Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
1983: Doomsday postulated the alternative outcome of the Sept. 26, 1983 event,
when Colonel Stanislav Petrov was alerted, in error, to a possible US missile strike
against the Soviet Union.
In OTL (original timeline), Colonel Petrov believed the information to be false and did
not alert the Kremlin to the data he was receiving. Given Cold War tensions at the
time, such information would likely have convinced the Soviets that the US had
launched a first strike attempting to "cut off the head" and launched their forces, in
the believe it was a "counterstrike", not a firststrike.
The resulting nuclear exchange would have been close to the forecasts of almost
complete destruction and "nuclear winter" predicted by many scientists of the day,
resulting in as much as two billion people killed initially, possibly another two billion
in the subsequent environmental disaster.
Those 0,8 billions having survived desperately try to keep together what is left of
human society and therewith face seemingly impossible challenge.
Over the next three decades, now southernhemispherelead mankind is struggling
to preserve a certain level of civilization. The culmination the foundation of the New
United Nations (NUN)headed by Australia, Argentina and Brazil in 2013 awakens a
small glance of a possibly more peacefully future for mankind.
September 19, 1983
Colonel Gennady Akrimov replaces Col. Stanislav Petrov (picture) as watch officer at
the Serpukhov15 bunker near Moscow, which monitors for a US missile attack on the
Soviet Union. Colonel Petrov is reassigned to a bunker near Odessa.
Sept. 26, 1983
Just past midnight, at 00:40 hrs, the Serpukhov15 bunker's computers indicated that a
US missile was heading toward the Soviet Union. Akrimov, at first, reasoned that a
computer error had occurred, since it was only one missile and it didn't make sense that
the US would launch one missile in an attack. Questions about the reliability of the
satellite detection system had also been raised in the past, so he dismissed the warning
as a false alarm, concluding that there was no actual missile.
Very shortly though, the computers indicated that a second missile had been launched,
then a third, a fourth and a fifth. Akrimov, a faithful reader of "Pravda" where he had
read much of the "warmongering of the American President Reagan" now felt that the
attack was real. He telephoned the headquarters of the Strategic Rocket Forces and
told them that his computers showed that a massive US attack was underway.
General Secretary Andropov (picture) was awakened by his staff and rushed to an
evacuation helicopter standing by. On the way he was informed by the generals that
they had "good information" that the Americans were launching a firststrike. They
recommended a full retaliatory strike. Andropov, frail and stunned by the news, nodded
and gave the launch codes to the SRF commanders.
Four and onehalf minutes later, at over 300 missile bunkers, the order was
given....launch. Nearly 1100 Soviet ICBMs in staggered order were launched at the
United States, American bases in Europe and Great Britain, and in a plan never publicly
revealed at another fifty sites in the People's Republic of China.
Sept. 26, 1983
At around 12:28am, NORAD launch detection satellites detected the launch from the
Soviet Union. It was apparently, to them, a Soviet FIRSTstrike and President Reagan
was immediately awoken and rushed to "Marine1", to be evacuated to the Boeing E4B
Nightwatch "National Airbone Command Post" (picture). He arrived twenty minutes later
and the aircraft took off at about 12:55am.
Enroute, the President was informed by Secretary of Defense Weinberger and the
NORAD generals that the launch was confirmed and that it was total. Reagan gave the
launch codes and ordered a full retaliatory strike, including "citybuster" missile attacks
from the American submarine fleet.
Meanwhile as Andropov's helicopter was approaching the Kremlin's evacuation bunker
forty miles outside of Moscow, he received a chilling report. The first "projected" missile
had reached its target in Murmansk....but no detonation had occurred. Quickly checking,
Soviet generals discovered that the first targets that were supposed to have been
destroyed minutes earlier, showed NO incoming warheads and no detonation.
Andropov suffered a massive stroke as he realized he had just started World WarIII on
a false alarm. A minute later the first Soviet missile detonated in Beijing China, followed
quickly by one at Elmendorf Air Force Base in Alaska (picture). Minutes after that, a
second REAL report of incoming American missiles was reported.
Sept 26, 1983
Doomsday. Over a period of two hours, from approximately 1:15am until 3:10am, over
three thousand nuclear weapons were detonated all across the Northern Hemisphere.
NATO commanders were ordered to launch tactical PershingI missiles at Soviet tank
yards, and Warsaw Pact commanders responded with the launch of their Pioneer
missiles.
Chinese forces, woefully caught by surprise by the Soviet attack, were only able to
launch 30% of their weapons at the USSR. Most hit cities and military bases already
destroyed by American missiles and bombers.
Neither American nor Soviet nor any other citizen was given much warning of the
attack. Some cities did receive alerts and while local mayors and fire chiefs were
scrambling to remember where the airraid siren was, they were either destroyed or
missed in the attack.
EMP (electromagnetic pulses) from airbursted weapons destroyed some 70% of the
electronics across the Northern Hemisphere. Radios, televisions, etc. all rendered
useless.
Final death toll on that first day was 1.53 billion people...from the United States, to
Cuba, across to the United Kingdom, Western and Eastern Europe, the Soviet Union,
China, Japan, the Phillipines, and three cities in Australia.
And a black pall of smoke, dust, and radioactive ash covered half the world.
September 1983March 1984
Predictions of the results of a nuclear exchange from the late 70s and early 80s are
fairly accurate. In addition to the initial deaths, subsequent deaths due to fallout, outof
control fires, starvation, dehydration, disease, etc. adds another 700 million, mostly in
the Northern Hemisphere.
The predictions of "nuclear winter" however come up short. Only a 10 F. drop is noted,
and as the attack occurs going into the late fall, it isn't a major effect on typical weather
patterns. The dust cover does block out the sun for several days, but within a week, it
dissipates and cloud patterns return to normal by midOctober.
Later in the Summer of 1984, predictions of a "nuclear summer" do come true, as
nitrogen oxides and a reduced ozone layer raise temperatures to an average high 1025
F. over normal.
Vast areas of North America, most of Europe, much of the Soviet Union, and many
parts of China are uninhabitable. Radiations levels drop with the predicted two week
fallout pattern, but irradiated areas and areas where toxic chemicals have been spilt
are deadly to humans contacting them. Several nuclear reactors in the US, Europe, and
in the Soviet Union go critical and explode releasing further radiation into the
atmosphere.
Meanwhile death tolls keep rising. By March 1984, the population of the United States
has dropped to 28 million people, almost 1/10 the preDoomsday level. The story is
similar in the rest of the Northern Hemisphere, with Great Britain knocked down a level
of population unseen since the Norman Conquest.
After a week in the National Airborne Command Post jet, President Reagan is
transferred to the stillsurviving Mount Weather command bunker (aerial photo). (Oddly,
though known to the Soviets for years, no attack on the facility was made.) Vice
President George Bush is relocated to the Greenbrier Hotel facility (this was to have
been the Congressional relocation center, but no evacuation of Congress was possible).
Attempts at coordination of remaining police, fire, and especially National Guard units
in the United States proved only marginally successful. With the widespread death,
starvation, and fallout, few National Guardsmen reported for duty. Most couldn't, but
many (with no safe zones for their families) refused. Chaos reigned.
1985
Two years after the war, little had improved, in fact much had worsened in the Northern
Hemisphere. Food shortages were absolute. Starvation kills another 200 million people.
Cannibalism of the dead wasn't uncommon, and some roving gangs of former military
units even killed people for food.
President Reagan (picture) and his staff at Mt. Weather were facing a dire situation. The
facility was only established with two years' food supply and it was running out.
Neighboring Virginia farms were abandoned and orchards were producing mutated fruit
or in most cases none at all. Salvage teams from his Secret Service detail were sent out
to get more, but were having little luck as the few surviving locals had picked stores and
restaurants clean.
Contact with VicePresident Bush (picture) at The Greenbrier indicated the same
situation was effecting them. Eventually the decision was made to evacuate the
President and VicePresident from North America and fly them to Australia.
Reagan and Bush left the US on May 5th, 1985. Reagan's plane had engine trouble just
after leaving one of the remaining airports in Hawaii. The E4 Boeing lost altitude and
crashed into the Pacific. Though the President and First Lady survived the crash, the
liferaft they and their Secret Service team escaped on sank in a squall a day later.
Nominally, George Bush became President on May 6th, 1985.
He reached Brisbane, after stops in Hawaii and Auckland, New Zealand. Prime Minister
Hawke (picture) welcomed Bush, but informed him that the RAAF had lost contact with
the NEACP. They waited a few days for any reports, but with none coming, Bush had a
local Australian judge swear him in as President on May 8th.
In the Southern Hemisphere, radioactivity had spread to Brazil, southern Africa, and
northern Australia. There was no "On The Beach" scenario; these areas suffered little
permanent damage, but the destruction of trade and violent weather patterns caused
them much hardships.
Australia had weathered the war the best. Though it had lost Sydney, Melbourne, and
Perth, the capital at Canberra had survived and much of the population had taken
shelter and had provisions. Australian agriculture was relatively intact and in the years
after the war had maintained a sufficient production. Rationing of food was enacted, but
it was not burdensome. Prime Minister Bob Hawke had been in office only a few months
before Doomsday, but had proved an able leader.
South American countries did slightly worse. Though they had been spared any nuclear
attacks, breakdowns in trade and scarcity of food for many months had taken their toll.
SubSaharan Africa was worse. The loss of American and European and Soviet aid had
plunged most of the African nations into chaos and starvation. The economy of the
Union of South Africa collapses, even under martial law, rioting runs rampant as it
becomes apparent that the white minority is shunting food and fuel rations to primarily
whites, while black South Africans starve. When guards abandoned the Robben Island
prison, members of the ANC rescued Nelson Mandela (picture), but the joy was short
lived as Mandela died in a bombing raid by the South African Air Force on a Pretorian
black neighborhood.
The USS "Benjamin Franklin" (SSBN640) (picture) becomes the fifth American nuclear
submarine to arrive in Australia in May of 1985. Out of communications with any
command authority and running out of food, the captain of the "Franklin" orders it
berthed at Cairns and awaits orders from President Bush.
An "American Provisional Government" is established in Canberra, mostly attempted to
garner intelligence on the situation, both in the US and across the world.
1993
Ten years after the war, the USS "Benjamin Franklin" is refitted by the Royal Australian
Navy and sent on an intelligence gathering mission. Her empty missile silos are filled
with food, enough to last sixteentoeighteen months. She heads out, returning to Cairns
in August 1994.
She reports that the situation in the United States is "medieval". A few towns and
villages have formed themselves into barricaded sanctions, fighting off marauding ex
Army and expolice units, scavenging for food, water and ammunition. The estimated
population of the contiguous US is guessed at less than 10 million. A Royal Australian
Air Force pilot who volunteered to join the "Franklin" crew, found an intact Beechcraft
airplane near Tillamook, Oregon and flew several hundred miles inland.
He reported reaching a vast desert as he approached the old Idaho/Nevada border.
Radiation levels were minimal, but the area seemed devoid of plant and animal life. He
returned and reboarded the "Franklin" as it headed down along the West Coast.
Europe and what could be reached of the Soviet Union seemed no better. Dust and
windstorms prevented aerial reconnaissance but the land seemed devastated. Ice cap
measurements in the Arctic were unusually thin, and apparently global warming (due to
the drop in plant life and rise in CO2) was occurring.
China, Japan, and much of Asia appeared to be as "medieval" as the United States.
The "Franklin" crew narrowly escaped when it was attacked in Okinawa by islanders
who (from observation) had become cannibals.
India, though lightly damaged from the war, had suffered mass starvation and
disintegrated into numerous warlordships.
No radio or television signals were received by the "Franklin", except from Australia,
Argentina, and Brazil. They reported the rise in temperatures, and an increase in UV
radiation.
It became apparently, even before the "Franklin" left, that the ozone layer had suffered
tremendous damage due to the effects of the nuclear explosions. Sunburns began in
southern Australia after only a few minutes exposure. Ultimately many Australians (as
well as other Southern Hemispherans) had to fully cover themselves (even on the
hottest days) and apply generous amounts of sunscreen. (Sunscreen became a top
priority, after food, for production in the surviving nations.)
2003
Twenty years after the war, some improvements in the climate and environment were
noted. With few internal combustion engines and little cattle farming, CO2 levels and
accompanying temperatures apparently dropped. Ozone levels over the Antarctic
showed a slight rise, though dangerous levels of UV radiation still existed in much of the
Southern Hemisphere. People had grown accustomed to fully covering themselves.
The Provisional American Government ended in 1994. President Bush in consultation
with Prime Minister John Howard (picture) issued a short statement to the few American
expatriates in Australia, stating that it is best if they "become part of the Australian life
and culture". He acted as an advisor to Howard, primarily on development of Australian
oil production in Indonesia.
Another Australian recon mission of the world was undertaken in 2000. It involved the
refurbished USS "Nimitz" (CVN68) (picture), which was found floating off the coast of
Papua New Guinea in 1997 (the crew dead from radiation poisoning). Loaded with fuel
and supplies, it returned once again to the Northern Hemisphere (and equipped with
helicopters from Australia) surveyed the west coast of the United States, Japan, and
China.
The United States (at least to the Rocky Mountains) was a scattered group of heavily
fortified villages (less than 50 from Washington State to southern California), with nearly
double that number abandoned or burned. Fired upon by some inhabitants, the
Australian pilots made safe landings only at two. Once in Bay City, Oregon and another
at Crescent City, California.
Both towns were walled and had a feudal warlords, one called "the Mayor" in Bay City,
the other called "Boss Jones" in Crescent City. Starvationlevel food production barely
kept the villagers alive, while the warlords and their guards reaped most of the benefits
of the food and fresh water. Plagues of typhus, cholera, and diptheria had depleted their
numbers and neither town had a population larger than 1100 people. It was assumed
this situation was repeated in much of the old United States.
Flyovers of the land east of the Rocky Mountains revealed that grass and some trees
had started to grow again in much of the formerly desert areas. Nomads were seen
scavenging through ruins, but no contact was made with them. Radiation "hot zones"
were detected near old nuclear power plants, but generally the radiation levels had
dropped to low levels.
2007
Prime Minister Paul Keating (picture) and the Australian Parliament create a "World
Census and Reclamation Bureau" after contacting the few remaining nationstate
governments left in South America, Asia, and Africa. Most of these are military
dictatorships, but are eager to resume some form of international trade, both to appease
their populations and to help increase their own power.
The first act of the WCRB is tally the population of the Earth. More reconnaissance
missions are flown by the Australian Navy and Air Force, with temporary bases setup in
Nairobi; Bangalore; Hanoi; Nueva Laredo, Mexico; and Cartagena, Spain. Teams are
sent out and, while encountering some hostiles, try to take a census of the world's
population.
Their findings: Total World Population: a. 800 million. Slightly more than estimates for
the year 1750 AD. Primarily in the Southern Hemisphere. Chief causes of death:
communicable disease, cancer, and starvation. Infant mortality rates: about 40% or 2 of
5 die before reaching the age of one year. 60% or 3 of 5 die before reaching age five.
Average lifespan: 32 years. Literacy rates of those under 20 years of age: 2% (outside
of Australia, Argentina, Chile, Brazil).
5 further years of worldwide recon missions followed, establishing permanent WCRB
bases throughout merely habitable areas.
2008
In India, the several shortlived warlordships continued fighting for every bit of food and
supplies, although a "Union Parliament" was installed in 2008 in a small period of
cease fire. The subcontinent was not much more than a chaotic guerrilawarfare
battleground.
2009
North America: The 2009 WCRB mission, led by the "Nimitz", discovered the existence
of an isolated, but functioning Canadian "capital" in Iqualuit (Nunavut) (picture). The
remainders of the Canadian government evacuated in 1985 to this remote city.
An official Canadian ambassador was taken back to Canberra and officially
reestablished diplomatic relations. This was the first postdoomsday bilateral encounter
including a Northern Hemisphere nation.
2010
Along with increasing stability in fulfilling basic needs, especially food supply, the South
American states agreed to a loose, mainly economical, federation modeled after the
former European Community. This South American Confederation lead by Argentinian
President Gilberto de Nuna and his Brazil Counterpart Da Pinto, gradually managed to
increase democratic developments.
WCRB Northern office was opened in Iqualuit.
2012
The SAC with its Headquarters in Montevideo, Uruguay now consisted of 8 South
American States insisting on introducing democracy as a condition to accept new
member states.
2013
Australia started up expanding north to formerly Papua New Guinea, Singapore and
Philippines, mainly in order to increase necessary industrial production and raw
materials. In order not to repeat past territory claim consequences, PM Paul Keating on
June 17th called for the Foundation of a new UN like organization.
Keating's impressing speech on the Australian National Memorial Site in Canberra was
the first postwar television broadcast seen by nearly the entire world population.
And his call was answered. On September 26th, 2013, exactly 30 years after the
devastating Doomsday bringing humanity at the edge of total extinction, Keating, de
Nuna and da Pinto, along with representatives of the other 23 recently reestablished
Nations, gathered in Canberra to sign the Foundation Charta of the New United Nations
(NUN).
Despite this first sign of hope, the worldwide situation only slowly increased. Still only
Australia and the SAC states maintained a significant level of industrial production.
World population merely stagnated, even though cancer, child mortality and
analphabetism were slowly loosing ground.
In Africa, conditions were still mostly horrifying. A struggling South African Provisional
Government was merely able to secure a small region around Capetown with massive
support of a small joint SAC Australian Garrison. Everything north of this region was
almost lawless warlordruled territory.
The Northern Hemisphere has not really changed much. The annual WCRB recon
missions showed no significant improvement in North America, Europe and North Asia.
The fortified cities along the Pacific coast, faced with desperate food supply and no real
perspective for anyone, finally agreed on the installation of a "Supply Exchange council"
coordinating the distribution of humanitary aid received from Australia and mainly SAC
countries. This very slowly started to pacify the hostilities leading to form a "Pacific
Coast Police Unit" unifying the cities' security forces in order to secure the hunamitary
transports and infrastructure between the cities.
Europe: The successful tries to reinitiate some communication and weather satellites
from a remote station in former Ireland paved way to a significant increase in multilateral
communication and infrastructural rebuilding. It also allowed improved climatical
surveillance.