1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47

125.36 126.66 130.28 133.74 126.92 120.85 119.42 128.61 123.53 130.15 126.02 116.65 125.24 126.84 125.95 114.41 138.62 127.4 127.59 123.57 133.76 124.6 113.48 128.6 121.04 119.42 120.83 136.53 120.4 136.58 121.73 132.72 109.25 125.42 117.67 124.01 118.74 128.99 131.11 112.27 118.76 119.15 122.42 122.22 134.71 126.22 130.33

48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94

120.52 126.88 117.4 123.72 124.56 116.03 121.06 124.5 131.93 133.25 122.08 117.88 126.1 125.26 125.03 122.74 117.57 120.63 120.83 132.6 131.25 130.83 116.68 114.99 126.69 121.57 124.43 137.04 131.48 127.92 114.08 125.45 124.65 127.93
Individual Value

Minitab

Process Capability Sixpack of Data (Ppk =0.32)

I Chart
145
5

Capability Histogram
UCL=142.52 _ X=124.15
5 2 3 1 LSL Target 14 12 10 8 9 5 6 4 2 2 17 USL

123.88 114.25 123.68 117.06 130.69 119.8 119.72 110.99 123.12 125.37 127.01 121.31 119.26

130 115

S pecifications LS L 110 Target 120 USL 130

LCL=105.78 1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91

112 116 120 124 128 132 136

Moving Range Chart

1

Normal Prob Plot

UCL=22.57

A D: 0.139, P : 0.974

Moving Range

20 10
2

__ MR=6.91 LCL=0 100 120 140

0 1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91

Last 100 Observations

135
Values
Within StDev 6.124 Cp 0.54 Cpk 0.32 PPM 180189.21

Capability Plot
Within O v erall S pecs
StDev Pp Ppk Cpm PPM Overall 6.043 0.55 0.32 0.45 176141.49

125 115

Mo

MR=6.91 0 1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91
2

LCL=0 100 120 140

Last 100 Observations

Capability Plot
Within StDev 6.124 Cp 0.54 Cpk 0.32 PPM 180189.21

Values

95 96 97 98 99 100

124.52 128.85 123.87 122.87 126.61 117.96

135 125 115 0 20 40 60 Observation 80 100

Within O v erall S pecs

StDev Pp Ppk Cpm PPM

Overall 6.043 0.55 0.32 0.45 176141.49

Mean Stdev Min Max L-min L-max Cpk-min Cpk-max Cp Judgement

124.15
6.0425

109.25 138.62 110.00 130.00 0.78 0.323 0.55

FAIL

k =0.32)
17 14 12 10 9 5 6 4 2 2 USL

Minitab
S pecifications LS L 110 Target 120 USL 130

ability Histogram
99.9 99 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5
StDev Pp Ppk Cpm PPM Overall 6.043 0.55 0.32 0.45 176141.49

Probability Plot of Data

Normal
Mean StDev N AD P-Value 124.2 6.043 100 0.139 0.974

Target

120 124 128 132 136

Normal Prob Plot

A D: 0.139, P : 0.974

120

140

Capability Plot
Within O v erall S pecs

Percent
1

1 0.1

100

110

120

130

140

30 20
120 140

10 5

Capability Plot
Within O v erall S pecs
StDev Pp Ppk Cpm PPM Overall 6.043 0.55 0.32 0.45 176141.49

1 0.1

100

110

120 Data

130

140

Crytal Ball

Mean StDev N AD P-Value

124.2 6.043 100 0.139 0.974

214338183.xlsx.ms_office
Crystal Ball Report - Full Simulation started on 2/2/2014 at 8:53 PM Simulation stopped on 2/2/2014 at 8:53 PM Run preferences: Number of trials run Extreme speed Monte Carlo Seed Precision control on Confidence level Run statistics: Total running time (sec) Trials/second (average) Random numbers per sec Crystal Ball data: Assumptions Correlations Correlated groups Decision variables Forecasts 500 999 95.00% 0.15 3,361 336,140 100 0 0 0 1

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Forecasts Worksheet: [Book1]Sheet1 Forecast: Mean Summary: Entire range is from 121.93 to 126.09 Base case is 124.15 After 500 trials, the std. error of the mean is 0.03 Cell: B101

Statistics: Trials Base Case Mean Median Mode Standard Deviation Variance Skewness Kurtosis Coeff. of Variability Minimum Maximum Range Width Mean Std. Error

Forecast values 500 124.15 124.18 124.17 --0.62 0.38 -0.0857 3.41 0.0050 121.93 126.09 4.17 0.03

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Forecast: Mean (cont'd) Percentiles: 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Forecast values 121.93 123.41 123.70 123.89 124.05 124.17 124.34 124.47 124.67 124.96 126.09 Cell: B101

Capability Metrics: Fit: Normal Normality test passed (p-value = 0.132) Mean 124.18 Standard Deviation 0.62 Pp 5.40 Ppk-lower 7.66 Ppk-upper 3.14 Ppk 3.14 Ppm 0.7885 Z-LSL 22.97 Z-USL 9.42 Zst 10.92 Zlt-total 9.42 p(N/C)-below 0.00 p(N/C)-above 0.00 p(N/C)-total 0.00 PPM-below 0.00 PPM-above 0.00 PPM-total 0.00 LSL 110.00 USL 130.00 Target 120.00 Z-score shift 1.50 End of Forecasts

Page 12

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Assumptions Worksheet: [Book1]Sheet1 Assumption: B1 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev. Cell: B1 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B10 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B10 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B100 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B100 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B11 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B11 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B12 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B12 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B13 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B13 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B14 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B14 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B15 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B15 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B16 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B16 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B17 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B17 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B18 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B18 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B19 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B19 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B2 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B2 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B20 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B20 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B21 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B21 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B22 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B22 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B23 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B23 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B24 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B24 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B25 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B25 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B26 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B26 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B27 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B27 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B28 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B28 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B29 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B29 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B3 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B3 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B30 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B30 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B31 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B31 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B32 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B32 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B33 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B33 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B34 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B34 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B35 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B35 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B36 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B36 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B37 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B37 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B38 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B38 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B39 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B39 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B4 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B4 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B40 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B40 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B41 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B41 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B42 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B42 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B43 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B43 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B44 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B44 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B45 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B45 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B46 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B46 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B47 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B47 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B48 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B48 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B49 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B49 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B5 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B5 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B50 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B50 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B51 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B51 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B52 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B52 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B53 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B53 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B54 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B54 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B55 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B55 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B56 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B56 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B57 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B57 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B58 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B58 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B59 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B59 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B6 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B6 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B60 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B60 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B61 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B61 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B62 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B62 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B63 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B63 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B64 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B64 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B65 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B65 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B66 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B66 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B67 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B67 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B68 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B68 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B69 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B69 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B7 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B7 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B70 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B70 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B71 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B71 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B72 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B72 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B73 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B73 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B74 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B74 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B75 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B75 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B76 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B76 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B77 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B77 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B78 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B78 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B79 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B79 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B8 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B8 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B80 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B80 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B81 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B81 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B82 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B82 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B83 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B83 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B84 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B84 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B85 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B85 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B86 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B86 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B87 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B87 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B88 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B88 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B89 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B89 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B9 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B9 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B90 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B90 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B91 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B91 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B92 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B92 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B93 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B93 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B94 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B94 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B95 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B95 124.15 6.04

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Assumption: B96 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B96 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B97 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B97 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B98 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B98 124.15 6.04

Assumption: B99 Normal distribution with parameters: Mean Std. Dev.

Cell: B99 124.15 6.04

End of Assumptions

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Sensitivity Charts

End of Sensitivity Charts

Page 38