewer jobs than expected.

BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 103.88 TGTS 104.02, 104.16 SL 103.58. SELL GBP/INR BELOW 103.20 TGTS 103.04, 102.88 SL 103.50.

JPY/INR

BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 61.73 TGTS 61.86, 61.99 SL 61.44. SELL JPY/INR BELOW 61.06 TGTS 60.94, 60.81 SL 61.35.

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DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014

CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

Contract

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14

MCX GOLD MCX GOLD MCX SILVER MCX SILVER NCDEX CASTOR SEED NCDEX CASTOR SEED NCDEX DHANIYA NCDEX DHANIYA EUR/INR EUR/INR USD/INR USD/INR

FEB. FEB. MAR. MAR. FEB. FEB. FEB. FEB JAN. JAN. JAN. JAN.

BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY SELL SELL BUY SELL BUY

29460 29160 43550 43050 4200 4140 8390 8300 85.50 86.21 62.85 63.29

29640-29640 29160-29060 42850-42550 42850-42250 4230-4280 4110-4060 8420-8470 8270-82220 85.37-85.23 86.35-86.49 62.72-62.58 63.43-63.57

29340 29360 43150 43400 4150 4190 8340 8350 85.79 85.91 63.14 63.00

BOOKED PROFIT NOT EXECUTED BOOKED FULL PROFIT NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED NO PROFIT NO LOSS NOT EXECUTED SL TRIGGERED BOOKED PROFIT NOT EXECUTED BOOKED PROFIT NOT EXECUTED

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14 31/01/14

NIFTY HCL TECH VOLTAS EXCEL CROP CARE

FUTURE FUTURE FUTURE CASH

SELL BUY BUY BUY

6150 1440 105 442

6110-6080 1470-1490 109-112 452-465

6180 1450 103 425

NOT EXECUTED BOOKED PROFIT BOOKED PROFIT NOT EXECUTED

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DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS

MONDAY, FEB. 3
10 AM 10 AM TBA ISM CONSTRUCTION SPENDING MOTOR VEHICLE SALES JAN. DEC. JAN. TUESDAY, FEB. 4 10 AM FACTORY ORDERS DEC. WEDNESDAY, FEB.5 10 AM ISM NONMANUFACTURING JAN. THURSDAY, FEB. 6 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS TRADE DEFICIT PRODUCTIVITY 2/1 DEC. 4Q FRIDAY ,FEB 7 8:30 AM 8:30 AM NONFARM PAYROLLS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE JAN. JAN. Disclaimer
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57.0% 1.0% 15.4 MLN

1.8%

53.0%

N/A -$34.3 BLN 3.0%

74,000 6.7%

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